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Decoding Brazil's bean belt: Spatiotemporal patterns, production systems and the pulse of bean production (2011–2022) 解读巴西豆带:时空格局、生产系统和豆类生产脉搏(2011-2022)
IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.70015
Clever Lucas Aguilar, Osmar Abílio de Carvalho Júnior, Osmar Luiz Ferreira de Carvalho

Brazil is one of the world's largest consumers and exporters of common beans (Phaseolus vulgaris L.), with production occurring year-round across three distinct harvests in different regions. Considering the high degree of impact beans have on the Brazilian domestic economy and global supply, this study aims to map consolidated bean planting areas and analyse their spatiotemporal evolution from 2011 to 2022. The research comprised four steps: (a) data acquisition on harvested area and quantity produced (2011–2022), (b) identification of agricultural belts using spatiotemporal analysis (Moran's indices and relative frequency), (c) evaluation of production trends (growth and acceleration rates for the three harvest types) and (d) environmental characterisation, considering climate, soil, vegetation and topography. The spatiotemporal analysis identified four primary bean-producing belts: South, Central Brazil, Mato Grosso and Northeast. The Northeast Belt has extensive planted areas but low productivity, dominating family farming and highly vulnerable to climate. The South Bean Belt is Brazil's main producing area, marked by consolidated production with significant contributions from smallholder cooperatives. The Central Brazil and Mato Grosso Bean Belts benefit from agribusiness. The first harvest is widespread and mainly rainfed, whereas the second and third harvests depend more on irrigation, occurring mainly in Central Brazil and the Mato Grosso Bean Belt. Environmental conditions shape productivity, with cold stress affecting the South, water availability and flat terrain favour irrigation and mechanisation in Central Brazil and Mato Grosso Bean Belts, and water scarcity limiting yields in the Northeast Bean Belt. The productive complementarity resulting from regional diversity and the three types of harvest throughout the year guarantee continuous supply and food security. The delimitation and characterisation of bean belts provide a basis for territorial planning strategies and agricultural policies.

巴西是世界上最大的普通豆(Phaseolus vulgaris L.)消费国和出口国之一,不同地区全年有三个不同的收获季节。考虑到豆类对巴西国内经济和全球供应的高度影响,本研究旨在绘制豆类综合种植区地图,并分析其2011年至2022年的时空演变。该研究包括四个步骤:(a)收获面积和产量的数据采集(2011-2022年),(b)利用时空分析(Moran指数和相对频率)识别农业带,(c)生产趋势评估(三种收获类型的生长和加速速度)和(d)考虑气候、土壤、植被和地形的环境特征。时空分析确定了四个主要的豆类生产带:巴西南部、中部、马托格罗索州和东北部。东北地区种植面积大,但生产力低,以家庭农业为主,极易受气候影响。南豆带是巴西的主要产区,其特点是统一生产,小农合作社作出了重大贡献。巴西中部和马托格罗索豆带受益于农业综合企业。第一次收获是广泛的,主要是雨养的,而第二次和第三次收获更多地依赖灌溉,主要发生在巴西中部和马托格罗索豆带。环境条件影响生产力,寒冷胁迫影响南部地区,巴西中部和马托格罗索豆带的水分供应和平坦地形有利于灌溉和机械化,而缺水限制了东北豆带的产量。区域多样性和全年三种收获类型所产生的生产互补性保证了持续供应和粮食安全。豆带的划分和特征为领土规划战略和农业政策提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
Impact in the energy social sciences and humanities: How we matter matters 能源社会科学和人文科学的影响:我们如何发挥作用
IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.70023
Siddharth Sareen, Marianne Ryghaug, Dominic Boyer, Cymene Howe

Recent developments in energy social science and humanities (SSH) research raise two questions that this Dialogue jointly addresses. How do these fields of enquiry matter? And relatedly, how can we engage across our scholarly praxes and differences to complement and bolster the strengths of each field? These fields include energy anthropology, energy geography, energy science and technology studies, and energy humanities more broadly. We argue that these sub-fields need to interact across their disciplinary homes. Their family resemblances are important to capitalise upon alongside their individual strengths. Within their energy-related sub-fields, we argue that these disciplines can channel mutual engagement towards wider impact. To explain how these sub-fields matter, we articulate what we refer to as impact in energy SSH. We channel our individual vantage points into dialogue within a thematic structure along the lines of how power, justice and politics matter in relation to energy SSH and then offer a synthesis conclusion to argue that for impact in energy SSH, how we matter matters. We take a long view of the importance of energy SSH, attentive to the relevance of the conditions of production for praxis. We argue for bringing energy SSH closer into the folds of disciplinary practice while retaining emphasis on the interdisciplinary and transdisciplinary collaboration it necessitates (for scholars to make sense of changes in energy systems with all the institutional, sociotechnical, cultural and indeed political complexity these transitions entail) for more engaged and informed energy SSH. Working in close engagement with the exciting, frightening and intellectually fascinating forces shaping the world at the present conjuncture as society faces transformative imperatives is the key to retaining relevance, reinvigorating disciplinary praxes and enabling impactful energy SSH.

能源社会科学与人文科学(SSH)研究的最新发展提出了两个问题,这是本次对话共同讨论的。这些研究领域有什么意义?与此相关的是,我们如何跨越我们的学术实践和差异来补充和加强每个领域的优势?这些领域包括能源人类学、能源地理学、能源科学与技术研究以及更广泛的能源人文学科。我们认为,这些子领域需要在它们的学科领域之间相互作用。除了他们的个人优势外,他们的家族相似性也很重要。在其与能源相关的子领域中,我们认为这些学科可以引导相互参与,产生更广泛的影响。为了解释这些子领域是如何起作用的,我们阐明了我们所说的对能源SSH的影响。我们将我们的个人优势引导到一个主题结构内的对话中,沿着权力、正义和政治如何影响能源安全的思路,然后提供一个综合结论,认为对于能源安全的影响,我们如何影响至关重要。我们从长远的角度看待能源安全的重要性,注意生产条件与实践的相关性。我们主张将能源安全与学科实践更紧密地结合起来,同时强调跨学科和跨学科的合作,这是必要的(让学者们理解能源系统的变化,以及这些转变所带来的所有制度、社会技术、文化和政治复杂性),以使能源安全与更多的参与和知情。在当前社会面临变革的关键时刻,与塑造世界的令人兴奋、恐惧和智力迷人的力量密切接触,是保持相关性、重振学科实践和实现有影响力的能量SSH的关键。
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引用次数: 0
‘Quiet’ green community innovations at the interface of public and private ownership in an old neighbourhood in Zhengzhou, China 在中国郑州的一个老社区,“安静”的绿色社区在公私所有权的界面创新
IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.70021
Yanhui Shi, Terry R. Slater, A. Rob MacKenzie, Yueming Shi

This paper examines informal urban gardening practices within a 70-year-old industrial neighbourhood in Zhengzhou, central China, employing the conceptual framework of ‘annexed common space for private green infrastructure’ (ACS-PGI). Through urban morphological and typological analysis, it interrogates how historical institutional legacies, urban land tenure regimes, local governance structures, socio-spatial configurations and cultural-agricultural traditions collectively inform and sustain these grassroots greening practices. Adopting a structural attribution system framework, the study advances a comprehensive understanding of the multifaceted structural determinants underpinning informal gardening. Departing from Western-centric interpretations that often frame such practices as acts of political contestation, the Zhengzhou case elucidates a historically embedded, socially legitimised and spatially articulated phenomenon rooted in collective memory, communal land-use rights and tacit state tolerance. This research contributes to urban socio-environmental scholarship by underscoring the necessity of situating informal urban greening within its distinct institutional and cultural-historical context, thereby offering critical insights for the theorisation of sustainable urban green infrastructure and community agency.

本文采用“私人绿色基础设施附属公共空间”(ACS-PGI)的概念框架,研究了中国中部郑州一个有70年历史的工业区的非正式城市园艺实践。通过城市形态和类型分析,它探讨了历史制度遗产、城市土地权属制度、地方治理结构、社会空间配置和文化农业传统如何共同影响和维持这些基层绿化实践。采用结构归因系统框架,该研究提出了支持非正式园艺的多方面结构决定因素的全面理解。与以西方为中心的解释不同,这些解释通常将这种做法视为政治争论的行为,郑州的案例阐明了一种植根于集体记忆、公共土地使用权和默许国家容忍的历史嵌入、社会合法化和空间铰接的现象。这项研究强调了将非正式城市绿化置于其独特的制度和文化历史背景下的必要性,从而为可持续城市绿色基础设施和社区机构的理论化提供了重要见解,从而为城市社会环境学术做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
‘Fine, you made your energy, but how much did we have to pay for this?’ Embracing situated energy ecologies for pluriversal futures “很好,你制造了能量,但我们为此要付多少钱?”拥抱多元未来的能源生态
IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.70020
Shayan Shokrgozar, Siddharth Sareen

Growing energy and material throughput, climate change targets and political economic evolution have spurred rapid deployment of lower-carbon energy infrastructures. Many of these developments have relied on ‘cheap nature’, often covering agropastoral and indigenous lands, which raises questions about the implications of energy transitions for non-industrial lifeways. This article explores the onto-epistemological foundations that comprise the emergent energy transitions paradigm. Anchored in ethnographic findings from fieldwork in Rajasthan (India), we identify naturalism as the dominant ontological basis of knowledge production in global energy policies and examine its imaginaries and practices. We draw on Philippe Descola's ontological modes of identification to question universalism and demonstrate its perpetuation through energy transition practices. These approaches overlook socioecological complexity, a gap starkly showcased by the solar energy rollout in agropastoral Rajasthan, with Jaisalmer district as its epicentre. To overcome these limitations, we propose and empirically test the Situated Energy Ecologies principles, which combine (a) a post-productivist approach based on a commitment to energy sufficiency; (b) a commitment to ontological and epistemic recognition, to better capture place-based ways of knowing and being; and (c) autonomous practices based on prefigurative politics and agonism. By integrating a wider array of human experiences, this tripartite heuristic fosters a pluralistic understanding of energy-society relations towards emancipatory engagement.

不断增长的能源和材料吞吐量、气候变化目标和政治经济演变促使了低碳能源基础设施的快速部署。许多这些发展都依赖于“廉价的自然”,通常包括农牧和土著土地,这引发了关于能源转型对非工业生活方式影响的问题。本文探讨了构成紧急能源转换范式的本体-认识论基础。根据在拉贾斯坦邦(印度)实地考察的人种学发现,我们将自然主义确定为全球能源政策知识生产的主要本体论基础,并研究其想象和实践。我们利用菲利普·德斯科拉的本体论认同模式来质疑普遍主义,并通过能源转型实践证明其永恒性。这些方法忽视了社会生态的复杂性,以斋萨尔梅尔地区为中心的农业牧区拉贾斯坦邦的太阳能推广,赤裸裸地展示了这一差距。为了克服这些限制,我们提出并实证检验了定位能源生态学原则,该原则结合了(a)基于能源充足承诺的后生产主义方法;(b)致力于本体论和认识论认识,以更好地捕捉基于地点的认识和存在方式;(c)基于先兆政治和斗争主义的自主实践。通过整合更广泛的人类经验,这种三方启发式促进了对能源-社会关系的多元化理解,以实现解放参与。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing expert elicitation techniques through participatory mapping: Application to marine environment assessments in Palawan, Philippines 通过参与式绘图加强专家启发技术:在菲律宾巴拉望岛海洋环境评估中的应用
IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.70019
Billy Tusker Haworth, Eleanor Bruce, Glenda M. Cadigal, John Martin S. Caligdong, James Green, Elaine Baker

State of the Marine Environment (SoME) reporting provides an effective mechanism for countries to collate available evidence to highlight pressures and identify indicators of current and changing conditions in marine environments. Expert elicitation (EE) (or expert knowledge elicitation) techniques have been used to ensure a consultative and comprehensive process for achieving these broad seascape assessments, especially in data-poor environments. EE is a consensus methodology that draws on the collective wisdom of known field experts to assist in filling data and knowledge gaps to inform policy decision-making in the absence of other supporting evidence. To date, EE methods for SoME reporting have been limited in their ability to capture and represent data on spatially variable phenomena. The absence of geographic information instils biases and inaccuracies in EE data by aggregating experts' contributions to broad spatial scales, limiting their usefulness in formulating spatially targeted policies operative at scales appropriate for the phenomena of interest. In this paper, a participatory mapping methodology to enhance EE data and processes through inclusion of spatially explicit contributions from experts is described. Paper-based participatory mapping was introduced into an EE workshop for SoME assessment of the archipelagic province of Palawan, Philippines. Analysis of the participatory mapping method was based on observations of the workshop activities in practice, participant feedback, and the authors' appraisal and analysis of the spatial information provided. Integrating participatory mapping within EE techniques enables the representation of expert knowledge and perspectives in a geographic context. In mapping localised pressures and identifying spatial trends expressed in the condition scores across different assessment parameters, participatory mapping can facilitate prioritising locations for further ground-truthing, finer-scale scientific investigation, and conservation effort. An integrated participatory mapping approach has the potential to extend the outcomes of marine environment assessments and better reflect place-based issues within SoME reporting.

海洋环境状况报告为各国提供了一种有效的机制,以整理现有证据,突出海洋环境的压力并确定当前和变化中的海洋环境条件的指标。专家启发(或专家知识启发)技术已用于确保协商和全面的进程,以实现这些广泛的海景评估,特别是在数据贫乏的环境中。EE是一种共识方法,它利用已知领域专家的集体智慧来帮助填补数据和知识空白,以便在缺乏其他支持证据的情况下为政策决策提供信息。迄今为止,一些报告的EE方法在捕获和表示空间可变现象的数据方面受到限制。地理信息的缺失将专家的贡献汇总到广泛的空间尺度上,从而使电子商务数据产生偏见和不准确性,限制了它们在制定适合感兴趣现象的尺度上的空间目标政策方面的有用性。本文描述了一种参与式制图方法,通过包含专家在空间上明确的贡献来增强电子商务数据和过程。在菲律宾巴拉望岛群岛省的一次环境评估讲习班上引入了基于纸张的参与式绘图。对参与式制图方法的分析是基于实践中对工作坊活动的观察、参与者的反馈以及作者对提供的空间信息的评价和分析。在电子商务技术中集成参与式映射可以在地理环境中表示专家知识和观点。在绘制局部压力和确定不同评估参数的条件得分所表达的空间趋势时,参与式绘制可以促进对地点进行优先排序,以便进一步进行地面真相调查、更精细的科学调查和保护工作。综合参与性绘图方法有可能扩大海洋环境评估的成果,并在一些报告中更好地反映基于地点的问题。
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引用次数: 0
The window of opportunity: Linking climate history and storms 机会之窗:将气候历史与风暴联系起来
IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.70018
A. Jardine, K. A. Selby, D. Higgins

High magnitude storms have impacted coastal maritime communities, instigating national government responses. Storm catastrophes can open a ‘window of opportunity’ that enables the implementation of new long-term disaster risk reduction measures. Analysis of historical storm events using written newspaper records identified the Royal Charter storm of 1859 as a catastrophe that opened a window of opportunity. The resulting actions prompted the first national (UK) storm early warning systems which continue today as the Meteorological Office forecasts. This historical case study demonstrates how the effective use of the window of opportunity can instigate beneficial long-term change that decreases vulnerability. However, policies emerging from such windows of opportunity must consider the diverse cause of catastrophe and avoid overreliance on top-down technocracy, instead promoting community engagement and autonomy for sustained success. Environmental history can contribute to improving the understanding of the limitations of technocracy and the importance of community agency in enhancing hazard understanding and effective early warning systems.

高强度的风暴影响了沿海海洋社区,促使国家政府作出反应。风暴灾难可以打开一个“机会之窗”,使实施新的长期减少灾害风险措施成为可能。利用书面报纸记录对历史风暴事件进行分析,发现1859年的皇家特许状风暴是一场灾难,它打开了一扇机会之窗。由此产生的行动促成了首个国家(英国)风暴预警系统,据气象局预测,该系统将持续到今天。这一历史案例研究表明,如何有效利用机会之窗,可以激发有益的长期变化,减少脆弱性。然而,从这样的机会之窗中产生的政策必须考虑灾难的多种原因,避免过度依赖自上而下的技术官僚,而是促进社区参与和自治,以获得持续的成功。环境史有助于增进对技术官僚主义局限性的了解,以及社区机构在加强对灾害的了解和建立有效的早期预警系统方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Poverty alleviation in fishing communities affected by oil production in Ghana: Does income diversification matter? 加纳受石油生产影响的渔业社区的扶贫:收入多样化重要吗?
IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-07-21 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.70017
Akwasi Mensah-Bonsu, Jacob Ankamah, Wayo Seini

The production of oil on a commercial scale has led to a ban on fishing in areas close to oilfields in Ghana. This paper uses econometric analysis to examine the effect of the fishing ban on the livelihoods of rural fishing households in offshore oilfields. It contributes to environmental and economic geography by empirically testing how spatial governance of natural resources (marine resource exclusions due to oil extraction) reshapes local livelihoods and exacerbates poverty. We examined poverty status and income diversification measures as key indicators of livelihood. The findings revealed a negative association between poverty status and the degree of income diversification, suggesting a high prevalence of poverty within undiversified fishing households. Socioeconomic and environmental factors, including the number of extension visits, savings, assets, access to credit and a fishing ban (restrictions), have a positive and significant influence on income diversification. We recommend policy interventions aimed at raising awareness and developing skills that encourage participation in multiple income-generating activities as a potential means of helping fishermen displaced by oil production. These policies are important for reducing poverty in rural fishing communities and preventing potential conflicts arising from changes in the use of common resources.

商业规模的石油生产导致加纳油田附近地区禁止捕鱼。本文运用计量经济学方法,考察了海上油田禁渔对农村农户生计的影响。它通过实证检验自然资源的空间治理(由于石油开采而排除海洋资源)如何重塑当地生计并加剧贫困,从而为环境和经济地理学做出贡献。我们审查了贫困状况和收入多样化措施作为生计的关键指标。调查结果显示,贫穷状况与收入多样化程度之间存在负相关关系,表明贫穷在未多样化的渔业家庭中非常普遍。社会经济和环境因素,包括延长访问次数、储蓄、资产、获得信贷的机会和捕鱼禁令(限制),对收入多样化具有积极和重大的影响。我们建议采取政策干预措施,旨在提高认识和发展技能,鼓励参与多种创收活动,作为帮助因石油生产而流离失所的渔民的潜在手段。这些政策对于减少农村渔业社区的贫穷和防止因共同资源使用变化而产生的潜在冲突是重要的。
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引用次数: 0
Combining scientific and local knowledge to understand climate change effects in high mountains: A case study from Porshinev Jamoat, Tajikistan 结合科学知识和当地知识,了解气候变化对高山地区的影响:以塔吉克斯坦波尔什涅夫贾莫特为例
IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.70011
Aslam Q. Qadamov, Roy C. Sidle, Arnaud Caiserman

While climate change is widely recognised to threaten livelihoods and sustainable development, communities at high altitudes are some of the most vulnerable because of their low adaptive capacity and fragile environment. The Pamir has already experienced climate uncertainties given that this is the poorest, most marginalised and least developed region of Tajikistan. Changes in weather patterns and hydrological cycles create challenges for local farmers who depend on a high level of subsidised agriculture. Due to sparse instrumental data, as well as the low accuracy of climate models in this mountainous area, current local climate trends are poorly understood. To address these challenges, a combination of local knowledge with scientific data is a viable option. Here we analysed 84 years of air temperature and precipitation data and conducted semi-structured interviews with local farmers. Average annual air temperature increased significantly during this period, with winter and spring temperatures significantly increasing; insignificant increasing trends were observed during summer and autumn. During winter and spring, only May did not experience significant temperature increases. Precipitation exhibited a gradual (but insignificant) decline of about 46 mm during the 84-year period in a region where annual precipitation is about 250–300 mm. Precipitation decreased in winter and spring and increased in summer and autumn. This shift affects the ratio between solid and liquid precipitation and reflects a decrease in snow-pack accumulation in the mountains, which decreases water availability. The shift of the rainy season to summertime decreased the local thermal regime and affected crop maturation. Local farmers' perceptions correlated well with the mean and seasonal precipitation changes and mean and winter air temperature changes. Discrepancies between perceptions and actual data occurred related to summer temperature change; 46% of respondents perceived a change in annual temperature, 56% perceived an increase in winter and 71% a decrease in summer temperature. For precipitation, 77% reported a change in annual precipitation, 80% a decrease in winter precipitation and 54% an increase in summer precipitation. Changes in annual air temperature and precipitation affect the growing season and plant maturation time and therefore bring uncertainties to local cropping systems.

虽然人们普遍认为气候变化会威胁生计和可持续发展,但高海拔地区的社区因其适应能力低和环境脆弱而成为最脆弱的群体之一。鉴于帕米尔高原是塔吉克斯坦最贫穷、最边缘化和最不发达的地区,它已经经历了气候的不确定性。天气模式和水文循环的变化给依赖高水平农业补贴的当地农民带来了挑战。由于该山区的仪器数据稀疏,以及气候模式的精度较低,对当前当地气候趋势知之甚少。为了应对这些挑战,将当地知识与科学数据相结合是一个可行的选择。在这里,我们分析了84年的气温和降水数据,并对当地农民进行了半结构化访谈。这一时期年平均气温显著升高,冬春季气温显著升高;夏季和秋季呈不显著的增加趋势。冬春两季,只有5月气温没有明显升高。在年降水量约为250 ~ 300 mm的区域,84 a期间降水呈逐渐减少(但不显著)趋势,减少幅度约为46 mm。冬季和春季降水减少,夏季和秋季降水增加。这种转变影响了固体和液体降水的比例,并反映了山区积雪积累的减少,从而降低了水的有效性。雨季向夏季的转变减少了当地的热状态,影响了作物的成熟。当地农民的感知与平均和季节性降水变化以及平均和冬季气温变化具有良好的相关性。与夏季温度变化有关的感知与实际数据之间存在差异;46%的受访者认为年气温会发生变化,56%的人认为冬季气温会上升,71%的人认为夏季气温会下降。在降水方面,77%的地区报告年降水量发生了变化,80%的地区报告冬季降水减少,54%的地区报告夏季降水增加。年气温和降水的变化会影响植物的生长季节和成熟时间,从而给当地的种植系统带来不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation cover and drought conditions in West Darfur, Sudan: Implications of climate variability and future projections 苏丹西达尔富尔植被覆盖和干旱条件的时空动态:气候变率和未来预测的影响
IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.70016
Abdalrahman Ahmed, Kornel Czimber

This study explores the spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation cover in West Darfur, Sudan, a region severely affected by the compounded effects of climate change and socio-environmental crises. Using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data spanning 2000–2023 and the Standardised Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), we assessed vegetation dynamics in relation to drought conditions. Data processing and analysis were conducted using Google Earth Engine (GEE), QGIS, and R-Software. An Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model was utilised to forecast future climate scenarios, thereby enhancing the predictive understanding of precipitation trends. The results revealed vegetation loss during the drought periods of 2005 and 2010, with decreases of 646.23 km2 (2.83%) and 275.21 km2 (1.21%), respectively. In contrast, substantial vegetation recovery was observed in 2015 (0.54%, 122.25 km2), 2020 (7.87%, 1794.70 km2), and 2023 (8.78%, 2001 km2), aligning with increased annual precipitation and reduced drought intensity. Historical SPEI analysis underscores prolonged drought events between 1980 and 2010, followed by a notable reduction in drought frequency and severity in subsequent years. Precipitation projections suggest a continuing trend of increasing precipitation, likely fostering further vegetation regeneration in the study area. This study underscores the intricate interplay between vegetation cover, precipitation variability, and drought conditions in West Darfur, highlighting both the region's vulnerability to climate-induced stressors and its potential for ecological recovery under favourable climatic conditions. The findings contribute to informed policymaking aimed at mitigating climate impacts and promoting sustainable land-use practices in vulnerable arid and semi-arid regions.

本研究探讨了受气候变化和社会环境危机复合影响严重的苏丹西达尔富尔地区植被覆盖的时空动态。利用2000-2023年MODIS标准化植被指数(NDVI)和标准化降水-蒸散指数(SPEI)数据,对干旱条件下的植被动态进行了评估。使用谷歌Earth Engine (GEE)、QGIS和R-Software进行数据处理和分析。利用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模式预测未来气候情景,从而提高对降水趋势的预测认识。结果表明,2005年和2010年干旱期植被损失分别减少646.23 km2(2.83%)和275.21 km2(1.21%)。相比之下,2015年(0.54%,122.25 km2)、2020年(7.87%,1794.70 km2)和2023年(8.78%,2001 km2)植被恢复明显,与年降水量增加和干旱强度降低一致。历史SPEI分析强调了1980年至2010年间持续干旱事件,随后几年干旱频率和严重程度显著降低。降水预估显示降水有持续增加的趋势,可能促进研究区进一步的植被更新。本研究强调了西达尔富尔植被覆盖、降水变异性和干旱条件之间复杂的相互作用,强调了该地区对气候诱发的压力源的脆弱性以及在有利气候条件下生态恢复的潜力。这些发现有助于在脆弱的干旱和半干旱地区制定明智的政策,以减轻气候影响并促进可持续的土地利用做法。
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引用次数: 0
Muddying the grounds of environmental justice in the Pacific mangroves: From recognition to feeling for justice at the food-climate nexus 混淆太平洋红树林环境正义的基础:从认识到对食物-气候关系的正义的感觉
IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.70012
Heide K. Bruckner

The Pacific Islands find themselves at the crossroads of the polycrisis of environmental injustices. From dramatic changes in their food system and livelihoods to environmental degradation and climate change, Pacific Islanders are navigating both slow and rapid socio-ecological shifts which impact people in uneven ways. Building on critiques of environmental justice and its reliance on a universalist Western framework, this paper points to the need to expand the recognition dimension of environmental justice to bring forth haptic and sensorial dimensions of justice. Critical island and indigenous scholarship on dimensions of knowing with/through the body, alongside insights from political ecology of the body, help theoretically frame what we can learn from feeling for justice. Moving beyond simplistic victimisation or hero narratives, in this paper I draw from ethnographic vignettes on emotional, haptic and embodied experiences of environmental change as experienced by women gleaning for food in mangrove forests in the Solomon Islands. Through these vignettes, I showcase multi-scalar and temporal dimensions of environmental (in)justices, particularly highlighting what a bodily orientation can illuminate about ongoing and uneven legacies of environmental change. Through re-centering recognition of the body and also the dimension of pleasure which emerges through/with the mangroves, the article foregrounds how feelings for justice can point to which environmental futures are desired. Importantly, I argue that knowing through the body is a type of knowing differently that muddies questions about not only who is recognised in environmental justice struggles, but also which values and practices should be taken into account.

太平洋岛屿发现自己处于环境不公正多重危机的十字路口。从粮食系统和生计的巨大变化到环境退化和气候变化,太平洋岛民正在经历缓慢和快速的社会生态变化,这些变化以不平衡的方式影响着人们。在对环境正义的批评及其对普遍主义西方框架的依赖的基础上,本文指出需要扩大环境正义的认识维度,以提出正义的触觉和感官维度。批判性岛屿和本土学术对身体认知维度的研究,以及来自身体政治生态学的见解,有助于从理论上构建我们可以从正义感中学到的东西。在本文中,我超越了简单的受害者或英雄叙事,从所罗门群岛红树林中拾取食物的妇女所经历的环境变化的情感、触觉和具体经历的民族志小插曲中汲取灵感。通过这些小插曲,我展示了环境正义的多标量和时间维度,特别强调了身体取向可以阐明正在进行的和不平衡的环境变化遗产。通过重新定位对身体的认识,以及通过红树林出现的快乐维度,文章强调了正义的感觉如何指向理想的环境未来。重要的是,我认为通过身体认识是一种不同的认识,它不仅混淆了谁在环境正义斗争中得到认可的问题,而且混淆了应该考虑哪些价值观和实践的问题。
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引用次数: 0
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Geo-Geography and Environment
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