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Putting People First, a Necessary Change in the Appraisal of Major Infrastructure Projects 以人为本——重大基础设施项目评估的必要变革
Pub Date : 2022-02-04 DOI: 10.55214/jcrbef.v4i1.167
Domingo Penyalver, M. Turró
Public decision-makers must ensure that investments make economic sense and are financially sustainable. When privately financed through public-private partnership agreements, a project has to be bankable as well. In the present political setting, an investment is also expected to be analyzed in terms of its contribution to Global Environmental Objectives (GEOs) and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This means producing relevant information on its contribution to environmental sustainability as well as to social and economic progress. Information on the project’s redistribution impacts is also relevant in relation to SDGs, but particularly in relation to the UNECE vision of People First. This paper emphasizes the importance of following a rigorous methodology that incorporates these redistribution effects to assess any infrastructure investment. The paper also introduces two concepts – Value for People and Value for the Future – that are key to the evaluation of a project’s contribution to socio-economic development.
公共决策者必须确保投资具有经济意义和财务可持续性。当一个项目通过公私合作协议获得私人融资时,它还必须具有可融资性。在当前的政治环境下,投资还应根据其对全球环境目标(GEOs)和可持续发展目标(sdg)的贡献进行分析。这意味着就其对环境可持续性以及对社会和经济进步的贡献提供有关资料。关于项目再分配影响的信息也与可持续发展目标相关,但与联合国欧洲经济委员会“以人为本”的愿景尤其相关。本文强调了在评估任何基础设施投资时,遵循一种包含这些再分配效应的严格方法的重要性。该文件还介绍了两个概念——“人的价值”和“未来的价值”,这两个概念是评估项目对社会经济发展贡献的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Crypto Market and Liquidity Risk in Environments due to Pandemic Uncertainty 由于大流行不确定性,环境中的加密市场和流动性风险
Pub Date : 2022-01-17 DOI: 10.55214/jcrbef.v3i4.164
Jawad Saleemi
The recent pandemic is still under debate and is raising concerns about future economic perspectives. This work investigates whether liquidity is priced in various cryptocurrencies’ returns, and if the relationship has been affected during the COVID-19 period. In a particular trading session analyzed before the pandemic uncertainty, liquidity was priced in returns on Bitcoin, Cardano, and XRP. However, the findings have changed due to the pandemic crisis. During the pandemic uncertainty, liquidity was found to be priced in Cardano returns during the same trading session. In addition, the liquidity cost imposed against accepting the position of Tether on day t-1 was noted to be priced in its returns for day t.
最近的大流行仍在辩论中,并引发了对未来经济前景的担忧。这项工作调查了流动性是否以各种加密货币的回报定价,以及这种关系在COVID-19期间是否受到影响。在疫情不确定性之前分析的一个特定交易时段,流动性是以比特币、卡尔达诺和瑞波币的回报来定价的。然而,由于大流行危机,调查结果发生了变化。在大流行的不确定性期间,发现流动性在同一交易时段以卡尔达诺回报定价。此外,在第t-1天接受Tether头寸所施加的流动性成本被注意到在第t天的收益中定价。
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引用次数: 0
The Dynamic Impact of Public External Debt on Capital Formation in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Pooled Mean Group Approach 公共外债对撒哈拉以南非洲地区资本形成的动态影响:集合均值组方法
Pub Date : 2021-12-23 DOI: 10.33094/26410265.2021.34.144.157
Chukwunenye N. Kocha, Marshal Iwedi, J. Sarakiri
The increasing reliance on public external debt stocks in Africa and other developing countries has raised the question of debt sustainability, especially in the face of Covid-19, which has forced many counties (both developed and developing) into an unforeseen and unplanned recession. This study contributes to the literature on debt sustainability by examining the effect of public debt on capital formation in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) from 2000 to 2008 using the pooled mean group estimation approach. The debt variables considered are external debt stock, debt service on external debt, and interest payment on external debt. Consistent with the overhang theory, our results show that increasing external debt stock and interest payment on external debts only have a marginal impact on capital formation in the short run and exerts a serious negative effect in the long run. Our results also show that debt service burden has a positive effect on gross fixed capital formation in the long run. Therefore, we argue that despite being faced with a huge debt service burden resulting from large external debt stock, SSA countries are not neglecting investments in critical infrastructures needed to drive economic growth. However, we recommend that increasing government revenue base, minimizing economic waste associated with public expenditure, and intensifying negotiations for debt relief may be a plausible way out.
非洲和其他发展中国家越来越依赖公共外债存量,这引发了债务可持续性问题,特别是在新冠肺炎疫情面前,这迫使许多国家(包括发达国家和发展中国家)陷入了无法预见和计划外的衰退。本研究通过使用混合平均群体估计方法研究2000年至2008年撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)公共债务对资本形成的影响,为债务可持续性的文献做出了贡献。考虑的债务变量包括外债存量、外债的还本付息和外债的利息支付。我们的研究结果与过剩理论一致,表明增加外债存量和外债利息支付在短期内对资本形成只有边际影响,在长期内会产生严重的负面影响。我们的研究结果还表明,长期来看,偿债负担对总固定资本形成有积极的影响。因此,我们认为,尽管由于巨额外债存量而面临巨大的偿债负担,但SSA国家并没有忽视对推动经济增长所需的关键基础设施的投资。然而,我们建议增加政府收入基础,最大限度地减少与公共支出相关的经济浪费,并加强债务减免谈判可能是一个合理的出路。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of Foreign Reserves and Economic Growth on Money Supply: Evidence from the WAMZ Countries 外汇储备和经济增长对货币供给的影响:来自WAMZ国家的证据
Pub Date : 2021-12-23 DOI: 10.33094/26410265.2021.34.158.167
Foday Joof, Alieu S Ceesay
This paper analyzes the impact of foreign currency reserve and economic growth on money supply using panel data from five West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) member states from 2001-2019. The study employed the dynamic technique, fully modified ordinary least squares and dynamic ordinary least squares (FMOLS and DOLS), and the static method (fixed effect model) for the robustness check. The long run results showed that foreign currency reserves (FCR) have a positive impact on money supply, implying that a one percent increase in FCR augments money supply (M2) by 2.87%, 0.44% and 0.08%, respectively, in the long run. Similarly, economic growth is associated with an increase in money supply in both models. Furthermore, the Dumitrescu & Hurlin (2012) estimation revealed a feedback association between foreign currency reserve and money supply. This means that foreign reserves and money supply are complementary. Conversely, a unidirectional causality moving from economic growth to M2 is observed, demonstrating that economic growth causes M2. This outcome is explained by the quantity theory of money (QTM) in which the velocity of money is a positive function of total money supply. As money circulates in the economy as a result of a surge in investments, this consequently increases money stock. Similarly, investment opportunities that are being exploited day-by-day explains the growing money stock (WAMI, 2018). Central banks should endeavor to monitor the expansionary influence of net foreign assets (NFA) on money supply growth in the WAMZ by establishing suitable methods to sterilize foreign exchange infusions into the economy.
本文利用2001-2019年西非货币区(WAMZ)五个成员国的面板数据,分析了外汇储备和经济增长对货币供应量的影响。本研究采用动态方法、全修正普通最小二乘和动态普通最小二乘(FMOLS和DOLS)和静态方法(固定效应模型)进行稳健性检验。长期结果表明,外汇储备(FCR)对货币供应量有积极影响,这意味着从长期来看,FCR每增加1%,货币供应量(M2)分别增加2.87%、0.44%和0.08%。同样,在两种模型中,经济增长都与货币供应量的增加有关。此外,Dumitrescu & Hurlin(2012)的估计揭示了外汇储备与货币供应量之间的反馈关联。这意味着外汇储备和货币供给是互补的。相反,观察到从经济增长到M2的单向因果关系,表明经济增长导致M2。货币数量理论(QTM)解释了这一结果,其中货币流通速度是货币总供应量的正函数。由于投资激增,货币在经济中流通,从而增加了货币存量。同样,每天被利用的投资机会解释了货币存量的增长(WAMI, 2018)。中央银行应努力监测净外国资产(NFA)对WAMZ货币供应增长的扩张性影响,建立适当的方法来冲销向经济注入的外汇。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of Technical and Fundamental Analysis Trading Disciplines on Portfoilo Performance: Short and Long Term Backtest Analysis on Borsa İstanbul National Stock Indices 技术分析和基本分析交易纪律对投资组合绩效的影响:Borsa İstanbul全国股票指数的短期和长期回测分析
Pub Date : 2021-09-13 DOI: 10.33094/26410265.2021.33.128.143
Mustafa Özyeşil
The aim of this study is to comparatively analyze the backtest performances of trading disciplines applied in various portfolio baskets (Bist 30, 50 and 100) for different investment periods (short term – ytd and long term). According to the results of the analysis, it has been determined that in all trading disciplines, the investor has a higher return than the benchmark indicator in a 5-year term, that is, they can earn abnormal returns. Also, the return in the 5-year term is much higher than the 1-year and YTD returns. In the P / E & MA model, the Bist - 50 index in the 5-year period and the Bist - 100 index in the 1-year period provide the maximum return, while according to the P / E model, the Bist-30 and Bist -50 indices provide optimum returns in all maturity options. Based on these findings, it can be expected that if the trading disciplines used in this study are applied in a long term such as 5 years and on the portfolio basket consisting of Bist-30 and Bist-50 industrial stocks, it will maximize returns. In terms of risk and return, in YTD period, the sharpe and treynor ratios of the model portfolio formed in all trading disciplines except M /B trading discipline were lower than in 1 year in the 5-year investment period. This situation arose due to the increased risk of the portfolio as a result of the extended maturity and is in line with our expectations.
本研究的目的是比较分析不同投资周期(短期-年和长期)下不同投资组合篮子(Bist 30、50和100)中交易学科的回测表现。根据分析结果,可以确定在所有交易学科中,投资者在5年期限内的收益高于基准指标,即可以获得异常收益。此外,5年期的回报率远高于1年期和年初至今的回报率。在P / E & MA模型中,5年期的Bist- 50指数和1年期的Bist- 100指数提供了最大的回报,而在P / E模型中,所有到期期权的Bist-30和Bist- 50指数提供了最优的回报。基于这些发现,可以预期,如果将本研究中使用的交易规则应用于长期(如5年),并应用于由Bist-30和Bist-50工业股组成的投资组合篮子,将实现收益最大化。在风险和收益方面,在5年投资期内,除M /B交易纪律外,所有交易纪律所形成的模型投资组合的夏普比率和特雷纳比率均低于1年。出现这种情况是由于期限延长导致投资组合风险增加,符合我们的预期。
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引用次数: 3
Assessment of Financial Deepening on the Growth of Nigerian Economy: 1990-2016 金融深化对尼日利亚经济增长的影响:1990-2016
Pub Date : 2019-09-13 DOI: 10.33094/26410265.2019.12.16.29
Echekoba Felix Nwaolisa, Ubesie Madubuko Cyril
This study was on the assessment of financial deepening on the growth of Nigerian -economy 1990¬-2016. The main objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of private sector credit, money supply and market capitalization on economic growth in Nigeria. The sources of data for this study are CBN statistical Bulletin and National Bureau of Statistics. The data obtained were analyzed using ordinary least square regression (OLS). The result of the analyses showed that the three independent variables of the study all have significant effect on Nigerian financial deepening. It was therefore recommended that policy makers should consider reducing impediments to liquidity in the stock market, easing restrictions on international capital and entry into the market to ensure that more companies are listed, policies aimed to reduce the high incidence of non performing credits to ensure that private sector credits are channeled to the real sector of the economy and monetary authorities should implement policies that increase the flow of investible funds and improves the capacity of banks to extend credit to the economy as this will make broad money supply and private sector, to significantly impact on economic growth in Nigeria.
本研究是对1990 -2016年尼日利亚经济增长的金融深化评估。本研究的主要目的是评估私营部门信贷,货币供应和市场资本化对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。本研究的数据来源为第一财经统计公报和国家统计局。所得数据采用普通最小二乘回归(OLS)进行分析。分析结果表明,本研究的三个自变量对尼日利亚金融深化均有显著影响。因此,建议决策者应考虑减少股票市场流动性的障碍,放宽对国际资本和进入市场的限制,以确保更多的公司上市;政策旨在减少不良信贷的高发生率,以确保私营部门信贷被引导到实体经济部门,货币当局应实施增加可投资资金流动的政策,并提高银行向经济提供信贷的能力,因为这将使广义货币供应和私营部门对尼日利亚的经济增长产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 10
Impact of Merchandize and Services Trade on Economic Growth of Pakistan 商品和服务贸易对巴基斯坦经济增长的影响
Pub Date : 2019-04-03 DOI: 10.33094/26410265.2019.12.30.36
M. Afzal, S. Ahmed, M. W. Shahzad
Trade comprises both merchandize and services trade. However, the former has over eclipsed the latter. Today services trade has also emerged an important component of international trade. Recent studies show that services trade is rapidly growing which assigns relative importance to services trade in developing economies. This study focused on Pakistan and empirically compared services and merchandise trade for the period 2001-2016. Model-I provided robust results. Merchandised trade has positive and significant impact on economic growth of Pakistan. Trade promotion not only depends on domestic economic conditions but also on favourable global economic scenario. Model-II estimation results are visibly different from that of Model-I. Services trade has negative impact on economic growth. Services exports have remained well below services imports that culminated in negative impact on economic growth. Pakistan policy makers may address the services trade seriously in order take care of adverse services trade balance that could be made possible by exploring weak areas of services exports with emphasis on innovation and information technology development.
贸易包括商品贸易和服务贸易。然而,前者已经盖过了后者。今天,服务贸易也成为国际贸易的重要组成部分。最近的研究表明,服务贸易正在迅速增长,这给发展中经济体的服务贸易赋予了相对的重要性。本研究以巴基斯坦为研究对象,对2001年至2016年期间的服务贸易和商品贸易进行了实证比较。模型1提供了稳健的结果。商品贸易对巴基斯坦经济增长有着积极而显著的影响。贸易促进不仅取决于国内经济条件,也取决于有利的全球经济形势。模型二的估计结果与模型一的估计结果有明显的差异。服务贸易对经济增长有负面影响。服务出口仍远低于服务进口,最终对经济增长产生负面影响。巴基斯坦决策者可认真处理服务贸易问题,以便通过探索服务出口的薄弱领域,重点放在创新和信息技术发展方面,来处理不利的服务贸易平衡。
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引用次数: 1
Controversies and Challenges of Islamic Banking: Analysis of Regulatory Reform 伊斯兰银行业的争议与挑战:监管改革分析
Pub Date : 2019-03-15 DOI: 10.33094/26410265.2019.11.12.15
Tijjani Muhammad, D. Mamman, Mujitaba Abubakar Tangaza
Islamic bank has received a warm welcome since after 2009 financial crisis; the Islamic bank had been selected as an alternative to a conventional banking system. Despite its momentum growth, Islamic finance is covered with contemporary controversies and challenges in operation and regulatory reform. The paper advocates contemporary solutions that address these challenges.
自2009年金融危机以来,伊斯兰银行受到了热烈欢迎;伊斯兰银行被选为传统银行体系的替代方案。伊斯兰金融在蓬勃发展的同时,在经营和监管改革方面也面临着当代的争议和挑战。本文提倡采用当代解决方案来应对这些挑战。
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引用次数: 5
Role of the Entrepreneurship in the Development of Industry 企业家精神在工业发展中的作用
Pub Date : 2019-03-05 DOI: 10.33094/26410265.2019.11.1.11
R. Hosseini
Entrepreneurship emphasizes creativity, innovation, effort, commitment, and riskiness. Entrepreneurs in the industry are a factor in product innovation, increased wealth and job creation. Entrepreneur for innovation and creativity must have a spirit of risk and responsibility, purpose-oriented, realistic, transformative, willing, high self-confidence, intellectual, high-skilled, expert, and forward-thinking. The aim of this study, analyzing the role of the entrepreneurship in the growth and development of the country's industry. In this research, it has been tried by reviewing scientific sources and examples of studies qualitatively can be done analysis of the information and data collected. Therefore, it can be concluded in the industrial and economic system of entrepreneurs, the same innovators and owners of ideas and ideas, the main capital and infrastructure are in sustainable development. According to the results of this study, Entrepreneurship is the Foundation of growth and development in the industry and plays a fundamental role in the development of the industry.
企业家精神强调创造、创新、努力、承诺和冒险。该行业的企业家是产品创新、增加财富和创造就业机会的一个因素。创新和创造的企业家必须具有冒险和责任精神,目标导向,现实,变革,自愿,高度自信,智力,高技能,专家和前瞻性思维。本研究的目的,是分析企业家精神在国家产业成长与发展中的作用。在这项研究中,它已经尝试通过审查科学来源和研究的例子定性可以做的信息和数据的分析收集。因此,可以得出结论,在工业和经济系统的企业家,同样的创新者和所有者的想法和想法,主要的资本和基础设施都在可持续发展。根据本研究的结果,企业家精神是行业成长和发展的基础,对行业的发展起着根本性的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Knowledge Hiding as an Unprecedented Auxiliary in the Knowledge Management Process for Protection and to Achieve Innovation: The Case of a Pharmaceutical MNE Operating in Egypt 在知识管理过程中,知识隐藏作为保护和实现创新的前所未有的辅助手段:以一家在埃及经营的制药跨国公司为例
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.33094/26410265.2021.33.109.127
S. Abdo, D. Edgar
This paper investigates the process and strategies used by a pharmaceutical MNE in Egypt to acquire, assimilate, transform, apply and protect its knowledge for the purpose of achieving innovation. The analysis is conducted through the lens of absorptive capacity theory and based on seven interviews with key stakeholders to explore how knowledge protection practices and supporting mechanisms were applied to achieve innovation and organizational effectiveness., Thematic analysis reveals that Knowledge infrastructure capabilities constitute the backbone of knowledge processing capabilities, supported by other constituents such as appropriability regime mechanisms, the role of management (HRM), knowledge management approach, knowledge hiding, and the absorptive capacity. The study concludes that successful knowledge management is a byproduct of integrating knowledge infrastructure capability with processing capabilities, and mediated by knowledge hiding mechanisms and strategies. The findings offer a valuable empirical perspective from a pharmaceutical MNE operating in Egypt and provide new insights into the nature of the intermediating influences of knowledge management processes that lead to innovation and superior organizational performance.
本文研究了埃及一家制药跨国公司为实现创新而获取、吸收、转化、应用和保护其知识的过程和策略。本文从吸收能力理论的角度出发,通过对7位主要利益相关者的访谈,探讨了知识保护实践和支持机制如何应用于实现创新和组织效率。专题分析表明,知识基础设施能力构成知识处理能力的主干,并得到适当性机制、管理角色(HRM)、知识管理方法、知识隐藏和吸收能力等要素的支持。研究认为,成功的知识管理是知识基础设施能力与知识处理能力相结合的副产品,并以知识隐藏机制和策略为中介。研究结果提供了一个有价值的经验视角,来自一家在埃及经营的制药跨国公司,并提供了新的见解,了解导致创新和卓越组织绩效的知识管理过程的中介影响的性质。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Contemporary Research in Business, Economics and Finance
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