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Hong Kong's Fintech Automation: Economic Benefits and Social Risks 香港金融科技自动化:经济效益与社会风险
Pub Date : 2020-02-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3544072
David C. Donald
This paper examines the rise of fintech, its regulation, and the particular challenges these present for an international financial center (IFC), specifically an IFC with limited economic breadth. Fintech offers automation opportunities for financial institutions, and such automation will in most cases make banks more competitive and lower their labor needs. The Hong Kong government has actively embraced fintech to ensure competitiveness, and its regulation tracks leading international positions on ICOs, cryptocurrency and electronic payment. However, Hong Kong regulators have not facilitated fintech activities that would stimulate the local economy, such as equity crowdfunding.

Automation will generally translate into a reduction of human labor, particularly in mid-level jobs. In a large and varied economy, persons laid off from jobs at banks can seek engagement elsewhere. This is not necessarily true in an IFC with a less diversified economy. Hong Kong presents the highly unusual case of persons in a small IFC who have access to a large and diverse economy in mainland China, yet may refuse to seek new positions in the larger workplace for cultural or political reasons. The Hong Kong government has blithely followed a “market leads, government facilitates” philosophy of laissez faire for decades and thus also has failed to prepare for the social costs of fintech. While such preparation would indeed constitute social planning, an activity generally discouraged in Hong Kong, circumstances dictate that the HKSAR government begin to act socially, rather than merely facilitate the largest businesses.
本文探讨了金融科技的兴起、监管以及国际金融中心(IFC)面临的特殊挑战,特别是经济广度有限的IFC。金融科技为金融机构提供了自动化的机会,在大多数情况下,这种自动化将使银行更具竞争力,降低他们的劳动力需求。香港政府积极拥抱金融科技以确保竞争力,其监管在ico、加密货币和电子支付方面处于国际领先地位。然而,香港监管机构并没有为能够刺激当地经济的金融科技活动提供便利,比如股权众筹。自动化通常会导致人力的减少,尤其是在中级工作岗位上。在一个庞大而多样的经济体中,从银行下岗的人可以在其他地方寻找工作。对于经济多元化程度较低的IFC而言,情况未必如此。香港是一个非常不寻常的例子:在一家小型国际金融公司工作的人,可以接触到中国大陆庞大而多样化的经济,但可能出于文化或政治原因,拒绝在更大的工作场所寻求新的职位。几十年来,香港政府一直轻率地遵循“市场主导、政府促进”的自由放任哲学,因此也未能为金融科技的社会成本做好准备。虽然这样的准备工作确实会构成社会规划,而这种活动在香港通常不被鼓励,但情况要求香港特区政府开始采取社会行动,而不仅仅是为大型企业提供便利。
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引用次数: 2
The Case for a Normatively Charged Approach to Regulating Shadow Banking - Multipolar Regulatory Dialogues as a Means to Detect Tail Risks and Preclude Regulatory Arbitrage 以规范方式监管影子银行的案例——多极监管对话作为发现尾部风险和防止监管套利的手段
Pub Date : 2020-02-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3465534
M. Thiemann, Tobias H. Troeger
This paper contributes to the debate on the adequate regulatory treatment of non-bank financial intermediation (NBFI). It proposes an avenue for regulators to keep regulatory arbitrage under control and preserve sufficient space for efficient financial innovation at the same time. We argue for a normative approach to supervision that can overcome the proverbial race between hare and hedgehog in financial regulation and demonstrate how such an approach can be implemented in practice. We first show that regulators should primarily analyse the allocation of tail risk inherent in NBFI. Our paper proposes to apply regulatory burdens equivalent to prudential banking regulation if the respective transactional structures become only viable through indirect or direct access to (ad hoc) public backstops. Second, we use insights from the scholarship on regulatory networks as communities of interpretation to demonstrate how regulators can retrieve the information on transactional innovations and their risk-allocating characteristics that they need to make the pivotal determination. We suggest in particular how supervisors should structure their relationships with semi-public gatekeepers such as lawyers, auditors and consultants to keep abreast of the risk-allocating features of evolving transactional structures. Finally, this paper uses the example of credit funds as non-bank entities economically engaged in credit intermediation to illustrate the merits of the proposed normative framework and to highlight that multipolar regulatory dialogues are needed to shed light on the specific risk-allocating characteristics of recent contractual innovations.
本文对非银行金融中介(NBFI)的适当监管处理进行了讨论。它为监管机构提供了一条控制监管套利的途径,同时为有效的金融创新保留了足够的空间。我们主张一种规范的监管方法,可以克服金融监管中众所周知的兔子和刺猬之间的竞争,并展示如何在实践中实施这种方法。我们首先表明,监管机构应首先分析NBFI固有的尾部风险分配。我们的论文建议,如果各自的交易结构只能通过间接或直接获得(特设)公共支持才可行,则适用相当于审慎银行监管的监管负担。其次,我们使用监管网络作为解释社区的学术见解来展示监管机构如何检索交易创新及其风险分配特征的信息,这些信息是他们做出关键决定所需的。我们特别建议监管机构应如何构建与律师、审计师和顾问等半公开看门人的关系,以及时了解不断演变的交易结构的风险分配特征。最后,本文以信贷基金作为经济上从事信贷中介的非银行实体为例,说明所提议的规范框架的优点,并强调需要多极监管对话,以阐明最近合同创新的具体风险分配特征。
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引用次数: 2
Time Consistent Solvency Capital Requirement Under Solvency II. 偿付能力II下的时间一致性偿付能力资本要求。
Pub Date : 2020-02-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3536479
A. Gambaro
In this paper, we analyse the current dynamic definitions of the Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) and we propose a new dynamic and time consistent formulation of the SCR, that is compliant with the Solvency II directive. In case of a single liability cash-flow at maturity, Devolder and Lebégue (2017) analyse the time-consistent dynamic formulation of the SCR using iterated risk measures. Firstly, we extend the iterated-SCR (ISCR) formulation to the case of multiple liability cash-flows. However, the iterated formulation of the SCR presents some drawbacks. Devolder and Lebégue (2017) show that using iterated risk measures, the ISCR becomes quite expensive for long term liabilities. Moreover, we show that in case of multiple liability cash-flows, the ISCR is not completely compliant with the Solvency II directive. In fact, ISCR does not answer to a fundamental regulator request: the capital to be held by insurance company to meet obligations over the following year. Then, starting from the static definition in Christiansen and Niemeyer (2014), we propose a dynamic version of the SCR, that is time consistent and encompasses the drawbacks of the iterated formulation. Our proposed dynamic definition of the SCR, called additive-SCR (ASCR), indicates the expected total capital requirement for the period from time zero to the liabilities maturity. Moreover, the ASCR can be decomposed in the annual expected-SCRs (ESCR), which represent the expected regulatory capital for the next year, not only at time zero but also at the futures payment dates. Hence, we build a term structure of expected annual SCRs.
本文分析了当前偿付能力资本要求(SCR)的动态定义,并提出了符合偿付能力II指令的新的动态和时间一致的SCR公式。在单一负债到期现金流的情况下,Devolder和leb(2017)使用迭代风险度量分析了SCR的时间一致性动态公式。首先,我们将迭代scr (ISCR)公式推广到多重负债现金流的情况。然而,SCR的迭代公式存在一些缺陷。Devolder和leb(2017)表明,使用迭代风险度量,ISCR对于长期负债来说变得相当昂贵。此外,我们表明,在多重负债现金流的情况下,ISCR并不完全符合偿付能力II指令。事实上,ISCR并没有回应监管机构的一项基本要求:保险公司为履行未来一年的义务而持有的资本。然后,从Christiansen和Niemeyer(2014)的静态定义开始,我们提出了一个动态版本的SCR,它是时间一致的,并且包含了迭代公式的缺点。我们提出的SCR的动态定义,称为加性SCR (ASCR),表明从时间零到负债到期期间的预期总资本需求。此外,ASCR可以分解为年度预期scr (ESCR), ESCR代表下一年的预期监管资本,不仅在时间零,而且在期货付款日。因此,我们构建了预期年度scr的期限结构。
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引用次数: 0
A Revolution in Progress: Regulating P2P Lending Platforms 一场正在进行的革命:监管P2P借贷平台
Pub Date : 2020-02-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3530901
Moran Ofir, I. Sadeh
Peer-to-peer (P2P) lending, defined broadly as the use of non-bank online platforms that match borrowers with lenders, is arguably one of the most important innovations in the area of alternative finance. It changes the way lenders and borrowers interact, reconstructs the credit market by driving massive disintermediation, and reshapes our general understanding of financial systems. This Article analyzes the current state of the P2P lending market with the goal of developing policy recommendations to facilitate the safe growth of this important market segment. It starts by providing an extensive overview of the P2P lending market from four different perspectives: the financial intermediary role of the platforms, the characteristics of the market, benefits and risks faced by market participants, and its regulation in leading jurisdictions. This descriptive analysis demonstrates how the P2P lending market has changed over time and identifies recent trends, risks, and challenges that require regulatory attention. In light of this analysis, the Article then proceeds to develop three policy recommendations. First, it shows that P2P lending platforms, originally designed to serve as online marketplaces that only match lenders with borrowers, have gradually evolved into new financial intermediaries that perform various brokerage activities and provide tools intended to help lenders manage their credit risks. It then argues that regulation should be modified to better suit this new financial intermediary role and discusses key considerations. Second, the Article proposes imposing consistent disclosure standards tailored to the characteristics of different types of P2P lending platforms. It presents specific examples of such disclosure requirements and provides justifications for imposing them. Finally, the article outlines key concerns related to the increasing involvement of institutional actors in P2P lending platforms — adverse selection among different types of lenders and growing financial stability risks — and discusses their regulatory implications.
点对点(P2P)借贷,广义地定义为使用非银行在线平台将借款人与贷款人匹配起来,可以说是替代金融领域最重要的创新之一。它改变了借贷双方的互动方式,通过推动大规模脱媒来重建信贷市场,并重塑了我们对金融体系的总体理解。本文分析了P2P借贷市场的现状,旨在制定政策建议,以促进这一重要细分市场的安全增长。它首先从四个不同的角度对P2P借贷市场进行了广泛的概述:平台的金融中介作用,市场特征,市场参与者面临的利益和风险,以及主要司法管辖区的监管。这一描述性分析展示了P2P借贷市场是如何随着时间的推移而变化的,并确定了需要监管部门关注的近期趋势、风险和挑战。根据这一分析,本文接着提出三项政策建议。首先,它表明P2P借贷平台最初被设计为只匹配贷款人和借款人的在线市场,已经逐渐演变成新的金融中介机构,执行各种经纪活动,并提供旨在帮助贷款人管理信用风险的工具。然后,它认为应该修改监管,以更好地适应这种新的金融中介角色,并讨论了关键考虑因素。其次,文章建议针对不同类型的P2P借贷平台的特点,制定一致的披露标准。它提出了此类披露要求的具体例子,并提供了实施这些要求的理由。最后,本文概述了与P2P借贷平台中机构参与者日益参与相关的关键问题——不同类型贷方之间的逆向选择和日益增长的金融稳定风险——并讨论了它们的监管含义。
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引用次数: 0
The Deposit Insurance Agency’s Role in the Financial and Pension System of the Russian Federation 存款保险机构在俄罗斯联邦财政和养恤金制度中的作用
Pub Date : 2020-01-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3527890
A. Shashkova
One of the main activities of any state is the formation, distribution and use of public financial One of the main activities of any state is the formation, distribution and use of public financial resources. The idea of the present work lies in the research of the problem of the state regulation of the State Corporation Deposit Insurance Agency (DIA). The DIA is huge on financial matters and regulates the wide variety of aspects from banking problems to pension deposits. The practical value of the work in its practical advice on amending Russian legislation and law enforcement practice to make state corporations accountable to the state.
任何一个国家的主要活动之一就是公共财政资源的形成、分配和使用。本文的研究思路是对国有企业存款保险代理机构的国家监管问题进行研究。DIA在金融事务上有着巨大的影响力,监管着从银行问题到养老金存款的方方面面。该工作的实际价值在于其对修改俄罗斯立法和执法实践以使国有企业对国家负责的实际建议。
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引用次数: 0
Chasing the Wind? A Case for Competitive Popularity as an Approach to Regulating Cryptocurrencies 追风?竞争性流行作为监管加密货币的一种方法
Pub Date : 2020-01-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3529921
E. Mensah
Technology is a gift that keeps on giving and the advent of cryptocurrencies is no exception. Like its predecessors in technological innovation, it has elicited a globally mixed reaction. It has exposed cracks in our financial system, fixed them and created new ones. In a paradoxical twist of bewilderment and fascination, it has simultaneously enticed and repulsed regulators worldwide in varying degrees. This paper envisions a practical solution for the efficient regulation of cryptocurrencies that lies not only in the law but in an economically justifiable approach which involves the participation in the mining of cryptocurrencies by governments on a sufficiently international scale.
技术是一份不断馈赠的礼物,加密货币的出现也不例外。就像它在技术创新方面的前辈一样,它在全球引发了不同的反应。它暴露了我们金融体系的漏洞,修复了它们,并创造了新的漏洞。在困惑和迷恋的矛盾转折中,它在不同程度上同时吸引和排斥了世界各地的监管机构。本文设想了一种有效监管加密货币的切实可行的解决方案,这种解决方案不仅存在于法律中,而且存在于一种经济上合理的方法中,这种方法涉及政府以足够的国际规模参与加密货币的开采。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Stability with Sovereign Debt 主权债务的金融稳定
Pub Date : 2020-01-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3520333
Ryuichiro Izumi
Are government guarantees or fnancial regulation a more effective way to prevent banking crises? I study this question in the presence of a negative feedback loop between the fscal position of the government and the health of the banking sector. I construct a model of fnancial intermediation in which the government issues, and may default on, debt. Banks hold some of this debt, which ties their health to that of the government. The government's tax revenue, in turn, depends on the quantity of investment that banks are able to fnance. I compare the effectiveness of government guarantees, liquidity regulation, and a combination of these policies in preventing self-fulflling bank runs. In some cases, a combination of the two policies is needed to prevent a run. In other cases, liquidity regulation alone is effective and adding guarantees would make the fnancial system fragile.
政府担保还是金融监管是防止银行业危机的更有效方法?我在政府财政状况与银行业健康状况之间存在负反馈循环的情况下研究了这个问题。我构建了一个金融中介模型,在这个模型中,政府发行债务,并可能违约。银行持有部分债务,这将它们的健康与政府的健康联系在一起。反过来,政府的税收收入取决于银行能够融资的投资数量。我比较了政府担保、流动性监管以及这些政策组合在防止自行发生的银行挤兑方面的有效性。在某些情况下,需要结合使用这两种策略来防止挤兑。在其他情况下,流动性监管本身是有效的,而增加担保将使金融体系变得脆弱。
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引用次数: 4
Bitcoin Microstructure and the Kimchi Premium 比特币微观结构和泡菜溢价
Pub Date : 2020-01-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3189051
Kyoung Jin Choi, Alfred Lehar, Ryan Stauffer
Between January 2016 and February 2018, Bitcoin were in Korea on average 4.73% more expensive than in the United States, a fact commonly referred to as the Kimchi premium. We argue that capital controls create frictions as well as amplify existing frictions from the microstructure of the Bitcoin network that limit the ability of arbitrageurs to take advantage of persistent price differences. We find that the Bitcoin premia are positively related to transaction costs, confirmation time in the blockchain, and to Bitcoin price volatility in line with the idea that the delay and the associated price risk during the transaction period make trades less attractive for risk averse arbitrageurs and hence allow prices to diverge. A cross country comparison shows that Bitcoin tend to trade at higher prices in countries with lower financial freedom. Finally unlike the prediction from the stock bubble literature, the Kimchi premium is negatively related to the trading volume, which also suggests that the Bitcoin microstructure is important to understand the Kimchi premium.
2016年1月至2018年2月期间,比特币在韩国的平均价格比美国高出4.73%,这一事实通常被称为“泡菜溢价”。我们认为,资本管制会产生摩擦,也会放大比特币网络微观结构中的现有摩擦,这些摩擦限制了套利者利用持续价格差异的能力。我们发现,比特币溢价与交易成本、区块链中的确认时间和比特币价格波动呈正相关,这与交易期间的延迟和相关价格风险使交易对厌恶风险的套利者的吸引力降低,从而导致价格分化的观点一致。一项跨国比较显示,在金融自由度较低的国家,比特币的交易价格往往更高。最后,与股票泡沫文献的预测不同,泡菜溢价与交易量呈负相关,这也表明比特币的微观结构对理解泡菜溢价很重要。
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引用次数: 30
The Digital Transformation of Payment Systems - Libra`s Impact on the Global Economy 支付系统的数字化转型——Libra对全球经济的影响
Pub Date : 2020-01-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3581507
Enzo Mesanovic
This master thesis examines the conceptual and technical specifications of Facebook's Libra project, which provides a comprehensive understanding of the fiat-backed digital currency, the payment system and financial infrastructures for billions of people to be launched in the first half of 2020. The results demonstrate that Libra could potentially accelerate financial inclusion and improve services within the network, but current drawbacks such as the permissioned blockchain and centralized network limit user participation, and resistance from governments, regulators and legislators underlines the disruptive nature of the project, which, if accepted globally, could have a significant impact on the global economy.
这篇硕士论文研究了Facebook Libra项目的概念和技术规范,该项目全面了解了法定支持的数字货币、支付系统和金融基础设施,将于2020年上半年推出,惠及数十亿人。结果表明,Libra可能会加速金融普惠并改善网络内的服务,但目前的缺点,如许可的区块链和集中式网络限制了用户的参与,以及政府、监管机构和立法者的抵制,突显了该项目的破坏性,如果在全球范围内被接受,可能会对全球经济产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Designing the Anti-Money Laundering Supervisor: Theory, Institutions and Empirics 反洗钱监督员的设计:理论、制度与经验
Pub Date : 2019-12-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3501650
Diego Bartolozzi, M. Gara, D. Marchetti, D. Masciandaro
Using a unique data set, this paper studies the governance of anti-money laundering supervisors known as Financial Intelligence Units (FIUs). Starting from a theoretical framework that highlights four key properties of FIU governance – financial powers, law enforcement features, independence and accountability – we build the first quantitative index of FIU governance. The proposed metrics are then applied in an analysis of 71 countries that explores the drivers of FIU governance properties. Our results show that FIUs’ financial powers tend to be weaker in bank-based economies and stronger in countries with more affiliations with international anti-money laundering organizations. FIU independence and FIU accountability are stronger in countries with higher-quality governments and less opacity in the fiscal and legal systems. With regards to the nexus between country fundamentals and our overall FIU Governance Index, the index generally appears stronger for richer and more transparent countries. It is also stronger for countries with civil (rather than common) law. Finally, given the distinction between administrative FIUs and law enforcement FIUs, we find that overall FIU governance as well as independence and accountability are all weaker in countries with law enforcement FIUs.
本文使用一个独特的数据集,研究了被称为金融情报单位(FIUs)的反洗钱监管机构的治理。从强调金融情报机构治理的四个关键属性——财政权力、执法特征、独立性和问责制——的理论框架出发,我们构建了金融情报机构治理的第一个量化指标。然后,将提出的指标应用于对71个国家的分析,探讨金融情报机构治理特性的驱动因素。我们的研究结果表明,在以银行为基础的经济体中,外国投资委员会的金融权力往往较弱,而在与国际反洗钱组织有更多联系的国家中,外国投资委员会的金融权力往往较强。在政府质量较高、财政和法律体系透明度较低的国家,FIU的独立性和问责制更强。关于国家基本面与我们的整体国际金融联盟治理指数之间的关系,该指数通常在更富裕和更透明的国家表现得更强。对于实行民法(而非普通法)的国家来说,它也更为强大。最后,考虑到行政性外国投资委员会和执法性外国投资委员会之间的区别,我们发现,在拥有执法性外国投资委员会的国家,外国投资委员会的整体治理、独立性和问责制都较弱。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
ERN: Regulation & Supervision (Topic)
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