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[Effects of Different Types of Biochar Application on Physical and Chemical Properties of Saline-alkali Soil in Wuliangsuhai Lake Basin]. [不同类型生物炭施用对五粮素海流域盐碱土理化性质的影响]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202412145
Di Lu, Liang-Yi Rao

To understand the effects of different types of biochar application on the physical and chemical properties of saline-alkali soil and the growth of plants in the Wuliangsuhai Lake Basin, corn stalk biochar (A), corn cob biochar (B), and rice straw biochar (C) were used as experimental materials, and the saline-alkali soil in the Wuliangsuhai Lake Basin was used as the experimental soil. A pot experiment using Helianthus tuberosus was conducted with a blank control (CK) and three biochar application ratios. The results showed that: ① The application of biochar could significantly increase the plant height and ground diameter of H. tuberosus, with the increased range being 106.8%-151.7% and 104.1%-153.0%, respectively, compared with those in the control group, and there was a negative correlation with the application rate of biochar. ② The application of biochar could improve soil salinity and alkalinity. The application rate of 1% of corn stalk biochar could significantly reduce soil pH, with the reduction range being 0.08-0.28 compared with that of the control group, while the application rate of 5% of corn stalk biochar could significantly reduce soil electrical conductivity, with the reduction range of 32.9%-47.9% compared with that of the control group. ③ Applying biochar could significantly reduce soil bulk density and increase soil moisture content. The improvement effect was most obvious in the 5% application rate of corn stalk biochar, and the improvement effect was positively correlated with the biochar application rate. The reduction range of bulk density was 22.5%-28.9%, and the increase range of moisture content was 19.6%-38.4%. ④ The application of biochar could increase the nutrient content of saline-alkali soil. Among them, the 5% application rate of corn stalk biochar had the most obvious effect on increasing soil organic matter content, with the increased range being 170.0%-308.4% compared with that of the control group. The 5% application rate of corn cob biochar had an excellent effect on increasing soil ammonia nitrogen content, with the increased range of 34.9%-227.3%. The 3% corn cob biochar application ratio had a significant effect on increasing soil available phosphorus content, with an increase range of 13.6% to 40.1% compared to that in the CK group. In addition, the 5% application rate of rice straw biochar had a more obvious effect on increasing soil available potassium content, with the increased range of 80.4%-189.1%. In conclusion, the application of biochar can promote the growth of H. tuberosus to a certain extent and improve the physical and chemical properties of saline-alkali soil, which can provide a theoretical basis for the management of saline-alkali land in the Wuliangsuhai Lake Basin.

为了解不同类型生物炭施用对五粮素海盆地盐碱地土壤理化性质及植物生长的影响,以玉米秸秆生物炭(A)、玉米芯生物炭(B)和水稻秸秆生物炭(C)为试验材料,以五粮素海盆地盐碱地土壤为试验土壤。采用空白对照(CK)和3种生物炭施用量,对秋芋进行盆栽试验。结果表明:①与对照组相比,施用生物炭可显著提高火芋株高和地径,增幅分别为106.8% ~ 151.7%和104.1% ~ 153.0%,且与生物炭施用量呈负相关;②施用生物炭可改善土壤盐分和碱度。施1%玉米秸秆生物炭能显著降低土壤pH值,与对照组相比降低幅度为0.08 ~ 0.28;施5%玉米秸秆生物炭能显著降低土壤电导率,与对照组相比降低幅度为32.9% ~ 47.9%。③施用生物炭可显著降低土壤容重,提高土壤含水量。玉米秸秆生物炭用量为5%时,改良效果最为明显,且改良效果与生物炭用量呈正相关。容重降低幅度为22.5% ~ 28.9%,含水率增加幅度为19.6% ~ 38.4%。④施用生物炭可提高盐碱地的养分含量。其中,施用5%玉米秸秆生物炭对土壤有机质含量的提高效果最为明显,与对照组相比,提高幅度为170.0% ~ 308.4%。施用5%玉米芯生物炭对提高土壤氨氮含量有极好的效果,增加幅度为34.9% ~ 227.3%。3%玉米芯生物炭施用量对土壤速效磷含量的提高效果显著,较CK组提高了13.6% ~ 40.1%。此外,施用5%秸秆生物炭对提高土壤速效钾含量的作用更为明显,增加幅度为80.4% ~ 189.1%。综上所述,生物炭的施用能在一定程度上促进结核杆菌的生长,改善盐碱地的理化性质,可为五良素海流域盐碱地的治理提供理论依据。
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引用次数: 0
[Energy Transition Pathway Toward Carbon Peak and Carbon Neutrality: Taking Zhejiang Province of China as an Example]. [走向碳峰值与碳中和的能源转型路径:以中国浙江省为例]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202411255
Yi-Zhe Mao, Xing-Ping Zhang, Hao-Nan Zhang

The realization of the "dual carbon" goals in Zhejiang Province, as the first demonstration region of common prosperity in China, is of great significance to the construction of China's ecological civilization. Based on the economic development and energy supply and demand of Zhejiang Province, a LEAP model was constructed to explore the energy transition pathway of Zhejiang Province. The results showed that in the low-carbon transition scenario, Zhejiang Province will have an obvious transition effect, but it will fail to achieve the "dual carbon" goals as scheduled. Through strengthening low-carbon measures, Zhejiang Province will reach a carbon peak of 592 million tons in 2030, and the carbon emission will drop to 510 million tons in 2060, so as to achieve the "dual carbon" goal as scheduled. The electricity substitution on the demand side and the clean substitution on the supply side will constitute the key pathway of energy transition. In the short term, the effect of clean power production is the most significant. Through the orderly decommissioning of coal power; the blending of biomass or green ammonia; and the deployment of carbon capture, utilization, and storage technology and other low-carbon reconstruction, the cumulative emission reduction will reach 828 million tons. In the long run, the upgrade of the manufacturing industry is the most significant, with a cumulative emission reduction of 763 million tons. Accelerating the electrification of transportation will effectively reduce emissions in both the short and long term, and the cumulative emission reduction will reach 648 million tons. The research results can provide useful reference for the energy transition of Zhejiang Province.

浙江省作为全国首个共同富裕示范区,实现“双碳”目标,对中国生态文明建设具有重要意义。基于浙江省经济发展和能源供需情况,构建了LEAP模型,探索浙江省能源转型路径。结果表明,在低碳转型情景下,浙江省将有明显的转型效应,但无法如期实现“双碳”目标。通过加强低碳措施,浙江省将在2030年达到5.92亿吨的碳峰值,到2060年碳排放量将降至5.1亿吨,从而如期实现“双碳”目标。需求侧的电力替代和供给侧的清洁替代将构成能源转型的关键路径。短期来看,清洁发电的效果最为显著。通过煤电有序退役、生物质或绿氨混合、碳捕集利用与封存技术部署等低碳改造,累计减排8.28亿吨。从长期来看,制造业的升级最为显著,累计减排7.63亿吨。加快推进交通运输电气化,短期和长期都能有效减排,累计减排6.48亿吨。研究结果可为浙江省能源转型提供有益参考。
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引用次数: 0
[Multi-scale Evolutionary Patterns and Mechanisms of Ecosystem Service Values in Highly Urbanized Areas: A Case Study of Suzhou City]. 高度城市化地区生态系统服务价值的多尺度演化模式与机制——以苏州市为例[j]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202411318
Sui-Xin Chen, Dian-Ming Wu, Da-Wei Shao

Exploring the multi-scale evolution characteristics of ecosystem service value (ESV) and its intrinsic mechanism is the basis for the construction of cross-scale ecological security pattern. Based on multi-source data such as NDVI and POPD, combined with spatio-temporal geographically weighted regression and other methods, a multi-scale research framework was constructed to systematically reveal the spatial and temporal evolution of ESV and its influence mechanisms from 2000 to 2020 in Suzhou City. The results showed that: ① ESV showed "W-shaped" fluctuating changes, a small overall decline, a more prominent spatial aggregation at each grid scale, and a weakening trend in the increase at the grid scale. ② The natural and social factors tended to be stronger over time, and the role of landscape pattern factors fluctuating changed, of which the natural factor NPP force in each scale was always dominant. ③ The spatial distribution of the influence of factors showed an increase in scale from polarization to equilibrium, and the magnitude of change was weakening. The force of natural and social factors tended to be stronger with time, and the role of landscape pattern factors fluctuated, of which the force of natural factors NPP always dominated at all scales. The correlation law can deepen the theory of ESV multiscale impact mechanism, which can provide scientific basis for optimizing the structure of multilevel regional ecosystems and formulating multiscale ecosystem management decisions.

探索生态系统服务价值的多尺度演化特征及其内在机制,是构建跨尺度生态安全格局的基础。基于NDVI和POPD等多源数据,结合时空地理加权回归等方法,构建了一个多尺度研究框架,系统揭示了2000 - 2020年苏州市ESV的时空演变及其影响机制。结果表明:①ESV呈“w”型波动变化,总体下降幅度较小,各网格尺度上空间聚集性更为突出,网格尺度上上升趋势减弱;②随着时间的推移,自然因子和社会因子的作用逐渐增强,景观格局因子的作用发生了波动变化,其中自然因子NPP力在各尺度上均占主导地位。③影响因子的空间分布呈现从极化到平衡的尺度增加,变化幅度逐渐减弱的趋势。随着时间的推移,自然因子和社会因子的作用都有增强的趋势,景观格局因子的作用也有波动,其中自然因子NPP的作用在各个尺度上都占主导地位。相关规律可以深化ESV多尺度影响机制理论,为优化多层次区域生态系统结构和制定多尺度生态系统管理决策提供科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
[Identification and Strategy of Key Areas of Land and Space Ecological Restoration Based on the Ecological Safety Pattern: Taking Henan Province as an Example]. 基于生态安全格局的国土空间生态修复重点区域识别与对策——以河南省为例
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202412076
He Wu, Lin Yu, Hao Liu, Si-Yuan Liu, Wei-Rong Di

Building an ecological safety pattern is conducive to coordinating the contradictions between the two types of ecological processes of protection and development and promoting the ecological protection and restoration of land and space. Taking Henan Province as the research area, based on the results of morphological spatial pattern analysis (MSPA), the landscape connectivity of the core area plaque was evaluated to extract the ecological source, construct the ecological resistance surface through the comprehensive index method, and modify it with the help of night light data. Circuit theory was used to extract Henan's ecological corridors, ecological pinch sites, and ecological obstacle sites; identify the key restoration areas in Henan Province; and formulate corresponding restoration strategies. The results showed that: ① There were a total of 64 important ecological sources in Henan Province, with a total of 22 615.77 km2, mainly distributed in the western region and the northern and southern provincial boundaries. ② There were a total of 120 major ecological corridors in Henan Province, with an average length of 13.29 km. The ecological obstacle areas in Henan Province were mainly distributed in Zhengzhou City, Pingdingshan City, and Nanyang City. ③ The ecological safety pattern of "three areas in one belt-four corridors-two groups-multi sites" has been established, and optimization suggestions have been put forward for different regions, which can provide references for the policy formulation of relevant government departments and promote sustainable development in the region.

构建生态安全格局有利于协调保护与发展两类生态过程之间的矛盾,促进土地和空间的生态保护与修复。以河南省为研究区,在形态空间格局分析(MSPA)结果的基础上,对核心区斑块景观连通性进行评价,提取生态源,通过综合指数法构建生态阻力面,并借助夜间灯光数据对其进行修正。利用循环理论提取河南省生态廊道、生态掐点和生态障碍点,确定河南省重点恢复区域,并制定相应的恢复策略。结果表明:①河南省共有重要生态资源64个,总面积22 615.77 km2,主要分布在西部和南北省界;②河南省共有主要生态廊道120条,平均长度为13.29 km。河南省生态障碍区主要分布在郑州市、平顶山市和南阳市。③构建了“一带四廊三区-两群-多址”的生态安全格局,并针对不同区域提出了优化建议,可为相关政府部门制定政策提供参考,促进区域可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
[Multi-scenario Prediction and Ecological Security Pattern Construction Based on InVEST-PLUS Model: A Case Study of Liaoning Province]. [基于InVEST-PLUS模型的多情景预测与生态安全格局构建:以辽宁省为例]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202412160
Pu-Dong Liu, Li Huang, Fei Meng, Hui-Hui Zhao, Jian-Tao Liu

Taking policy factors into account in constructing an ecological security pattern is of great significance in helping to realize the ecological civilization strategy. Taking Liaoning Province as an example, the study adopts a research framework of "core-regional-strip-multi-point" based on five land use data sets from 2000 to 2020 and couples the InVEST-PLUS model to predict the land use and carbon storage in the SN, SW, CLD, and SE scenarios for the year 2030. The study then combines the MSPA and MCR models to construct an ecological security pattern and proposes new ideas for ecological construction. The results showed that: ① The land use prediction results indicated that land use was mainly composed of farmland and forests. The farmland area decreased slowly, and the forest area increased continuously from 2000 to 2030. ② The spatial distribution of carbon storage was mainly in the east, and the eastern region was a key protected forest area. The trend of carbon storage in the eastern region was relatively stable, while the carbon storage in the western region continued to increase. ③ The ecological security network structure in the SE scenario was complex and highly connected, identifying 30 ecological source areas, 97 discontinuities, 56 ecological corridors with a total length of 211 km, and a northeastern-southeastern strip-shaped extension pattern with dense networks in the middle and western regions and sparse networks in the eastern coastal areas. ④ Comparing the structure and connectivity of the ecological security network in different scenarios, the study selected the SE scenario and proposed the "one core, three regions, three belts, and multiple points" ecological security pattern construction strategy. It also proposed ecological management policy recommendations to promote sustainable development in Liaoning Province.

在构建生态安全格局中考虑政策因素,对实现生态文明战略具有重要意义。以辽宁省为例,基于2000 - 2020年5个土地利用数据集,采用“核心-区域-带状-多点”的研究框架,结合InVEST-PLUS模型,对2030年东北、西南、东北、东北4个情景下的土地利用和碳储量进行了预测。结合MSPA和MCR模型构建生态安全格局,为生态建设提出新的思路。结果表明:①土地利用预测结果表明,土地利用以农田和森林为主。2000 - 2030年农田面积减少缓慢,森林面积持续增加。②碳储量空间分布以东部为主,东部地区是重点保护林区域;东部地区碳储量变化趋势相对稳定,西部地区碳储量持续增加。③东南情景的生态安全网络结构复杂且高度连通,共确定了30个生态源区、97个不连续面、56个生态廊道,总长度为211 km,呈现出中西部网络密集、东部沿海网络稀疏的东北-东南带状扩展格局。④比较不同情景下生态安全网络的结构和连通性,选择SE情景,提出“一核、三区、三带、多点”生态安全格局构建策略。提出了促进辽宁省可持续发展的生态管理政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
[Construction of Ecological Security Pattern in Hangzhou Based on MSPA and InVEST Model]. [基于MSPA和InVEST模型的杭州生态安全格局构建]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202411235
Quan Zhang, Zhou Zhang, Jing-Jing Liu, Run-Ze Song, Zhao-Hui Yang

With rapid economic development and urbanization, regional ecological security faces significant challenges. Focusing on Hangzhou as the study area, this research calculates the importance of ecosystem services and overlays the core areas analyzed by the minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model to identify potential ecological sources. The habitat quality results of the InVEST model are then introduced to filter the final ecological sources. Six resistance factors are weighted differently to construct a composite resistance surface, and the linkage mapper (LM) tool is employed to extract ecological corridors, establishing the ecological security pattern for Hangzhou. The findings revealed that: ① The final ecological source area in Hangzhou covered 3 008.64 km2, accounting for 22% of the city's total area. The distribution of these sources was reasonable, especially with strong connectivity in the southwest, facilitating species migration. ② Fifteen ecological corridors, totaling 333.4 km in length, were extracted using the LM tool. These corridors connected different ecological sources, with a set width of 50 meters to ensure the highest forestland proportion, fostering migration and effective ecological functioning. ③ Twenty-four critical areas needing restoration were identified, including eleven core protection zones, three diagnostic enhancement zones, eight key restoration zones, and two source connection areas. This study provides key area identification for ecological corridor construction in Hangzhou and offers scientific guidance for enhancing and restoring critical zones.

随着经济的快速发展和城市化进程的加快,区域生态安全面临重大挑战。以杭州市为研究区,通过计算生态系统服务功能的重要性,叠加最小累积阻力(MCR)模型分析的核心区,识别潜在生态资源。然后引入InVEST模型的栖息地质量结果来过滤最终的生态来源。通过对6个阻力因子进行不同加权,构建复合阻力面,利用链接映射工具提取生态廊道,构建杭州生态安全格局。结果表明:①杭州市最终生态源区面积为3008.64 km2,占全市总面积的22%;这些来源分布合理,特别是西南地区连通性强,有利于物种迁移。②利用LM工具提取了15条生态廊道,总长度为333.4 km。这些廊道连接不同的生态资源,设置宽度为50米,以确保最高的林地比例,促进迁移和有效的生态功能。③确定了24个需要修复的关键区域,包括11个核心保护区、3个诊断增强区、8个重点修复区和2个源连接区。本研究为杭州市生态廊道建设提供了关键区域的识别,为关键区域的强化和修复提供了科学指导。
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引用次数: 0
[Construction of Ecological Security Pattern in Guizhou Province based on Multi-scenario Ecosystem Services Trade-offs]. [基于多情景生态系统服务权衡的贵州省生态安全格局构建]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202501071
Rong Gou, Wei-Ci Su

Constructing an ecological security pattern balances ecological environmental protection with high-quality economic and social development. In this study, Guizhou Province is taken as the research area, and four ecosystem services functions-water production, soil conservation, habitat quality, and carbon sequestration-are evaluated. The optimal scenario identifies the priority protection area, representing the ecological source area, based on an ordered weighted average model. Ecological corridors are extracted using circuit theory to construct the ecological security pattern. The results show that: ① By setting and comparing the trade-off degree and protection efficiency under seven risk scenarios, the most optimal scenario was scenario 3, which had a low risk coefficient (α=0.5) and a relatively balanced background of the four ecosystem services. In this scenario, the protection efficiency of the four ecosystem services improved to varying degrees. ② The total area of ecological source areas was 29 688.72 km2, accounting for 16.85% of the total area of the study region, and its spatial distribution showed a pattern of concentration around the borders of the province and sparsity in the central area. ③ The total number of ecological corridors was 876, with a total length of 37 637.16 km, showing a "web-like" distribution, dense in the southeast and sparse in the northwest. ④ The eastern and southeastern parts of Guizhou were identified as ecologically important areas, the central part was an ecological control area, and the western part was an ecological improvement area. Additionally, a regional ecological development pattern of "three zones and two belts" was proposed, which includes major ecological corridors and ecological corridor restoration belts, providing scientific support for constructing and zoning the ecological security pattern of Guizhou.

构建生态安全格局,使生态环境保护与经济社会高质量发展相协调。本文以贵州省为研究区,对生态系统的产水功能、水土保持功能、生境质量功能和固碳功能进行了评价。最优情景基于有序加权平均模型,确定了代表生态源区的优先保护区。利用循环理论提取生态廊道,构建生态安全格局。结果表明:①通过设置和比较7种风险情景下的权衡程度和保护效率,风险系数较低(α=0.5)、4种生态系统服务背景相对平衡的情景3为最优情景。在此情景下,四种生态系统服务功能的保护效率均有不同程度的提高。②生态源区总面积为29 688.72 km2,占研究区总面积的16.85%,其空间分布呈现出省际集中、中部稀疏的格局;③生态廊道总数为876条,总长度为37 637.16 km,呈“网状”分布,东南密集,西北稀疏。④贵州东部和东南部为生态重点区,中部为生态控制区,西部为生态改善区。提出了包括主要生态廊道和生态廊道修复带在内的“三带两带”区域生态发展格局,为贵州生态安全格局的构建和区划提供了科学支撑。
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引用次数: 0
[Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Driving Mechanism of China's Transport Carbon Emission Correlation Network]. 中国交通运输碳排放关联网络时空动态及驱动机制[j]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202411298
Chen Zhang, Xiu-Ting Wang, Qing Yang, Xing-Xing Liu, Ying-Jie Chen

Understanding the spatiotemporal dependence characteristics, patterns, and driving mechanisms of the interprovincial transportation carbon emission network in China is of paramount importance for advancing interprovincial transport carbon reduction and fostering regional high-quality emission reduction coordination. Based on the quadratic assignment procedure (QAP), social network analysis (SNA), and exploratory spatiotemporal data analysis (ESTDA), this research was combined with the multiple regression quadratic assignment procedure (MRQAP) model to explore the spatio-temporal dynamic evolution interaction characteristics and driving mechanism of China's transport carbon emission correlation network from 2003 to 2021. The results indicated that: ① The structure and intensity of China's transportation carbon emission correlation network from 2003 to 2021 exhibited a high degree of similarity, demonstrating a "time inertia" in which the future correlation pattern was significantly influenced by historical correlation trends. ② The transportation carbon emission correlation network showed distinct spatial connection preferences, with pronounced spatial heterogeneity and increasingly evident clustering patterns. Core provinces such as Shandong, Jiangsu, Guangdong, and Shanghai exhibited a dominant role in this network. ③ The lock-in effect and transition inertia of transport carbon emissions were prominent in the spatio-temporal interaction dimension. The inter-provincial cooperative relationship was as high as 84.6% during the study period, but the spatio-temporal competition relationship between southwest and northern provinces was prominent. ④ The driving mechanism of the transport carbon emission correlation network presented the characteristics of "structure-lock-spatiotemporal dependence-diversity of individual attributes," in which the economic difference matrix and spatio-temporal interaction network had the most significant positive influence, and the industrial difference matrix and transport structure difference matrix had the most prominent negative influence. Therefore, it is suggested that provinces should promote the optimization and coordinated development of regional transport carbon reduction targets from three aspects: inter-regional coordination governance, differentiated carbon reduction policies, and transportation network layout.

了解中国省际交通运输碳排放网络的时空依赖特征、格局及驱动机制,对推进省际交通运输碳减排、促进区域高质量减排协调具有重要意义。基于二次分配过程(QAP)、社会网络分析(SNA)和探索性时空数据分析(ESTDA),结合多元回归二次分配过程(MRQAP)模型,探讨2003 - 2021年中国交通运输碳排放相关网络时空动态演化交互特征及驱动机制。结果表明:①2003 - 2021年中国交通运输碳排放相关网络的结构和强度具有高度相似性,表现出“时间惯性”,未来相关格局受历史相关趋势的显著影响。②交通运输碳排放相关网络表现出明显的空间连接偏好,空间异质性显著,聚类格局日益明显。山东、江苏、广东和上海等核心省份在这一网络中发挥了主导作用。③交通运输碳排放的锁定效应和过渡惯性在时空交互作用维度上表现突出。研究期间,省际合作关系高达84.6%,但西南与北方省际的时空竞争关系较为突出。④交通运输碳排放相关网络的驱动机制呈现“结构-锁定-时空依赖-个体属性多样性”的特征,其中经济差异矩阵和时空交互网络的正向影响最为显著,产业差异矩阵和交通运输结构差异矩阵的负向影响最为显著。因此,建议各省从区域间协调治理、差异化减碳政策和交通运输网络布局三个方面推动区域交通运输减碳目标的优化与协调发展。
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引用次数: 0
[Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Driving Factors of Watershed Carbon Storage Based on Remote Sensing Data and Plot Survey Data: A Case Study of the Yanggong River Basin]. 基于遥感和样地调查数据的流域碳储量时空动态及驱动因素研究——以阳公河流域为例[j]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202501025
Zhi-Long Tang, Lian-Kai Zhang, Xing-Rong Wang, Chuan-Yu Wang, Chao Wang, Zhen-Hui Wang

To investigate the spatiotemporal variations of carbon storage and their driving mechanisms at the watershed scale, this study employs the Yanggong River Basin as a case study. Combined with the results of plot surveys and remote sensing data, we comprehensively applied the PLUS-InVEST-Geodetector model framework to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of land use and carbon storage from 1980 to 2020, simulate carbon storage changes under multiple scenarios in 2030 and 2060, and identify driving factors of spatial heterogeneity in carbon storage. The key findings are as follows: ① Forestland remained the dominant land use type throughout 1980-2020. However, significant land use transitions occurred, characterized by the continuous contraction of cropland area, near-doubling of construction land expansion, and gradual stabilization of grassland and shrubland areas. ② Carbon storage exhibited an "initial increase followed by decrease" trend, peaking at 35.53×106 t in 2010 before slightly declining to 35.26×106 t in 2020 due to construction land expansion. Spatially, carbon storage demonstrated relative stability, maintaining a distinct pattern of higher values in peripheral forest/shrubland regions with dense vegetation coverage and lower values in central urbanized areas. ③ Scenario simulations revealed that under natural development, carbon storage would decrease to 35.02×106 t by 2030 before marginally recovering to 35.16×106 t by 2060. Ecological protection scenarios implementing farmland-to-forest conversion and ecological restoration measures could elevate carbon storage to 35.28×106 t (2030) and 35.57×106 t (2060). Although cropland protection scenarios maintained both cropland area and carbon storage, overall levels remained comparable to those in natural development scenarios. ④ Geodetector analysis identified soil type (q=0.464), population density (q=0.374), and NDVI (q=0.361) as dominant factors governing carbon storage spatial differentiation. Factor interactions demonstrated both two-factor and nonlinear enhancement effects, with particularly strong synergistic driving forces between soil type and GDP/NDVI/population density. These findings provide critical data support for optimizing land use management and enhancing terrestrial ecosystem carbon sequestration in the Yanggong River Basin.

以阳公河流域为研究对象,探讨流域尺度上碳储量的时空变化特征及其驱动机制。结合样地调查结果和遥感数据,综合应用PLUS-InVEST-Geodetector模型框架,分析了1980 - 2020年土地利用与碳储量的时空演变特征,模拟了2030年和2060年多情景下的碳储量变化,找出了碳储量空间异质性的驱动因素。主要发现如下:①1980—2020年,林地仍是主要的土地利用类型。然而,土地利用发生了明显的转变,其特征是耕地面积持续收缩,建设用地扩大近一倍,草地和灌丛面积逐渐稳定。②碳储量呈现先增加后减少的趋势,2010年碳储量达到峰值35.53×106 t, 2020年受建设用地扩张影响,碳储量略有下降至35.26×106 t。在空间上,碳储量表现出相对的稳定性,在植被覆盖密集的外围森林/灌丛地区保持较高的碳储量,在中心城市化地区保持较低的碳储量。③情景模拟表明,在自然发展条件下,到2030年,碳储量将减少到35.02×106 t,到2060年将略微恢复到35.16×106 t。实施退耕还林和生态恢复措施的生态保护情景可将碳储量提升至35.28×106 t(2030)和35.57×106 t(2060)。虽然农田保护情景维持了耕地面积和碳储量,但总体水平仍与自然发展情景相当。④地理探测器分析表明,土壤类型(q=0.464)、人口密度(q=0.374)和NDVI (q=0.361)是影响碳储量空间分异的主要因素。土壤类型与GDP/NDVI/人口密度之间具有较强的协同驱动作用。研究结果为优化阳公河流域土地利用管理和加强陆地生态系统固碳提供了重要的数据支持。
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引用次数: 0
[Effects of Urban Sprawl Dynamics on Ecosystem Health in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration]. 滇中城市群城市扩张动态对生态系统健康的影响[j]。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202410275
Bin-Pin Gao, Ying-Mei Wu, Chen Li, Yan Wu, Meng-Jiao Wang, Ke-Jun Zheng

The large-scale expansion of urban land in the context of rapid urbanization has led to significant changes in surface structures, which is a major cause of the degradation of global ecosystem structure and functions. Understanding the comprehensive impacts of urban expansion driven by human activities on ecosystems is crucial for maintaining regional ecosystem health and achieving sustainable development. This study focuses on the central Yunnan urban agglomeration, utilizing land use data from 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020 to measure the scale, intensity, type, and landscape pattern of urban land expansion. The dynamic evolution of urban expansion over the past 30 years is examined, and an evaluation framework of "vitality-organizational strength-resilience" is developed to assess ecosystem health. Additionally, geographic detector techniques are employed to reveal the impacts of urban expansion on ecosystem health. The results showed that: ① The urban expansion of the central Yunnan urban agglomeration exhibited distinct phases, with multiple expansion types coexisting. The landscape pattern changes across different cities were varied, and the degree of expansion clustering was increasing. The core city, Kunming, primarily experienced infill expansion, while other major cities showed characteristics of edge and enclave expansion. ② The overall health of the urban agglomeration's ecosystem improved, with the highest change in ecosystem health observed in Honghe Prefecture (12.55%), followed by Chuxiong Prefecture (12.42%), with the lowest in Kunming (7.11%). ③ The patch shape index of urban land was the most significant driver of changes in ecosystem health in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration. The combined effect of expansion intensity and patch shape index resulted in the most substantial disturbances to ecosystem health.

快速城市化背景下城市用地的大规模扩张导致地表结构的显著变化,是全球生态系统结构和功能退化的主要原因。了解人类活动驱动的城市扩张对生态系统的综合影响,对于维护区域生态系统健康和实现可持续发展至关重要。以滇中城市群为研究对象,利用1990年、2000年、2010年和2020年的土地利用数据,对城市用地扩张的规模、强度、类型和景观格局进行了测度。研究了近30年来城市扩张的动态演变,提出了“活力-组织强度-恢复力”的生态系统健康评价框架。此外,利用地理探测器技术揭示城市扩张对生态系统健康的影响。结果表明:①滇中城市群的城市扩张具有明显的阶段性特征,多种扩张类型并存。不同城市间景观格局变化各异,扩展集聚程度呈增加趋势。核心城市昆明以填充型扩张为主,其他主要城市则呈现边缘型和飞地型扩张特征。②城市群生态系统健康总体改善,红河州生态系统健康变化幅度最大(12.55%),楚雄州次之(12.42%),昆明最低(7.11%)。③城市土地斑块形状指数是滇中城市群生态系统健康变化的最显著驱动因子。扩展强度和斑块形状指数对生态系统健康的影响最大。
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引用次数: 0
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环境科学
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