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Changes in the leaf area-seed yield relationship in soybean driven by genetic, management and environments: Implications for High-Throughput Phenotyping 遗传、管理和环境对大豆叶面积-籽粒产量关系的影响:高通量表型分析的意义
IF 2.6 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1093/insilicoplants/diae012
Mariana V Chiozza, Kyle A. Parmley, W. Schapaugh, A. R. Asebedo, Asheesh K. Singh, Fernando E Miguez
High-throughput crop phenotyping (HTP) in soybean [Glycine max L. (Merr.)] has been used to estimate seed yield with varying degrees of accuracy. Research in this area typically makes use of different machine learning approaches to predict seed yield based on crop images with a strong focus on analytics. On the other hand, a significant part of the soybean breeding community still utilizes linear approaches to relate canopy traits and seed yield relying on parsimony. Our research attempted to address the limitations related to interpretability, scope and system comprehension inherent in previous modelling approaches. We utilized a combination of empirical and simulated data to augment the experimental footprint as well as to explore the combined effects of genetics (G), environments (E) and management (M). We use flexible functions without assuming a pre-determined response between canopy traits and seed yield. Factors such as soybean maturity date, duration of vegetative and reproductive periods, harvest index (HI), potential leaf size, planting date and plant population affected the shape of the canopy-seed yield relationship as well as the canopy optimum values at which selection of high yielding genotypes should be conducted. This work demonstrates that there are avenues for improved application of HTP in soybean breeding programs if similar modelling approaches are considered.
大豆[Glycine max L. (Merr.)]的高通量作物表型(HTP)已被用于估算种子产量,准确度各不相同。该领域的研究通常使用不同的机器学习方法,根据作物图像预测种子产量,重点放在分析上。另一方面,大豆育种界仍有很大一部分人利用线性方法将冠层性状与种子产量联系起来,并依赖于解析性。我们的研究试图解决以往建模方法固有的可解释性、范围和系统理解方面的局限性。我们利用经验数据和模拟数据相结合的方法来增强实验足迹,并探索遗传(G)、环境(E)和管理(M)的综合效应。我们使用灵活的函数,不假定冠层性状与种子产量之间存在预先确定的反应。大豆成熟期、无性繁殖期和生殖期的持续时间、收获指数(HI)、潜在叶片大小、播种日期和植株数量等因素都会影响冠层-种子产量关系的形状以及冠层最佳值,在冠层最佳值上应进行高产基因型的筛选。这项工作表明,如果考虑采用类似的建模方法,HTP 在大豆育种计划中的应用还有改进的余地。
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引用次数: 0
A Multi-Tissue Genome-Scale Model of Populus trichocarpa Elucidates Overexpression Targets for Improving Drought Tolerance 杨树多组织基因组尺度模型阐明了提高耐旱性的过表达目标
IF 3.1 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1093/insilicoplants/diae007
Juliana Simas Coutinho Barbosa, Wheaton L. Schroeder, P. Suthers, Sara S. Jawdy, Jin-Gui Chen, W. Muchero, C. Maranas
Populus trichocarpa (poplar) is a fast-growing model tree whose lignocellulosic biomass is a promising biofuel feedstock. Enhancing its viability and yield in non-arable drought-prone lands can reduce biomass cost and accelerate adoption as a biofuel crop. Data from extensive -omics and phenotypic studies were leveraged herein to reconstruct a multi-tissue (root, stem, and leaf) genome-scale model (GSM) of poplar, iPotri3463, encompassing 14,360 reactions, 12,402 metabolites, and 3,463 genes. Two condition-specific GSMs were extracted from iPotri3463: iPotri3016C (control) and iPotri2999D (drought), supported by condition-specific transcript levels and reaction essentiality for growth. Physiological constraints consistent with experimental measurements of drought-stressed plants were imposed to growth, photorespiration, and carbon assimilation rates. Calculated increased flux capacity through the violaxanthin cycle and GABA biosynthetic pathways agree with established key strategies for improving drought tolerance. Differential gene expression analysis was performed on existing transcriptomes of poplar under different watering regimes. Computational flux knockdown was applied to reactions with increased flux capacity under drought which were associated with at least one downregulated gene. Several such reactions were essential for maintaining observed biomass yield and their associated genes are candidates for overexpression to improve drought tolerance. Glutamine synthetase is one whose overexpression in poplar confirms in silico predictions. However, the two most promising candidates are genes encoding ferulate-5-hydroxylase, Potri.007G016400 and Potri.005G117500, as their overexpression in other plant species led to demonstrably improved drought tolerance while previous overexpression in poplar reduced biomass recalcitrance. iPotri3463 is the first poplar-specific whole-plant GSM and the second one available for a woody plant.
杨树是一种快速生长的示范树种,其木质纤维素生物质是一种前景广阔的生物燃料原料。提高其在非可耕地干旱地区的生存能力和产量,可以降低生物质成本,加快其作为生物燃料作物的应用。本文利用广泛的组学和表型研究数据,重建了一个多组织(根、茎和叶)杨树基因组尺度模型(GSM)iPotri3463,其中包括 14,360 个反应、12,402 个代谢物和 3,463 个基因。从 iPotri3463 中提取了两个条件特异性 GSM:iPotri3016C(对照)和 iPotri2999D(干旱),并以条件特异性转录物水平和反应对生长的重要性为支持。对干旱胁迫植物的生长、光呼吸和碳同化率施加了与实验测量结果一致的生理限制。经计算,通过小黄素循环和 GABA 生物合成途径增加的通量能力与已确立的提高耐旱性的关键策略一致。对不同浇水制度下现有的杨树转录组进行了差异基因表达分析。对在干旱条件下通量增加的反应进行了计算通量敲除,这些反应至少与一个基因下调有关。其中有几个反应对维持观察到的生物量产量至关重要,与之相关的基因是提高耐旱性的过表达候选基因。谷氨酰胺合成酶是其中之一,它在杨树中的过度表达证实了在硅学中的预测。不过,两个最有希望的候选基因是编码阿魏酸-5-羟化酶的基因 Potri.007G016400 和 Potri.005G117500,因为它们在其他植物物种中的过表达明显提高了耐旱性,而之前在杨树中的过表达则降低了生物量的再适应性。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling the architecture of hazelnut (Corylus avellana) Tonda di Giffoni over two successive years 榛子(Corylus avellana)Tonda di Giffoni 连续两年的结构建模
IF 3.1 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.1093/insilicoplants/diae004
F. Grisafi, S. Tombesi, D. Farinelli, E. Costes, J.B. Durand, F. Boudon
Hazelnut (Corylus avellana) cultivation is increasing worldwide. A 3D model of its structure could improve the managerial techniques such as pruning. This study aims to analyse, over two successive years, hazelnut architectural development to implement a functional structural plant model. 104 one-year-old shoots of own-rooted hazelnut trees were selected and analyzed in winter 2020 and 2021. Exploratory analyses, generalized linear models, and multinomial regression models were used to describe the architectural processes. The existence of sylleptic shoots on hazelnut one-year-old shoots, characterized by the presence of the male inflorescence on apical position, was detected. Along proleptic shoots the branching pattern was described by (1) blind nodes located in the proximal part (2) sylleptic shoots and mixed buds in the median part (3) vegetative buds in the distal part. Apical bud died during the growing season, suggesting that Tonda di Giffoni has a sympodial branching. The models revealed dependencies among buds located at the same node, in the case of proleptic shoots. Especially, the probability of a bud to burst depended on both its type (i.e., mixed or vegetative) and the presence of other buds, either mixed or vegetative. Based on these local models and on a flow diagram, which defines the steps that lead to the construction of hazelnut tree architecture, a first functional-structural plant model of hazelnut tree architecture was built. Further experiments will be needed and should be repeated over following years to extend this study toward the juvenility phase and tree architecture over time.
榛子(Corylus avellana)的种植在全球范围内日益增多。榛子结构的三维模型可以改进修剪等管理技术。本研究旨在分析榛子连续两年的结构发展情况,以实现功能性植物结构模型。在 2020 年和 2021 年冬季,选取并分析了 104 株自根榛树的 1 年生枝条。采用探索性分析、广义线性模型和多项式回归模型来描述建筑过程。研究发现,榛树一年生枝条上存在 "原枝",其特征是雄花序位于顶端位置。沿着原枝的分枝模式是:(1)盲节位于下部;(2)对称芽和混合芽位于中部;(3)无性芽位于上部。顶芽在生长季节死亡,这表明 Tonda di Giffoni 具有合轴分枝。模型显示,在原枝的情况下,位于同一节点的芽之间存在依赖关系。特别是,一个芽爆裂的概率取决于其类型(即混合芽或无性芽)以及是否存在其他芽(混合芽或无性芽)。根据这些局部模型和流程图(该流程图定义了构建榛树结构的步骤),我们建立了第一个榛树结构的功能-结构植物模型。还需要进一步的实验,并应在接下来的几年中重复进行,以便将这项研究扩展到幼树期和随时间变化的树木结构。
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引用次数: 0
An evaluation of Goudriaan's summary model for light interception in strip canopies, using functional-structural plant models 利用植物功能结构模型评估 Goudriaan 的带状树冠截光总结模型
IF 3.1 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-21 DOI: 10.1093/insilicoplants/diae002
Shuangwei Li, W. van der Werf, Fang Gou, Junqi Zhu, Herman N C Berghuijs, Hu Zhou, Yan Guo, B. Li, Yuntao Ma, J. Evers
Dealing with heterogeneity in leaf canopies when calculating light interception per species in a mixed canopy is a challenge. Goudriaan developed a computationally simple, though conceptually sophisticated, model for light interception in strip canopies, which can be reasonably represented as “blocks”, such as vineyards and crop rows. This model is widely used, but there is no independent verification of the model. Hence, we developed a comparison of light interception calculations with Goudriaan’s model and with detailed spatially explicit three-dimensional functional-structural plant models (FSPM) of maize in which plant architecture can be represented explicitly. Two models were developed, one with small randomly oriented leaves in blocks, similar to Goudriaan’s assumption, which we refer to as the intermediate model (IM), and another with a realistic representation of individual plants with stems and leaves having shape, orientation, etc, referred as FSPM. In IM and FSPM, light interception was calculated using ray tracing. In Goudriaan’s model, the light extinction coefficient (k), including both its daily and seasonal average values, was generated using the FSPM. Correspondence between the three models was excellent in terms of light capture for different levels of crop height, leaf area and uniformity, with the difference less than 3.3%. The results are strong support for the use of Goudriaan's summary model for calculating light interception in strip canopies.
在计算混合树冠中每个物种的截光量时,如何处理叶冠的异质性是一项挑战。Goudriaan 建立了一个计算简单但概念复杂的模型,用于计算条状树冠的截光量,条状树冠可以合理地表示为 "区块",如葡萄园和作物行。该模型被广泛使用,但没有独立的验证。因此,我们将截光计算与 Goudriaan 的模型以及玉米的详细空间明确三维功能-结构植物模型(FSPM)进行了比较,其中植物结构可以明确表示。我们开发了两种模型,一种是类似于古德里安假设的块状随机定向小叶片模型,我们称之为中间模型(IM);另一种是具有茎和叶的形状、方向等的单个植物的现实表示,我们称之为功能-结构植物模型(FSPM)。在 IM 和 FSPM 模型中,光拦截是通过光线跟踪计算得出的。在 Goudriaan 模型中,光消光系数(k),包括其日平均值和季节平均值,都是用 FSPM 生成的。就不同作物高度、叶面积和均匀度水平下的光捕获而言,三个模型之间的对应性非常好,差异小于 3.3%。这些结果有力地支持了使用 Goudriaan 的总结模型来计算条状树冠的截光量。
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引用次数: 0
Playing a crop simulation model using symbols and sounds: the ‘mandala’ 使用符号和声音播放作物模拟模型:"曼陀罗
IF 3.1 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.1093/insilicoplants/diad023
Simone Bregaglio, Giulia Carriero, Roberta Calone, Maddalena Romano, Sofia Bajocco
Simulation models are primary tools for synthesizing plant physiological knowledge, supporting farmers’ decisions, and predicting crop yields and functioning under climate change. The conventional approach within the scientific community consists of disseminating model outcomes through articles and technical reports, often impeding the share of knowledge among science, policy, and society. This work presents the mandala (modeled and abstracted plant), a simulation model translating crop phenology and physiology as a function of environmental drivers into symbols and sounds, focusing on plant responses to cold, drought, and heat stresses. The mandala has been realized with object-oriented (C#) and visual (vvvv) programming, and the source code is free for extension and improvement. We tested the mandala in six heterogeneous climates to show the potential to convey essential information on maize and wheat growth and responses to abiotic stresses. Despite lacking in artistic refinement, this work attempts to illustrate that visual and sound art can serve as unconventional means of disseminating crop model insights while showing their potential to enhance the breadth of information delivered to the public.
模拟模型是综合植物生理知识、支持农民决策、预测气候变化下作物产量和功能的主要工具。科学界的传统方法是通过文章和技术报告传播模型成果,这往往阻碍了科学、政策和社会之间的知识共享。这项工作介绍了曼陀罗(建模和抽象植物),这是一种将作物物候学和生理学作为环境驱动因素的函数转化为符号和声音的模拟模型,重点关注植物对寒冷、干旱和高温胁迫的反应。曼荼罗是通过面向对象(C#)和可视化(vvvv)编程实现的,源代码可自由扩展和改进。我们在六种不同气候条件下对曼陀罗进行了测试,以显示其传递玉米和小麦生长及对非生物胁迫反应的基本信息的潜力。尽管缺乏艺术提炼,但这项工作试图说明视觉和声音艺术可以作为传播作物模型见解的非传统手段,同时显示出它们在提高向公众提供信息的广度方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
A Scalable Pipeline to Create Synthetic Datasets from Functional-Structural Plant Models for Deep Learning 利用植物功能-结构模型创建合成数据集以进行深度学习的可扩展管道
IF 3.1 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI: 10.1093/insilicoplants/diad022
D. Helmrich, F. Bauer, Mona Giraud, Andrea Schnepf, J. Göbbert, H. Scharr, E. Hvannberg, Morris Riedel
In plant science it is an established method to obtain structural parameters of crops using image analysis. In recent years, deep learning techniques have improved the underlying processes significantly. However, since data acquisition is time and resource consuming, reliable training data is currently limiting. To overcome this bottleneck, synthetic data is a promising option for not only enabling a higher order of correctness by offering more training data, but also for validation of results. However, the creation of synthetic data is complex and requires extensive knowledge in Computer Graphics, Visualization and High-Performance Computing. We address this by introducing Synavis, a framework that allows users to train networks on real-time generated data. We created a pipeline that integrates realistic plant structures, simulated by the functional-structural plant model framework CPlantBox, into the game engine Unreal Engine. For this purpose, we needed to extend CPlantBox by introducing a new leaf geometrization that results in realistic leafs. All parameterized geometries of the plant are directly provided by the plant model. In the Unreal Engine, it is possible to alter the environment. WebRTC enables the streaming of the final image composition, which in turn can then be directly used to train deep neural networks to increase parameter robustness, for further plant trait detection and validation of original parameters. We enable user-friendly ready-to-use pipelines, providing virtual plant experiment and field visualizations, a python-binding library to access synthetic data, and a ready-to-run example to train models.
在植物科学中,利用图像分析获得作物的结构参数是一种成熟的方法。近年来,深度学习技术显著改善了底层流程。然而,由于数据采集耗时耗力,目前可靠的训练数据有限。为了克服这个瓶颈,合成数据是一个很有前途的选择,它不仅可以通过提供更多的训练数据来实现更高级别的正确性,而且还可以验证结果。然而,合成数据的创建是复杂的,需要在计算机图形学、可视化和高性能计算方面有广泛的知识。我们通过引入Synavis来解决这个问题,Synavis是一个允许用户在实时生成的数据上训练网络的框架。我们创建了一个管道,将真实的植物结构,通过功能结构植物模型框架CPlantBox模拟,集成到游戏引擎虚幻引擎中。为此,我们需要扩展CPlantBox,引入一个新的叶片几何化,从而产生逼真的叶片。植物的所有参数化几何形状都直接由植物模型提供。在虚幻引擎中,可以改变环境。WebRTC支持最终图像组成的流化,然后可以直接用于训练深度神经网络以增加参数的鲁棒性,从而进一步检测植物性状并验证原始参数。我们支持用户友好的现成管道,提供虚拟植物实验和现场可视化,一个python绑定库来访问合成数据,以及一个现成的运行示例来训练模型。
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引用次数: 0
In a PICKLE: A gold standard entity and relation corpus for the molecular plant sciences 在困境中:分子植物科学的金标准实体和关系语料库
Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-11 DOI: 10.1093/insilicoplants/diad021
Serena Lotreck, Kenia Segura Abá, Melissa Lehti-Shiu, Abigail Seeger, Brianna N I Brown, Thilanka Ranaweera, Ally Schumacher, Mohammad Ghassemi, Shin-Han Shiu
Abstract Natural language processing (NLP) techniques can enhance our ability to interpret plant science literature. Many state-of-the-art algorithms for NLP tasks require high-quality labeled data in the target domain, in which entities like genes and proteins, as well as the relationships between entities are labeled according to a set of annotation guidelines. While there exist such datasets for other domains, these resources need development in the plant sciences. Here, we present the Plant ScIenCe KnowLedgE Graph (PICKLE) corpus, a collection of 250 plant science abstracts annotated with entities and relations, along with its annotation guidelines. The annotation guidelines were refined by iterative rounds of overlapping annotations, in which inter-annotator agreement was leveraged to improve the guidelines. To demonstrate PICKLE’s utility, we evaluated the performance of pretrained models from other domains and trained a new, PICKLE-based model for entity and relation extraction. The PICKLE-trained models exhibit the second-highest in-domain entity performance of all models evaluated, as well as a relation extraction performance that is on par with other models. Additionally, we found that computer science-domain models outperformed models trained on a biomedical corpus (GENIA) in entity extraction, which was unexpected given the intuition that biomedical literature is more similar to PICKLE than computer science. Upon further exploration, we established that the inclusion of new types on which the models were not trained substantially impacts performance. The PICKLE corpus is therefore an important contribution to training resources for entity and relation extraction in the plant sciences.
自然语言处理(NLP)技术可以提高我们对植物科学文献的解释能力。许多用于NLP任务的最先进算法需要目标域中的高质量标记数据,其中基因和蛋白质等实体以及实体之间的关系根据一组注释指南进行标记。虽然存在其他领域的此类数据集,但这些资源需要在植物科学中开发。在这里,我们展示了植物科学知识图谱(PICKLE)语料库,这是250篇植物科学摘要的集合,带有实体和关系的注释,以及注释指南。注释指导方针通过重复的注释轮来改进,其中利用了注释者之间的协议来改进指导方针。为了证明PICKLE的实用性,我们评估了来自其他领域的预训练模型的性能,并训练了一个新的基于PICKLE的实体和关系提取模型。pickle训练的模型在所有评估的模型中表现出第二高的域内实体性能,以及与其他模型相当的关系提取性能。此外,我们发现计算机科学领域模型在实体提取方面优于生物医学语料库(GENIA)上训练的模型,这是出乎意料的,因为直觉认为生物医学文献比计算机科学更类似于PICKLE。经过进一步的探索,我们确定了包含未对模型进行训练的新类型会对性能产生实质性影响。因此,PICKLE语料库对植物科学中实体和关系提取的培训资源做出了重要贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Informative community structure revealed using Arabidopsis time series transcriptome data via Partitioned Local Depth 利用拟南芥时间序列转录组数据,通过局部深度分割揭示了丰富的群落结构
Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1093/insilicoplants/diad018
Maleana G Khoury, Kenneth S Berenhaut, Katherine E Moore, Edward E Allen, Alexandria F Harkey, Joëlle K Mühlemann, Courtney N Craven, Jiayi Xu, Suchi S Jain, David J John, James L Norris, Gloria K Muday
Abstract Transcriptome studies that provide temporal information about transcript abundance facilitate identification of gene regulatory networks (GRNs). Inferring GRNs from time series data using computational modeling remains a central challenge in systems biology. Commonly employed clustering algorithms identify modules of like-responding genes but do not provide information on how these modules are interconnected. These methods also require users to specify parameters such as cluster number and size, adding complexity to the analysis. To address these challenges, we employed a recently developed algorithm, Partitioned Local Depth (PaLD), to generate cohesive networks for 4 time series transcriptome datasets (3 hormone and 1 abiotic stress dataset) from the model plant Arabidopsis thaliana. PaLD provided a cohesive network representation of the data, revealing networks with distinct structures and varying numbers of connections between transcripts. We utilized the networks to make predictions about GRNs by examining local neighborhoods of transcripts with highly similar temporal responses. We also partitioned the networks into groups of like-responding transcripts and identified enriched functional and regulatory features in them. Comparison of groups to clusters generated by commonly used approaches indicated that these methods identified modules of transcripts that have similar temporal and biological features, but also identified unique groups, suggesting a PaLD-based approach (supplemented with a community detection algorithm) can complement existing methods. These results revealed that PaLD could sort like-responding transcripts into biologically meaningful neighborhoods and groups while requiring minimal user input and producing cohesive network structure, offering an additional tool to the systems biology community to predict GRNs.
转录组研究提供了转录丰度的时间信息,有助于识别基因调控网络(grn)。利用计算模型从时间序列数据推断grn仍然是系统生物学的核心挑战。常用的聚类算法识别相似响应基因的模块,但不提供这些模块如何相互连接的信息。这些方法还要求用户指定参数,如簇数和大小,这增加了分析的复杂性。为了解决这些挑战,我们采用了最近开发的一种算法,Partitioned Local Depth (PaLD),为来自模式植物拟南芥的4个时间序列转录组数据集(3个激素和1个非生物胁迫数据集)生成内聚网络。PaLD提供了数据的内聚网络表示,揭示了具有不同结构和转录本之间不同数量连接的网络。我们利用该网络通过检查具有高度相似时间响应的转录本的局部邻域来预测grn。我们还将网络划分为类似响应的转录本组,并确定了其中丰富的功能和调控特征。将常用方法生成的组与聚类进行比较表明,这些方法识别出具有相似时间和生物学特征的转录本模块,但也识别出独特的组,这表明基于pald的方法(辅以群落检测算法)可以补充现有方法。这些结果表明,PaLD可以将类似响应的转录本分类到生物学上有意义的邻域和组中,同时需要最少的用户输入并产生内聚的网络结构,为系统生物学社区预测grn提供了额外的工具。
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引用次数: 0
A comparison of empirical and mechanistic models for wheat yield prediction at field level in Moroccan rainfed areas 摩洛哥旱地小麦产量预测的经验模型与机制模型比较
Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1093/insilicoplants/diad020
Achraf Mamassi, Marie Lang, Bernard Tychon, Mouanis Lahlou, Joost Wellens, Mohamed El Gharous, Hélène Marrou
Abstract In the context of climate change, in-season and longer-term yield predictions are needed to anticipate local and regional food crises and propose adaptations to farmers’ practices. Mechanistic models and machine learning are two modelling options to consider in this perspective. In this study, regression (MR) and Random Forest (RF) models were calibrated for wheat yield prediction in Morocco, using data collected from 125 farmers’ wheat fields. Additionally , MR and RF models were calibrated both with or without remotely-sensed leaf area index (LAI), while considering all farmers’ fields, or specifically to agroecological zoning in Morocco. The same farmers’ fields were simulated using a mechanistic model (APSIM-wheat). We compared the predictive performances of the empirical models and APSIM-wheat. Results showed that both MR and RF showed rather good predictive quality (NRMSEs below 35%), but were always outperformed by APSIM model. Both RF and MR selected remotely-sensed LAI at heading, climate variables (maximal temperatures at emergence and tillering), and fertilization practices (amount of nitrogen applied at heading) as major yield predictors. Integration of remotely-sensed LAI in the calibration process reduced NRMSE of 4.5% and 1.8 % on average for MR and RF models respectively. Calibration of region specific models did not significantly improve the predictive. These findings lead to the conclusion that mechanistic models are better at capturing the impacts of in-season climate variability and would be preferred to support short term tactical adjustments to farmers’ practices, while machine learning models are easier to use in the perspective of mid-term regional prediction.
在气候变化的背景下,需要季节性和长期产量预测来预测当地和区域粮食危机,并提出适应农民做法的建议。从这个角度来看,机械模型和机器学习是两种建模选择。在这项研究中,利用从125个农民的麦田收集的数据,对回归(MR)和随机森林(RF)模型进行了校准,用于摩洛哥的小麦产量预测。此外,MR和RF模型在考虑所有农民的田地或摩洛哥的农业生态区划的同时,在有无遥感叶面积指数(LAI)的情况下进行了校准。采用机械模型(APSIM-wheat)对同一农户的农田进行模拟。比较了实证模型与APSIM-wheat的预测性能。结果表明,MR和RF均具有较好的预测质量(nrmse均在35%以下),但APSIM模型的预测效果优于MR和RF模型。RF和MR均选择抽穗期遥感LAI、气候变量(出苗期和分蘖期最高温度)和施肥措施(抽穗期施氮量)作为主要产量预测因子。在定标过程中整合遥感LAI, MR和RF模型的NRMSE平均分别降低4.5%和1.8%。区域特定模型的校正没有显著提高预测。这些发现得出的结论是,机械模型更善于捕捉季节气候变化的影响,更倾向于支持农民实践的短期战术调整,而机器学习模型更容易用于中期区域预测。
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引用次数: 1
Modelling the dynamics and phenotypic consequences of tiller outgrowth and cessation in sorghum 模拟高粱分蘖生长和停止的动力学和表型后果
Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1093/insilicoplants/diad019
G L Hammer, G McLean, J Kholová, E van Oosterom
Abstract Tillering affects canopy leaf area, and hence crop growth via capture of light, water, and nutrients. Depending on the season, variation in tillering can result in increased or decreased yield. Reduced tillering has been associated with water-saving and enhanced yield in water-limited conditions. The objective of this study was to develop a generic model of the dynamics of tillering in sorghum incorporating key genetic and environmental controls. The dynamic of tillering was defined in four key phases – pre-tillering, tiller emergence, cessation of tiller emergence, and cessation of tiller growth. Tillering commenced at full expansion of leaf four and thereafter was synchronised with leaf appearance. The potential total number of tillers (TTN) was dependent on a genetic propensity to tiller and an index of assimilate availability dependent on the shoot source-sink balance. Cessation of tiller emergence could occur before TTN depending on extent of competition from neighbours. Subsequent cessation of growth of emerged tillers was related to the extent of internal competition for assimilate among plant organs, resulting in prediction of final fertile tiller number (FTN). The model predicted tillering dynamics well in an experiment with a range in plant density. Plausibility simulations of FTN conducted for diverse field conditions in the Australian sorghum belt reflected expectations. The model is able to predict fertile tiller number as an emergent property. Its utility to explore GxMxE crop adaptation landscapes, guide molecular discovery, provide a generic template for other cereals, and link to advanced methods for enhancing genetic gain in crops were discussed.
分蘖通过捕获光、水和养分影响冠层叶面积,从而影响作物生长。根据季节的不同,分蘖的变化会导致产量的增加或减少。在缺水条件下,减少分蘖与节水和增产有关。本研究的目的是建立一个包含关键遗传和环境控制的高粱分蘖动力学的通用模型。分蘖动态分为分蘖前、分蘖出苗、分蘖停止出苗和分蘖生长停止四个关键阶段。分蘖在第四叶完全展开时开始,此后与叶片外观同步。潜在分蘖总数(TTN)取决于分蘖的遗传倾向和依赖于茎源库平衡的同化物有效性指数。分蘖出苗停止可能发生在TTN之前,这取决于来自邻居的竞争程度。出苗分蘖随后的生长停止与植物器官间同化物的内部竞争程度有关,从而预测最终可育分蘖数(FTN)。该模型较好地预测了植物密度范围内的分蘖动态。在澳大利亚高粱带不同的田间条件下进行的FTN的合理性模拟反映了预期。该模型能够预测可育分蘖数作为一种涌现特性。讨论了其在探索GxMxE作物适应性景观、指导分子发现、为其他谷物提供通用模板以及与提高作物遗传增益的先进方法联系方面的应用。
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