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Telecommunications, productivity and regional dependence: a comparative analysis between the Brazil, China and main developed regions in the post-reform period 电信、生产力与区域依赖——后改革时期巴西、中国与主要发达地区的比较分析
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-03-31 DOI: 10.1186/s40008-022-00263-x
A. Betarelli, W. Faria, R. L. Montenegro, Fernando Salgueiro Perobelli, Luiz Carlos de Santana Ribeiro
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引用次数: 0
A new method of identifying key industries: a principal component analysis 一种确定重点产业的新方法:主成分分析法
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-03-02 DOI: 10.1186/s40008-022-00261-z
Lefteris Tsoulfidis, Ioannis Athanasiadis
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引用次数: 2
Trade efficiency under FTA for Thailand’s agricultural exports: copula-based gravity stochastic frontier model 自由贸易协定下泰国农产品出口贸易效率:基于copula的重力随机前沿模型
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-02-17 DOI: 10.1186/s40008-023-00303-0
Arisara Romyen, Chonrada Nunti, Paramin Neranon
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引用次数: 0
Regional economic structure and heterogeneous effects of monetary policy: evidence from Indonesian provinces 区域经济结构与货币政策的异质性效应:来自印尼各省的证据
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-06 DOI: 10.1186/s40008-021-00260-6
Harry Aginta, Masakazu Someya
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引用次数: 1
Carbon emissions versus value-added in export-driven countries: case of Vietnam. 出口驱动型国家的碳排放与附加值:越南的例子。
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-09-08 DOI: 10.1186/s40008-022-00272-w
Phuong Thao Nguyen

Manufacturing for export is gradually becoming the main pillar of economic growth in many developing countries, including Vietnam. Since 1986, Vietnam has adopted an open economic policy and promoted trade activities. Therefore, Vietnam's exports have significantly increased and contributed to economic development. The benefits of exports are undeniable, but Vietnam also faces serious environmental problems caused by these activities. This paper analyzes the impact of Vietnam's export activities on economics and the environment through comparison between carbon emissions and value-added embodied in exports using an input-output model, then provides some recommendations to adjust Vietnam's export strategy in the future. The main findings indicate that carbon dioxide emissions (CO2) embodied in exports have increased from 2006 to 2015. The carbon intensity of exports increases, while the value-added intensity decreases. As compared with production for the domestic market, production for domestic demand creates faster value-added and slower carbon emissions than production for exports. This study suggests that Vietnam should reform its export structure alongside technological improvements and other policy adjustments to curb Vietnam's growing CO2 emissions.

出口制造业正逐渐成为包括越南在内的许多发展中国家经济增长的主要支柱。自1986年以来,越南采取开放的经济政策,促进贸易活动。因此,越南的出口大幅增加,为经济发展做出了贡献。出口的好处是不可否认的,但越南也面临着这些活动造成的严重环境问题。本文运用投入产出模型,通过对越南出口产品的碳排放和附加值的比较,分析了越南出口活动对经济和环境的影响,并对越南未来的出口战略调整提出了建议。研究发现,2006 - 2015年,中国出口隐含的二氧化碳排放量呈上升趋势。出口产品的碳强度增加,而增值强度降低。与面向国内市场的生产相比,面向国内需求的生产比面向出口的生产创造更快的增值和更低的碳排放。这项研究表明,越南应该改革其出口结构,同时进行技术改进和其他政策调整,以遏制越南不断增长的二氧化碳排放。
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引用次数: 4
The role of the agricultural sector in Ghanaian development: a multiregional SAM-based analysis. 农业部门在加纳发展中的作用:基于多区域萨姆的分析。
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.1186/s40008-022-00265-9
Valeria Ferreira, Miguel Ángel Almazán-Gómez, Victor Nechifor, Emanuele Ferrari

Ghana shows remarkable differences in employment and welfare between the southern and northern regions. The promotion of policy focus on the development of the northern regions requires the elaboration of specific databases describing the regional economies. Hence, this work outlines the construction of a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for Ghana for the year 2015 with a high disaggregation of sectors, household income groups and education levels across 10 administrative regions. Linear multisectoral models have been applied to this SAM to estimate socio-economic impacts of potential final demand policies down to a regional level in the Ghanaian economy. Further on, the structural path analysis is used to investigate the role played by different agriculture commodities in transmitting income to different types of households. The results allow for an identification of the most suitable sectors to be promoted due to their ability to generate the highest increases in output, employment and value added in the rest of the economy, as well as those with a significant impact on household income generation. As a result, the primary sector will play a key role in the economic and employment growth of the country. Notably, sorghum and millet, pulses, tobacco, cotton and fibres can be considered favourable crops for development in the Northern region.

加纳南部和北部地区在就业和福利方面存在显著差异。促进以北部地区发展为重点的政策需要制订描述区域经济的具体数据基。因此,本工作概述了2015年加纳社会会计矩阵(SAM)的构建,该矩阵对10个行政区域的部门、家庭收入群体和教育水平进行了高度分解。线性多部门模型已应用于该资产管理模型,以估计潜在的最终需求政策对加纳经济的社会经济影响,直至区域一级。在此基础上,利用结构路径分析研究了不同农产品对不同类型农户收入传导的作用。这些结果使我们能够确定最适合促进的部门,因为它们能够在经济的其他部门中产生最高的产出、就业和增值,以及那些对家庭收入产生重大影响的部门。因此,第一部门将在国家的经济和就业增长中发挥关键作用。值得注意的是,高粱和小米、豆类、烟草、棉花和纤维可被视为有利于北部地区发展的作物。
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引用次数: 4
The damage and reconstruction of the Kumamoto earthquake: an analysis on the impact of changes in expenditures with multi-regional input-output table for Kumamoto Prefecture. 熊本地震的破坏和重建:利用熊本县多地区投入产出表分析支出变化的影响。
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-10-18 DOI: 10.1186/s40008-022-00276-6
Kenta Takeda, Kazuo Inaba

The Kumamoto earthquake which occurred in April 2016 measured twice the maximum seismic intensity of 7, causing serious damage to the Kumamoto Prefecture. This study mainly focuses on the demand side of expenditures, estimating the monthly expenditures for 1 year before and after the earthquake. Then, using the multi-regional input-output table for Kumamoto Prefecture, we analyzes the ripple effects by region of the changes in monthly expenditures due to the earthquake. Expenditures in the prefecture in fiscal year 2016 by month decreased by a cumulative total of 592 billion yen because of the earthquake, which generated a value-added loss of 348 billion yen. On the other hand, expenditures increased by a cumulative total of 648 billion yen caused by reconstruction demand, inducing 375 billion yen in value-added gains. Thus, net increase of the value-added of 27 billion yen occupied 10.9% of net increase of the gross prefectural domestic product between fiscal years 2015-2016. The fluctuation of expenditures, induced production, and induced value-added caused by the earthquake is huge. Although the damage to the prefectural economy was severe, reconstruction demand exceeded it, resulting in a quick recovery. However, at the same time, there was a confirmed delay in restoration in industries that were almost unrelated to reconstruction and in regions with a heavy concentration of damage.

2016 年 4 月发生的熊本地震达到了最大地震烈度 7 级的两倍,给熊本县造成了严重破坏。本研究主要关注支出需求方面,估算地震前后 1 年的月度支出。然后,我们利用熊本县的多地区投入产出表,分析了地震造成的月支出变化在各地区产生的连锁反应。受地震影响,2016 财年县内各月支出累计减少 5920 亿日元,产生附加值损失 3480 亿日元。另一方面,由于重建需求,支出累计增加了 6 480 亿日元,带来了 3 750 亿日元的增加值收益。因此,270 亿日元的附加值净增长占 2015-2016 财年都道府县国内生产总值净增长的 10.9%。地震造成的支出、诱发生产和诱发增加值的波动是巨大的。虽然地震对都道府县经济造成了严重破坏,但重建需求超过了破坏程度,因此恢复较快。然而,与此同时,与重建几乎无关的行业和受损严重的地区的恢复被证实出现了延迟。
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引用次数: 0
Transport equipment network analysis: the value-added contribution. 运输设备网络分析:增值贡献。
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1186/s40008-022-00289-1
Luis Gerardo Hernández García

Emerging in the twenty-first century, Network Science provides practical measures to interpret a system's interactions between the components and their links. Literature has focused on countries' interconnections on the final goods, but its application on the value-added from a network perspective in trade is still imitated. This paper applies network science properties and a multi-regional input-output analysis by using the UNCTAD-Eora Global Value Chain Database on the Transport Equipment value added on 2017 to unwrap the specific structural characteristics of the industry. Results show that the industry is highly centralized. The center of the network is dominated by developed countries, mainly from Europe, the United States, and Japan. Emerging countries such as China, Mexico, Thailand, and Poland also have an important position. In addition, the structure reveals two sub-hubs located in East Europe and North America. By extending to community detection, the network consists of three different communities led by Germany, the United States, and the United Kingdom, associated with more significant value-added flows. The study concludes that flows are not always consistent with the economy's geographical location as usually final goods analysis suggests, and highlight the need to continue using the complex network to reveal the world trade structure.

网络科学出现在21世纪,它提供了实用的方法来解释系统的组成部分及其联系之间的相互作用。文献主要关注的是各国在最终产品上的互联互通,但将其应用于网络视角下的贸易增值方面的研究还比较少。本文运用网络科学属性和多区域投入产出分析,利用UNCTAD-Eora 2017年运输设备增加值全球价值链数据库,揭示了该行业的具体结构特征。结果表明,该行业集中度较高。网络的中心由发达国家主导,主要来自欧洲、美国和日本。中国、墨西哥、泰国、波兰等新兴国家也占有重要地位。此外,该结构还揭示了位于东欧和北美的两个子枢纽。通过扩展到社区检测,该网络由三个不同的社区组成,由德国、美国和英国领导,与更重要的增值流相关。该研究的结论是,流动并不总是与经济的地理位置一致,就像通常的最终产品分析所显示的那样,并强调有必要继续使用复杂的网络来揭示世界贸易结构。
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引用次数: 0
Oil prices, labour market adjustment and dynamic quantile connectedness analysis: evidence from Greece during the crisis. 油价、劳动力市场调整和动态分位数连通性分析:来自危机期间希腊的证据。
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1186/s40008-022-00291-7
Panagiotis Palaios, Evangelia Papapetrou

This paper examines the spillover effects transmission mechanism between oil prices, oil price uncertainty and oil price volatility on labour market in Greece, using static and dynamic quantile connectedness methodology (Diebold and Yilmaz Diebold and Yilmaz, Int J Forecast 28:57-66, 2012; Ando et al. Ando T, Greenwood-Nimmo N, Shin Y (2018) 'Quantile connectedness: Modelling tail behavior in the topology of financial networks', Working Paper. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3164772.). There is empirical evidence that the oil price variable is the most influential node of the energy variables on hirings and firings, suggesting the endogeneity of the labour market variables. Rolling estimation analysis based on the quantile VAR to capture the volatility spillovers across the whole conditional distribution shows a large variation of the total connectedness index, which is responsive to exogenous adverse and beneficial shocks. Further, our results point to a strong effect due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the state intervention to sustain the pandemic on the labour market. Overall, the analysis reveals a substantial higher time-varying connectedness of the system at the tails of the distribution, indicating that changes in energy markets asymmetrically affect the Greek labour market in recessionary and flourishing states of the economy, rather than normal times.

本文采用静态和动态分位数连系方法,考察了油价、油价不确定性和油价波动对希腊劳动力市场的溢出效应传导机制(Diebold and Yilmaz,《国际预测》28:57-66,2012;安藤等人。Ando T, Greenwood-Nimmo N, Shin Y (2018)分位数连通性:金融网络拓扑中的尾部行为建模,工作论文。https://ssrn.com/abstract=3164772)。有经验证据表明,石油价格变量是能源变量中对招聘和解雇影响最大的节点,这表明劳动力市场变量具有内生性。基于分位数VAR来捕捉整个条件分布的波动溢出效应的滚动估计分析表明,总连通性指数的变化很大,它对外部不利和有利冲击都有响应。此外,我们的研究结果表明,COVID-19大流行和国家干预对劳动力市场产生了强烈影响。总体而言,分析显示,在分布的尾部,系统的时变连通性要高得多,这表明能源市场的变化在经济衰退和繁荣时期对希腊劳动力市场的影响是不对称的,而不是在正常时期。
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引用次数: 2
Surfing alone? The Internet and social capital: evidence from Indonesia. 冲浪呢?互联网和社会资本:来自印度尼西亚的证据。
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-07-27 DOI: 10.1186/s40008-022-00267-7
Bayu Kharisma

The objective of this study is to determine how internet access affects social capital in Indonesia's community, based on the data from the fifth wave of the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) with the instrumental variable (IV) method. The results showed that the use of the Internet plays a significant role in strengthening social capital in Indonesia, especially for male heads of households that have a relationship with neighbors with strong internal cohesion and mutual trust. Internet users in Java and Bali are more affectial in strengthening social capital compared to users outside the islands located in eastern Indonesia. This disparity is because most Indonesian internet users live in the western part of the country. Furthermore, there is a development disparity in regard to internet infrastructure and internet connection service availability throughout the country.

本研究的目的是根据印度尼西亚家庭生活调查(IFLS)第五波的数据,用工具变量(IV)方法确定互联网接入如何影响印度尼西亚社区的社会资本。研究结果显示,互联网的使用对印尼社会资本的强化起着显著的作用,特别是对于与邻居有较强内部凝聚力和相互信任关系的男性户主而言。与位于印度尼西亚东部岛屿以外的用户相比,爪哇和巴厘岛的互联网用户在加强社会资本方面更有影响力。这种差异是因为大多数印尼互联网用户生活在该国的西部地区。此外,在全国范围内,互联网基础设施和互联网连接服务的可用性方面存在发展差距。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Journal of Economic Structures
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