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Robust utility maximization in a stochastic factor model 随机因素模型中的鲁棒效用最大化
IF 1.5 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2006-01-25 DOI: 10.1524/STND.2006.24.1.109
D. Hernández-Hernández, A. Schied
SUMMARY We give an explicit PDE characterization for the solution of a robust utility maximization problem in an incomplete market model, whose volatility, interest rate process, and long-term trend are driven by an external stochastic factor process. The robust utility functional is defined in terms of a HARA utility function with negative risk aversion and a dynamically consistent coherent risk measure, which allows for model uncertainty in the distributions of both the asset price dynamics and the factor process. Our method combines two recent advances in the theory of optimal investments: the general duality theory for robust utility maximization and the stochastic control approach to the dual problem of determining optimal martingale measures.
摘要本文给出了不完全市场模型鲁棒效用最大化问题解的显式PDE表征,该模型的波动率、利率过程和长期趋势由外部随机因素过程驱动。鲁棒效用函数是根据HARA效用函数定义的,该效用函数具有负风险厌恶和动态一致的连贯风险度量,这允许资产价格动态和因素过程分布中的模型不确定性。我们的方法结合了最优投资理论的两个最新进展:鲁棒效用最大化的一般对偶理论和确定最优鞅度量的对偶问题的随机控制方法。
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引用次数: 76
Optimal consumption strategies under model uncertainty 模型不确定性下的最优消费策略
IF 1.5 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2005-01-01 DOI: 10.1524/stnd.2005.23.1.1
Christian Burgert, L. Rüschendorf
Summary In this paper we consider the problem of finding optimal consumption strategies in an incomplete semimartingale market model under model uncertainty. The quality of a consumption strategy is measured by not only one probability measure but as common in risk theory by a class of scenario measures. We formulate a dual version of the optimization problem and prove the existence of a saddle point and give a characterization of an optimal consumption strategy in terms of solutions of the dual problem. This generalizes results of Karatzas and Zitkovic (2003) for the optimal consumption problem under a fixed probability measure.
本文研究了不完全半鞅市场模型在模型不确定性下的最优消费策略问题。消费策略的质量不仅由一种概率度量来衡量,而且在风险理论中通常由一类情景度量来衡量。我们提出了一个对偶版本的优化问题,证明了鞍点的存在性,并给出了对偶问题解的最优消费策略的表征。这推广了Karatzas和Zitkovic(2003)在固定概率测度下的最优消费问题的结果。
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引用次数: 25
Approximations of empirical probability generating processes 经验概率生成过程的近似
IF 1.5 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2005-01-01 DOI: 10.1524/stnd.2005.23.1.67
G. Szűcs
Summary First we polish an argument of Rémillard and Theodorescu for the weak convergence of the empirical probability generating process. Then we prove a general inequality between probability generating processes and the corresponding empirical processes, which readily implies a rate of convergence and trivializes the problem of weak convergence: whenever the empirical process or its non-parametric bootstrap version, or the parametric estimated empirical process or its bootstrap version converges, so does the corresponding probability generating process. Derivatives of the generating process are also considered.
首先,我们完善了r millard和Theodorescu关于经验概率生成过程弱收敛性的论证。然后,我们证明了概率生成过程与相应经验过程之间的一个一般不等式,这很容易暗示一个收敛速度,并简化了弱收敛问题:每当经验过程或其非参数自举版本,或参数估计经验过程或其自举版本收敛时,相应的概率生成过程也会收敛。生成过程的导数也被考虑。
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引用次数: 3
On low dimensional case in the fundamental asset pricing theorem with transaction costs 低维情况下具有交易成本的基本资产定价定理
IF 1.5 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2005-01-01 DOI: 10.1524/STND.2005.23.1.33
P. Grigoriev
Summary The well-known Harrison–Plisse theorem claims that in the classical discrete time model of the financial market with finite Ω there is no arbitrage iff there exists an equivalent martingale measure. The famous Dalang–Morton–Willinger theorem extends this result for an arbitrary Ω. Kabanov and Stricker [KS01] generalized the Harrison–Pliska theorem for the case of the market with proportional transaction costs. Nevertheless the corresponding extension of the Kabanov and Stricker result to the case of non-finite Ω fails, the corresponding counter-example with 4 assets was constructed by Schachermayer [S04]. The main result of this paper is that in the special case of 2 assets the Kabanov and Stricker theorem can be extended for an arbitrary Ω. This is quite a surprising result since the corresponding cone of hedgeable claims ÂT is not necessarily closed.
著名的Harrison-Plisse定理指出,在具有有限Ω的金融市场的经典离散时间模型中,如果存在等价鞅测度,则不存在套利。著名的Dalang-Morton-Willinger定理将这个结果推广到任意Ω。Kabanov和Stricker [KS01]在交易成本成比例的市场情况下推广了Harrison-Pliska定理。尽管Kabanov和Stricker结果在非有限Ω情况下的相应推广失败,但Schachermayer [S04]构造了具有4个资产的相应反例。本文的主要结果是在2种资产的特殊情况下,卡巴诺夫定理和斯特里克定理可以推广到任意Ω。这是一个相当令人惊讶的结果,因为相应的可对冲索赔ÂT并不一定是闭合的。
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引用次数: 29
Optimal portfolios with expected loss constraints and shortfall risk optimal martingale measures 具有预期损失约束和缺口风险最优鞅测度的最优投资组合
IF 1.5 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2005-01-01 DOI: 10.1524/stnd.2005.23.1.49
Johannes Leitner
Summary We study reward over penalty for risk ratios E[u(V)]/E[ρ(V)], V ∈ V, where V ⊆ L1(P) describes a linear space of attainable returns in an arbitrage-free market, u is concave and ρ ≥ 0 is convex. It turns out that maximizing such reward over penalty ratios is essentially equivalent to maximizing the ratio α(V) := E[V]/E[V−] or the expected profit over expected loss ratio E[V+]/E[V−]. The lowest upper bound α– := supV ∈ Vα(V) can be determined by solving an appropriate dual problem over the set of bounded equivalent martingale measures for V. This observation leads to the definition of shortfall risk optimal equivalent martingale measures.
研究风险比E[u(V)]/E[ρ(V)], V∈V的奖惩比,其中V∈L1(P)描述无套利市场中可获得收益的线性空间,u为凹,ρ≥0为凸。事实证明,最大化这种奖励比惩罚比本质上等同于最大化比率α(V):= E[V]/E[V−]或期望利润比期望损失比E[V+]/E[V−]。最低上界α -:= supV∈Vα(V)可通过求解V的有界等价鞅测度集上的一个适当对偶问题来确定,由此得出了短缺风险最优等价鞅测度的定义。
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引用次数: 5
Perpetual convertible bonds in jump-diffusion models 跳跃扩散模型中的永续可转换债券
IF 1.5 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2005-01-01 DOI: 10.1524/STND.2005.23.1.15
P. Gapeev, C. Kühn
Summary A convertible (callable) bond is a security that the holder can convert into a specified number of underlying shares. In addition, the issuer can recall the bond, paying some compensation, or force the holder to convert it immediately. We give an explicit solution to the corresponding optimal stopping game in the context of a reduced form model driven by a Brownian motion and a compound Poisson process with exponential jumps. It turns out that the occurrence of jumps leads to optimal stopping strategies whose structure differs from the results for continuous models.
可转换(可赎回)债券是一种证券,持有人可以转换成一定数量的相关股份。此外,发行人可以收回债券,支付一些赔偿,或迫使持有人立即转换债券。在布朗运动驱动的简化模型和具有指数跳变的复合泊松过程中,给出了相应的最优停止对策的显式解。结果表明,跳跃的出现导致了最优停止策略,其结构与连续模型的结果不同。
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引用次数: 37
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Statistics & Risk Modeling
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