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Financial stress and gambling motivation: the importance of financial literacy 财务压力与赌博动机:财务知识的重要性
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-05-10 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-01-2023-0026
Dalina Amonhaemanon
Purpose“Poor, Stressed, Drink (alcohol), and Gambling” is one of the campaigns for poverty eradication in Thailand. This study focuses on informal workers—gamblers—who belong to low-income groups and are not covered by the law as an employer. The main objective was to investigate the factors affecting financial stress among informal laborers and determine the factors that drive informal workers to buy lottery tickets (classified by economic, psychological and social motives).Design/methodology/approachThe authors applied binary logistic regression to determine what factors affected financial stress and multinomial logistic regression was applied to examine the factors affecting the motives for buying the lottery.FindingsAccording to the study's results, factors including education, income, gambling intensity, level of financial literacy, saving and knowledge about finance in general influenced both economic and psychological motives negatively. However, gender, status, age, level of risk tolerance, self-evaluated level of acceptable risk and knowledge about compound interest influenced both economic motives and psychological motives positively. It is worth noting that both the self-evaluation of their level of financial literacy and knowledge about inflation resulted in effects moving in different directions, with self-evaluation of their level of financial literacy and knowledge about inflation negatively affecting economic motives, but positively affecting psychological motives.Practical implicationsThe results of this study are expected to help policymakers understand more about this issue since it will illustrate the relationships between financial stress and financial literacy, financial behaviors, financial attitudes and risk tolerance and gambling behaviors. After all, financial stress is a significant problem affecting individuals, their families and the community, and it stems from various complex factors. Therefore, the government and counseling agencies should apply active strategies to mitigate these issues and lessen the resulting financial stress by providing financial literacy projects, as well as financial counseling.Social implicationsLow financial literacy, especially being inefficient at managing one's finances, unusually comes with unhealthy financial thought patterns, as well as a lack of systematic financial management. Furthermore, the lack of financial literacy can potentially lead to unfavorable circumstances. When one falls into uncontrollable situations, including divorce, becoming unemployed, having health problems, being in toxic relationships, loss of a breadwinner, an unexpected pregnancy, etcetera, they could easily find themselves failing to properly cope with these problems and become stressed. Finally, they are also more at risk to take illicit drugs or begin gambling more frequently.Originality/valueOne of the key elements that reduces financial stress is a person's finances, which is thought to have a signific
目的"贫穷、压力、酗酒和赌博"是泰国消除贫困的运动之一。这项研究的重点是非正式工人——赌徒——他们属于低收入群体,不受法律作为雇主的保护。主要目的是调查影响非正规劳动者财务压力的因素,并确定驱动非正规劳动者购买彩票的因素(按经济、心理和社会动机分类)。设计/方法/方法作者应用二元逻辑回归来确定影响财务压力的因素,并应用多项逻辑回归来检验影响购买彩票动机的因素。根据研究结果,教育、收入、赌博强度、金融知识水平、储蓄和金融知识等因素总体上对经济和心理动机都产生了负面影响。然而,性别、地位、年龄、风险承受水平、自我评估的可接受风险水平和复利知识对经济动机和心理动机均有正向影响。值得注意的是,金融知识水平的自我评价和通货膨胀知识的自我评价都导致了不同方向的影响,金融知识水平的自我评价和通货膨胀知识的自我评价对经济动机产生负向影响,但对心理动机产生积极影响。本研究的结果有望帮助决策者更多地了解这一问题,因为它将说明金融压力与金融素养、金融行为、金融态度、风险承受能力和赌博行为之间的关系。毕竟,经济压力是一个影响个人、家庭和社会的重大问题,它源于各种复杂的因素。因此,政府和咨询机构应该采取积极的策略来缓解这些问题,并通过提供金融素养项目和金融咨询来减轻由此产生的财务压力。社会影响金融知识贫乏,尤其是在理财方面效率低下,通常伴随着不健康的金融思维模式,以及缺乏系统的财务管理。此外,缺乏金融知识可能会导致不利的环境。当一个人陷入无法控制的情况,包括离婚,失业,有健康问题,处于有毒的关系,失去养家糊口的人,意外怀孕等,他们很容易发现自己无法妥善应对这些问题,变得有压力。最后,他们服用非法药物或开始更频繁地赌博的风险也更大。独创性/价值减轻财务压力的关键因素之一是一个人的财务状况,这被认为在减少赌博行为方面起着重要作用。这项研究的结果可以用来指导政策制定,以阻止那些从未赌博的人开始赌博。赌博被认为是一种具有较高价值回报的冒险活动。金钱、享受、社交和兴奋都是赌博的普遍动机。这些发现与在泰国社会中观察到的影响个人赌博的因素一致,即经济、心理和社会动机。这项研究的重点是那些是非正式劳动力的赌徒。根据泰国劳动法,他们是没有雇主的劳动者,没有政府提供的任何社会保障,通常收入很低。
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引用次数: 0
Emojis and stock returns 表情符号和股票回报
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-05-09 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-09-2022-0215
Felix Reschke, Jan-Oliver Strych
Purpose The authors explore how the sentiment expressed by emojis in comments on stocks is associated with the stocks' subsequent returns. Design/methodology/approach By applying our own analyzer, the authors find a sentiment effect of emojis on stocks returns separately to the plain text-expressed sentiment in Reddit posts about meme stocks such as Gamestop during the Covid-19 pandemic. Findings The authors document that a one-standard deviation change in emoji sentiment magnitude measured as the quantity of positive emoji sentiment posts over the previous hour is associated with an 0.06% (annualized: 109.2%) one-hour abnormal stock return compared to a mean of 0.03% (annualized: 54.6%). If the stock exhibits a higher intra-hour volatility, a proxy for uninformed noise trading, this relation is more pronounced and even stronger compared to stock return's relation to plain text sentiment. Research limitations/implications The authors are not able to show causation that is open to future research. It also remains an open question how emojis impact market price efficiency. Practical implications Emojis are positively related to stock returns in addition to plain text-expressed content if they are discussed heavily by retail investors in Internet boards such as Reddit. Social implications Shared emotions expressed by emojis might have an influence on how disconnected individuals make homogeneous decisions. This argument might explain our found relation of emojis and stock returns. Originality/value So, the study findings provide empirical evidence that emojis in Reddit posts convey information on future short-term stocks returns distinct from information expressed in plain text, in the case of volatile stocks, with a higher magnitude.
目的探讨表情符号在股票评论中表达的情绪与股票随后的收益之间的关系。设计/方法/方法通过应用我们自己的分析工具,作者发现,表情符号对股票回报的情绪影响,与新冠疫情期间Reddit帖子中关于Gamestop等表情包股票的纯文本表达情绪不同。研究结果表明,表情符号情绪大小的一个标准差变化(即前一小时内积极表情符号情绪帖子的数量)与0.06%(年化:109.2%)的一小时异常股票回报相关,而平均值为0.03%(年化:54.6%)。如果股票表现出较高的小时内波动,这是不知情噪音交易的代理,与股票回报与纯文本情绪的关系相比,这种关系更加明显,甚至更强。研究局限性/启示:作者无法显示未来研究开放的因果关系。表情符号如何影响市场价格效率也是一个悬而未决的问题。实际意义:除了纯文本表达的内容外,如果散户投资者在Reddit等互联网论坛上大量讨论表情符号,那么表情符号与股票收益呈正相关。表情符号所表达的共同情绪可能会影响不联系的个体如何做出同质的决定。这个论点或许可以解释我们发现的表情符号和股票回报之间的关系。因此,研究结果提供了实证证据,表明Reddit帖子中的表情符号传达的未来短期股票收益信息不同于纯文本表达的信息,在波动股票的情况下,其幅度更高。
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引用次数: 1
Target return as efficient driver of risk-taking 目标回报是风险承担的有效驱动力
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-09-2022-0216
C. D’Hondt, Rudy De Winne, A. Todorović
PurposeThis paper examines whether target returns act as specific goals that impact risk-taking when individuals make investment decisions.Design/methodology/approachUsing an experimental setting, the authors assign either a low or a high target return to participants and ask them to make independent investment decisions as the risk-free rate fluctuates around their target return and, for some of them, becomes negative.FindingsBuilding on cumulative prospect theory, the authors find that the prevailing reference point of participants is the target return, regardless of the level of the risk-free rate. This result still holds even when the risk-free rate is negative, suggesting that (1) the target return drives risk-taking more than does a zero-threshold and (2) negative rates are limited as a tool to stimulate appetites for risk. In a follow-up study, the authors show that these conclusions remain valid when the target return is endogenously determined.Originality/valueThe authors' original approach, which pioneers the use of target returns in both the positive and negative interest rate contexts, provides insightful results about the “reach for yield” among regular people.
本文考察目标收益是否作为个人投资决策时影响风险承担的具体目标。设计/方法/方法通过实验设置,作者为参与者分配了低或高的目标回报,并要求他们做出独立的投资决策,因为无风险利率在他们的目标回报周围波动,对其中一些人来说,变为负值。基于累积前景理论,作者发现参与者的主要参考点是目标回报,而不管无风险利率的水平如何。即使在无风险利率为负的情况下,这一结果仍然成立,这表明:(1)目标回报比零门槛更能推动风险承担;(2)负利率作为刺激风险偏好的工具是有限的。在后续研究中,作者表明,当目标收益是内生决定时,这些结论仍然有效。原创性/价值两位作者的独创方法,开创了在正利率和负利率背景下使用目标回报率的先路,对普通人的“追求收益”提供了深刻的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Do crypto investors wait and see during policy uncertainty? An examination of the dynamic relationships between policy uncertainty and exchange inflows of Bitcoin 在政策不确定期间,加密货币投资者是否会观望?政策不确定性与比特币外汇流入之间动态关系的研究
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-01-2023-0013
L. Nguyen, Phong Thanh Nguyen
PurposeIn this paper, the authors examine the short-term and long-term impact of general economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and crypto-specific policy uncertainty on Bitcoin’s (BTC) exchange inflows – a form of crypto investor behaviors that the authors expect to drive the cryptocurrency volatility.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL), coupled with the bounds testing approach by Pesaran et al. (2001), to analyze a weekly dataset of BTC’s exchange inflows and relevant policy uncertainty indices.FindingsThe authors observe both short-term and long-term impacts of the crypto-specific policy uncertainty on BTC’s exchange inflows, whereas the general EPU only explains these inflows in a short-term manner. In addition, the authors find exchange inflows of BTC “Granger” cause its price volatility. Furthermore, the authors document a significant and relatively persistent response of BTC volatility to shocks to its exchange inflows.Originality/valueThis study’s findings offer significant contributions to research in policy uncertainty and investor behaviors.
在本文中,作者研究了一般经济政策不确定性(EPU)和特定于加密货币的政策不确定性对比特币(BTC)交易所流入的短期和长期影响——这是一种加密货币投资者行为的形式,作者预计这种行为将推动加密货币的波动。设计/方法/方法作者使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL),结合Pesaran等人(2001)的边界测试方法,分析了比特币外汇流入和相关政策不确定性指数的每周数据集。作者观察到加密货币特定政策不确定性对比特币外汇流入的短期和长期影响,而一般EPU仅以短期方式解释这些流入。此外,作者发现比特币的外汇流入“格兰杰”导致其价格波动。此外,作者还记录了比特币波动对其外汇流入冲击的显著且相对持续的反应。原创性/价值本研究的发现对政策不确定性与投资者行为的研究有重要贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Gambling on the stock market: the behavior of at-risk online traders 在股票市场上赌博:风险在线交易者的行为
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-04-06 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-05-2022-0143
P. Grégoire, M. Dixon, I. Giroux, C. Jacques, Annie Goulet, James Eaves, S. Sévigny
PurposeOnline investment platforms offer an environment that may lead some traders into excessive behaviors akin to gambling. Over the last decade, gambling behaviors associated with the stock market have attracted the attention of many researchers but the literature on the subject remains scarce. This study aims to present the results of live interviews with a sample (N = 100) of retail investors trading online, and contrasts trading habits with gambling behaviors.Design/methodology/approachParticipants are divided in three groups according to their score on an adapted version of the Problem Gambling Severity Index (referred to as the PGSI-Trading), and their trading habits and behaviors are compared.FindingsThe authors find that traders with higher PGSI-Trading scores are more likely to display gambling-related behaviors such as trading within a short timeframe, being motivated by making money quickly and experiencing high sensations when trading.Research limitations/implicationsThe sample is small but the authors proceeded this way in order to gather some qualitative data that would be helpful to clinicians in the Province of Quebec. The questionnaire used to classify traders at risk of being gamblers (PGSI-Trading) has not been validated.Practical implicationsThe findings of this study will be helpful to clinicians who hwork with patients suffering from excessive online stock trading habits.Social implicationsClinicians observe an increasing number of patients who consult with excessive stock trading habits. This study has brought new information allowing clinicians to better understand how gambling manifests itself on the stock market.Originality/valueTo the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first to investigate the trading habits of individuals classified in terms of their score on an adapted PGSI questionnaire.
目的在线投资平台提供了一个可能导致一些交易者进行类似赌博的过度行为的环境。在过去的十年中,与股票市场相关的赌博行为吸引了许多研究人员的注意,但关于这一主题的文献仍然很少。本研究旨在对网上交易的散户投资者样本(N = 100)进行现场访谈,并将交易习惯与赌博行为进行对比。设计/方法/方法参与者根据他们在问题赌博严重程度指数(简称PGSI-Trading)中的得分分为三组,并比较他们的交易习惯和行为。研究结果作者发现,PGSI-Trading得分较高的交易者更有可能表现出与赌博相关的行为,比如在短时间内进行交易,以快速赚钱为动机,以及在交易时体验到强烈的感觉。研究的局限性/意义样本很小,但作者继续这样做是为了收集一些定性数据,这将有助于魁北克省的临床医生。用于分类有赌博风险的交易者的问卷(PGSI-Trading)尚未得到验证。实际意义本研究的发现将有助于临床医师处理有过度网上股票交易习惯的患者。社会影响临床医生观察到越来越多的患者咨询过度的股票交易习惯。这项研究带来了新的信息,让临床医生更好地了解赌博是如何在股票市场上表现出来的。原创性/价值据作者所知,这项研究是第一次调查个人的交易习惯,根据他们在PGSI问卷上的得分进行分类。
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引用次数: 1
Does Russia–Ukraine war generate herding behavior in Moscow Exchange? 俄乌战争会在莫斯科交易所引发羊群行为吗?
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-01-2023-0014
Khemaies Bougatef, Imen Nejah
PurposeThis study examines whether the Russia–Ukraine war affects herding behavior in the Moscow Exchange.Design/methodology/approachThe authors employ the daily stock closing prices of 40 firms, which constitute the MOEX Russia Index from June 16, 2021, to November 30, 2022. The period before the invasion ranges from June 16, 2021, to February 23, 2022, while the post-invasion period runs from February 24, 2022, to November 30, 2022.FindingsThe findings suggest that the Russia–Ukraine war led to the formation of herding behavior among investors in Moscow Exchange. However, this herding behavior seems to be prevalent only during market downturns.Research limitations/implicationsThe results are important for policymakers and fund managers since they help them understand behavior patterns of investors during periods of war. Given the devastating effect of herd behavior on market stability, policymakers should implement a strategy to avoid this behavior. The formation of herding behavior during the Russia–Ukraine war indicates that uncertainty and fear caused by Western sanctions lead investors to imitate others which, in turn, could lead to equity mispricing. Thus, firm managers should take into account this evidence in equity issuance decisions in order to time the market. The findings raise questions about the validity of the efficient market hypothesis during the periods of war.Originality/valueThis study represents the first attempt to explore whether the Russia–Ukraine conflict contributes to the appearance of herding behavior among investors on Moscow Exchange.
目的研究俄乌战争是否会影响莫斯科交易所的羊群行为。设计/方法/方法作者采用了从2021年6月16日到2022年11月30日构成MOEX俄罗斯指数的40家公司的每日股票收盘价。入侵前为2021年6月16日至2022年2月23日,入侵后为2022年2月24日至2022年11月30日。研究结果表明,俄乌战争导致莫斯科交易所投资者形成了羊群行为。然而,这种从众行为似乎只在市场低迷时期才普遍存在。研究的局限性/意义研究结果对政策制定者和基金经理很重要,因为它们有助于他们理解投资者在战争时期的行为模式。鉴于羊群行为对市场稳定的破坏性影响,政策制定者应该实施一项策略来避免这种行为。俄乌战争期间羊群行为的形成表明,西方制裁造成的不确定性和恐惧导致投资者模仿他人,进而可能导致股票定价错误。因此,公司管理者应该在股票发行决策中考虑到这一证据,以便把握市场时机。研究结果对战争时期有效市场假说的有效性提出了质疑。原创性/价值本研究首次尝试探讨俄乌冲突是否有助于莫斯科交易所投资者羊群行为的出现。
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引用次数: 1
The impact of unproved reserve news on the energy stock volatility: an empirical investigation on Turkey 未证实储量消息对能源股波动的影响:基于土耳其的实证研究
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-03-29 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-12-2022-0291
S. Arzova, Ayben Koy, B. Sahin
PurposeThis study investigates the effect of unproven energy reserve news on the volatility of energy firms' stocks. Thus, investors' perception of unproven energy reserves is revealed. Additionally, the study aims to determine whether the effect of the news changes according to time and volatility level.Design/methodology/approachThe general autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) models consist of the energy reserve exploration news in Turkey for the period 2009–2022 and the volatility of 14 energy stocks.FindingsThe results indicate energy exploration news's negative and significant effect on volatility. According to empirical results, energy stock volatility is most affected in the first ten days. Besides, the results show that the significant models of energy reserve news in low-volatility stocks are proportionally higher than in high-volatility stocks.Research limitations/implicationsOnly unproved reserve news is included in the analysis, as sufficient confirmed reserves could not be reached during the sampling period. Further studies can compare proven and unproved reserve news effects. Additionally, a similar analysis can be conducted between Turkey and another country with a similar socio-economic character to examine different investor behaviors.Practical implicationsThis research includes indications on managing investors' reactions to unproven energy reserve news.Originality/valueThis study contributes to the literature by analyzing unproven reserves. Contrary to previous studies, examining stock volatility also makes the study unique.
目的研究未证实的能源储备消息对能源公司股票波动的影响。从而揭示了投资者对未探明能源储量的看法。此外,本研究旨在确定新闻的影响是否随时间和波动水平而变化。设计/方法/方法一般自回归条件异方差(GARCH)和指数广义自回归条件异方差(EGARCH)模型由2009-2022年土耳其能源储量勘探新闻和14种能源股票的波动性组成。结果表明,能源勘探新闻对波动率具有显著的负向影响。实证结果表明,能源股波动在前十天受到的影响最大。此外,研究结果表明,低波动率股票的能源储备新闻显著性模型比例高于高波动率股票。研究限制/影响:由于在抽样期间无法获得足够的确认储量,因此分析中只包括未证实储量的新闻。进一步的研究可以比较已证实和未证实的储备新闻效应。此外,可以在土耳其和另一个具有类似社会经济特征的国家之间进行类似的分析,以检查不同的投资者行为。实际意义本研究包括管理投资者对未经证实的能源储备消息的反应的启示。独创性/价值本研究通过分析未探明储量为文献做出贡献。与以往的研究相反,考察股票波动也使本研究具有独特性。
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引用次数: 0
CEO social network, capital structure complexity and firm performance CEO社会网络、资本结构复杂性与企业绩效
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-03-28 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-09-2022-0214
Hardeep Singh Mundi
PurposeThe paper aims to examine the effect of CEOs' social networks on capital structure complexity (CSC) and firm performance.Design/methodology/approachOrdinary Least Squares regression (OLS) and Generalized method of moments (GMM) regression results estimate the effect of CEOs' (Chief executive officer) social networks on capital structure complexity and firm performance. The number of sources of capital (NSC) and concentration ratio estimate the capital structure complexity for the sample firms.FindingsThe results show that CEOs' social networks significantly influence CSC. We suggest that the CEOs' social networks encourage them to make more complex capital structure decisions. This behavior deteriorates firm performance.Research limitations/implicationsThere is a lack of systematic conceptual reason for measuring CEO social network. Future research should use other measures of the social network to estimate the relation of the CEO's social network with CSC and firm performance.Practical implicationsThe findings support the managerial power approach and social network theory that the observable characteristics of CEOs influence CSC. The results are robust for an alternative explanation.Originality/valueBy investigating the impact of the influence of CEOs' social networks on CSC and performance, the authors extend research on strategic leadership and capital structure and firm performance.
目的研究ceo社会网络对资本结构复杂性(CSC)和企业绩效的影响。设计/方法/方法普通最小二乘回归(OLS)和广义矩量法(GMM)回归结果估计了ceo(首席执行官)社会网络对资本结构复杂性和企业绩效的影响。资本来源数(NSC)和集中度估算了样本企业资本结构的复杂性。研究结果表明,ceo的社交网络对企业绩效有显著影响。我们认为ceo的社交网络鼓励他们做出更复杂的资本结构决策。这种行为使公司绩效恶化。研究局限/启示对CEO社交网络的测量缺乏系统的概念性理由。未来的研究应该使用社会网络的其他度量来评估CEO社会网络与企业绩效和企业绩效之间的关系。实践意义本研究结果支持了管理权力理论和社会网络理论,即ceo的可观察性特征会影响企业绩效。对于另一种解释,结果是可靠的。原创性/价值通过研究ceo社交网络对企业绩效和企业绩效的影响,拓展了战略领导力、资本结构和企业绩效的研究。
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引用次数: 1
The asymmetric effect of COVID-19 on investor sentiment: evidence from NARDL model 新冠肺炎对投资者情绪的非对称影响:来自NARDL模型的证据
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-01-10 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-02-2022-0068
Mehdi Mili, Asma Yahiya Al Amoodi, H. Bawazir
PurposeThis study aims to investigate the asymmetric impact of daily announcements regarding COVID-19 on investor sentiment in the stock market.Design/methodology/approachThis study uses a Non-Linear Autoregressive Distribution Lag (NARDL) model that relies on positive and negative partial sum decompositions of the Coronavirus indicators. Five investor sentiments had been used and the analysis is conducted on the full sample period from 24th February 2020 to 25th March 2021.FindingsThe results show that new cases have a greater impact on investor sentiment compared to daily announcements of new deaths related to COVID-19. In addition to revealing a significant impact of new COVID-19 new cases and new death announcements on a daily basis on investor sentiment over the short- and long-term, this paper also highlights the nonlinearity and asymmetry of this relationship in the short and long run. Investors' sentiments are more affected by negative news regarding Covid 19 than positive news.Originality/valueFinancial markets have been severely affected by COVID-19 pandemic. This study is the first to measure the extent of reaction of investors to positive and negative announcements of COVID-19. Interestingly, this study examines the asymmetric effect of daily announcements on new cases and new deaths by COVID-19 on investor sentiments and derive many implications for portfolio managers.
目的本研究旨在探讨关于COVID-19的每日公告对股票市场投资者情绪的不对称影响。本研究使用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型,该模型依赖于冠状病毒指标的正和负部分和分解。使用了五种投资者情绪,并对2020年2月24日至2021年3月25日的整个样本期进行了分析。研究结果显示,与每天公布的与COVID-19相关的新死亡病例相比,新病例对投资者情绪的影响更大。除了揭示每日新增COVID-19病例和新增死亡公告对短期和长期投资者情绪的重大影响外,本文还强调了这种关系在短期和长期中的非线性和不对称性。有关新冠肺炎的负面消息比正面消息对投资者情绪的影响更大。金融市场受到新冠肺炎疫情的严重影响。该研究首次衡量了投资者对新冠肺炎正面和负面消息的反应程度。有趣的是,这项研究考察了每日公布的COVID-19新病例和新死亡病例对投资者情绪的不对称影响,并对投资组合经理产生了许多影响。
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引用次数: 1
Ambiguity and asset prices: a closer look in an emerging market 模糊性与资产价格:对新兴市场的进一步观察
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-01-03 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-06-2022-0151
Merve G. Cevheroğlu-Açar, Cenk C. Karahan
Purpose This study empirically documents the effect of ambiguity on stock returns in a major emerging market along with the ambiguity attitudes under various market conditions. Design/methodology/approach Ambiguity is measured as the volatility of return probability distributions extracted from high frequency intraday data via a method developed by Brenner and Izhakian (2018). The impact of ambiguity is then tested on stock market returns. Findings The results show that ambiguity is a priced factor in Turkish stock market with a positive premium that is distinct from risk premium. In contrast with the findings in the US market, the investors in Turkey show an increasing level of ambiguity aversion as expected probability of favorable returns deviate from the mean value. The investors are effectively ambiguity neutral in lateral markets. The results are robust to testing with higher moments, sentiment measures and under recession conditions. Originality/value This study contributes to empirically documenting ambiguity and ambiguity aversion in a major emerging market along with the opportunity to observe international differences in ambiguity attitudes.
本研究实证研究了一个主要新兴市场在不同市场条件下歧义态度对股票收益的影响。设计/方法/方法模糊性是通过Brenner和Izhakian(2018)开发的方法从高频日内数据中提取的回报概率分布的波动性来衡量的。然后测试歧义对股票市场回报的影响。结果表明,模糊性是土耳其股票市场的一个定价因素,其溢价为正,与风险溢价不同。与美国市场的调查结果相反,土耳其的投资者表现出越来越高的模糊性厌恶水平,因为预期的有利回报概率偏离了平均值。投资者在横向市场上实际上是模糊中立的。在更高的时刻、情绪指标和衰退条件下,这一结果是稳健的。原创性/价值本研究有助于实证地记录一个主要新兴市场的歧义和歧义厌恶,并有机会观察歧义态度的国际差异。
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Review of Behavioral Finance
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