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Economic Modelling of the Bitcoin Mining Industry 比特币采矿业的经济模型
Pub Date : 2021-08-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3907822
Charles Bertucci, Louis Bertucci, J. Lasry, P. Lions
We propose a homogenous setting for analyzing the production industry of Bitcoin. Miners are assumed to be well diversified and to form a continuum due to free entry. We introduce the notion of real hashrate which is the actual hashrate deflated by the rate of technological progress assumed to be constant, and we show that this is the right measure to consider in such an analysis. In equilibrium, the revenue per unit of real hashrate follows a mean reverting process even with an unbounded reward process. Using the bitcoin blockchain data, we show that our parsimonious model explains well variations in the real hashrate. We provide a quantitative analysis of the R&D investment of mining hardware manufacturers. We show that, in the long run, R&D expenses, as well as the blockchain security and the bitcoin energy consumption, is proportional to the total miners reward (i.e. the bitcoin price).
我们提出了一个同质设置来分析比特币的生产行业。由于自由进入,矿工被认为是多元化的,并形成了一个连续体。我们引入了实际哈希率的概念,它是假定为常数的技术进步率所压缩的实际哈希率,并且我们表明这是在此类分析中考虑的正确度量。在均衡状态下,即使存在无界奖励过程,单位实际算力的收益也遵循均值回归过程。使用比特币区块链数据,我们证明了我们的简约模型很好地解释了实际哈希率的变化。我们对采矿硬件制造商的研发投入进行了定量分析。我们表明,从长远来看,研发费用,以及区块链安全性和比特币能源消耗,与矿工总奖励(即比特币价格)成正比。
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引用次数: 4
What Diplomacy in the Ancient near East Can Tell Us about Blockchain Technology 关于区块链技术,古代近东外交能告诉我们什么
Pub Date : 2017-08-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3016649
C. Berg
A blockchain is an institutional technology—a protocol—that allows for economic coordination between agents separated by boundaries of possible mistrust. Blockchains are not the only technology in history to have these characteristics. The paper looks at the role of the diplomatic protocol at the very beginning of human civilisation in the ancient near east. These two protocols—diplomatic and blockchain—have significant similarities. They were created to address to similar economic problems using similar mechanisms: a permanent record of past dealings, public and ritualistic verification of transactions, and game-theoretic mechanisms of reciprocity. The development of the diplomatic protocol allowed for the creation of the first international community and facilitated patterns of peaceful trade and exchange. Some questions about a generalised ‘protocol economics’ are drawn.
区块链是一种制度技术——一种协议——允许被可能的不信任边界分隔的代理之间进行经济协调。区块链并不是历史上唯一具有这些特征的技术。本文着眼于古代近东人类文明之初外交礼仪的作用。这两种协议——外交协议和区块链协议——有着显著的相似之处。它们的创建是为了使用类似的机制来解决类似的经济问题:过去交易的永久记录,交易的公开和仪式性验证,以及互惠的博弈论机制。外交议定书的发展促成了第一个国际社会的建立,并促进了和平贸易和交流的模式。对广义的“协议经济学”提出了一些问题。
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引用次数: 19
Restructuring of the Scientific Research Institutes Formerly Subordinated to the Russian Academy of Sciencies: An Assesment of Change 原隶属于俄罗斯科学院的科学研究机构的重组:变化评估
Pub Date : 2015-01-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2545020
I. Dezhina
Over the past 11 months of 2014, some measures designed to reform the network of scientifi c research institutes formerly subordinated to the Russian Academy of Sciences were elaborated, a number of conflict-triggering decisions were made, and several new development priorities were put forth. The most alarming prospect in this connection is the possibility of the existing scientifi c research institutions being restructured prior to an assessment of their actual performance level. The most active representatives of the scientific research community responded to these developments by promoting greater independence of research departments and laboratories within the existing institutes – that is, adopting the same strategy that had been practiced in the early 1990s, at the time of rapid and fundamentally destructive developments in the fi eld of science. Those of them who are more passive have also been resorting to the widespread practice of the early 1990s – they look for jobs in foreign countries. Over the fi rst 8 months of 2014, the outflow of human resources from this country exceeded that recorded for every full year over the last one-and-a-half decade.
在2014年过去的11个月里,制定了一些旨在改革原隶属于俄罗斯科学院的科研机构网络的措施,做出了一些引发冲突的决定,并提出了一些新的发展重点。在这方面最令人震惊的前景是,现有的科学研究机构可能在对其实际工作水平进行评估之前进行改组。科学研究界最活跃的代表对这些发展作出的反应是促进现有研究所内的研究部门和实验室更大的独立性,也就是说,采取与1990年代初在科学领域迅速和从根本上具有破坏性的发展时所采取的同样战略。那些比较被动的人也开始采取上世纪90年代初的普遍做法——到国外找工作。在2014年的前8个月里,这个国家的人力资源流出量超过了过去15年里每一年的记录。
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引用次数: 1
Development of a Performance Assessment System for Scientific Research Organisations, as a Part of the Ongoing Rapid Reform 发展科研机构绩效评估体系,作为正在进行的快速改革的一部分
Pub Date : 2014-06-24 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2458415
I. Dezhina
The performance assessment system for scientifi c research organizations, which is currently being developed in Russia, has become an integral part of the ongoing reform in this country’s scientific research complex The assessment principles and criteria are determined by the RF Government’s Decree issued in November 2013; the opinion poll among the directors of research institutes was conducted by the Federal Agency for Research Organizations in April and May 2014. This gave rise to a new wave of debate concerning the parameters to be applied in the assessment. An analysis of the main trends in this debate shows that the issue as to the purposes of the assessment has been overlooked.
俄罗斯目前正在开发的科研机构绩效评估体系已成为该国科研综合体正在进行的改革的组成部分,评估原则和标准由俄罗斯政府于2013年11月颁布的法令确定;这项调查是由联邦研究机构局于2014年4月和5月对研究机构负责人进行的。这引起了新一轮关于评估中应采用的参数的辩论。对这场辩论的主要趋势的分析表明,关于评估目的的问题被忽视了。
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引用次数: 0
Companies Spun Out of Universities: Different Typologies for Different Performance Patterns 大学衍生的公司:不同绩效模式的不同类型
Pub Date : 2013-10-29 DOI: 10.4337/9781781951828.00017
Giuseppe Criaco, T. Minola, Christian Serarols, Apurav Yash Bhatiya
The main objective of this chapter is to critically embrace the heterogeneity of university-based companies, to describe the peculiarity of their founding team (as a form of resource transferred from the university) and to analyze differences in performance among different typologies of university-based companies.
本章的主要目标是批判性地接受基于大学的公司的异质性,描述其创始团队的特殊性(作为一种从大学转移的资源形式),并分析不同类型的基于大学的公司之间的绩效差异。
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引用次数: 20
From Bench to Board: Gender Differences in University Scientists’ Participation in Commercial Science 从法官到董事会:大学科学家参与商业科学的性别差异
Pub Date : 2010-08-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1658475
Waverly W. Ding, Fiona E. Murray, Toby E. Stuart
This paper examines gender differences in the participation of university life science faculty in commercial science. Based on theory and field interviews, we develop hypotheses regarding how scientists’ productivity, co-authorship networks, and institutional affiliations have different effects on whether male and female faculty become “academic entrepreneurs”. We then statistically examine this framework in a national sample of 6,000 life scientists whose careers span more than 20 years. We find sharp gender differences in participation in for-profit ventures, which we measure as the likelihood of joining the scientific advisory board (SAB) of a biotechnology firm. Compared to men, women life scientists are much less likely to advise for-profit biotechnology companies. We also identify factors that contour this gender difference, including scientists’ co-authorship network structure and the level of support for commercial science at their universities. Surprisingly, we find that the (conditional) gender gap is largest among faculty members at the highest status institutions.
本文考察了大学生命科学教师参与商科的性别差异。基于理论和实地访谈,我们提出了关于科学家的生产力、合作网络和机构隶属关系如何对男女教师是否成为“学术企业家”产生不同影响的假设。然后,我们在6000名职业生涯超过20年的生命科学家的全国样本中进行了统计检验。我们发现,在参与营利性企业方面存在明显的性别差异,我们以加入生物技术公司的科学顾问委员会(SAB)的可能性来衡量这一点。与男性相比,女性生命科学家不太可能给营利性生物技术公司提供建议。我们还确定了影响这种性别差异的因素,包括科学家的共同作者网络结构和他们所在大学对商业科学的支持水平。令人惊讶的是,我们发现(有条件的)性别差距在地位最高的院校的教员中最大。
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引用次数: 18
When Do Research Consortia Work Well and Why? Evidence from Japanese Panel Data 研究联盟何时运作良好?为什么?证据来自日本面板数据
Pub Date : 2000-10-01 DOI: 10.1257/000282802760015649
Lee G. Branstetter, Mariko Sakakibara
We examine the impact of a large number of Japanese government-sponsored research consortia on the research productivity of participating firms by measuring their patenting in the targeted technologies before, during, and after participation. Consistent with the theoretical predictions of Katz (1986) and others, we find consortium outcomes are positively associated with the level of potential R&D spillovers within the consortium and (weakly) negatively associated with the degree of product market competition among consortium members. Furthermore, our evidence suggests that consortia are most effective when they focus on basic research.
我们考察了大量日本政府资助的研究财团对参与企业的研究生产力的影响,通过测量他们在目标技术的专利之前,期间和之后的参与。与Katz(1986)等人的理论预测一致,我们发现联盟结果与联盟内部潜在研发溢出水平呈正相关,与联盟成员之间的产品市场竞争程度呈(弱)负相关。此外,我们的证据表明,当财团专注于基础研究时,它们是最有效的。
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引用次数: 420
The Enforceability of Private Money Contracts, Market Efficiency, and Technological Change 私人货币契约的可执行性、市场效率和技术变革
Pub Date : 1991-03-01 DOI: 10.3386/W3645
Gary B. Gorton
The period prior to the U.S. civil War saw the introduction and rapid diffusion of the railroad. It was also the Free Banking Era (1838-1863) during which some states allowed relatively free entry into banking. Banks in all states issued distinct private monies, called bank notes, which circulated at discounts from face value in secondary markets at locations away from the issuing bank. This paper proposes a pricing model for bank notes, and then, using a newly discovered data set of monthly bank note prices for all banks in North America, studies the secondary market for privately issued bank notes during the American Free Banking Era, 1838-1859. To test the model, the durations and costs of trips from Philadelphia to other locations are constructed from pre-Civil War travelers' guides in order to measure improvements resulting from the diffusion of the railroad during this period. The results suggest that the note market accurately priced risk. Systematic wildcat banking was not possible. The transportation costs of note redemption explain only part of bank note discount variation. Bank default risk was differentially priced and such risk premia varied cyclically.
在美国内战之前的一段时间里,铁路被引入并迅速传播。这也是自由银行时代(1838-1863),在此期间,一些州允许相对自由地进入银行业。所有州的银行都发行了不同的私人货币,称为银行券,这些货币在远离发行银行的二级市场上以低于面值的价格流通。本文提出了一个银行票据的定价模型,然后,使用新发现的北美所有银行每月银行票据价格数据集,研究了1838-1859年美国自由银行时代私人发行的银行票据的二级市场。为了测试这个模型,从费城到其他地方的旅行时间和成本是根据内战前的旅行者指南构建的,以衡量这一时期铁路扩散所带来的改善。结果表明,票据市场对风险进行了准确的定价。系统性的野猫银行是不可能的。票据兑付的运输成本只是票据贴现变化的一部分。银行违约风险存在差异定价,风险溢价具有周期性变化。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
IRPN: Innovation & Institutional Economics (Topic)
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