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Variability, cycles, and trends of mean air temperature north of Colombia 哥伦比亚北部平均气温的变化、周期和趋势
Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI: 10.20937/atm.53265
Andrea Patricia Manrique-Cantillo, E. Morales-Acuña, Jean R. Linero-Cueto
Climate variability is of global interest due to its socioeconomic and environmental effects on the world’s population. In Colombia, temperature changes affect food security, especially for the most vulnerable people in the Caribbean region. We analyzed monthly air temperature in northeastern Colombia (Cesar, La Guajira, and Magdalena departments). We reconstructed time series with missing data using nonlinear principal component analysis. Subsequently, temporal variability, associations with events of climatic variability, and temporal trends were evaluated. Periodicity analyses indicate the dominance of annual variability, although statistically significant associations with periods between 3 and 7 years show the influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. The Spearman correlation coefficient with N = 360 and 95% significance shows a better association with the Multivariate ENSO Index (rsp mean = 0.38) and the Southern Oscillation Index (rsp mean = –0.32). The multi-year monthly analysis shows positive trends, with maximum values between March (1.04 ºC month–1), and June (1.07 ºC month–1) in the valley of the Cesar department, and a minimum in March, at the northernmost La Guajira (0.2 ºC month–1).
气候变率因其对世界人口的社会经济和环境影响而引起全球关注。在哥伦比亚,气温变化影响粮食安全,特别是对加勒比地区最脆弱的人群。我们分析了哥伦比亚东北部(塞萨尔、瓜希拉和马格达莱纳省)的月气温。利用非线性主成分分析方法重构了缺失数据的时间序列。随后,对时间变率、与气候变率事件的关联以及时间趋势进行了评估。周期性分析表明年变率占主导地位,尽管统计上与3至7年周期之间的显著关联表明El Niño-Southern涛动(ENSO)事件的影响。Spearman相关系数(N = 360, 95%显著性)与多元ENSO指数(rsp均值= 0.38)和南方涛动指数(rsp均值= -0.32)有较好的相关性。多年逐月分析显示,塞萨尔省谷地3月(1.04℃)至6月(1.07℃)间气温最高,最北端瓜希拉省3月气温最低(0.2℃)。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the academic perceptions of climate engineering in developing countries 探索发展中国家学术界对气候工程的看法
Pub Date : 2023-11-21 DOI: 10.20937/atm.53264
Athar Hussain, Hassaan Sipra, Abdul Waheed, K. Ukhurebor
The idea of climate engineering still remains elusive, particularly in several of those developing countries that are most affected by climate change. This knowledge gap can be addressed by knowing the perception of climate change and then introducing and getting feedback on its modification via climate engineering, from the select group of developing countries. Building upon an earlier attempt to achieve these aims, a new group of three developing countries in the global South (Pakistan, Nigeria, and Kenya) is selected to examine their perspective via a total of more than 1000 responses. Descriptive and inferential results indicate that there are significant differences within the global South on awareness of global warming and climate engineering, as well as on the deployment of sulfate aerosols as a measure to delay the harshest effects of global warming.
气候工程学的概念仍然难以捉摸,特别是在受气候变化影响最大的几个发展中国家。可以通过了解对气候变化的认识,然后从选定的发展中国家群体中介绍气候工程,并获得对通过气候工程改变气候变化的反馈意见,来解决这一知识空白。为了实现这些目标,我们在先前尝试的基础上,选择了全球南部的三个发展中国家(巴基斯坦、尼日利亚和肯尼亚)作为新的研究对象,通过总共 1000 多份答复来研究它们的观点。描述性和推论性结果表明,在对全球变暖和气候工程的认识上,以及在将硫酸盐气溶胶作为延缓全球变暖最严重影响的措施上,全球南方国家之间存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Sea breeze in the Colombian Caribbean coast 哥伦比亚加勒比海海岸的海风
Pub Date : 2018-09-28 DOI: 10.20937/ATM.2018.31.04.06
Ascario Pérez R., Juan Carlos Ortiz R., Luis F. Bejarano A., Luis Otero D., Juan C. Restrepo L., Andrés Franco H.
Circulation of sea breeze is a well-known and important mesoscale system, boosted by different properties of reception and storage of solar heat between land and sea during one day, and its effect on waves, currents, and transport of atmospheric contaminants, among others, has been proven. The aim of this work is to characterize sea breeze in three coastal zones of the Colombian Caribbean, in the north of South America: Riohacha, Barranquilla, and Santa Marta, through the analysis of data from the Instituto de Hidrologia, Meteorologia y Estudios Ambientales (Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies Institute) of Colombia during the period 1981-2008, and a detail analysis in the city of Santa Marta with data from the station of the Jorge Tadeo Lozano University of Bogota in the period January 1 st to December 31, 2010. Gustavsson´s method was used to identify the marine breeze cycle, its duration, frequency, and hourly pattern; hodograph representation and spectral analysis were performed according to the periodogram modified by the Welch method. It was established that the marine breeze signal in the Colombian Caribbean coast is stronger during the dry season (December-March), when it reaches the highest gradients of sea-land temperature and with a predominantly diurnal component. In the city of Santa Marta and central Caribbean, the sea breeze is stronger and more defined compared to those of the cities of Riohacha at the northeast, and Barranquilla at the southwest, reaching an estimated medium value of 4 m s –1 in March, and minimum values of 2 m s –1 in August. In Barranquilla, the sea breeze signal reaches 2.5 m s –1 , while in Riohacha it reaches 1.5 m s –1 , both in the dry season (December-March). According to the results, the strong signal in the city of Santa Marta is related to the gradient of 3 oC between the sea-land temperature in the dry season, while in Barranquilla is 1.2 oC, and in Riohacha it is less than 1oC. Despite having observed a sea-land temperature gradient close to 2.5 oC in July in the city of Riohacha, the hodograph is not well defined, and the signal magnitude is not strong, which could be related to the presence of strong synoptic winds almost the whole year, the desert landscape of the zone, and its geographical position. This the first scientific work related to marine breeze in this region of the Caribbean, and its results constitute an important base for studying the effect that such breezes may have on the spectrum of waves, upwelling, and especially in the transport of contaminants, given that Santa Marta is one of the most important harbors of mineral coal in Colombia, and one of the main touristic destinations in the northern Colombian coast.
海风环流是一个众所周知的重要中尺度系统,受陆地和海洋在一天内接收和储存太阳热量的不同特性的推动,它对波浪、海流和大气污染物的输送等的影响已经得到证实。这项工作的目的是描述南美洲北部哥伦比亚加勒比海三个沿海地区的海风特征:通过对哥伦比亚水文、气象和环境研究所1981-2008年数据的分析,以及对波哥大Jorge Tadeo Lozano大学观测站2010年1月1日至12月31日数据在圣玛尔塔市的详细分析,对列奥哈查、巴兰基利亚和圣玛尔塔进行了研究。Gustavsson的方法被用来确定海风的周期、持续时间、频率和每小时的模式;根据韦尔奇法修正的周期图进行波形表示和频谱分析。经证实,哥伦比亚加勒比海沿岸的海风信号在旱季(12月至3月)更为强烈,此时海风信号达到海陆温度梯度最高,且以日分量为主。在圣玛尔塔市和加勒比中部,海风比东北部的里奥哈察市和西南部的巴兰基利亚市更强,更明确,估计3月份的中值为4米s -1, 8月份的最小值为2米s -1。在巴兰基亚,海风信号达到2.5米s -1,而在里奥阿查,它达到1.5米s -1,都是在旱季(12月至3月)。结果表明,圣玛尔塔市的强信号与旱季海陆温梯度3 oC有关,巴兰基利亚为1.2 oC,列奥阿查小于1oC。尽管在列奥哈察市观测到7月海陆温梯度接近2.5 oC,但其特征不明确,信号强度不强,这可能与该地区几乎全年都存在强天气风、该地区的沙漠地貌及其地理位置有关。这是加勒比海地区第一次与海风有关的科学研究,其结果为研究这种微风对波谱、上升流、特别是污染物运输的影响奠定了重要基础,因为圣玛尔塔是哥伦比亚最重要的矿产煤炭港口之一,也是哥伦比亚北部海岸的主要旅游目的地之一。
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引用次数: 11
Total ozone mass calculation to assess the global ozone behavior 评估全球臭氧行为的总臭氧质量计算
Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.20937/atm.2018.31.03.01
José Luis Pinedo Vega, Carlos H. Ríos Martínez, Mario Molina Almaraz, J. I. Dávila Rangel, F. Mireles García
This work presents an assessment of the global and hemispheric total ozone mass and its interannual variations, using the total number of daily satellite measurements from the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) version 8 and Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) level 3. The mean total ozone mass was 3.1283 ± 0.1337 × 10 12 kg from November 1978 to November 1979, and 2.9979 ± 0.0917 × 10 12 kg from November 2004 to November 2005. The difference (1.3033 ± 0.3221 × 10 11 kg) represents a 4.2 ± 0.3% decrease in 26 yrs (1.615 ± 0.113% per decade), around 3% corresponding to the Northern Hemisphere and 5% corresponding to the Southern Hemisphere; 1.2 and 2.0% per decade, respectively. Differences in total ozone mass trends between Northern and Southern hemispheres indicate a change in geographic ozone distribution in the Southern Hemisphere. A linear fit between November 1978 and November 1991 shows a global ozone decrease of 4.72 × 10 9 kg per year, representing a loss of 1.5% per decade. Additionally, we found a net interannual variation of 16% of the total quantity existing during the equinoxes, when the maximum annual total ozone mass is reached.
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引用次数: 0
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