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Designating Bank SIFIs: An Arbitrary Threshold for Risk 指定银行sifi:一个武断的风险门槛
Pub Date : 2015-11-09 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2688680
James R. Barth, Moutusi Sau
In response to the recent severe financial crisis and the worst recession since the Great Depression, the U.S. Congress enacted and President Obama signed into law the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (DFA) in July 2010. An important objective of DFA is to mitigate the threat to financial stability posed by systemically important financial institutions, or SIFIs. Should any of these institutions fail, the entire financial industry would be adversely affected and most likely the broader economy as well. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) was established by DFA to identify any and all SIFIs, which are then subjected to enhanced prudential supervision by the Federal Reserve Board. Section 165 of DFA, however, requires that bank holding companies (BHCs) with $50 billion or more in consolidated assets must be designated as SIFIs.
为应对最近的严重金融危机和大萧条以来最严重的经济衰退,美国国会于2010年7月颁布了《多德-弗兰克华尔街改革和消费者保护法案》,奥巴马总统也签署了该法案。DFA的一个重要目标是减轻具有系统重要性的金融机构(sifi)对金融稳定构成的威胁。如果这些机构中的任何一家倒闭,整个金融业都将受到不利影响,很可能还会影响到更广泛的经济。金融稳定监督委员会(FSOC)由DFA成立,以确定任何和所有sifi,然后由联邦储备委员会加强审慎监管。然而,DFA第165条要求合并资产超过500亿美元的银行控股公司(BHCs)必须被指定为sifi。
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引用次数: 3
Macro-Finance Determinants of the Long-Run Stock-Bond Correlation: The DCC-MIDAS Specification 股票-债券长期相关性的宏观金融决定因素:DCC-MIDAS规范
Pub Date : 2015-11-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2423361
Hossein Asgharian, C. Christiansen, A. Hou
We investigate long-run stock–bond correlation using a model that combines the dynamic conditional correlation model with the mixed-data sampling approach and allows long-run correlation to be affected by macro-finance factors (historical and forecasts). We use macro-finance factors related to inflation and interest rates, illiquidity, state of the economy, and market uncertainty. Macro-finance factors, particularly their forecasts, are good at forecasting long-run stock–bond correlation. Supporting the flight-to-quality phenomenon, long-run correlation tends to be small and negative when the economy is weak.
我们使用一个模型来研究长期股票-债券相关性,该模型结合了动态条件相关模型和混合数据抽样方法,并允许长期相关性受到宏观金融因素(历史和预测)的影响。我们使用与通货膨胀和利率、流动性不足、经济状况和市场不确定性相关的宏观金融因素。宏观金融因素,尤其是它们的预测,善于预测长期的股票-债券相关性。当经济疲软时,长期相关性往往很小,甚至为负,这支持了“逃向优质资产”的现象。
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引用次数: 99
Regulation and Market Liquidity 监管与市场流动性
Pub Date : 2015-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2687465
Francesco Trebbi, Kairong Xiao
The aftermath of the 2008-09 U.S. financial crisis has been characterized by regulatory intervention of unprecedented scale. Although the necessity of a realignment of incentives and constraints of financial markets participants became a shared posterior after the near collapse of the U.S. financial system, considerable doubts have been subsequently raised on the welfare consequences of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010 and its various subcomponents, such as the Volcker Rule. The possibility of permanently inhibiting the market making capacity of large banks, with dire consequences in terms of under-provision of market liquidity, has been repeatedly raised. This paper presents systematic evidence from four different estimation strategies of the absence of breakpoints in market liquidity for fixed-income asset classes and across multiple liquidity measures, with special attention given to the corporate bond market. The analysis is performed without imposing restrictions on the exact dating of breaks (i.e. allowing for anticipatory response or lagging reactions to regulation) and focusing both on levels and dynamic latent factors. We report both single breakpoint and multiple breakpoint tests and analyze the liquidity of corporate bonds matched to their main underwriters making markets on those assets. Post-crisis U.S. regulatory intervention does not appear to have produced structural deteriorations in market liquidity.
2008-09年美国金融危机的后果是史无前例的监管干预。尽管在美国金融体系几近崩溃后,对金融市场参与者的激励和约束进行重新调整的必要性已成为共识,但随后对2010年《多德-弗兰克华尔街改革和消费者保护法案》及其各个子法案(如沃尔克规则)的福利后果提出了相当大的质疑。长期抑制大型银行做市能力的可能性,以及市场流动性供应不足的可怕后果,已被反复提出。本文从固定收益资产类别和多种流动性措施的市场流动性不存在断点的四种不同估计策略中提供了系统的证据,并特别关注了公司债券市场。在进行分析时,没有对中断的确切日期施加限制(即允许对监管的预期反应或滞后反应),并将重点放在水平和动态潜在因素上。我们报告了单断点和多断点测试,并分析了与其主承销商在这些资产上做市的公司债券的流动性。危机后美国的监管干预似乎并未导致市场流动性出现结构性恶化。
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引用次数: 98
Regulatory Arbitrage in Repo Markets 回购市场中的监管套利
Pub Date : 2015-10-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2685592
Benjamin Munyan
Non-U.S. banks with relatively low capital ratios appear to temporarily remove an average of $170 billion from the U.S. market for tri-party repurchase agreements (repo) before each quarter-end in order to appear safer and less levered. This amount is more than double the $76 billion market-wide drop in tri-party repo during the turmoil of the 2008 financial crisis and represents about 10% of the entire tri-party repo market. Such window dressing-induced deleveraging spills over into agency bond markets and money market funds and affects market liquidity each quarter.
美国。资本比率相对较低的银行似乎在每个季度结束前从美国三方回购协议(repo)市场上暂时撤出平均1,700亿美元,以显得更安全,杠杆率更低。这一数额是2008年金融危机动荡期间三方回购市场总额760亿美元的两倍多,约占整个三方回购市场的10%。这种粉饰账目导致的去杠杆化会蔓延到机构债券市场和货币市场基金,每个季度都会影响市场流动性。
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引用次数: 78
The Effects of Financial Reporting on Bank Loan Contracting in Global Markets: Evidence from Mandatory IFRS Adoption 财务报告对全球市场上银行贷款合同的影响:来自强制性采用国际财务报告准则的证据
Pub Date : 2015-10-19 DOI: 10.2308/JIAR-51031
Tai-Yuan Chen, C. Chin, Shiheng Wang, Chun Yao
ABSTRACT:  This study examines the effects of the mandatory adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) on the contract terms of bank loans in a global setting. Using a difference-in-differences design based on 26,474 bank loans in 31 countries during the 2000–2011 period, we find that borrowers who mandatorily adopt IFRS experience an increase in interest rates, a reduction in the use of accounting-based financial covenants, an increase in the likelihood that a loan is collateralized, a reduction in loan maturity, and an increase in the fraction of a loan retained by lead arrangers. These findings are robust to the removal of the 2008 financial crisis from our analysis, as well as to the matching of IFRS and non-IFRS borrowers on various country- and firm-level characteristics. Furthermore, we find that these changes are more pronounced for borrowers with greater financial reporting changes, as well as those with poorer accounting quality after IFRS adoption. JEL Classifications: G15; ...
摘要:本研究探讨了强制性采用国际财务报告准则(IFRS)对全球银行贷款合同条款的影响。基于2000-2011年期间31个国家26474笔银行贷款的差异设计,我们发现,强制采用国际财务报告准则的借款人经历了利率上升、基于会计的金融契约使用减少、贷款抵押可能性增加、贷款期限缩短以及牵头安排人保留的贷款比例增加的情况。这些发现对于将2008年金融危机从我们的分析中剔除,以及在不同国家和公司层面上将IFRS与非IFRS借款人进行匹配,都是强有力的。此外,我们发现这些变化对于财务报告变化较大的借款人以及采用国际财务报告准则后会计质量较差的借款人更为明显。JEL分类:G15;...
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引用次数: 50
Risk, Data and the Barcodes of Finance 风险、数据和金融条码
Pub Date : 2015-09-28 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2544356
Allan D. Grody, Peter J. Hughes
The failure of Lehman Brothers uncovered a shocking fact that after six decades of automation there are no global standards for the identity of financial market participants nor their financial products. Bankruptcy attorneys and forensic accountants tried to understand Lehman’s exposure to others and others’ exposure to Lehman. There was no consistency in identifying Lehman as a counterparty; no understanding of what relationships Lehman had with others; no mechanism to associate all of Lehman’s products and businesses into a total view of the exposure others had to Lehman should it fail. In effect, no one… not regulators nor creditors nor counterparties could see into Lehman’s exposure to risk. This paper illuminates a fundamental component of the financial system that goes largely unrecognized as a key pillar of finance, non-standardized financial transaction data. Financial transactions lack unique, universal and unambiguous identifying codes for the supply chain of financial market participants and the products they manufacture, issue, own, process, and trade. Imagine if every supermarket had a different barcode for the same product on its shelves or a different code for the producer or supplier of the product. Walmart, FedEx and Amazon could not exist. This failure has exasperated researchers, analysts, financial institutions and regulators who are forced to map and scrub this data before aggregating financial transactions for performance, risk and regulatory reporting. Considerable risks, costs and delays in receiving payment are inherent in this reconciliation process. This paper explores the history, current status, issues, work yet to be done, and recommendation by the author to create financial industry identity standards. The Barcodes of Finance will enable an automated means to aggregate risk data so firms can reduce risk and costs, and regulators can oversee the largest systemically important global financial firms.
雷曼兄弟(Lehman Brothers)的破产揭示了一个令人震惊的事实:在经历了60年的自动化之后,对于金融市场参与者及其金融产品的身份,并没有一个全球性的标准。破产律师和法务会计师试图了解雷曼对其他公司的风险敞口,以及其他公司对雷曼的风险敞口。在确定雷曼为交易对手方面没有一致性;不了解雷曼兄弟与其他公司的关系;没有一种机制将雷曼的所有产品和业务与雷曼破产后其他人对雷曼的风险敞口联系起来。实际上,没有人……无论是监管机构、债权人还是交易对手,都无法看清雷曼的风险敞口。本文阐明了金融系统的一个基本组成部分,它在很大程度上未被认识到是金融的关键支柱,即非标准化的金融交易数据。金融交易缺乏针对金融市场参与者及其制造、发行、拥有、处理和交易的产品的供应链的唯一、通用和明确的识别代码。想象一下,如果每个超市货架上的同一种产品都有不同的条形码,或者产品的生产商或供应商都有不同的条形码。沃尔玛、联邦快递和亚马逊将不复存在。这种失败激怒了研究人员、分析师、金融机构和监管机构,他们被迫在汇总金融交易的业绩、风险和监管报告之前,绘制和清理这些数据。这一对账过程固有着相当大的风险、成本和收到付款的延误。本文探讨了金融行业身份标准制定的历史、现状、存在的问题、有待完成的工作以及作者的建议。金融条形码将使汇总风险数据的自动化手段成为可能,这样企业就可以降低风险和成本,监管机构也可以监督具有系统重要性的全球最大金融公司。
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引用次数: 1
Optimal Liquidity Regulation with Shadow Banking 基于影子银行的最优流动性监管
Pub Date : 2015-09-28 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2673540
Borys Grochulski, Yuzhe Zhang
We study the impact of shadow banking on optimal liquidity regulations in a Diamond-Dybvig maturity mismatch environment. A pecuniary externality arising out of the banks' access to private retrade renders competitive equilibrium inefficient. Shadow banking provides an outside option for banks, which adds a new constraint in the mechanism design problem that determines the optimal allocation. A tax on illiquid assets and a subsidy to the liquid asset similar to the payment of interest on reserves (IOR) constitute an optimal liquidity regulation policy in this economy. During expansions, i.e., when the return on illiquid assets is high, the threat of investors flocking out to shadow banking pins down optimal policy rates. These rates do not respond to business cycle fluctuations as long as the economy stays out of recession. In recessions, when the return on illiquid assets is low, optimal liquidity regulation policy becomes sensitive to the business cycle: both policy rates are reduced, with deeper discounts given in deeper recessions. In addition, when high aggregate demand for liquidity is anticipated, the IOR rate is reduced and, unless the shadow banking constraint binds, the tax rate on illiquid assets is increased.
本文研究了Diamond-Dybvig期限错配环境下影子银行对最优流动性监管的影响。由于银行获得私人再贸易而产生的货币外部性使竞争均衡无效。影子银行为银行提供了一个外部选择,这给决定最优配置的机制设计问题增加了新的约束。在这个经济体中,对非流动性资产征税和对流动性资产的补贴(类似于支付准备金利息)构成了最优的流动性监管政策。在经济扩张期间,也就是说,当非流动性资产的回报率很高时,投资者涌向影子银行的威胁会限制最优政策利率。只要经济不陷入衰退,这些利率就不会对商业周期波动做出反应。在衰退中,当非流动性资产的回报率较低时,最优流动性监管政策对商业周期变得敏感:两种政策利率都降低,衰退程度越深,折扣越大。此外,当预计对流动性的总需求较高时,IOR利率会降低,除非影子银行约束具有约束力,否则对非流动性资产的税率会提高。
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引用次数: 13
Optimal Non-Life Reinsurance under Solvency II Regime 偿付能力ⅱ制度下的最优非寿险再保险
Pub Date : 2015-09-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2568316
Alexandru V. Asimit, Yichun Chi, Junlei Hu
The optimal reinsurance contract is investigated from the perspective of an insurer who would like to minimise its risk exposure under Solvency II. Under this regulatory framework, the insurer is exposed to the retained risk, reinsurance premium and change in the risk margin requirement as a result of reinsurance. Depending on how the risk margin corresponding to the reserve risk is calculated, two optimal reinsurance problems are formulated. We show that the optimal reinsurance policy can be in the form of two layers. Further, numerical examples illustrate that the optimal two-layer reinsurance contracts are only slightly different under these two methodologies.
本文从保险公司在偿付能力II下最小化其风险敞口的角度研究了最优再保险合同。在这一监管框架下,保险公司面临着因再保险而产生的保留风险、再保险保费和风险保证金要求的变化。根据准备金风险对应的风险边际的计算方法,提出了两个最优再保险问题。我们证明了最优再保险政策可以是两层的形式。此外,数值算例表明,在这两种方法下,最优两层再保险合同仅略有不同。
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引用次数: 10
Why Firms Favour the AIM When They Can List on Main Market? 企业可以在主板上市,为何青睐AIM ?
Pub Date : 2015-08-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2656806
John A. Doukas, Hafiz Hoque
It is often argued that the popularity of Alternative Investment Market (AIM) in terms of higher number of listings relative to the Main Market (MM) is mainly due to the strict listing requirements in the MM. During the 1995 to 2014 period, 577 out of 1143 AIM listed firms did not qualify for MM listing, but the rest (566) that raised equity in AIM could have joined the MM. This raises the question why firms that meet the heavier regulatory environment of the MM choose the AIM, a lighter regulatory environment. This paper subjects this question to a comprehensive investigation and finds that the market choice is a self-selection decision. The two markets attract companies with different characteristics, and dissimilar post-listing investment and financing priorities. The evidence also shows that smaller and younger companies choose to be listed on the AIM due to lower listing and on-going costs. Heckman Selection models addressing the important question of what would have been the operating performance if AIM companies joined MM indicate that AIM companies would not perform better had they selected to go public in the MM.
通常认为另类投资市场(AIM)的普及方面更多的上市公司相对于主要市场(MM)主要是由于严格的上市要求在毫米。在1995年到2014年期间,577年的1143个目标上市公司不符合MM清单,但其余目标(566),提高股本可能加入了毫米。这就提出了一个问题,为什么公司满足MM选择重监管环境的目的,宽松的监管环境。本文对这一问题进行了全面考察,发现市场选择是一种自我选择决策。这两个市场吸引的公司具有不同的特点,上市后的投融资重点也不同。证据还表明,较小和较年轻的公司选择在AIM上市是由于较低的上市和持续成本。赫克曼选择模型解决了一个重要的问题,即如果AIM公司加入MM会有什么样的经营业绩,表明AIM公司如果选择在MM中上市,业绩不会更好。
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引用次数: 20
Limited Market Power and Institutions’ Incentives in a Distressed Market 困境市场中有限的市场力量与制度激励
Pub Date : 2015-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2628497
Sangwook Sung, Hoon Cho
We analyze the efficiency of the liquidity flows provided to recover stability in a distressed market. Using a theoretical framework, our analysis focuses on the incentives of financial institutions, namely, the incentive for arbitrage profits, the disincentive from liquidity risk, and market manipulation incentives. We show that, depending on market conditions, financial institutions determine their optimal investment strategy based on the three incentives mentioned. This paper explains how the market restabilizes from a distressed state. The main findings are as follows: High deterioration risk and strong trend sensitivity decrease institutions’ investments; when an institution has sufficient risk-bearing capacity, it trades against a market shock, but when it does not, it follows the shock; as more funding is injected into institution, the more it invests capital in risky assets while reducing market exposure; and competition among institutions contributes to market stability stimulating institutions’ investments. Our findings help to explain financial issues such as the flight to quality, liquidity dry-ups, market manipulation, asset fire sales, and shock amplification in a distressed market. In addition, they provide important implications for policymakers endeavoring to recover market stability. We suggest that policymakers lessen the market power of a few financial institutions by spreading private information across the market at lower information costs and by stimulating competition by injecting public funds into as many institutions as possible.
我们分析流动性流动的效率,提供恢复稳定在一个陷入困境的市场。利用理论框架,我们的分析侧重于金融机构的激励,即套利利润的激励、流动性风险的抑制和市场操纵的激励。我们表明,根据市场条件,金融机构根据上述三种激励来确定其最优投资策略。本文解释了市场如何从困境中恢复稳定。主要研究结果如下:恶化风险高,趋势敏感性强,机构投资减少;当一家机构有足够的风险承受能力时,它会针对市场冲击进行交易;当它没有足够的风险承受能力时,它会跟随市场冲击进行交易;随着向机构注入的资金越多,该机构将更多资金投资于风险资产,同时减少市场敞口;机构之间的竞争有助于市场稳定,从而刺激机构的投资。我们的研究结果有助于解释金融问题,如追求质量、流动性枯竭、市场操纵、资产贱卖和低迷市场中的冲击放大。此外,它们为努力恢复市场稳定的政策制定者提供了重要启示。我们建议政策制定者以较低的信息成本在市场上传播私人信息,并通过向尽可能多的机构注入公共资金来刺激竞争,从而削弱少数金融机构的市场力量。
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引用次数: 13
期刊
Econometric Modeling: Financial Markets Regulation eJournal
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