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Health-based occupational exposure limits for high molecular weight sensitizers: how long is the road we must travel? 高分子量致敏剂的健康职业暴露限值:我们必须走多长的路?
Pub Date : 2002-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/ANNHYG/MEF062
D. Heederik, P. Thorne, G. Doekes
In this paper pitfalls in risk assessment for high molecular weight allergens, which can cause typical Type I/IgE-mediated respiratory allergy, are discussed. The major pitfalls seem to be that no agreement exists on the preferential end point that should be used in risk assessment. As a result, it is unclear which exposure-response relationship should be considered. In addition, there is a lack of data on health risks for non-occupationally exposed reference populations, so the baseline risk is often not known and little is known about the shape of exposure-response relationships and the existence of exposure thresholds. The good news is that more and more groups have published exposure-response relationships for several allergens. The possibilities for risk assessment approaches that should lead to occupational exposure standards are explored. Specific consideration is given to situations in which data on exposure-response relationships for humans are available. Considerable progress has been made in this area by use of advanced statistical techniques for exposure-response modelling. The major practical constraint at this moment seems to be the absence of well-standardized measurement techniques (immunoassays) for the evaluation of allergen exposure in the field.
本文讨论了可引起典型I型/ ige介导的呼吸道过敏的高分子量过敏原风险评估中的缺陷。主要的缺陷似乎是没有就风险评估中应该使用的优先终点达成协议。因此,目前尚不清楚应该考虑哪种暴露-反应关系。此外,缺乏关于非职业暴露参考人群健康风险的数据,因此往往不知道基线风险,对暴露-反应关系的形态和暴露阈值的存在也知之甚少。好消息是,越来越多的研究小组已经发表了几种过敏原的暴露-反应关系。探讨了制定职业暴露标准的风险评估方法的可能性。对可获得人类暴露-反应关系数据的情况给予了具体考虑。利用先进的统计技术进行暴露-反应建模,在这一领域取得了相当大的进展。目前主要的实际限制似乎是缺乏用于评估现场过敏原暴露的标准化测量技术(免疫测定)。
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引用次数: 34
Noise exposure and hearing loss among student employees working in university entertainment venues. 在大学娱乐场所工作的学生雇员的噪音暴露和听力损失。
Pub Date : 2002-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/ANNHYG/46.5.455
S. Sadhra, C. Jackson, T. Ryder, M. J. Brown
OBJECTIVESMost studies to date on sound levels in entertainment establishments have concentrated on exposure levels for the attending public, rather than employees who may be at greater risk of hearing loss. Of particular concern are young employees. The aim of this pilot study was to (i) estimate typical sound levels in different areas where amplified music was played, (ii) measure temporary threshold shift (TTS) and (iii) estimate the dependence of hearing threshold shifts on measured noise levels.METHODSThis study focused on students working part-time (up to 16 h/week) in music bars and discotheques in a university entertainment venue. All 28 staff were invited to participate in the study. Pre- and post-exposure audiometry was used to determine hearing threshold at both high and low frequencies. Personal dosemeters and static measurements were made to assess noise levels and frequency characteristics. A questionnaire was used to determine patterns of noise exposure and attitudes to noise levels and hearing loss.RESULTSOf the 28 student employees working in the three areas, 14 (50%) agreed to take part in the study, giving 21 pre- and post-shift audiograms. The mean personal exposure levels for security staff were higher than those of bar staff, with both groups exceeding 90 dB(A). The maximum peak pressure reading for security staff was 124 dB. Although TTS values were moderate, they were found to be highly significant at both low and high frequencies and for both ears. Twenty-nine per cent of subjects showed permanent hearing loss of more than 30 dB at either low or high frequencies. The correlation between TTS and personal exposure was higher at 4 kHz than the low and high frequencies.CONCLUSIONSContemporary music may be an important yet little considered contributor to total personal noise exposure, especially amongst young employees. Employees need to be better informed of risks of hearing loss and the need to report changes in hearing acuity. Suggestions are made on strategies for improving the assessment of noise exposure in entertainment venues.
目的迄今为止,大多数关于娱乐场所声音水平的研究都集中在公众的暴露水平上,而不是那些可能有更大听力损失风险的员工。尤其值得关注的是年轻员工。本初步研究的目的是(i)估计播放放大音乐的不同区域的典型声级,(ii)测量临时阈值位移(TTS), (iii)估计听力阈值位移对测量噪声水平的依赖性。方法本研究以在大学娱乐场所的音乐酒吧和迪斯科舞厅兼职(每周最多16小时)的学生为研究对象。所有28名员工都被邀请参加了这项研究。使用暴露前和暴露后听力学来确定高频和低频的听力阈值。进行了个人剂量计和静态测量,以评估噪声水平和频率特性。研究人员使用问卷来确定噪音暴露的模式以及对噪音水平和听力损失的态度。结果在三个区域工作的28名学生员工中,有14人(50%)同意参加研究,并给出了21个轮班前和轮班后的听音图。保安人员的平均个人暴露水平高于酒吧工作人员,两组都超过90 dB(A)。保安人员的最大峰值压力读数为124分贝。虽然TTS值是中等的,但它们在低频率和高频率以及双耳都是非常显著的。29%的研究对象在低频率或高频率下表现出超过30分贝的永久性听力损失。在4 kHz时,TTS与个人暴露的相关性高于低频和高频。结论:当代音乐可能是个人噪音暴露的一个重要因素,但很少有人考虑到这一点,尤其是在年轻员工中。员工需要更好地了解听力损失的风险以及报告听力敏锐度变化的必要性。就改善娱乐场所噪音污染评估的策略提出建议。
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引用次数: 106
On-line monitoring of solvent emission rates using an open path FTIR analyser. 利用开放式FTIR分析仪在线监测溶剂排放率。
Pub Date : 2002-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/ANNHYG/46.5.501
J. Räisänen, R. Niemelä
Solvent mixture concentrations in paint and resin manufacture were on-line monitored using a portable open path Fourier transform infrared (OP-FTIR) analyser in order to determine solvent emission rates into workspaces. The mean solvent emission rate was 0.46 kg/h in paint production and 0.35 kg/h in resin manufacture. Expressed as emission factor, i.e. evaporated portion of the total solvent mass used, the corresponding values were 0.01% for paint production and 0.1% for resin manufacture. The OP-FTIR instrument together with advanced spectra analysis software facilitated a rapid identification of solvent mixtures and on-line concentration monitoring with good temporal resolution. The analyser seems to be particularly useful in industrial hygiene applications where spatial average concentrations are needed. The further benefit of the open path instrument is that no sampling lines, pumps or sample cells are needed.
使用便携式开放式傅立叶变换红外(OP-FTIR)分析仪在线监测油漆和树脂制造中的溶剂混合物浓度,以确定溶剂排放到工作空间的速率。涂料生产的平均溶剂排放率为0.46 kg/h,树脂生产的平均溶剂排放率为0.35 kg/h。用排放因子表示,即所使用的总溶剂质量的蒸发部分,相应的值为油漆生产的0.01%和树脂制造的0.1%。OP-FTIR仪器与先进的光谱分析软件一起促进了溶剂混合物的快速识别和在线浓度监测,具有良好的时间分辨率。该分析仪在需要空间平均浓度的工业卫生应用中似乎特别有用。开放路径仪器的另一个好处是不需要采样线,泵或样品池。
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引用次数: 2
Self-collected breath sampling for monitoring low-level benzene exposures among automobile mechanics. 汽车修理工自采呼吸取样监测低浓度苯暴露。
Pub Date : 2002-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/ANNHYG/MEF057
P. Egeghy, L. Nylander-French, K. Gwin, I. Hertz-Picciotto, S. Rappaport
Automobile mechanics are exposed to benzene through their contact with gasoline vapor and engine exhaust. This study investigated the benzene uptake associated with these exposures. We first evaluated the reliability of self-collected breath samples among a subset of subjects and found good agreement between these samples and those collected under expert supervision (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.79, n = 69). We then used self-monitoring together with a longitudinal sampling design (with up to three measurements per worker) to measure benzene in air and benzene in end-exhaled breath among 81 workers from 12 automobile repair garages in North Carolina. A statistically significant difference (P < 0.0001, Mann-Whitney rank sum test) was observed between non-smokers and smokers for post-exposure benzene concentration in breath (median values of 18.9 and 39.1 micro g/m(3), respectively). Comparing pre- and post-exposure breath concentrations within these two groups, the difference was significant among non-smokers (P < 0.0001) but not significant among smokers (P > 0.05). Mixed effects regression analysis using backwards elimination yielded five significant predictors of benzene concentration in breath, namely benzene exposure (P < 0.0001), pre-exposure benzene concentration in breath (P = 0.021), smoking status (P < 0.0001), fuel system work (P = 0.0043) and carburetor cleaner use (P < 0.0001). The between-person variance component comprised only 28% of the total variance in benzene levels in breath, indicating that differences among individuals related to physiological and metabolic characteristics had little influence on benzene uptake among these workers.
汽车修理工通过接触汽油蒸气和发动机废气而接触苯。本研究调查了与这些暴露有关的苯摄取。我们首先评估了一部分受试者自我采集呼吸样本的可靠性,发现这些样本与在专家监督下采集的样本之间存在良好的一致性(类内相关系数0.79,n = 69)。然后,我们使用自我监测和纵向抽样设计(每个工人最多三次测量)来测量北卡罗莱纳州12个汽车修理厂的81名工人的空气中苯和呼气末苯。非吸烟者与吸烟者呼吸中苯暴露后浓度差异有统计学意义(P < 0.0001, Mann-Whitney秩和检验)(中位数分别为18.9和39.1微g/m(3))。比较两组暴露前后呼吸浓度,非吸烟者差异显著(P < 0.0001),而吸烟者差异不显著(P < 0.05)。使用反向消去的混合效应回归分析得出了5个显著的呼气中苯浓度预测因子,即苯暴露(P < 0.0001)、暴露前呼气中苯浓度(P = 0.021)、吸烟状态(P < 0.0001)、燃油系统工作(P = 0.0043)和化油器清洁器使用(P < 0.0001)。人与人之间的差异只占呼吸中苯含量总差异的28%,这表明与生理和代谢特征相关的个体差异对这些工人的苯摄取影响很小。
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引用次数: 62
Excluding exposure data of very poor quality is a core principle for regulatory risk assessment. 排除质量非常差的暴露数据是监管风险评估的核心原则。
Pub Date : 2002-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/ANNHYG/MEF073
E. Tielemans, Y. Christopher, H. Marquart, M. Groenewold, J. V. van Hemmen
In a recent issue of this journal, Money and Margary (2002) proposed some thoughtful guidelines for exposure assessment in regulatory risk assessment. Their structured approach acknowledges that currently available exposure data are of very variable quality (Northage and Marquart, 2001). We firmly underline their plea for a hierarchy in available exposure information sources, with a higher weight assigned to data with a lower level of uncertainty. The level of confidence an assessor has in the available exposure information should play an important role in the resultant risk assessment process. Moreover, the classification of data into different uncertainty categories should aid the assessor when conflicting exposure results are reported. Hence, a transparent system quantifying heterogeneity in data quality is crucial if one wants to arrive at consistent risk assessments. The approach of Money and Margary largely coincides with and was to some extent complementary to our decision tree for data quality evaluation published in the same issue (Tielemans et al., 2002). However, we question their statement that all exposure information sources should be considered as being potentially useful in the risk assessment process. On the contrary, it is our opinion that not all exposure information meets even the minimum requirements for incorporation in the exposure assessment process and the exclusion of such data should be the starting point for a transparent and robust exposure assessment. In our paper we defined minimum requirements for four different aspects, i.e. available occupational hygiene information, variability and precision issues, internal validity and external validity. We consider data sources to be unacceptable if very basic requirements are not fulfilled for these aspects. In these cases, the level of uncertainty or bias related to exposure data is in our view difficult to interpret in even a broad sense. In order to evaluate the quality of data in current European Union risk assessments of existing substances, we conducted a small-scale inventory of exposure data. One exposure assessor of our department evaluated data quality of 40 measurement series selected out of five Risk Assessment Reports (RARs). A second researcher also evaluated 20 of these sources in order to study agreement between assessors. The data classification was done according to both a strict and a lenient interpretation of our decision tree (Tielemans et al., 2002). The former implies a rigid adherence of the assessor to the rules of the decision tree. Any non-compliance to the decision rules results in exclusion of the data. The latter refers to an approach that leaves more room for subjective assessment tailored to the specific exposure assessment situation. Table 1 describes the results of our inventory. It is a striking finding that 80% of the information sources were excluded when a strict classification was applied. A lenient approach also yielded exclusion of se
在最近一期的本刊中,Money和Margary(2002)为监管风险评估中的暴露评估提出了一些深思熟虑的指导方针。他们的结构化方法承认,目前可用的暴露数据质量变化很大(Northage和Marquart, 2001)。我们坚定地强调他们对可用暴露信息源的层次结构的请求,对不确定性较低的数据赋予较高的权重。评估人员对现有暴露信息的信任程度应在由此产生的风险评估过程中发挥重要作用。此外,将数据分类为不同的不确定性类别应该有助于评估者在报告冲突的暴露结果时。因此,如果想要达到一致的风险评估,一个透明的系统量化数据质量的异质性是至关重要的。Money和Margary的方法在很大程度上与我们发表在同一期杂志上的数据质量评估决策树相一致,并在某种程度上是互补的(Tielemans et al., 2002)。然而,我们质疑他们关于在风险评估过程中所有暴露信息源都应被视为潜在有用的说法。相反,我们认为并非所有暴露信息都符合纳入暴露评估过程的最低要求,排除此类数据应成为透明和可靠的暴露评估的起点。在本文中,我们定义了四个不同方面的最低要求,即可用的职业卫生信息,变异性和准确性问题,内部效度和外部效度。如果不能满足这些方面的基本要求,我们认为数据源是不可接受的。在这些情况下,我们认为,与暴露数据有关的不确定性或偏差程度即使从广义上也难以解释。为了评估当前欧盟现有物质风险评估数据的质量,我们对暴露数据进行了小规模清查。我科一名暴露评估员对5份风险评估报告(RARs)中选取的40个测量系列的数据质量进行了评估。另一名研究人员也评估了其中的20个来源,以研究评估者之间的一致性。数据分类是根据我们的决策树的严格和宽松的解释来完成的(Tielemans等人,2002年)。前者意味着评估者严格遵守决策树的规则。任何不遵守决策规则的情况都会导致数据被排除在外。后者是指根据具体的暴露评估情况,为主观评估留出更多空间的方法。表1描述了我们盘点的结果。这是一个惊人的发现,80%的信息来源被排除在严格的分类应用。一种宽松的方法也产生了几个测量系列的排除(12.5%),尽管大多数评级转向补充信息(80%)。应当指出,在这两种方法中,只有一小部分来源提供了充分的资料。对于严格和宽松的方法,两个评估者之间的同意百分比分别为85%和70%。这种差异与预期是一致的,因为不那么严格的方法在很大程度上依赖于主观判断。我们的分析结果清楚地说明了严格的评估和宽松的方法之间的对比,前者认为大多数数据是无用的,而后者允许将大多数数据纳入风险评估过程。从这份清单中可以了解到,大部分调查数据受到职业卫生信息记录不良、精度低或有效性可疑的阻碍。科学上严格的评估将把这些数据归为无关紧要。我们同意Money和Margary的观点,因为
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引用次数: 5
Cisplatin contamination observed on the outside of drug vials. 药瓶外观察到顺铂污染。
Pub Date : 2002-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/ANNHYG/MEF074
O. Nygren, B. Gustavsson, L. Ström, A. Friberg
Exposure to cytotoxic drugs is of great concern today. Special regulations for handling these drugs during preparation and administration have been implemented in most countries. Concern has also been raised as to whether exposure to these drugs can occur due to contaminated drug vials. In this investigation, wipe samples were taken from drug vials used for platinum-containing drugs, e.g. cisplatin and related drugs. The vials were randomly picked from unbroken packages from different manufacturers. The results showed that drug vials may already be contaminated on the outside when delivered from the manufacturer.
暴露于细胞毒性药物是当今非常令人关注的问题。大多数国家已经实施了在制备和给药期间处理这些药物的特殊规定。人们还担心,由于受污染的药瓶,是否会发生接触这些药物的情况。在本次调查中,从用于含铂药物(如顺铂及相关药物)的药瓶中提取擦拭样本。这些小瓶是从不同制造商的完整包装中随机抽取的。结果显示,药瓶可能在从制造商交付时就已经被污染了。
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引用次数: 67
Occupational exposure limits--Britain tries again. 职业暴露限值——英国再次尝试。
Pub Date : 2002-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/ANNHYG/46.5.435
T. Ogden
Since the Control of Substances Hazardous to Health (COSHH) Regulations came into force about 12 yr ago, Britain has had a legally enforceable system of exposure limits. This is now likely to have a major overhaul. There are at present two types of limit, Occupational Exposure Standards (OESs), which broadly speaking are supposed to be set low enough to prevent any ill-health developing, and Maximum Exposure Limits (MELs), which are set for substances that have ‘serious health implications’ and for which it is not always practicable to achieve a level that will prevent disease. OESs can be exceeded under some circumstances, and exposure by inhalation does not have to be reduced any further than the OES. MELs define a maximum permissible exposure, but exposure must also be reduced as far as reasonably practicable. (This is a legally defined concept which means that exposures must be reduced to a level where further reduction would involve a cost grossly disproportionate to the benefit achieved.) Topping (2001) recently described the system in detail. The list of limits, and guidance aimed at employers, is published annually in EH40 (Health and Safety Executive, 2002). This system has strengths, notably the frank recognition that for some substances a desirable limit to protect health is not practicable, and the involvement of experts nominated by employers’ and employees’ organizations and other interests in determining for which substances a MEL is applicable, and what the level should be. However, a market survey on behalf of the Health and Safety Executive (HSE) showed that the carefully negotiated and executed dual-limit system was an almost complete failure in terms of the all-important understanding and application by users of chemicals (Topping et al., 1998). There were other problems intrinsic to the system which have become more troublesome as time has gone by, and the need to run a system compatible with the European Union’s Chemical Agents Directive has increased the problems. The HSE has now issued a discussion document on a possible new scheme with a view eventually to changing the COSHH Regulations. The document can be downloaded from http://www.hse.gov.uk/condocs, and comments are invited by the end of July; but there will be a further consultation later on the more formal legislative proposals.
自从12年前《对健康有害物质控制条例》(COSHH)生效以来,英国已经有了一个合法的可执行的接触限值系统。现在,这可能会有一个重大的改革。目前有两种类型的限制,一种是职业接触标准(OESs),广义上讲,它应该设定得足够低,以防止任何健康不良的发展,另一种是最大接触限制(MELs),它是为具有“严重健康影响”的物质设定的,对于这些物质,达到预防疾病的水平并不总是可行的。在某些情况下,臭氧浓度是可以超标的,而吸入的臭氧浓度不必比臭氧浓度进一步降低。最低容许量规定了最大容许接触量,但也必须在合理可行的范围内减少接触量。(这是一个法律定义的概念,意味着必须将暴露减少到进一步减少所涉及的成本与所取得的效益严重不成比例的水平。)Topping(2001)最近详细描述了这个系统。每年在EH40(健康与安全执行局,2002年)中公布限额清单和针对雇主的指导。这一制度有其优点,特别是坦率地承认,对某些物质来说,保护健康的理想限度是不切实际的,并且由雇主和雇员组织以及其他利益相关者提名的专家参与确定适用于哪些物质的最低限度以及最低限度应该是多少。然而,代表健康与安全执行局(HSE)进行的一项市场调查表明,就用户对化学品最重要的理解和应用而言,精心协商和执行的双重限制制度几乎是完全失败的(Topping等,1998)。随着时间的推移,该系统本身还存在其他问题,这些问题变得越来越麻烦,而且需要运行一个与欧洲联盟的化学制剂指令兼容的系统,这增加了问题。HSE现在已经发布了一份关于可能的新方案的讨论文件,以期最终改变COSHH法规。该文件可从http://www.hse.gov.uk/condocs下载,并于7月底前接受评论;但稍后会就更正式的立法提案进行进一步磋商。
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引用次数: 1
Tremolite and mesothelioma. 透闪石和间皮瘤。
Pub Date : 2002-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/ANNHYG/46.5.447
V. Roggli, R. Vollmer, K. Butnor, T. Sporn
BACKGROUNDExposure to chrysotile dust has been associated with the development of mesothelioma and recent studies have implicated contaminating tremolite fibers as the likely etiological factor. Tremolite also contaminates talc, the most common non-asbestos mineral fiber in our control cases.METHODSWe examined 312 cases of mesothelioma for which fiber burden analyses of lung parenchyma had been performed by means of scanning electron microscopy to determine the content of tremolite, non-commercial amphiboles, talc and chrysotile. The vast majority of these patients were exposed to dust from products containing asbestos.RESULTSTremolite was identified in 166 of 312 cases (53%) and was increased above background levels in 81 cases (26%). Fibrous talc was identified in 193 cases (62%) and correlated strongly with the tremolite content (P < 0.0001). Chrysotile was identified in only 32 cases (10%), but still correlated strongly with the tremolite content (P < 0.0001). Talc levels explained less of the tremolite deviance for cases with an increased tremolite level than for cases with a normal range tremolite level (22 versus 42%). In 14 cases (4.5%) non-commercial amphibole fibers (tremolite, actinolite and/or anthophyllite) were the only fiber types found above background.CONCLUSIONSWe conclude that tremolite in lung tissue samples from mesothelioma victims derives from both talc and chrysotile and that tremolite accounts for a considerable fraction of the excess fiber burden in end-users of asbestos products.
暴露于温石棉粉尘与间皮瘤的发展有关,最近的研究表明污染透闪石纤维可能是致病因素。透闪石也污染滑石,在我们的对照病例中,滑石是最常见的非石棉矿物纤维。方法对312例间皮瘤患者进行肺实质纤维负荷分析,用扫描电镜测定透闪石、非商业角闪石、滑石和温石棉的含量。这些患者中的绝大多数都接触过含有石棉的产品产生的粉尘。结果312例患者中有166例(53%)检出石蜡,81例(26%)高于背景水平。193例(62%)发现纤维滑石,与透闪石含量密切相关(P < 0.0001)。温石棉仅鉴定出32例(10%),但仍与透闪石含量密切相关(P < 0.0001)。滑石水平对透闪石水平升高的病例的解释比正常范围的透闪石水平的病例要少(22%对42%)。在14例(4.5%)中,非商业角闪孔纤维(透闪石、放线石和/或花青石)是唯一高于背景的纤维类型。我们得出结论,间皮瘤患者肺组织样本中的透闪石来自滑石和温石棉,并且在石棉产品最终用户的过量纤维负担中,透闪石占相当大的一部分。
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引用次数: 50
Combining expert ratings and exposure measurements: a random effect paradigm. 结合专家评级和暴露测量:随机效应范式。
Pub Date : 2002-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/ANNHYG/MEF052
P. Wild, E. Sauleau, E. Bourgkard, J. Moulin
The aim of this paper is to present a paradigm for combining ordinal expert ratings with exposure measurements while accounting for a between-worker effect when estimating exposure group (EG)-specific means for epidemiological purposes. Expert judgement is used to classify the EGs into a limited number of exposure levels independently of the exposure measurements. The mean exposure of each EG is considered to be a random deviate from a central exposure rating-specific value. Combining this approach with the standard between-worker random effect model, we obtain a nested two-way model. Using Gibbs sampling, we can fit such models incorporating prior information on components of variance and modelling options to the rating-specific means. An approximate formula is presented estimating the mean exposure of each EG as a function of the geometric mean of the measurements in this EG, between and within EG standard deviations and the overall geometric mean, thus borrowing information from other EGs. We apply this paradigm to an actual data set of dust exposure measurements in a steel producing factory. Some EG-specific means are quite different from the estimates including the ratings. Rating-specific means could be estimated under different hypotheses. It is argued that when setting up an expert rating of exposures it is best done independently of existing exposure measurements. The present model is then a convenient framework in which to combine the two sources of information.
本文的目的是提出一种范式,将顺序专家评级与暴露测量相结合,同时在估计暴露组(EG)特定方法用于流行病学目的时考虑工人之间的影响。专家判断用于将EGs独立于暴露测量将其划分为有限数量的暴露水平。每个EG的平均暴露值被认为是与中央暴露等级特定值的随机偏差。将该方法与标准的工人间随机效应模型相结合,得到了一个嵌套的双向模型。使用吉布斯抽样,我们可以拟合这样的模型,将方差成分的先验信息和建模选项纳入到评级特定的均值中。提出了一个近似公式,估计每个EG的平均暴露量作为该EG中测量值的几何平均值的函数,在EG标准差之间和之内,以及总体几何平均值,从而借鉴了其他EG的信息。我们将此范例应用于一家钢铁生产工厂的粉尘暴露测量的实际数据集。一些特定于eg的方法与包括评级在内的估计有很大不同。在不同的假设下,可以估计出评级特定的均值。有人认为,在建立专家的暴露等级时,最好独立于现有的暴露测量来完成。因此,目前的模型是一个方便的框架,可以将两种信息来源结合起来。
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引用次数: 37
Significance of genetic information in risk assessment and individual classification using silicosis as a case model. 遗传信息在矽肺病风险评估和个体分类中的意义。
Pub Date : 2002-06-01 DOI: 10.1093/ANNHYG/MEF055
E. McCanlies, D. Landsittel, B. Yucesoy, V. Vallyathan, Michael Luster, D. Sharp
Over the last decade the role of genetic data in epidemiological research has expanded considerably. We recently published a case-control study that evaluated the interaction between silica exposure and minor variants in the genes coding for interleukin-1alpha (IL-1alpha), interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1RA) and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNFalpha) as risk factors associated with silicosis, a fibrotic lung disease. In contrast, this report uses data generated from these studies to illustrate the utility of genetic information for the purposes of risk assessment and clinical prediction. Specifically, this study will address how, given a known exposure, genetic information affects the characterization of risk groups. Relative operating characteristic (ROC) curves were then used to determine the impact of genetic information on individual classification. Logistic regression modeling procedures were used to estimate the predicted probability of developing silicosis. This probability was then used to construct predicted risk deciles, first for a model with occupational exposure only and then for a model containing occupational exposure and genetic main effects and interactions. Results indicate that the exposure-only model effectively captures an increasing relationship between predicted risk deciles and prevalence of observed silicosis cases. Individuals comprising the highest risk decile were almost four times as likely to have silicosis as opposed to the lowest risk decile. The addition of genetic data, however, substantially improved characterization of risk categories; the proportion of cases in the highest risk decile was almost eight times that in the lowest risk decile. However, the ROC curve and classification analysis demonstrated that the addition of genetic main effects and interactions did not significantly impact on prediction of the individual's case status. These results indicate that genetic information plays a valuable role in effectively characterizing risk groups and mechanisms of disease operating in a substantial proportion of the population. However, in the case of fibrotic lung disease caused by silica exposure, information about the presence or absence of the minor variants of IL-1alpha, IL-1RA and TNFalpha is unlikely to be a useful tool for individual classification.
在过去十年中,遗传数据在流行病学研究中的作用已大大扩大。我们最近发表了一项病例对照研究,评估了二氧化硅暴露与白细胞介素-1 α (il -1 α)、白细胞介素-1受体拮拮剂(IL-1RA)和肿瘤坏死因子α (TNFalpha)编码基因的微小变异之间的相互作用,这些基因是与矽肺(一种纤维化肺部疾病)相关的危险因素。相比之下,本报告使用这些研究产生的数据来说明遗传信息在风险评估和临床预测方面的效用。具体来说,本研究将探讨在已知暴露的情况下,遗传信息如何影响风险群体的特征。然后使用相对工作特征(ROC)曲线来确定遗传信息对个体分类的影响。采用Logistic回归模型程序估计矽肺病的预测概率。然后,这个概率被用来构建预测的风险十分位数,首先是一个只有职业暴露的模型,然后是一个包含职业暴露和遗传主要影响和相互作用的模型。结果表明,仅暴露模型有效地捕获了预测风险十分位数与观察到的矽肺病例患病率之间日益增加的关系。最高风险十分位数的个体患矽肺病的可能性几乎是最低风险十分位数的四倍。然而,遗传数据的增加大大改善了危险类别的特征;最高风险十分位数的病例比例几乎是最低风险十分位数的八倍。然而,ROC曲线和分类分析表明,遗传主效应和相互作用的加入对个体病例状态的预测没有显著影响。这些结果表明,遗传信息在有效表征风险群体和在相当大比例人口中运作的疾病机制方面起着宝贵的作用。然而,在由二氧化硅暴露引起的纤维化肺病的情况下,关于IL-1alpha、IL-1RA和TNFalpha的微小变异是否存在的信息不太可能成为个体分类的有用工具。
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引用次数: 13
期刊
The Annals of occupational hygiene
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