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Is Executive Hubris Manifested in CEO Letters to Shareholders? CEO给股东的信是否体现了高管的傲慢?
Pub Date : 2016-09-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2833919
M. Devlin, B. Lucey
We examine the extent and evolution of Hubris in a bank CEO, through textual analysis of the CEO letter to the Shareholders. Drawing on new developments in clinical psychology we surface evidence of overconfidence, narcissism and hubris over the 2000-2008 period.
本文通过对银行CEO致股东信的文本分析,考察了银行CEO傲慢的程度和演变过程。根据临床心理学的新发展,我们发现了2000-2008年期间过度自信、自恋和傲慢的证据。
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引用次数: 2
Does CEO's Holding of Vested Options Measure Overconfidence? CEO持有既得期权是否意味着过度自信?
Pub Date : 2016-08-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2825027
A. Bayat, Reza Salehnejad, P. Kawalek
Option-based measures of overconfidence are widely used as proxies for overconfidence in corporate finance. Overexposure of a CEO's wealth to the firm's idiosyncratic risk is taken as a sign of CEO overconfidence. The literature has used the measures to study the effect of managerial overconfidence on corporate investment, financial policy, innovation and merger and acquisition. The belief is that overconfident CEOs behave differently. We trace CEOs across firms to investigate whether option exercise decisions correlate with firm characteristics. We find that a CEO's decision to hold or exercise vested options is considerably driven by firm and market conditions. Our analysis casts doubt on the view that repeated holding of in-the-money options solely captures overconfidence.
基于期权的过度自信指标被广泛用作企业融资过度自信的替代指标。CEO的财富过度暴露于公司的特殊风险被视为CEO过度自信的标志。文献运用测度法研究了管理者过度自信对企业投资、财务政策、创新和并购的影响。人们认为,过度自信的首席执行官的行为会有所不同。我们追踪了各公司的首席执行官,以调查期权行使决策是否与公司特征相关。我们发现,CEO持有或行使既得期权的决定在很大程度上受到公司和市场状况的驱动。我们的分析对反复持有平价期权只是过度自信的观点提出了质疑。
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引用次数: 4
Governance and Culture in the Banking Sector 银行业的管治与文化
Pub Date : 2016-02-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2731357
A. Morrison, Joel D. Shapiro
A growing consensus holds that cultural standards are at least as important as formal rules for the effectiveness and soundness of the banking sector. Nevertheless, the banking literature is mostly silent on cultural effects. We present an analysis of banking culture that draws upon prior sociological and economic work on organizational culture. We argue that the most important cultural practices in the financial services sector arose in response to pressing economic and social problems. But, once embedded into market activity, those practices became part of a toolkit that bankers could use in many contexts. In particular, after changes to the technological and legal environment within which bankers operate decoupled cultural practices from their original context, bankers started to deploy cultural devices in new fora where their social utility was less apparent. We examine this argument in the context of the LIBOR and Forex fixings, and we examine a number of policy prescriptions. The recent emphasis upon “tone from the top” is appropriate but, by itself, will be insufficient: culture can only be supervised and influenced by actors who are sufficiently immersed in it to decode the private languages upon which it is built.
越来越多的人认为,对于银行业的有效性和稳健性,文化标准至少与正式规则同等重要。然而,银行业文献大多对文化影响保持沉默。我们提出了银行文化的分析,借鉴了先前的社会学和经济学工作的组织文化。我们认为,金融服务业中最重要的文化实践是对紧迫的经济和社会问题的回应。但是,一旦融入市场活动,这些做法就成为银行家可以在许多情况下使用的工具包的一部分。特别是,在银行家运作的技术和法律环境发生变化后,文化实践与原始环境脱钩,银行家开始在社会效用不那么明显的新论坛中部署文化设备。我们在LIBOR和外汇定价的背景下研究这一论点,并研究一些政策处方。最近对“自上而下的语气”的强调是恰当的,但仅靠它本身是不够的:文化只能由那些充分沉浸在其中、能够破译其赖以建立的私人语言的行动者来监督和影响。
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引用次数: 5
Bank CEO Optimism and the Financial Crisis 银行首席执行官乐观主义与金融危机
Pub Date : 2015-09-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2392683
Yueran Ma
I test theories of the recent financial crisis by studying how banks' pre-crisis investments connect to their CEOs' beliefs. Using different proxies for beliefs, I find banks with larger housing investments and worse crisis performance had CEOs who were more optimistic ex ante. Banks with the most optimistic CEOs experienced 20 percentage points higher real estate loan growth, and 15 percentage points lower crisis period stock returns. Bank decisions appear consistent with CEO beliefs. CEOs' optimism contributed to credit expansions and crisis losses. I do not find evidence that CEOs made housing investments due to agency frictions while aware of impending problems.
我通过研究银行在危机前的投资与首席执行官的信念之间的关系来检验最近金融危机的理论。使用不同的代理来衡量信念,我发现房地产投资较大、危机表现较差的银行,其首席执行官在此之前更为乐观。拥有最乐观ceo的银行,其房地产贷款增长率高出20个百分点,危机期间的股票回报率则低了15个百分点。银行的决策似乎与首席执行官的信念一致。首席执行官们的乐观情绪助长了信贷扩张和危机损失。我没有找到证据表明,首席执行官们在意识到即将出现的问题的情况下,由于代理摩擦而进行住房投资。
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引用次数: 27
Behavioral Ethics, Behavioral Compliance 行为伦理,行为遵从
Pub Date : 2015-07-25 DOI: 10.4337/9781783474479.00020
Donald C. Langevoort
The design of an effective legal compliance system for an organization requires skill at predicting human behavior. The surveillance portion of compliance involves estimates about who is most likely to misbehave, and when. The communicative aspect — training and guidance — requires thinking about what kinds of messages and incentives are most effective. Forensics and resolution are about, at least in part, learning from the experience and applying the lessons to future activity. It’s entirely plausible to use the economist’s assumption of rational choice — opportunism with guile — in making these predictions. But the realism of that assumption has been under attack for decades now. The label “behavioral compliance” can be attached to the design and management of compliance that draws from a wider range of behavioral predictions about individual and organizational behavior. This chapter surveys some of the contemporary research in behavioral ethics, and its usefulness to the architecture of compliance.
为一个组织设计一个有效的法律遵从系统需要预测人类行为的技能。合规的监督部分包括估计谁最有可能在何时行为不端。沟通方面——培训和指导——需要考虑什么样的信息和激励是最有效的。取证和解决至少在一定程度上是关于从经验中学习并将经验教训应用于未来的活动。用经济学家的理性选择假设——狡猾的机会主义——来做这些预测是完全合理的。但几十年来,这一假设的真实性一直受到攻击。“行为遵从性”的标签可以贴在遵从性的设计和管理上,遵从性的设计和管理来自于对个人和组织行为的更广泛的行为预测。本章概述了当代行为伦理学的一些研究,以及这些研究对合规架构的有用性。
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引用次数: 15
The Equilibrium Assignment of Narcissistic CEOs to Firms 自恋型ceo对企业的均衡分配
Pub Date : 2015-02-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2566708
Eric de Bodt, Helen Bollaert, P. Grandin, Richard Roll
Firms may rationally select CEOs whose level of narcissism is compatible with their circumstances. We model the firm-CEO matching process in which narcissistic CEOs are matched to firms characterized by their shareholders’ risk aversion. This leads us to predict that (i) contemporaneous (future) CEO narcissism is increasing (decreasing) in the compensation package; (ii) CEO narcissism is decreasing in shareholder risk aversion and (iii) CEO narcissism is increasing in CEO narcissism mean reversion. We test our predictions on a 10-year sample of S&P 500 CEOs, using a time-varying measure of CEO narcissism. Our empirical results provide preliminary support for all our predictions.
企业可能会理性地选择那些自恋程度与其所处环境相适应的ceo。我们建立了自恋型ceo与股东风险厌恶型企业匹配的模型。这导致我们预测:(1)同时期(未来)CEO的自恋在薪酬方案中增加(减少);(2) CEO自恋在股东风险规避上呈下降趋势;(3)CEO自恋均值回归上呈上升趋势。我们以10年的标准普尔500指数(S&P 500)公司CEO为样本,使用一种随时间变化的CEO自恋程度衡量标准,来检验我们的预测。我们的实证结果为我们所有的预测提供了初步的支持。
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引用次数: 4
Managerial Overconfidence and Audit Fees 管理过度自信和审计费用
Pub Date : 2015-01-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2557494
Scott Duellman, Helen Hurwitz, Yan Sun
We investigate the association between managerial overconfidence and audit fees, as well as the effect of a strong audit committee on this relation. Overconfident managers tend to overestimate their ability and the future payouts of projects but underestimate the likelihood and impact of adverse events. If auditors perceive managerial overconfidence as increasing audit risk, they will charge additional fees to compensate for the increased audit effort. Conversely, audit fees for companies with an overconfident manager will be lower if managers demand less audit services due to either hubris in their companies' financial reporting or a desire to reduce auditor scrutiny over aggressive accounting practices. We find evidence of a negative relation between managerial overconfidence and audit fees for companies lacking a strong audit committee. Additionally, we find that overconfident managers are less likely to use an industry specialist auditor.
我们研究了管理层过度自信与审计费用之间的关系,以及强大的审计委员会对这种关系的影响。过度自信的管理者倾向于高估他们的能力和项目的未来支出,而低估不利事件的可能性和影响。如果审计师认为管理层的过度自信会增加审计风险,他们将收取额外费用,以补偿增加的审计工作。相反,如果经理对公司财务报告的傲慢,或者希望减少审计师对激进会计做法的审查,那么对于那些拥有过度自信的经理的公司来说,审计费用将会降低。我们发现,对于缺乏强大审计委员会的公司,管理层过度自信与审计费用之间存在负相关关系。此外,我们发现过度自信的管理者不太可能使用行业专家审计师。
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引用次数: 67
A Hierarchy of Markets: How Basic Needs Induce a Market Failure 市场的层次结构:基本需求如何导致市场失灵
Pub Date : 2015-01-10 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2547995
Shlomit Azgad-Tromer
This essay introduces an innovative framework for consumer protection, based on consumers’ basic needs. Current contract law is based on a binary model: contracts which lack consent are considered void and are not enforceable under the unconscionability doctrine. Yet, voluntariness is not binary. Rather, voluntariness is a hierarchical continuum reflecting human needs. Certain products are purchased because the consumer has to have them, while other products are purchased as a discretionary consumer choice. Current law does not make the distinction between essential and non-essential markets. Consumers of luxuries and consumers of essentials are considered equal, and receive similar legal protection under the contractual framework of the consumer transaction. This essay offers a theory of essential markets and their regulation. The essay surveys the behavioral literature discussing human needs and the distinction between essentials and luxuries, and applies the needs-based theory to consumption, creating a pyramid of markets following Maslow’s hierarchy of needs. The essay identifies the determinants of market essentiality, including a moral baseline of consumption; lack of good substitutes and inability to decline purchase; and time constraints creating difficulty to defer purchase. The continuum of market essentiality is then demonstrated using four examples, including electricity for heating, infant formula, broadband services, and a violin. The essay argues that essential needs-based consumption induces a behavioral market failure, where consumers' decision-making process is particularly vulnerable and distorts sellers' incentives towards a sub-optimal equilibrium. Markets of essentials tend toward failure of demand, due to consumers’ bounded voluntariness and lower probability of informed choice. Accordingly, sellers in markets of essentials have higher incentives for collusion and lower incentives for price competition and for investment in product quality. Thus, the likelihood of market failure increases with the essentiality of the product: the more basic the underlying need, the higher the probability for market failure. The difficulty of regulators to tell which markets are essential is addressed. The essay suggests two methods for assessment of essentiality - the first, through political assessment, and the second, through analysis of market data documenting elasticity of demand for popular product categories. Low elasticity of demand for popular product categories is proposed as a market signal for consumers’ bounded voluntariness and for product essentiality. The normative implications of this structural division of markets are discussed and initial policy guidelines suggested. Essentiality and its tendency to create a behavioral market failure implies that consumer law should be structured with a hierarchy of rights, similar to constitutional or international human rights laws. Essential products should be subject to a higher degree
本文从消费者的基本需求出发,提出了一种创新的消费者保护框架。现行合同法是基于二元模式:缺乏同意的合同被认为是无效的,并且在不合理原则下不可强制执行。然而,自愿性并不是二元的。相反,自愿性是反映人类需求的层次连续体。购买某些产品是因为消费者必须拥有它们,而购买其他产品则是消费者的自由选择。现行法律没有区分必要市场和非必要市场。奢侈品的消费者和必需品的消费者被认为是平等的,在消费者交易的合同框架下得到类似的法律保护。本文提出了基本市场及其调控的理论。本文调查了讨论人类需求的行为文献以及必需品和奢侈品之间的区别,并将需求理论应用于消费,创造了马斯洛需求层次的市场金字塔。本文确定了市场必要性的决定因素,包括消费的道德底线;缺乏好的替代品,无法拒绝购买;时间限制造成了推迟购买的困难。然后用四个例子来证明市场必要性的连续性,包括取暖用电、婴儿配方奶粉、宽带服务和小提琴。这篇文章认为,基于基本需求的消费导致了一种行为市场失灵,消费者的决策过程特别脆弱,并扭曲了卖家的激励,使其趋向于次优均衡。由于消费者的有限自愿和较低的知情选择概率,必需品市场倾向于需求失效。因此,必需品市场的销售者有较高的串通动机,而价格竞争和产品质量投资的动机较低。因此,市场失灵的可能性随着产品的重要性而增加:潜在需求越基本,市场失灵的可能性就越高。监管机构难以分辨哪些市场至关重要的问题得到了解决。本文提出了两种评估必要性的方法——第一种是通过政治评估,第二种是通过分析记录流行产品类别需求弹性的市场数据。提出了流行产品类别的低需求弹性作为消费者有限自愿和产品必要性的市场信号。本文讨论了这种市场结构划分的规范含义,并提出了初步的政策指导方针。必要性及其造成行为市场失灵的倾向意味着,消费者法的结构应具有权利等级制度,类似于宪法或国际人权法。与非必需品相比,必需品应该受到更高程度的家长式管理。
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引用次数: 3
Culture and Law in Corporate Governance 公司治理中的文化与法律
Pub Date : 2014-03-06 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2405538
A. Licht
Understanding the role of culture in corporate governance has become a subject of growing importance. Today, no institutional analysis of corporate governance systems would be complete without considering the cultural environment in which such systems are embedded. This paper provides an overview of different accounts on how culture interacts with the law - especially corporate law - to shape corporate governance and on how this may help explain diversity and persistence in corporate governance. Basic concepts in cultural analysis are first presented, together with prevalent theories of cultural dimensions and of social networks as social capital. Relying on this analytical framework, this paper reviews current research on culture’s consequences for corporate governance on issues such as legal transplants, the objectives of the corporation (corporate social responsibility), relations with investors and other stakeholders by way of disclosure and dividend distribution, executive compensation, and the operation, composition, and network structure of the board of directors.
了解文化在公司治理中的作用已成为一个日益重要的课题。今天,如果不考虑公司治理体系所处的文化环境,任何对公司治理体系的制度分析都是不完整的。本文概述了文化如何与法律(尤其是公司法)相互作用以塑造公司治理的不同说法,以及这如何有助于解释公司治理的多样性和持久性。首先介绍了文化分析的基本概念,以及文化维度和社会网络作为社会资本的流行理论。基于这一分析框架,本文从法律移植、公司目标(企业社会责任)、通过信息披露和股息分配与投资者和其他利益相关者的关系、高管薪酬、董事会的运作、组成和网络结构等方面回顾了目前关于文化对公司治理影响的研究。
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引用次数: 26
CEO Personal Risk-Taking and Corporate Policies 首席执行官个人风险承担和公司政策
Pub Date : 2014-02-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1785413
Matthew D. Cain, S. McKeon
This study analyzes the relation between chief executive officer (CEO) personal risk-taking, corporate risk-taking, and total firm risk. We find evidence that CEOs who possess private pilot licenses (our proxy for personal risk-taking) are associated with riskier firms. Firms led by pilot CEOs have higher equity return volatility, beyond the amount explained by compensation components that financially reward risk-taking. We trace the source of the elevated firm risk to specific corporate policies, including leverage and acquisition activity. Our results suggest that nonpecuniary risk preferences revealed outside the scope of the firm have implications for project selection and various corporate policies.
本研究分析了首席执行官(CEO)个人风险承担、企业风险承担和企业总风险之间的关系。我们发现有证据表明,拥有私人飞行员执照(个人冒险的代表)的首席执行官与风险更高的公司有关联。由试点ceo领导的公司的股票回报波动性更高,超出了从财务上奖励冒险的薪酬组成部分所解释的幅度。我们将公司风险上升的根源追溯到具体的公司政策,包括杠杆和收购活动。我们的研究结果表明,公司范围之外的非金钱风险偏好对项目选择和各种公司政策都有影响。
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引用次数: 314
期刊
Corporate Governance & Sociology or Psychology eJournal
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