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Forecaster evaluation as model comparison. 预报员评估即模型比较。
IF 1.5 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1037/dec0000230
Edgar C. Merkle, Ronald D. Flores
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引用次数: 0
Dual-systems and fuzzy-trace theory predictions of COVID-19 risk taking in young adults. 双系统和模糊轨迹理论对青少年 COVID-19 风险承担的预测。
IF 1.5 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-02 DOI: 10.1037/dec0000231
Sarah M. Edelson, Valerie F. Reyna, B. Hayes, David M. N. Garavito
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引用次数: 0
The dynamics of dominance and compromise 支配与妥协的动力
IF 1.5 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-20 DOI: 10.1007/s40622-024-00381-4
Robert Gmeiner

Political goals are often sought by groups, whether they be political parties, trade associations, interest groups, or of any other sort. The formalities of modern political systems rely on individual voting, but group identities shape both individual behavior and the workings of government. To build a metaphor from the natural sciences, fluids (groups) are composed of molecules (individuals), but the fluid has properties of its own that affect its motion (actions) and interactions with other fluids (groups). This paper develops a model based on fluid dynamics relationships to explain group interactions based on observable group characteristics. It complements many strands of literature by explaining the circumstances in which existing models are valid, and in which they are incomplete. In so doing, it does not refute any existing models, but links them together and addresses their shortcomings.

政治目标通常由团体来追求,无论是政党、行业协会、利益集团还是其他任何类型的团体。现代政治体制的形式依赖于个人投票,但群体身份塑造了个人行为和政府运作。借用自然科学中的一个比喻,流体(群体)由分子(个体)组成,但流体自身的属性会影响其运动(行动)以及与其他流体(群体)的互动。本文以流体动力学关系为基础建立了一个模型,根据可观察到的群体特征来解释群体互动。它对许多文献进行了补充,解释了现有模型在哪些情况下是有效的,在哪些情况下是不完整的。在此过程中,它没有反驳任何现有模型,而是将它们联系在一起,并解决了它们的不足之处。
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引用次数: 0
Modest governance as a condition for separating benevolent from malevolent recycling practices in the Netherlands 在荷兰,适度治理是区分善意和恶意回收做法的一个条件
IF 1.5 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.1007/s40622-024-00379-y
Jordi Bok, Freek Colombijn

The municipal government of Hengelo (Netherlands) has introduced reversed collection and differentiated tariffs for waste collection as two policies to stimulate the separation of household waste at source and reduce residual waste. It has also launched other innovative ways of reducing residual solid waste. While most people comply with the new policies, the citizenry has also reacted with fierce protests and in an astounding diversity of ways to the disposal of their waste, unforeseen by the municipality. Two negative effects of the citizens’ creative reactions have been haphazard separation and the littering of the street. The municipality has reacted with condescension by imposing a mixture of control and pedagogic strategies. The aim of this article is first to demonstrate the amazing width of municipal policies, second, to understand the negative reactions of citizens, and, third, the reasons why municipal responses to these reactions have partly remained without success. We argue that ‘modest governance’, which is more sensitive to the citizens’ life worlds, is necessary if the service co-production of waste management is to be a success.

亨格洛市政府(荷兰)推出了反向收集和差别收费这两项政策,以鼓励从源头对家庭垃圾进行分类,减少残余垃圾。政府还推出了其他减少残余固体废物的创新方法。虽然大多数人都遵守新政策,但市民们也做出了激烈的抗议,并以市政当局未曾预料到的多种方式处理他们的垃圾。市民们的创造性反应产生了两个负面影响,一是垃圾分类杂乱无章,二是街上垃圾遍地。市政当局则以居高临下的姿态作出反应,采取了控制和教育相结合的策略。本文的目的首先是展示市政政策的惊人广度,其次是了解市民的负面反应,第三是市政当局对这些反应的回应部分仍未取得成功的原因。我们认为,要想成功实现废物管理服务的共同生产,就必须进行 "适度治理",对市民的生活世界更加敏感。
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引用次数: 0
Why context should matter. 背景为何重要?
IF 1.5 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1037/dec0000234
Rahul Bhui, Rachit Dubey
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引用次数: 0
Organizational culture, compensation systems, decision-making, and efficiency of public higher education institutions: case study of the University of Sfax 公立高等教育机构的组织文化、薪酬制度、决策和效率:斯法克斯大学案例研究
IF 1.5 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1007/s40622-024-00377-0
Wahiba Ben Fradj Nasrallah, Ghazi Zouari

In this research, we examined the mediating effect (decision-making) between governance mechanisms captured by organizational culture and compensation systems (local and/or national criteria bonuses) of public higher education institutions and their efficiency, through an empirical study based on correlational investigation. To identify the relationship between governance mechanisms: organizational culture and compensation systems (local and/or national criteria bonuses), decision-making, and efficiency of public higher education institutions, we selected a sample of 19 public higher education institutions in Sfax for the periods 2017–2020 and 2020–2023. The obtained results revealed that the attribute of organizational culture (captured by student life) and compensation systems (local and/or national criteria bonuses) indirectly affect the efficiency of university institutions through decision-making.

在本研究中,我们通过基于相关调查的实证研究,考察了公立高等教育机构的组织文化和薪酬制度(地方和/或国家标准奖金)所体现的治理机制与其效率之间的中介效应(决策)。为了确定治理机制:组织文化和薪酬制度(地方和/或国家标准奖金)、决策与公立高等教育机构效率之间的关系,我们选取了斯法克斯的 19 所公立高等教育机构作为样本,时间跨度分别为 2017-2020 年和 2020-2023 年。研究结果表明,组织文化属性(通过学生生活体现)和薪酬制度(地方和/或国家标准奖金)通过决策间接影响了大学机构的效率。
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引用次数: 0
Data mining model for scientific research classification: the case of digital workplace accessibility 科学研究分类的数据挖掘模型:数字化工作场所的可及性案例
IF 1.5 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.1007/s40622-024-00378-z
Radka Nacheva, Maciej Czaplewski, Pavel Petrov

Research classification is an important aspect of conducting research projects because it allows researchers to efficiently identify papers that are in line with the latest research in each field and relevant to projects. There are different approaches to the classification of research papers, such as subject-based, methodology-based, text-based, and machine learning-based. Each approach has its advantages and disadvantages, and the choice of classification method depends on the specific research question and available data. The classification of scientific literature helps to better organize and structure the vast amount of information and knowledge generated in scientific research. It enables researchers and other interested parties to access relevant information in a fast and efficient manner. Classification methods allow easier and more accurate extraction of scientific knowledge to be used as a basis for scientific research in each subject area. In this regard, this paper aims to propose a research classification model using data mining methods and techniques. To test the model, we selected scientific articles on digital workplace accessibility for the disabled retrieved from Scopus and Web of Science repositories. We believe that the classification model is universal and can be applied in other scientific fields.

研究分类是开展研究项目的一个重要方面,因为它可以让研究人员高效地识别符合各领域最新研究并与项目相关的论文。研究论文分类有不同的方法,如基于主题的分类、基于方法的分类、基于文本的分类和基于机器学习的分类。每种方法都有其优缺点,选择哪种分类方法取决于具体的研究问题和可用数据。科学文献分类有助于更好地组织和结构化科学研究中产生的大量信息和知识。它使研究人员和其他相关人员能够快速有效地获取相关信息。分类方法可以更容易、更准确地提取科学知识,作为各学科领域科学研究的基础。为此,本文旨在利用数据挖掘方法和技术提出一个科研分类模型。为了测试该模型,我们选择了从 Scopus 和 Web of Science 资源库中检索到的有关残疾人数字工作场所无障碍环境的科学文章。我们相信,该分类模型具有通用性,可应用于其他科学领域。
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引用次数: 0
Spillover and leverage effect in Smart Beta Exchange Traded Funds: Evidence from India Smart Beta 交易所交易基金的溢出效应和杠杆效应:来自印度的证据
IF 1.5 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1007/s40622-024-00376-1
C. Vijaya, M. Thenmozhi

This study is unique in examining the spillover and leverage effect of Smart Beta Exchange Traded Funds (SB ETFs) and their underlying indices and Cap-Weighted (CW) indices. We find unidirectional return spillover from most SB ETFs to CW indices and bidirectional return spillover between SB ETFs and SB indices using VAR/VECM model. Besides, we find that information is transmitted faster from SB ETFs to the indices than from indices to SB ETFs. Interestingly, we observe that innovations in SB ETFs explain 97% of variance in SB indices and 81% of variance in CW indices. Hasbrouck’s information share of SB ETFs is highest (88%) followed by CW indices (5.6%). ARIMA-GARCH model shows that bidirectional volatility spillover exists between SB ETFs and the indices. ARIMA-EGARCH model provides evidence of leverage effect in SB ETFs, highlighting that volatility increases more after negative shocks than after positive shocks. Our study provides evidence of greater information transmission from SB ETFs to SB indices and to CW indices.

本研究在研究 Smart Beta 交易所交易基金(SB ETF)及其相关指数和市值加权(CW)指数的溢出效应和杠杆效应方面独树一帜。利用 VAR/VECM 模型,我们发现从大多数 SB ETF 到 CW 指数之间存在单向收益溢出效应,而 SB ETF 和 SB 指数之间存在双向收益溢出效应。此外,我们还发现,信息从SB ETF向指数传递的速度快于从指数向SB ETF传递的速度。有趣的是,我们观察到 SB ETF 的创新解释了 SB 指数 97% 的方差,解释了 CW 指数 81% 的方差。SB ETF 的哈斯布劳克信息份额最高(88%),其次是 CW 指数(5.6%)。ARIMA-GARCH 模型显示,SB ETF 与指数之间存在双向波动溢出。ARIMA-EGARCH 模型提供了 SB ETF 杠杆效应的证据,突出显示了负向冲击后波动率的上升幅度大于正向冲击后的上升幅度。我们的研究提供了从 SB ETF 到 SB 指数以及到 CW 指数的更大信息传递的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Trusting an algorithm can be a tricky and sticky thing. 信任算法是一件棘手的事情。
IF 1.5 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1037/dec0000229
Garston Liang, Amy X. Li, Ben R. Newell
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引用次数: 0
A psychologically informed approach to “actuarial” decision making. 精算 "决策的心理学方法。
IF 1.5 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1037/dec0000232
Almog Simchon, Michael Gilead
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引用次数: 0
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Decision
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