In this paper we present a novel closed-form estimator for the parameters of the matrixvariate gamma distribution. The estimator relies on the moments of a transformation of the observed matrices, and is compared to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) through a simulation study. The study reveals that the suggested estimator outperforms the MLE, in terms of estimation error, when the underlying scale matrix parameter is ill-conditioned or when the shape parameter is close to its lower bound. In addition, since the suggested estimator is closed-form, it does not require numerical optimization as the MLE does, thus needing shorter computation time and is furthermore not subject to start value sensitivity or convergence issues. Finally, using the proposed estimator as start value in the optimization procedure of the MLE is shown to substantially reduce computation time, in comparison to using arbitrary start values.
{"title":"Closed-form estimator for the matrix-variate Gamma distribution","authors":"Gustav Alfelt","doi":"10.1090/TPMS/1138","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1090/TPMS/1138","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we present a novel closed-form estimator for the parameters of the matrixvariate gamma distribution. The estimator relies on the moments of a transformation of the observed matrices, and is compared to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) through a simulation study. The study reveals that the suggested estimator outperforms the MLE, in terms of estimation error, when the underlying scale matrix parameter is ill-conditioned or when the shape parameter is close to its lower bound. In addition, since the suggested estimator is closed-form, it does not require numerical optimization as the MLE does, thus needing shorter computation time and is furthermore not subject to start value sensitivity or convergence issues. Finally, using the proposed estimator as start value in the optimization procedure of the MLE is shown to substantially reduce computation time, in comparison to using arbitrary start values.","PeriodicalId":42776,"journal":{"name":"Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics","volume":"103 1","pages":"137-154"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45223114","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"On modeling the correlation as an additional parameter in random effects model","authors":"Rebecca Nalule Muhumuza, Olha Bodnar","doi":"10.1090/TPMS/1137","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1090/TPMS/1137","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42776,"journal":{"name":"Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics","volume":"103 1","pages":"121-136"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43289468","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
We investigate the solution to the logistic equation involving non-local operators in time. In the linear case such operators lead to the well-known theory of time changes. We provide the probabilistic representation for the non-linear logistic equation with non-local operators in time. The so-called fractional logistic equation has been investigated by many researchers, the problem to find the explicit representation of the solution on the whole real line is still open. In our recent work the solution on compact sets has been written in terms of Euler's numbers.
{"title":"Non-local logistic equations from the probability viewpoint","authors":"M. D’Ovidio","doi":"10.1090/tpms/1146","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1090/tpms/1146","url":null,"abstract":"We investigate the solution to the logistic equation involving non-local operators in time. In the linear case such operators lead to the well-known theory of time changes. We provide the probabilistic representation for the non-linear logistic equation with non-local operators in time. The so-called fractional logistic equation has been investigated by many researchers, the problem to find the explicit representation of the solution on the whole real line is still open. In our recent work the solution on compact sets has been written in terms of Euler's numbers.","PeriodicalId":42776,"journal":{"name":"Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46224658","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
In this addendum we provide an existence and uniqueness result for mild solutions to semilinear stochastic partial differential equations driven by Wiener processes and Poisson random measures in the framework of the semigroup approach with locally monotone coefficients, where the semigroup is allowed to be pseudo-contractive. This improves an earlier paper of the author, where the equation was only driven by Wiener processes, and where the semigroup was only allowed to be a semigroup of contractions.
{"title":"Mild solutions to semilinear stochastic partial differential equations with locally monotone coefficients","authors":"Stefan Tappe","doi":"10.1090/tpms/1149","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1090/tpms/1149","url":null,"abstract":"In this addendum we provide an existence and uniqueness result for mild solutions to semilinear stochastic partial differential equations driven by Wiener processes and Poisson random measures in the framework of the semigroup approach with locally monotone coefficients, where the semigroup is allowed to be pseudo-contractive. This improves an earlier paper of the author, where the equation was only driven by Wiener processes, and where the semigroup was only allowed to be a semigroup of contractions.","PeriodicalId":42776,"journal":{"name":"Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49649252","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
We consider plain vanilla European options written on an underlying asset that follows a continuous time semi-Markov multiplicative process. We derive a formula and a renewal type equation for the martingale option price. In the case in which intertrade times follow the Mittag-Leffler distribution, under appropriate scaling, we prove that these option prices converge to the price of an option written on geometric Brownian motion time-changed with the inverse stable subordinator. For geometric Brownian motion time changed with an inverse subordinator, in the more general case when the subordinator’s Laplace exponent is a special Bernstein function, we derive a time-fractional generalization of the equation of Black and Scholes.
{"title":"Limit theorems for prices of options written on semi-Markov processes","authors":"E. Scalas, Bruno Toaldo","doi":"10.1090/tpms/1153","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1090/tpms/1153","url":null,"abstract":"We consider plain vanilla European options written on an underlying asset that follows a continuous time semi-Markov multiplicative process. We derive a formula and a renewal type equation for the martingale option price. In the case in which intertrade times follow the Mittag-Leffler distribution, under appropriate scaling, we prove that these option prices converge to the price of an option written on geometric Brownian motion time-changed with the inverse stable subordinator. For geometric Brownian motion time changed with an inverse subordinator, in the more general case when the subordinator’s Laplace exponent is a special Bernstein function, we derive a time-fractional generalization of the equation of Black and Scholes.","PeriodicalId":42776,"journal":{"name":"Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46774692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Approximation of the solution to the parabolic equation driven by stochastic measure","authors":"B. Manikin, V. Radchenko","doi":"10.1090/TPMS/1131","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1090/TPMS/1131","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42776,"journal":{"name":"Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics","volume":"1 1","pages":"1"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41968258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The equation for vibrations of a fixed string driven by a general stochastic measure","authors":"I. Bodnarchuk, V. Radchenko","doi":"10.1090/tpms/1108","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1090/tpms/1108","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42776,"journal":{"name":"Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics","volume":"101 1","pages":"1-11"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44192288","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Wold decomposition of Hilbertian periodically correlated processes","authors":"A. Zamani, Z. Sajjadnia, M. Hashemi","doi":"10.1090/tpms/1116","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1090/tpms/1116","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42776,"journal":{"name":"Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics","volume":"101 1","pages":"119-127"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47259133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Differential and integral equations for jump random motions","authors":"A. Pogorui, R. Rodríguez-Dagnino","doi":"10.1090/tpms/1123","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1090/tpms/1123","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42776,"journal":{"name":"Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics","volume":"101 1","pages":"233-242"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42251311","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}