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Geographic distribution of acute chemical incidents—Hazardous Substances Emergency Events Surveillance, nine states, 1999-2008. 急性化学事件的地理分布——危险物质紧急事件监测,9个州,1999-2008。
Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2015-04-10
Randall Young

Problem/condition: Hazardous chemicals are transported and used widely in the United States, and acute chemical releases (lasting <72 hours) are not uncommon. Characterizing acute incidents within geographic areas can help researchers identify spatial patterns and differences and enable public and environmental health and safety practitioners, members of local emergency planning committees, preparedness coordinators, industry managers, emergency responders, and others to prepare for and respond to chemical incidents.

Reporting period: 1999-2008.

Description of system: The Hazardous Substances Emergency Events Surveillance (HSEES) system was operated by the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) during January 1991-September 2009 to collect data on hazardous chemical releases that would enable researchers to describe the public health consequences of these acute releases and to develop activities aimed at reducing the ensuing harm to the public. This report summarizes data for the geographic distribution of reported acute incidents by states, counties, and Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) from the nine states (Colorado, Iowa, Minnesota, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Texas, Washington, and Wisconsin) that participated in HSEES during its last 10 full years of data collection (1999-2008).

Results: A total of 57,975 acute incidents occurred during 1999-2008; five MSAs accounted for 40.1% of all incidents. Texas reported 41% of all incidents reported by the nine states during the 10-year study period, and Colorado reported the fewest incidents (3.4%).

Interpretation: Storage, use, and transport of hazardous substances often are associated with unanticipated releases. In general, releases occurred more frequently in areas that use or store more hazardous chemicals and in urbanized areas compared with rural areas. In rural areas, most incidents were related to the transport of hazardous chemicals. The primary economic activities in an area had a strong influence on the frequency and type of chemicals released in the area. PUBLIC HEALTH IMPLICATIONS: Exposure to hazardous chemicals can have immediate and serious health consequences. Harmful releases can occur wherever hazardous chemicals are used, stored, or transported. The time and location of releases is unpredictable. Taken together, these elements underscore the need for preparedness. A culture of safety, prevention, and preparedness can minimize the consequences of future incidents.

问题/状况:危险化学品在美国广泛运输和使用,急性化学品释放(持续报告期:1999-2008)。系统描述:有害物质紧急事件监测(HSEES)系统由有毒物质和疾病登记局(ATSDR)在1991年1月至2009年9月期间运行,目的是收集有关危险化学品排放的数据,使研究人员能够描述这些急性排放对公众健康的后果,并制定旨在减少对公众随后造成伤害的活动。本报告总结了过去10年(1999-2008年)参与HSEES的9个州(科罗拉多州、爱荷华州、明尼苏达州、纽约州、北卡罗来纳州、俄勒冈州、德克萨斯州、华盛顿州和威斯康星州)的州、县和大都市统计区(MSAs)报告的急性事件的地理分布数据。结果:1999-2008年共发生57,975例急性病例;5个msa占所有事故的40.1%。在10年的研究期间,德克萨斯州报告了9个州报告的41%的事故,科罗拉多州报告的事故最少(3.4%)。解释:有害物质的储存、使用和运输往往与意外释放有关。总的来说,与农村地区相比,使用或储存较多危险化学品的地区和城市化地区的排放更为频繁。在农村地区,大多数事故与危险化学品的运输有关。一个地区的主要经济活动对该地区释放的化学品的频率和类型有很大影响。公共卫生影响:接触危险化学品可产生直接和严重的健康后果。在使用、储存或运输危险化学品的任何地方都可能发生有害物质的释放。释放的时间和地点是不可预测的。综上所述,这些因素强调了做好准备的必要性。安全、预防和准备的文化可以最大限度地减少未来事件的后果。
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引用次数: 0
Public health response to acute chemical incidents—Hazardous Substances Emergency Events Surveillance, nine states, 1999-2008. 1999-2008年9个州对急性化学事件的公共卫生反应——有害物质紧急事件监测。
Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2015-04-10
Natalia Melnikova, Jennifer Wu, Maureen F Orr

Problem/condition: Acute chemical incidents (i.e., uncontrolled or illegal release or threatened release of hazardous substances lasting <72 hours) represent a substantial threat to the environment, public health and safety, and community well-being. Providing a timely and appropriate public health response can prevent or reduce the impact of these incidents.

Reporting period: 1999-2008.

Description of system: The Hazardous Substances Emergency Events Surveillance (HSEES) system was operated by the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) during January 1991-September 2009 to describe the public health consequences of chemical releases and to develop activities aimed at reducing the harm. This report summarizes types, frequency, and trends in public health actions taken in response to hazardous substance incidents in the nine states (Colorado, Iowa, Minnesota, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Texas, Washington, and Wisconsin) that participated in HSEES during its last 10 full years of data collection (1999-2008).

Results: Of the 57,975 HSEES incidents that occurred during 1999-2008, a total of 15,203 (26.2%) incidents resulted in at least one public health action taken to protect public health. Evacuations were ordered in 4,281 (7.4%) HSEES incidents, shelter in place was ordered in 509 (0.9%) incidents, and access to the affected area was restricted in 10,345 (25.9%) incidents. Decontamination occurred in 2,171 (3.7%) incidents; 13,461 persons were decontaminated, including 1,152 injured persons. Actions to protect public health (e.g., environmental sampling or issuance of health advisories) were taken in 6,693 (11.5%) incidents. The highest number of evacuations and orders to shelter in place occurred in Washington (n = 558 [16.1%] and n = 121 [3.2%], respectively). Carbon monoxide and ammonia releases resulted in the highest percentage of orders to evacuate and shelter in place. The most frequently reported responders to chemical incidents were company response teams.

Interpretation: The most frequent public health response was restricting access to the area (26% of incidents), public health actions (12%), evacuation (7%), decontamination (4%), and shelter-in-place (1%). Ammonia and carbon monoxide were associated with adverse health effects in the population and the most public health response actions. Therefore, these chemicals can be considered a high priority for prevention and response efforts. PUBLIC HEALTH IMPLICATIONS: States and communities can collaborate with facilities to use the information collected through community right-to-know legislation and this report to improve chemical safety and protect public health and the environment, such as being prepared to handle the most common chemicals in their area and probable public health actions.

问题/状况:急性化学事件(即危险物质持续不受控制或非法释放或可能释放)报告期间:1999-2008。系统描述:1991年1月至2009年9月期间,有毒物质和疾病登记局(ATSDR)运行了有害物质紧急事件监测系统,以描述化学品释放对公共卫生的影响,并制定旨在减少危害的活动。本报告总结了在过去10年(1999-2008年)的数据收集过程中,参与HSEES的9个州(科罗拉多州、爱荷华州、明尼苏达州、纽约州、北卡罗来纳州、俄勒冈州、德克萨斯州、华盛顿州和威斯康星州)为应对危险物质事件而采取的公共卫生行动的类型、频率和趋势。结果:在1999-2008年期间发生的57,975例HSEES事件中,共有15,203例(26.2%)事件导致至少一次采取公共卫生行动以保护公众健康。在4281起(7.4%)HSEES事件中下令疏散,在509起(0.9%)事件中下令安置避难所,在10345起(25.9%)事件中限制进入受影响地区。发生了2171例(3.7%)净化事件;除污13461人,受伤1152人。在6 693起(11.5%)事件中采取了保护公众健康的行动(例如,环境抽样或发布健康咨询)。华盛顿的疏散和就地避难命令数量最多(n = 558[16.1%]和n = 121[3.2%])。一氧化碳和氨气的释放导致了最高比例的疏散和避难命令。报告中最常见的化学品事故响应人员是公司响应团队。解释:最常见的公共卫生应对措施是限制进入该地区(26%的事件)、公共卫生行动(12%)、疏散(7%)、净化(4%)和就地避难(1%)。氨和一氧化碳与人群中的不良健康影响和大多数公共卫生应对行动有关。因此,这些化学品可被视为预防和应对工作的高度优先事项。对公共卫生的影响:各州和社区可与各设施合作,利用通过社区知情权立法和本报告收集的信息,改善化学品安全,保护公众健康和环境,例如为处理本地区最常见的化学品和可能采取的公共卫生行动做好准备。
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引用次数: 0
Acute chemical incidents surveillance—Hazardous Substances Emergency Events Surveillance, nine states, 1999-2008. 急性化学事故监测-危险物质紧急事件监测,九个州,1999-2008。
Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2015-04-10
Maureen F Orr, Jennifer Wu, Sue L Sloop

Problem/condition: Although they are infrequent, acute chemical incidents (i.e., uncontrolled or illegal release or threatened release of hazardous substances lasting <72 hours) with mass casualties or extraordinary levels of damage or disruption severely affecting the population, infrastructure, environment, and economy occur, and thousands of less damaging chemical incidents occur annually. Surveillance data enable public health and safety professionals to better understand the patterns and causes of these incidents, which can improve prevention efforts and preparation for future incidents.

Reporting period: 1999-2008.

Description of system: The Hazardous Substances Emergency Events Surveillance (HSEES) system was operated by the Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) during January 1991-September 2009 to describe the public health consequences of chemical releases and to develop activities aimed at reducing the harm. This report provides a historical overview of HSEES and summarizes incidents from the nine states (Colorado, Iowa, Minnesota, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Texas, Washington, and Wisconsin) that participated in HSEES during its last 10 full years of data collection (1999-2008).

Results: During 1999-2008, a total of 57,975 chemical incidents occurred: 41,993 (72%) occurred at fixed facilities, and 15,981 (28%) were transportation related. Chemical manufacturing (NAICS 325) (23%) was the industry with the most incidents; however, the number of chemical incidents in chemical manufacturing decreased substantially over time (R² = 0.78), whereas the educational services category (R² = 0.65) and crop production category (R² = 0.61) had a consistently increasing trend. The most common contributing factors for an incident were equipment failure (n = 22,535, 48% of incidents) and human error (n = 16,534, 36%). The most frequently released chemical was ammonia 3,366 (6%). Almost 60% of all incidents occurred in two states, Texas and New York. A decreasing trend occurred in the number of incidents in Texas, Wisconsin, and Colorado, and an increasing trend occurred in Minnesota.

Interpretation: Although chemical manufacturing accounted for the largest percentage of incidents in HSEES, the number of chemical incidents over time decreased substantially for this industry while heightened awareness and prevention measures were being implemented. However, incidents in educational services and crop production settings increased. Trends in incidents and number of incidents varied by state. Only a certain few chemicals, sectors, and areas were found to be related to the majority of incidents and injured persons. Equipment failure and human error, both common casual factors, are preventable. PUBLIC HEALTH IMPLICATIONS: The findings in this collection of surveillance summaries underscore the need for educational instituti

问题/状况:虽然不经常发生,但急性化学事件(即持续的危险物质不受控制或非法释放或威胁释放)报告期间:1999-2008年。系统描述:1991年1月至2009年9月期间,有毒物质和疾病登记局(ATSDR)运行了有害物质紧急事件监测系统,以描述化学品释放对公共卫生的影响,并制定旨在减少危害的活动。本报告提供了HSEES的历史概况,并总结了过去10年(1999-2008)数据收集期间参与HSEES的9个州(科罗拉多州、爱荷华州、明尼苏达州、纽约州、北卡罗来纳州、俄勒冈州、德克萨斯州、华盛顿州和威斯康星州)的事件。结果:1999-2008年共发生化学品事故57975起,其中固定设施事故41993起(72%),运输事故15981起(28%)。化学制造业(NAICS 325)(23%)是发生事故最多的行业;但是,随着时间的推移,化学制造业的化学事故数量大幅减少(R²= 0.78),而教育服务类别(R²= 0.65)和作物生产类别(R²= 0.61)的化学事故数量持续增加。最常见的事故原因是设备故障(n = 22,535,占事故总数的48%)和人为错误(n = 16,534,占事故总数的36%)。最常释放的化学物质是氨3366(6%)。几乎60%的事故发生在德克萨斯州和纽约州。德克萨斯州、威斯康辛州和科罗拉多州的事件数量呈下降趋势,而明尼苏达州的事件数量呈上升趋势。解释:尽管化学品制造占hsee事故的最大比例,但随着意识的提高和预防措施的实施,该行业的化学品事故数量随着时间的推移大幅减少。然而,教育服务和作物生产环境中的事件有所增加。事件的趋势和数量因州而异。只有少数化学品、部门和领域被发现与大多数事件和受伤人员有关。设备故障和人为错误都是常见的偶然因素,是可以预防的。公共卫生影响:本监测摘要收集的结果强调了教育机构和公众需要接受更有针对性的外展。此外,导致大量事故的少数化学品和工业可以成为预防活动的重点。这些监控摘要中的数据表明,设备维护以及防止人为错误的培训可以减轻许多事故;NTSIP已开始在这些领域开展工作。国家监督允许一个国家确定其问题领域、工业和化学品,以进行预防和准备。从2010年开始,ATSDR用国家有毒物质事故计划(NTSIP)取代了HSEES,以扩大HSEES的工作。NTSIP帮助各州收集监测数据,并促进具有成本效益的主动措施,例如转向本质上更安全的设计,开发化学易损区域的地理地图,以及采用绿色化学原则(设计化学产品和工艺以减少或消除有害物质的产生)。由于纽约州和得克萨斯州等人口较多的州发生的事故最多,因此应仔细评估人口密度高的地区,以便采取准备和预防措施。NTSIP为不收集数据的州开发估计的事故数字,以帮助州和国家规划。NTSIP还收集了造成大量伤亡的化学品事故的更详细数据。HSEES和NTSIP数据可用于公共和环境健康与安全从业人员、工人代表、应急规划人员、准备协调员、行业、应急响应人员和其他人员,以准备和预防化学品事故和伤害。
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引用次数: 0
Foreword. 前言。
Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2014-10-31
Thomas R Frieden

This MMWR Supplement presents data related to disease patterns across the United States and describes recent national trends in health status. Indicators of health status (i.e., measures of observed or calculated data on the status of a health condition) were chosen to reflect the range of health issues relevant to CDC's programs that are used across the agency to monitor health. In response to the status of these health issues, CDC works with state and local health systems across the United States on these diseases and others to save lives and protect persons.

这份MMWR增刊提供了与美国各地疾病模式有关的数据,并描述了最近全国健康状况的趋势。健康状况指标(即对健康状况的观察或计算数据的测量)的选择是为了反映与疾病预防控制中心的方案有关的健康问题的范围,该方案在整个机构内用于监测健康。为了应对这些健康问题的现状,疾病预防控制中心与美国各州和地方卫生系统合作,共同应对这些疾病和其他疾病,以拯救生命和保护人民。
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引用次数: 0
CDC National Health Report: leading causes of morbidity and mortality and associated behavioral risk and protective factors--United States, 2005-2013. 疾病预防控制中心国家卫生报告:发病率和死亡率的主要原因以及相关的行为风险和保护因素————美国,2005-2013年。
Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2014-10-31
Nicole Blair Johnson, Locola D Hayes, Kathryn Brown, Elizabeth C Hoo, Kathleen A Ethier

Problem: Although substantial progress has been made in improving the health of persons in the United States, serious problems remain to be solved. Life expectancy is increasing, and the rates of the leading causes of death are improving in many cases; however, numerous indicators (i.e., measures of observed or calculated data on the status of a condition) of the health and safety of the U.S. population remain poor. This report reviews population health in the United States and provides an assessment of recent progress in meeting high-priority health objectives. The health status indicators described in this report were selected because of their direct relation to the leading causes of death and other substantial sources of morbidity and mortality and should be the focus of prevention efforts.

Reporting period covered: Data are reported starting in 2005 (or the earliest available year since 2005) through the current data year. Because data sources and specific indicators vary regarding when data are available, the most recent year for which data are available might range from 2010 to 2013.

Description of the system: Data were obtained from 17 CDC surveys or surveillance systems and three non-CDC sources to provide a view of this particular point of time in the nation's health and trends in recent years. Data from the following CDC surveillance systems and surveys were used: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS); Emerging Infections Program/Active Bacterial Core surveillance (EIP/ABCs); Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network (FoodNet); Internet Panel Surveys: Influenza Vaccination Coverage Among Health-Care Personnel and Influenza Vaccination Coverage Among Pregnant Women; National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NAMCS); National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES); National Health Interview Survey (NHIS); National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN); National HIV Surveillance System; National Hospital Discharge Survey (NHDS); National Immunization Survey (NIS); National Immunization Survey-Teen (NIS-Teen); National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System (NNDSS); Nationally Notifiable STD Surveillance; National Vital Statistics System (NVSS); and Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System (YRBSS). Three non-CDC sources were used: the Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau Monthly Statistical Releases; the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS); and the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration's National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH).

Results: Since 2005, life expectancy at birth in the U.S. has increased by 1 year; however, the number of persons who died prematurely was relatively constant. The years of potential life lost declined for eight of the 10 leading causes of death. Age-adjusted rates declined among all leading causes except deaths attributable to

问题:尽管在改善美国人的健康方面取得了重大进展,但仍有严重问题有待解决。预期寿命在增加,在许多情况下,主要死因的死亡率正在改善;然而,美国人口的健康和安全的许多指标(即对一种状况的观察或计算数据的测量)仍然很差。本报告审查了美国的人口健康状况,并评估了最近在实现高度优先的健康目标方面取得的进展。选择本报告所述的健康状况指标,是因为它们与主要死亡原因和其他发病率和死亡率的主要来源有直接关系,应成为预防工作的重点。所涵盖的报告期:从2005年(或自2005年以来最早的可用年份)开始报告数据,直至当前数据年度。由于数据来源和具体指标因可获得数据的时间而异,可获得数据的最近年份可能在2010年至2013年之间。系统描述:数据来自17个CDC调查或监测系统和3个非CDC来源,以提供近年来国家健康和趋势的这一特定时间点的观点。使用的数据来自以下疾病预防控制中心监测系统和调查:行为风险因素监测系统(BRFSS);新发感染项目/活性细菌核心监测(EIP/ abc);食源性疾病主动监测网络(FoodNet);互联网小组调查:保健人员的流感疫苗接种覆盖率和孕妇的流感疫苗接种覆盖率;全国门诊医疗调查;全国健康和营养检查调查;全国健康访谈调查;国家医疗安全网络;国家艾滋病毒监测系统;全国出院调查;国家免疫调查;全国青少年免疫调查(NIS-Teen);国家法定疾病监测系统;全国应通报的性病监测;国家生命统计系统(NVSS);青少年危险行为监测系统(YRBSS)。本研究使用了三个非疾病预防控制中心来源:烟酒税和贸易局月度统计发布;美国国家公路交通安全管理局死亡分析报告系统(FARS);以及药物滥用和精神健康服务管理局的全国药物使用和健康调查(NSDUH)。结果:自2005年以来,美国出生时的预期寿命增加了1岁;然而,过早死亡的人数相对稳定。在10种主要死亡原因中,有8种的潜在寿命损失年数有所下降。除阿尔茨海默病和自杀导致的死亡外,所有主要原因的年龄调整死亡率均有所下降,尽管大多数原因的死亡人数有所增加。自2005年以来,机动车伤害导致的心脏病、中风和死亡人数显著下降。阿尔茨海默病和自杀的人数和比率都有所增加。因药物中毒而死亡的人数增加了大约11 000人,老年人因跌倒而死亡的人数增加了大约7 000人。这些主要死亡原因的风险和保护因素也显示出好坏参半的进展。目前成年人吸烟率稳定在25%左右,而青少年吸烟率则降至15.7%的历史最低水平。成年人肥胖率保持在35%左右,青少年肥胖率保持在17%左右。大约21%的成年人达到了建议的身体活动水平,与前三年的记录结果一致。血压和胆固醇的控制率分别上升到46.3%和29.5%。在2012-13年流感季节,卫生保健人员的疫苗接种率达到72.0%的高点,18岁儿童的接种率达到56.6%。衡量美国人口健康状况的其他重要指标也各不相同。食源性疾病的发病率每年都有所不同,沙门氏菌和血清型肠炎沙门氏菌的发病率每年平均增加。近年来,李斯特菌的发病率稳定在每10万人0.26例。产志贺毒素的大肠杆菌(STEC) O157在过去3年中增加到每10万人中1.15例,尽管研究期间的年变化总体上平均下降。平均而言,与医疗保健相关的感染在中央静脉相关血流感染(CLABSI)、手术部位感染(SSI)和耐甲氧西林金黄色葡萄球菌(MRSA)感染中有所下降。艾滋病毒感染者知道自己的血清状况的百分比增加到84.2%,但艾滋病毒新感染人数和青少年和成人中艾滋病毒传播率的趋势波动。衣原体感染率平均上升3%。 15-19岁的人每年增长3%,20-24岁的妇女每年增长4.9%。丙型肝炎新病例和丙型肝炎相关死亡人数平均每年增加6.4%和6.0%。孕产妇和儿童健康指标均有所改善,包括婴儿死亡率(每1,000名活产6.1人)和青少年生育率(每1,000名女性人口26.6人)处于历史低位。6个月母乳喂养的婴儿比例增加到49.4%。在19-35个月的儿童中,70.4%接种了一套普遍推荐的疫苗,比上一年增加了2.9%。解读:本报告的研究结果表明,美国在许多优先卫生问题上取得了稳定但缓慢的进展。大多数主要死亡原因的年龄调整率正在下降,但在某些情况下,死亡人数正在增加,这在一定程度上反映了美国人口的增长。近年来,一些保护因素(例如,成年人的身体活动、高血压控制和青少年女性的人乳头瘤病毒疫苗接种)平均大幅增加,但却停滞不前。许多保护性因素,即使是那些显著的相对收益,仍然只代表了美国人口的一小部分(例如,控制29.5%的高胆固醇)。需要更多的数据来正确解释波动趋势,例如在艾滋病毒感染人数和艾滋病毒传播率方面观察到的波动趋势。最后,衣原体和丙型肝炎等疾病的一些指标似乎在增加,这反映了开展有针对性筛查的努力有所增加,但也表明,感染的实际负担比报告的数据本身所显示的要大得多。公共卫生行动:虽然并非包罗万象,但本汇编突出了重要的卫生问题,指出了已取得重大成功的领域,并突出了需要作出更多努力的领域。通过跟踪进展,公共卫生官员、项目经理和决策者可以更好地确定需要改进的领域,并制定政策和项目来改善健康和生活质量。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating the future number of cases in the Ebola epidemic--Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014-2015. 估计2014-2015年利比里亚和塞拉利昂埃博拉疫情的未来病例数。
Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2014-09-26
Martin I Meltzer, Charisma Y Atkins, Scott Santibanez, Barbara Knust, Brett W Petersen, Elizabeth D Ervin, Stuart T Nichol, Inger K Damon, Michael L Washington

The first cases of the current West African epidemic of Ebola virus disease (hereafter referred to as Ebola) were reported on March 22, 2014, with a report of 49 cases in Guinea. By August 31, 2014, a total of 3,685 probable, confirmed, and suspected cases in West Africa had been reported. To aid in planning for additional disease-control efforts, CDC constructed a modeling tool called EbolaResponse to provide estimates of the potential number of future cases. If trends continue without scale-up of effective interventions, by September 30, 2014, Sierra Leone and Liberia will have a total of approximately 8,000 Ebola cases. A potential underreporting correction factor of 2.5 also was calculated. Using this correction factor, the model estimates that approximately 21,000 total cases will have occurred in Liberia and Sierra Leone by September 30, 2014. Reported cases in Liberia are doubling every 15-20 days, and those in Sierra Leone are doubling every 30-40 days. The EbolaResponse modeling tool also was used to estimate how control and prevention interventions can slow and eventually stop the epidemic. In a hypothetical scenario, the epidemic begins to decrease and eventually end if approximately 70% of persons with Ebola are in medical care facilities or Ebola treatment units (ETUs) or, when these settings are at capacity, in a non-ETU setting such that there is a reduced risk for disease transmission (including safe burial when needed). In another hypothetical scenario, every 30-day delay in increasing the percentage of patients in ETUs to 70% was associated with an approximate tripling in the number of daily cases that occur at the peak of the epidemic (however, the epidemic still eventually ends). Officials have developed a plan to rapidly increase ETU capacities and also are developing innovative methods that can be quickly scaled up to isolate patients in non-ETU settings in a way that can help disrupt Ebola transmission in communities. The U.S. government and international organizations recently announced commitments to support these measures. As these measures are rapidly implemented and sustained, the higher projections presented in this report become very unlikely.

2014年3月22日报告了当前西非埃博拉病毒病(以下简称埃博拉)流行的第一例病例,几内亚报告了49例病例。截至2014年8月31日,西非共报告了3685例可能、确诊和疑似病例。为了帮助规划额外的疾病控制工作,CDC构建了一个名为ebolresponse的建模工具,以提供对未来潜在病例数量的估计。如果这种趋势继续下去,而不扩大有效的干预措施,到2014年9月30日,塞拉利昂和利比里亚的埃博拉病例总数将达到约8000例。还计算了潜在的少报校正因子2.5。利用这一修正系数,该模型估计,到2014年9月30日,利比里亚和塞拉利昂总共将发生约2.1万例病例。利比里亚报告的病例每15-20天翻一番,塞拉利昂报告的病例每30-40天翻一番。埃博拉应对建模工具还用于估计控制和预防干预措施如何减缓并最终阻止疫情。在一种假设情景中,如果大约70%的埃博拉患者在医疗保健机构或埃博拉治疗单位(etu)中,或者当这些环境达到能力时,在非etu环境中,从而降低疾病传播的风险(包括在需要时安全埋葬),则疫情开始减少,并最终结束。在另一种假设情景中,每延迟30天将etu的患者百分比增加到70%,就会使流行病高峰期的每日病例数增加约三倍(然而,流行病最终仍会结束)。官员们已经制定了一项计划,以迅速提高埃博拉应急室的能力,并正在开发创新的方法,这些方法可以迅速扩大规模,以隔离非埃博拉应急室环境中的患者,从而有助于破坏埃博拉病毒在社区中的传播。美国政府和国际组织最近宣布了支持这些措施的承诺。由于这些措施得到迅速执行和持续,本报告中提出的较高预测变得非常不可能。
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引用次数: 0
Rationale for periodic reporting on the use of selected clinical preventive services to improve the health of infants, children, and adolescents--United States. 定期报告为改善婴儿、儿童和青少年健康而使用某些临床预防服务的理由————美国。
Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2014-09-12
Lorraine F Yeung, Stuart K Shapira, Ralph J Coates, Frederic E Shaw, Cynthia A Moore, Coleen A Boyle, Stephen B Thacker

This supplement is the second of a series of periodic reports from a CDC initiative to monitor and report on the use of a set of selected clinical preventive services in the U.S. population in the context of recent national initiatives to improve access to and use of such services. Increasing the use of these services can result in substantial reductions in the burden of illness, death, and disability and lower treatment costs. This supplement focuses on services to improve the health of U.S. infants, children, and adolescents. The majority of clinical preventive services for infants, children, and adolescents are provided by the health-care sector. Public health agencies play important roles in increasing the use of these services by identifying and implementing policies that are effective in increasing use of the services and by collaborating with stakeholders to conduct programs to improve use. Recent health-reform initiatives, including efforts to increase the accessibility and affordability of preventive services, fund community prevention programs, and improve the use of health information technologies, offer opportunities to improve use of preventive services. This supplement, which follows a previous report on adult services, provides baseline information on the use of a set of selected clinical preventive services to improve the health of infants, children, and adolescents before implementation of these recent initiatives and discusses opportunities to increase the use of such services. This information can help public health practitioners, in collaboration with other stakeholders that have key roles in improving infant, child, and adolescent health (e.g., parents or guardians and their employers, health plans, health professionals, schools, child care facilities, community groups, and voluntary associations), understand the potential benefits of the recommended services, address the problem of underuse, and identify opportunities to apply effective strategies to improve use and foster accountability among stakeholders.

本增刊是美国疾病控制与预防中心倡议的一系列定期报告中的第二份,该倡议旨在监测和报告美国人口中一系列选定的临床预防服务的使用情况,并在最近国家倡议的背景下改善这些服务的获取和使用。增加这些服务的使用可大大减少疾病、死亡和残疾负担,并降低治疗费用。该补充侧重于改善美国婴儿、儿童和青少年健康的服务。婴儿、儿童和青少年的大多数临床预防服务是由保健部门提供的。公共卫生机构在增加这些服务的使用方面发挥着重要作用,它们确定并实施了有效增加这些服务使用的政策,并与利益攸关方合作开展了改善使用的方案。最近的卫生改革举措,包括努力提高预防服务的可及性和可负担性、资助社区预防规划和改进卫生信息技术的使用,为改进预防服务的使用提供了机会。这份补编是在上一份关于成人服务的报告之后编写的,提供了在实施这些最近的举措之前,为改善婴儿、儿童和青少年的健康而使用一套选定的临床预防服务的基线信息,并讨论了增加使用这些服务的机会。这些信息可以帮助公共卫生从业人员与在改善婴儿、儿童和青少年健康方面发挥关键作用的其他利益攸关方(例如,父母或监护人及其雇主、健康计划、卫生专业人员、学校、托儿设施、社区团体和志愿协会)合作,了解所推荐服务的潜在益处,解决利用不足的问题,并确定机会,应用有效的战略来改善利益相关者的使用和促进问责制。
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引用次数: 0
Early hearing detection and intervention among infants--hearing screening and follow-up survey, United States, 2005-2006 and 2009-2010. 婴儿早期听力检测和干预——听力筛查和随访调查,美国,2005-2006年和2009-2010年。
Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2014-09-12
Marcus Gaffney, John Eichwald, Claudia Gaffney, Suhana Alam
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引用次数: 0
Tobacco use screening and cessation assistance during physician office visits among persons aged 11-21 years--National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, United States, 2004-2010. 11-21岁人群在医生办公室就诊期间的烟草使用筛查和戒烟援助————2004-2010年美国全国流动医疗保健调查。
Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2014-09-12
Ahmed Jamal, Shanta R Dube, Stephen D Babb, Ann M Malarcher
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引用次数: 0
National human papillomavirus vaccination coverage among adolescents aged 13-17 years-National Immunization Survey--teen, United States, 2011. 全国13-17岁青少年人乳头瘤病毒疫苗接种覆盖率-全国青少年免疫调查,美国,2011年。
Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2014-09-12
C Robinette Curtis, Christina Dorell, David Yankey, Jenny Jeyarajah, Harrell Chesson, Mona Saraiya, Rebecca Gold, Eileen F Dunne, Shannon Stokley
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引用次数: 0
期刊
MMWR supplements
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