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Corporate Life Cycles and Analyst Recommendations 公司生命周期和分析师建议
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-25 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22778
Ahmed Al Hadi, Abdulsamad Alazzani

This study examines the relationship between firm life cycle stages and analyst recommendations. Using a dataset covering 1995 to 2022, we refine the sample to 62,731 firm-year observations and employ established models to create proxies for the corporate life cycle stages. The regression results reveal positive and significant associations between three life cycle stages—introduction, growth, and maturity (compared to shake-out)—and analyst recommendations, while the decline stage (compared to shake-out) is negatively associated with analyst recommendations. In an additional analysis, we find that financial distress impacts analyst recommendations, particularly in the introduction and decline stages, an association that reflects agency considerations and information asymmetry. An analysis of the interaction between analyst recommendations and corporate risk-taking reveals varying effects across the life cycle stages. Risk-taking and analyst recommendations positively interact in the introduction, growth, and decline stages, with a positive relationship in the maturity stage. These findings underscore the complex interplay between CLC dynamics, financial distress, risk-taking behavior, and analyst recommendations and provide insights into market factors and information dynamics. Our results are robust using different measures of CLC, Tobit regression, and Firm-Fixed Effect regression.

本研究探讨了公司生命周期阶段与分析师建议之间的关系。使用涵盖1995年至2022年的数据集,我们将样本细化到62,731个公司年观察结果,并使用已建立的模型来创建公司生命周期阶段的代理。回归结果显示,三个生命周期阶段-引入,成长和成熟(与洗牌相比)与分析师推荐之间存在正相关且显著的关联,而衰退阶段(与洗牌相比)与分析师推荐呈负相关。在另一项分析中,我们发现财务困境会影响分析师的建议,特别是在引入和衰退阶段,这种关联反映了代理考虑和信息不对称。对分析师建议与企业风险承担之间相互作用的分析揭示了在整个生命周期阶段的不同影响。风险承担与分析师推荐在引入、成长期和衰退期呈正相关,在成熟期呈正相关。这些发现强调了CLC动态、财务困境、冒险行为和分析师建议之间复杂的相互作用,并提供了对市场因素和信息动态的见解。使用不同的CLC、Tobit回归和Firm-Fixed Effect回归,我们的结果是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate Value Creation and the Award of Procurement Contracts 企业价值创造与采购合同授予
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-24 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22776
Stephen P. Ferris, Reza Houston, Blake Rayfield

This study explores how federal procurement contracts influence shareholder value, revealing a consistent positive correlation between the size of the initial award and investor reactions. We uncover a significant impact of the contract's Sweetheart Index on investor responses, with no-bid (sole source) contracts, defense contracts, service contracts, and contracts exempt from cost or price reporting requirements attracting stronger investor interest. Notably, we observe significant information leakage around award announcements that affects investor behavior. Through difference-in-difference analysis, our findings show that long-term defense contracts lead to a greater increase in return on equity compared to other large government contracts, as assessed against a matched sample of firms. Additionally, our study highlights that contracts in industries with high concentration and those involving unique goods and services tend to be more lucrative, providing critical insights for investors and policymakers engaged in federal procurement strategies.

本研究探讨了联邦采购合同如何影响股东价值,揭示了初始奖励规模与投资者反应之间一致的正相关关系。我们发现合同甜心指数对投资者反应的重大影响,无投标(唯一来源)合同、国防合同、服务合同和免除成本或价格报告要求的合同吸引了更强的投资者兴趣。值得注意的是,我们观察到围绕奖励公告的重大信息泄露影响了投资者的行为。通过差异分析,我们的研究结果表明,与其他大型政府合同相比,长期国防合同导致更大的股本回报率增长,作为对匹配公司样本的评估。此外,我们的研究强调,集中度高的行业和涉及独特商品和服务的行业的合同往往更有利可图,这为参与联邦采购战略的投资者和政策制定者提供了重要的见解。
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引用次数: 0
CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Tax Strategy CEO过度自信与企业税收策略
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-20 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22777
Wei Hsu, Yvonne Lee

Literature in accounting, economics, and corporate finance explores how top corporate executives’ personal traits and psychological biases affect firm decisions. This study focuses on one specific dimension of CEO personality: overconfidence and examines how CEO overconfidence influences corporate tax strategies. Overconfident executives tend to expect good outcomes due to optimistic bias or overestimation of their ability to bring about success. Therefore, they tend to overestimate the returns on investment projects and overinvest. We postulate that overconfident CEOs are inclined to seek risky tax planning activities to generate additional cash streams to make up for those projects not producing as much cash flow as originally expected. We find our three measures of overconfidence to be positively correlated with the book-tax difference (BTD). Our main overconfidence measure, proxied by CEOs delaying exercising their stock options, is negatively correlated with the cash effective tax rate (CETR), consistent with our prediction that overconfident CEOs exhibit more tax aggressiveness to preserve cash. Additionally, we test whether corporate governance affects corporate tax strategies and show that overconfident CEOs continue to have a negative effect on cash-effective tax rates regardless of the strength of board governance.

会计、经济学和公司金融方面的文献探讨了公司高管的个人特质和心理偏见如何影响公司决策。本研究聚焦于CEO人格的一个特定维度:过度自信,并探讨了CEO过度自信对企业税收策略的影响。过于自信的管理者往往由于乐观偏见或高估自己带来成功的能力而期望好的结果。因此,他们往往高估投资项目的回报,过度投资。我们假设,过度自信的ceo倾向于寻求有风险的税务筹划活动,以产生额外的现金流,以弥补那些没有产生最初预期的那么多现金流的项目。我们发现我们的三个过度自信指标与账面税差(BTD)呈正相关。我们的主要过度自信指标,以ceo推迟行使其股票期权为代表,与现金有效税率(ctr)负相关,这与我们的预测一致,即过度自信的ceo表现出更大的税收积极性来保留现金。此外,我们检验了公司治理是否会影响公司税收策略,并表明无论董事会治理强度如何,过度自信的首席执行官都继续对现金有效税率产生负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Cybersecurity Disclosure Frequency on Stock Price Crash Risk 网络安全信息披露频率对股价崩盘风险的影响
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-18 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22775
Huaping Wu, Ming Ma, Jidong Zhang

By exploring the relationship between stock price crash risk and the frequency of cybersecurity disclosures in financial reports, we present evidence that cybersecurity disclosure does matter because its frequency increases stock price crash risk. We analyze the association between cybersecurity disclosure and stock price crash risk from the perspective of two different theoretical lenses: information asymmetry and investor sentiment. We perform textual analysis on the Chinese A-shares public companies’ cybersecurity disclosure in financial reports during 2017–2022. We find that the more cybersecurity disclosures in financial reports, the higher the stock price crash risk. Further findings reveal that the effect of the frequency of cybersecurity disclosure on stock price crash risk is more significant in non-Big-4 audit companies and companies with lower analyst coverage. These findings imply that the market presents the clear idea that cybersecurity disclosure's negative impact to stock price crashes would be greater than the positive impact under the current settings of the volunteer disclosure policies.

通过探索股价崩盘风险与财务报告中网络安全披露频率之间的关系,我们提出证据表明网络安全披露确实重要,因为其频率增加了股价崩盘风险。本文从信息不对称和投资者情绪两个不同的理论视角分析了网络安全信息披露与股价崩盘风险之间的关系。本文对2017-2022年中国a股上市公司财务报告中的网络安全信息披露进行了文本分析。我们发现,财务报告中披露的网络安全信息越多,股价崩盘风险越高。进一步的研究发现,网络安全披露频率对股价崩盘风险的影响在非四大审计公司和分析师覆盖率较低的公司中更为显著。这些研究结果表明,在目前的自愿披露政策设置下,市场呈现出网络安全披露对股价暴跌的负面影响大于正面影响的明确观点。
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引用次数: 0
The Scale Dilemma: Investigating the Non-Monotonic Relationship Between Bank Size and Market Value in Emerging Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Economies 规模困境:调查新兴中东和北非经济体银行规模与市场价值之间的非单调关系
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22772
Yarob Kullab, Ahmad Sahyouni, Mohammed Shehada

This study investigates the non-monotonic relationship between bank size and market value in the emerging economies of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, with a focus on comparing Islamic and conventional banks. The analysis uses fixed-effects panel techniques, supported by random-effects, pooled OLS, and Hausman–Taylor methods for robustness, based on a sample of 161 publicly listed banks across 17 MENA countries from 2009 to 2022. The findings show that bank size positively influences market value initially, indicating economies of scale, but larger sizes lead to diminishing returns, reflecting a non-monotonic relationship. This pattern is more evident for conventional banks, while the results for Islamic banks are less conclusive, suggesting the need for further investigation. Islamic banks seem to benefit less from economies of scale, possibly due to unique operational and governance challenges. This study fills a gap in the literature on the size-market value relationship in emerging markets, offering insights into how local conditions and regulations shape bank performance. It also provides a novel comparison between Islamic and conventional banks, enhancing understanding of sector-specific dynamics. By challenging the linear assumptions of prior research, the study highlights the complex non-linear effects of bank size, emphasizing the role of agency conflicts and regulatory oversight in managing systemic risks. The research contributes to both empirical and theoretical discussions on banking scale management and agency theory in emerging market contexts.

本研究调查了中东和北非(MENA)地区新兴经济体银行规模与市场价值之间的非单调关系,重点比较了伊斯兰银行和传统银行。该分析采用固定效应面板技术,辅以随机效应、汇总OLS和Hausman-Taylor稳健性方法,基于2009年至2022年17个中东和北非国家161家上市银行的样本。研究发现,银行规模对市场价值的初始影响为正,表明存在规模经济,但规模越大,收益递减,反映出一种非单调关系。这种模式在传统银行中更为明显,而伊斯兰银行的结果则不那么确凿,这表明需要进一步调查。伊斯兰银行似乎从规模经济中受益较少,可能是由于独特的运营和治理挑战。本研究填补了关于新兴市场规模-市场价值关系的文献空白,为了解当地条件和法规如何影响银行绩效提供了见解。它还提供了伊斯兰银行和传统银行之间的新颖比较,加强了对特定部门动态的理解。通过挑战先前研究的线性假设,该研究强调了银行规模的复杂非线性效应,强调了机构冲突和监管监督在管理系统性风险中的作用。本文的研究对新兴市场背景下银行规模管理和代理理论的实证和理论探讨都有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Do Investors Perceive Improvements in Fair Value Accounting for Investment Assets After PCAOB Inspections? PCAOB检查后,投资者是否察觉到投资资产公允价值会计的改善?
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22771
Carol Callaway Dee, Katherine Gunny, William R. Strawser

We examine whether fair value (FV) deficiencies highlighted in Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) inspection reports improve perceptions of the reporting quality of FV investment assets. Qualitative studies illustrate that subjective and complex estimates pose unique challenges to audit improvement. Using a market-based measure of financial reporting quality (i.e., implied asset-specific betas), we find a positive association between the intensity of FV-deficient reports and perceived reporting quality of level 2 (but not level 3) FV investment assets and show that the association is stronger when audit office FV expertise is high. Consistent with improvements in disclosures, after a FV-deficient report, we find FV footnotes become relatively more readable and include less cautionary language as level 2 holdings increase. Overall, our evidence suggests investors value PCAOB inspections regarding level 2 FV assets.

我们研究了上市公司会计监督委员会(PCAOB)检查报告中突出的公允价值(FV)缺陷是否改善了对FV投资资产报告质量的看法。定性研究表明,主观和复杂的估计对审计改进提出了独特的挑战。使用基于市场的财务报告质量度量(即隐含的资产特定beta),我们发现FV缺陷报告的强度与二级(但不是三级)FV投资资产的感知报告质量之间存在正相关关系,并表明当审计办公室FV专业知识高时,这种关联更强。与披露的改进一致,在FV不足的报告之后,我们发现随着2级持有量的增加,FV脚注变得相对更可读,并且包含的警示性语言更少。总体而言,我们的证据表明投资者重视PCAOB对二级FV资产的检查。
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引用次数: 0
ESG Ratings and CEO Charitable Stock Donations: Is Firm ESG Aligned With CEO Personal Philanthropy? ESG评级与CEO慈善股票捐赠:企业ESG与CEO个人慈善是否一致?
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22773
Han Dai, Daeun Lee, Ying Liang, Barri Litt

In the evolving landscape of sustainable investing, with unprecedented market attention on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) information, our study delves into the relationship between a firm's ESG ratings and the philanthropic behavior of its chief executive officer (CEO), particularly in terms of charitable stock donations. Examining US firms and utilizing comprehensive ESG data from Refinitiv, we find that ESG-rated firm CEOs engage in greater personal stock donation activity as compared to their non-ESG counterparts. They also appear to time donations in a less self-serving manner. When we isolate ESG firms, we find CEOs of the strongest ESG performers exhibit no self-interested timing behavior. Our study contributes to the sparse literature on CEO charitable behavior, shedding light on the potential alignment between ESG performance at the firm level and genuine, altruistic giving at the CEO level. Such alignment provides valuable insight for investors, policymakers, nonprofit organizations, and researchers interested in the intersection of sustainable investing and executive action.

随着市场对环境、社会和治理(ESG)信息的空前关注,在可持续投资领域不断发展的背景下,我们的研究深入探讨了公司ESG评级与其首席执行官(CEO)慈善行为之间的关系,特别是在慈善股票捐赠方面。研究美国公司并利用Refinitiv的全面ESG数据,我们发现,与非ESG公司的ceo相比,ESG评级公司的ceo参与了更多的个人股票捐赠活动。他们在选择捐赠时间时似乎也不那么自私。当我们孤立ESG公司时,我们发现ESG表现最好的公司的ceo没有表现出自利的择时行为。我们的研究补充了关于CEO慈善行为的稀少文献,揭示了公司层面的ESG绩效与CEO层面的真实利他捐赠之间的潜在一致性。这种一致性为投资者、政策制定者、非营利组织和对可持续投资与行政行为的交叉点感兴趣的研究人员提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Exchange Rate Volatility and ESG Performance: An International Empirical Analysis 汇率波动与ESG绩效:国际实证分析
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-07 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22774
Hamzeh Al Amosh

This study examines the impact of exchange rate volatility (ERV) on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance using a large dataset of 15,196 firms from various countries, covering the period from 2012 to 2019. By employing a comprehensive set of statistical tests, including the system generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation technique, the research provides robust empirical evidence on how ERV influences different dimensions of ESG performance. The results reveal a significant negative effect of ERV on ESG performance, indicating that greater exchange rate instability adversely impacts firms' sustainability practices across ESG aspects. Companies may have difficulty complying with evolving regulations and stakeholder expectations when faced with volatile exchange rates, negatively impacting their ESG performance. Regulatory responses to exchange rate fluctuations may also create compliance burdens, and the difficulty in securing resources limits their ability to invest in sustainable technologies and practices. From an efficient market hypothesis (EMH) perspective, these findings suggest that ERV introduces additional risks and uncertainties that the market reflects in corporate valuations and performance metrics, thereby affecting ESG outcomes. The study highlights implications for policymakers, investors, and corporate managers, emphasizing the need for strategies to mitigate the adverse effects of ERV on ESG performance. Limitations of the study and directions for future research are discussed, calling for further exploration of the interplay between macroeconomic factors and corporate sustainability initiatives.

本研究利用2012年至2019年期间来自不同国家的15,196家公司的大型数据集,考察了汇率波动(ERV)对环境、社会和治理(ESG)绩效的影响。通过采用包括系统广义矩量法(GMM)估计技术在内的一整套统计检验,本研究为ERV如何影响ESG绩效的不同维度提供了强有力的经验证据。研究结果显示,ERV对ESG绩效有显著的负向影响,表明汇率不稳定性对企业ESG各方面的可持续性实践产生不利影响。当面对波动的汇率时,公司可能难以遵守不断变化的法规和利益相关者的期望,从而对其ESG绩效产生负面影响。对汇率波动的监管反应也可能造成合规负担,而且难以获得资源限制了它们投资于可持续技术和做法的能力。从有效市场假设(EMH)的角度来看,这些发现表明,ERV引入了市场在公司估值和绩效指标中反映的额外风险和不确定性,从而影响了ESG结果。该研究强调了对政策制定者、投资者和公司管理者的启示,强调需要制定策略来减轻ERV对ESG绩效的不利影响。讨论了研究的局限性和未来的研究方向,呼吁进一步探索宏观经济因素与企业可持续发展举措之间的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Mediating Role of Financialization and Intellectual Capital in the Relationship Between Ownership Structure and Firms’ Financial Performance 金融化和智力资本在股权结构与企业财务绩效关系中的中介作用
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22770
Ramin Zamani Amoughin, Ali Asghar Anvary Rostamy, Maryam Khalili Araghi, Ali Saeidi

This paper investigates how intellectual capital (IC) and financialization mediate the relationship between ownership structure (OS) and the financial performance (FP) of manufacturing companies listed on the Iranian stock exchange from 2016 to 2022. OS is analyzed through three variables: institutional ownership (IO), ownership concentration (OC), and managerial ownership (MO). IC and financialization are considered as mediating variables, with firms’ FP as the dependent variable. This research was conducted due to a sample of 112 listed companies and employs artial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) for data evaluation. The results reveal that both IO and OC positively impact FP, whereas MO negatively affects FP. Furthermore, IC and financialization mediate the relationships between OC and MO with FP. However, these mediating factors do not affect the relationship between IO and FP.

本文研究了2016年至2022年在伊朗证券交易所上市的制造业公司,智力资本(IC)和金融化如何中介股权结构(OS)和财务绩效(FP)之间的关系。OS通过机构所有权(IO)、所有权集中度(OC)和管理层所有权(MO)三个变量进行分析。本文以集成电路和金融化为中介变量,企业FP为因变量。本研究以112家上市公司为样本,采用偏最小二乘结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)进行数据评价。结果表明,IO和OC对FP均有正向影响,而MO对FP有负向影响。此外,企业投资和金融化在企业投资与企业绩效之间的关系中起到中介作用。然而,这些中介因素并不影响IO和FP之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Earnings Quality, Emissions, and Executive Compensation in European Firms With Say-on-Pay Voting Adoption 采用薪酬决定权表决权的欧洲公司的盈余质量、排放和高管薪酬
IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-25 DOI: 10.1002/jcaf.22768
Ayman Issa, Ayman Wael Al-Khatib, Mohammad A. A. Zaid

This study investigates the interplay between carbon emissions (COEM), earnings quality (EQ), and CEOs’ pay within non-financial European firms. The study's results indicate a strong adverse correlation between COEM and EQ. Importantly, the influence of executive compensation on this correlation is adverse, particularly within firms that have adopted Say-on-Pay (SOP) system. The Paris Agreement (PA) serves as a driver for sustainability, influencing the dynamics of EQ. This research offers original perspectives on the link between COEM and EQ, along with the moderating impact of executive compensation. Additionally, it sheds light on the potential effects of SOP regulations and global sustainability initiatives on a company's environmentally responsible practices and the quality of accounting numbers.

本研究探讨了欧洲非金融企业中碳排放(COEM)、盈余质量(EQ)和ceo薪酬之间的相互作用。研究结果表明,COEM与情商之间存在强烈的负相关关系。重要的是,高管薪酬对这种相关性的影响是不利的,特别是在采用薪酬话语权(SOP)制度的公司中。《巴黎协定》(PA)是可持续发展的驱动因素,影响着情商的动态变化。本研究为COEM和情商之间的联系以及高管薪酬的调节作用提供了原创视角。此外,它还揭示了SOP法规和全球可持续性倡议对公司环境责任实践和会计数字质量的潜在影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Corporate Accounting and Finance
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