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Macro-circulation processes and their impact on changes in the ice regime of the Caspian Sea 宏观环流过程及其对里海冰况变化的影响
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.26577/jgem.2020.v57.i2.04
Ж. K. Наурозбаева
In this paper, were analyzed long-time course of atmospheric circulation forms, the main ice parameters, average air temperature and the sum of negative air temperatures. Database was formed by air temperature, ice thickness and types of circulation. For types of atmospheric circulation the long-term average was recalculated. Between parameters are revealed correlations. According researches results, ice thickness was decrease with different weight. In the Caspian Sea, a decrease in ice thickness is ob-served. The average ice thickness is 40 cm. In the Middle Caspian, an increase in the frequency of ice cover is observed. The estimated contribution of each month to the cold season. The temperature effect of each month of the cold period and each type of atmospheric circulation effect were estimated. In the time course a stepwise transition from one stationary state to another was determined. This was reflected not only on the temperature, but also on all the parameters considered. The classification of winter spe-cies of the Caspian Sea under consideration, according to which there is an increase in the frequency of occurrence of mild and moderate winters.
本文分析了长程大气环流形式、主要冰参数、平均气温和负气温之和。数据库由气温、冰厚和环流类型组成。对于大气环流类型,重新计算了长期平均值。参数之间显示出相关性。研究结果表明,冰的厚度随重量的不同而减小。在里海,观测到冰层厚度减少。冰的平均厚度为40厘米。在里海中部,观测到冰层覆盖频率的增加。每个月对寒冷季节的估计贡献。对寒期各月的温度效应和各类大气环流效应进行了估算。在时间过程中,确定了从一个定态到另一个定态的逐步过渡。这不仅反映在温度上,还反映在所考虑的所有参数上。里海冬季物种的分类正在考虑中,根据该分类,温和和中度冬季的发生频率有所增加。
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引用次数: 0
EVALUATION OF DYNAMIC CHANGE OF WATER LEVEL OF THE SMALL ARAL SEA BASED ON DATA OF OPEN SOURCES 基于公开资料的小咸海水位动态变化评价
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.26577/jgem.2020.v57.i2.06
Г. В. Айзель, А. С. Ижицкий, А. K. Курбаниязов, Ж. А. Жанабаева
The study of the Aral Sea water level and volume dynamics is an urgent scientific task due to the need to understand the mechanisms of natural, anthropogenic processes. In particular, the study of water balance component dynamics of Small Aral basin is the most important task in planning scenarios of water use, water protection in the region. In the proposed work, on the basis of machine learning methods, two statistical models were developed: a model that takes into account the variability of the monthly values of Syrdaria runoff and corresponding change in Small Aral water volume. In the low availability conditions of data from field observations, obtained operational estimates, which compose water balance component are the most important source of information about ongoing changes in studied basin. The proposed technique can used to obtain initial conditions in hydrodynamic modeling experiments, as well as to calculate climatic scenarios for development of the Aral hydrological system.
由于需要了解自然和人为过程的机制,咸海水位和体积动态的研究是一项紧迫的科学任务。特别是小咸海流域水平衡成分动态研究是该地区水资源利用、水资源保护规划方案的重要内容。在提出的工作中,基于机器学习方法,开发了两个统计模型:一个模型考虑了锡尔达河径流月值的变异性和小咸海水量的相应变化。在野外观测数据可得性较低的情况下,获得的业务估算是研究流域持续变化的最重要信息来源。该技术可用于水动力模拟实验中获得初始条件,也可用于计算咸海水文系统发展的气候情景。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated assessment of the tourist-recreational potential in the aktobe oblast 阿克托贝州旅游休闲潜力综合评价
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.26577/JGEM.2020.V59.I4.04
A. Sergeeva, M. Omirzakova
Assessment of the tourist-recreational potential of the Aktobe oblast is the main tool for determining the prospects for its development and strategic planning. The article presents the methodology and results of assessing the potential of tourist and recreational development of the Aktobe oblast. The integrated assessment of the tourist-recreational potential in the Aktobe oblast includes a criteria basis for evaluating three groups of tourism development resources: natural and climatic, historical and cultural, and socio-economic. Taking into account the lack of statistical indicators, the article analyzes the potential of tourism in the districts of Aktobe oblast on the basis of evaluation criteria selected using the General balance method. The tourist-recreational potential of natural and cultural resources of the Aktobe oblast has features that affect the development of the territorial organization of tourism. The objects of cultural and historical heritage that have been preserved to date reflect the identity of the Aktobe oblast. A thorough analysis of the results of the assessment of tourist and recreational activities of the oblast, competent work and investment give an idea of the territories where new tourist facilities may appear. As a result of the analysis, it turned out that these resources are located unevenly, and a high level of tourism development in the context of natural and climatic resources of the oblast is revealed in the service of tourists. The results of the analysis can be used to solve organizational and managerial tasks for the balanced development of tourism at the oblastal and local levels.
对阿克托别州旅游娱乐潜力的评估是确定其发展前景和战略规划的主要工具。本文介绍了评估阿克托别州旅游和娱乐发展潜力的方法和结果。阿克托别州旅游休闲潜力综合评价包括评价三组旅游开发资源的标准基础:自然和气候、历史和文化以及社会经济。考虑到统计指标的缺乏,本文在采用一般平衡法选取评价标准的基础上,对阿克托别州各区旅游潜力进行了分析。阿克托别州自然文化资源的旅游休闲潜力具有影响本州旅游组织发展的特点。迄今为止保存下来的文化和历史遗产反映了阿克托贝州的身份。对该州旅游和娱乐活动评估结果的全面分析,主管工作和投资,可以了解可能出现新旅游设施的地区。分析结果表明,这些资源的分布不均匀,在为游客服务的过程中,揭示了该州自然和气候资源背景下的高水平旅游发展。分析结果可用于解决州和地方各级旅游业平衡发展的组织和管理任务。
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引用次数: 0
Economic and geographical aspects of development of rural areas in Pavlodar region 巴甫洛达尔地区农村地区发展的经济和地理方面
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.26577/jgem.2021.v62.i3.01
U. Kassen, Sh. Kairova
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Geography and Environmental Management
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