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The Role of Total Assets in Financial Performance: Evaluating Econometrics and Machine Learning Approaches 总资产在财务绩效中的作用:评估计量经济学和机器学习方法
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.70010
Nargis Sultana, Fahad Zeya, K. M. Zahidul Islam, Antonio J. Rodriguez

This study examines the financial performance of North American firms, accentuating the significant role of total assets in determining profitability, measured through EBITDA. By incorporating traditional econometric models—Fixed Effects and Random Effects—with machine learning techniques, exclusively Support Vector Machines (SVM), the research assesses both explanatory and predictive capabilities. The findings reveal that total assets significantly influence EBITDA, with the Fixed Effects model offering robust explanatory power (adjusted R2 = 77.86%) and SVM exhibiting superior predictive accuracy (89.4%). Additionally, the nuanced effects of financial ratios, such as liquidity and leverage, emphasize their indirect contributions to financial performance. These results offer actionable insights for stakeholders to optimize asset utilization and financial strategies. This study's implications extend to advancing predictive methodologies in financial analysis, providing a scalable framework for analyzing profitability across diverse firms and contexts. This research specifies constructive insights for stakeholders, investors, and policymakers, enhancing their understanding of the financial dynamics of North American firms.

本研究考察了北美公司的财务业绩,强调了总资产在决定盈利能力方面的重要作用,通过EBITDA衡量。通过将传统的计量经济学模型——固定效应和随机效应——与机器学习技术,特别是支持向量机(SVM)相结合,研究评估了解释和预测能力。研究结果表明,总资产对EBITDA有显著影响,其中Fixed Effects模型具有较强的解释力(调整后R2 = 77.86%), SVM具有较高的预测准确率(89.4%)。此外,财务比率的微妙影响,如流动性和杠杆率,强调了它们对财务业绩的间接贡献。这些结果为利益相关者提供了可操作的见解,以优化资产利用和财务策略。本研究的意义延伸到推进财务分析中的预测方法,为分析不同公司和背景的盈利能力提供了一个可扩展的框架。本研究为利益相关者、投资者和政策制定者提供了建设性的见解,增强了他们对北美公司财务动态的理解。
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引用次数: 0
The Effects of SFAS 141 and 142 Deliberation and Adoption on Loan Spreads SFAS 141和142的审议和通过对贷款利差的影响
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.70008
Jennifer Wenhe Chen

This study examines the effects of the deliberation and adoption of SFAS 141 and 142 on loan spreads. The deliberation process for guidance may trigger uncertainty and an ultimate adoption leads to revised guidance. Each of these activities can impact capital costs. Using industries with insignificant goodwill as a comparison group, I analyze the changes in loan spreads in industries with significant goodwill and find an increase in loan spreads during the deliberation period of the standards and no change after the adoption. These results contribute to our understanding of the effects of goodwill accounting on credit market participants as well as the contracting effects of the deliberation process.

本研究考察了SFAS 141和142的审议和采用对贷款息差的影响。指导意见的审议过程可能会引发不确定性,最终的采纳会导致指导意见的修订。这些活动中的每一项都可能影响资本成本。我以商誉不显著的行业作为对比组,分析了商誉显著的行业的贷款息差变化,发现在准则审议期间贷款息差有所增加,而在准则采用后没有变化。这些结果有助于我们理解商誉会计对信贷市场参与者的影响,以及审议过程的契约效应。
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引用次数: 0
Mitigating Auditor Bias Through Elaboration 通过阐述减轻审计师的偏见
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.70009
Byron J. Pike, Mary B. Curtis, Lawrence Chui

Numerical anchoring and conformity to a known view are two prominent biases exhibited by auditors. While both influence auditors’ judgments and reduce decision quality, research has not explored a common source: their creation by a superior to whom one is accountable. It is unclear how these biases interact and how they can be mitigated. We use three experiments to examine how accountability and experience influence numerical anchoring in auditors’ risk assessments with a known perspective. We also test an intervention to reduce auditors’ anchoring and conformity. In Experiment 1, we investigate the impact of a manager-provided anchor on experienced and inexperienced auditors, finding both are susceptible to conforming to the manager's numerical perspective. However, inexperienced auditors are more vulnerable to this bias. In Experiment 2, we increase thoughtfulness in inexperienced auditors by having them perform a risk factor evaluation before their client-specific risk assessments. Such intervention helped inexperienced auditors generate risk assessments that were more consistent with those of experienced auditors under accountability. In our final experiment, we demonstrate that primed thoughtfulness and reduced accountability helped inexperienced auditors reach judgments consistent with experienced auditors in a control group with no known views.

数字锚定和对已知观点的遵从是审计师表现出的两个突出的偏见。虽然两者都会影响审计人员的判断并降低决策质量,但研究并没有探索一个共同的来源:它们是由审计人员对其负责的上级创造的。目前还不清楚这些偏见是如何相互作用的,以及如何减轻它们。我们使用三个实验来检验问责制和经验如何影响审计师风险评估中的数字锚定。我们还测试了一种干预措施,以减少审计师的锚定和一致性。在实验1中,我们调查了经理提供的锚对有经验和没有经验的审计员的影响,发现两者都容易符合经理的数字观点。然而,缺乏经验的审计师更容易受到这种偏见的影响。在实验2中,我们通过让没有经验的审核员在他们特定于客户的风险评估之前执行风险因素评估来增加他们的深思熟虑。这种干预有助于经验不足的审计人员得出的风险评估与有经验的审计人员在问责制下的评估更加一致。在我们最后的实验中,我们证明了启动的深思熟虑和减少的问责制有助于经验不足的审计员在没有已知观点的对照组中得出与经验丰富的审计员一致的判断。
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引用次数: 0
Intraday Trading Volume Patterns of Market Index ETFs 市场指数etf的盘中交易量模式
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-15 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.70005
Emiliano Giudici, Axel Grossmann

Using minute-by-minute trading volume data from five ETFs (SPY, DIA, IWM, DDM, and DOG) over the period from 2013 to 2021, this paper examines the intraday trading puzzle and uncovers patterns beyond the typical U-shape. Even after controlling for potential spurious effects—such as market open/close and Wednesdays—we find persistent, albeit with reduced magnitude, statistically significant trading volume spikes at 5-minute intervals across all ETFs. Hence, while open and close, as well as Wednesdays, contribute to the pattern, they do not fully explain it. The spikes are more pronounced during negative return periods, and our models suggest increased randomness in the distribution of trading activity over time. While these predictable spikes may stem from algorithmic trading biases, we propose they could be a legacy of older algorithms influencing newer ones as they feed from historical data. The results suggest that a puzzling trading pattern persists even for highly traded ETFs; hence, it provides important findings for investors exposed to these securities.

本文利用2013年至2021年期间五个etf (SPY、DIA、IWM、DDM和DOG)的每分钟交易量数据,研究了日内交易之谜,并揭示了典型u型以外的模式。即使在控制了潜在的虚假效应(如市场开盘/收盘和周三)之后,我们发现所有etf的交易量都持续存在,尽管幅度有所降低,但统计上显著的交易量间隔5分钟出现峰值。因此,虽然开盘和收盘,以及周三,有助于模式,他们不能完全解释它。在负回报期,峰值更为明显,我们的模型表明,随着时间的推移,交易活动分布的随机性增加了。虽然这些可预测的峰值可能源于算法交易偏见,但我们认为它们可能是旧算法影响新算法的遗留问题,因为它们从历史数据中获取信息。结果表明,即使是交易量很高的etf,也存在令人费解的交易模式;因此,它为暴露于这些证券的投资者提供了重要的发现。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Valuation and Systematic Risk in Technology and Traditional Firms 科技企业与传统企业的财务评估与系统风险
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-09 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.70001
Luz Natalia Tobón Perilla

As digitalization reshapes corporate structures and capital markets, traditional methods of assessing firm valuation and market risk are increasingly insufficient, especially for technology-intensive companies. This study investigates whether the financial characteristics that define technology firms, such as high Price to Earnings Ratios (PER) and market volatility, are rooted in sectoral identity or in fundamental financial indicators. Using a cross-sectional dataset of publicly traded firms from multiple sectors, we conduct both comparative descriptive statistics and two multiple linear regression models to explain PER and 5 year beta (Beta5). The results reveal company-specific indicators, such as return on equity, price momentum, pre-tax earnings, and the composition of intangible assets, are the main drivers of both valuation and systematic risk. Sector classification itself does not exert a statistically significant influence once these variables are controlled for. Moreover, technology firms exhibit elevated PER and market capitalization due to superior growth and profitability, not speculative excess. Conversely, firms from traditional sectors display higher operational efficiency, as indicated by stronger EBITDA margins. These findings challenge the notion that digital firms are systematically overvalued and highlight the need for integrated valuation risk frameworks that account for intangible-driven value in the modern economy.

随着数字化重塑公司结构和资本市场,传统的评估公司估值和市场风险的方法越来越不充分,特别是对于技术密集型公司。本研究调查了界定科技公司的财务特征,如高市盈率(PER)和市场波动性,是源于行业特征还是源于基本财务指标。使用来自多个行业的上市公司的横截面数据集,我们进行了比较描述性统计和两个多元线性回归模型来解释PER和5年贝塔系数(Beta5)。结果显示,公司特定指标,如股本回报率、价格势头、税前收益和无形资产构成,是估值和系统风险的主要驱动因素。一旦控制了这些变量,部门分类本身就不会产生统计上显著的影响。此外,科技公司表现出较高的PER和市值是由于卓越的增长和盈利能力,而不是投机过剩。相反,传统行业的公司表现出更高的运营效率,正如更强的EBITDA利润率所表明的那样。这些发现挑战了数字公司被系统性高估的观念,并强调需要建立综合估值风险框架,以解释现代经济中无形驱动的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Levers of Control: Impact on Innovation 控制杠杆:对创新的影响
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.70000
Peter Letmathe, Christian Meyer

Using structural equation modeling, our study provides evidence for the effects of management control systems on innovation performance and knowledge acquisition within organizations. Our proposed model separates (1) dyadic management controls (“one-to-one”) from (2) polyvalent management controls (“one-to-team”). Within the presented framework, an organization's manager can increase innovation performance on a dyadic level and can stimulate knowledge acquisition on a polyvalent team level. The analyses are based on data collected via an online questionnaire completed by 122 top managers worldwide. Our study shows that knowledge management and management control systems can complement each other. In our case, this is achieved by adapting an absorptive capacity framework. Furthermore, a manager's action can directly affect innovation performance. Managers can make use of the levers of management controls system to steer this effect. Regulative actions by the management are more effective on the individual level with regard to improving innovation performance. Moreover, knowledge acquisition is effectively influenced due to encouraging actions on a polyvalent level. Practical implications indicate that managers need to be aware of both the direct and indirect impact of their actions on innovation performance, be it on a direct dyadic level or an indirect polyvalent level.

运用结构方程模型,研究了管理控制系统对组织创新绩效和知识获取的影响。我们提出的模型将(1)二元管理控制(“一对一”)与(2)多价管理控制(“一对团队”)分开。在提出的框架内,组织的管理者可以在二元水平上提高创新绩效,并可以在多价团队水平上刺激知识获取。这些分析基于一份在线问卷收集的数据,该问卷由全球122名高管完成。我们的研究表明,知识管理与管理控制系统可以相辅相成。在我们的案例中,这是通过调整吸收能力框架来实现的。此外,管理者的行为会直接影响创新绩效。管理者可以利用管理控制系统的杠杆来引导这种效果。就提高创新绩效而言,管理层的监管行动在个人层面上更为有效。此外,由于在多价水平上鼓励行动,知识获取受到有效影响。实践启示表明,管理者需要意识到他们的行为对创新绩效的直接和间接影响,无论是直接的二元水平还是间接的多价水平。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Green Finance Policies on the Enterprise Export Resilience—Empirical Evidence From China's Manufacturing Industry 绿色金融政策对企业出口弹性的影响——来自中国制造业的经验证据
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.70002
Bimei Feng, Yu Wang, Hengyun Tang

In recent years, global economic uncertainty has intensified, making it crucial for export-oriented enterprises to bolster their export resilience to withstand external risks. This study uses the 2012 release of the “Green Credit Guidelines” by the former China Banking Regulatory Commission as a quasi-natural experiment, using data from China's listed manufacturing firms between 2009 and 2016. We conduct a difference-in-differences model to investigate experimentally how green financing policies affect export resilience. According to the findings, green finance policies considerably improve the export resilience of non-heavily polluting enterprises (NHPEs) relative to their heavily polluting counterparts (HPEs). We conduct a number of robustness tests to guarantee the validity of our conclusions. Mechanism analyses reveal that green finance policies improve export resilience through the effects of green innovation, alleviating financing constraints, and enhancing ESG performance. Heterogeneity tests indicate stronger impacts in state-owned enterprises, large-scale firms, and firms with longer operating histories. Additionally, higher levels of regional digital inclusive finance and greater industry market concentration further reinforce export resilience. Further analysis demonstrates that green finance policies not only improve NHPEs' risk resistance but also enhance their export recovery capabilities. For businesses looking to use green finance to increase export resilience, these findings provide insightful information.

近年来,全球经济不确定性加剧,提高出口企业抵御外部风险的能力至关重要。本研究采用2012年中国银行业监督管理委员会发布的《绿色信贷指引》作为准自然实验,使用2009 - 2016年中国制造业上市公司的数据。本文采用差异中差异模型对绿色融资政策对出口弹性的影响进行了实证研究。研究发现,相对于重污染企业,绿色金融政策显著提高了非重污染企业(nhpe)的出口弹性。我们进行了一系列稳健性检验,以保证结论的有效性。机制分析表明,绿色金融政策通过绿色创新效应、缓解融资约束和提高ESG绩效来提高出口弹性。异质性检验表明,国有企业、大型企业和经营历史较长的企业的影响更大。此外,区域数字普惠金融水平的提高和行业市场集中度的提高进一步增强了出口弹性。进一步分析表明,绿色金融政策不仅提高了国有企业的抗风险能力,还增强了其出口回收能力。对于希望利用绿色金融提高出口弹性的企业来说,这些发现提供了有见地的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Critical Audit Matter (CAM) Industry Norm and Auditor—CEO Social Tie on Nonprofessional Investors’ Financial Reporting Risk Assessments 关键审计事项行业规范和审计师- ceo社会关系对非专业投资者财务报告风险评估的影响
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.70004
Li Huang, Fangjun Xiao

In this study, we experimentally examine the effects of the critical audit matter (CAM) industry norm and auditor-CEO social tie on investors’ financial reporting risk (FRR) assessments. Using online participants, we find that non-professional investors assess the lowest FRR when the CAM is consistent with the industry norm and the auditor-CEO social tie is absent than when the CAM is inconsistent with the industry norm or when the auditor-CEO social tie is present. Our findings also suggest that the presence of social tie negatively affects investors’ investment interests, lowers their perceptions toward audit quality and the auditor, and increases auditor liability for a CAM-related misstatement. Moreover, we find that a norm-consistent CAM leads to better investment decisions, higher reliance on audit reports, but also higher perceived management liability for a CAM-related misstatement. The findings of our study can be informative to management and auditors, as well as regulators.

在本研究中,我们通过实验检验了关键审计事项(CAM)行业规范和审计师- ceo社会关系对投资者财务报告风险(FRR)评估的影响。使用在线参与者,我们发现非专业投资者在CAM与行业规范一致且不存在审计师- ceo社会关系时,比CAM与行业规范不一致或存在审计师- ceo社会关系时评估的FRR最低。我们的研究结果还表明,社会关系的存在对投资者的投资利益产生了负面影响,降低了他们对审计质量和审计师的看法,并增加了审计师对cama相关错报的责任。此外,我们发现规范一致的CAM会导致更好的投资决策,对审计报告的依赖程度更高,但也会对CAM相关错报产生更高的感知管理责任。我们的研究结果可以为管理层和审计师以及监管机构提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Extending Risk Horizons: Impact of Carbon Emissions on Firm Default Risk Based on Global Panel Data 扩展风险视野:基于全球面板数据的碳排放对企业违约风险的影响
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-22 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22808
Masayasu Kanno

This study assesses the impact of carbon emissions on firms' default risk in 44 major countries for overcoming the “tragedy of the horizon.” Carbon emissions affect firms' risk profiles at risk horizons through physical and transitional climate risks. A critical management issue is the likelihood and magnitude of climate change's impacts affecting firms' credit risk. We propose a random-effects logistic generalized least squares regression model for panel data to examine the impacts and the firm heterogeneity by country and sector. The global and country-wise panel data analyses show that carbon emissions increase firms' PDs in the global and four-country markets for all risk horizons, whereas the sector-wise analyses show that high carbon emissions reduce firms' PDs only in the industrials sector out of four sectors. In addition, for three countries (the United States, the United Kingdom, and Japan) and four sectors, the longer the risk horizon, the more the heterogeneity represented by the between-firm residual variance decreases, whereas for China, the heterogeneity with Scope 3 fluctuates. Overall, this study provides an effective credit risk analysis methodology that considers carbon emissions for related entities, such as firms, lenders, investors, regulators, and policymakers.

本研究评估了碳排放对44个主要国家克服“地平线悲剧”的企业违约风险的影响。碳排放通过物理和过渡性气候风险影响企业在风险视界上的风险概况。一个关键的管理问题是气候变化影响企业信用风险的可能性和程度。我们为面板数据提出了一个随机效应logistic广义最小二乘回归模型,以检验国家和行业的影响和企业异质性。全球和国家面板数据分析表明,碳排放增加了全球和四个国家市场中所有风险水平的公司的pd,而行业分析表明,高碳排放仅在四个行业中的工业部门降低了公司的pd。此外,对于三个国家(美国、英国和日本)和四个行业,风险期越长,企业间剩余方差所代表的异质性越低,而对于中国,范围3的异质性波动较大。总体而言,本研究提供了一种有效的信用风险分析方法,该方法考虑了相关实体(如公司、贷方、投资者、监管机构和政策制定者)的碳排放。
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引用次数: 0
Informativeness of Critical Audit Matter (CAM) Disclosures: Investor Perceptions and Market Reactions 关键审计事项披露的信息量:投资者认知和市场反应
IF 1.2 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-18 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22810
Joo Ha

This study analyzes how Critical Audit Matter (CAM) disclosures affect investor perceptions and market responses to discretionary reporting, by examining market reactions to the interaction between the textual characteristics of CAM disclosures and both discretionary (DLLP) and non-discretionary (NDLLP) loan loss provisions in the banking sector. The results show that discretionary loan loss provisions are generally associated with a positive market reaction, as they may signal managerial confidence or financial strength. However, this reaction is reduced when CAM disclosures indicate audit complexity, contain a negative tone, or include uncertain language—leading to increased return volatility around the 10-K filing date. These findings highlight the role CAM disclosures play in shaping how investors interpret managerial judgment in financial reporting. More broadly, the results carry regulatory implications by offering evidence on the informational value of CAM disclosures and their effectiveness in supporting investor decision-making in complex reporting environments.

本研究分析了关键审计事项(CAM)披露如何影响投资者对酌情报告的看法和市场反应,通过检查市场对CAM披露的文本特征与银行业酌情(DLLP)和非酌情(NDLLP)贷款损失准备金之间的相互作用的反应。结果表明,可自由支配的贷款损失拨备通常与积极的市场反应有关,因为它们可能表明管理层信心或财务实力。然而,当CAM披露表明审计复杂性,包含负面语气或包含不确定语言时,这种反应就会减少,从而导致10-K提交日期前后回报波动性增加。这些发现突出了CAM披露在塑造投资者如何解释财务报告中的管理判断方面所起的作用。更广泛地说,通过提供证据证明CAM披露的信息价值及其在复杂报告环境中支持投资者决策的有效性,研究结果具有监管意义。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Corporate Accounting and Finance
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