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PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF BILATERAL ECONOMIC COOPERATION BETWEEN TAIWAN AND PARTNER COUNTRIES UNDER NEW SOUTHBOUND POLICY: PAST, PRESENT, AND FUTURE 新南向政策下台湾与伙伴国双边经济合作绩效评价:过去、现在与未来
IF 2.1 Q4 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-10-28 DOI: 10.3846/bmee.2022.17055
Thi-Nham Le
Purpose – in light of the Taiwan New Southbound Policy (NSP), this paper aims to evaluate the performance of bilateral cooperation between Taiwan and its economic partner countries in order to have a better understanding of the coherence of reciprocal relations in the past, present and future.Research methodology – firstly, both individual forecasting models and combining forecasts were employed to predict the future values based on a period of thirty years (1990–2019). Secondly, the paper proposes non-convex DEA to detect non-convex characteristics of datasets where the volume of inputs and outputs were unevenly allocated in past years. Finally, a DEA window was applied to provide efficiency scores for decision-making units (DMUs) across a period of twelve years (2014–2025).Findings – the results found that the efficiency of seven out of eight DMUs will improve in the coming years. With a stable performance in both scale and efficiency, Singapore is Taiwan’s most successful economic partner, followed by Malaysia. The NSP remained as a vital foreign policy in supporting Taiwan’s bilateral trade and outward foreign direct investment (OFDI).Research limitations – more inputs and outputs are required in order to reflect the overall performance of the bilateral cooperation between two economies. Furthermore, more extended models are worth further investigation.Practical implications – the forecasting values of exports and imports can be used in analysing Taiwan economy’s trade deficits. This study provides useful inputs for managers in allocating resources of inbound and outbound values, and reacting rightfully to the uncertain future.Originality/Value – the paper not only contribute much more than previous ones by evaluating into the relationship between size of scale and efficiency of bilateral economies but also provide advices for policymakers in creating mechanisms that can facilitate the NSP’s sustainable development.
目的:在台湾新南向政策的背景下,本文旨在评估台湾与其经济伙伴国家的双边合作表现,以便更好地了解互惠关系在过去、现在和未来的一致性。研究方法:首先,采用个体预测模型和组合预测模型,以三十年为周期(1990-2019)预测未来价值。其次,本文提出了非凸DEA来检测过去年份输入输出量分配不均的数据集的非凸特征。最后,应用DEA窗口为决策单元(dmu)提供了12年(2014-2025)的效率评分。研究结果-研究结果发现,未来几年,8个dmu中有7个的效率将会提高。新加坡在规模和效率上表现稳定,是台湾最成功的经济伙伴,其次是马来西亚。新安全政策仍然是支持台湾双边贸易和对外直接投资(OFDI)的重要外交政策。研究局限——为了反映两个经济体之间双边合作的总体表现,需要更多的投入和产出。此外,还有更多的扩展模型值得进一步研究。实际意义-出口与进口的预测值可用于分析台湾经济的贸易逆差。本研究为管理者如何配置流入和流出价值资源,以及如何正确应对不确定的未来提供了有用的输入。原创性/价值——本文不仅通过评估双边经济规模与效率之间的关系做出了比以往更多的贡献,而且还为政策制定者提供了建立促进NSP可持续发展机制的建议。
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Financial Crises - Challenges and Solutions [Working Title] 金融危机-挑战与解决方案[暂定标题]
IF 2.1 Q4 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.100830
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Decision Science - Recent Advances and Applications [Working Title] 决策科学的最新进展与应用[暂定名]
IF 2.1 Q4 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.100865
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IF 2.1 Q4 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.100829
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IF 2.1 Q4 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.100864
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IF 2.1 Q4 BUSINESS Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.100862
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Business Management and Economics Engineering
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