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Characterizing Small-scale Farmers Differential Vulnerability to Global Environmental Change: Case Studies in Anger Watershed, Southwestern Ethiopia 表征小农对全球环境变化的不同脆弱性:以埃塞俄比亚西南部愤怒流域为例
Pub Date : 2020-11-30 DOI: 10.32598/JSRD.4.2.1
G. Y. Ofgeha, M. W. Abshire
Purpose: Global environmental change of climate variability and land use dynamics are emerging livelihood challenges facing local poor. Although, the synergetic impacts of these processes have been cognate in Ethiopia, vulnerability researches were fixed to climate variability, inadequate on conceptual and methodological considerations of non-climate stressors. To this attention, we assessed small-scale farmers’ vulnerability situations in Anger watershed of southwestern Ethiopia. Methods: The case study design guided by mixed methods approach was used. Multistage sampling technique was used for the study. The data collected from 335 household heads were analyzed by multivariate analysis, measures of differences, and substantiated by qualitative enquiry based on focus group discussions and observations. Result: Household’s vulnerability magnitude ranges from high to moderate, while in aggregate, kolla agroecology was more vulnerable than highland. The effects of social adaptability and sensitivity to land resources were significantly contributed for the vulnerability differences. Although, climate variability was notable, structural land use dynamics was unequivocal stressor deepened the household’s vulnerability in kolla. Conclusions: Vulnerability is the result of interactive and interconnected processes of climate, non-climate stressors, and households’ internal capacity in the study area. Thus, attributing local vulnerability to only climate variability, neglecting local non-climatic disturbances could mislead development planning. Hence, future studies should consider such processes simultaneously to provide comprehensive evidences on vulnerability situations. The national adaptations program needs to integrate climate change with the emerging other global changes in planning rural resilience. Policy fortifying agricultural investments should synchronize win-win strategy for relationships between investors and local community.
目的:气候变率和土地利用动态的全球环境变化是当地贫困人口面临的新的生计挑战。虽然这些过程的协同影响在埃塞俄比亚是同源的,但脆弱性研究仅限于气候变率,对非气候压力源的概念和方法考虑不足。为此,我们评估了埃塞俄比亚西南部Anger流域小农的脆弱性状况。方法:采用混合方法指导下的个案研究设计。采用多级抽样技术进行研究。通过多变量分析、差异测量和基于焦点小组讨论和观察的定性调查,对从335户户主收集的数据进行了分析。结果:农户脆弱程度从高到中,总体上,高原农业生态比高原农业生态更脆弱。社会适应性和土地资源敏感性对脆弱性差异有显著影响。尽管气候变率显著,但结构性土地利用动态是明确的压力因素,加深了家庭在kolla中的脆弱性。结论:脆弱性是研究区气候、非气候压力源和家庭内部能力相互作用和相互联系过程的结果。因此,仅仅将当地的脆弱性归因于气候变率,而忽视当地的非气候干扰可能会误导发展规划。因此,未来的研究应同时考虑这些过程,以提供关于脆弱性情况的全面证据。国家适应方案需要将气候变化与正在出现的其他全球变化结合起来,规划农村的适应能力。加强农业投资的政策应与投资者和当地社区之间关系的双赢战略同步。
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引用次数: 1
Assessing the Relationship between the Performance of Rural Municipalities and the Realization of Good Rural Governance (Case Study of the Central Part of Zanjan City) 农村自治市绩效与农村善治实现的关系评估(以赞赞市中部地区为例)
Pub Date : 2020-11-30 DOI: 10.32598/JSRD.4.2.9
Esmael Nasiri HandehKhaleh, Shahram Amin Entekhabi, Seyedeh Yasaman Mohagheghpour
Purpose: Rural Government is considered as a way to extend democracy, empowering villagers to choose their way of life and organize their living space, increase prosperity, make opportunities, and promote teamwork, and it can be concluded that in new rural government theories, rural municipalities are the new paradigm and one of the main pillars of rural management and development. By the end of September 2009, there were 898 villages with more than 20 households and 194 authorized rural municipalities in Zanjan province, Iran and the number of rural municipalities compared to villages with more than twenty households was about %21.6. This study aimes to investigate the rural municipality performance in the rural government of Zanjan province. Methods: Our research method is of documentary-field type and the study population consists of 194 rural municipalities from which 114 rural municipalities were selected as the sample using stratified sampling with proper allocation. SPSS was used to analyze the data. For stepwise regression, the variables entered the equation as factors affecting rural municipality performance in rural government by which 89% of Zanjan rural municipality performance variance was clarified. Results: The results show that the performance of rural municipalities in the selected area can play a critical role in villagers’ participation in rural management and development. Conclusion: Based on the results, the variables with a significant effect on rural government are the cooperation of rural council, villagers’ participation, rural equipment and facilities, and rural municipality consultation with local leaders and council members.
目的:农村政府被认为是一种延伸民主的方式,赋予村民选择生活方式和组织生活空间的权利,增加繁荣,创造机会,促进团队合作,可以得出结论,在新农村政府理论中,农村自治是农村管理和发展的新范式和主要支柱之一。截至2009年9月底,伊朗赞詹省有898个20户以上村和194个经授权的农村自治市,与20户以上村相比,农村自治市的数量约为21.6%。本研究旨在调查赞詹省农村政府的农村自治市绩效。方法:采用文献现场法,研究人群为194个农村直辖市,其中114个农村直辖市采用分层抽样,合理分配。采用SPSS软件对数据进行分析。对于逐步回归,变量作为影响农村自治政府绩效的因素进入方程,从而澄清了赞詹89%的农村自治政府绩效差异。结果:研究结果表明,所选地区农村自治市的绩效对村民参与农村管理与发展起到关键作用。结论:根据研究结果,对农村治理有显著影响的变量为:村委会合作、村民参与、农村设备设施、农村市政当局与地方领导和村委会成员的协商。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a Model for Rural Tourism Supply Chain Management: A Case Study of Touristic Villages of Central Mazandaran, Iran 乡村旅游供应链管理模式的发展——以伊朗马赞达兰中部旅游村为例
Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.32598/JSRD.4.2.8
Fatemeh MohammadzadehLarijani, Alireza DarbanAstane, M. Rezvani
The purpose of this study is to develop a model for tourism supply chain management in the mountainous forest villages of central Mazandaran. In this research, rural tourism supply chain management processes were detected through a systematic review and the Delphi method. To analyze the data and to build a model, ISM and Micmac methods were employed. The final model shows that knowledge management is the most basic process in the tourism supply chain in the region. This is owing to the great influence of this process and the lack of its strong dependence on other processes. Information management processes, risk, market, service performance, demand, capacity, and customer relationship have a linking role in this model. These parameters have a great influence and a strong dependence on the other parameters of the chain. Financial management is the most dependent process in the tourism chain of the region with a low influence but a high dependence on the other processes. Order management is an autonomous process in the tourism chain of the studied region. Indeed, it has both a low influence and a low dependence on the other processes of the chain.
本研究旨在建立马赞达兰中部山区林村旅游供应链管理模式。本研究通过系统评价和德尔菲法对乡村旅游供应链管理过程进行了检测。采用ISM和Micmac方法对数据进行分析并建立模型。最后的模型表明,知识管理是区域旅游供应链中最基本的环节。这是由于这一进程的影响很大,而且对其他进程没有很强的依赖性。信息管理过程、风险、市场、服务绩效、需求、能力和客户关系在该模型中具有链接作用。这些参数对链的其他参数有很大的影响和很强的依赖性。财务管理是区域旅游产业链中最依赖的环节,对其他环节的影响程度较低,但对其他环节的依赖程度较高。订单管理是研究区域旅游链中的一个自治过程。事实上,它对链的其他过程的影响和依赖性都很低。
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引用次数: 1
Examining the Effective Factors on Villagers’ Tendency to Retrofit Rural Housing in Iran 伊朗村民改造农村住房倾向的影响因素研究
Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.32598/JSRD.4.2.5
A. Anabestani, Mojtaba Rousta, SeyyedMostafa HedayatnejadKashi, Tina Esmaieli
This research is an applied one with a descriptive – analytic method was conducted in Jahrom with the objective of analyzing the effective factors on retrofitting of rural homes. Our statistical universe includes 11 villages of Simekan district in the suburbs of Jahrom County, these villages have taken a loan over 50 items from Housing Foundation. For estimating the sample volume at rural family level, by using Cochran sampling method with 95 percent accuracy, the number of 186 persons (family guardian) was questioned by simple random sampling method. Then, the necessary information was gathered by survey and questionnaire. Based on the results of factor analysis, among the first two factors in the order of effectiveness proportion, the first factor (satisfaction with rural homing) describes 57.455 percent of variance by itself and the second factor (homing retrofitting) is accounted for 20.835 percent of variance. Also, it was found that the best reason for retrofitting of rural homes is using of rural homing facilities (67%). Safety against natural disasters such as earth quake and flood (33%) is another reason for homing retrofitting, so our main hypothesis is supported. According to the results of hypothesis testing, based on Pearson correlation coefficient and regarding to variance testing and our significance number which is more than 0.05, there isn’t a significant difference between our independent variables (gender, age & education) and housing retrofitting.
本研究是一项应用描述分析法的研究,目的是分析农村住宅改造的影响因素。我们的统计范围包括Jahrom县郊区Simekan区的11个村庄,这些村庄从住房基金会获得了50多件贷款。为估计农村家庭层面的样本量,采用Cochran抽样法,以95%的准确率对186人(家庭监护人)进行了简单随机抽样调查。然后,通过调查和问卷收集必要的信息。根据因子分析结果,在前两个因子的有效性比例排序中,第一因子(农村宅基地满意度)单独描述了57.455%的方差,第二因子(宅基地改造)单独描述了20.835%的方差。此外,调查还发现,改造农村住宅的最佳理由是利用农村住宅设施(67%)。防止地震、洪水等自然灾害(33%)是进行房屋改造的另一个原因,因此我们的主要假设得到支持。根据假设检验的结果,根据Pearson相关系数和方差检验,我们的显著性数大于0.05,我们的自变量(性别,年龄和教育)与房屋改造之间没有显著性差异。
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引用次数: 0
Explaining the Conceptual Model of the Post-Disaster Sustainable Temporary Housing System (Case Study: Sar-e-Pol Zahab) 解释灾后可持续临时住房系统的概念模型(以Sar-e-Pol Zahab为例)
Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.32598/JSRD.4.2.7
Ali Javanforouzande, Elnaz AsgariNamin, Maziyar Asefi, K. Shakeri
Purpose: The study aims to identify the main problems of temporary accommodation strategies and to discuss some principles and guidelines in order to assist decision-makers for choosing the most suitable strategy and reach better sustainable temporary housing solutions. Methods: Through a qualitative and applied type approach, the present research has been done by descriptive- analytical method. Documentary and library methods have been used to collect information, and analyze case study to discuss the main sustainability issues regarding temporary housing. In this study, the main focus is on providing qualitative sustainable conceptual model as a platform for decision makers in crisis situations. Results: applying system to every region according to its local data before disaster, determining the activity steps needed to be done before disaster, at the time of disaster and post-disaster and developing a sustainable temporary housing approach. Only then will be able to house the victims in healthy and comfortable environments in a progressive way with the productive usage of the country resources and finally to be ready against the disasters. Conclusion: Lack of a sustainable strategy prevents community resilience and disaster preparedness. At present, the post-disaster housing approach cannot meet the cultural, social, economic and ecological needs of the victims.
目的:本研究旨在找出临时住房策略的主要问题,并讨论一些原则和指导方针,以帮助决策者选择最合适的策略,达成更好的可持续临时住房解决方案。方法:本研究采用定性与应用型相结合的方法,采用描述性分析方法。文献和图书馆的方法被用来收集信息,并分析案例研究来讨论关于临时住房的主要可持续性问题。在本研究中,主要重点是提供定性的可持续概念模型,作为危机情境下决策者的平台。结果:根据灾前当地的数据,将系统应用到每个地区,确定灾前、灾时和灾后需要完成的活动步骤,并制定可持续的临时住房方法。只有这样,才能逐步将受害者安置在健康和舒适的环境中,有效地利用国家资源,并最终做好应对灾害的准备。结论:缺乏可持续战略阻碍了社区恢复力和备灾。目前,灾后住房不能满足灾民的文化、社会、经济和生态需求。
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引用次数: 1
Explaining the Drought Management Pattern in Rural Areas (Case Study: Eslamabad Gharb district) 解释农村地区干旱管理模式(以Eslamabad Gharb地区为例)
Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.32598/JSRD.4.2.14
B. Shafiee, H. Barghi, Y. Ghanbari
The purpose of this study was to analyze the status of effective factors on drought management in rural areas, which was done in rural areas of Eslamabad Gharb. The statistical population of the study consists of all households of over 20 households in seven rural districts. Using the Cochran formula, 374 of them (located in 21 villages) have been studied as examples. To analyze the data, the confirmatory factor analysis method was used in SPSS 22 and Smart-Pls software. Finally, in the qualitative paradigm, based on the data-based approach, the open coding results indicated the existence of key terms in the form of 44 concepts, then transformed into four main categories at the axial coding stage. In the last step, namely selective coding, while defining the core category, the final model of the foundation data was presented. The results of this study showed that economic dimension, drought management, with a 17.642 significance economic dimension, shows drought management at a confidence level of 0.95%. The path coefficient between these two is 0.251, which suggests that the economic dimension of 0.251 percent explains directly the drought management. Accordingly, first, government measures should be taken to establish technical, institutional and service infrastructure in the region, and then, based on the capacity of the region, taking into account the prestigious rural population, in line with public participation, as well as the prevention of migration, basic measures should be taken.
本研究的目的是分析农村地区干旱管理的有效因素现状,并在Eslamabad Gharb农村地区进行了研究。本研究的统计人口为7个农村地区所有20户以上的家庭。利用科克伦公式,对其中374人(分布在21个村庄)进行了研究。在SPSS 22和Smart-Pls软件中采用验证性因子分析法对数据进行分析。最后,在定性范式中,基于数据的方法,开放编码结果表明关键术语以44个概念的形式存在,然后在轴向编码阶段转化为4个主要类别。最后一步,即选择编码,在定义核心类别的同时,给出基础数据的最终模型。研究结果表明,经济维度干旱管理在0.95%的置信水平上具有17.642的显著性。两者之间的通径系数为0.251,表明0.251%的经济维度可以直接解释干旱管理。因此,首先应采取政府措施,在该地区建立技术、制度和服务基础设施,然后根据该地区的能力,考虑到享有声望的农村人口,符合公众参与,以及防止移民,应采取基本措施。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainability Analysis of Rural Settlements in the Western Region of Lake Urmia 乌尔米亚湖西部地区农村聚落的可持续性分析
Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.32598/JSRD.4.2.13
A. Nasiri
Today, the extent and complexity of human-natural environment interactions, young lands, environmental instabilities of settlements with more frequency and intensity than before and are serious. What is the environmental sustainability of rural settlements according to the morphotectonic variables of the region? What factors affect sustainability of rural settlements the region? No report has been submitted in this research area. Fuzzy multivariate spatial analysis and Data ISO and geomorphic indices such as W, SL, Hi, Ar and SMF and Iat index were used to assess stability. Topographic data, earthquakes, fault systems, geology, geomorphology, morphostructure were analyzed and morphotectonic zones of the region were determined. The results of this study show that in the study area there is a Horst and Graben system with east-west trend which is formed by a system of faults parallel to the north-south trend. 4 different morphotectonic patterns (A, B, C, D) were identified with different characteristics and coefficients of morphotechnical stability in the research area. According to the results of the analysis of the Iat index, 57% of the settlements in the region are located in zone A, which is morphotectonically stable. 23.5% of the settlements are located in zone C with high instability and the settlements of zone B 16% and in zone D 4.9% with different coefficients show more severe and severe morphotectonic instability, respectively. The results show that the main cause of environmental instability in the western region of Lake Urmia is due to the active fault system of the region.
今天,人类与自然环境相互作用的程度和复杂性、年轻的土地、聚落的环境不稳定性比以前更频繁和更严重。根据该地区的形态构造变量,农村聚落的环境可持续性是什么?哪些因素影响了该地区农村住区的可持续性?本研究领域未见相关报道。采用模糊多元空间分析、数据ISO和W、SL、Hi、Ar、SMF等地貌指数及Iat指数评价稳定性。对该地区的地形资料、地震、断裂系统、地质、地貌、形态构造进行了分析,确定了该地区的形态构造带。研究结果表明,研究区内存在由与南北向平行的断裂体系形成的东西向的地堑和地堑体系。研究区确定了A、B、C、D 4种不同的形态构造模式,它们具有不同的特征和形态稳定性系数。根据Iat指数分析结果,该区57%的聚落位于A区,A区形态构造稳定。C区沉降占23.5%,高度不稳定,B区沉降占16%,D区沉降占4.9%,不同系数分别表现为较严重和较严重的形态构造不稳定。结果表明,乌尔米亚湖西部地区环境不稳定的主要原因是该地区的活动断裂系统。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying the Factors Affecting Internal Migration (intra- and inter-provincial migrations) in Kermanshah Province 确定克尔曼沙阿省影响内部迁移(省内和省间迁移)的因素
Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.32598/JSRD.4.2.11
A. Azmi
The present study aimed to investigate the factors affecting the migrations within and outside a province. The method used in this study was quantitative, descriptive- analytical. The population consisted of 340 respondents from urban and rural communities using Cochran's alpha. The sampling method was simple random. The reliability of the study was calculated by Cochran's alpha as 0.75 and the validity of the study was confirmed by experts in geography and social sciences. The findings showed that the most important motivations for intra-provincial migration included earthquake with the mean of 4.28, occupation (4.12), and living costs (4.10). The most important motivations for inter-provincial migration were occupation with the mean of 4.86, living costs (4.85), and income (4.84). Regarding the influential factors on satisfaction with inter-provincial migration, the following factors can be ranked in terms of priority: willingness to return to living place (4.8), satisfaction with the migration (4.7), and willingness to migrate to another place (2.57). The factors of willingness to migrate to another place (with the means of 4.7), satisfaction with migration (4.4), and others' advice for migration (4.5) can be considered, in order of priority. The findings of Spearman correlation indicated the significant relationship between the 6 variables and intra-provincial migration.
本研究旨在探讨省内外人口迁移的影响因素。本研究采用定量、描述分析的方法。人口由340名来自城市和农村社区的受访者组成。抽样方法为简单随机抽样。通过Cochran's alpha计算出研究的信度为0.75,并通过地理和社会科学专家确认了研究的有效性。研究发现,省际人口迁移最主要的动因包括地震(平均4.28)、职业(4.12)和生活成本(4.10)。省际迁移最重要的动机是职业(平均4.86)、生活成本(4.85)和收入(4.84)。对于省际迁移满意度的影响因素,以下因素的优先级依次为:回乡意愿(4.8)、迁移满意度(4.7)、异地迁移意愿(2.57)。迁移意愿(均值4.7)、迁移满意度(均值4.4)、他人迁移建议(均值4.5)等因素可按优先顺序考虑。Spearman相关分析结果表明,6个变量与省内人口迁移之间存在显著相关。
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引用次数: 0
Land Use Change in East Guilan and its Consequences 东桂兰土地利用变化及其后果
Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.32598/JSRD.4.2.3
H. Afrakhteh, MohammadAli RahimiPourSheeikhaniNejad
These issues and the economic instability resulting from the implementation of neoliberal policies have led to the commodification of land and housing, which has attracted capital. One of the main consequences of such a situation is that on the one hand, the destruction of natural resources, land erosion, environmental degradation and the occurrence of devastating floods have been increased, and on the other hand, unjustified class division and transfer of villagers from productive activities to unproductive businesses, such as security guard, villa caretakers and services of travel and transportation companies, have endangered the social and food security of Iran. In this article, land use change has been studied using satellite images of East Guilan (Lahijan, Siahkal, Ashrafieh and Langrood counties) in 1989, 2000 and 2015. The information needed to identify the factors affecting land use change has been collected through visits, purposeful interviews in different parts of the area, and the study of written sources and archives of local offices. These data were analyzed using the "grounded theory" method in the Max Kiuda system. Findings show that land use changes in the region are related to various ecological, social, economic and political factors. Increased population pressure along with technological developments, land use policies, development plans, investments, land speculation and personal exploitation have each had some effect on land use change. State of nature has little dependence on tax revenues due to its natural resource revenues; As a result, it is not accountable.
这些问题和实施新自由主义政策导致的经济不稳定导致了土地和住房的商品化,这吸引了资本。这种情况的主要后果之一是,一方面,自然资源的破坏、土地侵蚀、环境退化和毁灭性洪水的发生有所增加,另一方面,不合理的阶级划分和村民从生产活动转到非生产活动,如保安、别墅看守和旅游和运输公司的服务,危及伊朗的社会和粮食安全。本文利用1989年、2000年和2015年东桂兰(Lahijan、Siahkal、Ashrafieh和Langrood县)的卫星图像研究了土地利用变化。通过访问、在该地区不同地区进行有目的的访谈以及研究书面资料和当地办事处的档案,收集了确定影响土地利用变化的因素所需的信息。这些数据在Max Kiuda系统中使用“接地理论”方法进行分析。研究结果表明,该区土地利用变化与生态、社会、经济和政治等多种因素有关。随着技术发展、土地利用政策、发展计划、投资、土地投机和个人开发,人口压力的增加对土地利用的变化都有一定的影响。自然状态由于其自然资源收入对税收的依赖很小;因此,它是不负责任的。
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引用次数: 1
The Role of Collaborative Projects in Rural Women's Empowerment and Conservation of Environment: Case Study of Hossein Abad Plain in Sarbishe 合作项目在农村妇女赋权和环境保护中的作用:以萨比什的侯赛因阿巴德平原为例
Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.32598/JSRD.4.2.6
K. Bouzarjomehri, Sayyedeh Somayeh Khatami
Today, the emission of greenhouse and global warming are two major global environmental threats. This research attempts to investigate the mediating role of carbon sequestration collaborative project in empowering women and thereby protecting the environment. This is a descriptive-analytic study using questionnaire as an instrument for data collection. A comparison was made between empowerment of women in the target villages where carbon sequestration collaborative project was implemented and control villages with no development plan. The population consisted of women living in villages with more than 20 families in Sarbishe city. A sample of 319 people from the target villages and 354 people from control villages were selected using Cochrane formula. The data analysis in the two samples was done by using t test, Mann-Whitney Wilcoxon test and unequal variance. Based on results, Carbon Sequestration Project in women's economic empowerment is effective in protecting the environment and in all indicators except for the index. From the social aspect, according to the output of t test, the differences in social indicators were significant between two groups of women. In total, carbon sequestration project in the under study area had led to empowerment of rural women, prevention of land degradation and environmental protection
目前,温室气体排放和全球变暖是全球环境面临的两大威胁。本研究试图探讨碳封存合作项目在增强妇女权能从而保护环境中的中介作用。这是一项使用问卷作为数据收集工具的描述性分析研究。对实施碳封存合作项目的目标村和没有发展计划的对照村的妇女赋权情况进行了比较。人口由居住在萨尔比什市20多个家庭的村庄的妇女组成。采用Cochrane公式从目标村抽取319人,对照村抽取354人。两个样本的数据分析采用t检验、Mann-Whitney Wilcoxon检验和不等方差。从结果来看,妇女经济赋权方面的碳封存项目在保护环境和除指数以外的所有指标方面都是有效的。在社会方面,根据t检验的输出,两组女性在社会指标上的差异是显著的。总的来说,所研究地区的碳封存项目促进了赋予农村妇女权力、防止土地退化和保护环境
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Sustainable Rural Development
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