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Risk-Based Tactical Asset Allocation Strategies toEnhance the Performance of Balanced and LifecycleFunds: Some International Evidence 基于风险的战术资产配置策略以提高平衡型和生命周期型基金的绩效:一些国际证据
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-11-30 DOI: 10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.101
J. Okunev
The fund management industry provides numerous financial products to help investors accumulate wealth in preparation for their retirement. Typically, such financial products as balanced funds and lifecycle funds have been the most popular. Recently, because of the two major bear markets from 2000 to 2009, considerable interest has been shown in developing investment strategies that focus on risk rather than returns. In this article, the author proposes a glide path value-at-risk (VaR) approach that takes into account the time variation of risk and return. He shows that the glidepath VaR approach outperforms the terminal value of a 60/40 balanced fund by up to 35%. Furthermore, he proposes that lifecycle funds should not be “age based” but should be “risk based.”
基金管理行业提供了许多金融产品,帮助投资者积累财富,为退休做准备。通常情况下,平衡基金和生命周期基金等金融产品最受欢迎。最近,由于2000年至2009年的两次主要熊市,人们对开发侧重于风险而非回报的投资策略表现出了相当大的兴趣。在本文中,作者提出了一种考虑风险和收益随时间变化的滑翔路径风险价值(VaR)方法。他指出,滑翔机VaR方法比60/40平衡基金的最终价值高出35%。此外,他建议生命周期基金不应该“基于年龄”,而应该“基于风险”。
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引用次数: 0
Editor’s Letter 编辑的信
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-11-30 DOI: 10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.001
Brian R. Bruce
DaviD anTin CEO Dave BliDe Publisher We begin the Winter issue with a methodology from Giese, Ossen, and Bacon to extract an unbiased, standalone environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance factor from a broad database of ESG indicators and show that this factor can add financial value in portfolios and financial indexes. Next, Alighanbari, Doole, and Shankar delve into the practicalities of low-volatility investing, including construction issues, their performance in different market regimes, and the effect of recent increased demand on the strategy’s behavior. Atwill and Pritamani provide an analysis of how much country tilts have historically contributed to the differences in returns between the standard and small-capitalization indexes in emerging market equities. Next, Blitz finds that the amount of factor exposure provided by popular smart beta strategies differs considerably, as does their degree of focus on a single target factor; he provides insight into how “quality” and “high dividend” indexes relate to academic factors. Talmage, Puddy, Irlicht, and Randall calculate and explain the apparent outperformance for investors domiciled in the United States, Australia, Germany, Japan, Switzerland, or the United Kingdom and then propose a simple adjustment method to the net benchmark to better represent the actual return to an investor based on their location and the actual withholding taxes incurred. Mattar, Marchioni, Antropova, and Finlayson consider recent performance outcomes for beta investors employing both derivative and exchange-traded fund (ETF) vehicles for index replication. They propose a vehicle selection framework, based on a quantitative assessment, that could help investors measure the precision of index replication. Hoxhaj and Khattree introduce the concept of variable leverage for ETFs. They show through simulations that this newly constructed leveraged fund is better behaved than the usual constant-multiple leveraged fund in terms of standard deviations and volatility of the compounded returns. Our special section for the Winter issue focuses on tactical asset allocation. Thompson presents the value of tactical asset allocation within an investment portfolio: how this works, what are the upsides/ downsides, what do financial advisors, asset managers, and end-clients need to know, and some tips learned along the way. Okunev then proposes a glidepath value-at-risk (VaR) approach that takes into account the time variation of risk and return and suggests that that lifecycle funds should not be age based but rather should be risk based. We welcome your submissions. Please encourage those you know who have good papers or have made good presentations on indexing, ETFs, mutual funds, or related subjects to submit them to us. We value your comments and suggestions, so please email us at journals@ investmentresearch.org.
我们从Giese, Ossen和Bacon的方法开始,从广泛的ESG指标数据库中提取一个公正的,独立的环境,社会和治理(ESG)绩效因素,并表明该因素可以增加投资组合和财务指数的财务价值。接下来,Alighanbari, Doole和Shankar深入研究了低波动性投资的实用性,包括建筑问题,它们在不同市场制度下的表现,以及最近需求增加对策略行为的影响。阿特威尔和普里塔马尼分析了历史上国家倾斜对新兴市场股票标准指数和小市值指数之间回报差异的影响程度。其次,Blitz发现,流行的智能beta策略所提供的因素暴露量差异很大,它们对单一目标因素的关注程度也是如此;他对“优质”和“高股息”指数与学术因素之间的关系提供了深刻见解。Talmage、Puddy、Irlicht和Randall计算并解释了居住在美国、澳大利亚、德国、日本、瑞士或英国的投资者的明显表现,然后提出了一种简单的净基准调整方法,以更好地代表基于投资者所在地和实际预扣税的投资者的实际回报。Mattar、Marchioni、Antropova和Finlayson研究了采用衍生品和交易所交易基金(ETF)工具进行指数复制的贝塔投资者的近期业绩结果。他们提出了一个基于定量评估的工具选择框架,可以帮助投资者衡量指数复制的精度。Hoxhaj和Khattree介绍了etf可变杠杆的概念。他们通过模拟表明,在复合收益的标准差和波动性方面,这种新构建的杠杆基金比通常的常倍杠杆基金表现得更好。我们的冬季特刊关注的是战术资产配置。汤普森介绍了在投资组合中策略性资产配置的价值:它是如何运作的,有什么优点/缺点,财务顾问、资产管理公司和最终客户需要知道什么,以及在此过程中学到的一些技巧。然后,Okunev提出了一种滑翔路径风险价值(VaR)方法,该方法考虑了风险和回报的时间变化,并建议生命周期基金不应该基于年龄,而应该基于风险。我们欢迎您的投稿。请鼓励你认识的在指数、etf、共同基金或相关学科上有好的论文或演讲的人提交给我们。我们非常重视您的意见和建议,请发送电子邮件至journals@investmentresearch.org。
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引用次数: 0
Designing Low-Volatility Strategies 设计低波动策略
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-11-30 DOI: 10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.021
M. Alighanbari, S. Doole, Durga Shankar
Since the Global Financial Crisis hit in 2008, low volatility has garnered increased attention from institutional investors. In this article, the authors delve into the practicalities of low-volatility investing, including construction issues, their performance in different market regimes, and the effect of recent increased demand on the strategy’s behavior. They discuss that although heuristic approaches tend to be simpler, only optimization-based approaches can take full advantage of the correlation between stocks. Constraints are essential in creating a well-behaved and investable low-volatility index. The authors show how different constraints can improve a minimum volatility strategy without having a significant impact on its volatility. Via attribution analyses, they analyze the sources of long-term outperformance of a minimum volatility index and discuss the valuation of minimum volatility indexes after the recent increases in demand and outperformance.
自2008年全球金融危机爆发以来,低波动性越来越受到机构投资者的关注。在本文中,作者深入研究了低波动性投资的实用性,包括建筑问题,它们在不同市场制度下的表现,以及最近需求增加对策略行为的影响。他们讨论说,虽然启发式方法往往更简单,但只有基于优化的方法才能充分利用股票之间的相关性。要创建一个表现良好、可投资的低波动性指数,约束是必不可少的。作者展示了不同的约束如何在不对其波动率产生显著影响的情况下改进最小波动率策略。通过归因分析,他们分析了最小波动率指数长期跑赢的来源,并讨论了近期需求和跑赢后最小波动率指数的估值。
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引用次数: 8
Why Tactical Asset Allocation? 为什么是战术资产配置?
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-11-30 DOI: 10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.096
Bradbury Thompson
A frequently cited Ibbotson study (2009) shows that over an 80-year period, large and small stocks have provided the highest returns and largest increases in wealth. The problem is not the math, it’s the logic: How many investors have an 80-year investment horizon? Most face two lifetime financial phases: 20–25 years spent accumulating wealth and a like period spending it in retirement. Considering the brevity of the two draws attention to the extended secular bear markets that would have negatively affected their outcome: 1929–1949, 1966–1982, and 2000–?? Such extended declines can devastate retirement savers, making lifetime financial success an accident of birth as opposed to purposeful planning. In structuring client portfolios, the goal is not about beating active or passive indexes, but rather providing returns over time that help achieve long-term investment goals while minimizing the emotional trauma along the way. An investment portfolio needs to be constructed to account for all market conditions, and this means including both tactical and more traditional asset allocation strategies. The author attempts to explain the value of tactical asset allocation within a portfolio and how it works; what are the upsides/downsides; what do financial advisors, asset managers, and end-clients need to know; and some tips learned along the way.
一项经常被引用的Ibbotson研究(2009)表明,在80年的时间里,大型和小型股票提供了最高的回报和最大的财富增长。问题不在于数学,而在于逻辑:有多少投资者的投资期限是80年?大多数人一生中面临着两个财务阶段:20-25年的财富积累和退休后的消费。考虑到这两次熊市的短暂性,人们会注意到长期熊市的延长,这可能会对它们的结果产生负面影响:1929-1949年、1966-1982年和2000 - ?这种持续的下跌可能会摧毁退休储蓄者,使一生的财务成功成为出生的意外,而不是有目的的计划。在构建客户投资组合时,目标不是打败主动或被动指数,而是提供长期回报,帮助实现长期投资目标,同时最大限度地减少投资过程中的情绪创伤。投资组合的构建需要考虑到所有的市场状况,这意味着包括战术和更传统的资产配置策略。作者试图解释投资组合中策略性资产配置的价值及其运作方式;优点/缺点是什么?财务顾问、资产经理和最终客户需要知道什么?以及一路走来学到的一些技巧。
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引用次数: 0
Global Equities Underperformance Disguised asOutperformance 全球股市表现不佳
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-11-30 DOI: 10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.049
Megan Talmage, Aidan Puddy, L. Irlicht, Adam Randall
Investors exactly replicating the MSCI World Index can show an apparent outperformance versus MSCI World (net) of up to 50 basis points per annum, on average, depending on their country of residence. This apparent outperformance is entirely due to the different dividend-withholding tax rates in the benchmark versus what is actually applicable to the investor—and not due to manager skill. It arises because the withholding tax assumptions used in the construction of the benchmark are significantly higher than those actually faced by investors, due to the availability of double-taxation treaties. Investors need to be aware of this effect to ensure they don’t mistakenly attribute this apparent outperformance to manager skill. In this article, the authors calculate and explain this apparent outperformance for investors domiciled in the United States, Australia, Germany, Japan, Switzerland, or the United Kingdom and then propose a simple adjustment method to the net benchmark to better represent the actual return to investors based on their location and the actual withholding taxes incurred.
完全复制摩根士丹利资本国际全球指数的投资者,相对于摩根士丹利资本国际全球指数(净),平均每年可获得高达50个基点的明显收益,具体取决于其居住的国家。这种明显的优异表现完全是由于基准中的股息预扣税税率与实际适用于投资者的税率不同,而不是由于经理的技能。之所以会出现这种情况,是因为在构建基准时所使用的预扣税假设,由于双重征税条约的存在,远远高于投资者实际面临的预扣税假设。投资者需要意识到这种影响,以确保他们不会错误地将这种明显的优异表现归因于管理者的技能。在本文中,作者计算并解释了居住在美国、澳大利亚、德国、日本、瑞士或英国的投资者的这种明显的优异表现,然后提出了一种简单的净基准调整方法,以更好地代表基于其所在地和实际预扣税的投资者的实际回报。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating Investor Outcomes when AccessingEquity Indexes through Derivatives and ETFs: An Update 评估投资者的结果时,通过衍生品和etf访问股票指数:更新
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-11-30 DOI: 10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.057
Patrick Mattar, Ursula Marchioni, S. Antropova, Ross Finlayson
When seeking to replicate the performance of an equity index, investment vehicle selection can heavily influence an investor’s outcome. In this article, the authors consider recent performance outcomes for beta investors employing both derivative and exchange-traded fund (ETF) vehicles for index replication. They find that, although end-user positioning has always been a driver of derivative pricing, this element has grown in influence. Similar dynamics apply to equity swaps, as both futures and swaps markets have common fundamental drivers: supply/demand pressures and leverage. The authors propose a vehicle selection framework, based on a quantitative assessment, that could help investors measure the precision of index replication.
当寻求复制股票指数的表现时,投资工具的选择会严重影响投资者的结果。在本文中,作者考虑了采用衍生品和交易所交易基金(ETF)工具进行指数复制的贝塔投资者最近的业绩结果。他们发现,尽管终端用户定位一直是衍生品定价的一个驱动因素,但这一因素的影响力越来越大。类似的动态也适用于股票掉期,因为期货和掉期市场都有共同的基本面驱动因素:供应/需求压力和杠杆。作者提出了一个基于定量评估的工具选择框架,可以帮助投资者衡量指数复制的精度。
{"title":"Evaluating Investor Outcomes when AccessingEquity Indexes through Derivatives and ETFs: An Update","authors":"Patrick Mattar, Ursula Marchioni, S. Antropova, Ross Finlayson","doi":"10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.057","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.057","url":null,"abstract":"When seeking to replicate the performance of an equity index, investment vehicle selection can heavily influence an investor’s outcome. In this article, the authors consider recent performance outcomes for beta investors employing both derivative and exchange-traded fund (ETF) vehicles for index replication. They find that, although end-user positioning has always been a driver of derivative pricing, this element has grown in influence. Similar dynamics apply to equity swaps, as both futures and swaps markets have common fundamental drivers: supply/demand pressures and leverage. The authors propose a vehicle selection framework, based on a quantitative assessment, that could help investors measure the precision of index replication.","PeriodicalId":36431,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Index Investing","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-11-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.057","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70090481","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
ESG as a Performance Factor for Smart Beta Indexes ESG作为Smart Beta指数的绩效因素
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-11-30 DOI: 10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.007
G. Giese, Arnfried Ossen, Steven Bacon
Although traditional financial factors, such as value, growth, and momentum, have become common practice in the construction of smart beta indexes, the question whether environmental, social, and governance (ESG) data can be used as a performance factor in a similar way is a controversial topic in the asset management community. In this article, the authors develop a methodology to extract an unbiased standalone ESG performance factor from a broad database of ESG indicators and apply this ESG factor in different smart beta type of index methodologies. The results show that this ESG factor can add financial value in portfolios and financial indexes and can be used the same way as or in addition to traditional common performance factors.
虽然传统的金融因素,如价值、增长和势头,已经成为构建智能贝塔指数的常见做法,但环境、社会和治理(ESG)数据是否可以以类似的方式用作绩效因素的问题,在资产管理界是一个有争议的话题。在本文中,作者开发了一种方法,从广泛的ESG指标数据库中提取公正的独立ESG绩效因子,并将该ESG因子应用于不同的智能beta类型的指数方法。结果表明,该ESG因子可以在投资组合和财务指标中增加财务价值,并且可以与传统的常见绩效因子相同或附加使用。
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引用次数: 10
Same Leverage, Less Volatility: An Alternative Approach to the Construction of Leveraged Funds 相同的杠杆,更小的波动:构建杠杆基金的另一种方法
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-11-30 DOI: 10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.075
Valmira Hoxhaj, R. Khattree
This article introduces the concept of variable leverage for exchange-traded funds while keeping in mind that the target value for the leverage value is still fixed. This is done to ensure that the daily percentage hedging demand is kept constant, which in turn provides some assurance to investors that excessive buying and selling will not take place. By using simulations, the authors show that this newly constructed leveraged fund is better behaved than the usual constant multiple leveraged fund in terms of standard deviations and volatility of compounded returns.
本文介绍了交易所交易基金可变杠杆的概念,同时考虑到杠杆值的目标值仍然是固定的。这样做是为了确保每日百分比对冲需求保持不变,这反过来又向投资者提供了一些保证,即不会发生过度买卖。仿真结果表明,本文构建的杠杆基金在标准差和复合收益波动率方面都优于一般的常倍数杠杆基金。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Country Tilts on Emerging Market Small-Cap Indexes 国家倾斜对新兴市场小型股指数的影响
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-11-30 DOI: 10.3905/jii.2016.7.3.035
Timothy W. Atwill, Mahesh Pritamani
Many investors invest in emerging market small-capitalization equities to capture the small-cap premium. Investor approach to this investment is greatly influenced by how MSCI, the leading benchmark provider for emerging markets, constructs its small-cap indexes. MSCI’s choice to primarily focus on the smallest stocks in the entire emerging markets investable universe, and not the smallest stocks in each country, has many ramifications. Most importantly, it leads to dramatically different country weights between the MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap Index and the standard MSCI Emerging Markets Index. This influences the empirical small-cap premium, which is calculated as the difference in performance between the standard and small-cap indexes. In many years, a material portion of this premium is driven by differences in country exposures. Investors need to keep this in mind as they go about allocating their assets to the small-cap segment of emerging markets.
许多投资者投资新兴市场的小盘股,以获得小盘股的溢价。投资者对这类投资的态度,在很大程度上受到新兴市场领先基准提供商MSCI明晟构建其小盘股指数的方式的影响。MSCI主要关注整个新兴市场可投资领域中最小的股票,而不是每个国家中最小的股票,这一选择产生了许多影响。最重要的是,这导致MSCI新兴市场小型股指数与标准MSCI新兴市场指数之间的国家权重存在显著差异。这影响了小盘股的经验溢价,这是根据标准指数和小盘股指数之间的表现差异计算的。多年来,这一溢价的很大一部分是由国家风险敞口的差异造成的。投资者在将资产配置到新兴市场的小盘股时,需要牢记这一点。
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引用次数: 0
ETFs within a Mutual Fund’s Portfolio 共同基金投资组合中的交易所交易基金
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-08-31 DOI: 10.3905/JII.2016.7.2.006
D. Sherrill, Sara E. Shirley, Jeffrey R. Stark
The authors document extensive use of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) within mutual fund portfolios and find that their use grew substantially between 2004 and 2014, in both total dollar value and the number of unique ETFs held. Although the findings are most notable in long ETF positions, they find extensive short ETF positions within the mutual fund industry as well. When looking at the use of inverse or leveraged ETFs, they find far less utilization. As the popularity of ETFs continues to increase, the authors expect that their importance within mutual fund portfolios will continue to grow as well.
作者记录了交易所交易基金(etf)在共同基金投资组合中的广泛使用,并发现它们的使用在2004年至2014年间大幅增长,无论是总美元价值还是持有的独特etf数量。尽管这一发现在ETF多头头寸中最为显著,但他们发现,在共同基金行业中,ETF空头头寸也很普遍。当研究反向或杠杆etf的使用情况时,他们发现利用率要低得多。随着etf越来越受欢迎,作者预计它们在共同基金投资组合中的重要性也将继续增长。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Journal of Index Investing
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