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Impacts of digitalization on foreign investments in the European region during the COVID-19 pandemic 2019冠状病毒病大流行期间数字化对欧洲地区外国投资的影响
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-13 DOI: 10.1080/21665095.2022.2074863
Leavitt Ha, N. Huyen
ABSTRACT The inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI) worldwide, especially in European countries, suffered a steep fall due to the rapid spread of the COVID-19 virus. This article is the first effort to empirically investigate the nexus between digital transformation and FDI inflows, thereby finding a way to help countries overcome the current situation. Using the data of 23 European countries pre-COVID (2015–2019) and during the COVID health crisis (2020), we demonstrate a nonlinear relationship between digitalization and FDI inflows, implying that a certain extent of digital transformation could promote the inflows of FDI. Before the COVID-19 health crisis, digital business played a critical role in attracting FDI inflows. E-commercial activities also enhanced FDI flows during the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, and digital public services may be an effective tool to help countries overcome the health crisis. Furthermore, digitalization plays a critical role in promoting FDI inflows in both the short term and long term. Hence, digital transformation is an inevitable process that countries need to embrace in order to overcome the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic and resolve the delay or lack of foreign investments.
摘要由于新冠肺炎病毒的迅速传播,全球外国直接投资(FDI)流入量急剧下降,尤其是在欧洲国家。本文首次尝试实证研究数字化转型与外国直接投资流入之间的关系,从而找到帮助各国克服当前形势的方法。利用23个欧洲国家在新冠疫情前(2015-2019)和新冠疫情健康危机期间(2020)的数据,我们展示了数字化与外国直接投资流入之间的非线性关系,这意味着一定程度的数字化转型可以促进外国直接投资的流入。在新冠肺炎健康危机之前,数字业务在吸引外国直接投资流入方面发挥了关键作用。在新冠肺炎疫情蔓延期间,电子商业活动也促进了外国直接投资流动,数字公共服务可能是帮助各国克服健康危机的有效工具。此外,数字化在促进短期和长期外国直接投资流入方面发挥着关键作用。因此,数字化转型是各国需要接受的一个不可避免的过程,以克服新冠肺炎疫情的挑战,解决外国投资的延迟或缺乏问题。
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引用次数: 3
The impact of COVID-19, vaccination, and non-pharmaceutical policies on Ethiopian trade: a structural gravity using semi-parametric machine learning COVID-19、疫苗接种和非药品政策对埃塞俄比亚贸易的影响:使用半参数机器学习的结构重力
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-19 DOI: 10.1080/21665095.2022.2072924
Mandefrot Amare, L. Zemedu, A. Mehare, Ketema Bekele
ABSTRACT The COVID-19 outbreak in early 2020 had a significant impact on human health and the economy. To effectively manage this pandemic, we must balance economic losses and health benefits. We must use real-time data to accomplish this. The literature currently available for Ethiopia is based on simulations of pre-COVID macroeconomic data and economic indicators. Using a Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood estimator for a machine learning semi-mixed effect model (SMEM) of structural gravity, this study estimated the impact of COVID-19 cases and deaths, vaccinations, and non-pharmaceutical policies on Ethiopian trade. Cases, deaths, and the stringency index all have statistically significant negative effects on bilateral exports and imports. Vaccinations, on the other hand, have a statistically significant positive impact on both bilateral exports and imports. When compared to bilateral imports, Ethiopia's bilateral exports suffer greatly. Import substitution and increased vaccination coverage and rates are the policy implications.
2020年初爆发的新冠肺炎疫情对人类健康和经济产生了重大影响。为了有效管理这场大流行,我们必须平衡经济损失和健康利益。我们必须使用实时数据来实现这一点。目前为埃塞俄比亚提供的文献是基于对covid - 19前宏观经济数据和经济指标的模拟。本研究使用结构重力机器学习半混合效应模型(SMEM)的泊松伪最大似然估计器,估计了COVID-19病例和死亡、疫苗接种和非药物政策对埃塞俄比亚贸易的影响。病例、死亡和严格程度指数都对双边进出口产生统计上显著的负面影响。另一方面,疫苗接种对双边出口和进口都有统计上显著的积极影响。与双边进口相比,埃塞俄比亚的双边出口受到很大影响。进口替代和增加疫苗接种覆盖率和接种率是政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
A partnership approach to the design and use of a quantitative measure: Co-producing and piloting the WASH gender equality measure in Cambodia and Nepal 设计和使用定量措施的伙伴关系方法:在柬埔寨和尼泊尔共同制定和试行讲卫生男女平等措施
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-17 DOI: 10.1080/21665095.2022.2073248
D. Gonzalez, Rana Abdel Sattar, Ratan Budhathoki, N. Carrard, Rachel P. Chase, Joanne Crawford, G. Halcrow, Tyler Kozole, Jess MacArthur, C. Nicoletti, Veasna Toeur, Min Prasad Basnet, Aastha Chhetri, H. Gurung, Ambika Yadav, Pa Vourchnea, J. Willetts
ABSTRACT The connections between WASH and gender equality have been extensively explored and documented using qualitative approaches, but not yet through quantitative means in ways that can strengthen WASH programming. The Water, Sanitation and Hygiene Gender Equality Measure (WASH-GEM) is a novel quantitative multidimensional tool co-produced in partnership between researchers and practitioners. This article explores three dimensions of the WASH-GEM co-production and implementation: (i) the role of partnerships in co-production processes for bringing contextual and practitioner knowledge into measure development; (ii) selected results from the validation pilot in Cambodia and Nepal (n = 3,056) that demonstrate ways in which the measure can inform WASH programming through analysis at different levels and with different co-variants; and (iii) the collaborative process of translating research into programming. The study illustrates that strong partnership and co-production processes were foundational for the development of a conceptually rigorous quantitative measure that has practical relevance. The findings presented in this article have implications for future measure development and WASH programming that aims to influence gender equality in rural communities.
摘要:人们已经使用定性方法对讲卫生运动与性别平等之间的联系进行了广泛的探索和记录,但还没有通过定量方法来加强讲卫生运动的规划。水、环境卫生和个人卫生性别平等措施(WASH-GEM)是研究人员和从业者合作开发的一种新的定量多层面工具。本文探讨了WASH-GEM联合制作和实施的三个方面:(i)合作伙伴关系在联合制作过程中的作用,将背景知识和从业者知识纳入衡量发展;(ii)柬埔寨和尼泊尔验证试验的选定结果(n = 3056),其展示了该措施可以通过不同水平和不同共变体的分析来告知讲卫生运动规划的方式;三将研究转化为方案拟订的合作进程。该研究表明,强有力的合作伙伴关系和共同生产过程是制定具有实际意义的概念上严格的定量措施的基础。这篇文章中提出的研究结果对未来旨在影响农村社区性别平等的措施制定和讲卫生运动方案具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 4
Contributions of scientific research to regional development in the Amazonas region, northern Peru 科学研究对秘鲁北部亚马逊地区区域发展的贡献
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-17 DOI: 10.1080/21665095.2022.2074492
Jhonsy Silva, Nilton B. Rojas-Briceño, Daniel Tineo, E. Morales, Jhovana Sopla, Jhordy Perez, Nelson Rodríguez, Samia Fernández, Roicer Bautista, Malena Mas, Gabriela Campos, Wildor Gosgot, Lily Juárez, Lorenzo Culqui, Miguel Bautista, Nina Castañeda, M. López, M. S. Calderon, D. E. Bustamante
ABSTRACT The relevance of scientific research to local challenges and the need to produce actionable knowledge that benefits local development have not been evaluated. This study evaluates whether scientific research focused on the Amazonas region is framed within its five regional components of the Concerted Regional Development Plan (CRDP) to achieve sustainable development. In this study, 386 scientific articles published during 1960–2021 focusing on the Amazonas region were evaluated. Although Amazonas is the third poorest region in Peru, scientific production in this region has largely increased (CAGR2001-2021 = 16.4%). However, women and indigenous authors are underrepresented suggesting a unilateral knowledge transfer. The highest scientific contribution was reported for component 1 of the CRDP (58%), centering on topics about the conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Scientific research focusing on the Amazonas region fails to fully aboard the overall sustainable components of the CRDP. Social sciences are clearly understudied. It is the role of regional institutions (government, universities, industry, non-profit, etc.) to ensure the extension of research topics covering other dimensions of scientific knowledge and social needs. Conclusively, it is pending that local policymakers take into consideration emerging disciplines that can provide an updated perspective in developmental policies in the Amazonas region.
科学研究与当地挑战的相关性以及产生有利于当地发展的可操作知识的必要性尚未得到评估。这项研究评估了以亚马逊地区为重点的科学研究是否在协调区域发展计划(CRDP)的五个区域组成部分的框架内实现了可持续发展。在这项研究中,对1960年至2021年间发表的386篇关于亚马逊地区的科学论文进行了评估。虽然亚马逊地区是秘鲁第三贫穷的地区,但该地区的科研产量大幅增加(CAGR2001-2021 = 16.4%)。然而,妇女和土著作者的代表性不足,这表明存在单方面的知识转移。据报道,CRDP的组成部分1的科学贡献最高(58%),主要集中在生物多样性保护和生态系统服务方面。以亚马逊地区为重点的科学研究未能充分利用CRDP的整体可持续组成部分。社会科学显然没有得到充分的研究。区域机构(政府、大学、工业、非营利组织等)的作用是确保涵盖科学知识和社会需求的其他方面的研究课题的扩展。最后,当地决策者是否应该考虑新兴学科,为亚马逊地区的发展政策提供一个新的视角。
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引用次数: 1
The effect of financial development on economic growth and income distribution: an empirical evidence from lower-middle and upper-middle-income countries 金融发展对经济增长和收入分配的影响:来自中低收入和中高收入国家的经验证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-26 DOI: 10.1080/21665095.2022.2065325
Zaheer Abbas, G. Afshan, Ghulam Mustifa
ABSTRACT Financial development and its relationships with economic growth and income inequality have recently received considerable attention. The present study investigates the relationships between financial development and (i) economic growth, using data from 44 countries; (ii) economic inequality, using data from 42 middle-income countries. Estimates are obtained through a panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model for a period of 23 years (1995-2018). Results reveal that financial development contributes to economic growth in both groups of countries in the long run. However, the contribution financial development makes to economic growth is more noticeable in the case of upper-middle income countries. Additionally, Granger causality test based on Vector Error Correction (VEC) showed two-way Granger causality between financial development and economic growth. Findings disclosed an inverted U-shaped association between financial development and income inequality for both lower-middle income and upper-middle income countries. This study can aid policymakers in designing policies that can strengthen financial systems, thereby enhancing economic growth and reducing income inequality.
金融发展及其与经济增长和收入不平等的关系最近受到了相当大的关注。本研究利用来自44个国家的数据,调查了金融发展与(一)经济增长之间的关系;(ii)经济不平等,使用来自42个中等收入国家的数据。通过面板自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型获得了23年(1995-2018)的估计值。结果表明,从长远来看,金融发展有助于这两组国家的经济增长。然而,金融发展对经济增长的贡献在中上收入国家更为显著。此外,基于向量误差校正(VEC)的格兰杰因果关系检验表明,金融发展与经济增长之间存在双向格兰杰因果。调查结果显示,中低收入和中上收入国家的金融发展与收入不平等之间存在倒U型关联。这项研究可以帮助决策者制定加强金融系统的政策,从而促进经济增长和减少收入不平等。
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引用次数: 5
Technical efficiency indicator for economic sustainability in Koga Irrigation and Watershed Project: Ethiopia 科加灌溉和流域项目经济可持续性技术效率指标:埃塞俄比亚
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-07 DOI: 10.1080/21665095.2022.2057345
A. Belay, B. Simane, E. Teferi
ABSTRACT Economic sustainability is particularly important in agriculture. It is related to the basic economic goal of farmers and the reason for their economic activities. Household-level adaptation and mitigation measures reflect the relative importance of economic goals for sustainability. Researchers collected data via a questionnaire designed to include household demographics, farm-specific variables, inputs, and outputs. The empirical model uses stochastic frontier and technical inefficiency models to analyze economic sustainability. Bered and Teleta were the two most economically sustainable and unsustainable regions. Differences in levels of economic sustainability have been attributed to characteristics that are expected to vary from household to household and from region to region. Output-oriented and input-oriented measures of inefficiency loss show that agriculture can be more economically sustainable as long as it is less efficient. Farmers could expand production with existing inputs, or they could reduce their inputs without lowering production levels. In addition, the return to scale was compared with the growth potential in each region. The political decision makers, therefore, seem to emphasize efforts to improve efficiency instead of investing in new technologies and inputs for the greater economic sustainability of the Koga Irrigation and Watershed Project.
经济可持续性在农业领域尤为重要。它关系到农民的基本经济目标和农民进行经济活动的原因。家庭一级的适应和缓解措施反映了经济目标对可持续性的相对重要性。研究人员通过问卷收集数据,问卷设计包括家庭人口统计、农场特定变量、投入和产出。实证模型采用随机前沿模型和技术无效率模型对经济可持续性进行分析。伯尔和特莱塔是两个经济上最可持续和最不可持续的地区。经济可持续性水平的差异归因于家庭与家庭、区域与区域之间的不同特征。以产出为导向和以投入为导向的低效率损失衡量指标表明,只要农业效率较低,它在经济上就可以更具可持续性。农民可以利用现有投入扩大生产,也可以在不降低生产水平的情况下减少投入。此外,对各地区的规模回报与增长潜力进行了比较。因此,政治决策者似乎强调努力提高效率,而不是投资于新技术和投入,以提高古贺灌溉和流域项目的经济可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Fostering a reading culture: evidence from Qatar Reads 培养阅读文化:来自卡塔尔阅读的证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-27 DOI: 10.1080/21665095.2022.2050774
Logan Cochrane, Ozcan Ozturk, Hanieh Khataee, Reem Al-Hababi, Fatema Al-Malki, Hisham Nourin
ABSTRACT Qatar has experienced rapid economic development in recent decades and has made large investments in the education sector to improve learning outcomes. The Qatar National Vision of 2030 also aspires to encourage life-long learning, one enabler of which is fostering a reading culture. This paper assesses one program that has aimed to enable this change and the modalities it employs, thereby contributing evidence regarding this under-studied country within rapid transition. The evidence suggests that the majority of children who participate in the program significantly improve their attitude toward reading without any gendered differences. The findings also show that compared to before joining the program, the majority of participating children spend more time reading, and the majority of parents spend more time reading with/to their children. However, these positive behavioral changes are not experienced by all children or parents. We also explore key barriers to change, relating to time limitations, challenges related to technology, and individual difficulties. Based on this case study assessment, recommendations are offered to enhance the activities of the program, particularly regarding barriers as well as for expanding the coverage of the program and broadening inclusion.
摘要近几十年来,卡塔尔经济发展迅速,并在教育部门进行了大量投资,以提高学习成绩。《卡塔尔2030年国家愿景》也致力于鼓励终身学习,其中一个推动因素是培养阅读文化。本文评估了一个旨在实现这一变革的项目及其采用的模式,从而为这个研究不足的快速转型国家提供了证据。证据表明,参与该项目的大多数儿童在没有任何性别差异的情况下,对阅读的态度都有了显著改善。研究结果还表明,与加入该项目之前相比,大多数参与的孩子花更多的时间阅读,大多数父母花更多的钱与孩子一起阅读。然而,并非所有的孩子或父母都经历过这些积极的行为变化。我们还探讨了变革的主要障碍,包括时间限制、技术挑战和个人困难。根据这一案例研究评估,提出了加强该计划活动的建议,特别是关于障碍以及扩大该计划的覆盖范围和扩大包容性的建议。
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引用次数: 0
A review of the development divide between Global North and South through a Foucauldian perspective 从傅的视角审视全球南北发展差距
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/21665095.2022.2042348
Chiara Rambaldi
ABSTRACT ‘Unequal development’: a cherry narrative always assumed as natural and continuous between the Global North and South. As de facto assumed, the foundation of poverty has always been diagnosed as a domestic and technical immaturity of developing countries that will find a solution within the international economic order. But what if the North–South divide was the direct product of a political palette nurtured by the supposed solution to the problem? In his book The Divide: A Brief Guide to Global Inequality and its Solutions, Jason Hickel turns his back on old developmentalist formulas, challenging the development-machine effectiveness based on foreign intervention and international institutions’ agendas. The author, anthropologist at the London School of Economics, analyses through historical fragments the core of an economic order built over centuries to benefit a small percentage of mankind in the name of progress. Accordingly, his analysis proves eliminating inequality and poverty would mean unsettling the world economic system the international arena is based on. The answer? Eventually, the acceptance of a new economic order willing to embrace debts liberation, more democratic and participatory agencies, and a biased trading system to favor developing nations.
摘要:“不平等发展”:在全球南北之间总是被认为是自然和连续的樱桃叙事。正如事实上所假定的那样,贫穷的根源一直被诊断为发展中国家国内和技术上的不成熟,将在国际经济秩序中找到解决办法。但是,如果南北分歧是由所谓的问题解决方案所孕育的政治调色板的直接产物呢?在他的书《鸿沟:全球不平等及其解决方案简要指南》中,杰森·希克尔抛弃了旧的发展主义公式,挑战了基于外国干预和国际机构议程的发展机器的有效性。作者是伦敦政治经济学院(London School of Economics)的人类学家,他通过历史碎片分析了几个世纪以来以进步的名义为一小部分人造福的经济秩序的核心。因此,他的分析证明,消除不平等和贫困将意味着扰乱国际舞台所依据的世界经济体系。答案吗?最终,接受一个新的经济秩序,愿意接受债务减免,更民主和参与性的机构,以及偏向发展中国家的贸易体系。
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引用次数: 0
Aid allocation decisions of bilateral donors in Ugandan context 双边捐助者在乌干达情况下的援助分配决定
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/21665095.2022.2043174
Hyejin Lee
ABSTRACT Aid allocations choices bilateral donors make can be influenced by the institutional environment of a recipient government and the way this environment is perceived. This study examines bilateral donors’ approaches to their aid allocations in Uganda. Uganda provides an interesting case study since the government’s control over the aid funds decreased considerably over the past decade-with donors significantly tightening aid fungibility while the total aid funds Uganda received increased compared with the previous decade, 2002–2009. The donors seemed to control aid fungibility through aid modalities, sectors and/or channels; most aid was carried out as projects, in health-related sectors and through non-state actors, leaving small leverage for the Ugandan government over the aid funds. These might be the donors’ tactical responses to the cloudy political environment of Uganda by increasing their supervision over the aid funds, instead of cutting them. The largest donor, the United States, mostly shaped the aid portfolio of Uganda showing specific preferences in aid modalities, sectors and channels. Uganda should refine its effort towards an improvement of the national political context. This would increase donors’ confidence and willingness to loosen aid fungibility and lead better use of aid resources.
双边捐助者的援助分配选择可能受到受援国政府的制度环境以及对这种环境的感知方式的影响。本研究审查了双边捐助者在乌干达分配援助的方法。乌干达提供了一个有趣的研究案例,因为在过去十年中,政府对援助资金的控制大幅下降,捐助者明显收紧了援助的可替代性,而乌干达收到的援助资金总额与前十年(2002-2009年)相比有所增加。捐助者似乎通过援助方式、部门和(或)渠道控制援助的可互换性;大多数援助是作为项目、在卫生部门和通过非国家行为体进行的,因此乌干达政府对援助资金的影响力很小。这些可能是捐助者对乌干达阴云密布的政治环境的战术反应,他们加强了对援助资金的监督,而不是削减。最大的捐助国美国在很大程度上塑造了乌干达的援助组合,在援助方式、部门和渠道方面表现出具体的偏好。乌干达应进一步努力改善国家政治环境。这将增强捐助者的信心和意愿,放宽援助的可互换性,更好地利用援助资源。
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引用次数: 2
An empirical analysis of sector-wise private investment for a small open economy 小型开放型经济中私营部门投资的实证分析
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-02-04 DOI: 10.1080/21665095.2022.2032235
Ahsan Abbas, Zaheer Abbas, Ghulam Mustifa
ABSTRACT The present study empirically analyses the sector-wise private investment behaviour in Pakistan using the autoregressive distributed lag model from 1964 to 2015. The results indicate that credit availability and infrastructural development considerably affect private investment in agriculture, industry, and services. However, the user cost of capital does not have any influence on investment. The response of investment demand to credit availability is inelastic (i.e. 0.259) for agriculture but relatively higher for the industrial sector with a magnitude of 0.554. However, its value is slightly higher than the unit elastic value (1.059) in services. Fertiliser use positively impacts investment in agriculture, which is negatively affected by access to water. The values of the corresponding coefficients are 0.726 and −2.731, respectively. Remittances and foreign direct investment positively contribute to private investment in services. Openness significantly demotes private investment in services, and its magnitude is relatively high (−5.127). The findings signify and implicate the role of water availability, government support, and financial development in the agricultural sector. However, a stable political environment and cost of investment are very important for investment activities in the industry. Nevertheless, the role of openness in investment in services is vital.
摘要本研究采用自回归分布滞后模型对1964年至2015年巴基斯坦私营部门的投资行为进行了实证分析。结果表明,信贷供应和基础设施发展对农业、工业和服务业的私人投资产生了重大影响。然而,资金的使用成本对投资没有任何影响。农业的投资需求对信贷可用性的反应是无弹性的(即0.259),但工业部门的投资需求相对较高,幅度为0.554。然而,它的价值略高于服务业的单位弹性值(1.059)。化肥的使用对农业投资产生了积极影响,而农业投资则受到供水的负面影响。相应系数的值分别为0.726和−2.731。汇款和外国直接投资对服务业的私人投资作出了积极贡献。开放显著降低了私人对服务业的投资,其规模相对较高(−5.127)。研究结果表明并暗示了水供应、政府支持和金融发展在农业部门的作用。然而,稳定的政治环境和投资成本对该行业的投资活动非常重要。然而,开放在服务业投资中的作用至关重要。
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引用次数: 1
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Development Studies Research
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