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The race between the snail and the tortoise: skill premium and early industrialization in Italy (1861–1913) 蜗牛和乌龟之间的竞赛:意大利的技能溢价和早期工业化(1861-1913 年)
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-23 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00200-2
Giovanni Federico, Alessandro Nuvolari, Leonardo Ridolfi, Michelangelo Vasta

In this paper, we estimate series of the skill premium for Italy during the early stages of the industrialization with a refined version of the regression approach originally introduced by Clark (J Polit Econ 113(6):1307–1340, 2005). We compute series for the whole country as well as separate series for macro-regions and for construction and manufacturing, and, within manufacturing, we estimate high and low skill premia for blue collars. We interpret the results with an extended version of the classic Katz and Autor (in: Ashenfelter, Card (eds) Handbook of labor economics, Elsevier, Dordrecht, pp 1463–1555, 1999) framework. The overall premium remained stable until the 1890s and then declined for the joint effect of migrations (almost exclusively of unskilled workers) and the rise in literacy, which was not compensated by the modest increase in industrial employment.

在本文中,我们采用克拉克(J Polit Econ 113(6):1307-1340,2005 年)最初引入的回归方法的改进版,估算了意大利工业化早期阶段的技能溢价序列。我们计算了全国的序列以及宏观地区、建筑业和制造业的单独序列,并在制造业中估算了蓝领工人的高技能溢价和低技能溢价。我们用经典的卡茨和奥托(Katz and Autor, in:Ashenfelter、Card(编著)《劳动经济学手册》,Elsevier,Dordrecht,第 1463-1555 页,1999 年)框架来解释结果。总体溢价在 19 世纪 90 年代之前保持稳定,之后由于移民(几乎全部是非熟练工人)和识字率提高的共同作用而下降,而工业就业的小幅增长并没有弥补这一下降。
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引用次数: 0
Neither the elite, nor the mass. The rise of intermediate human capital during the French industrialization process 既不是精英,也不是大众。法国工业化进程中中间人力资本的兴起
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00199-6
C. Diebolt, Charlotte Le Chapelain, Audrey-Rose Menard
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引用次数: 12
Capital markets and grain prices: assessing the storage cost approach 资本市场与粮食价格:评估储存成本的方法
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-12-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00192-z
W. Keller, Carol H. Shiue, Xin Wang
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引用次数: 1
Land rights, local financial development and industrial activity: evidence from Flanders (nineteenth–early twentieth century) 土地权利、地方金融发展和工业活动:来自佛兰德斯的证据(19世纪至20世纪初)
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-11-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00196-9
Nicolas Devijlder, K. Schoors
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引用次数: 2
How many rushed during the Oklahoma land openings? 有多少人在俄克拉何马州土地开放期间匆忙赶到?
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-11-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00193-y
D. Allen, B. Leonard
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引用次数: 4
Immigration and human capital: consequences of a nineteenth century settlement policy 移民与人力资本:19世纪移民政策的后果
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-10-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00194-x
F. González
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引用次数: 3
The manufacturing comparative advantages of late-Victorian Britain 维多利亚时代晚期英国的制造业比较优势
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-10-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00195-w
Brian D. Varian
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引用次数: 6
Industrial activities and primary schooling in early nineteenth-century France 十九世纪初法国的工业活动和小学教育
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-09-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00191-0
Adrien Montalbo
This article investigates the impact of industrial activities on primary instruction in early nineteenth-century France. To do so, I use a newly constituted database on the location and characteristics of primary schools at the level of municipalities. This database is extracted from the Guizot survey conducted in 1833, before the implementation of the first national law making the opening of a school mandatory in any municipality more than 500 inhabitants. By using mineral deposits as an instrument, I first show that the presence of industrial activities in a given municipality was positively influencing the presence of primary schools. An increase in the supply of schools by municipalities explains this association. Additional resources transferred to them by manufactures favoured this increase through an income effect. However, I find no significant link between industry and the accumulation of human capital. On the contrary, I provide indications that industrial activities were associated with lower enrolment rates. If they had a positive impact on the demand for schooling, it was only for a very restricted part of the population.
本文研究了十九世纪初法国工业活动对小学教学的影响。为此,我使用了一个新建立的关于市镇一级小学位置和特点的数据库。该数据库摘自 1833 年进行的吉佐调查,当时第一部规定居民超过 500 人的市镇必须开办学校的国家法律尚未实施。通过使用矿藏作为工具,我首先证明了工业活动在特定市镇的存在对小学的存在有积极影响。市政当局学校供应量的增加解释了这种关联。制造业向市政当局转移的额外资源通过收入效应促进了学校数量的增加。然而,我并没有发现工业与人力资本积累之间的重要联系。相反,我发现工业活动与较低的入学率有关。如果说工业活动对入学需求产生了积极影响,那也只是对非常有限的一部分人口产生了积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
How much did uncertainty shocks matter in the Great Depression? 不确定性冲击对大萧条的影响有多大?
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-08-02 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00190-1
Gabriel P. Mathy
The USA in the 1930s experienced unprecedented uncertainty. Uncertainty shocks buffeted the economy during recessionary periods, but these shocks receded during the recovery periods of the Great Depression. Using vector autoregressions on monthly data for 1919–1941, I show that a one standard deviation increase in uncertainty decreased investment, GDP, industrial output, employment, hours worked, wages, and the price level. I perform a historical decomposition simulation to see how much uncertainty shocks mattered for explaining movements in major variables during the Depression. Roughly 40–70% of the simulated decline in output can be explained by uncertainty shocks in the Great Depression.
20 世纪 30 年代的美国经历了前所未有的不确定性。在经济衰退时期,不确定性冲击对经济造成了冲击,但在大萧条的复苏时期,这些冲击有所减弱。通过对 1919-1941 年的月度数据进行向量自回归分析,我发现不确定性每增加一个标准差,投资、国内生产总值、工业产出、就业、工时、工资和物价水平就会下降。我进行了历史分解模拟,以了解不确定性冲击对解释大萧条期间主要变量的变动有多重要。在模拟的产出下降中,大约有 40-70% 可以用大萧条时期的不确定性冲击来解释。
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引用次数: 0
A new estimate of Lithuanian GDP for 1937: How does interwar Lithuania compare? 1937年立陶宛国内生产总值的新估计:两次世界大战之间的立陶宛比较如何?
IF 1.6 1区 历史学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-07-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00189-8
Adomas Klimantas, Aras Zirgulis
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引用次数: 7
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