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Does Time-Space Compression Affect Analysts’ Forecast Performance? 时空压缩会影响分析师的预测业绩吗?
Pub Date : 2020-03-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3839578
Kejing Chen, Wenqi Guo, Xiong Xiong
Through the difference-in-differences (DID) methodology, we find that the connection of China’s high-speed railway (HSR) as an exogenous shock could improve analysts’ forecast performance, leading to more accurate forecasts, decrease the dispersion between analysts, stimulate more forecast revisions with less revision volatility, evidenced by analyst site visits to firms. The results are robust with a battery of robustness checks such as 2SLS regression and so on. And the counterfactual relations caused by the lightning accident in 2011 also confirm our previous assumption. Furthermore, when the local economic development is weak, the trips by HSR is more convenient, or the information environment of firms are weak, the correlations will be stronger. Moreover, the connection of HSR also improves the information availability of stock recommendations issued by analysts. Overall, our study contributes to the relevant study of sell-side analysts’ performance and has an important impact on studying the role of geographic proximity on information efficiency.
通过差异中的差异(DID)方法,我们发现,作为外生冲击的中国高铁(HSR)连接可以提高分析师的预测绩效,从而导致更准确的预测,减少分析师之间的分散,刺激更多的预测修正,修正波动性更小,分析师对公司的实地访问证明了这一点。通过一系列鲁棒性检查(如2SLS回归等),结果是鲁棒的。而2011年雷电事故引发的反事实关系也证实了我们之前的假设。此外,当当地经济发展较弱、高铁出行较便利或企业信息环境较弱时,其相关性会更强。此外,高铁的连接也提高了分析师发布股票推荐的信息可用性。总体而言,我们的研究有助于卖方分析师绩效的相关研究,并对研究地理邻近对信息效率的作用具有重要影响。
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引用次数: 5
Comparison of Two Polynomial Geoid Models of GNSS/Leveling Geoid Development for Orthometric Heights in FCT, Abuja GNSS/水准大地水准面开发的两种多项式大地水准面模型比较
Pub Date : 2018-10-05 DOI: 10.31695/IJERAT.2018.3330
P. D. Oluyori, M. Ono, Eteje S. O.
Ellipsoidal heights from GNSS require geoid model for conversion to orthometric height. The geoid model could be global, regional or local. The lack of national geoid model in Nigeria makes the development of local geoid very critical to local applications in place of integrated global geoid models. This study compares two polynomial geoid models for terrain representation in the FCT, Abuja. Nine coefficients were used to model the FCT surface for geoid interpolation and orthometric height modeling. Model A involved the use of the 2-D (x, y) positions while model B used 3-D (x, y, ∆h) where ∆h= (h ave – hi) the difference in average ellipsoidal height (h ave ) and each point’s ellipsoidal height (hi). The ∆h term is based on the assumption that the geoid varies with topography and may hence possibly lead to some improvements in the accuracy of orthometric height determination. DGPS observations were carried out to determine ellipsoid heights. Least squares adjustment was performed to compute the coefficients of the models. Model A achieved standard deviation of σ = 11 cm while Model B achieved σ = 13cm. Though Model B has a term that included highly accurate ellipsoidal height differences (∆h), it has not resulted into any accuracy improvement over the model A. Model A based on 2-D positions is hence the better of the two models. The t-test and hypothesis test at 95% confidence limit, however, showed that the two models did not differ significantly. Model A having lower standard deviation is recommended with GNSS determined ellipsoidal heights to determine orthometric heights within the FCT. This becomes an easy alternative to conventional spirit leveling technique for production of topographical maps, cadastral surveys, and engineering/environmental applications.
来自GNSS的椭球高度需要大地水准面模型转换为正等高。大地水准面模型可以是全球的、区域的或局部的。由于尼日利亚缺乏国家大地水准面模型,因此开发当地大地水准面对于替代综合全球大地水准面模型在当地的应用至关重要。本研究比较了两种多项式大地水准面模型的地形表示在FCT,阿布贾。采用9个系数对FCT曲面进行大地水准面插值和正交高度建模。模型A使用二维(x, y)位置,模型B使用三维(x, y,∆h),其中∆h= (h ave - hi)平均椭球高度(h ave)与各点椭球高度(hi)之差。∆h项是基于大地水准面随地形变化的假设,因此可能会在一定程度上提高正测高度测定的精度。利用DGPS观测确定椭球体高度。采用最小二乘平差计算模型系数。模型A的标准差为σ = 11 cm,模型B的标准差为σ = 13cm。虽然模型B有一个包含高精度椭球高度差(∆h)的项,但与模型a相比,它并没有导致任何精度的提高。因此,基于二维位置的模型a是两种模型中更好的。然而,95%置信限下的t检验和假设检验表明,两个模型没有显著差异。建议采用具有较低标准差的模型A,并结合GNSS确定的椭球体高度来确定FCT内的正交高度。在地形图制作、地籍测量和工程/环境应用中,这成为传统精神水准测量技术的简单替代方案。
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引用次数: 13
Socio-Economic Rights and Expanding Access to Justice in South Africa: What Can Be Done? 南非的社会经济权利和扩大司法救助:可以做些什么?
Pub Date : 2017-07-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3759963
David Bilchitz
This chapter seeks to address the pressing question of how to improve access to justice in South Africa with a focus on socio-economic rights. It seeks to accomplish this through, firstly, conceiving of access to justice as a capability and exploring its importance. That, in turn requires attending to two central aspects: the internal dimension – empowering individuals to make claims – and the external dimension – relating to the design and availability of adequate institutional mechanisms to hear claims and adjudicate upon them. The chapter then considers practically the shortcomings in relation to access to justice in South Africa on both dimensions, internal – such as a lack of education – and external – such as the inadequate funding of chapter 9 institutions and the inability of Magistrate’s Courts to hear fundamental rights matters. Importantly, the institutions dealing with access to justice are conceived of holistically and include not only the courts but also the Public Protector and South African Human Rights Commission. Having analyzed the obstacles, the chapter seeks to consider solutions to these problems and makes concrete policy recommendations to enhance access to justice in the country. It draws on a comparative dimension from best practices in India and Colombia in making these recommendations. The recommendations include enhancing education and simplified procedures (such as the tutela in Colombia) on the internal dimension. On the external dimension, I consider expanding the capacities of chapter 9 institutions, creating specialist courts, expanding the jurisdiction of lower courts and distinguishing structural and individual cases.
本章力求解决如何改善南非诉诸司法的机会这一紧迫问题,重点是社会经济权利。它力求通过以下方式实现这一目标:首先,将诉诸司法视为一种能力并探讨其重要性。这反过来又需要注意两个中心方面:内部方面- -赋予个人提出要求的权力- -和外部方面- -涉及设计和提供适当的体制机制来听取要求和作出裁决。然后,本章实际审议了南非在诉诸司法方面的两个方面的缺点,即内部- -例如缺乏教育- -和外部- -例如第9章机构的资金不足和地方法院无法审理基本权利问题。重要的是,处理诉诸司法的机构是整体考虑的,不仅包括法院,而且包括公共保护者和南非人权委员会。在分析了障碍之后,本章力求考虑解决这些问题的办法,并提出具体的政策建议,以增加该国诉诸司法的机会。在提出这些建议时,它借鉴了印度和哥伦比亚最佳做法的比较方面。建议包括在内部层面加强教育和简化程序(如哥伦比亚的监护)。在外部方面,我考虑扩大第9章机构的能力,设立专门法庭,扩大下级法院的管辖权,并区分结构性和个别案件。
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引用次数: 0
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