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China-Africa and an Economic Transformation最新文献

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The Meanings and Global Externalities of China’s Economic Emergence 中国经济崛起的意义及其全球外部性
Pub Date : 2019-04-15 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780198830504.003.0003
Célestin Monga
The Chinese economy has become a multifaceted global public good. Even as China carefully and gradually rebalances its growth model from export-led to domestic consumption, it will also help address issues of global imbalances. Still, during that internal adjustment process, China will absorb increasingly large quantities of exports from around the world—including from developing countries that can strategically position themselves to competitively supply goods and services in light manufacturing and low-skilled industries which China dominated at earlier stages of its economic take-off. China’s industrial upgrading strategies, which reflect changes in its endowment structure, have defied mainstream economic prescriptions. The country’s stubbornness in designing and implementing steadfastly policy frameworks that identify potentially competitive industries and facilitate their emergence (while accounting for social and political constraints and realities) could provide useful blueprints for other developing countries. This chapter highlights several global externalities of China’s economy, and examines the opportunities and challenges they present. It also discusses some of China’s major macroeconomic risks and possible negative externalities to the world economy.
中国经济已经成为一个多方面的全球公共产品。即使中国谨慎而渐进地将其增长模式从出口导向型转向国内消费导向型,它也将有助于解决全球失衡问题。尽管如此,在这个内部调整过程中,中国将从世界各地吸收越来越多的出口产品,包括来自发展中国家的出口产品,这些发展中国家可以战略性地定位自己,在轻工业和低技能产业中提供有竞争力的产品和服务,而中国在其经济起飞的早期阶段占据主导地位。中国的产业升级战略反映了其禀赋结构的变化,违背了主流经济学的处方。该国顽固地设计和实施政策框架,以确定潜在的竞争行业并促进其出现(同时考虑到社会和政治限制和现实),这可以为其他发展中国家提供有用的蓝图。本章重点介绍了中国经济的几个全球外部性,并考察了它们带来的机遇和挑战。它还讨论了中国的一些主要宏观经济风险以及可能对世界经济产生的负面外部性。
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引用次数: 1
The Future of China–Africa Economic Ties 中非经济关系的未来
Pub Date : 2019-04-15 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780198830504.003.0015
Arkebe Oqubay, J. Lin
The chapter pulls together the underlying themes, analytical perspectives, and pathways to Africa’s economic transformation, and the catalytic role of Chinese investment and trade for Africa’s industrialization and long-term growth. It also reviews FOCAC VII (September 2018) as signalling latest directions in China–Africa economic ties for the coming years. Economic ties between China and Africa have made a significant contribution to the economic transformation of Africa; however, the outcomes of these engagements are characterized by unevenness and shifting dynamics across different countries. Hence there is a need for evidence-based productive discourse that puts Africa’s transformation at the heart of the dialogue on China–Africa economic ties in the context of a changing international environment. Variations in proactive strategic approach, policy ownership, and implementation capacity are major drivers of this disparity. This chapter highlights China as a source of learning and argues that deepening the economic ties (Chinese FDI towards building productive capacity, trade imbalances, debt sustainability and alternative mechanisms, and strengthening of FOCAC) can have an important role in the economic transformation of Africa.
本章汇集了非洲经济转型的基本主题、分析视角和途径,以及中国投资和贸易对非洲工业化和长期增长的促进作用。它还回顾了中非合作论坛第七届会议(2018年9月),认为这标志着未来几年中非经济关系的最新方向。中非经贸关系为非洲经济转型做出了重要贡献;然而,这些接触的结果在不同国家之间表现出不平衡和不断变化的动态。因此,在国际环境不断变化的背景下,中非经济关系对话需要以证据为基础的富有成效的对话,将非洲的转型置于对话的核心。在前瞻性战略方针、政策所有权和实施能力方面的差异是造成这种差异的主要原因。本章强调中国是一个学习的来源,并认为深化经济联系(中国对生产能力建设、贸易失衡、债务可持续性和替代机制的外国直接投资,以及加强中非合作论坛)可以在非洲的经济转型中发挥重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
China’s Economic Emergence and Implications for Africa 中国经济的崛起及其对非洲的影响
Pub Date : 2019-04-15 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780198830504.003.0002
L. Yueh
China’s emergence as the world’s second-largest economy has transformed the world economy by creating a source of consumers as well as a place for production. As is consistent with becoming a major economy, China has become a net capital exporter, investing more abroad than it receives in inward foreign direct investment. The clearest manifestation of this outward investment is seen in the ‘Going Global’ policy for Chinese firms launched in the early 2000s and in the Belt and Road Initiative that began to invest in infrastructure overseas in 2013. The latter has significant implications for Africa as well as the Middle East, eastern parts of Europe, and South-east and Central Asia. This chapter explores the drivers of China’s emergence as an economic superpower and analyzes its wider potential impact, including on sub-Saharan Africa’s economic development, notably in respect of Chinese infrastructure investment in Kenya.
中国作为世界第二大经济体的崛起,不仅创造了一个生产基地,也创造了一个消费者来源地,从而改变了世界经济。与成为主要经济体相一致的是,中国已成为资本净出口国,对外投资超过了吸收的外国直接投资。这种对外投资最明显的表现是21世纪初针对中国企业推出的“走出去”政策,以及2013年开始投资海外基础设施的“一带一路”倡议。后者对非洲以及中东、欧洲东部、东南亚和中亚都有重大影响。本章探讨了中国崛起为经济超级大国的驱动因素,并分析了其更广泛的潜在影响,包括对撒哈拉以南非洲地区的经济发展,特别是中国在肯尼亚的基础设施投资。
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引用次数: 0
Chinese Loans and African Structural Transformation 中国贷款与非洲结构转型
Pub Date : 2019-04-15 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780198830504.003.0007
D. Brautigam
This chapter explores Chinese loan finance in Africa and its relevance for Africa’s economic modernization and structural transformation between 1960 and 2016. Drawing on an original database of Chinese loan finance China–Africa Research Initiative at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS-CARI), the chapter begins by outlining the changing actors involved in lending from China and the different kinds of loan instrument. It then examines the sectors in which Chinese lending clusters, shedding light on the degree to which African borrowers use these loans directly or indirectly to support structural transformation projects in industrialization and agro-finance, and related infrastructure. The chapter pays special attention to the modalities of structuring loan finance and providing guarantees of repayment in risky environments when many countries have only recently emerged from a long debt crisis. Finally, it considers concern over rising debt levels in a number of African countries.
本章探讨1960年至2016年间中国在非洲的贷款融资及其与非洲经济现代化和结构转型的相关性。根据约翰霍普金斯大学高级国际研究学院(SAIS-CARI)的中国贷款融资中非研究倡议(China - africa Research Initiative)的原始数据库,本章首先概述了中国贷款和不同类型贷款工具中不断变化的参与者。然后,它考察了中国贷款集中的行业,揭示了非洲借款人直接或间接利用这些贷款支持工业化、农业金融和相关基础设施的结构转型项目的程度。本章特别关注在许多国家最近才摆脱长期债务危机的危险环境中安排贷款融资和提供还款担保的方式。最后,它考虑到对一些非洲国家不断上升的债务水平的担忧。
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引用次数: 7
The Institutional Framework of Sino-African Relations 中非关系的制度框架
Pub Date : 2019-04-15 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780198830504.003.0006
I. Taylor
Chinese policy towards Africa is mediated through an array of different actors and institutions, which complicates the ability of Beijing to see through specific policy pronouncements. Liberalization has seen a plethora of agencies and companies engaging with the continent, and while China has official policies, different interests and dynamics within the official structures may frustrate the smooth delivery of such goals. A study of the institutional framework demonstrates that China is by no means a unitary actor, and contrary to popular belief, what happens on the ground in Africa may not necessarily reflect the official Chinese position. Despite this, China is routinely blamed if something negative occurs. This problem is compounded by an asymmetry in the Sino-African relationship and the fact that Chinese officials will not admit that they are not fully in control of matters.
中国对非洲的政策是通过一系列不同的参与者和机构来协调的,这使得北京方面看穿具体政策声明的能力变得复杂。自由化已经见证了大量的机构和公司与非洲大陆接触,尽管中国有官方政策,但官方结构内不同的利益和动态可能会阻碍这些目标的顺利实现。对制度框架的研究表明,中国绝不是一个单一的行动者,与普遍的看法相反,在非洲发生的事情不一定反映中国的官方立场。尽管如此,如果发生负面的事情,中国通常会受到指责。中非关系的不对称,以及中国官员不愿承认他们无法完全控制事态的事实,加剧了这一问题。
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引用次数: 0
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China-Africa and an Economic Transformation
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