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Herd behavior in cryptocurrency market: evidence of network effect 加密货币市场中的从众行为:网络效应的证据
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-03-2023-0079
Phasin Wanidwaranan, Santi Termprasertsakul
Purpose This study examines herd behavior in the cryptocurrency market at the aggregate level and the determinants of herd behavior, such as asymmetric market returns, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, 2021 cryptocurrency's bear market and the network effect. Design/methodology/approach The authors applied the Google Search Volume Index (GSVI) as a proxy for the network effect. Since investors who are interested in a particular issue have a common interest, they tend to perform searches using the same keywords in Google and are on the same network. The authors also investigated the daily returns of cryptocurrencies, which are in the top 100 market capitalizations from 2017 to 2022. The authors also examine the association between return dispersion and portfolio return based on aggregate market herding model and employ interactions between herding determinants such as, market direction, market trend, COVID-19 and network effect. Findings The empirical results indicate that herding behavior in the cryptocurrency market is significantly captured when the market returns of cryptocurrency tend to decline and when the network effect of investors tends to expand (e.g. such as during the COVID-19 pandemic or 2021 Bitcoin crash). However, the results confirm anti-herd behavior in cryptocurrency during the COVID-19 pandemic or 2021 Bitcoin crash, regardless of the network effect. Practical implications These findings help investors in the cryptocurrency market make more rational decisions based on their determinants since cryptocurrency is an alternative investment for investors' asset allocation. As imitating trades lead to return comovement, herd behavior in the cryptocurrency has a direct impact on the effectiveness of portfolio diversification. Hence, market participants or investors should consider herd behavior and its underlying factors to fully maximize the benefits of asset allocation, especially during the period of market uncertainty. Originality/value Most previous studies have focused on herd behavior in the stock market. Although some researchers have recently begun studying herd behavior in the cryptocurrency market, the empirical results are inconclusive due to an incorrectly specified model or unclear determinants.
本研究从总体层面考察了加密货币市场中的羊群行为,以及羊群行为的决定因素,如市场收益不对称、2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行、2021年加密货币熊市和网络效应。设计/方法/方法作者应用谷歌搜索量指数(GSVI)作为网络效应的代理。由于对某一特定问题感兴趣的投资者有共同的兴趣,他们倾向于在谷歌上使用相同的关键词进行搜索,并且在同一个网络上。作者还调查了加密货币的每日回报,这些货币在2017年至2022年的前100名市值中。基于总市场羊群模型,研究了收益离散度与投资组合收益之间的关系,并利用市场方向、市场趋势、新冠肺炎和网络效应等羊群决定因素之间的相互作用。实证结果表明,当加密货币的市场回报趋于下降,投资者的网络效应趋于扩大时(例如在2019冠状病毒病大流行或2021年比特币崩盘期间),加密货币市场的羊群行为会被显著捕捉到。然而,研究结果证实,在2019冠状病毒病大流行或2021年比特币崩盘期间,无论网络效应如何,加密货币都存在反羊群行为。这些发现有助于加密货币市场的投资者根据其决定因素做出更理性的决策,因为加密货币是投资者资产配置的一种替代投资。由于模仿交易导致收益趋同,加密货币中的羊群行为直接影响投资组合多样化的有效性。因此,市场参与者或投资者应考虑羊群行为及其潜在因素,以充分实现资产配置效益最大化,特别是在市场不确定时期。大多数先前的研究集中在股票市场的羊群行为上。尽管一些研究人员最近开始研究加密货币市场中的羊群行为,但由于模型指定不正确或决定因素不明确,实证结果尚无定论。
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引用次数: 0
Herding behavior by socially responsible investors during the COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19大流行期间社会责任投资者的羊群行为
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-04-2023-0101
Manuel Lobato, Javier Rodríguez, Herminio Romero-Perez
Purpose This study aims to examine the herding behavior of socially responsible exchange traded funds (SR ETFs) in comparison to conventional ETFs during the COVID-19 pandemic. Design/methodology/approach To test for herding behavior, the authors use the cross-sectional absolute deviation and a quadratic market model. Findings During the pandemic, investments in socially responsible financial products grew rapidly. And investors in the popular SR ETFs herd during this special period, while holders of conventional ETFs did not. Practical implications Investors in socially responsible investments must do their own research and make their own financial decisions, rather than follow the crowd, especially during extreme events like the COVID-19 pandemic. Originality/value The evidence shows that, during the pandemic, socially responsible ETFs behaved in line with theoretical predictions of herding, that is, herding is more significant during extreme market conditions.
本研究旨在检验社会责任交易所交易基金(SR etf)与传统etf在COVID-19大流行期间的羊群行为。设计/方法/方法为了检验羊群行为,作者使用了横截面绝对偏差和二次市场模型。疫情期间,对社会责任金融产品的投资迅速增长。受欢迎的SR etf的投资者在这一特殊时期趋之若趋,而传统etf的持有者则不然。社会责任投资的投资者必须进行自己的研究,做出自己的财务决策,而不是随波逐流,尤其是在2019冠状病毒病大流行等极端事件期间。有证据表明,在疫情期间,对社会负责的etf的行为符合羊群效应的理论预测,即在极端市场条件下,羊群效应更为显著。
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引用次数: 0
Financial risk-taking in adult attention deficit hyperactivity disorder 成人注意缺陷多动障碍的金融冒险行为
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-04-2023-0113
Çağrı Hamurcu, Hayriye Dilek Yalvac Hamurcu, Merve Karakuş
Purpose This study aimed to examine the financial risk-taking behaviors of adult individuals diagnosed with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). Design/methodology/approach The study was conducted with adults (n = 80) diagnosed with ADHD and healthy controls (n = 80). In order to measure risk-taking in the financial domain, the items in the investment and gambling sub-dimensions of the Domain-Specific Risk-Taking Scale (DOSPERT) were applied. Findings Adults with ADHD had higher investment and gambling risk-taking and expected benefits scores than the control group, and there was no difference between the two groups in terms of risk perceptions. In the regression analysis, there was a positive linear relationship between the investment and gambling risk-taking scores and the expected benefits scores in both groups. There was a negative linear relationship between investment risk-taking and risk perceptions scores only in the control group. Originality/value In terms of investment and gambling, both risk-taking and expected benefits are greater in individuals with ADHD. It has been observed that while healthy individuals take investment risks, they evaluate according to the expected benefits and risk perceptions, while individuals with ADHD make evaluations only according to the expected benefits, risk perceptions do not predict financial risk-taking in individuals with ADHD. When it comes to risk-taking related to gambling, both groups take risks only according to their expectations of benefits, not their perceptions of risk. The study provides outputs that can contribute to the literature in terms of the effects of ADHD diagnosis on financial decision-making processes in the context of risk-taking.
目的探讨成人注意缺陷多动障碍(ADHD)患者的财务风险行为。设计/方法/方法本研究在诊断为ADHD的成人(n = 80)和健康对照(n = 80)中进行。为了衡量金融领域的风险承担,我们采用了特定领域风险承担量表(DOSPERT)的投资和赌博子维度中的项目。结果ADHD成人在投资、赌博风险和预期收益方面得分高于对照组,两组在风险感知方面没有差异。在回归分析中,两组的投资和赌博风险承担得分与预期收益得分之间存在正线性关系。投资风险承担与风险感知得分之间仅在对照组存在负线性关系。就投资和赌博而言,ADHD患者的冒险精神和预期收益都更大。研究发现,健康个体在承担投资风险时,会根据预期收益和风险感知进行评估,而ADHD个体仅根据预期收益进行评估,风险感知并不能预测ADHD个体的财务风险承担。当涉及到与赌博有关的冒险行为时,两组人都只是根据他们对收益的预期而不是他们对风险的感知来冒险。该研究提供的结果可以为有关ADHD诊断对冒险背景下财务决策过程的影响的文献做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
The nexus between herding behavior and spillover: evidence from G7 and BRICS 羊群行为与溢出效应之间的关系:来自G7和金砖国家的证据
Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-01-2023-0016
Sarra Gouta, Houda BenMabrouk
Purpose This study aims at exploring the nexus between herding behavior and the spillover effect in G7 and BRICS stock markets. Design/methodology/approach The authors used the dynamic connectedness approach TVP-VAR model of Antonakakis et al. (2019) to capture the spillovers across different markets. Moreover, to explore herding behavior, the authors used a modified version of the CSAD measure of Chang et al . (2000) including extreme market movements. Finally, to study the link between these two phenomena, the authors estimated a DCC-GARCH model. Findings The results show that herding behavior exists in the American market and some BRICS markets. Furthermore, spillover between G7 and BRICS increases in times of crisis. Moreover, the authors find a dynamic conditional correlation between herding behavior and spillovers both in the short and long run. The authors conclude that in times of crisis, the transmission of shocks between markets is more frequent, fuelling uncertainty and pushing investors to suppress their own beliefs and follow the general market trends. Originality/value This paper uses the TVP-VAR model to explore the spillover effect and the DCC-GARCH model to explore the connectedness between herding behavior and the spillover effect in G7 and BRICS countries in both the short and long run.
目的探讨七国集团和金砖国家股市的羊群行为与溢出效应之间的关系。设计/方法/方法作者使用了Antonakakis等人(2019)的动态连接方法tpv - var模型来捕捉不同市场的溢出效应。此外,为了探索羊群行为,作者使用了Chang等人改良的CSAD测量方法。(2000),包括极端的市场波动。最后,为了研究这两种现象之间的联系,作者估计了一个DCC-GARCH模型。结果表明,美国市场和部分金砖国家市场存在羊群行为。此外,七国集团和金砖国家之间的溢出效应在危机时期会增加。此外,作者还发现羊群行为与短期和长期溢出之间存在动态的条件相关性。作者得出的结论是,在危机时期,市场之间的冲击传递更为频繁,加剧了不确定性,并促使投资者抑制自己的信念,跟随市场总体趋势。本文采用tpv - var模型探讨了外溢效应,采用DCC-GARCH模型探讨了G7和金砖国家短期和长期的羊群行为与外溢效应之间的联系。
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引用次数: 0
Herding and Google search queries in the Brazilian stock market 巴西股市的放牧和谷歌搜索查询
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-12-2022-0296
Jeferson Carvalho, Paulo Vitor Jordão da Gama Silva, M. Klotzle
PurposeThis study investigates the presence of herding in the Brazilian stock market between 2012 and 2020 and associates it with the volume of searches on the Google platform.Design/methodology/approachFollowing methodologies are used to investigate the presence of herding: the Cross-Sectional Standard Deviation of Returns (CSSD), the Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation (CSAD) and the Cross-Sectional Deviation of Asset Betas to the Market.FindingsMost of the models detected herding. In addition, there was a causal relationship between peaks in Google search volumes and the incidence of herding across the whole period, especially in 2015 and 2019.Originality/valueThis study suggests that confirmation bias influences investors' decisions to buy or sell assets.
本研究调查了2012年至2020年巴西股市中的羊群现象,并将其与谷歌平台的搜索量联系起来。设计/方法/方法以下方法用于调查羊群的存在:收益的横截面标准差(CSSD),横截面绝对偏差(CSAD)和资产贝塔对市场的横截面偏差。大多数模型都发现了羊群现象。此外,谷歌搜索量的峰值与整个时期的羊群发生率之间存在因果关系,特别是在2015年和2019年。原创性/价值本研究表明,确认偏差影响投资者购买或出售资产的决策。
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引用次数: 0
Can virtual reality nudge toward green investing? An experiment with small business entrepreneurs 虚拟现实能推动绿色投资吗?一项针对小企业企业家的实验
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-23 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-01-2023-0005
A. Vassilopoulos, Lydia Papadaki, P. Koundouri
PurposeStorytelling through virtual reality (VR) combines the strengths of cutting-edge technology with traditional informational campaigns. As a tool for climate change mitigation, VR has been shown to educate individuals and stimulate both emotional and cognitive responses that promote pro-environmental behavior. This paper aims to investigate whether these benefits extend to the field of green investing through an experiment conducted with a sample of small business entrepreneurs.Design/methodology/approachThe experimental design involved making choices between bonds varying in maturity dates, annual interest and environmental classification (regular versus green). To identify potential impacts of the immersive experience on investment decisions, these choices were made both before and after exposure to VR videos illustrating the devastating effects of climate change. A multiple price list was employed to elicit subjects' risk preferences, enabling the joint estimation of the treatment effect and the risk and time preference parameters. FindingsThe findings indicate that, when risk and time preference parameters are controlled for, a VR experience can nudge toward green investment choices. This effect is more profound among those who already exhibit a greater propensity to opt for green investments.Originality/valuePrevious research shows that negative emotions, such as guilt, affect pro-environmental intentions, as well as actions, while message vividness through immersive experiences is effective in nudging greener behavior. Since analogous results in the framework of financial investments are not currently available, this paper seeks to test whether VR videos depicting the adverse effects of climate change can generate negative emotions associated with experiencing these effects and make them salient in subsequent investment decisions made by small business entrepreneurs.
目的通过虚拟现实(VR)讲故事结合了尖端技术和传统信息活动的优势。作为减缓气候变化的工具,VR已被证明可以教育个人,并激发促进亲环境行为的情感和认知反应。本文旨在通过对小企业企业家样本进行的实验,调查这些效益是否延伸到绿色投资领域。设计/方法/方法实验设计包括在不同到期日、年息和环境分类(普通与绿色)的债券之间做出选择。为了确定沉浸式体验对投资决策的潜在影响,这些选择是在观看VR视频之前和之后做出的,VR视频展示了气候变化的破坏性影响。采用多重价目表诱导受试者的风险偏好,对治疗效果、风险偏好和时间偏好参数进行联合估计。研究结果表明,当风险和时间偏好参数得到控制时,虚拟现实体验可以推动绿色投资选择。这种影响在那些已经表现出更大倾向于选择绿色投资的人身上更为深刻。原创性/价值先前的研究表明,负面情绪,如内疚,会影响亲环境的意图和行动,而通过沉浸式体验的信息生动性对推动环保行为是有效的。由于目前还没有金融投资框架中的类似结果,因此本文试图测试描绘气候变化不利影响的VR视频是否会产生与经历这些影响相关的负面情绪,并使其在小企业企业家随后的投资决策中突出。
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引用次数: 0
Are small waves fondle and big waves overturn? Market reaction and corporate governance during four COVID-19 waves 小浪淘沙,大浪淘沙?四次新冠肺炎浪潮中的市场反应与公司治理
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-18 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-02-2023-0054
Imen Khanchel, Naima Lassoued
PurposeThis study examines the effects of corporate governance on market returns during the first four waves of the COVID-19 crisis.Design/methodology/approachEvent study and linear regression methods were applied on a sample of 293 US firms.FindingsThe results show that differences in abnormal returns are more significant during the second wave of COVID-19 and the two following waves. Moreover, estimations show that good corporate governance alleviated the effect of COVID-19 during the second wave and the two following waves. However, corporate governance did not affect abnormal returns during the first wave. Furthermore, evidence highlights that the effect of corporate governance is more observed in the industries most affected by COVID-19 than in the least affected industries.Originality/valueMany studies have attempted to investigate the effect of corporate governance on stock returns during the first wave of the pandemic. However, to the authors' knowledge, this is the first study that focuses on different waves that occurred during 2020 and 2021.
本研究考察了新冠肺炎危机前四波期间公司治理对市场回报的影响。设计/方法/方法对293家美国公司的样本采用了事件研究和线性回归方法。结果表明,在第二波和之后的两波中,异常收益的差异更为显著。此外,估计表明,良好的公司治理在第二次浪潮和随后的两次浪潮中缓解了COVID-19的影响。然而,公司治理对第一波异常收益没有影响。此外,有证据表明,受COVID-19影响最严重的行业比受影响最小的行业更能观察到公司治理的影响。许多研究试图调查大流行第一波期间公司治理对股票回报的影响。然而,据作者所知,这是第一项关注2020年和2021年发生的不同波浪的研究。
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引用次数: 2
Do heuristics affect Brazilian investors’ decision-making process? 启发式影响巴西投资者的决策过程吗?
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-07-10 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-09-2022-0210
Virgílio Vasconcelos Souza, Lucas Lopes Ferreira Souza, Oderlene Oliveira, Elnivan Moreira de Souza, Juliana Silva Costa

Purpose

The purpose of this research is to analyze the influence of heuristics on Brazilian investors' behavior in the decision-making process.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors apply the partial least squares structural equation modeling methodology. This sample is composed of 220 investors.

Findings

The heuristics of overconfidence and anchoring positively influence investors' decision-making, while loss aversion negatively influences it. The herd effect exhibits no influence. The results also support the idea that decision-making positively influences investors' performance. Investors feel secure in their attitudes regarding financial decision-making, even if their decisions are not always rational as they are affected by biases.

Originality/value

This article explains the influence of heuristics on investors' decision-making and performance in the Brazilian context during the COVID-19 pandemic.

目的本研究的目的是分析启发式对巴西投资者决策过程中行为的影响。设计/方法/方法作者采用偏最小二乘结构方程建模方法。本样本由220名投资者组成。研究发现:过度自信和锚定的启发式对投资者决策有正向影响,而损失厌恶对投资者决策有负向影响。羊群效应没有影响。研究结果也支持决策对投资者绩效产生积极影响的观点。投资者对金融决策的态度感到安全,即使他们的决定并不总是理性的,因为他们受到偏见的影响。原创性/价值本文解释了在新冠肺炎大流行期间,巴西背景下启发式对投资者决策和绩效的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Guest editorial: Special issue based on papers presented at the Behavioural Finance Working Group Conference in June 2021 嘉宾评论:根据2021年6月行为金融工作组会议上提交的论文,特刊
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-19 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-05-2023-307
R. Hudson
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引用次数: 0
Investigating macro herd behaviour: evidence from publicly traded German companies 调查宏观羊群行为:来自德国上市公司的证据
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-03-2023-0061
Sándor Erdős, Patrik László Várkonyi
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine herd behaviour under different market conditions, examine the potential impact of the firm size and stock characteristics on this relationship, and explore how herding affects market prices in the German market.Design/methodology/approachThe authors apply a method that does not rely on theoretical models, thus eliminating the biases inherent in their application. This technique is based on the assumption that macro herding manifests itself in the synchronicity (comovement) of stock returns.FindingsThe study’s findings show that herding is more pronounced in down markets and is more pronounced when market returns reach extreme levels. Additionally, the authors have found that there is stronger herding among large companies compared to small companies, and that stock characteristics considered have no effect on the degree of macro herding. Results also suggest that the contemporaneous market-wide information drives macro herding and that macro herding facilitates the incorporation of market-wide information into prices.Practical implicationsThe study’s results strongly support the idea of directional asymmetry, which holds that stocks react quickly to negative macroeconomic news while small stocks react slowly to positive macroeconomic news. Additionally, the study’s results suggest that the contemporaneous market-wide information drives macro herding and that macro herding facilitates the rapid incorporation of market-wide information into prices.Originality/valueTo the best of the researchers’ knowledge, this is the first study that examines macro herding for a major financial market using a herding measure based on the co-movement of returns that does not rely on theoretical models.
本研究的目的是考察不同市场条件下的羊群行为,考察企业规模和股票特征对这种关系的潜在影响,并探讨羊群行为如何影响德国市场的市场价格。设计/方法论/方法作者采用了一种不依赖于理论模型的方法,从而消除了应用中固有的偏差。这种技术是基于这样一个假设,即宏观羊群效应表现为股票收益的同步性(同步)。研究结果表明,羊群效应在市场下跌时更为明显,在市场回报达到极端水平时更为明显。此外,作者还发现,与小公司相比,大公司之间存在更强的羊群效应,并且所考虑的股票特征对宏观羊群效应的程度没有影响。同时,市场信息驱动宏观羊群效应,宏观羊群效应促进了市场信息与价格的结合。该研究的结果有力地支持了方向不对称的观点,即股票对负面的宏观经济消息反应迅速,而小型股票对积极的宏观经济消息反应缓慢。此外,研究结果表明,同步的市场信息驱动宏观羊群效应,而宏观羊群效应促进了市场信息与价格的快速结合。原创性/价值据研究人员所知,这是第一次使用基于收益协同运动的羊群度量来检验主要金融市场的宏观羊群效应,而不依赖于理论模型。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Review of Behavioral Finance
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