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Defeating Objections to Bayesianism by Adopting a Proximal Facts Approach 通过采用近事实方法击败对贝叶斯主义的反对
IF 0.2 Pub Date : 2018-08-28 DOI: 10.5840/QD20188210
Calum Miller
One major line of attack against probabilistic approaches to the philosophy of science has been to argue that certain results of theirs are in conflict with intuitive notions of confirmation. Thus for example, some have suggested not only that the Hempelian raven paradox1 counts against standard, preprobabilistic notions of scientific confirmation but also that it demonstrates a problem with approaches based on confirmation theory: since P(nonblack object being a nonraven|all ravens are black) is 1, it follows from Bayes’s theorem that the observation of a nonblack nonraven constitutes evidence that all ravens are black.2 Those who find the raven paradox persuasive, and who retain their intuition that such an observation does not even slightly confirm the black raven thesis, ought to find this a compelling argument against Bayesianism, for the probabilistic account contradicts the ostensible commonsense intuition. Others see this as a strength of Bayesianism— that Bayesianism accepts the otherwise plausible equivalence condition3 yet also accounts for the fact that we do not hold such observations to significantly confirm the black raven thesis. The reason for this is that the probability of a nonblack object being a nonraven given that not all ravens are black is trivially close to 1, even though it is not 1. This means that the observation— a nonblack nonraven— is to be expected with a high degree of probability regardless of whether all ravens are black. So the increase in the epistemic probability of the black raven thesis is negligible.
对科学哲学的概率方法的一个主要攻击路线是认为它们的某些结果与直觉的确认概念相冲突。例如,一些人认为,亨佩尔乌鸦悖论1不仅违反了科学确认的标准、预概率概念,而且还表明了基于确认理论的方法存在问题:因为P(非黑色物体是非乌鸦|所有乌鸦都是黑色的)为1,因此,根据贝叶斯定理,观察到一只非黑色的非乌鸦就构成了所有乌鸦都是黑色的证据那些认为乌鸦悖论很有说服力的人,以及那些认为这种观察结果丝毫不能证实黑乌鸦理论的人,应该发现这是一个反对贝叶斯理论的有力论据,因为概率解释与表面上的常识性直觉相矛盾。另一些人则认为这是贝叶斯主义的优势——贝叶斯主义接受了其他看似合理的等价条件,但也解释了我们没有这样的观察结果来显著证实黑鸦理论的事实。这样做的原因是,一个非黑色的物体是非乌鸦的概率,假设不是所有的乌鸦都是黑色的,这个概率非常接近于1,尽管它不是1。这意味着,无论是否所有乌鸦都是黑色的,观察到的非黑色非乌鸦的概率都很高。因此,黑鸦论题的认知概率的增加是可以忽略不计的。
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引用次数: 0
Two Cheers for Democracy from St. John Paul the Great: Rhonheimer, Kraynak, and the Unfinished Agenda of Dignitatis Humanae 《圣若望保禄大帝对民主的两声欢呼:罗海默、克雷纳克与未完成的人类尊严议程》
IF 0.2 Pub Date : 2018-04-01 DOI: 10.5840/QD20189116
Gregory R. Beabout, Daniel Carter
Genuine democracy . . . can come into being and develop only on the basis of the equality of all its members. Before the demands of morality we are all absolutely equal. An alliance between democracy and ethical relativism would remove any sure moral reference point from political and social life, and on a deeper level make the acknowledgement of truth impossible. Indeed, “if there is no ultimate truth to guide and direct political activity, then ideas and convictions can easily be manipulated for reasons of power. As history demonstrates, a democracy without values easily turns into open or thinly disguised totalitarianism.” St. John Paul the Great, Veritatis Splendor
真正的民主……社会只有在全体成员平等的基础上才能产生和发展。在道德的要求面前,我们都是绝对平等的。民主和伦理相对主义之间的联盟将从政治和社会生活中移除任何可靠的道德参照点,并在更深层次上使对真理的承认成为不可能。的确,“如果没有终极真理来指导和指导政治活动,那么思想和信念就很容易因权力的原因而被操纵。”历史证明,没有价值观的民主很容易变成公开的或几乎不加掩饰的极权主义。”圣若望保禄大帝,光辉真理
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引用次数: 0
Transcultural Moral Truth in Veritatis Splendor and Fides et Ratio: Resources for Discerning Revisionist Concerns 《光辉真理》和《信仰与比例》中的跨文化道德真理:辨析修正主义关切的资源
IF 0.2 Pub Date : 2018-04-01 DOI: 10.5840/QD20189114
Matthew R. McWhorter
At the end of Veritatis Splendor, John Paul II underscores that his purpose in writing the encyclical is to evaluate “certain trends in moral theology today” that reject transcultural Christian moral norms.1 In contrast with these trends, the pontiff reaffirms the continued validity of absolute moral norms— specifically, norms that proscribe Christian persons from performing the kinds of acts that are judged to involve intrinsic moral evil.2 The pontiff ’s concern is occasioned by contemporary ethical theories that interpret traditional moral commandments not in an absolute or immutable manner but rather as precepts that are “always relative and open to exceptions.”3 The doctrine proscribing intrinsic moral evils had been a matter of significant academic debate during the postconciliar milieu leading up to John Paul II’s promulgation of the encyclical. Moral theologian James Keenan explains that this controversy was between moral “revisionists and neomanualists.”4 He describes Veritatis Splendor itself as a preeminent expression of the latter approach to moral reflection.5
在《光辉真理》的结尾,若望保禄二世强调,他撰写通谕的目的是评估“当今道德神学的某些趋势”,这些趋势拒绝跨文化的基督教道德规范与这些趋势形成对比的是,教皇重申绝对道德规范的持续有效性,特别是禁止基督徒从事被认为涉及内在道德罪恶的行为的规范教皇的担忧是由当代伦理理论引起的,这些理论不是以绝对或不变的方式解释传统的道德诫命,而是作为“总是相对的,对例外开放”的戒律。在约翰·保罗二世颁布通谕之前,禁止内在道德罪恶的教义在大公会议后的环境中一直是一个重要的学术辩论问题。道德神学家詹姆斯·基南(James Keenan)解释说,这场争论发生在道德“修正主义者”和新人文主义者之间。他将《光辉真理》本身描述为后一种道德反思方式的卓越表现
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引用次数: 0
Intrinsically Evil Acts and the Relationship between Faith and Reason 内在邪恶行为与信仰与理性的关系
IF 0.2 Pub Date : 2018-04-01 DOI: 10.5840/QD20189117
J. Seifert
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引用次数: 0
Martyrdom, Truth, and Trust 殉道、真理和信任
IF 0.2 Pub Date : 2018-04-01 DOI: 10.5840/QD20189113
A. Ramos
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引用次数: 0
The Philosophical Foundations of Distributism: Catholic Social Teaching and the Principle of Subsidiarity 分配主义的哲学基础:天主教社会训导与辅助原则
IF 0.2 Pub Date : 2017-11-25 DOI: 10.5840/QD20178110
M. Lu
It is sometimes difficult to nail down exactly what Distributism is (or entails) as a social and political theory. Nonetheless, it is widely accepted that Distributism is an attempt to develop and apply the Catholic Social Teaching (CST) that began evolving seriously in the nineteenth century through the teaching of Leo XIII and his successors. For instance, in his book Toward a Truly Free Market, John Médaille summarizes his Distributist understanding of the principles of government: “Against the clash of special interests, we assert ‘The Principle of The Common Good’; against the centralizing tendency, we assert ‘The Principle of Subsidiarity’; against the tendency to favor the rich and powerful, we assert ‘The Principle of Solidarity’ ” (ch. 13).1 It seems clear that these three principles— the common good, subsidiarity, and solidarity— must be central to the philosophical foundations of any developed Distributist theory.2 Though they are all deeply interrelated and cannot be properly understood apart from one another, in this article, I want to focus on subsidiarity in particular. Without discounting the others, I think subsidiarity is of particular philosophical interest, not least because it has taken on a life of its own in political theorizing outside of Catholic teaching— for instance, in the debates about the structure of the European Union. Even so, to properly understand subsidiarity requires seeing how it developed in the context of CST, which is its true home.3
有时很难确切地确定分配主义作为一种社会和政治理论是什么(或需要什么)。尽管如此,人们普遍认为,分配论是一种发展和应用天主教社会教学(CST)的尝试,该教学在19世纪通过利奥十三世及其继任者的教学开始严重演变。例如,在他的《走向真正的自由市场》一书中,约翰·姆萨达耶总结了他的分配主义者对政府原则的理解:“为了反对特殊利益的冲突,我们主张‘共同利益原则’;针对集中化倾向,我们主张“辅助性原则”;为了反对偏袒富人和有权有势的倾向,我们主张‘团结原则’”(第13章)很明显,这三个原则——共同利益、辅助性和团结性——必须成为任何发达的分配主义理论的哲学基础的中心虽然它们都是密切相关的,不能分开来正确理解,但在本文中,我想特别关注辅助性。在不贬低其他观点的情况下,我认为辅助性具有特别的哲学意义,尤其是因为它在天主教教义之外的政治理论中有了自己的生命——例如,在关于欧盟结构的辩论中。即便如此,要正确理解辅助性,需要看到它是如何在CST的背景下发展起来的,这是它真正的家园
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引用次数: 1
Four Moral Grounds for the Wide Distribution of Capital Endowment Goods 资本禀赋品广泛分布的四个道德依据
IF 0.2 Pub Date : 2017-10-24 DOI: 10.5840/QD20178111
John J. Davenport
Distributism is the rather awkward name given to a program of political economy formulated chiefly by G. K. Chesterton and Hilaire Belloc. . . . Both Catholics, they sought to turn the social teaching of Popes Leo XIII and Pius XI into a concrete program of action. They rejected socialism, believing that private property was an essential component of human flourishing, but they also rejected the existing capitalist system as concentrating private property in far too few hands.1
分配主义是给主要由g·k·切斯特顿和希莱尔·贝洛克(Hilaire Belloc)制定的政治经济学纲领取的一个相当尴尬的名字. . . .他们都是天主教徒,他们试图将教皇利奥十三世和庇护十一世的社会教导转化为具体的行动计划。他们反对社会主义,认为私有财产是人类繁荣的重要组成部分,但他们也反对现有的资本主义制度,因为它把私有财产集中在太少的人手中
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引用次数: 2
Is Distributism Agrarian? 分配主义是农业主义吗?
IF 0.2 Pub Date : 2017-10-24 DOI: 10.5840/QD20178114
P. Toner
There’s not a vast philosophical literature on Distributism. My question in this piece is prompted by an online discussion, not a philosophical journal.1 I trust, however, that the question is sufficiently interesting in its own right to sustain a philosophical essay. Moreover, it’s a question that has been with us for a long time— I suppose for as long as Distributism has been with us (as a matter of explicit doctrine rather than lived experience).2 So let’s get to it. First things first: Is Distributism agrarianism? This question has a simple answer: no. The two are not the same thing, even if Distributism is agrarian. There could be an agrarian communist or an agrarian capitalist society. So what is agrarianism? Let me suggest the following: an agrarian society is one in which agriculture and its practitioners have a determinative influence on society. Agrarianism, then, is the notion that society ought to be agrarian. You can combine this notion with additional motivation— typically, an agrarian will suggest something like this: “Agriculture and those whose occupation involves agriculture are especially important and valuable elements of society.”3 (Why else would you think a society ought to be agrarian?) But you don’t need to, and for my purposes, that’s not involved in agrarianism, properly speaking. Agrarianism does not suggest that everyone ought to be a farmer (or otherwise engaged in agricultural pursuits). It doesn’t set an arbitrary lower
关于分配主义的哲学文献并不多。我在这篇文章中的问题是由一个在线讨论引起的,而不是哲学期刊然而,我相信,这个问题本身就足够有趣,足以支撑一篇哲学论文。而且,这个问题已经困扰我们很长时间了——我想,和分配主义存在的时间一样长(作为一种明确的教义,而不是生活经验)我们开始吧。首先,分配主义是农业主义吗?这个问题的答案很简单:不。这两者不是一回事,即使分配主义是农业主义。可以是农业共产主义社会,也可以是农业资本主义社会。那么什么是农业主义呢?让我提出以下建议:农业社会是农业及其从业人员对社会具有决定性影响的社会。农业主义的概念是社会应该是农业化的。你可以将这个概念与额外的动机结合起来——通常,一个农民会这样说:“农业和那些从事农业的人是社会中特别重要和有价值的元素。(不然你为什么会认为一个社会应该是农业社会?)但你不需要,就我的目的而言,准确地说,这与农业主义无关。农业主义并不是说每个人都应该成为农民(或者从事农业活动)。它不会设定一个任意的下限
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引用次数: 0
Distributism and Natural Law 分配主义与自然法
IF 0.2 Pub Date : 2017-10-24 DOI: 10.5840/QD20178115
C. Tollefsen
Distributism and natural law thought seem like they should be natural allies: the early architects of distributism, Chesterton and Belloc, must to some extent have been influenced by Aquinas— Chesterton, of course, wrote a book about St Thomas.1 And so must have been the architects of the Catholic Church’s Social Teaching (CST), as it was developed in and from Rerum Novarum. I suspect most distributists would say that distributism is an application of the natural law as well as CST. But certainly not every natural law thinker would identify as a distributist, including those deeply shaped by the Thomistic strand of natural law. Moreover, in the work of contemporary natural law theorists such as John Finnis and Germain Grisez, distributism is not mentioned even in passing, and the indexes of Natural Law and Natural Rights, and Grisez’s threevolume Way of the Lord Jesus Christ contain not a single reference to distributism, to Chesterton, or to Belloc. In consequence, I think it is worth exploring the relationship between natural law theory (including, and perhaps especially, “new” natural law theory) and distributism, understood in a very broad way, as encompassing not just Chesterton and Belloc and those directly influenced by them but also agrarians, localists, and conservatives— Burkean and Kirkian— where these seem to overlap with distributism. I’ll proceed in the following way: I’ll identify a cluster of ideas I take to be important to distributism and allied forms of thought and then I’ll say something about how natural law theory addresses these ideas, or could, or should address them and, occasionally, how such treatment does or might diverge from characteristically distributist treatment. Here are the ideas I take to be centrally important: (1) private property, (2) localism, (3) agrarianism, (4) the family, (5) an antipathy toward war (at least modern war), and (6) beauty and the imagination. Numbers five and six are perhaps a little more peripheral but nevertheless interesting. In what follows, I’ll try to identify some characteristic claims made by distributists about these ideas and, in each case, then address them from the natural law standpoint. As will be clear, I have varying degrees of sympathy with the claims I’ll discuss.
分配主义和自然法思想似乎应该是天然的盟友:分配主义的早期建筑师切斯特顿和贝洛克,一定在某种程度上受到了阿奎那的影响——切斯特顿当然写了一本关于圣托马斯的书。天主教会的社会训导(CST)的建筑师也一定受到了影响,因为它是在《新论》中发展起来的。我怀疑大多数分配主义者会说分配主义是自然法则的应用,也是CST的应用。但当然不是每个自然法思想家都认同分配主义者,包括那些深受托马斯自然法学派影响的人。此外,在约翰·菲尼斯和格里曼·格里塞等当代自然法理论家的著作中,分配主义甚至没有被提及,《自然法》和《自然权利》的索引以及格里塞的《主耶稣基督的三进化之路》也没有一次提到分配主义、切斯特顿或贝洛克。因此,我认为探索自然法理论(包括,也许尤其是“新”自然法理论)和分配主义之间的关系是值得的,从一个非常广泛的角度来理解,不仅包括切斯特顿和贝洛克以及那些直接受他们影响的人,还包括农业主义者、地方主义者和保守派——伯克和柯克——这些似乎与分配主义重叠。我将以以下方式继续:我将确定一组我认为对分配主义和相关思想形式很重要的思想,然后我会说一些自然法则理论如何处理这些思想,或者可以,或者应该处理它们,偶尔,这种处理方式如何或可能与典型的分配主义处理方式不同。以下是我认为最重要的观点:(1)私有财产,(2)地方主义,(3)农业主义,(4)家庭,(5)对战争(至少是现代战争)的厌恶,以及(6)美和想象力。第5和第6条可能有点次要,但仍然很有趣。在接下来的文章中,我将尝试找出分配主义者对这些观点的一些典型主张,然后从自然法的角度来阐述它们。很明显,我对我将要讨论的主张有不同程度的同情。
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引用次数: 0
Technology as a Threat to Ordinary Human Life in Households Today 科技对当今家庭生活的威胁
IF 0.2 Pub Date : 2017-10-24 DOI: 10.5840/QD20178113
J. Cuddeback
This conflict is between the unnatural progeny of inventive genius and men. It is a war to the death between technology and the ordinary functions of living. The rights to these human functions are the natural rights of man, and they are threatened now, in the twentieth, not in the eighteenth, century for the first time. Unless man asserts and defends them he is doomed, to use a chemical analogy, to hop about like sodium on water, burning up his own energy. But since a power machine is ultimately dependent on human control, the issue presents an awful spectacle: men, run mad by their inventions, supplanting themselves with inanimate objects. This is, to follow the matter to its conclusion, a moral and spiritual suicide, foretelling an actual physical destruction.1
这种冲突发生在发明天才的非自然后代和人类之间。这是一场技术与日常生活功能之间的生死之战。这些人类功能的权利是人类的自然权利,而它们现在受到威胁,在20世纪,而不是在18世纪,这是第一次。用化学的比喻来说,除非人坚持并捍卫它们,否则他就注定要像钠在水中跳来跳去,燃烧自己的能量。但是,由于动力机器最终依赖于人类的控制,问题就出现了一个可怕的景象:人类被自己的发明弄得发疯,用无生命的物体取代自己。归根到底,这是一种道德和精神上的自杀,预示着一场实际的肉体毁灭
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Quaestiones Disputatae
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