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COVID-19 and Global Value Chains Participation: Export Performance of Croatian Firms 2019冠状病毒病与全球价值链参与:克罗地亚企业的出口绩效
IF 1 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2023-0005
Nevenka Čučković, V. Vučković
Abstract For the last two-three years, the disruptions of the GVC caused by the COVID-19 pandemic have forced the business sector to restructure and adjust, sometimes very costly and painful. Moreover, with the recent war in Ukraine foreseeable negative implications, it is very certain that large-scale disruptions in the global economic trade and investment flows, and ultimately in the GVC, will dictate the survival and sustainability of business in many economic sectors in the years to come. The main goal of this paper is twofold. First, to review the existing research on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on global trends affecting the current reconfiguring and reshaping of the GVC. Second, to analyse the characteristics of Croatian firms that recorded a decrease in their (indirect and direct) exports in the COVID-19 period by performing a logit model and utilising the World Bank’s Enterprise Survey 2019, backed up by the Enterprise Surveys Follow-Up on COVID-19 (3 rounds up to now).
摘要在过去的两三年里,新冠肺炎疫情对全球价值链的破坏迫使商业部门进行重组和调整,有时代价高昂且痛苦不堪。此外,随着最近乌克兰战争可预见的负面影响,可以肯定的是,全球经济贸易和投资流的大规模中断,以及最终全球价值链的中断,将决定未来几年许多经济部门企业的生存和可持续性。本文的主要目的是双重的。首先,回顾关于新冠肺炎大流行对全球价值链当前重新配置和重塑的全球趋势的影响的现有研究。第二,通过执行logit模型并利用世界银行的《2019年企业调查》(由新冠肺炎后续企业调查支持),分析新冠肺炎期间克罗地亚企业(间接和直接)出口下降的特征(截至目前共3轮)。
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引用次数: 0
A Bibliometric Analysis of Public Business School Scientific Productivity and Impact in South-East Europe (2017-2021) 东南欧公立商学院科学生产力和影响的文献计量分析(2017-2021)
IF 1 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2023-0003
N. Alfirević, J. Pavičić, Darko Rendulić
Abstract In this paper, we analyze the scientific productivity and impact of selected public business schools in South East Europe (SEE) in the 2017-2021 period by using the scientific output indexed in the Elsevier Scopus reference database. The region’s most productive and influential authors, institutions, and publication outlets are identified in the field of business research. Empirical results are discussed from the viewpoints of two research questions related to regional business school research patterns and the research cooperation outcomes. Selected public business schools in the SEE region have been found to have a mixed record regarding research productivity and impact. International collaboration is valuable in increasing the research impact, while institutional collaboration seems more effective in raising impact than national one. Recommendations for business school administrators are identified and discussed.
摘要在本文中,我们使用爱思唯尔Scopus参考数据库中的科学产出索引,分析了2017-2021年东南欧选定公立商学院的科学生产力和影响。该地区最具生产力和影响力的作家、机构和出版物都是在商业研究领域确定的。从与区域商学院研究模式和研究合作成果相关的两个研究问题的角度讨论了实证结果。SEE地区选定的公立商学院在研究生产力和影响力方面的记录参差不齐。国际合作在增加研究影响方面很有价值,而机构合作在提高影响方面似乎比国家合作更有效。确定并讨论了对商学院管理人员的建议。
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引用次数: 0
HRM Practices and Organizational Performance: Mediation Effect of Innovation 人力资源管理实践与组织绩效:创新的中介作用
IF 1 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2023-0007
L. Turulja, Amra Kožo, Emir Kurtić, M. P. Bach
Abstract The main aim of this study is to explore the mediating effect of innovation in the relationship between human resource management (HRM) practices and organizational performance. HRM practices are observed through selective hiring, training, participative decision-making, and rewarding. Innovation is conceptualized over behavioral, product, process, and market innovation. The study relies upon the principles of social exchange theory and resource-based theory. Data were collected from 408 managers in an emerging economy context. The proposed conceptual model is evaluated with structural equation modeling using Lisrel 8.8 and SPSS 22. Study findings suggest that innovation influences the relationship between selective hiring, training, and participative decision-making and organizational performance. However, no mediating effect of innovation was found in a relationship between rewarding and organizational business performances. Since human resources and innovation are among the leading sources for building competitive advantage for companies, the study findings contribute to HRM and innovation.
摘要本研究的主要目的是探讨创新在人力资源管理实践与组织绩效之间的中介作用。人力资源管理实践是通过选择性招聘、培训、参与决策和奖励来观察的。创新被概念化为行为、产品、过程和市场创新。本研究以社会交换理论和资源理论为基础。数据是从新兴经济背景下的408名管理人员那里收集的。使用Lisrel 8.8和SPSS 22对所提出的概念模型进行了结构方程建模评估。研究结果表明,创新会影响选择性招聘、培训和参与决策与组织绩效之间的关系。然而,在奖励和组织经营绩效之间的关系中,没有发现创新的中介作用。由于人力资源和创新是建立企业竞争优势的主要来源之一,研究结果有助于人力资源管理和创新。
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引用次数: 0
Regionalization Based on Socio-Economic Development Indicators in Bosnia and Herzegovina – Example of Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina 基于波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那社会经济发展指标的区域化——以波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那联邦为例
IF 1 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2023-0002
Adela Delalić, M. Šikalo, Selma Numanović
Abstract This study classifies local self-government units (local communities) in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina (FBIH) according to socio-economic characteristics by applying the following multivariate methods: principal component analysis (PCA), regression and cluster analysis. The selection of variables was based on literature and adjusted by FBIH specifics, covering the four hypothetical dimensions of regional differentiation: macroeconomic, demographic, infrastructural and socio-cultural indicators. PCA has identified five components: the productivity component, demographic component, component of economic activity potential, spatial component and employment component. Further analysis showed that all identified factors are significant predictors of local communities’ development, measured by the development index. The cluster analysis resulted with four clusters in the FBIH with significant differences in development level. Considering that FBIH municipalities are administrative units of local government and that the classification is based on socio-economic dimensions, identified clusters correspond to the NUTS principles.
摘要本研究采用主成分分析、回归和聚类分析等多元方法,根据波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那联邦的社会经济特征,对地方自治单位(地方社区)进行了分类。变量的选择基于文献,并根据FBIH的具体情况进行了调整,涵盖了区域差异的四个假设维度:宏观经济、人口、基础设施和社会文化指标。PCA确定了五个组成部分:生产力组成部分、人口组成部分、经济活动潜力组成部分、空间组成部分和就业组成部分。进一步的分析表明,通过发展指数衡量,所有确定的因素都是当地社区发展的重要预测因素。聚类分析结果显示,FBIH中有四个聚类在发展水平上存在显著差异。考虑到联邦直辖市是地方政府的行政单位,分类基于社会经济层面,确定的集群符合NUTS原则。
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引用次数: 0
Wealth Inequality and Institutional Development: Macroeconometric Evidence from a Global Sample 财富不平等与制度发展:来自全球样本的宏观计量经济学证据
IF 1 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2023-0008
Rijad Kovač, M. Verbič
Abstract This paper examines the empirical relationship between institutions, particularly financial institutions, and wealth inequality using a global panel data set for the period 2010–2016. We conduct a dynamic econometric analysis of these relationships based on the Credit Suisse and World Bank data. Our results reveal that control of corruption and government effectiveness do not have statistically significant effects on wealth inequality. However, the findings indicate an unfavourable effect of domestic credit on wealth inequality as measured by the Gini coefficient for wealth. The long-run effect of domestic credit is persistent and cumulates over time. We also find evidence of relationships between wealth inequality on one hand, and inflation rate, employment in agriculture and government expenditure on the other. The findings imply that policy makers need to re-examine the role and rules in the financial intermediation sector to address the issue of wealth inequality and equal opportunities.
本文利用2010-2016年的全球面板数据集,研究了制度(特别是金融机构)与财富不平等之间的实证关系。我们根据瑞士信贷和世界银行的数据对这些关系进行了动态计量经济学分析。我们的研究结果表明,控制腐败和政府效率对财富不平等没有统计上显著的影响。然而,研究结果表明,以财富基尼系数衡量,国内信贷对财富不平等产生了不利影响。国内信贷的长期影响是持久的,并随着时间的推移而积累。我们还发现了财富不平等与通货膨胀率、农业就业和政府支出之间关系的证据。研究结果表明,政策制定者需要重新审视金融中介部门的角色和规则,以解决财富不平等和平等机会的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Does Total Factor Productivity Growth Ameliorate Socio-Economic Stance? New Findings from Central and Eastern Europe 全要素生产率增长会改善社会经济状况吗?中欧和东欧的新发现
IF 1 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2023-0010
Emin Efecan Aktaş
Abstract National income calculations may not include knowledge that directly concerns the socioeconomic stance in an economy. Knowledge plays a significant role in promoting the economic growth of a country; however, its socio-economic role has received little attention in the literature. Total factor productivity, which is the main source of long-term economic prosperity, expresses the increase in productivity in all production factors. This paper attempts to quantify the effects of total factor productivity growth on economic prosperity. The analysis is conducted for the 2007-2020 period and 18 Central Eastern Europe countries. The “Legatum Prosperity Index” is utilized in the econometric analysis, in line with the purpose of the study. Results of the study with panel ordinary least squares, panel fixed-effects, panel random effects, panel-corrected standard errors (robustness check), and system-generalized method of moments (robustness check) confirm that total factor productivity growth positively correlated with economic prosperity.
摘要国民收入计算可能不包括与经济中的社会经济地位直接相关的知识。知识在促进一个国家的经济增长方面发挥着重要作用;然而,它的社会经济作用在文献中却很少受到关注。全要素生产率是经济长期繁荣的主要来源,它表示所有生产要素生产率的提高。本文试图量化全要素生产率增长对经济繁荣的影响。该分析针对2007-2020年期间和18个中东欧国家进行。经济计量分析中使用了“Legatum繁荣指数”,符合本研究的目的。面板普通最小二乘法、面板固定效应、面板随机效应、面板校正标准误差(稳健性检验)和系统广义矩法(稳健性检验,稳健性检验)的研究结果证实,全要素生产率增长与经济繁荣呈正相关。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial 编辑
IF 1 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2023-0014
A. Efendic
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引用次数: 0
Economic Consequences of the Cost of Government Borrowing in European Transition Economies 欧洲转型经济体政府借贷成本的经济后果
IF 1 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2023-0013
Berat Havolli
Abstract Given the need of transition economies to fund the investments necessary for development partly through borrowing, this paper investigates empirically the economic consequences of the government cost of borrowing for European transition economies during the period 2003-2016. The investigation analyses the impact of sovereign borrowing costs, in turn, on interest rates on loans to businesses and households, on the growth rates of investment and consumption, and, ultimately, on general economic activity. By utilizing a panel VAR technique our results indicate that consequent upon a positive shock to the cost of sovereign borrowing, the cost of borrowing for loans to both Non-Financial Corporations (NFCs) and households increases. We find that the price transmission from government borrowing costs to the private sector is at play with respect not only to borrowing rates but also to macroeconomic activity at large. Following an increase in sovereign borrowing costs, we observe substantial negative responses in the growth rates of investment, household consumption, and GDP growth. Also, while a price of borrowing increase for NFCs is found to negatively affect investment, household consumption is unaffected by an increase in household borrowing rates. These findings have valuable policy implications for policymakers and stakeholders in transition economies. Specifically, the results suggest that efforts to reduce the cost of sovereign borrowing could have a positive impact on the economy by lowering borrowing costs for households and businesses, promoting investment and consumption, and ultimately boosting economic growth.
鉴于转型经济体需要部分通过借贷为发展所需的投资提供资金,本文实证研究了2003-2016年期间欧洲转型经济体政府借贷成本的经济后果。调查分析了主权借贷成本对企业和家庭贷款利率的影响,对投资和消费增长率的影响,并最终对总体经济活动的影响。通过使用面板VAR技术,我们的结果表明,在主权借贷成本受到积极冲击之后,非金融公司(nfc)和家庭的借贷成本都增加了。我们发现,从政府借贷成本到私营部门的价格传导不仅在借贷利率方面起作用,而且在宏观经济活动方面也起作用。在主权借贷成本上升之后,我们观察到投资、家庭消费和GDP增长的增长率出现了实质性的负面反应。此外,虽然发现nfc的借贷价格增加对投资产生负面影响,但家庭消费不受家庭借贷利率增加的影响。这些发现对转型经济体的决策者和利益相关者具有重要的政策意义。具体而言,研究结果表明,降低主权借贷成本的努力可以通过降低家庭和企业的借贷成本,促进投资和消费,最终促进经济增长,从而对经济产生积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial 编辑
IF 1 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2022-0023
A. Efendic
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating Monetary Policy Effectiveness in North Macedonia: Evidence from a Bayesian Favar Framework 北马其顿货币政策有效性评估:来自贝叶斯法瓦尔框架的证据
IF 1 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2022-0015
M. Petrovska, Jasna Tonovska, M. Nikolov, Artan Sulejmani
Abstract This paper has adopted a Bayesian FAVAR approach to examine the monetary transmission mechanism in North Macedonia. The model is based on a broad data set that encompasses 140 monthly time series spanning between January 2010 and January 2019. In particular, the impact of policy on bank portfolio variables, and the impact of policy on economic activity variables have been evaluated. Our findings show that monetary tightening, causes a fall in output, inflation rate, employment, bank lending, the stock of government securities held by banks, and equity prices. On the other hand, it increases short-term money market rates, lending rates, deposits, and only in the immediate aftermath of the key policy rate rise, the share of non-performing loans in the loan portfolio. The study is expected to provide useful input to monetary policy implementation in North Macedonia. The study as well enriches the literature in this domain by discussing the challenges facing monetary authorities of small open economies with fixed exchange rate regimes in understanding how their policy instrument work through the economy.
摘要本文采用贝叶斯FAVAR方法来检验北马其顿的货币传导机制。该模型基于广泛的数据集,包括2010年1月至2019年1月期间的140个月时间序列。特别是,评估了政策对银行投资组合变量的影响,以及政策对经济活动变量的影响。我们的研究结果表明,货币紧缩会导致产出、通货膨胀率、就业、银行贷款、银行持有的政府证券存量和股票价格下降。另一方面,它提高了短期货币市场利率、贷款利率和存款,只有在关键政策利率上升后,才提高了不良贷款在贷款组合中的份额。该研究预计将为北马其顿货币政策的实施提供有用的投入。该研究还通过讨论具有固定汇率制度的小型开放经济体的货币当局在理解其政策工具如何在经济中发挥作用方面所面临的挑战,丰富了该领域的文献。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
South East European Journal of Economics and Business
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