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The Value-of-Information and Value-of-Implementation from Clinical Trials of Diagnostic Tests for HIV-Associated Tuberculosis: A Modeling Analysis. HIV相关结核病诊断测试临床试验的信息价值和实施价值:建模分析。
Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-09-22 eCollection Date: 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/23814683231198873
Pamela P Pei, Kieran P Fitzmaurice, Mylinh H Le, Christopher Panella, Michelle L Jones, Ankur Pandya, C Robert Horsburgh, Kenneth A Freedberg, Milton C Weinstein, A David Paltiel, Krishna P Reddy
<p><p><b>Objectives.</b> Conventional value-of-information (VOI) analysis assumes complete uptake of an optimal decision. We employed an extended framework that includes value-of-implementation (VOM)-the benefit of encouraging adoption of an optimal strategy-and estimated how future trials of diagnostic tests for HIV-associated tuberculosis could improve public health decision making and clinical and economic outcomes. <b>Methods.</b> We evaluated the clinical outcomes and costs, given current information, of 3 tuberculosis screening strategies among hospitalized people with HIV in South Africa: sputum Xpert (<i>Xpert</i>), sputum Xpert plus urine AlereLAM (<i>Xpert+AlereLAM</i>), and sputum Xpert plus the newer, more sensitive, and costlier urine FujiLAM (<i>Xpert+FujiLAM</i>). We projected the incremental net monetary benefit (INMB) of decision making based on results of a trial comparing mortality with each strategy, rather than decision making based solely on current knowledge of FujiLAM's improved diagnostic performance. We used a validated microsimulation to estimate VOI (the INMB of reducing parameter uncertainty before decision making) and VOM (the INMB of encouraging adoption of an optimal strategy). <b>Results.</b> With current information, adopting <i>Xpert+FujiLAM</i> yields 0.4 additional life-years/person compared with current practices (assumed 50% <i>Xpert</i> and 50% <i>Xpert+AlereLAM</i>). While the decision to adopt this optimal strategy is unaffected by information from the clinical trial (VOI = $ 0 at $3,000/year-of-life saved willingness-to-pay threshold), there is value in scaling up implementation of <i>Xpert+FujiLAM</i>, which results in an INMB (representing VOM) of $650 million over 5 y. <b>Conclusions.</b> Conventional VOI methods account for the value of switching to a new optimal strategy based on trial data but fail to account for the persuasive value of trials in increasing uptake of the optimal strategy. Evaluation of trials should include a focus on their value in reducing barriers to implementation.</p><p><strong>Highlights: </strong>In conventional VOI analysis, it is assumed that the optimal decision will always be adopted even without a trial. This can potentially lead to an underestimation of the value of trials when adoption requires new clinical trial evidence. To capture the influence that a trial may have on decision makers' willingness to adopt the optimal decision, we also consider value-of-implementation (VOM), a metric quantifying the benefit of new study information in promoting wider adoption of the optimal strategy. The overall value-of-a-trial (VOT) includes both VOI and VOM.Our model-based analysis suggests that the information obtained from a trial of screening strategies for HIV-associated tuberculosis in South Africa would have no value, when measured using traditional methods of VOI assessment. A novel strategy, which includes the urine FujiLAM test, is optimal from a health economic standpo
目标。传统的信息价值(VOI)分析假设完全接受最优决策。我们采用了一个扩展的框架,其中包括实施价值(VOM)——鼓励采用最佳策略的好处,并估计了未来HIV相关结核病诊断测试的试验如何改善公共卫生决策以及临床和经济结果。方法。根据目前的信息,我们评估了南非HIV住院患者中3种结核病筛查策略的临床结果和成本:痰Xpert(Xpert)、痰Xpert+尿AlertAM(Xpert+AlerAM)和痰Xpert加上更新、更敏感、更昂贵的尿FujiLAM(Xpert+FujiLAM)。我们根据比较死亡率与每种策略的试验结果预测了决策的增量净货币收益(INMB),而不是仅根据FujiLAM改进诊断性能的现有知识进行决策。我们使用经过验证的微观模拟来估计VOI(决策前减少参数不确定性的INMB)和VOM(鼓励采用最佳策略的INMB。后果根据目前的信息,与目前的做法(假设50%的Xpert和50%的Xpert+AlereLAM)相比,采用Xpert+FujiLAM可使每个人多活0.4年。虽然采用这种最佳策略的决定不受临床试验信息的影响(VOI = $ 0为3000美元/年的救命意愿支付阈值),扩大Xpert+FujiLAM的实施是有价值的,这将导致INMB(代表VOM)在5年内达到6.5亿美元 y.结论。传统的VOI方法考虑了基于试验数据切换到新的最优策略的价值,但未能考虑到试验在增加对最优策略的理解方面的说服价值。对试验的评估应包括重点关注其在减少实施障碍方面的价值。亮点:在传统的VOI分析中,假设即使没有试验,也会始终采用最佳决策。当采用需要新的临床试验证据时,这可能会导致低估试验的价值。为了了解试验可能对决策者采用最佳决策的意愿产生的影响,我们还考虑了实施价值(VOM),这是一种量化新研究信息在促进更广泛采用最佳策略方面的益处的指标。试验总价值(VOT)包括VOI和VOM。我们基于模型的分析表明,当使用传统的VOI评估方法进行测量时,从南非HIV相关结核病筛查策略试验中获得的信息没有价值。一种新的策略,包括尿液FujiLAM测试,从健康经济的角度来看是最佳的,但没有得到充分利用。试验将减少下游健康结果的不确定性,但可能不会改变最佳决策。高VOT(超过5 y) 仅在于促进对以VOM为代表的FujiLAM的吸收。我们的研究结果强调了采用更全面的方法评估前瞻性试验的重要性,因为传统的VOI方法可能会大大低估其价值。Trialist和资助者在考虑试验设计和成本时,可以也应该评估VOT指标。如果VOI较低,则可以将试验的VOM和成本与其他外展项目的收益和成本进行比较,以确定提高接受率的最具成本效益的方法。
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引用次数: 0
A Qualitative Study of Men's Experiences Using Navigate: A Localized Prostate Cancer Treatment Decision Aid. 男性使用Navigate:局部前列腺癌症治疗决策辅助的定性研究。
Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-09-13 eCollection Date: 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/23814683231198003
Elizabeth Todio, Penelope Schofield, Jessica Sharp

Background. Men diagnosed with localized prostate cancer (LPC) often face a dilemma in choosing between available treatment options that have similar survival rates but for which the perceived advantages and disadvantages of each treatment differ. The Navigate decision aid was created to assist Australian men with LPC in making informed decisions about treatment that align with their personal values and preferences. Navigate presents current, unbiased information, including an interactive values clarification exercise. Objective. This study was a qualitative investigation of men's treatment decision making for LPC, and their experiences using the Navigate Web site, to identify areas for improvement and inform implementation. Methods. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 20 men diagnosed with LPC who completed the intervention arm of the Navigate randomized controlled trial. Interview transcripts were thematically analyzed. Results: Five main themes emerged: 1) diagnosis experiences varied, although men were strongly influenced by their clinician to make an early initial treatment decision; 2) men sought resources and support they trusted; 3) men valued Navigate's multiformatted content and design; 4) men suggested more content was needed on a) the diagnosis journey and b) new treatment updates; and 5) men identified design flaws in the values clarification exercise on Navigate but appreciated the tool being available. Conclusions. Specialist authority influenced men to make an early treatment decision. However, Navigate was helpful in supporting men's ongoing treatment decision making, particularly men on active surveillance who may face further treatment decisions if their cancer progresses. To gain trust and improve engagement from Navigate users, credentials and sources of information need to be prominent. Trustworthiness, timing of access, and the clinician's role in empowering men to use available decision aids are crucial elements to be considered when implementing Navigate in clinical settings.

Highlights: The Navigate decision aid Web site was created to help Australian men diagnosed with localized prostate cancer (LPC) make an informed decision about their treatment.Navigate was helpful in supporting men's ongoing treatment decision making for LPC.Men's treatment decision making for LPC was greatly influenced by perceived authority and trust in their clinician.Trustworthiness, timing of access, and the clinician's role in empowering men to use available decision aids are crucial.

背景被诊断为局限性前列腺癌症(LPC)的男性在选择具有相似生存率但每种治疗的优势和劣势不同的可用治疗方案时往往面临两难选择。Navigate决策辅助工具旨在帮助患有LPC的澳大利亚男性在知情的情况下做出符合其个人价值观和偏好的治疗决定。Navigate提供最新、公正的信息,包括交互式价值观澄清练习。客观的这项研究是对男性LPC治疗决策的定性调查,以及他们使用Navigate网站的经验,以确定需要改进的领域并为实施提供信息。方法。对20名诊断为LPC的男性进行了半结构化访谈,这些男性完成了Navigate随机对照试验的干预组。访谈记录按主题进行分析。结果:出现了五个主要主题:1)诊断经历各不相同,尽管男性在早期做出初步治疗决定时受到临床医生的强烈影响;2) 男性寻求他们信任的资源和支持;3) 男性重视Navigate多样化的内容和设计;4) 男性建议在a)诊断之旅和b)新的治疗更新方面需要更多的内容;以及5)男性在Navigate上的价值观澄清练习中发现了设计缺陷,但对可用的工具表示赞赏。结论。专家权威促使男性尽早做出治疗决定。然而,Navigate有助于支持男性正在进行的治疗决策,特别是那些正在积极监测的男性,如果他们的癌症进展,他们可能会面临进一步的治疗决策。为了获得Navigate用户的信任并提高参与度,需要突出凭据和信息来源。在临床环境中实施Navigate时,可信度、访问时间以及临床医生在授权男性使用可用决策辅助工具方面的作用是需要考虑的关键因素。要点:Navigate决策辅助网站是为了帮助被诊断为患有局限性前列腺癌症(LPC)的澳大利亚男性对他们的治疗做出明智的决定而创建的。Navigate有助于支持男性正在进行的LPC治疗决策。男性对LPC的治疗决策在很大程度上受到对临床医生的权威和信任的影响。可信度、获取时间以及临床医生在授权男性使用可用决策辅助工具方面的作用至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Expected Health Benefits of SGLT-2 Inhibitors and GLP-1 Receptor Agonists in Older Adults. SGLT-2 抑制剂和 GLP-1 受体激动剂对老年人的预期健康益处。
IF 1.9 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-07-20 eCollection Date: 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/23814683231187566
Rahul S Dadwani, Wen Wan, M Reza Skandari, Elbert S Huang

Background. Older and sicker adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) were underrepresented in randomized trials of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor-agonist (GLP1RA) and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2I), and thus, health benefits are uncertain in this population. Objective. To assess the impact of age, health status, and life expectancy in older adults with T2D on health benefits of GLP1RA and SGLT2I. Design. We used the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) model to simulate lifetime health outcomes. We calibrated the UKPDS model to improve mortality prediction in older adults using a common geriatric prognostic index. Participants. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2013-2018 participants 65 y and older with T2D, eligible for GLP1RA or SGLT2I according to American Diabetes Association guidelines. Interventions. GLP1RA or SGLT2I use versus no additional medication. Main Measures. Lifetime complications and weighted life-years (LYs) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) across overall treatment arms and life expectancies. Key Results. The overall older adult population was predicted to experience significant health benefits from GLP1RA (+0.29 LY [95% confidence interval: 0.27, 0.31], +0.15 QALYs [0.14, 0.16]) and SGLT2I (+0.26 LY [0.24, 0.28], +0.13 QALYs [0.12, 0.14]) as compared with no added medication. However, expected benefits declined in subgroups with shorter life expectancies. Participants with <4 y of life expectancy had minimal gains of <0.05 LY and <0.03 QALYs from added medication. Accounting for injection-related disutility, GLP1RA use reduced QALYs (-0.03 QALYs [-0.04, -0.02]). Conclusions. While GLP1RA and SGLT2I have substantial health benefits for many older adults with type 2 diabetes, benefits are not clinically significant in patients with <4 y of life expectancy. Life expectancy and patient preferences are important considerations when prescribing newer diabetes medications.

Highlights: On average, older adults benefit significantly from SGLT2I and GLP1RA use. However, the benefits of these drugs are not clinically significant among older patients with life expectancy less than 4 y.There is potential harm in injectable GLP1RA use in the oldest categories of adults with type 2 diabetes.Heterogeneity in life expectancy and patient preferences for injectable versus oral medications are important to consider when prescribing newer diabetes medications.

背景。在胰高血糖素样肽 1 受体激动剂(GLP1RA)和钠-葡萄糖共转运体 2 抑制剂(SGLT2I)的随机试验中,2 型糖尿病(T2D)患者中年龄较大、病情较重的成人所占比例较低,因此该人群的健康效益尚不确定。研究目的评估患有 T2D 的老年人的年龄、健康状况和预期寿命对 GLP1RA 和 SGLT2I 健康益处的影响。设计。我们使用英国前瞻性糖尿病研究(UKPDS)模型模拟终生健康结果。我们对英国前瞻性糖尿病研究模型进行了校准,以使用常见的老年预后指数改进对老年人死亡率的预测。参与人员2013-2018年全国健康与营养调查(National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2013-2018)的65岁及以上T2D患者,根据美国糖尿病协会指南,符合GLP1RA或SGLT2I治疗条件。干预。使用 GLP1RA 或 SGLT2I 与不使用额外药物。主要测量指标。各治疗组的终生并发症、加权生命年 (LYs) 和质量调整生命年 (QALYs),以及预期寿命。主要结果。与不添加药物相比,GLP1RA(+0.29 LY [95%置信区间:0.27, 0.31],+0.15 QALYs [0.14, 0.16])和 SGLT2I(+0.26 LY [0.24, 0.28],+0.13 QALYs [0.12, 0.14])可为整个老年人群带来显著的健康益处。然而,在预期寿命较短的亚组中,预期收益有所下降。结论虽然 GLP1RA 和 SGLT2I 对许多患有 2 型糖尿病的老年人有很大的健康益处,但对 Highlights 患者的益处在临床上并不显著:平均而言,老年人从 SGLT2I 和 GLP1RA 的使用中获益匪浅。在开具新型糖尿病药物处方时,必须考虑预期寿命的异质性以及患者对注射与口服药物的偏好。
{"title":"Expected Health Benefits of SGLT-2 Inhibitors and GLP-1 Receptor Agonists in Older Adults.","authors":"Rahul S Dadwani, Wen Wan, M Reza Skandari, Elbert S Huang","doi":"10.1177/23814683231187566","DOIUrl":"10.1177/23814683231187566","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background.</b> Older and sicker adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) were underrepresented in randomized trials of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor-agonist (GLP1RA) and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2I), and thus, health benefits are uncertain in this population. <b>Objective.</b> To assess the impact of age, health status, and life expectancy in older adults with T2D on health benefits of GLP1RA and SGLT2I. <b>Design.</b> We used the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) model to simulate lifetime health outcomes. We calibrated the UKPDS model to improve mortality prediction in older adults using a common geriatric prognostic index. <b>Participants.</b> National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2013-2018 participants 65 y and older with T2D, eligible for GLP1RA or SGLT2I according to American Diabetes Association guidelines. <b>Interventions.</b> GLP1RA or SGLT2I use versus no additional medication. <b>Main Measures.</b> Lifetime complications and weighted life-years (LYs) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) across overall treatment arms and life expectancies. <b>Key Results.</b> The overall older adult population was predicted to experience significant health benefits from GLP1RA (+0.29 LY [95% confidence interval: 0.27, 0.31], +0.15 QALYs [0.14, 0.16]) and SGLT2I (+0.26 LY [0.24, 0.28], +0.13 QALYs [0.12, 0.14]) as compared with no added medication. However, expected benefits declined in subgroups with shorter life expectancies. Participants with <4 y of life expectancy had minimal gains of <0.05 LY and <0.03 QALYs from added medication. Accounting for injection-related disutility, GLP1RA use reduced QALYs (-0.03 QALYs [-0.04, -0.02]). <b>Conclusions.</b> While GLP1RA and SGLT2I have substantial health benefits for many older adults with type 2 diabetes, benefits are not clinically significant in patients with <4 y of life expectancy. Life expectancy and patient preferences are important considerations when prescribing newer diabetes medications.</p><p><strong>Highlights: </strong>On average, older adults benefit significantly from SGLT2I and GLP1RA use. However, the benefits of these drugs are not clinically significant among older patients with life expectancy less than 4 y.There is potential harm in injectable GLP1RA use in the oldest categories of adults with type 2 diabetes.Heterogeneity in life expectancy and patient preferences for injectable versus oral medications are important to consider when prescribing newer diabetes medications.</p>","PeriodicalId":36567,"journal":{"name":"MDM Policy and Practice","volume":"8 2","pages":"23814683231187566"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2023-07-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/bb/93/10.1177_23814683231187566.PMC10363885.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10354150","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Confirmatory Factor Analysis and Measurement Invariance of the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy Lung Cancer Utility Index (FACT-LUI). 肺癌治疗效用指数(FACT-LUI)功能评估的验证性因子分析及测量不变性。
Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/23814683231186992
J Shannon Swan, Michelle M Langer

Background. A portion of the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Lung (FACT-L) instrument contributed to a previously published utility index, the FACT Lung Utility Index or FACT-LUI. Six FACT items representing lung cancer quality of life covered fatigue, pain, dyspnea, cough, anxiety, and depression. Two FACT items had been previously combined by the index authors into one for nausea and/or appetite loss, resulting in 7 final domains. Methods. The objective was to perform measurement invariance testing within a confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) framework to support the feasibility of using the FACT-LUI for non-preference-based psychometric applications. The original index patients comprised group 1, and similar FACT patient data (n = 249) from another published study comprised group 2. One 2-factor model and two 1-factor CFA models were evaluated to assess measurement invariance across groups, using varying degrees of item parceling and a small number of residual covariances, all justified by the literature. Results. The 1-factor models were most optimal. A 1-factor model with 1 pair of items parceled showed invariance to the partial scalar level using usual fit criteria across groups, requiring 2 unconstrained intercepts. A 1-factor model with 3 pairs of justified parcels showed full configural, metric, and scalar invariance across groups. Conclusions. The FACT-LUI items fit a partially to fully invariant 1-factor model, suggesting feasibility for non-preference-based applications. Implications. Results suggest useful incorporation of the FACT-LUI into clinical trials with no substantial increased respondent burden, allowing preference-based and other psychometric applications from the same index items.

Highlights: This work suggests that in addition to being originally designed for use as a utility index, the 7 FACT-LUI items together also fit simple CFA and measurement invariance models. This less expected result indicates that these items as a group are also potentially useful in non-preference-based applications.Clinical trials can make for challenging decisions concerning which patient-reported outcome measures to include without being burdensome. However, the literature suggests a need for improved reporting of quality of life in lung cancer in particular as well as cancer in general. Inclusion of more disease-specific items such as the FACT-LUI may allow for information gathering of both preference-based and non-preference-based data with less demand on patients, similar to what has been done with some generic instruments.

背景。癌症治疗-肺功能评估(FACT- l)仪器的一部分促成了先前发表的效用指数,FACT肺效用指数或FACT- lui。代表肺癌生活质量的六个FACT项目包括疲劳、疼痛、呼吸困难、咳嗽、焦虑和抑郁。两个FACT项先前被索引作者合并为一个恶心和/或食欲减退,从而产生7个最终域。方法。目的是在验证性因子分析(CFA)框架内执行测量不变性测试,以支持在非基于偏好的心理测量应用中使用FACT-LUI的可行性。原始索引患者组成第一组,来自另一项已发表研究的相似FACT患者数据(n = 249)组成第二组。使用不同程度的项目包装和少量残差协方差,对一个2因素模型和两个1因素CFA模型进行评估,以评估组间的测量不变性,所有这些都得到了文献的证明。结果。单因素模型最优。一个包含一对项目的单因素模型使用通常的跨组拟合标准显示了部分标量水平的不变性,需要2个无约束的截距。一个具有3对经过验证的包裹的1因素模型显示了组间完整的结构、度量和标量不变性。结论。FACT-LUI项适合部分到完全不变的1因素模型,这表明非基于首选项的应用程序是可行的。的影响。结果表明,将FACT-LUI有效地纳入临床试验中,不会显著增加应答者的负担,允许基于偏好的和其他心理测量学应用于相同的索引项目。重点:这项工作表明,除了最初设计用作效用指数外,7个FACT-LUI项目一起也适合简单的CFA和测量不变性模型。这个出乎意料的结果表明,这些项作为一个组在非基于首选项的应用程序中也可能有用。临床试验可以做出具有挑战性的决定,包括哪些患者报告的结果测量,而不会造成负担。然而,文献表明,需要改善肺癌患者的生活质量报告,尤其是肺癌患者,以及一般癌症患者。纳入更多特定疾病的项目,如FACT-LUI,可能允许收集基于偏好和非基于偏好的数据,同时减少对患者的需求,类似于对一些通用工具所做的工作。
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引用次数: 0
Development of Complementary Encounter and Patient Decision Aids for Shared Decision Making about Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation. 房颤卒中预防共同决策的互补遭遇和患者决策辅助的发展
IF 1.9 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-06-21 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/23814683231178033
Aubrey E Jones, Madeleine M McCarty, Kenzie A Cameron, Kerri L Cavanaugh, Benjamin A Steinberg, Rod Passman, Preeti Kansal, Adriana Guzman, Emily Chen, Lingzi Zhong, Angela Fagerlin, Ian Hargraves, Victor M Montori, Juan P Brito, Peter A Noseworthy, Elissa M Ozanne

Introduction: Decision aids (DAs) are helpful instruments used to support shared decision making (SDM). Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) face complex decisions regarding stroke prevention strategies. While a few DAs have been made for AF stroke prevention, an encounter DA (EDA) and patient DA (PDA) have not been created to be used in conjunction with each other before.

Design: Using iterative user-centered design, we developed 2 DAs for anticoagulation choice and stroke prevention in AF. Prototypes were created, and we elicited feedback from patients and experts via observations of encounters, usability testing, and semistructured interviews.

Results: User testing was done with 33 experts (in AF and SDM) and 51 patients from 6 institutions. The EDA and PDA underwent 1 and 4 major iterations, respectively. Major differences between the DAs included AF pathophysiology and a preparation to meet with the clinician in the PDA as well as different language throughout. Content areas included personalized stroke risk, differences between anticoagulants, and risks of bleeding. Based on user feedback, developers 1) addressed feelings of isolation with AF, 2) improved navigation options, 3) modified content and flow for users new to AF and those experienced with AF, 4) updated stroke risk pictographs, and 5) added structure to the preparation for decision making in the PDA.

Limitations: These DAs focus only on anticoagulation for stroke prevention and are online, which may limit participation for those less comfortable with technology.

Conclusions: Designing complementary DAs for use in tandem or separately is a new method to support SDM between patients and clinicians. Extensive user testing is essential to creating high-quality tools that best meet the needs of those using them.

Highlights: First-time complementary encounter and patient decision aids have been designed to work together or separately.User feedback led to greater structure and different experiences for patients naïve or experienced with anticoagulants in patient decision aids.Online tools allow for easier dissemination, use in telehealth visits, and updating as new evidence comes out.

决策辅助工具(DAs)是用于支持共享决策(SDM)的有用工具。心房颤动(AF)患者在卒中预防策略方面面临复杂的决策。虽然已有一些DAs用于预防房颤,但在此之前还没有创建过相遇DA (EDA)和患者DA (PDA)来相互结合使用。采用迭代的以用户为中心的设计,我们开发了2个用于房颤抗凝选择和卒中预防的DAs。我们创建了原型,并通过观察遭遇、可用性测试和半结构化访谈从患者和专家那里获得反馈。结果对来自6家机构的33名AF和SDM专家和51名患者进行了用户测试。EDA和PDA分别经历了1次和4次主要迭代。两组患者之间的主要差异包括房颤病理生理、与临床医生会面的准备以及不同的语言。内容领域包括个体化中风风险、抗凝剂之间的差异和出血风险。根据用户反馈,开发人员1)解决了AF的孤立感,2)改进了导航选项,3)为AF新手和AF经验丰富的用户修改了内容和流程,4)更新了中风风险象形图,5)为PDA中的决策准备增加了结构。这些DAs只关注用于预防中风的抗凝治疗,并且是在线的,这可能会限制那些对技术不太熟悉的人的参与。结论设计辅助DAs串联或单独使用是支持患者和临床医生之间SDM的新方法。广泛的用户测试对于创建最能满足使用者需求的高质量工具是必不可少的。第一次互补性接触和患者决策辅助被设计为一起或单独工作。用户反馈为患者带来了更大的结构和不同的体验naïve或有抗凝血剂经验的患者决策辅助。在线工具可以更容易地传播、在远程保健访问中使用,并随着新证据的出现而更新。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating the Cost of 3 Risk Prediction Strategies for Potential Use in the United Kingdom National Breast Screening Program. 估算可能用于英国国家乳腺筛查计划的 3 种风险预测策略的成本。
IF 1.9 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-05-04 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/23814683231171363
Stuart J Wright, Martin Eden, Helen Ruane, Helen Byers, D Gareth Evans, Michelle Harvie, Sacha J Howell, Anthony Howell, David French, Katherine Payne

Background: Economic evaluations have suggested that risk-stratified breast cancer screening may be cost-effective but have used assumptions to estimate the cost of risk prediction. The aim of this study was to identify and quantify the resource use and associated costs required to introduce a breast cancer risk-stratification approach into the English national breast screening program.

Methods: A micro-costing study, conducted alongside a cohort-based prospective trial (BC-PREDICT), identified the resource use and cost per individual (£; 2021 price year) of providing a risk-stratification strategy at a woman's first mammography. Costs were calculated for 3 risk-stratification approaches: Tyrer-Cuzick survey, Tyrer-Cuzick with Volpara breast-density measurement, and Tyrer-Cuzick with Volpara breast-density measurement and testing for 142 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP). Costs were determined for the intervention as implemented in the trial and in the health service.

Results: The cost of providing the risk-stratification strategy was calculated to be £16.45 for the Tyrer-Cuzick survey approach, £21.82 for the Tyrer-Cuzick with Volpara breast-density measurement, and £102.22 for the Tyrer-Cuzick with Volpara breast-density measurement and SNP testing.

Limitations: This study did not use formal expert elicitation methods to synthesize estimates.

Conclusion: The costs of risk prediction using a survey and breast density measurement were low, but adding SNP testing substantially increases costs. Implementation issues present in the trial may also significantly increase the cost of risk prediction.

Implications: This is the first study to robustly estimate the cost of risk-stratification for breast cancer screening. The cost of risk prediction using questionnaires and automated breast density measurement was low, but full economic evaluations including accurate costs are required to provide evidence of the cost-effectiveness of risk-stratified breast cancer screening.

Highlights: Economic evaluations have suggested that risk-stratified breast cancer screening may be a cost-effective use of resources in the United Kingdom.Current estimates of the cost of risk stratification are based on pragmatic assumptions.This study provides estimates of the cost of risk stratification using 3 strategies and when these strategies are implemented perfectly and imperfectly in the health system.The cost of risk stratification is relatively low unless single nucleotide polymorphisms are included in the strategy.

背景:经济评估表明,风险分级乳腺癌筛查可能具有成本效益,但在估算风险预测成本时使用了假设条件。本研究旨在确定和量化在英国全国乳腺癌筛查计划中引入乳腺癌风险分级方法所需的资源使用和相关成本:方法:在开展基于队列的前瞻性试验(BC-PREDICT)的同时,还进行了一项微观成本计算研究,确定了在女性首次乳房 X 光检查时提供风险分级策略的资源使用情况和人均成本(英镑;2021 价格年)。计算了 3 种风险分级方法的成本:Tyrer-Cuzick调查、Tyrer-Cuzick与Volpara乳腺密度测定,以及Tyrer-Cuzick与Volpara乳腺密度测定和142个单核苷酸多态性(SNP)检测。对试验中和医疗服务中实施的干预措施的成本进行了测定:根据计算,采用泰勒-库齐克调查法提供风险分级策略的成本为 16.45 英镑,采用泰勒-库齐克与 Volpara 乳腺密度测量法的成本为 21.82 英镑,采用泰勒-库齐克与 Volpara 乳腺密度测量法和 SNP 检测法的成本为 102.22 英镑:本研究没有使用正式的专家征询方法来综合估算:结论:使用调查和乳腺密度测量进行风险预测的成本较低,但增加 SNP 检测会大幅增加成本。试验中存在的实施问题也可能大大增加风险预测的成本:这是第一项对乳腺癌筛查风险分级成本进行可靠估算的研究。使用调查问卷和自动乳腺密度测量进行风险预测的成本较低,但需要进行包括精确成本在内的全面经济评估,以提供风险分层乳腺癌筛查成本效益的证据:目前对风险分层成本的估算是基于务实的假设。本研究提供了使用 3 种策略进行风险分层的成本估算,以及这些策略在医疗系统中完美实施和不完美实施时的成本估算。
{"title":"Estimating the Cost of 3 Risk Prediction Strategies for Potential Use in the United Kingdom National Breast Screening Program.","authors":"Stuart J Wright, Martin Eden, Helen Ruane, Helen Byers, D Gareth Evans, Michelle Harvie, Sacha J Howell, Anthony Howell, David French, Katherine Payne","doi":"10.1177/23814683231171363","DOIUrl":"10.1177/23814683231171363","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Economic evaluations have suggested that risk-stratified breast cancer screening may be cost-effective but have used assumptions to estimate the cost of risk prediction. The aim of this study was to identify and quantify the resource use and associated costs required to introduce a breast cancer risk-stratification approach into the English national breast screening program.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A micro-costing study, conducted alongside a cohort-based prospective trial (BC-PREDICT), identified the resource use and cost per individual (£; 2021 price year) of providing a risk-stratification strategy at a woman's first mammography. Costs were calculated for 3 risk-stratification approaches: Tyrer-Cuzick survey, Tyrer-Cuzick with Volpara breast-density measurement, and Tyrer-Cuzick with Volpara breast-density measurement and testing for 142 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP). Costs were determined for the intervention as implemented in the trial and in the health service.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The cost of providing the risk-stratification strategy was calculated to be £16.45 for the Tyrer-Cuzick survey approach, £21.82 for the Tyrer-Cuzick with Volpara breast-density measurement, and £102.22 for the Tyrer-Cuzick with Volpara breast-density measurement and SNP testing.</p><p><strong>Limitations: </strong>This study did not use formal expert elicitation methods to synthesize estimates.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The costs of risk prediction using a survey and breast density measurement were low, but adding SNP testing substantially increases costs. Implementation issues present in the trial may also significantly increase the cost of risk prediction.</p><p><strong>Implications: </strong>This is the first study to robustly estimate the cost of risk-stratification for breast cancer screening. The cost of risk prediction using questionnaires and automated breast density measurement was low, but full economic evaluations including accurate costs are required to provide evidence of the cost-effectiveness of risk-stratified breast cancer screening.</p><p><strong>Highlights: </strong>Economic evaluations have suggested that risk-stratified breast cancer screening may be a cost-effective use of resources in the United Kingdom.Current estimates of the cost of risk stratification are based on pragmatic assumptions.This study provides estimates of the cost of risk stratification using 3 strategies and when these strategies are implemented perfectly and imperfectly in the health system.The cost of risk stratification is relatively low unless single nucleotide polymorphisms are included in the strategy.</p>","PeriodicalId":36567,"journal":{"name":"MDM Policy and Practice","volume":"8 1","pages":"23814683231171363"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2023-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10161319/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10299182","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Catalog of EQ-5D-3L Health-Related Quality-of-Life Scores for 199 Chronic Conditions and Health Risks in Denmark. 丹麦 199 种慢性疾病和健康风险的 EQ-5D-3L 健康相关生活质量评分目录。
Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-04-09 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/23814683231159023
Michael Falk Hvidberg, Karin Dam Petersen, Michael Davidsen, Flemming Witt Udsen, Anne Frølich, Lars Ehlers, Mónica Hernández Alava
<p><p><b>Background</b>. Assessments of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) are essential in estimating quality-adjusted life-years. It is sometimes not feasible to collect primary HRQoL data, and reliable secondary sources are necessary. Current "off-the-shelf" HRQoL catalogs are based on older diagnosis classifications and include a limited number of diseases. This article aims to provide 1) a Danish EQ-5D-3L-based HRQoL catalog for 199 nationally representative chronic conditions based on ICD-10 codes and 2) a complementary model-based catalog controlling for age, sex, comorbidities, lifestyle, and health risks. <b>Design</b>. A total of 55,616 respondents from 3 national health survey samples were pooled and combined with 7 national registers containing patient-level information on diagnoses, health care activity, and sociodemographics. EQ-5D-3L data were converted to utility scores using the Danish EQ-5D-3L value set to estimate the mean utility for each chronic disease population. Adjusted limited dependent variable mixture models were estimated and used to provide a regression-based catalog of utilities/disutilities. <b>Results</b>. Diseases with the lowest mean EQ-5D score in the Danish population were systemic sclerosis (M34; score = 0.432), fibromyalgia (M797; score = 0.490), rheumatism (M790; score = 0.515), dementia (F00, G30; score = 0.546), posttraumatic stress syndrome (F431; score = 0.557), and systemic atrophies (G10-G14; score = 0.583. Based on the estimated models, the largest estimated disutilities were cystic fibrosis, cerebral palsy, depression, dorsalgia, sclerosis, and fibromyalgia. Lifestyle factors, including perceived stress, loneliness, and body mass index, were also significantly associated with low HRQoL. <b>Conclusions</b>. This study provides a comprehensive nationally representative catalog and a model-based catalog of EQ-5D-3L-based HRQoL scores for Denmark that can be used to describe aspects of disease burden and allocate resources within health care. Additional Stata programs are also provided to facilitate predictions in other populations.</p><p><strong>Highlights: </strong>A Danish national representative catalog of health-related quality-of-life scores for 199 chronic conditions is presented, which provides population estimates for chronic conditions subgroups that can be used for health economic evaluation.Two separate regression models of EQ-5D-3L utility scores with different sets of control variables are estimated to allow researchers to adjust for differences in the composition of the subgroups and provide a tool that can be used in other settings.Results indicate that health-related quality of life varies across disease groups but is lowest for renal disease, mental and behavioral disorders, benign neoplasms and diseases of the blood, digestive systems, and nervous systems.Health risks and lifestyle factors such as perceived stress, loneliness, and a large body mass index are highly correlated with
背景。健康相关生活质量(HRQoL)评估对于估算质量调整生命年至关重要。收集主要的 HRQoL 数据有时并不可行,因此需要可靠的二手数据来源。目前 "现成的 "HRQoL 目录基于较早的诊断分类,包含的疾病数量有限。本文旨在提供:1)基于丹麦 EQ-5D-3L 的 HRQoL 目录,该目录以 199 种具有全国代表性的慢性疾病的 ICD-10 编码为基础;2)基于模型的补充目录,该目录对年龄、性别、合并症、生活方式和健康风险进行了控制。设计。将来自 3 个国家健康调查样本的 55,616 名受访者与 7 个国家登记册(包含患者层面的诊断、医疗保健活动和社会人口统计信息)进行汇总。使用丹麦 EQ-5D-3L 值集将 EQ-5D-3L 数据转换为效用分数,以估算每个慢性病人群的平均效用。对调整后的有限因变量混合模型进行估算,并用于提供基于回归的效用/效用目录。结果丹麦人群中 EQ-5D 平均得分最低的疾病是系统性硬化症(M34;得分 = 0.432)、纤维肌痛(M797;得分 = 0.490)、风湿病(M790;得分 = 0.515)、痴呆症(F00、G30;得分 = 0.546)、创伤后应激综合征(F431;得分 = 0.557)和系统性萎缩症(G10-G14;得分 = 0.583)。根据估计模型,最大的估计损失是囊性纤维化、大脑性麻痹、抑郁症、背痛、硬化症和纤维肌痛。生活方式因素,包括感知到的压力、孤独感和体重指数,也与低 HRQoL 显著相关。结论本研究为丹麦提供了一份全面的具有全国代表性的基于 EQ-5D-3L 的 HRQoL 评分目录和基于模型的目录,可用于描述疾病负担的各个方面和分配医疗资源。此外,还提供了其他 Stata 程序,以方便对其他人群进行预测:本文介绍了丹麦具有全国代表性的 199 种慢性疾病的健康相关生活质量评分目录,该目录提供了慢性疾病亚组的人口估计值,可用于健康经济评估。本文估算了带有不同控制变量集的 EQ-5D-3L 实用性评分的两个独立回归模型,使研究人员能够根据亚组构成的差异进行调整,并提供了一个可用于其他环境的工具。结果表明,不同疾病组的健康相关生活质量各不相同,但肾脏疾病、精神和行为障碍、良性肿瘤以及血液、消化系统和神经系统疾病的健康相关生活质量最低。健康风险和生活方式因素(如感知到的压力、孤独感和体重指数过大)与健康相关生活质量高度相关,在许多情况下,相关性高于与单个疾病的相关性。
{"title":"Catalog of EQ-5D-3L Health-Related Quality-of-Life Scores for 199 Chronic Conditions and Health Risks in Denmark.","authors":"Michael Falk Hvidberg, Karin Dam Petersen, Michael Davidsen, Flemming Witt Udsen, Anne Frølich, Lars Ehlers, Mónica Hernández Alava","doi":"10.1177/23814683231159023","DOIUrl":"10.1177/23814683231159023","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;Background&lt;/b&gt;. Assessments of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) are essential in estimating quality-adjusted life-years. It is sometimes not feasible to collect primary HRQoL data, and reliable secondary sources are necessary. Current \"off-the-shelf\" HRQoL catalogs are based on older diagnosis classifications and include a limited number of diseases. This article aims to provide 1) a Danish EQ-5D-3L-based HRQoL catalog for 199 nationally representative chronic conditions based on ICD-10 codes and 2) a complementary model-based catalog controlling for age, sex, comorbidities, lifestyle, and health risks. &lt;b&gt;Design&lt;/b&gt;. A total of 55,616 respondents from 3 national health survey samples were pooled and combined with 7 national registers containing patient-level information on diagnoses, health care activity, and sociodemographics. EQ-5D-3L data were converted to utility scores using the Danish EQ-5D-3L value set to estimate the mean utility for each chronic disease population. Adjusted limited dependent variable mixture models were estimated and used to provide a regression-based catalog of utilities/disutilities. &lt;b&gt;Results&lt;/b&gt;. Diseases with the lowest mean EQ-5D score in the Danish population were systemic sclerosis (M34; score = 0.432), fibromyalgia (M797; score = 0.490), rheumatism (M790; score = 0.515), dementia (F00, G30; score = 0.546), posttraumatic stress syndrome (F431; score = 0.557), and systemic atrophies (G10-G14; score = 0.583. Based on the estimated models, the largest estimated disutilities were cystic fibrosis, cerebral palsy, depression, dorsalgia, sclerosis, and fibromyalgia. Lifestyle factors, including perceived stress, loneliness, and body mass index, were also significantly associated with low HRQoL. &lt;b&gt;Conclusions&lt;/b&gt;. This study provides a comprehensive nationally representative catalog and a model-based catalog of EQ-5D-3L-based HRQoL scores for Denmark that can be used to describe aspects of disease burden and allocate resources within health care. Additional Stata programs are also provided to facilitate predictions in other populations.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Highlights: &lt;/strong&gt;A Danish national representative catalog of health-related quality-of-life scores for 199 chronic conditions is presented, which provides population estimates for chronic conditions subgroups that can be used for health economic evaluation.Two separate regression models of EQ-5D-3L utility scores with different sets of control variables are estimated to allow researchers to adjust for differences in the composition of the subgroups and provide a tool that can be used in other settings.Results indicate that health-related quality of life varies across disease groups but is lowest for renal disease, mental and behavioral disorders, benign neoplasms and diseases of the blood, digestive systems, and nervous systems.Health risks and lifestyle factors such as perceived stress, loneliness, and a large body mass index are highly correlated with","PeriodicalId":36567,"journal":{"name":"MDM Policy and Practice","volume":"8 1","pages":"23814683231159023"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/6b/5b/10.1177_23814683231159023.PMC10088414.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9305630","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Involvement in Chemotherapy Decision Making among Patients with Stage II and III Colon Cancer. 癌症II期和III期患者参与化疗决策。
IF 1.9 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-03-27 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/23814683231163189
Jessica D Austin, Elizabeth Shelton, Danielle M Crookes, Parisa Tehranifar, Alfred I Neugut, Rachel C Shelton

Background. To explore preferred and actual involvement in chemotherapy decision making among stage II and III colon cancer (CC) patients by sociodemographic, interpersonal, and intrapersonal communication factors. Methods. Cross-sectional exploratory study collecting self-reported survey data from stage II and III CC patients from 2 cancer centers located in northern Manhattan. Results. Of 88 patients approached, 56 completed the survey. Only 19.3% reported shared involvement in their chemotherapy decisions. We observed significant differences in preferred involvement by gender, with women preferring more physician-controlled decisions. CC patients with higher levels of decisional self-efficacy significantly preferred shared decisions (F = 4.4 [2], P = 0.02). Actual involvement in decisions differed by race (physician controlled 33% for White v. 67% for Other, P < 0.01), age (shared control 18% for ≤55 y, 55% for 55-64 y, and 27% for 65+ y, P = 0.04), and perception of choice (shared control 73% "yes" v. 27% "no,"P = 0.02). Actual or preferred involvement did not differ by stage. Significantly higher levels of medical mistrust (discrimination t = 2.8 [50], P = 0.01; lack of support t = 3.6 [49], P < 0.01), and lower levels of decisional self-efficacy (t = 2.5 [49], P = 0.01) were reported among women. Discussion. Reports of shared involvement around chemotherapy decisions is limited among CC patients. Factors influencing preferred versus actual chemotherapy decision making are complex and may differ; hence, more research is needed to understand and address factors contributing to discordance between preferred and actual involvement in chemotherapy decision making for CC patients.

Highlights: Shared involvement around chemotherapy decisions remains limited for patients diagnosed with colon cancer.Sociodemographic (age, race, gender), interpersonal (medical mistrust), and intrapersonal (decisional self-efficacy, perception of choice) factors that influence preferred involvement in chemotherapy decision making may differ from those influencing actual involvement in chemotherapy decision making.Shared involvement in chemotherapy decisions may look different than currently conceptualized, notably when uncertainty around the benefits exists.

背景探讨社会人口学、人际交往和人际沟通因素对癌症II期和III期患者化疗决策的偏好和实际参与。方法。跨节探索性研究收集了来自曼哈顿北部2个癌症中心的II期和III期CC患者的自我报告调查数据。后果在88名患者中,56人完成了调查。只有19.3%的人报告共同参与了他们的化疗决定。我们观察到,不同性别在首选参与方面存在显著差异,女性更喜欢医生控制的决策。决策自我效能水平较高的CC患者更喜欢共同决策(F=4.4[2],P=0.02)。实际参与决策的程度因种族而异(医生控制的白人占33%,其他人占67%,P<0.01)、年龄(≤55岁的共同控制18%,55-64岁的共同控制55%,65+y的共同控制27%,P=0.04),以及对选择的感知(共有对照组73%的人“是”,27%的人“否”,P=0.02)。实际参与或首选参与没有阶段差异。据报道,女性的医疗不信任水平显著较高(歧视t=2.8[50],P=0.01;缺乏支持t=3.6[49],P<0.01),决策自我效能水平较低(t=2.5[49],P=0.01)。讨论关于共同参与化疗决策的报道在CC患者中是有限的。影响首选化疗决策与实际化疗决策的因素很复杂,可能有所不同;因此,需要更多的研究来了解和解决导致CC患者化疗决策中首选和实际参与之间不一致的因素。要点:对于诊断为癌症的患者来说,共同参与化疗决策仍然有限。影响首选参与化疗决策的社会因素(年龄、种族、性别)、人际因素(医学不信任)和个人因素(决策自我效能感、选择感知)可能与影响实际参与化疗决策不同。共同参与化疗决策可能与目前的概念不同,尤其是当益处存在不确定性时。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the Natural History and Screening Effects of Colorectal Cancer Using Both Adenoma and Serrated Neoplasia Pathways: The Development, Calibration, and Validation of a Discrete Event Simulation Model. 利用腺瘤和锯齿状肿瘤途径模拟结直肠癌的自然史和筛查效果:离散事件模拟模型的开发、校准和验证》。
IF 1.9 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-01-19 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/23814683221145701
Chih-Yuan Cheng, Silvia Calderazzo, Christoph Schramm, Michael Schlander

Background. Existing colorectal cancer (CRC) screening models mostly focus on the adenoma pathway of CRC development, overlooking the serrated neoplasia pathway, which might result in overly optimistic screening predictions. In addition, Bayesian inference methods have not been widely used for model calibration. We aimed to develop a CRC screening model accounting for both pathways, calibrate it with approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, and validate it with large CRC screening trials. Methods. A discrete event simulation (DES) of the CRC natural history (DECAS) was constructed using the adenoma and serrated pathways in R software. The model simulates CRC-related events in a specific birth cohort through various natural history states. Calibration took advantage of 74 prevalence data points from the German screening colonoscopy program of 5.2 million average-risk participants using an ABC method. CRC incidence outputs from DECAS were validated with the German national cancer registry data; screening effects were validated using 17-y data from the UK Flexible Sigmoidoscopy Screening sigmoidoscopy trial and a German screening colonoscopy cohort study. Results. The Bayesian calibration rendered 1,000 sets of posterior parameter samples. With the calibrated parameters, the observed age- and sex-specific CRC prevalences from the German registries were within the 95% DECAS-predicted intervals. Regarding screening effects, DECAS predicted a 41% (95% intervals 30%-51%) and 62% (95% intervals 55%-68%) reduction in 17-y cumulative CRC mortality for a single screening sigmoidoscopy and colonoscopy, respectively, falling within 95% confidence intervals reported in the 2 clinical studies used for validation. Conclusions. We presented DECAS, the first Bayesian-calibrated DES model for CRC natural history and screening, accounting for 2 CRC tumorigenesis pathways. The validated model can serve as a valid tool to evaluate the (cost-)effectiveness of CRC screening strategies.

Highlights: This article presents a new discrete event simulation model, DECAS, which models both adenoma-carcinoma and serrated neoplasia pathways for colorectal cancer (CRC) development and CRC screening effects.DECAS is calibrated based on a Bayesian inference method using the data from German screening colonoscopy program, which consists of more than 5 million first-time average-risk participants aged 55 years and older in 2003 to 2014.DECAS is flexible for evaluating various CRC screening strategies and can differentiate screening effects in different parts of the colon.DECAS is validated with large screening sigmoidoscopy and colonoscopy clinical study data and can be further used to evaluate the (cost-)effectiveness of German colorectal cancer screening strategies.

背景。现有的结直肠癌(CRC)筛查模型大多关注 CRC 的腺瘤发展途径,而忽略了锯齿状肿瘤发展途径,这可能会导致筛查预测过于乐观。此外,贝叶斯推理方法尚未广泛用于模型校准。我们的目的是建立一个同时考虑两种途径的 CRC 筛查模型,用近似贝叶斯计算(ABC)方法对其进行校准,并用大型 CRC 筛查试验对其进行验证。方法:离散事件模拟(DES利用 R 软件中的腺瘤和锯齿状路径构建了一个 CRC 自然史离散事件模拟(DES)模型(DECAS)。该模型模拟特定出生队列中通过各种自然史状态发生的与 CRC 相关的事件。校准利用了来自德国 520 万平均风险参与者的结肠镜筛查项目的 74 个发病率数据点,采用 ABC 方法。德国国家癌症登记数据验证了 DECAS 输出的 CRC 发病率;英国柔性乙状结肠镜筛查试验和德国筛查结肠镜队列研究的 17 年数据验证了筛查效果。结果。贝叶斯校准产生了 1000 组后验参数样本。根据校准后的参数,从德国登记处观察到的年龄和性别特异性 CRC 患病率在 95% 的 DECAS 预测区间内。关于筛查效果,DECAS 预测单次筛查乙状结肠镜检查和结肠镜检查的 17 年累积 CRC 死亡率分别降低 41%(95% 置信区间为 30%-51%)和 62%(95% 置信区间为 55%-68%),均在用于验证的 2 项临床研究报告的 95% 置信区间内。结论。我们提出了首个针对 CRC 自然史和筛查的贝叶斯校准 DES 模型 DECAS,该模型考虑了 2 条 CRC 肿瘤发生途径。经过验证的模型可作为评估 CRC 筛查策略(成本)有效性的有效工具:本文介绍了一种新的离散事件模拟模型--DECAS,该模型可模拟大肠癌(CRC)的腺瘤-癌变和锯齿状肿瘤发生途径以及CRC筛查效果。DECAS基于贝叶斯推理方法进行校准,使用的数据来自2003年至2014年德国结肠镜筛查项目,该项目包括500多万名55岁及以上的首次平均风险参与者。DECAS 可灵活评估各种 CRC 筛查策略,并能区分结肠不同部位的筛查效果。DECAS 已通过大型筛查乙状结肠镜和结肠镜临床研究数据进行了验证,可进一步用于评估德国结直肠癌筛查策略的(成本)有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Discussing Cost and Value in Patient Decision Aids and Shared Decision Making: A Call to Action. 讨论患者决策辅助和共同决策的成本和价值:行动呼吁。
Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2023-01-10 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/23814683221148651
Mary C Politi, Ashley J Housten, Rachel C Forcino, Jesse Jansen, Glyn Elwyn

Direct and indirect costs of care influence patients' health choices and the ability to implement those choices. Despite the significant impact of care costs on patients' health and daily lives, patient decision aid (PtDA) and shared decision-making (SDM) guidelines almost never mention a discussion of costs of treatment options as part of minimum standards or quality criteria. Given the growing study of the impact of costs in health decisions and the rising costs of care more broadly, in fall 2021 we organized a symposium at the Society for Medical Decision Making's annual meeting. The focus was on the role of cost information in PtDAs and SDM. Panelists gave an overview of work in this space at this virtual meeting, and attendees engaged in rich discussion with the panelists about the state of the problem as well as ideas and challenges in incorporating cost-related issues into routine care. This article summarizes and extends our discussion based on the literature in this area and calls for action. We recommend that PtDA and SDM guidelines routinely include a discussion of direct and indirect care costs and that researchers measure the frequency, quality, and response to this information.

护理的直接和间接成本影响患者的健康选择和实施这些选择的能力。尽管护理成本对患者的健康和日常生活产生了重大影响,但患者决策辅助(PtDA)和共享决策(SDM)指南几乎从未提及将治疗选择成本作为最低标准或质量标准的一部分进行讨论。鉴于对医疗决策成本影响的研究越来越多,以及更广泛的医疗成本上升,2021年秋季,我们在医学决策学会年会上组织了一次研讨会。重点是成本信息在PtDA和SDM中的作用。小组成员在这次虚拟会议上概述了这一领域的工作,与会者与小组成员就问题的现状以及将成本相关问题纳入日常护理的想法和挑战进行了丰富的讨论。这篇文章总结并扩展了我们在这一领域的文献基础上的讨论,并呼吁采取行动。我们建议PtDA和SDM指南定期包括对直接和间接护理费用的讨论,并建议研究人员衡量这些信息的频率、质量和反应。
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引用次数: 6
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