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Momentum and Capital Structure in the Australian Stock Market 澳大利亚股票市场的动量和资本结构
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-30 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22806
Quy Duong Le

Although there is broad consensus on a robust momentum effect in Australia, the interaction between momentum and capital structure has been underexplored in the literature. This paper explicitly examines whether capital structure promotes momentum trading in the Australian stock market. The data sample includes over 1800 stocks listed on the Australian Stock Exchange from 2000 to 2023. We construct momentum portfolios using the monthly rolling and overlapping techniques. Two ratios are calculated to measure the firms’ capital structure: the book-value and market-value financial leverages. Irrespective of the capital structure measure, the superior returns of the Winner quintile are concentrated in highly leveraged stocks. In contrast, the high-leverage Loser performs worst among the Loser quintile. The return of momentum strategy enhanced with capital structure is more than 1.5 times the original momentum profit. The risk-adjusted analysis paints a similar return pattern. Additionally, we observe high volatility in earnings and cash flows for highly leveraged stocks, leading to significant mispricing. Thus, the interaction between momentum and capital structure may stem from increased misvaluation, consistent with a behavioral explanation.

尽管在澳大利亚对强劲的动量效应有广泛的共识,但动量和资本结构之间的相互作用在文献中尚未得到充分的探讨。本文明确考察了资本结构是否促进了澳大利亚股票市场的动量交易。数据样本包括2000年至2023年在澳大利亚证券交易所上市的1800多只股票。我们使用月滚动和重叠技术构建动量投资组合。计算两个比率来衡量公司的资本结构:账面价值和市场价值财务杠杆。无论资本结构如何衡量,赢家五分之一的高回报都集中在高杠杆股票上。相比之下,高杠杆的失败者在失败者中表现最差。资本结构增强的动量策略收益是原动量利润的1.5倍以上。风险调整后的分析也描绘了类似的回报模式。此外,我们观察到高杠杆股票的收益和现金流的高波动性,导致严重的错误定价。因此,动量和资本结构之间的相互作用可能源于估值错误的增加,这与行为解释相一致。
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引用次数: 0
An Empirical Analysis of External and Internal Factors Affecting Manufacturing Firm Failure and Resilience 影响制造业企业失败与弹性的内外部因素实证分析
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-29 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22797
Ting-Tsen Yeh, Yuanzhang Xiao, Shirley J. Daniel, Minh Nguyen

We develop machine learning models that incorporate both external (deterministic) and internal (voluntaristic) factors affecting firm failure and survival. Using structured and unstructured data, we empirically investigate the external and internal factors that affect the US manufacturing firms’ business failure. We also examine how the interactions between external shocks and firm responses impact business failure. Our findings indicate that while external factors can significantly impact the likelihood that firms fail, specific management responses to these challenges can effectively mitigate the negative effects and contribute to firm survival.

我们开发的机器学习模型结合了影响企业失败和生存的外部(确定性)和内部(自愿)因素。本文运用结构化和非结构化数据,实证研究了影响美国制造业企业经营失败的外部和内部因素。我们还研究了外部冲击和企业反应之间的相互作用如何影响企业失败。我们的研究结果表明,虽然外部因素会显著影响企业失败的可能性,但对这些挑战的具体管理反应可以有效地减轻负面影响,并有助于企业生存。
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引用次数: 0
Does Banking Deregulation Promote Corporate Investment Efficiency? Evidences From the Entry of City Commercial Banks in China 银行业放松管制是否能提高企业投资效率?来自中国城市商业银行进入的证据
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-29 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22798
Yunhui Shi, Peng Wu

This study empirically analyzes the effects of banking deregulation on corporate investment efficiency in China. By introducing the first deregulation on city commercial bank entry and exploiting a staggered difference-in-difference regression model, we find that the entry of city commercial banks significantly promoted the overall investment efficiency of firms located in cities that implemented this deregulation. It mainly alleviated the underinvestment problem and, however, had little impact on the overinvesting firms. The cross-sectional analysis indicates that the effects were more pronounced for financially constrained firms, including non-SOEs, SMEs, and firms with strong dependence on external finance. We explain these findings by investigating whether the entry of city commercial banks alleviated the financing constraints of firms and find that following the deregulation, the financially constrained firms experienced a substantial increase in their access to long-term bank loans, as well as a drop in the investment-cash flow sensitivity.

本研究实证分析了中国银行业放松管制对企业投资效率的影响。通过引入首次放宽城市商业银行准入限制,并利用交错差中差回归模型,我们发现城市商业银行的准入显著提升了城市企业的整体投资效率。它主要缓解了投资不足的问题,但对过度投资的企业影响不大。横断面分析表明,对于资金受限的企业,包括非国有企业、中小企业和对外部融资依赖较强的企业,这种影响更为明显。我们通过调查城市商业银行的进入是否缓解了企业的融资约束来解释这些发现,发现在放松管制之后,资金受限的企业获得长期银行贷款的机会大幅增加,投资-现金流敏感性下降。
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引用次数: 0
Can Trade-Off Theory Explain Net Working Capital Management Decisions? 权衡理论能解释净营运资本管理决策吗?
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-28 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22802
Haowen Luo

This study applies a partial-adjustment model to test how well trade-off theory explains net working capital management decisions and examines working capital management dynamics. The results indicate that firms have long-run NWC targets and tend to gradually converge to the target from the firm's initial net working capital level within each period. We estimate that typical firms close approximately 50% of the gap between their actual and target net working capital each year. Such high adjustment speed implies that a typical firm closes half of a deviation from the target in about 13 months. Our results show that the trade-off theory can explain the management decisions regarding working capital holdings.

本研究采用部分调整模型来检验权衡理论如何很好地解释净营运资金管理决策,并检验营运资金管理动态。结果表明,企业具有长期的净营运资本目标,并且在每个时期内都有从初始净营运资本水平逐渐向目标收敛的趋势。我们估计,典型的公司每年会缩小其实际和目标净营运资本之间约50%的差距。如此高的调整速度意味着,一家典型的公司在大约13个月的时间里就会关闭偏离目标的一半。我们的研究结果表明,权衡理论可以解释有关营运资金持有的管理决策。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable Development and Accounting Conservatism 可持续发展与会计稳健性
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-28 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22804
Hao Ren

At the corporate level, the role of sustainable development in financial reporting quality remains controversial. Drawing on stakeholder theory, this study examines a sample of Chinese A-share listed companies to investigate how sustainable performance, measured by firms’ environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance, impacts accounting conservatism. Using a firm-level measure of conditional conservatism based on asymmetric earnings timeliness, empirical evidence shows that firms’ ESG performance is associated with higher levels of conditional conservatism, as reflected in all three ESG dimensions. When testing alternative approaches, such as an accrual-based proxy for accounting conservatism, the Sino-Securities Index ESG rating as a substitute, and techniques like propensity score matching and Heckman's two-stage model to tackle endogeneity, the results remain robust. Overall, this study contributes to the existing literature on the linkage between sustainable performance and financial reporting quality, and the findings provide practical implications for firms in adopting conservative accounting practices in response to ESG initiatives.

在公司层面,可持续发展在财务报告质量中的作用仍然存在争议。利用利益相关者理论,本研究以中国a股上市公司为样本,探讨以公司环境、社会和治理(ESG)绩效衡量的可持续绩效如何影响会计稳健性。利用基于非对称盈余及时性的公司层面条件保守性测量,经验证据表明,公司的ESG绩效与较高水平的条件保守性相关,这反映在所有三个ESG维度上。当测试替代方法时,例如基于权责发生制的会计稳健性代理,中证指数ESG评级作为替代品,以及倾向得分匹配和Heckman的两阶段模型等技术来解决内生性问题,结果仍然稳健。总体而言,本研究对现有的关于可持续绩效与财务报告质量之间联系的文献做出了贡献,研究结果为企业采用保守会计实践以应对ESG倡议提供了实际意义。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Deception: Analyzing the Solvency Misstatement at Lehman Brothers 财务欺骗:雷曼兄弟偿付能力错报分析
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22807
Kazi Saidul Islam, Mohamed Omran

This study examines the misrepresentation of solvency at Lehman Brothers, focusing on a pivotal moment in financial history. The analysis reveals that a closer evaluation of the components of the accounting equation indicates significant leverage, which is critical to understanding Lehman's overall solvency. In contrast, liquidity pertains only to short-term solvency. The findings are viewed through the lens of agency theory and insights from positive accounting theory, particularly about managers’ self-interest and the role of corporate governance in mitigating managerial opportunism that led to significant misstatements in financial reports. It was noted that Lehman's CEO withdrew considerable amounts through bonus compensations and equity sales. Testing the debt-equity hypothesis showed that Lehman manipulated solvency figures to obscure excessive leverage resulting from substantial debts. This investigation highlights how deceptive financial practices can have extensive repercussions, underscoring the need for transparency and accountability within the banking sector. Understanding these misstatements is essential to prevent future crises and foster a more ethically sound financial environment. Additionally, ineffective governance and inadequate audits manipulated accounting transactions that obscured Lehman's solvency risks.

本研究考察了雷曼兄弟偿付能力的失实陈述,重点关注金融史上的一个关键时刻。分析表明,对会计等式的组成部分进行更仔细的评估表明,杠杆作用显著,这对理解雷曼的整体偿付能力至关重要。相比之下,流动性只与短期偿付能力有关。这些发现是通过代理理论和积极会计理论的视角来看待的,特别是关于管理者的自身利益和公司治理在减少导致财务报告中重大错报的管理机会主义方面的作用。有人指出,雷曼首席执行官通过发放奖金和出售股权的方式,收回了相当多的资金。对债务-股权假设的检验表明,雷曼操纵偿付能力数据,以掩盖巨额债务导致的过度杠杆。这项调查突出了欺诈性金融行为可能产生的广泛影响,强调了银行业透明度和问责制的必要性。了解这些错误陈述对于防止未来的危机和培育一个更合乎道德的金融环境至关重要。此外,治理不力和审计不足操纵了会计交易,掩盖了雷曼的偿付能力风险。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate Diversification, Managerial Overexpansion, and Accounting Measures of Firm Performance 公司多元化、管理过度扩张与企业绩效的会计衡量
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22800
Kingsley O. Olibe, Chairat Chuwonganant, Jeffrey W. Strawser, William R. Strawser

This study examines the effects of international diversification on the operating and market performance of US multinationals, using foreign fixed assets as a proxy for the degree of international diversification. We measure performance on multiple dimensions: stock price, stock returns, operating income, and operating cash flows. We posit a nonlinear association between diversification and our financial performance measures and test this by conducting two complementary analyses: an initial test based on a linear model and a second test based on a quadratic specification. Our results suggest a negative association in the quadratic model, consistent with prior work that suggests overexpansion of foreign investment decreases operating performance and lowers firm value. Overall, the evidence suggests that the assumed linear dynamics used in prior research appear to be an incomplete tool to describe the relation between firms’ foreign expansion and firm performance.

本研究考察了国际多元化对美国跨国公司的经营和市场绩效的影响,使用外国固定资产作为国际多元化程度的代理。我们从多个方面衡量业绩:股票价格、股票回报、营业收入和营业现金流量。我们假设多元化与我们的财务绩效指标之间存在非线性关联,并通过进行两项互补分析来验证这一点:基于线性模型的初始测试和基于二次规范的第二次测试。我们的研究结果表明,在二次模型中存在负相关关系,这与先前的研究结果一致,即过度扩张的外国投资会降低经营绩效并降低企业价值。总的来说,证据表明,在先前的研究中使用的假设线性动力学似乎是一个不完整的工具来描述企业的海外扩张和企业绩效之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Use of Component Auditors in Multinational Group Audits and Investment Efficiency 成分审计师在跨国集团审计中的运用与投资效率
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22799
Li-Jen Chen

This study examines the potential effect of using component auditors in multinational group audits (group audits) on the investment efficiency of multinational companies (MNCs). Group audits tend to negatively affect MNCs’ investment efficiency by creating an opaque information environment and impairing auditors’ monitoring efficacy. Using a sample of US MNCs, this study demonstrates a positive association between group audits and underinvestment (overinvestment) in settings prone to underinvestment (overinvestment). In other words, among MNCs that are likely to underinvest (overinvest), those with group audits underinvest (overinvest) more. Furthermore, to address the concern that using group audits may be driven by MNCs’ characteristics, propensity score matching (PSM) and entropy balancing procedures are employed to pre-treat the sample. The results hold with using the treated samples. This study extends the literature on the effect of group audits on audit outcomes and investor's response by providing evidence that group audits can also affect business outcomes.

本研究探讨了在跨国集团审计(集团审计)中使用成分审计师对跨国公司(MNCs)投资效率的潜在影响。集团审计往往会造成不透明的信息环境,削弱审计师的监督效能,从而对跨国公司的投资效率产生负面影响。本研究以美国跨国公司为样本,证明了在容易出现投资不足(过度投资)的环境中,集团审计与投资不足(过度投资)之间存在正相关关系。换句话说,在可能投资不足(过度投资)的跨国公司中,那些有集团审计的跨国公司投资不足(过度投资)更多。此外,为了解决使用群体审计可能受到跨国公司特征驱动的担忧,采用倾向得分匹配(PSM)和熵平衡程序对样本进行预处理。结果与处理后的样品一致。本研究扩展了关于集团审计对审计结果和投资者反应的影响的文献,提供了集团审计也可以影响业务结果的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Asset Tangibility and Capital Structure: Does Institutional Heterogeneity Matter? 资产有形性与资本结构:制度异质性是否重要?
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22801
Sharif Mazumder

Existing studies of capital structure show a positive association between tangible assets and leverage, but these studies have ignored the potential systematic variation in magnitude due to institutional heterogeneity across countries. Using a sample from 32 countries, we find that the association between tangible assets and leverage is weaker if firms are located in countries with stronger creditors’ rights, better financial development, good governance, and more transparency. Using the US subprime mortgage crisis as a quasi-natural experiment, we find that the role of tangibility as a determinant of leverage becomes stronger during the crisis period. However, stronger institutional environments (i.e., stronger creditors rights, better financial development, good governance, and high country-level transparency) play a pivotal moderating role and reduce this enhanced association during the crisis period.

现有的资本结构研究表明,有形资产和杠杆之间存在正相关关系,但这些研究忽略了由于各国制度异质性而导致的潜在系统性差异。使用来自32个国家的样本,我们发现,如果公司位于债权人权利更强、金融发展更好、治理良好、透明度更高的国家,那么有形资产与杠杆之间的关联就更弱。利用美国次贷危机作为准自然实验,我们发现,在危机期间,有形性作为杠杆的决定因素的作用变得更强。然而,更强大的制度环境(即更强大的债权人权利、更好的金融发展、良好的治理和更高的国家层面透明度)在危机期间发挥了关键的调节作用,并减少了这种增强的关联。
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引用次数: 0
Manager Sentiment and Merger Activities 经理人情绪与并购活动
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22796
Brandon Byunghwan Lee, Bo Meng, Nhat Q. Nguyen, Daniel Gyung Paik, Anand M. Vijh

This study investigates the ability of manager sentiment to predict corporate merger activity. Prior research suggests that during periods of high sentiment, managers tend to overestimate the future prospects of their firms. We thus hypothesize that, during such periods, managers may also overestimate the future cash flows from the mergers they undertake. Consistent with this, we find that higher manager sentiment predicts increased merger activities for up to four quarters ahead, and this predictive ability is driven primarily by cash mergers. The result holds at both the market level and the industry level. Additionally, managers finance these cash mergers by issuing debt rather than equity. Furthermore, we find that investors react negatively to mergers initiated during periods of high manager sentiment; however, this result is driven by stock mergers, suggesting that investors may not recognize manager sentiment as a factor driving the increase in cash merger activity. Finally, we demonstrate that the predictive power of manager sentiment on merger activities is distinct from that of manager overconfidence and investor sentiment. Our study contributes to research on behavioral finance and mergers and acquisitions (M&A).

本研究探讨经理人情绪对企业并购活动的预测能力。先前的研究表明,在情绪高涨的时期,经理们倾向于高估公司的未来前景。因此,我们假设,在这些时期,管理者也可能高估了他们所进行的合并的未来现金流。与此一致的是,我们发现较高的经理情绪预示着未来四个季度合并活动的增加,而这种预测能力主要是由现金合并驱动的。这个结果在市场层面和行业层面都是成立的。此外,管理人员通过发行债券而不是股票为这些现金合并融资。此外,我们发现投资者对经理人情绪高涨时期发起的并购反应消极;然而,这一结果是由股票合并驱动的,这表明投资者可能没有意识到经理人的情绪是推动现金合并活动增加的一个因素。最后,我们证明了经理人情绪对并购活动的预测能力不同于经理人过度自信和投资者情绪。我们的研究有助于行为金融学和并购的研究(M&;A)。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Corporate Accounting and Finance
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