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Why Regulation Matters for Private Protection Rackets and Public Goods Provision 为什么监管对私人保护费和公共物品供应很重要
Pub Date : 2008-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-9426.00027
E. Zhuravskaya
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引用次数: 1
International Activities of Russian Corporations — Where Does Russian Business Expansion Lead? 俄罗斯企业的国际活动——俄罗斯企业扩张将走向何方?
Pub Date : 2008-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-9426.00197
K. Liuhto, Jari Jumpponen
Russian business activities abroad are expanding rapidly. The recorded FDI outflow from Russia was $3bn in 2000, and is expected to increase. This article describes foreign operations of some 15 of Russia's most internationalised corporations, and discusses the role of their foreign activities in integrating Russia with the global economy.
俄罗斯的海外商业活动正在迅速扩大。2000年,俄罗斯有记录的外国直接投资流出额为30亿美元,预计还会增加。本文介绍了俄罗斯15家国际化程度最高的公司的对外业务,并讨论了它们的对外活动在俄罗斯融入全球经济中的作用。
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引用次数: 6
What Kind of Poverty Alleviation Policy Does Russia Need 俄罗斯需要什么样的扶贫政策
Pub Date : 2008-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-9426.00160
L. Ovcharova, D. Popova
One of the main negative trends of the last decade in Russia has been an unprecedented rise in the numbers of the poor. The economic crisis has entailed an almost two-fold drop in average incomes, modernisation of income distribution has led to an unprecedented increase of income inequality, and the Soviet system of social benefits and privileges oriented to supporting the wealthiest groups has remained in place. The result has been a surge in the poverty rate. This article outlines major issues to be addressed in developing a poverty alleviation policy for Russia. They can be broadly summarised as follows: poverty identification and measurement; analysis of causes and determinants of poverty; adequate economic and social measures to reduce the poverty rate in the current socio-economic situation. Only comprehensive and consistent consideration of these issues will allow a strategy of poverty rate reduction to be formulated.
过去十年来,俄罗斯主要的消极趋势之一是穷人数量空前增加。经济危机导致平均收入几乎下降了两倍,收入分配的现代化导致收入不平等前所未有地加剧,而以支持最富有群体为导向的苏联社会福利和特权制度仍然存在。其结果是贫困率激增。本文概述了在制定俄罗斯扶贫政策时需要解决的主要问题。它们可大致概括如下:查明和衡量贫穷;分析贫穷的原因和决定因素;在目前的社会经济情况下采取适当的经济和社会措施来降低贫困率。只有对这些问题进行全面和一贯的审议,才能制订降低贫困率的战略。
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引用次数: 9
Some Obstacles to Russian Competitiveness 俄罗斯竞争力的一些障碍
Pub Date : 2008-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-9426.00273
S. Rosefielde
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引用次数: 1
Financial‐Industrial Groups in Russia: Virtue or Vice 俄罗斯的金融-工业集团:善还是恶
Pub Date : 2008-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-9426.00062
David Brown, S. Guriev, N. Volchkova
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引用次数: 7
Arrears: The Tide that is Drowning Russia 欠款:淹没俄罗斯的浪潮
Pub Date : 2008-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-9426.00033
N. Ivanova, Charles Wyplosz
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引用次数: 10
The Russian Oil Sector: Finally Ready for Investors? 俄罗斯石油业:终于准备好迎接投资者了吗?
Pub Date : 2008-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-9426.00199
Gert Ziener
More than 10 years after Thane Gustafson characterised the condition of the Russian oil industry as ‘crisis amid plenty’, the situation has not changed for the better. Taking into account the huge resource potential, its performance is still far too weak. After a dramatic decline of oil output during the first five years of transition, production began to stagnate on a non-optimal level of about 300 mn tonnes per year. The main reason for this development is the absence of upstream investment due to an unstable institutional environment. Therefore, it seems to be necessary to implement new legal and tax instruments, which provide incentives to make Russian oil projects more attractive for investors, mainly foreign oil companies.
在塔纳•古斯塔夫森(Thane Gustafson)将俄罗斯石油业的状况描述为“富足中的危机”十多年后,情况并没有好转。考虑到巨大的资源潜力,其绩效还远远不够。在转型的头五年石油产量急剧下降后,产量开始停滞在每年约3亿吨的非最佳水平上。这种发展的主要原因是由于不稳定的制度环境而缺乏上游投资。因此,似乎有必要实施新的法律和税收工具,提供激励措施,使俄罗斯的石油项目对投资者(主要是外国石油公司)更具吸引力。
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引用次数: 1
Industrial Cooperation in the Russian Car Industry 俄罗斯汽车工业的工业合作
Pub Date : 2008-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-9426.00198
Victoria Ashrafian, X. Richet
The automotive industry ranks alongside export-oriented industries as one of the most promising targets for investment in Russia. On the demand side, its future prospects depend on growth of internal demand fuelled by improvement of Russian living standards and also on the capacity of Russian car manufacturers to regain and expand market shares on their traditional markets in the former Soviet Union, India, Latin America and the Middle East. At the same time, Russian car producers have to cope with a new competitive environment brought about by the presence of foreign car producers in the country. On the supply side, production of cars is supported, among other things, by fairly high levels of development in the Russian metallurgy and petrochemical industries. The car industry has outdated equipment and produces obsolete models, but overall its production base is quite strong, although in urgent need of restructuring.
汽车行业与出口导向型行业一样,是俄罗斯最有希望的投资目标之一。在需求方面,其未来前景取决于俄罗斯生活水平提高所推动的内需增长,也取决于俄罗斯汽车制造商在前苏联、印度、拉丁美洲和中东等传统市场上重新获得和扩大市场份额的能力。与此同时,俄罗斯汽车生产商必须应对外国汽车生产商在该国出现所带来的新的竞争环境。在供应方面,除其他外,汽车生产得到了俄罗斯冶金和石化工业相当高水平发展的支持。汽车工业设备落后,车型过时,但整体生产基础相当强大,尽管急需重组。
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引用次数: 3
Russia's External Debt, Solvency and Options for Alternative Capital Inflow 俄罗斯的外债、偿债能力和资本流入的选择
Pub Date : 2008-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-9426.00099
Niina Pautola
At the beginning of this year, Russia owed about $158 bn to foreign governments, Western banks, and multinational lending agencies such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Russia inherited a part of this debt burden from the former Soviet Union, while the rest of it has been accumulated during the transition years. The analysis in the report suggests that the problems of Russias ability to service its external debt and the solutions to these problems are to be found in structural issues (especially fiscal issues) rather than in features of the current account. The short-term alternatives for financing Russias external debt are limited. Significant budget cuts in government spending are unlikely in the near future, money printing would only add to inflation, and receipt of new credits is neither likely nor recommended. The hope of investors who are interested in Russia is that the government will take the route of structural reform. The money earned from Russias trade surplus remains a significant source for debt finance. However, the extent to which Russia can rely on this source depends greatly on world market developments, particularly changes in natural resource prices. Also the Russian authorities will only be able to reap the full benefit of the trade surplus if they can drastically reduce capital flight, which again leads us back to the necessity of structural reforms. In the long-run, without significant improvements in state finances and the investment climate, Russia will continue to have difficulty in making external debt payments and attracting new financing from international capital markets. A debt write-off deal with the Paris Club similar to that, which Russia reached with the London-Club, would ease the debt burden in the short-run. However, this would not solve the fundamental problems. Instead, the long-term solutions lies in new investments, which are the engine of sustainable economic growth. Structural reforms, starting with tax reform, will encourage investments and also encourage people to pay taxes. An increase in real income stimulated by investments also leads to an increase in tax revenue, provided that fiscal discipline is maintained. It remains to be seen whether Russian decision makers have enough political will and fiscal discipline to move from words to actions and implement long-promised structural reforms.
今年年初,俄罗斯欠外国政府、西方银行以及世界银行(World Bank)和国际货币基金组织(International Monetary Fund)等跨国贷款机构约1580亿美元。俄罗斯从前苏联继承了这一债务负担的一部分,而其余部分是在过渡时期积累起来的。报告中的分析表明,俄罗斯偿还外债能力的问题以及这些问题的解决办法应在结构性问题(特别是财政问题)中找到,而不是在经常账户的特点中找到。为俄罗斯外债融资的短期选择有限。近期政府支出不太可能大幅削减预算,印钞只会加剧通胀,接受新的信贷既不可能也不建议。对俄罗斯感兴趣的投资者的希望是,俄罗斯政府将走结构性改革的道路。从俄罗斯贸易顺差中赚取的资金仍然是债务融资的重要来源。然而,俄罗斯对天然气的依赖程度在很大程度上取决于世界市场的发展,尤其是自然资源价格的变化。此外,俄罗斯当局只有在能够大幅减少资本外逃的情况下,才能从贸易顺差中充分获益,这再次让我们回到结构性改革的必要性上来。从长期来看,如果国家财政和投资环境没有显著改善,俄罗斯将继续难以偿还外债,也难以从国际资本市场吸引新的融资。与巴黎俱乐部达成的债务勾销协议,类似于俄罗斯与伦敦俱乐部达成的协议,将在短期内减轻债务负担。然而,这并不能解决根本问题。相反,长期解决方案在于新的投资,这是可持续经济增长的引擎。从税制改革开始的结构性改革将鼓励投资,也将鼓励人们纳税。如果维持财政纪律,投资刺激的实际收入增加也会导致税收增加。俄罗斯决策者是否有足够的政治意愿和财政纪律,将言论转化为行动,实施承诺已久的结构性改革,还有待观察。
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引用次数: 1
Social Policy in Russia: Employment Fund 俄罗斯的社会政策:就业基金
Pub Date : 2008-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-9426.00031
I. Denisova
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引用次数: 0
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Russian Economic Trends
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