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Consumer sentiments across G7 and BRICS economies: Are they related? 七国集团和金砖国家的消费者情绪:它们之间有关联吗?
Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09657-4
L. Gil‐Alana, E. Abakah, N. Carmona-González, A. Tiwari
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引用次数: 0
The trade-off between ESG screening and portfolio diversification in the short and in the long run 短期和长期环境、社会和公司治理筛选与投资组合多样化之间的权衡
Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09652-9
Beatrice Bertelli, C. Torricelli
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetric multifractality and dynamic efficiency in DeFi markets DeFi 市场的非对称多重性和动态效率
Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09655-6
Walid Mensi, Anoop S. Kumar, X. Vo, Sang Hoon Kang
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引用次数: 0
Examining the impact of visibility on market efficiency: lessons from movement in NFL betting lines 考察能见度对市场效率的影响:从美国橄榄球联盟投注线的变动中汲取的教训
Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09656-5
Kevin Krieger, Justin Davis
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引用次数: 0
Manager sentiment, stock return, and the evolving information environment in post-IPO firms 首次公开募股后公司的经理情绪、股票回报率和不断变化的信息环境
Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09653-8
Yixi Ning, Sean Yang, Zhiwen Xiao
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引用次数: 0
The response of money market fund investors and managers to government shutdowns 货币市场基金投资者和基金经理对政府关门的反应
Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09651-w
Kyle D. Allen, Ahmed Baig, Drew B. Winters
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引用次数: 0
An examination of the impact of health insurance enrollment in reducing racial health disparities 检查健康保险登记对减少种族健康差异的影响
Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09650-x
In Jung Song, Inhyuck “Steve” Ha, Won Fy Lee, Minjung Choi
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引用次数: 0
Unbanked consumers and how they pay 没有银行账户的消费者以及他们的支付方式
Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09648-5
Claire Greene, Oz Shy
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引用次数: 0
Are stock and option trades substitutes or complements? evidence from the 2008 short-sale ban 股票和期权交易是替代还是互补?2008年卖空禁令的证据
Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09649-4
Brian Du, Alejandro Serrano, Andre C. Vianna
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引用次数: 0
Are they worth it? – An evaluation of predictions for NBA ‘Fantasy Sports’ 它们值得吗?-对NBA“梦幻体育”预测的评估
Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09646-7
Jörg Döpke, Tim Köhler, Lars Tegtmeier
Abstract ‘Fantasy Sports’ - an internet-based game in which participants chose virtual teams of real professional athletes - has recently gained in popularity. Various firms provide projections regarding athletes’ future performance to help participants choose their virtual teams. We evaluate such forecasts based on 1658 projections regarding NBA basketball of four selected projection providers that were collected in February 2022. We calculate standard measures of forecast quality and find that the use of professional forecasts reduces the errors made in naïve forecasts, but only to a moderate extent. Applying regression-based tests of forecast efficiency, we find that the predictions are inefficient and, in some cases, even biased. Third, pairwise comparisons of the accuracy of the providers suggest notable differences among such providers in the short run. We use a simple optimization algorithm to choose a virtual team for each match day and feed it with the forecasts of the providers. Subsequently, we rank the providers according to the score obtained by these teams. We find small, although in one case significant, long-run differences between the providers, among whom each provides better accuracy than that of a naïve projection based on these athletes’ past performances. Finally, we simulate one-on-one competition among various forecast providers to ascertain the long-term profitability of their services. Given the small magnitude of the detected differences, our results, in brief, raise doubts as to whether the forecasts provided are worth the money.
“梦幻体育”是一种基于互联网的游戏,参与者可以选择由真正的专业运动员组成的虚拟球队。各种各样的公司提供关于运动员未来表现的预测,以帮助参与者选择他们的虚拟团队。我们基于四个选定的预测提供商在2022年2月收集的关于NBA篮球的1658个预测来评估这些预测。我们计算了预测质量的标准度量,发现专业预测的使用减少了naïve预测中的误差,但只是在中等程度上。应用基于回归的预测效率测试,我们发现预测是低效的,在某些情况下,甚至有偏差。第三,对供应商准确性的两两比较表明,这些供应商在短期内存在显著差异。我们使用一个简单的优化算法为每个比赛日选择一个虚拟球队,并将供应商的预测提供给它。随后,我们根据这些团队获得的分数对供应商进行排名。我们发现,尽管在一个案例中存在显著的差异,但提供者之间的长期差异很小,其中每个提供者都比基于这些运动员过去表现的naïve预测提供了更好的准确性。最后,我们模拟了不同预测提供商之间的一对一竞争,以确定其服务的长期盈利能力。考虑到检测到的差异幅度很小,简而言之,我们的结果引起了人们对所提供的预测是否物有所值的怀疑。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Economics and Finance
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