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Finding beneficiaries: trade adjustment assistance system in South Korea 寻找受益者:韩国贸易调整援助制度
IF 0.9 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2017-07-26 DOI: 10.1108/JITLP-03-2017-0010
Joon-heon Song
Purpose The purpose of this study is to explore the essential cause for the policy failure of Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) in South Korea. Design/methodology/approach To substantiate the claims made for the failure of the policy, this paper focuses on the differences in policy preferences among the government ministries and agencies involved in TAA. Findings The failure in the TAA policy, according to this study, was attributed to the conflicts and miscoordination arising from the differences in policy preferences among government ministries and agencies. To rectify this failure, the South Korean government had to revise its laws and regulations several times over a short period. Originality/value Drawing on the analytical framework of the literature on policy failure, this paper examines the causal relationships between outcomes of TAA policy and the conflicts or miscoordination among government bodies at each stage: initiatives and planning, implementation and operation of the policy.
目的探讨韩国贸易调整援助政策失败的根本原因。设计/方法/方法为了证实对政策失败的说法,本文重点关注参与TAA的政府部委和机构在政策偏好方面的差异。研究结果根据这项研究,TAA政策的失败归因于政府部委和机构之间政策偏好的差异所引起的冲突和协调失误。为了纠正这一失误,韩国政府不得不在短时间内多次修改法律法规。独创性/价值借鉴政策失败文献的分析框架,本文考察了TAA政策的结果与政府机构在每个阶段的冲突或错位之间的因果关系:倡议与政策的规划、实施和运作。
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引用次数: 3
In search for support for the extension of copyright term under the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement: A preliminary study of the Malaysian music industry 寻求跨太平洋伙伴关系协定下版权期限延长的支持:对马来西亚音乐产业的初步研究
IF 0.9 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2017-04-27 DOI: 10.1108/JITLP-10-2016-0025
I. Azmi, Rokiah Alavi
Purpose One of the binding commitments under the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement is the extension of the copyright term to 70 years after the death of the author. This paper reports the preliminary findings of a research on the potential impact of the extension of copyright term on the music industry in Malaysia. As Malaysia is a user and net importer of intellectual property, it is feared that extending the copyright term will likely impede incentives for the creation of new contents, increase the cost of licensing/royalties, diminish the choice and creativity of film and music industry and increase royalty payments abroad. The purpose of this study is to determine whether the commercial lifespan of copyright works is long enough. Design/methodology/approach Using a qualitative research method, in-depth interviews were carried out with key industry players between June and September 2015 to collect relevant information from the industry. The information obtained was analysed to gauge the market standing of the local music industry and how the proposed extension would bolster their financial and market power. The paper does not intend to explore the legal implications from the retrospective extension of copyright term and data on illegal use and piracy. The findings of the research will be purely drawn from the non-structured interviews and information gathered from respondents. Findings The paper concludes that there is not enough evidence to support the notion that the copyright extension will be economically advantageous to the local music industry. Research limitations/implications The feedback from the interviews, although cannot be generalised to be considered as representing the whole music industry in Malaysia, can nevertheless be taken as preliminary conclusions and an eye-opener to the quest for concrete support in the debate for the extension of the copyright term in Malaysia. The paper also does no explore the legal implications from the retrospective extension of copyright and data on illegal use and piracy. Practical implications In conclusion, more studies need to be conducted to understand the dynamics and needs of the music market in Malaysia for the extension of the copyright term to be really beneficial to them. As this study is only conducted using a qualitative research method, using open-ended and in-depth interview techniques on a small group of respondents, there may be a need to embark on empirical research with proper execution of survey instruments to a larger group of respondents. Social implications The music industry is chosen as the case study because it may develop into a potential export interest. The music industry as a small component of the larger “creative industry” has been identified as one of the new economic drivers under the Tenth Malaysia Plan. Originality/value The paper was first pre
《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》项下具有约束力的承诺之一是将版权期限延长至作者去世后70年。本文报告了一项关于版权期限延长对马来西亚音乐产业潜在影响的研究的初步结果。由于马来西亚是知识产权的使用者和净进口国,人们担心延长版权期限可能会阻碍创作新内容的动机,增加许可/版税成本,减少电影和音乐产业的选择和创造力,并增加海外版税支付。本研究的目的是确定版权作品的商业寿命是否足够长。设计/方法/方法采用定性研究方法,在2015年6月至9月期间对主要行业参与者进行了深度访谈,以收集行业相关信息。我们分析所得的资料,以评估本地音乐产业的市场地位,以及拟议的扩建将如何加强他们的财政和市场力量。本文不打算探讨版权期限追溯延长的法律含义以及非法使用和盗版的数据。研究结果将纯粹来自非结构化访谈和从受访者收集的信息。研究结果表明,没有足够的证据支持版权延长对本地音乐产业经济有利的观点。研究的局限/启示从访谈中得到的反馈,虽然不能被概括为代表马来西亚的整个音乐产业,但仍然可以作为初步的结论,并为在马来西亚延长版权期限的辩论中寻求具体的支持而大开眼界。本文也没有探讨版权追溯性延长的法律含义,以及非法使用和盗版的数据。总之,需要进行更多的研究,以了解马来西亚音乐市场的动态和需求,以延长版权期限,真正有利于他们。由于本研究仅使用定性研究方法进行,对一小部分受访者使用开放式和深入的访谈技术,因此可能需要对更大的受访者群体进行实证研究,并适当执行调查工具。选择音乐产业作为案例研究是因为它可能发展成为潜在的出口利益。音乐产业作为更大的“创意产业”的一个小组成部分,已被确定为第十马来西亚计划下的新经济驱动力之一。该论文于2015年9月27日在开普敦举行的2015年ATRIP大会上首次发表。这篇论文尚未发表。版权延长期限对马来西亚音乐产业可能产生的影响,此前尚无相关研究。
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引用次数: 1
Identifying Thailand’s high-potential export opportunities in ASEAN+3 countries 确定泰国在东盟+3国家的高潜力出口机会
IF 0.9 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2017-04-27 DOI: 10.1108/JITLP-09-2016-0019
L. Cuyvers, E. Steenkamp, W. Viviers, R. Rossouw, M. Cameron
Purpose This paper aims to identify Thailand’s realistic export opportunities (REOs) in the ASEAN+3 countries (i.e. ASEAN, Greater China, Japan and South Korea), which together constitute an economically dynamic region and a strategic export destination for Thailand. Furthermore, the paper seeks to determine the extent to which Thailand already has a share in ASEAN+3 countries and where new opportunities lie. This allows the formulation of appropriate export promotion strategies for Thailand. Design/methodology/approach The methodology used is a decision support model (DSM) which uses an extensive data-filtering system to systematically screen and eliminate less-promising product–country combinations to ultimately reveal high-potential REOs. Product–country combinations are screened on the basis of country risk; macro-economic country performance; market potential in terms of import growth and import market size; and market access conditions, including market concentration and the existence of trade barriers. The thus narrowed-down REOs are categorised according to Thailand’s relative market share in, and the characteristics of, the identified import markets. Findings The study reveals that the ASEAN+3 countries account for about 40 per cent of the total potential export value of Thailand’s REOs in the world, with China leading the way (12.45 per cent), followed by Japan (8.56 per cent) and South Korea (6.23 per cent). However, Thailand has a relatively small or intermediately small market share in the majority of these REOs, pointing to the need for more offensive and exploratory export promotion strategies. Research limitations/implications The ASEAN+3 countries – given that they are an abundant source of REOs for Thailand and are in Thailand’s “backyard” – should receive more focused attention and resources in government export promotion efforts. The recent launch of the ASEAN Economic Community and the proposed establishment of an East Asia Free Trade Area lend weight to the idea of Thailand adopting a strong regional focus in its export activities. Practical implications The insights derived from the study are valuable for export promotion officials, industry representatives and practising exporters alike, as they constitute an easy-to-digest snapshot of high-potential REOs for Thailand in the ASEAN+3 region. This makes for more efficient planning and prioritising of export development activities, and a more streamlined approach to resource allocation. Originality/value Export promotion shows diminishing returns and requires sustainable strategies and interventions. The value in this paper lies in its description of an innovative market selection tool, the DSM, which is able to process and filter high volumes of information and arrive at a shortlist of high-potential REOs for Thailand in the ASEAN+3 countries. The paper represents a concise cas
目的本文旨在确定泰国在东盟+3国家(即东盟、大中华区、日本和韩国)的现实出口机会,这些国家共同构成了泰国的经济活力区域和战略出口目的地。此外,本文试图确定泰国在东盟+3国家中的份额以及新的机会在哪里。这使泰国能够制定适当的出口促进战略。设计/方法论/方法论所使用的方法论是一种决策支持模型(DSM),它使用广泛的数据过滤系统来系统地筛选和消除前景较差的产品-国家组合,以最终揭示高潜力的REO。根据国家风险筛选产品-国家组合;宏观经济国家绩效;进口增长和进口市场规模方面的市场潜力;市场准入条件,包括市场集中和贸易壁垒的存在。根据泰国在已确定的进口市场中的相对市场份额和特点,对由此缩小的REO进行分类。研究结果显示,东盟+3国家约占泰国REO全球潜在出口总值的40%,其中中国领先(12.45%),其次是日本(8.56%)和韩国(6.23%)。然而,泰国在大多数REO中的市场份额相对较小或中等较小,这表明需要更具攻击性和探索性的出口促进战略。研究局限性/影响东盟+3国家——鉴于它们是泰国可再生能源组织的丰富来源,并且位于泰国的“后院”——在政府的出口促进工作中应该得到更多的关注和资源。最近成立的东盟经济共同体和建立东亚自由贸易区的提议,支持了泰国在出口活动中采取强有力的区域重点的想法。实际意义该研究得出的见解对出口促进官员、行业代表和实际出口商都很有价值,因为它们构成了泰国在东盟+3地区高潜力REO的一个易于消化的快照。这有助于更有效地规划和优先安排出口发展活动,并使资源分配方法更加精简。创意/价值出口促进显示出回报递减,需要可持续的战略和干预措施。本文的价值在于它描述了一种创新的市场选择工具DSM,该工具能够处理和过滤大量信息,并为泰国在东盟+3国家中的高潜力REO入围名单。本文简要介绍了DSM在实践中的案例研究,出口促进机构、行业协会以及新的和更成熟的出口国都应该对此特别感兴趣。
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引用次数: 9
Doha dead and buried in Nairobi: lessons for the WTO 多哈遇难者被埋葬在内罗毕:世贸组织的教训
IF 0.9 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2017-04-27 DOI: 10.1108/JITLP-01-2017-0001
Antoine Martin, B. Mercurio
Purpose This paper aims to reflect on the outcomes of the Nairobi Ministerial Conference of 2015, which, for all intents and purposes, put the Doha Round to rest and analyses the policy implications and lessons for policymaking at the World Trade Organization (WTO), most importantly the abandonment of the “single undertaking” and return to plurilateral agreements. Design/methodology/approach The paper approaches the issue of WTO policymaking by analysing the various outputs produced both before and because of the Ministerial Conference. Findings The paper suggests that the Nairobi Ministerial has finally put an end to the Doha Round and comes to the conclusion that policymaking at the multilateral level (i.e. through the single undertaking) will change significantly in the future because the WTO Members are incapable of reaching a comprehensive agreement at this time. Instead, the current trend towards trade policymaking via FTA is likely to continue while the WTO focuses on plurilateral negotiations on narrow and discreet issues. Originality/value The paper contributes to the literature on the analysis of global regulatory fragmentation and on trade policymaking. It draws attention, in particular, to the consequences of the last Ministerial Conference and highlights prospects for the future of global trade regulation.
目的本文件旨在反思2015年内罗毕部长级会议的成果,该会议旨在结束多哈回合,并分析对世界贸易组织(WTO)决策的政策影响和经验教训,最重要的是放弃“单一承诺”,回归多边协议。设计/方法/方法本文件通过分析部长级会议之前和之后产生的各种产出来处理世贸组织的政策制定问题。调查结果该文件表明,内罗毕部长级会议终于结束了多哈回合,并得出结论,多边层面的决策(即通过单一承诺)在未来将发生重大变化,因为世贸组织成员目前无法达成全面协议。相反,目前通过自由贸易协定制定贸易政策的趋势可能会继续下去,而世贸组织则专注于就狭隘而谨慎的问题进行多边谈判。原创性/价值该论文有助于分析全球监管碎片化和贸易政策制定的文献。它特别提请注意上次部长级会议的后果,并强调了全球贸易监管的未来前景。
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引用次数: 12
Medical Tourism in India – In Whose Interest? 印度的医疗旅游——谁的利益?
IF 0.9 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2016-12-06 DOI: 10.1108/JITLP-01-2016-0005
S. Gola
Purpose The present paper aims to analyse who actually benefits from the policies to promote international trade in healthcare services through medical tourism in India. It also assesses the implications of unfettered and unchecked medical tourism for public health policy-making. Design/methodology/approach The research methodology adopted in this paper is inter-disciplinary (socioeconomic and legal) and includes a mix of doctrinal and empirical qualitative research. Findings The present paper argues that in the absence of any baseline data in the public domain on inbound traffic of tourists visiting India on medical tourism, it is difficult to assess and evaluate the private sector claims and that the absence of any format for data collection, management and analysis results in questionable accountability and institutional fragmentation and non-coordination. Furthermore, it results in asymmetrical policy-making in areas like international trade, which may have unintended negative effects for public health. Research limitations/implications The research findings of the present paper will also assist other developing countries considering to promote medical tourism to learn lessons from India’s experiences. Originality/value The present paper uses the qualitative empirical research conducted by the author to analyse the state of affair of medical tourism in India.
目的本论文旨在分析谁实际上受益于政策,以促进医疗保健服务的国际贸易,通过医疗旅游在印度。它还评估了不受约束和不受约束的医疗旅游对公共卫生决策的影响。本文采用的研究方法是跨学科的(社会经济和法律),包括理论和实证定性研究的混合。本报告认为,由于公共领域缺乏关于印度医疗旅游入境游客流量的任何基线数据,因此很难评估和评价私营部门的索赔,而且由于缺乏数据收集、管理和分析的任何格式,导致问责制存在问题,机构分散和不协调。此外,它还导致国际贸易等领域的决策不对称,可能对公共卫生产生意想不到的负面影响。本论文的研究结果也将有助于其他考虑促进医疗旅游的发展中国家从印度的经验中吸取教训。原创性/价值本文采用作者进行的定性实证研究来分析印度医疗旅游的现状。
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引用次数: 8
Does the WTO government procurement agreement influence steel imports WTO政府采购协议对钢材进口有影响吗
IF 0.9 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2016-12-06 DOI: 10.1108/JITLP-07-2016-0015
Benjamin H. Liebman
Purpose Government procurement policies containing domestic content requirements have faced increasing attention, as more traditional forms of trade discrimination have declined in recent decades. The most important effort to reduce discriminatory government procurement policies is the plurilateral Agreement on Government Procurement (GPA), in which a subset of WTO countries has agreed to provide increased access to imports from fellow signatory countries. This paper focuses on the Buy American policy, which mandates domestic content for all US Federal government purchase above the micro-purchase level. The author tests whether steel imports from GPA and US Free Trade Agreement (FTA) partners, both of which receive preferential access to US federal procurements, increase as the value of federal construction contracts rise. Design/methodology/approach The author tracks federal construction contracts and seeks to determine whether there is a link between these contracts and construction grade steel imports from GPA and US FTA members. The author uses two-stage least squares to regress the import quantity of steel from GPA and US FTA countries on the value of US federal construction contracts. Imported and domestic steel prices as well as macroeconomic variables such as industrial production and non-residential construction are controlled for. A panel data set is used that includes three different construction-grade steel products and covers years 2004-2013. Findings The results indicate that increased federal construction contracts increase imports of construction-grade steel from GPA and FTA partners. This effect is relatively small, however, which may be due to the fact that federal construction is a small share of overall US construction. In general, the results suggest that the primary determinant of US import sourcing behavior is the business cycle as well as the price of steel. Nevertheless, the findings indicate that the preferences provided by the GPA and FTAs do have some impact on where US construction firms source their steel. Originality/value Previous research has studied the effect of the WTO’s GPA on foreign access to federal construction and other service contracts. This is the first study, however, to investigate whether these contracts impact the import sourcing behavior of the steel that is used in construction. Furthermore, while previous research measures the impact of GPA membership on the overall trade of goods and services, this paper is the first to link a particular industry with the inputs that are restricted by local content requirements such as the Buy American policy but freed up under the GPA. In general, previous research on the GPA has tried to capture the broad effect of GPA membership on trade, while this study focuses on the relationship between the GPA, federal procurement in a particular industry (construction) and import behavior of a key input, co
最近几十年来,随着传统形式的贸易歧视减少,包含国内含量要求的政府采购政策受到越来越多的关注。减少歧视性政府采购政策的最重要努力是《政府采购诸边协定》(GPA),其中一部分世贸组织国家同意增加从其他签署国进口的机会。本文的研究重点是购买美国货政策,该政策要求美国联邦政府在微观采购层面以上的所有采购都必须包含国内内容。作者检验了来自GPA和美国自由贸易协定(FTA)伙伴的钢材进口是否会随着联邦建筑合同价值的上升而增加,这两个国家都获得了美国联邦采购的优惠准入。设计/方法/方法作者追踪联邦建筑合同,并试图确定这些合同与从GPA和美国自由贸易协定成员国进口的建筑级钢材之间是否存在联系。本文采用两阶段最小二乘法对美国联邦建筑合同价值对GPA和FTA国家钢材进口量的影响进行了回归。进口和国内钢材价格以及工业生产和非住宅建设等宏观经济变量都受到控制。使用的面板数据集包括三种不同的建筑级钢产品,涵盖2004-2013年。研究结果表明,增加的联邦建筑合同增加了从GPA和FTA合作伙伴进口的建筑级钢材。然而,这种影响相对较小,这可能是由于联邦建设只占美国整体建设的一小部分。总体而言,研究结果表明,美国进口采购行为的主要决定因素是商业周期和钢铁价格。然而,研究结果表明,《政府采购协定》和《自由贸易协定》提供的偏好确实对美国建筑公司的钢材来源有一定影响。先前的研究已经研究了WTO GPA对外国获得联邦建筑和其他服务合同的影响。然而,这是第一项研究,调查这些合同是否影响建筑中使用的钢材的进口采购行为。此外,虽然之前的研究衡量了GPA成员对整体商品和服务贸易的影响,但本文首次将特定行业与输入联系起来,这些输入受到本地内容要求(如购买美国货政策)的限制,但在GPA下是自由的。一般来说,之前关于GPA的研究试图捕捉GPA成员对贸易的广泛影响,而本研究侧重于GPA,特定行业(建筑)的联邦采购和关键投入(建筑级钢)进口行为之间的关系。
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引用次数: 3
Impact of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) on US textile and apparel manufacturing 跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)对美国纺织和服装制造业的影响
IF 0.9 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2016-12-06 DOI: 10.1108/JITLP-02-2016-0009
Sheng Lu
Purpose This study aims to empirically investigate the potential impact of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) on US textile and apparel manufacturing. Design/methodology/approach This study adopts the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) computable general equilibrium model based on the latest GTAP9 database. Findings The findings of the study suggest that: the “yarn-forward” rule will not work effectively in the context of TPP; and the development of Vietnam’s local textile industry is a critical threat to the survival of US textile and apparel (T&A) manufacturing in the long run. Originality/value The findings of the study augment the understanding of the T&A-specific sectoral impact of TPP and address the particular concerns of the US T&A manufacturers with regard to the new business environment and the possible scenarios after the implementation of the agreement.
本研究旨在实证研究跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)对美国纺织服装制造业的潜在影响。本研究采用基于GTAP最新数据库的全球贸易分析项目(GTAP)可计算一般均衡模型。研究结果表明:“纱线前进”规则在TPP背景下无法有效发挥作用;从长远来看,越南当地纺织工业的发展对美国纺织和服装制造业的生存构成了严重威胁。本研究的结果增强了对TPP对并购行业影响的理解,并解决了美国并购制造商对新商业环境和协议实施后可能出现的情况的特殊担忧。
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引用次数: 1
US phytosanitary restrictions: the forgotten non-tariff barrier 美国植物检疫限制:被遗忘的非关税壁垒
IF 0.9 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2016-08-10 DOI: 10.1108/JITLP-10-2015-0027
Marie-Agnès Jouanjean, Jean-Christophe Maur, Ben Shepherd
Purpose This paper aims to provide new evidence that the US phytosanitary regime is associated with a restrictive market access environment for fruit and vegetable products. One chief reason seems to be that the US regime uses a positive list approach, under which only authorized countries can export. Design/methodology/approach The methodology of the paper is primarily qualitative. This paper reviews the US sanitary and phytosanitary measures (SPS) system and its scope for use to protect markets, in addition to protecting life and health. The approach is institutional and political economic. Findings For most products, only a portion of global production is authorized for export to the USA. Even among authorized countries, only a small proportion is actually exported. As a result, the number of countries exporting fresh fruit and vegetables to the USA is far lower than those exporting to countries like the EU and Canada, but it is on a par with markets known to be restrictive in this area, such as Australia and Japan. Using a data set of fruit and vegetable market access and political contributions, this paper also provides evidence showing that domestic political economy considerations may influence the decision to grant market access to foreign producers. Originality/value The US SPS system has not previously been analyzed in this way, and the distinction between negative and positive list approaches is highlighted in terms of its implications for third-party exporters. Similarly, the analysis of political contributions is novel and suggestive of an important dynamic at work in the determination of the US policy.
本文旨在提供新的证据,证明美国植物检疫制度与水果和蔬菜产品的限制性市场准入环境有关。一个主要原因似乎是,美国政府采用正面清单制度,即只有获得授权的国家才能出口。这篇论文的方法主要是定性的。本文综述了美国卫生和植物检疫措施(SPS)制度及其在保护生命和健康之外保护市场的应用范围。这是一种制度上和政治上的经济方法。对于大多数产品,只有全球生产的一部分被授权出口到美国。即使在授权国家中,实际出口的也只有一小部分。因此,向美国出口新鲜水果和蔬菜的国家数量远低于向欧盟和加拿大等国家出口新鲜水果和蔬菜的国家数量,但与澳大利亚和日本等在这一领域受到限制的市场数量相当。利用水果和蔬菜市场准入和政治贡献的数据集,本文还提供了证据,表明国内政治经济考虑可能影响向外国生产商提供市场准入的决定。原创性/价值美国SPS制度以前从未以这种方式进行分析,负面清单和正面清单方法之间的区别在其对第三方出口商的影响方面得到强调。同样,对政治献金的分析也很新颖,表明在美国政策的确定过程中,有一种重要的动态在起作用。
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引用次数: 9
Fiscal policies in EMU countries: strategies and empirical evidence 欧洲货币联盟国家的财政政策:策略和经验证据
IF 0.9 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2016-08-10 DOI: 10.1108/JITLP-10-2015-0031
F. Forte, Cosimo Magazzino
PurposeThe aim of the paper is to evaluate fiscal adjustments that have occurred in the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) countries in the last 35 years, and their consequences on the economic growth process by using the mean group (MG) estimators.Design/methodology/approachOur emphasis is on the effects of different composition of fiscal stimuli and consolidations. We compare the effects on the economic growth rate of different compositions of major fiscal changes. We use a cyclically adjusted value of the fiscal variables to leave aside variations of the fiscal variables induced by business cycle fluctuations.FindingsOur empirical research of the effects of large changes in fiscal policy, both in case of a fiscal consolidation and of fiscal stimulus in the 18 EMU countries from 1980 to 2015, shows that adjustments by cutting current expenditures, rather than by tax increases are more likely to boost economic growth. It also shows that cuts of investment expenditures may reduce GDP growth. During fiscal stimulus episodes, tax cuts and public investments are more likely to increase growth than current public expenditure.Originality/valueThis is the first study devoted to the EMU countries. It should be underlined that the results obtained as for EMU countries are not necessarily applicable to other countries, as the different government size as well as different market institutions may influence the results.
本文的目的是通过使用平均组(MG)估计器来评估过去35年来经济和货币联盟(EMU)国家发生的财政调整及其对经济增长过程的影响。设计/方法/方法我们的重点是财政刺激和整顿的不同组成的效果。我们比较了重大财政变动的不同构成对经济增长率的影响。我们使用财政变量的周期调整值来忽略由商业周期波动引起的财政变量的变化。我们对1980年至2015年间18个欧洲货币联盟国家的财政整顿和财政刺激政策的重大财政政策变化的影响进行的实证研究表明,通过削减经常支出进行调整,而不是通过增加税收,更有可能促进经济增长。它还表明,削减投资支出可能会降低GDP增长。在财政刺激时期,减税和公共投资比当前的公共支出更有可能促进增长。原创性/价值这是第一个专门针对欧洲货币联盟国家的研究。需要强调的是,针对欧洲货币联盟国家得出的结果并不一定适用于其他国家,因为不同的政府规模和不同的市场制度可能会影响结果。
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引用次数: 17
Reassessing North-South relations: the case of North-South preferential trade agreements 重新评估南北关系:以南北优惠贸易协定为例
IF 0.9 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2016-08-10 DOI: 10.1108/JITLP-11-2015-0040
Davit Sahakyan
Purpose The purposes of this paper are to provide a new framework for the (re)assessment of North-South relations, with a specific focus on North-South preferential trade agreements (PTAs); advance a new mechanism of how first-order, i.e. Southern countries’ first, North-South PTAs can affect the outcomes of second-order, i.e. Southern countries’ subsequent, North-South PTA negotiations; and re-examine the effects of North-South power asymmetries on the outcomes of North-South PTA negotiations. Design/methodology/approach The paper focuses on how North-South power asymmetries affect the outcomes of North-South PTA negotiations. It introduces the concept of “first-order” and “second-order” North-South PTAs to show that the “order” of an agreement can be a crucial factor in PTA negotiations. The claims of the paper are also supported by primary data obtained through the author’s personal interviews with European Union and USA trade officials and policy-makers (see Appendix). Findings The paper advances a new theoretical framework that takes a longer-term view on North-South trade relations, whereby, against the backdrop of the proliferating PTAs, first-order North-South agreements can raise the bargaining powers of Southern countries during subsequent North-South PTA negotiations, with strong implications for both developed and developing countries. Research limitations/implications The paper is largely theoretical. A systematic empirical study of North-South PTAs will be required to validate or refute the theoretical framework advanced in this paper. Originality/value The paper introduces a new variable, namely the “order” of an agreement, which affects the logic of North-South PTA negotiations. Hence, the paper sets out a new theoretical framework that allows for a more accurate assessment of North-South power asymmetries and their effects on the outcomes of North-South PTA negotiations.
本文的目的是为(重新)评估南北关系提供一个新的框架,特别关注南北优惠贸易协定(PTAs);提出一阶(即南方国家的第一个南北PTA)如何影响二阶(即南方国家随后的南北PTA谈判)结果的新机制;并重新审视南北权力不对称对南北PTA谈判结果的影响。设计/方法/方法本文关注南北权力不对称如何影响南北PTA谈判的结果。它引入了“一级”和“二级”南北PTA的概念,以表明协定的“顺序”可以成为PTA谈判的关键因素。本文的主张也得到了作者通过与欧盟和美国贸易官员和政策制定者的个人访谈获得的原始数据的支持(见附录)。本文提出了一个新的理论框架,从更长远的角度看待南北贸易关系,即在自由贸易协定不断扩散的背景下,一级南北协定可以提高南方国家在随后的南北自由贸易协定谈判中的议价能力,对发达国家和发展中国家都有重大影响。这篇论文在很大程度上是理论性的。为了验证或反驳本文提出的理论框架,需要对南北贸易协定进行系统的实证研究。本文引入了一个影响南北PTA谈判逻辑的新变量,即协议的“顺序”。因此,本文提出了一个新的理论框架,可以更准确地评估南北权力不对称及其对南北优惠贸易区谈判结果的影响。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of International Trade Law and Policy
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