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Taxation and Market Power in the Legal Marijuana Industry 合法大麻产业的税收和市场力量
Pub Date : 2021-03-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3237729
Brett Hollenbeck, Kosuke Uetake
In 2012 the state of Washington created a legal framework for production and retail sales of marijuana. Nine other U.S. states and Canada have followed. These states hope to generate tax revenue for their state budgets while limiting harms associated with marijuana consumption. We use a unique administrative dataset containing all transactions in the history of the industry in Washington to evaluate the effectiveness of different tax and regulatory policies under consideration by policymakers and study the role of imperfect competition in determining these results. We examine 3 main research questions. First, how effective is Washington’s excise tax at raising revenue? With the nation’s highest tax rate on marijuana, is Washington maximizing revenue or potentially overtaxing, leading to reduced legal sales and lower tax revenue. Second, what is the incidence of taxes in this industry? Finally, most states have restricted entry, resulting in firms with substantial market power. What is the role of imperfect competition in studying these basic questions on tax policy? We combine structural methods and a reduced form sufficient statistic approach to show a number of results. First, Washington’s 37% excise tax is still on the upward sloping portion of the Laffer curve and state revenue could be substantially higher with a higher tax rate. The amount of revenue generated by a tax increase is significantly larger due to retailer market power than it would be under perfect competition. In addition, these taxes are primarily borne by consumers and not by firms, and there is a large social cost associated with each dollar raised.
2012年,华盛顿州制定了大麻生产和零售的法律框架。美国其他9个州和加拿大也纷纷效仿。这些州希望在限制大麻消费危害的同时,为州预算增加税收。我们使用一个独特的管理数据集,其中包含华盛顿行业历史上的所有交易,以评估决策者正在考虑的不同税收和监管政策的有效性,并研究不完全竞争在决定这些结果中的作用。我们研究3个主要的研究问题。首先,华盛顿的消费税在增加财政收入方面效果如何?由于美国对大麻的税率最高,华盛顿是将税收最大化,还是可能会过度征税,导致合法销售减少,税收减少。第二,这个行业的税种是什么?最后,大多数州都限制进入,导致公司拥有巨大的市场力量。不完全竞争在研究这些税收政策基本问题中的作用是什么?我们结合结构方法和简化形式的充分统计方法来显示一些结果。首先,华盛顿州37%的消费税仍处于拉弗曲线的向上倾斜部分,如果税率提高,州收入可能会大幅增加。由于零售商的市场力量,税收增加所产生的收入要比完全竞争下的收入大得多。此外,这些税收主要是由消费者而不是企业承担的,每增加一美元都有很大的社会成本。
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引用次数: 31
How to Use One Instrument to Identify Two Elasticities 如何用一种仪器识别两种弹性
Pub Date : 2017-02-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2933598
E. Gavrilova, F. Zoutman, Arnt O. Hopland
We show that an insight from taxation theory allows identification of both the supply and demand elasticities with only one instrument. Ramsey (1928) and subsequent models of taxation assume that a tax levied on the demand side only affects demand through the price after taxation. Econometrically, we show that this assumption functions as an additional exclusion restriction. Under the Ramsey Exclusion Restriction (RER) a tax reform can serve to simultaneously identify elasticities of supply and demand. We develop a TSLS estimator for both elasticities, a test to assess instrument strength and a test for the RER. Our result extends to a supply-demand system with J goods, and a setting with supply-side or non-linear taxes. Further, we show that key results in the sufficient statistics literature rely on the RER. One example is Harberger’s formula for the excess burden of a tax. We apply our method to the Norwegian labor market.
我们表明,税收理论的洞察力允许只用一种工具识别供给和需求弹性。拉姆齐(1928)及其后续的税收模型假设,对需求方征收的税收只会通过征税后的价格影响需求。在计量经济学上,我们表明这一假设作为一个额外的排除限制。在拉姆齐排斥限制(RER)下,税收改革可以同时用于确定供给和需求的弹性。我们开发了弹性的TSLS估计器,评估仪器强度的测试和RER的测试。我们的结果扩展到一个有J种商品的供需系统,以及一个有供给侧或非线性税收的设置。此外,我们表明充分统计文献中的关键结果依赖于RER。一个例子是哈伯格关于税收超额负担的公式。我们将我们的方法应用于挪威劳动力市场。
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引用次数: 1
Incidence and Distributional Effects of Value Added Taxes 增值税的发生与分配效应
Pub Date : 2016-02-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2784559
Ingvil Gaarder
Much of the controversy surrounding recent policy proposals to broaden the base for value added taxes (VAT) revolves around who ultimately bears the burden of these taxes. The typical assumption is that consumer prices fully reflect taxes, so that the main empirical question is how the tax induced price changes affect members of different income groups. However, the evidence base is scarce and market imperfections could generate both over and under-shifting of VAT to consumer prices. In this paper, we examine the incidence and distributional effects of VAT in a setting with plausibly exogenous variation in tax rates. The context of our study is a sharp change in the VAT policy on food items in Norway. Using a regression discontinuity design, we examine the direct impact of the policy change on the consumer prices of food items as well as any cross-price effects on other goods. Our estimates suggest that taxes levied on food items are completely shifted to consumer prices, whereas the pricing of other goods is not materially affected. To understand the distributional effects of the VAT reform, we use expenditure data and estimate the compensating variation of the tax induced price changes. We find that lowering the VAT on food attenuates inequality in consumer welfare, in part because households adjust their spending patterns in response to the price changes. By comparison, the usual first order approximation of the distributional effects, which ignores behavioral responses, seriously understates the redistributive nature of the VAT reform.
围绕最近扩大增值税税基的政策建议,很多争议都围绕着谁将最终承担这些税的负担。典型的假设是消费者价格完全反映税收,因此主要的实证问题是税收引起的价格变化如何影响不同收入群体的成员。然而,证据基础缺乏,市场不完善可能导致增值税向消费者价格过度转移或转移不足。在本文中,我们研究了在税率似是而非的外生变化的情况下增值税的发生率和分配效应。我们研究的背景是挪威食品增值税政策的急剧变化。使用回归不连续设计,我们检验了政策变化对食品消费价格的直接影响,以及对其他商品的任何交叉价格影响。我们的估计表明,对食品征收的税收完全转移到消费者价格上,而其他商品的定价则没有受到实质性影响。为了理解增值税改革的分配效应,我们使用支出数据并估计税收引起的价格变化的补偿变化。我们发现,降低食品增值税会减弱消费者福利的不平等,部分原因是家庭会根据价格变化调整他们的支出模式。相比之下,通常对分配效应的一阶近似忽略了行为反应,严重低估了增值税改革的再分配性质。
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引用次数: 34
Household Heterogeneity, Aggregation, and the Distributional Impacts of Environmental Taxes 家庭异质性、聚集性和环境税的分配影响
Pub Date : 2016-01-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2714879
S. Rausch, S. Giacomo
This paper examines how the general equilibrium incidence of an environmental tax depends on the effect of different incomes and preferences of heterogeneous households on aggregate outcomes. We develop a Harberger-type model with general forms of preferences and substitution between capital, labor, and pollution in production that captures the impact of household heterogeneity and interactions with production characteristics on the general equilibrium. We theoretically show that failing to incorporate household heterogeneity can qualitatively affect incidence. We quantitatively illustrate that this aggregation bias can be important for assessing the incidence of a carbon tax, mainly by affecting the returns to factors of production. Our findings are robust to a number of extensions including alternative revenue recycling schemes, pre-existing taxes, non-separable utility in pollution, labor–leisure choice, and multiple commodities.
本文考察了环境税的一般均衡发生率如何取决于异质性家庭的不同收入和偏好对总结果的影响。我们建立了一个包含生产中资本、劳动力和污染之间一般形式的偏好和替代的哈伯格模型,该模型捕捉了家庭异质性以及与生产特征的相互作用对一般均衡的影响。我们从理论上表明,不考虑家庭异质性可以从质量上影响发病率。我们定量地说明,这种聚集偏差对于评估碳税的发生率是重要的,主要是通过影响生产要素的回报。我们的研究结果适用于许多扩展,包括替代性收入回收方案、预先存在的税收、污染中的不可分离效用、劳动休闲选择和多种商品。
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引用次数: 83
Taxation, Redistribution and the Social Contract in Brazil 巴西的税收、再分配和社会契约
Pub Date : 2014-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2501433
M. Melo, A. Barrientos, A. Coelho
The paper explores theoretically and empirically Brazil’s tax revenue from a political and political economy perspective. The absence of ‘big bang’ reforms to the tax code and tax administration suggests that policy models are less directly relevant to explaining the rise in the tax/GDP ratio. The paper makes the argument that public consent to the hike in taxes is explained by a combination of democratisation, strong preferences for redistribution, fiscally responsible centre-left coalitions, and bureaucratic capacity. New political incentives under democracy combined with high state capacity and a powerful presidency with the political resource necessary to pass an agenda of social reforms to sustain this new equilibrium of high taxation and high redistribution. The current level of taxation and spending in the country in a context in which poverty and inequality is high (although declining rapidly) has prompted concerns about the fiscal sustainability of this equilibrium. The paper argues against pessimistic accounts of this dilemma - such as the arguments based on the concepts of fiscal illusion and inequality traps - and advances an optimistic perspective based on the notion that a new fiscal contract seems to be emerging.
本文从政治和政治经济学的角度对巴西的税收进行了理论和实证研究。缺乏对税法和税收管理的“大爆炸”改革表明,政策模型与解释税收/GDP比率上升的直接关系不大。这篇论文认为,公众对增税的同意是由民主化、对再分配的强烈偏好、在财政上负责任的中左翼联盟和官僚能力的结合所解释的。民主制度下的新政治激励,加上高国家能力和强大的总统,以及通过社会改革议程以维持高税收和高再分配的新平衡所必需的政治资源。该国目前的税收和支出水平是在贫困和不平等程度很高(尽管正在迅速下降)的背景下进行的,这引起了人们对这种平衡的财政可持续性的关注。本文反对对这一困境的悲观描述——例如基于财政幻觉和不平等陷阱概念的论点——并基于一种新的财政契约似乎正在出现的概念,提出了一种乐观的观点。
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引用次数: 8
Propagation and Smoothing of Shocks in Alternative Social Security Systems 另类社会保障制度中冲击的传播与平滑
Pub Date : 2013-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/J.JPUBECO.2018.05.012
A. Auerbach, Lorenz Kueng, Ronald D. Lee
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引用次数: 5
Inclusive Growth and the Incidence of Fiscal Policy in Mauritius — Much Progress, But More Could Be Done 毛里求斯的包容性增长和财政政策的变化——取得了很大进展,但还有更多工作要做
Pub Date : 2013-05-01 DOI: 10.5089/9781484323335.001.A001
Antonio C. David, Martin Petri
Using data from three household surveys, we review whether growth in Mauritius was inclusive and discuss the incidence of public expenditures and taxes. Generally, Mauritius enjoys an even income distribution and low rates of poverty. Nevertheless, over the 2000s, despite overall progress, the benefits of growth appear to have become more skewed. Employment income is the main contributor to inequality in Mauritius. Social protection expenditures reduce poverty and inequality, but could be better targeted, particularly for pensions. Income taxes are progressive, though given their small relative weight they have a negligible impact on income distribution. The VAT appears relatively progressive compared to other developing countries, although its impact on the overall distribution is also small. With better targeting of the sizable social spending, significant further progress in poverty alleviation could be achieved.
利用三次家庭调查的数据,我们回顾了毛里求斯的增长是否具有包容性,并讨论了公共支出和税收的发生率。总体而言,毛里求斯的收入分配均衡,贫困率低。然而,在本世纪头十年,尽管总体上取得了进展,但增长的好处似乎变得更加倾斜。就业收入是毛里求斯不平等的主要原因。社会保护支出可以减少贫困和不平等,但可以更有针对性,特别是养老金。所得税是累进的,但由于其相对权重较小,对收入分配的影响可以忽略不计。与其他发展中国家相比,增值税似乎是相对累进的,尽管它对总体分配的影响也很小。如果能更好地确定大量社会开支的目标,就可以在减轻贫穷方面取得进一步的重大进展。
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引用次数: 20
Business Taxation and Wages: Evidence from Individual Panel Data 企业税收和工资:来自个人面板数据的证据
Pub Date : 2012-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2122520
T. Bauer, Tanja Kasten, Lars H.R. Siemers
Empirical evidence on the degree of business-tax shifting to employees via the wage level is highly controversial and rare. It remains open to which extent the tax burden is shifted, whether there are differences for tax increases and decreases, or whether there exists some treatment heterogeneity, that drive the respective results. Using a large administrative panel data set, we exploit the regional variation of the German business income taxation to address these issues. Our results suggest an elasticity of wages with respect to business taxes that ranges between -0.28 to -0.46, once we control for invariant unobserved regional and individual characteristics. Workers with low bargaining power, e.g., low-skilled, are affected most from business tax shifting, indicating that business-tax incidence involves distributional effects. Finally, we find evidence for an asymmetric tax incidence.
关于营业税通过工资水平向雇员转移的程度的经验证据非常有争议,而且很少。税收负担转移到何种程度,税收增加和减少是否存在差异,或者是否存在一些待遇异质性,这些都是推动各自结果的因素。使用大型管理面板数据集,我们利用德国企业所得税的地区差异来解决这些问题。我们的结果表明,一旦我们控制了不变的未观察到的区域和个人特征,工资相对于营业税的弹性范围在-0.28到-0.46之间。议价能力较低的工人,如低技能工人,受营业税转移的影响最大,这表明营业税的征收涉及分配效应。最后,我们找到了不对称税收发生率的证据。
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引用次数: 20
The Finnish Payroll Tax Cut Experiment Revisited 芬兰削减工资税的实验重新审视
Pub Date : 2011-04-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1926644
Ossi Korkeamäki
In this paper I evaluate the effects of a regional experiment that reduced payroll taxes by 3–6 percentage points of the firms’ wage sum in northern and eastern Finland. I estimate the effect of the payroll tax reduction on firms’ employment levels, wage sum and profits, and on workers’ hourly pay and monthly hours worked, by comparing the changes in employment and wages before and after the start of the experiment to a control region. My results indicate that the reduction in payroll taxes did not lead to any unequivocal aggregate effects in the target region.
在这篇论文中,我评估了芬兰北部和东部一项地区实验的效果,该实验将工资税降低了公司工资总额的3-6个百分点。通过比较实验开始前后与控制区就业和工资的变化,我估计了工资税减免对企业就业水平、工资总额和利润的影响,以及对工人小时工资和月工作时间的影响。我的研究结果表明,工资税的减少并没有在目标地区产生任何明确的总体效应。
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引用次数: 18
The Effects of a Bonus Tax on Manager Compensation and Welfare 奖金税对经理人薪酬和福利的影响
Pub Date : 2010-04-01 DOI: 10.1628/001522112X631998
Doina Radulescu
This paper analyses the implications of a currently publicly debated issue, namely the introduction of a bonus tax. We shed light on the effects of the bonus tax on compensation components and study its incidence. We use the Principal Agent model within a two-country framework and consider two main scenarios. In the first scenario the firm cannot relocate managers between countries whereas in the second scenario relocation possibilities exist. Our findings show that the effort based compensation component always rises in the country introducing the tax such that the optimal contracts are tilted towards more effort based pay. Moreover, the bonus tax negatively affects profits and dividends and thus the incidence falls on the firm’s shareholders. With no relocation possibilities, the country that does not introduce such a tax will be worse off in terms of welfare, as the dividend income accruing to its residents declines. Accordingly, the bonus tax can be interpreted as a transfer from the worldwide shareholders to the government levying the tax. However, the welfare results may be reversed when manager relocation is an alternative. In this case, welfare in the country introducing the tax is lower than in the no relocation scenario, while the country that does not levy a bonus tax might even gain in welfare terms.
本文分析了目前公开讨论的一个问题的影响,即引入奖金税。我们揭示了奖金税对薪酬部分的影响,并研究了其发生率。我们在两国框架中使用委托代理模型,并考虑两个主要场景。在第一种情况下,公司不能在国家之间调动管理人员,而在第二种情况下,调动的可能性是存在的。我们的研究结果表明,在引入税收的国家,基于努力的薪酬成分总是上升的,从而使最优合同更倾向于基于努力的薪酬。此外,奖金税对利润和股息产生负向影响,因此其影响落在公司股东身上。如果没有迁移可能性,不征收迁移税的国家,国民的红利收入将减少,福利状况也会恶化。因此,可以将奖金税解释为从全球股东向征税政府的转移。然而,当管理者搬迁是另一种选择时,福利结果可能会逆转。在这种情况下,征收奖金税的国家的福利低于不征收奖金税的国家,而不征收奖金税的国家甚至可能获得福利。
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引用次数: 88
期刊
ERN: Incidence (Topic)
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