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A Case Study of Defense Resource Management in a (Un)Sustainable Development Perspective (非)可持续发展视角下的国防资源管理案例研究
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-09-13 DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.03.041-062
Daniela-Elena Hrab, Gheorghe Minculete
The US military presence in Afghanistan has been the subject of retrospective analyzes that facilitated the identification and learning of important lessons for future military actions. This article analyses, through the case study method, the way defense resources were managed from a sustainable development perspective, focusing on the durable effects of the main projects aimed at ensuring this country’s initial steps towards a sustainable development destination. As a result, this study points to the positive potential that the military instrument could have in a country’s efforts to achieve sustainable development goals, highlighting the way that unsustainable management practices can compromise or even nullify the progress in this area. Consequently, the main product of this research is a model of unsustainable use of defense resources that decision makers should know and avoid in the future, to obtain long-term beneficial results.
美国在阿富汗的军事存在一直是回顾性分析的主题,有助于确定和吸取未来军事行动的重要教训。本文通过案例研究方法,从可持续发展的角度分析了国防资源的管理方式,重点分析了旨在确保该国朝着可持续发展目标迈出初步步伐的主要项目的持久效果。因此,这项研究指出了军事工具在一个国家实现可持续发展目标的努力中可能具有的积极潜力,强调了不可持续的管理做法可能会损害甚至抵消这一领域的进展。因此,这项研究的主要成果是一个不可持续地使用国防资源的模型,决策者应该知道并避免在未来使用,以获得长期的有益结果。
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引用次数: 0
Do Economic Determinants Affect the Size of Military Spending? 经济决定因素会影响军费开支的规模吗?
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-09-13 DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.03.063-083
Lenka Brigzalová, Vojtěch Müllner, J. Odehnal, J. Neubauer
The article aims to identify the dependence of military expenditures and selected economic determinants on the example of the V4 countries in the years 1999-2020. The following are selected as economic determinants: the size of the gross domestic product, the rate of inflation, the debt and deficit of the government sector and unemployment. Correlation analysis proved the expected relationship between the gross domestic product and the military expenditure of Hungary and especially Poland. The relationship between military spending and unemployment was confirmed for Poland, Hungary and Slovakia, the expected relationship between military spending and government debt for the Czech Republic. The linear regression model confirmed the positive effect of the gross domestic product on military expenditure in the case of Poland, the effect of the increase in military expenditure due to rising inflation in Hungary and the negative effect of increasing state indebtedness in the case of the Czech Republic. At the same time, the results did not confirm the uniformity of the factors affecting the size of the military factors in the analyzed V4 countries.
本文旨在以1999-2020年的V4国家为例,确定军费开支和选定的经济决定因素的依赖性。以下被选为经济决定因素:国内生产总值的规模、通货膨胀率、政府部门的债务和赤字以及失业率。相关分析证明了匈牙利特别是波兰的国内生产总值与军事开支之间的预期关系。波兰、匈牙利和斯洛伐克证实了军事开支与失业之间的关系,捷克共和国证实了军事开支与政府债务之间的预期关系。线性回归模型证实了国内生产总值对波兰军事开支的积极影响,匈牙利由于通货膨胀上升而增加军事开支的影响,以及捷克共和国国家债务增加的消极影响。同时,研究结果并没有证实所分析的V4国家中影响军事因素规模的因素具有统一性。
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引用次数: 0
Bloody years of the Jewish Insurgency in British Mandatory Palestine 1939-1948: From the White Paper to the State of Israel 1939-1948年英国强制巴勒斯坦犹太人起义的血腥岁月:从白皮书到以色列国
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-09-13 DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.03.121-136
Ľubomír Zvada, Jiří Lach
This review article focuses on Jewish insurgency under the British mandate for Palestine from 1939 to 1948. The Jewish guerrilla campaign represents a successful case study in the field of the research on small wars and insurgency, proxy wars. The authors analyze the early phase of the British Mandate in 1918-1939, referred to as the prelude to the subsequent Jewish uprising; a period when Jewish paramilitary groups including the Haganah, Irgun, and Lehi emerged and developed, emphasizing their ideological underpinnings, operational and tactical strategies of warfare, and the material capacities that these organizations possessed. The authors primarily emphasize the period from the initiation of the White Paper in 1939 until the establishment of the State of Israel in May 1948. British restrictions on Jewish immigration and the beginning of the Second World War stimulated the Jewish forces to a massive terrorist campaign against the British resulting in an unprecedented Zionist victory.
这篇评论文章的重点是1939年至1948年英国对巴勒斯坦的授权下的犹太人叛乱。犹太游击队运动是研究小型战争和叛乱、代理人战争领域的一个成功案例。作者分析了1918-1939年英国委任统治的早期阶段,称之为随后犹太人起义的前奏;在这一时期,包括Haganah、Irgun和Lehi在内的犹太准军事组织出现并发展起来,强调了他们的意识形态基础、作战和战术战略,以及这些组织所拥有的物质能力。作者主要强调了从1939年白皮书发表到1948年5月以色列国成立的这段时间。英国对犹太人移民的限制和第二次世界大战的开始刺激了犹太势力对英国的大规模恐怖行动,导致了犹太复国主义前所未有的胜利。
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引用次数: 0
Constructive Simmulation: An Effective Tool for an Assessment of the Operational Effectiveness within the Cability Planning Process 建设性模拟:在能力规划过程中评估作战有效性的有效工具
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-08 DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.054-070
Jan Drozd, Josef Procházka
The article outlines the outcome of a comprehensive researche aiming at the enhancement of decision making within the defence and operational planning processes. Both processes differ in purpose, neverthelles they are challenged by the very same problém to find solutions with maximum operational effectiveness of armed forces capabilities at minimum cost to achieve objectives. It applies constructive simulation namely the software instruments of MASA SWORD and assess its potential to support the process of capability requirements identification and validation of potential alternatives to achieve objectives. It provides reasonable evidence that constructive simulation is a valuable instrument to support the evidence based decision making within in the processes of defence planning and operations planning proces. Constructive simulation allows to identify the most suitable solutions in terms of both operational effectiveness and costs.
这篇文章概述了一项全面研究的结果,该研究旨在加强国防和作战规划过程中的决策。这两个过程的目的不同,尽管它们面临着同样的问题,即以最低的成本找到具有最大作战效能的武装部队能力的解决方案,以实现目标。它应用建设性模拟,即MASA SWORD的软件工具,并评估其潜力,以支持能力需求识别和验证过程,从而实现目标。它提供了合理的证据,证明建设性模拟是一种有价值的工具,可以支持国防规划和作战规划过程中基于证据的决策。建设性模拟可以确定在运营效率和成本方面最合适的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Applicability of Multirotors in Czech Armed Forces 多旋翼机在捷克武装部队中的适用性
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-08 DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.106-120
Petr Žárský, Petr Hlavizna, J. Hnidka
Authors of the paper present results of research in the area of deployment and operation of multirotors, i.e., autonomous aerial systems with vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) capability. Survey of Czech Army experts’ opinions based on the Delphi method points to the significance of MINI VTOL UAS project undertaking – reconnaissance VTOL autonomous aerial system. The conclusion of the analysis is the identification of the primary applications of and requirements for (concept, system, and training) successful deployment of multirotors, with framing of existing issues of technical, acquisition/program and legislative nature, and determination of their importance. The paper also explores experts’ views to the acquisition and operation of multirotors in Czech Army to achieve their full operational potential, certainly available in the future battlefield. Inconsistent architecture of information sharing was identified by experts as one of the most important issues with the highest likelihood of solution in the upcoming years.
该论文的作者介绍了多旋翼飞机部署和操作领域的研究结果,即具有垂直起降(VTOL)能力的自主航空系统。基于德尔菲法对捷克陆军专家意见的调查表明,MINI VTOL无人机项目承担的意义——侦察VTOL自主飞行系统。分析的结论是确定了成功部署多旋翼机的主要应用和要求(概念、系统和培训),确定了现有的技术、采办/计划和立法性质问题,并确定了其重要性。本文还探讨了专家们对捷克军队多旋翼机的采购和运营的看法,以充分发挥其在未来战场上的作战潜力。专家们认为,信息共享架构不一致是未来几年最有可能解决的最重要问题之一。
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引用次数: 0
Outlook for Ensuring of Defensibility and the Fulfillment of Alliance's Expenditure and Investment Commitments in the Context of the Current Economic Situation 当前经济形势下防卫性保障与联盟支出与投资承诺履行展望
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-08 DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.071-087
Vojtěch Müllner, K. Nečas
The guarantee of national defense and the fulfillment of commitments to Allies is highly dependent on its financial source security. The economic recession, which began in 2008 in the USA, negatively affected public budgets. This recession was one of the causes of the reduction of planned defense spendings in the Czech Republic. This reduction caused the postponement of acquisitions, which were to be implemented both with regard to commitments to coalition partners and with regard to maintaining their own defense capabilities. Nowadays, current internal debt is still increasing due to neglecting inflation of military equipment, which is higher than inflation of ordinary goods. Currently, the defense ability is also affected by the pandemic of Covid-19, which caused a slowdown in GDP growth and public spending growth. For this reason, it has been several times postponed the commitment to achieve a rate of 2% of military expenditure of GDP by 2024 and the current plan to achieve it in 2027 is also endangered.
国防保障和对盟国承诺的履行在很大程度上取决于其资金来源安全。始于2008年的美国经济衰退对公共预算产生了负面影响。这次经济衰退是捷克共和国计划国防开支减少的原因之一。这一削减导致了收购的推迟,这些收购将在对联盟伙伴的承诺和维持其自身防御能力方面实施。目前,由于忽视了军事装备的通货膨胀,国内债务仍在增加,而军事装备的通胀率高于普通商品的通胀率。目前,防御能力也受到新冠肺炎大流行的影响,这导致GDP增长和公共支出增长放缓。出于这个原因,它多次推迟了到2024年实现军费占GDP 2%的承诺,目前在2027年实现这一目标的计划也受到了威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Current Approaches of the Czech Republic, the EU and NATO to Hybrid Threats 捷克共和国、欧盟和北约当前应对混合威胁的方法
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-08 DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.003-016
M. Havlík
The article discusses the current approach of the Czech Republic to the phenomenon of hybrid threats and analyses the fundamental shortcomings that determine the effective management of these threats. As part of a comprehensive approach, the text is supplemented by the current view of the European Union and NATO on addressing the issue of hybrid action by hostile actors. A summary comparison of the approaches of the Czech Republic, the European Union and NATO points to the need for mutual institutional synergy among these entities. Although the current approaches of the mentioned subjects are relatively sufficiently doctrinally anchored, the absence of a complex and especially practically functioning apparatus and specific operational tools that would be able to face a wide range of hybrid threats persists.
本文讨论了捷克共和国目前对混合威胁现象的做法,并分析了决定有效管理这些威胁的根本缺点。作为全面办法的一部分,案文补充了欧洲联盟和北约组织目前对处理敌对行为者混合行动问题的看法。对捷克共和国、欧洲联盟和北约组织的做法进行简要比较就可以看出,这些实体之间需要相互的机构协同作用。尽管上述主题的当前方法在理论上相对足够稳固,但仍然缺乏能够面对各种各样的混合威胁的复杂的、特别是实际运作的机构和具体的操作工具。
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引用次数: 1
Cognitive Hierarchy and Intelligence 认知层次与智力
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-08 DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.088-105
Jozef Vojtek, J. Říha, Miroslav Šuhaj
The article deals with the issue of the cognitive pyramid and the possible use of intelligence analysis in the context of gaining the understanding and wisdom of users of information using this pyramid. The cognitive pyramid is used to define the terms date, information, knowledge, understanding and wisdom that make up the various levels of the pyramid. The paper attempts to discuss concepts in different models of the pyramid. It briefly describes intelligence in the context of the use of intelligence by means of a cognitive pyramid. Intelligence is a special kind of knowledge. This article also seeks to explore how intelligence creation can be explained using a cognitive analytical pyramid model.
本文讨论了认知金字塔的问题,以及在利用这一金字塔获取信息用户的理解和智慧的背景下,智力分析的可能用途。认知金字塔用于定义构成金字塔各个层次的日期、信息、知识、理解和智慧等术语。本文试图讨论不同金字塔模型中的概念。它通过认知金字塔的方式在使用智力的背景下简要地描述了智力。智力是一种特殊的知识。本文还试图探索如何使用认知分析金字塔模型来解释智能创造。
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引用次数: 0
The use of NATO Evaluation Tools for the Assessment of the Czech Land and Air Forces Preparedness 使用北约评估工具评估捷克陆空部队的准备情况
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-08 DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.017-033
Petr Slíva, Tomáš Špok
The article deals with the method of application of evaluation tools, applicable for the evaluation of the preparedness assessment of undeclared headquarters and units of the Czech Armed Forces. As a part of the research there were analysed the approaches of the Czech Republic and NATO using of a comparative analysis supplemented by a structured interview. The results of the research confirmed the inconsistent approach to the application of standardized tools and methods for evaluation of units, which are not declared for the NATO and the EU Task Forces. Based on the results of the analysis and with the utilization of the best practice approaches, there was formulated an innovative approach to assessment of the required capabilities of all headquarters and units. The evaluation of these preparedness is carried out at the end of each Czech Armed Forces operational training cycle.
本文论述了评估工具的应用方法,适用于评估捷克武装部队未申报总部和单位的准备情况评估。作为研究的一部分,通过对比分析和结构化访谈对捷克共和国和北约的做法进行了分析。研究结果证实,在应用标准化工具和部队评估方法方面存在不一致的做法,北约和欧盟特遣部队没有宣布这些做法。根据分析结果并利用最佳做法,制定了一种创新的方法来评估所有总部和单位所需的能力。对这些准备情况的评估是在捷克武装部队每个作战训练周期结束时进行的。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic Communications: From a Reactive Fight Against Disinformation Towards Comprehensive Use in Support of National Security and Defence 战略传播:从被动打击虚假信息到全面利用以支持国家安全和国防
IF 0.1 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-08 DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.034-053
V. Divišová
The concept of strategic communications rose to prominence especially with the events linked to the Crimea annexation and Russian intervention in Eastern Ukraine. As such it has been mostly related to the reactive fight against disinformation and propaganda or other elements of the hybrid campaign. This paper aims to point to the much broader potential for the tool of strategic communications in support of goals in the realm of national security and defence, while it is understood as proactive efforts and specific mindset using the information effect to advance national interests. Based on the literature review, benefits of strategic communications beyond hybrid campaigns are identified also in the fields of foreign military operations, counterinsurgency, counter-terrorism, deterrence and crisis management. It describes the informational, particularly, the cognitive, dimensions of these security threats as well as of the measures to counter them.
战略沟通的概念日益突出,尤其是在与吞并克里米亚和俄罗斯干预乌克兰东部有关的事件中。因此,这主要与打击虚假信息和宣传或混合运动的其他元素有关。本文旨在指出战略沟通工具在支持国家安全和国防领域目标方面的更广泛潜力,同时它被理解为利用信息效应促进国家利益的积极努力和特定心态。根据文献综述,在外国军事行动、反叛乱、反恐、威慑和危机管理领域,还确定了混合战役之外的战略通信的好处。它描述了这些安全威胁的信息层面,特别是认知层面,以及应对这些威胁的措施。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Vojenske Rozhledy-Czech Military Review
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