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Integral Inequality for Minimaxity in the Stein Problem Stein问题中极小值的积分不等式
Pub Date : 2009-12-01 DOI: 10.14490/JJSS.39.155
T. Kubokawa
In the estimation of a multivariate normal mean, it is shown that the problem of deriving shrinkage estimators improving on the maximum likelihood estimator can be reduced to that of solving an integral inequality. The integral inequality not only provides a more general condition than a conventional differential inequality studied in the literature, but also handles non-differentiable or discontinuous estimators. The paper also gives general conditions on prior distributions such that the resulting generalized Bayes estimators are minimax. Finally, a simple proof for constructing a class of estimators improving on the James-Stein estimator is given based on the integral expression of the risk.
在多元正态均值的估计中,证明了在极大似然估计的基础上推导收缩估计的问题可以简化为求解一个积分不等式的问题。积分不等式不仅提供了比传统的微分不等式更一般的条件,而且还处理了不可微估计或不连续估计。本文还给出了先验分布的一般条件,使得得到的广义贝叶斯估计量是极小极大的。最后,基于风险的积分表达式,给出了构造一类改进的James-Stein估计量的简单证明。
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引用次数: 4
Pricing Barrier and Average Options Under Stochastic Volatility Environment 随机波动环境下的定价障碍与平均期权
Pub Date : 2009-10-22 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1491937
Kenichiro Shiraya, Akihiko Takahashi, M. Toda
This paper proposes a new approximation method of pricing barrier and average options under stochastic volatility environment by applying an asymptotic expansion approach. In particular, a high-order expansion scheme for general multi-dimensional diffusion processes is effectively applied. Moreover, the paper combines a static hedging method with the asymptotic expansion method for pricing barrier options. Finally, numerical examples show that the fourth or fifth-order asymptotic expansion scheme provides sufficiently accurate approximations under the lambda-SABR and SABR models.
本文应用渐近展开方法,提出了随机波动环境下定价障碍和平均期权的一种新的逼近方法。特别地,一种适用于一般多维扩散过程的高阶展开格式得到了有效的应用。此外,本文将静态套期保值方法与定价障碍期权的渐近展开方法相结合。最后,数值算例表明,在lambda-SABR和SABR模型下,四阶或五阶渐近展开格式提供了足够精确的逼近。
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引用次数: 30
From Peasant Economy to Urban Agglomeration : The Transformation of 'Labour-intensive Industrialization'in Modern Japan 从农民经济到城市群:近代日本“劳动密集型工业化”的转型
Pub Date : 2007-09-01 DOI: 10.4324/9780203067611-13
Masayuki Tanimoto
The argument of "labour intensive industrialization" in East Asia, which has been raised by Kaoru Sugihara and Kenneth Pomeranz, seems to rest on the "peasant economy" as a concept. In deed, the plural employment strategy of peasant household has often been regarded as the typical examples of the "industrious" behaviour that characterizes "labour-intensive industrialization". In other words, the argument has emphasized the agrarian bases of the "labour-intensive industrialization" in East Asia. The notion of industrialization, however, intrinsically implies the process of de-agriculturization. How can we extend the notion of "labour-intensive industrialization" originally based in an agrarian setting to the non-agrarian sphere? The paper explores this question by analyzing the foundation of the small scale industries in 19th and 20th century Japan, during the transformation of the economy's base from peasant economy to urban agglomeration. The weaving and the export-oriented "miscellaneous" industries, particularly toy industry, will exemplify the argument. Besides the centralized factory system, the development of the dispersed production system based on the household economy including a certain level of skill formation played the significant role in the industries. Reiterating the relatively high proportion of small and medium enterprises in the industrial organization, as well as the high self-employment rate among the working population in the contemporary Japan, the analysis is expected to show an another path of industrialization in East Asia.
杉原香(Kaoru Sugihara)和彭慕兰(Kenneth Pomeranz)提出的东亚“劳动密集型工业化”的论点,似乎是建立在“农民经济”这个概念之上的。事实上,农民家庭的多元就业战略往往被视为“劳动密集型工业化”特征的“勤劳”行为的典型例子。换句话说,该论点强调了东亚“劳动密集型工业化”的农业基础。然而,工业化的概念本质上意味着去农业化的过程。我们如何将最初以农业为基础的“劳动密集型工业化”概念扩展到非农业领域?本文通过分析19、20世纪日本经济基础由农民经济向城市群经济转变过程中小规模产业的形成基础来探讨这一问题。纺织业和以出口为导向的“杂项”行业,特别是玩具业,将是这种论点的例证。除了集中的工厂制度外,以家庭经济为基础的分散生产制度的发展,包括一定程度的技能形成,在工业中发挥了重要作用。该分析重申了中小企业在工业组织中所占比例较高,以及当代日本工作人口中自营职业率较高的事实,预计将显示东亚的另一条工业化道路。
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引用次数: 11
Collaborative R&D in the robot technology in Japan: an inquiry based on patent data analysis (1991-2004) 日本机器人技术的协同研发:基于专利数据分析的探究(1991-2004)
Pub Date : 2006-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3146982
S. Lechevalier, Yukio Ikeda, J. Nishimura
The growing trend of collaborative RD but it has increased between 1991 and 2004, especially in the case of collaboration between firms and universities. Second, RD however, it is not possible to clearly identify if one theoretical hypothesis is better supported by the facts.
在1991 - 2004年间,合作研发呈增长趋势,特别是在企业与大学合作的情况下。第二,RD然而,不可能清楚地确定一个理论假设是否得到事实的更好支持。
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引用次数: 7
Growth Patterns of Two Types of Macro-Models: Limiting Behavior of One-and Two-Parameter Poisson-Dirichlet Models 两类宏观模型的生长模式:单参数和双参数泊松-狄利克雷模型的极限行为
Pub Date : 2006-10-01 DOI: 10.4337/9781848446021.00012
M. Aoki
This paper uses novel growth models composed of clusters of heterogeneous agents,and shows that limiting behavior of one-and two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet models are qualitatively very different. As model sizes grow unboundedly, the coefficients of variations of extensive variables, such as the number of total clusters, and the numbers of clusters of specified sizes all approach zero in the one-parameter models, but not in the two-parameter models. In the calculations of the coefficients of variations Mittag-Le?er distributions arise naturally. We show that the distributions of the numbers of the clusters in the models havepower-lawbehavior.
本文采用由异质agent集群组成的新型增长模型,证明单参数泊松-狄利克雷模型和双参数泊松-狄利克雷模型的极限行为在性质上有很大的不同。当模型大小无界增长时,在单参数模型中,总簇数和指定大小的簇数等广泛变量的变异系数都趋近于零,而在双参数模型中则不趋近于零。在计算变异系数时,Mittag-Le?Er分布是自然产生的。我们证明了模型中集群数量的分布具有幂律行为。
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引用次数: 0
Public Debt and Economic Growth in an Aging Japan 老龄化日本的公共债务和经济增长
Pub Date : 2006-08-01 DOI: 10.1057/9781137001566_3
Toshihiro Ihori, R. Kato, M. Kawade, S. Bessho
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引用次数: 45
The Good Occupation 好职业
Pub Date : 2005-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.729463
Y. Miwa, M. Ramseyer
Many Americans picture the Allied (i.e., U.S.) Occupation of Japan (1945-52) as the quintessentially good occupation: elaborately planned in advance, idealistically administered until derailed by anti-Communist indeologues in its later years, it laid the foundation for Japan's post-War democracy and prosperity. In fact, the Americans -- especially those Americans celebrated as most "idealist" -- did not plan a Japanese recovery, and for the first several years did not work for one. Instead, they mostly just planned retribution: whom to hang, and which firms to shutter. Economic issues they entrusted to Japanese bureaucrats, and those bureaucrats merely manipulated the controls they had used to disastrous effect during the War. Coming from a New Deal background in Washington, the Americans enthusiastically urged them on. Although the Japanese economy did grow, it did not grow because of the Occupation. It grew in spite of it. In early 1949, Japanese voters overwhelmingly rejected the political parties offering economic controls. In their stead, they elected center-right politicians offering a non-interventionist platform. These politicians then dismantled the controls, and (despite strong opposition from New Deal bureaucrats in the Occupation) imposed a largely non-interventionist framework. As a result of that choice -- and not as result of anything the Occupation did -- the Japanese economy grew.
许多美国人想象中的盟军(即美国)对日本的占领(1945年至1952年)是典型的良好占领:事先精心策划,理想主义地管理,直到后期被反共理论家破坏,为日本战后的民主和繁荣奠定了基础。事实上,美国人——尤其是那些被誉为最“理想主义者”的美国人——并没有计划让日本复苏,而且在最初的几年里也没有为日本复苏做出努力。相反,他们大多只是计划报复:绞死谁,关闭哪些公司。他们把经济问题交给了日本官僚,而这些官僚只是操纵了他们在战争期间用来造成灾难性后果的控制措施。由于在华盛顿有过“新政”的背景,美国人热情地敦促他们这样做。虽然日本经济确实增长了,但这并不是由于占领。尽管如此,它还是生长了。1949年初,日本选民以压倒性多数拒绝了提供经济控制的政党。取而代之的是,他们选出了提出不干涉主义纲领的中右翼政客。这些政治家随后解除了管制,并(不顾占领时期的新政官僚的强烈反对)实施了一个基本上不干涉主义的框架。这一选择的结果——而不是占领所做的任何事情——是日本经济增长的结果。
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引用次数: 15
Capital Accumulation and the Local Economy: Brewers and Local Notables 资本积累与地方经济:酿酒商与地方名流
Pub Date : 2004-05-01 DOI: 10.1093/0198292740.003.0012
Masayuki Tanimoto
This essay focuses on the holders of accumulated capital in the brewing industry to examine the characteristics of the capital accumulation process and the connection between accumulated capital and the start of Japan's industrialisation in Meiji period. The characteristic feature of brewing as a so-called "traditional industry" was that individual entrepreneurs accumulated a relatively large amount of capital and labour. The multi-layered structure of the brewing industry, with large-sized brewers selling to urban markets and small and medium-sized producers supplying areas outside the cities, resulted in this feature and formed a necessary condition for the investment activities of brewers. According to the examination of historical materials on particular brewery businesses [the Hamaguchi family and the Sekiguchi family], the brewers dared to invest their capital locally - in areas where they maintained close relationships. Capital accumulation in "traditional" industries was thus linked to the emergence of modern enterprises, and this linkage was supported by a regional community in which "traditional capitalists"' acted as "local notables" as much as entrepreneurs. The investment activities rooted in the regional community were the hidden driving force in initiating Japan's industrial revolution and full-scale industrialisation.
本文以酿酒行业积累资本的持有者为研究对象,考察资本积累过程的特点以及积累资本与日本明治时期工业化开始的关系。酿酒作为一种所谓的“传统产业”,其特点是个体企业家积累了相对大量的资本和劳动力。大型啤酒酿造企业面向城市市场销售,中小型啤酒酿造企业向城市以外地区供应的多层次结构,形成了这一特点,也为啤酒酿造企业的投资活动形成了必要条件。根据对特定酿酒厂(滨口家族和关口家族)的历史资料的研究,酿酒厂敢于在当地投资——在他们保持密切关系的地区投资。因此,“传统”产业的资本积累与现代企业的出现联系在一起,而这种联系得到了一个地区共同体的支持,在这个地区共同体中,“传统资本家”既扮演着企业家的角色,也扮演着“当地名流”的角色。植根于地区共同体的投资活动是日本启动工业革命和全面工业化的隐藏动力。
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引用次数: 5
Deregulation and Market Response in Contemporary Japan : Administrative Guidance, Keiretsu, and Main Banks 当代日本的放松管制与市场反应:行政指导、经连和主要银行
Pub Date : 2004-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.593527
John M. Olin, Y. Miwa, J. Ramseyer, M. Ramseyer
Change is in the air in Japan, claim many observers: the government is radically deregulating crucial sectors of the economy, the large firms are unwinding their keiretsu corporate groups, and firms and banks are dismantling their main bank arrangements. Some observers see all three as exogenous institutional shocks, while others treat the last two as behavioral responses to the first. In fact, although the first phenomenon would constitute an institutional change if it occurred, it has not -- for Japanese bureaucrats had no substantial regulatory power to abandon. Although the last two would constitute market responses if they occurred, they have not either -- for firms and banks maintained no groups or main-bank arrangements to unwind or dismantle.
许多观察家声称,日本正在发生变化:政府正在从根本上放松对经济关键部门的管制,大公司正在解散其经连集团,公司和银行正在解散其主要的银行安排。一些观察人士认为这三种冲击都是外生的制度冲击,而另一些人则认为后两种冲击是对前一种冲击的行为反应。事实上,尽管第一种现象一旦发生,将构成一种制度变革,但它并没有——因为日本官僚没有实质性的监管权力可以放弃。尽管后两种情况如果发生,将构成市场反应,但它们也没有——因为企业和银行没有维持任何集团或主要银行安排来解除或拆除。
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引用次数: 5
Minimaxity in Estimation of Restricted Parameters 受限参数估计中的极小性
Pub Date : 2004-03-01 DOI: 10.14490/jjss.34.229
T. Kubokawa
This paper is concerned with estimation of the restricted parameters in location and/or scale families from a decision-theoretic point of view. A simple method is provided to show the minimaxity of the best equivariant and unrestricted estimators. This is based on a modification of the known method of Girshick and Savage (1951) and can be applied to more complicated cases of restriction in the location-scale family. Classes of minimax estimators are also constructed by using the IERD method of Kubokawa (1994a, b): Especially, the paper succeeds in constructing such a class for estimating a restricted mean in a normal distribution with an unknown variance.
本文从决策理论的角度研究了位置族和/或尺度族中受限参数的估计问题。给出了一种简单的方法来证明最佳等变估计量和无限制估计量的极小性。这是基于对Girshick和Savage(1951)已知方法的修改,可以应用于位置尺度家族中更复杂的限制情况。Kubokawa (1994a, b)的IERD方法也构造了极大极小估计量的类:特别是,本文成功地构造了一个用于估计方差未知的正态分布中的限制均值的类。
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引用次数: 29
期刊
CIRJE F-Series
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