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A Little is Not Enough: How Flexibility Affects Resource Allocation and Outcomes 一点点是不够的:灵活性如何影响资源分配和结果
Pub Date : 2021-09-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3477199
Ankur Chavda
This paper examines investment flexibility from a commitment perspective. Firms can choose to make investments while retaining the option to terminate them prior to completion. This flexibility can mitigate uncertainty about the investment present at the time of its initial funding. However, this flexibility can also detrimentally alter actions within the firm that are necessary for the investment’s success, such as whether scarce firm resources are allocated to the investment. This paper uses a simple model to hypothesize that in some cases flexibility can worsen investment outcomes relative to commitment by changing the level of allocated resources, despite the potential benefits of flexibility. This hypothesis is empirically tested in a dataset of new US television programs, comparing programs which receive commitment in the form of a straight to series orders with programs which are flexibility developed through a piloting process. This paper thus contributes to the growing literature exploring when firms should flexibly invest.
本文从承诺的角度考察了投资灵活性。公司可以选择进行投资,同时保留在完成之前终止投资的选择权。这种灵活性可以减轻在初始融资时对投资存在的不确定性。然而,这种灵活性也会有害地改变公司内部对投资成功所必需的行为,例如是否将稀缺的公司资源分配给投资。本文使用一个简单的模型来假设,在某些情况下,尽管灵活性有潜在的好处,但灵活性可以通过改变分配资源的水平来恶化相对于承诺的投资结果。这一假设在美国新电视节目的数据集中得到了实证检验,比较了以直接到系列订单的形式获得承诺的节目与通过试点过程灵活开发的节目。因此,本文有助于越来越多的文献探讨企业何时应该灵活投资。
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引用次数: 1
Internet Exposure and Social Capital 网络曝光与社会资本
Pub Date : 2021-09-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3923612
L. Becchetti, E. Florio, Sara Mancini
The game theoretical and experimental literature has found ample support for the hypothesis that “face-to-face communication in presence” increases trust and trustworthiness (crucial components of social capital) and, with them, the likelihood of cooperative solutions in social dilemmas. We argue that web exposure increases the share of non-face-to-face relationships that are poorer in terms of creation of interpersonal social capital. We find support for our theoretical hypothesis with an empirical analysis on the European Social Survey since the average time daily spent on the web negatively and significantly affects interpersonal trust. The effect is nonlinear and stronger for women, for the low educated, and for individuals with poorer relational life.
博弈论和实验文献已经为“在场的面对面交流”增加信任和可信度(社会资本的关键组成部分)这一假设提供了充分的支持,并由此增加了在社会困境中合作解决方案的可能性。我们认为,网络曝光增加了非面对面关系的份额,而这些关系在创造人际社会资本方面较差。通过对欧洲社会调查的实证分析,我们发现我们的理论假设得到了支持,因为平均每天在网络上花费的时间对人际信任产生了显著的负向影响。这种影响是非线性的,而且对女性、受教育程度低的人和人际关系较差的人来说更强。
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引用次数: 0
Resisting Media Capture: Mobilizing for Media Freedom in Uganda 抵制媒体占领:动员乌干达媒体自由
Pub Date : 2021-08-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3912443
Carl-Magnus Höglund, Johan Karlsson Schaffer
How can journalist groups and media organizations challenge media capture? Previous research has documented how governments in authoritarian contexts seek to control and dominate the media sector by, for instance, introducing laws and regulations that limit free speech, corrupting licensing systems, and directing government funding and advertisement to loyal media outlets. In Uganda – as in several other countries in Sub-Saharan Africa – government liberalized the media sector in the early 1990s and passed a new constitution that guarantees press freedom, but has since tightened its control of independent media through a range of legislative and regulatory measures as well as outright assaults on individual journalists. However, this raises questions about how the primary targets of such capture – journalists, press freedom groups and media houses – respond to and seek to resist media capture. In this paper, we seek to explain how journalist groups and media organizations can challenge government attempts to subvert independent media. Drawing on original fieldwork data, including a set of semi-structured interviews with journalists and media freedom activists in Uganda, we analyze mobilization strategies to counter government attempts to control the media sector. We tentatively conclude that the media sector as a collective in some cases has been able to push back government control attempts. However, since media houses and journalists in general suffer material and economic deprivation, successful resistance requires combining legal mobilization with other forms of contention.
记者团体和媒体组织如何挑战媒体捕获?以前的研究已经记录了专制政府如何通过引入限制言论自由的法律法规、腐败的许可制度、将政府资金和广告引向忠诚的媒体机构等方式来寻求控制和支配媒体部门。与撒哈拉以南非洲的其他几个国家一样,乌干达政府在20世纪90年代初放开了媒体部门,并通过了一部保障新闻自由的新宪法,但此后通过一系列立法和监管措施加强了对独立媒体的控制,并公然攻击个别记者。然而,这就提出了一个问题,即这种捕获的主要目标- -记者、新闻自由团体和媒体机构- -如何应对和设法抵制媒体捕获。在本文中,我们试图解释记者团体和媒体组织如何挑战政府颠覆独立媒体的企图。根据原始的实地调查数据,包括对乌干达记者和媒体自由活动家的半结构化访谈,我们分析了对抗政府控制媒体部门企图的动员策略。我们初步得出结论,在某些情况下,媒体部门作为一个集体能够击退政府的控制企图。然而,由于新闻机构和记者一般都遭受物质和经济上的剥夺,成功的抵抗需要将法律动员与其他形式的争论结合起来。
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引用次数: 0
Congestion on the Information Superhighway: Does Economics Have a Working Papers Problem? 信息高速公路上的拥堵:经济学有工作论文问题吗?
Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.3386/w29153
Lester Lusher, Winnie Yang, S. Carrell
Publishing takes a long time in economics. Consequently, many authors release “working” versions of their papers. Using data on the NBER working paper series, we show that the dissemination of economics research suffers from an overcrowding problem: An increase in the number of weekly released working papers on average reduces downloads, abstract views, and media attention for each paper. Subsequent publishing and citation outcomes are harmed as well. Furthermore, descriptive evidence on viewership and downloads suggests working papers significantly substitute for the dissemination function of publication. These results highlight inefficiencies in the dissemination of economic research even among the most exclusive working paper series and suggest large social losses due to the slow publication process.
在经济学中,出版需要很长时间。因此,许多作者发布了他们论文的“工作”版本。利用NBER工作论文系列的数据,我们发现经济学研究的传播存在过度拥挤的问题:每周发布的工作论文数量的增加平均减少了每篇论文的下载、抽象观点和媒体关注。随后的发表和引用结果也会受到损害。此外,关于浏览量和下载量的描述性证据表明,工作论文在很大程度上取代了出版物的传播功能。这些结果突出了经济研究的传播效率低下,甚至在最独家的工作论文系列中也是如此,并表明由于出版过程缓慢而造成了巨大的社会损失。
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引用次数: 2
FreeStream FreeStream
Pub Date : 2021-05-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3856345
Archie Chaudhury
This paper reviews FreeStream, a decentralized streaming application built on the Ethereum Blockchain. FreeStream allows content-creators to live stream to audiences all over the world while also serving as a video platform for organizations. Completely decentralized, it does not track any data and enables all users to stay anonymous when exchanging or uploading their data. FreeStream was built on the LivePeer framework, uses Unlock for securing content, and leverages Textile to allow users to upload their data to an IPFS platform. FreeStream’s goal is to advance blockchain’s mission by giving more power to content creators and users.

本文回顾了FreeStream,一个建立在以太坊区块链上的去中心化流媒体应用程序。FreeStream允许内容创作者向世界各地的观众进行直播,同时也可以作为组织的视频平台。它完全去中心化,不跟踪任何数据,并使所有用户在交换或上传数据时保持匿名。FreeStream建立在LivePeer框架上,使用解锁保护内容,并利用Textile允许用户将数据上传到IPFS平台。FreeStream的目标是通过赋予内容创作者和用户更多的权力来推进区块链的使命。
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引用次数: 1
Attention Economics of Instagram Stars: #Instafame and Sex Sells? Instagram明星的注意力经济学:#Instafame和性销售?
Pub Date : 2021-05-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3861486
Sophia Gaenssle
Social media stars create stardom with uploads on social media pages like YouTube, TikTok or Instagram. One of the most popular platforms, especially designed to upload picture contents, is the service “Instagram” owned by Facebook. The growing social, cultural and economic power of social media star phenomenon raises the question about key drivers of success. Does body exposure drive Instagram success? Is there a difference between male and female content in this regard? This paper empirically analyses 500 top Instagram stars within the categories (1) fashion and beauty, (2) fitness and sports, (3) music, (4) photo and arts, (5) food and vegan. The unbalanced panel data set consists of 100 stars within each category over an observation period of five months. The data provides information on popularity measurements, such as subscribers, likes and comments, and most importantly, price estimates per post. Since influencers are not paid by the platform, but mainly by advertisers for promotion of their products, the estimated price per upload combined with the posting frequency serve as a valid proxy for weekly revenue and economic success. Mean comparison tests show that accounts with focus on female accounts have a significantly higher degree in body exposure, while the price per picture is higher for male content. Weekly revenues do not significantly diverge. Furthermore, using panel regressions, I estimate the effect of body exposure and sex on advertising revenue. The results show that body exposure has a positive effect, whereas the sex has no significant influence in the regression estimations. Eventually, this raises the question of a gender pay gap in social media.
社交媒体明星通过在YouTube、TikTok或Instagram等社交媒体页面上上传照片来创造明星形象。Facebook旗下的“Instagram”服务是最受欢迎的平台之一,专门用于上传图片内容。社交媒体明星现象日益增长的社会、文化和经济影响力引发了一个问题,那就是成功的关键驱动因素。晒身体是Instagram成功的驱动力吗?男性和女性在这方面的内容有区别吗?本文实证分析了Instagram上500位顶级明星的分类(1)时尚和美容,(2)健身和运动,(3)音乐,(4)照片和艺术,(5)食物和素食。不平衡面板数据集包括每个类别内的100颗恒星,观察期为5个月。这些数据提供了受欢迎程度的测量信息,比如订阅者、点赞和评论,最重要的是,每个帖子的价格估计。由于网红不是由平台支付报酬,而是主要由广告商支付,用于推广他们的产品,因此每次上传的估计价格与发布频率相结合,可以作为每周收入和经济成功的有效代理。均值对比检验表明,关注女性账号的账号,身体曝光程度明显更高,而男性内容的单张价格更高。每周的收入并没有明显的差异。此外,使用面板回归,我估计身体暴露和性别对广告收入的影响。结果表明,在回归估计中,身体暴露有正影响,而性别没有显著影响。最终,这引发了社交媒体领域性别薪酬差距的问题。
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引用次数: 4
Digital Labor Market Inequality and the Decline of IT Exceptionalism 数字劳动力市场不平等与IT例外主义的衰落
Pub Date : 2020-08-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3680099
Ruiqing Cao, S. Greenstein
Several decades of expansion in digital communications, web commerce, and online distribution have altered the U.S. labor market for IT workers. We characterize the shifts in regional IT labor markets from 2000 to 2018, and find that IT wage growth did not follow an exceptional pattern compared to broader STEM labor market trends. Digital wage inequality increased, almost entirely due to rising local premiums in a few urban metropolises, where wage spreads became narrower than elsewhere. The supply of college-educated workers accounted for a substantial share of the total wage difference between IT labor markets in top locations and other cities. Agglomeration and IT innovation explained a notably larger fraction of the top-location wage premium in more recent years.
几十年来,数字通信、网络商务和在线分销的扩张改变了美国IT工人的劳动力市场。我们描述了2000年至2018年区域IT劳动力市场的变化,并发现与更广泛的STEM劳动力市场趋势相比,IT工资增长并未遵循特殊模式。数字工资不平等加剧,几乎完全是由于一些城市大都市的本地保费上涨,这些城市的工资差距比其他地方要小。在顶级城市和其他城市IT劳动力市场的总工资差异中,受过大学教育的工人的供应占了很大一部分。近年来,集聚和IT创新在顶级城市的工资溢价中所占的比例显著上升。
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引用次数: 0
Remittances, ICT and Pension Income Coverage: The International Evidence 汇款、信息通信技术和养老金收入覆盖:国际证据
Pub Date : 2020-08-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3668982
David Adeabah, Simplice A. Asongu, Charles Andoh
This study examines the impact of remittances and information and communication technology (ICT) on pension at the country level. Our empirical evidence, based on data from 96 countries, indicate a significant non-linearity between remittances, ICT and pension income coverage. First, we find a convex relation between remittances and pension income coverage, indicating that increases in remittance, initially decreases pension income coverage, but as remittance increases beyond a certain point, so too does pension income coverage. This inflection point, where the effect of remittances turns from negative to positive, is estimated to be around 3.09% of GDP. Second, we document a concave relationship between ICT (i.e. mobile subscription and internet penetration) and pension income coverage. An increase in ICT results in increased pension income coverage. However, when ICT reaches a certain point, any further increase is associated with lower pension income coverage. The estimated optimal point is found to be around 140.14 subscriptions (per 100 people) for mobile phone and 27.93 (per 100 people) for internet penetration, respectively. Other implications are discussed.
本研究考察了汇款和信息通信技术对国家一级养恤金的影响。基于96个国家的数据,我们的经验证据表明,汇款、ICT和养老金收入覆盖率之间存在显著的非线性关系。首先,我们发现汇款与养老金收入覆盖率之间存在凸关系,表明汇款的增加最初会降低养老金收入覆盖率,但随着汇款的增加超过一定程度,养老金收入覆盖率也会随之下降。这个拐点,即汇款的影响由负转正,估计约占GDP的3.09%。其次,我们记录了ICT(即移动订阅和互联网普及率)与养老金收入覆盖率之间的凹形关系。信息和通信技术的增加导致养老金收入覆盖面的增加。然而,当信息和通信技术达到某一点时,任何进一步的增加都与较低的养老金收入覆盖率有关。估计最佳点是手机用户140.14人(每100人)左右,互联网普及率27.93人(每100人)左右。本文还讨论了其他影响。
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引用次数: 0
A Window to the World: The Long-Term Effect of Television on Hate Crime 世界之窗:电视对仇恨犯罪的长期影响
Pub Date : 2020-02-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3546864
Marek Endrich
This paper analyzes the long-term impact of television on hate crimes in Germany. In the German Democratic Republic (GDR) foreign television served as a window to the world and exposed viewers to foreign influences. But certain parts of the GDR were excluded from receiving Western television due to geographical features. I argue that this resulted in long-lasting differences in the attitude towards foreigners. Using the spatial variation in signal strength as a natural experiment, the paper tests the effect of Western broadcasts on the rate of hate crimes. Municipalities with no access to foreign broadcasts exhibit a higher degree of xenophobic violence in the period of the migration crisis in Germany between 2014 to 2017. It shows that media can lead to preference changes that persist for a long time after the exposure.
本文分析了电视对德国仇恨犯罪的长期影响。在德意志民主共和国(GDR),外国电视是通向世界的窗口,让观众接触到外国的影响。但由于地理特征,德意志民主共和国的某些地区无法接收西方电视节目。我认为,这导致了对外国人态度的长期差异。利用信号强度的空间变化作为自然实验,本文测试了西方广播对仇恨犯罪率的影响。在2014年至2017年德国移民危机期间,无法接收外国广播的城市表现出更高程度的仇外暴力。它表明,媒体可以导致偏好的变化,并在接触后持续很长时间。
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引用次数: 1
Temporal Resilience of Phishing Detection Models in Machine Learning 机器学习中网络钓鱼检测模型的时间弹性
Pub Date : 2019-12-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3511056
Arvind Abraham, Gilad Gressel, K. Achuthan
Despite 10 years of research into phishing detection with machine learning, with models yielding greater than .95 F1-scores, in the past 10 years there has been a 277.51% increase in phishing attacks. In this work we examine the efficiency of a phishing detection model in terms of model drift. That is given a trained phishing detection model, how long will the model maintain the performance. It is important to examine and detect model drift for phishing detection because of the changing nature of the internet and subsequent phishing attacks. It is known that phishing URLs change intermittently, which causes models to become obsolete after a period of time.
尽管用机器学习对网络钓鱼检测进行了10年的研究,模型的f1得分超过了0.95,但在过去的10年里,网络钓鱼攻击增加了277.51%。在这项工作中,我们从模型漂移的角度检验了网络钓鱼检测模型的效率。即给定一个经过训练的网络钓鱼检测模型,该模型能保持多久的性能。由于互联网和随后的网络钓鱼攻击的性质不断变化,检查和检测模型漂移对于网络钓鱼检测非常重要。众所周知,网络钓鱼url是间歇性变化的,这导致模型在一段时间后变得过时。
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引用次数: 0
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PSN: Communications (Topic)
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