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Validation of medium range weather forecast for Keonjhar district of Odisha 奥里萨邦Keonjhar地区中期天气预报的验证
Pub Date : 2016-12-15 DOI: 10.15740/HAS/IJFCI/7.2/161-166
M. Ray
The validity of medium range weather forecast issued from National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast (NCMRWF) on various weather parameters for Keonjhar district of Odisha state during the period 2015 is discussed in this paper. The validity of weather forecast for monsoon and post-monsoon season was tested separately with real time data observed from station observatory. The ratio scores on Yes/No basis viz., Forecast Accuracy (ACC), Critical Success Index (CSI), Heidke Skill score (HSS), Hansen and Kuiper’s (HK) scores were used for testing of only rainfall prediction. The predicted rainfall on Yes/No basis for the total seasons was 85.1 per cent correct, whereas it was 92.1 per cent correct for monsoon and 88.6 per cent correct for premonsoon period. The weather forecast for other parameters was tested with Critical Values for Error Structure as suggested by NCMRWF. On annual basis, the prediction of cumulative rainfall (84.6%), rainfall ( 77.7%), Total cloud cover (61.6 %), and Tmin (52.2 %) were having maximum correct events, whereas the predicted Wind direction (63.2 %), RH I (36.3%) and Wind speed (35.0 %) were having maximum number of failure events. On seasonal basis, the predictions for rain (83.5%), Cumulative rainfall (79.6%), wind speed (44.8 %) and total cloud cover (44.6%) during monsoon period and cumulative rainfall (88.7%), rainfall (84.9%), wind speed (51.2%), and Tmin (50.4%) during premonsoon period were having higher percentage of correct events. However, the wind direction (71.1%) and RH II (60.6%) during monsoon and wind direction (53.6 %) and RH II (52.9%) during post monsoon period were having maximum number of failure events. The value (0.89) of co-efficient of determination (r) for rainfall during monsoon period indicated that the values of predicted rainfall were almost matching with the observed ones. It means that prediction of rainfall are near to accurate. The values of co-efficient of determination r = 0.93 in the regression analysis during pre monsoon period indicated accuracy in prediction of minimum temperature. The accurate weather forecasting with respect to various weather parameters is important as this can be used to facilitate the farmers to make broad decision on the crop management operations.
本文讨论了国家中期天气预报中心(NCMRWF)发布的2015年期间奥里萨邦Keonjhar地区各天气参数的中期天气预报的有效性。利用台站实时观测资料,分别对季风期和后季风期天气预报的有效性进行了检验。以是/否为基础的比率分数,即预测准确性(ACC)、关键成功指数(CSI)、海德克技能分数(HSS)、汉森和柯伊伯(HK)分数,仅用于测试降雨预测。在是/否的基础上预测整个季节的降雨量的准确率为85.1%,而季风期的准确率为92.1%,季风前期的准确率为88.6%。其他参数的天气预报采用NCMRWF建议的误差结构临界值进行测试。年预测中,累积降雨量(84.6%)、降雨量(77.7%)、总云量(61.6%)和Tmin(52.2%)具有最大的正确事件数,而预测风向(63.2%)、RH I(36.3%)和风速(35.0%)具有最大的错误事件数。季风期的降雨(83.5%)、累积雨量(79.6%)、风速(44.8%)、总云量(44.6%)和季风前期的累积雨量(88.7%)、雨量(84.9%)、风速(51.2%)、Tmin(50.4%)的预测正确率较高。而季风期风向(71.1%)和RHⅱ(60.6%)和后季风期风向(53.6%)和RHⅱ(52.9%)的失效事件最多。季风期降水的确定系数(r)为0.89,表明降水预报值与观测值基本吻合。这意味着对降雨的预测接近准确。在季风前期回归分析中,确定系数r = 0.93表明对最低气温的预测是准确的。关于各种天气参数的准确天气预报很重要,因为这可以用来帮助农民对作物管理操作做出广泛的决策。
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引用次数: 1
Forecast of banana - An economic analysis 香蕉的预测-经济分析
Pub Date : 2016-06-15 DOI: 10.15740/HAS/IJFCI/7.1/132-136
M. Gowri, B. Kavitha
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引用次数: 1
Evaluation of cultural control practices in the management of sweet potato weevil (Cylas formicarius) (Apionidae : Colepotera) 甘薯象鼻虫栽培防治措施的评价(甲蚜科:鞘翅目)
Pub Date : 2016-06-15 DOI: 10.15740/HAS/IJFCI/7.1/24-28
M. Devi, R. Niranjana, N. Kalieswari
The sweet potato weevil, Cylas formicarius, constitutes a major constraint to sweet potato production and utilization in Africa. Host plant resistance/tolerance, mulching and varying harvesting dates could provide an approach that fits well into an integrated pest management programme of this insect pest. In this study, a trial was conducted to evaluate the effect of host plant, mulching with freshly harvested, dried and chopped up aerial parts of elephant grass ( Panicum maximum), and the manipulation of harvesting date, on crop damage by the sweet potato weevil. Cylas formicarius incidence was observed to decrease with increase in mulching level. Also, significant cultivar variation with respect to Cylas formicarius tuber damage and the total number of tubers produced were recorded. Karur local (White) and Arun (White) were observed to be significantly less susceptible to the sweetpotato weevil. Harvesting date was also significantly different, with respect to the number of damaged tubers. More tubers were damaged when harvesting was delayed. Hence, using Karur local (White) or Arun (White), coupled with mulching at the rate of 3-5t/ha and harvesting at 104 DAP resulted in increased number of tubers and reduced sweetpotato weevil infestation in the field.
甘薯象鼻虫是非洲甘薯生产和利用的主要制约因素。寄主植物的抗性/耐受性、覆盖和不同的收获日期可以提供一种非常适合这种害虫的综合虫害管理方案的方法。在本研究中,进行了一项试验,评估了寄主植物,覆盖新鲜收获,干燥和切碎的象草(Panicum maximum)的地上部分,以及收获日期的操纵对甘薯象鼻虫作物危害的影响。随着覆盖水平的增加,灰灰杉发病率降低。此外,品种间的块茎危害和块茎总产量也有显著差异。Karur本地(白色)和Arun(白色)对甘薯象鼻虫的敏感性显著降低。就受损块茎的数量而言,采收日期也有显著差异。当收获推迟时,更多的块茎受损。因此,使用Karur本地(白色)或Arun(白色),加上覆盖量为3-5吨/公顷,收获量为104 DAP,可增加块茎数量,减少甘薯象鼻虫在田间的侵害。
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引用次数: 3
Socio-economic feasibility of some of the villages of Chamoli district of Garhwal Himalayas 加尔瓦尔喜马拉雅查莫利地区一些村庄的社会经济可行性
Pub Date : 2016-06-15 DOI: 10.15740/HAS/IJFCI/7.1/61-66
V. Rawat, S. Lal, N. Khare, Rajiv Umrao
The socio-economic status of eight villages with a total of 521 households surveyed during the study, including 2820 members in different groups and community. The average family size was reported to be 5.41 members per family. During the survey of villages, it was found that the adult literacy rate in male was 51.19 per cent as comparison to female literacy rate 48.80 per cent, respectively. In the livestock of the eight villages the various categories of livestock the buffaloes were the maximum 57.82 per cent followed by sheep/goat 26.30 per cent. The average daily fuel wood consumption during summer and winter in different villages varied from 83.41 kg/day/village to 535.40 kg/day/village in summer and 150.70 kg/day/village to 757.05 kg/day/village in winter which are supplemented by existing agroforestry upto considerable extent. The utilization of fodder tree varied from 301.05 kg/day/village to 1009.15 kg/day/village in the summer and 650.50 kg/day/village to 2011.50 kg/day/village in the winter season which is also supplemented by traditional agroforestry trees in a sizeable limit. The land holding size ranged from 0.03 to 5.6 ha per family with 77.9 per cent families under marginal category, 19.05 per cent under small category and -3.04 per cent families comprised of mediumlarge landholding size.
研究期间共调查了8个村庄的521户家庭的社会经济状况,包括不同群体和社区的2820名成员。据报道,平均家庭规模为每户5.41人。在对村庄进行调查时发现,成年男性识字率为51.19%,而成年女性识字率分别为48.80%。牲畜的八个村庄的各种类别的牲畜水牛是最大57.82%其次是绵羊和山羊26.30%。平均每日燃料木材消耗在不同的村庄在夏季和冬季从83.41千克/天/村535.40千克/天/村在夏季和150.70千克/天/冬天村757.05千克/天/村由现有农林补充到相当大的程度上。饲料树的利用率夏季为301.05 ~ 1009.15 kg/d /村,冬季为650.50 ~ 2011.50 kg/d /村,并以传统农林业树木为补充。每个家庭拥有的土地面积从0.03公顷到5.6公顷不等,77.9%的家庭属于边缘类别,19.05%的家庭属于小类别,- 3.04%的家庭属于中大型土地。
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引用次数: 0
A study on marketing of cauliflower in middle Gujarat, India 印度古吉拉特邦中部菜花销售研究
Pub Date : 2016-06-15 DOI: 10.15740/HAS/IJFCI/7.1/72-78
P. Patel, R. Pundir
The study was carried out to estimate the price spread and marketing efficiency in the marketing of cauliflower in different channels by using different tools such as price spread, marketing costs, marketing margins and marketing efficiency . As cauliflower is a market oriented crop, on an average about 93 per cent of production was marketed, while negligible portion was utilized for other purposes. The producer to wholesaler-cum-commission agent to retailer to consumer was the major marketing channel as more that 50 per cent of cauliflower moved through this route. The total cost in marketing of cauliflower per quintal was Rs. 337.85 which was 43.19 per cent of the consumers' rupee. Amongst it the highest marketing cost was observed in retailers which accounted for as (Rs.129.25) followed by wholesaler-cum-commission agent (Rs.70.63) and growers (Rs.19.35) per quintal. Results also indicated that commission was the major marketing cost possessed by wholesaler-cum-commission agent while retailer possessed damage cost. The margins in cauliflower marketing amounted to Rs. 224.99 per quintal which was 28.76 per cent of consumers' rupee. The producer's share in consumer's rupee was 43.19 per cent. The marketing efficiency was lower than unity (0.77).Market information and provision of logistic support need to be made available to the cauliflower growers to improve existing marketing system. Further, promotion of vegetable co-operatives or vegetable producers' co-operatives can go a long way to make the existing marketing system of cauliflowers more efficient and farmers centric.
本研究采用不同的价差、营销成本、营销边际和营销效率等工具,对菜花在不同渠道营销中的价差和营销效率进行估算。由于花椰菜是面向市场的作物,平均约93%的产量用于销售,而用于其他目的的部分微不足道。生产者-批发商-佣金代理商-零售商-消费者是主要的销售渠道,超过50%的花椰菜都是通过这一渠道销售的。花椰菜每公斤的总销售成本为337.85卢比,占消费者支出的43.19%。其中,零售商的营销成本最高,为每公担129.25卢比,其次是批发商兼佣金代理(70.63卢比)和种植者(19.35卢比)。结果还表明,佣金是批发商和代销商的主要营销成本,而零售商的主要营销成本是损害成本。花椰菜营销的利润率为每公担224.99卢比,占消费者支出的28.76%。生产者在消费者卢比中的份额为43.19%。营销效率低于统一(0.77)。需要向花椰菜种植者提供市场信息和后勤支持,以改善现有的营销系统。此外,促进蔬菜合作社或蔬菜生产者合作社可以大大提高现有的花椰菜销售系统的效率和以农民为中心。
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引用次数: 1
Strategies for weed management in drum seeded rice under puddled condition (Oryza sativa L.) 水坑条件下筒播水稻杂草管理策略研究
Pub Date : 2016-06-15 DOI: 10.15740/HAS/IJFCI/7.1/14-18
T. Parthipan
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引用次数: 1
Genetic analysis and correlation studies for grain yield in rice (Oryza sativa L.) under the Allahabad agro climatic region 阿拉哈巴德农业气候区水稻产量遗传分析及相关研究
Pub Date : 2016-06-15 DOI: 10.15740/HAS/IJFCI/7.1/93-100
R. Vinoth, R. Shivramakrishnan, M. Sivaji, P. Tamilkumar, B. Kumar, S. Marker
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引用次数: 3
Knowledge of integrated weed management practices by the farmers in Marathwada region 马拉特瓦达地区农民对综合杂草管理做法的了解
Pub Date : 2016-06-15 DOI: 10.15740/HAS/IJFCI/7.1/108-113
P. Gardi, R. Kadam
The present study was conducted in Marathwada region of Maharashtra state. Present study was carried out in randomly selected Parbhani district. Four talukas was selected purposely from Parbhani district by considering highest area and production of the soybean crop namely viz., Purana, Palam, Parbhani and Gangakhed. Three villages from each taluka were selected randomly, thus, the make12 villages were selected for study. Ten respondents were selected from each village with the help of those who have cultivating soybean crop on his farm was selected randomly. Thus, the total 120 respondents were selected for the study. The major soybean crops selected for study because soybean crop is infested by number of weeds like Shippi (Echinochloa crus-galli ), Kena (Commelina benghalensis ), Dudhi (Euhorbia spp.), Hazardani (phyllanthus niruri), Nagarmotha (Cyperus rotundus), Hariyali (Cynodon dactylon) etc. which causes loss of farmer upto 40 to 60 per cent in yield, weeds in soybean can be effectively controlled by using integrated weed management practices. Thus, the study was conducted for considering the problem of weed control in soybean crop. Ex-post facto research design was used for present study. The data were collected with the help of personal interview method with the help of interview schedule. It is revealed Table 1 that 69.17 per cent of the respondents were from medium farming experience, 45 per cent respondent were educated upto secondary (middle) school level, 35.83 per cent had small size land holding (upto 2 ha), 89.17 per cent of the respondents engaged in only agriculture, 78.34 per cent of the respondents were from medium income i.e. (Rs. 77103 to 409000) group, 50.84 per cent of the respondents had medium social participation, 62.50 per cent of the respondents used medium sources of information, 59.17 per cent of the respondents had medium extension contact, 59.17 per cent of the respondents had medium level of market orientation, 61.67 per cent, of the respondents had medium level of risk orientation and 62.50 per cent of the respondents had medium level of knowledge.Education, land holding, occupation, annual income, sources of information, extension contact and market orientation and risk orientation had significant relationship with adoption of integrated weed management practices.
本研究是在马哈拉施特拉邦马拉特瓦达地区进行的。本研究是在随机选择的Parbhani区进行的。考虑到大豆作物的最高面积和产量,特意从Parbhani地区选择了四个talukas,即Purana, Palam, Parbhani和Gangakhed。每个taluka随机选取3个村庄,共选取12个村庄进行研究。每个村随机抽取10名调查对象,由在其农场种植大豆的农户帮助调查。因此,总共选择了120名受访者进行研究。选择主要的大豆作物进行研究,因为大豆作物受到Shippi (Echinochloa crosgalli), Kena (Commelina benghalensis), Dudhi (Euhorbia spp.), Hazardani (phyllanthus niruri), Nagarmotha (Cyperus rotundus), Hariyali (Cynodon dactylon)等杂草的侵害,造成农民产量损失高达40%至60%,通过采用综合杂草管理措施可以有效控制大豆杂草。因此,对大豆作物杂草防治问题进行了研究。本研究采用事后研究设计。数据的收集采用个人访谈法,并借助于访谈时间表。表1显示,69.17%的受访者有中等农业经验,45%的受访者受过中等(中等)教育,35.83%的受访者拥有小块土地(最多2公顷),89.17%的受访者只从事农业,78.34%的受访者来自中等收入(77103卢比至409000卢比)群体,50.84%的受访者有中等社会参与。62.50%的受访者使用中等信息来源,59.17%的受访者有中等延伸接触,59.17%的受访者有中等市场导向,61.67%的受访者有中等风险导向,62.50%的受访者有中等知识水平。教育程度、土地持有、职业、年收入、信息来源、推广联系、市场导向和风险导向与采用杂草综合管理措施有显著关系。
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引用次数: 0
Adoption behaviour and constraints in wheat production technologies in saline area of Gir Somnath district of Gujarat 古吉拉特邦苏姆纳特地区盐碱区小麦生产技术的采用行为和制约因素
Pub Date : 2016-06-15 DOI: 10.15740/HAS/IJFCI/7.1/52-56
Anshuman D. Rathod, S. Hadiyal, B. S. Rajawat
The study was carried out to determine the farmers adoption behaviour on wheat production technologies. The farmers were selected from saline area of Gir Somnath district in Gujarat and were demonstrated production technology during 2011-12, 2012-13 and 2013-14. It was revealed that 36.8 per cent farmers fully adopted demonstrated wheat production technology. Whereas, 21.5 per cent farmers adopted partially.The major constraints observed in wheat production was salt affected soil as well as poor quality of irrigation water. In wheat, with salt affected soil, salt tolerant wheat variety (KRL-19) yielded 34 to 43 per cent higher yield than farmers' practice. The B:C ratio of demonstrated plots under salt affected soil were observed 4.05, 4.03 and 4.21, respectively during three years.
本研究旨在确定农户对小麦生产技术的采用行为。这些农民来自古吉拉特邦苏姆纳特县的盐碱区,在2011-12、2012-13和2013-14年期间进行了生产技术示范。据透露,36.8%的农民完全采用了示范小麦生产技术。而21.5%的农民部分采用。小麦生产的主要制约因素是盐渍土和灌溉水质差。在受盐影响的土壤中,耐盐小麦品种(KRL-19)的产量比农民的做法高出34%至43%。盐渍土样地3年B:C比值分别为4.05、4.03和4.21。
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引用次数: 2
Growth and carbon stock assessment in three year old fast growing trees grown under wasteland condition at Sivagangai district of Southern Tamil Nadu 泰米尔纳德邦南部Sivagangai地区在荒地条件下生长的三岁速生树木的生长和碳储量评估
Pub Date : 2016-06-15 DOI: 10.15740/HAS/IJFCI/7.1/29-34
C. Prasath, A. Balasubramanian, S. Radhakrishnan, M. Prasanthrajan
A field experiment was conducted to assess the growth and carbon sequestration potential of five fast growing trees namely Tectona grandis, Gmelina arborea, Dalbergia sissoo, Bambusa vulgaris var. vulgaris and Swietenia macrophylla. The saplings of these five species were planted and assessed for biometric, biomass production and carbon accumulation potential. Among the five tree species, Dalbergia sissoo and Bambusa vulgaris var. vulgaris were found to be superior interms of maximum height, basal diameter, biomass and biomass carbon. Gmelina arborea exhibited low height, basal diameter, biomass and biomass carbon. The per cent contribution of biomass carbon was higher in the stems of all the species followed by root, branches and leaves. The field study inferred that, Dalbergia sissoo and Bambusa vulgaris var. vulgaris performed well with higher biomass and biomass carbon productivity under dry land condition and hence these two species can be promoted for afforestation / reforestation of the wastelands in Tamil Nadu under protected irrigation conditions.
通过田间试验,研究了大构造木(Tectona grandis)、小檗(Gmelina arborea)、黄檀(Dalbergia sissoo)、普通竹(Bambusa vulgaris var. vulgaris)和大叶甜木(sweenia macrophylla) 5种速生乔木的生长和固碳潜力。对这5个树种的树苗进行了生物特征、生物量生产和碳积累潜力的评估。在5种树种中,黄檀(Dalbergia sissoo)和普通竹(Bambusa vulgaris var. vulgaris)在最大高度、基径、生物量和生物量碳方面均具有优势。Gmelina arborea表现出高度低,基底直径、生物量和生物量碳。生物量碳的贡献率在所有物种的茎中都较高,其次是根、枝和叶。野外研究表明,在旱地条件下,黄柏(Dalbergia sissoo)和普通竹(Bambusa vulgaris var. vulgaris)具有较高的生物量和生物量碳生产力,可作为泰米尔纳德邦保护灌溉条件下荒地造林的推广树种。
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引用次数: 1
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INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORESTRY AND CROP IMPROVEMENT
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