Pub Date : 2019-12-23DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00200-2
Giovanni Federico, Alessandro Nuvolari, Leonardo Ridolfi, Michelangelo Vasta
In this paper, we estimate series of the skill premium for Italy during the early stages of the industrialization with a refined version of the regression approach originally introduced by Clark (J Polit Econ 113(6):1307–1340, 2005). We compute series for the whole country as well as separate series for macro-regions and for construction and manufacturing, and, within manufacturing, we estimate high and low skill premia for blue collars. We interpret the results with an extended version of the classic Katz and Autor (in: Ashenfelter, Card (eds) Handbook of labor economics, Elsevier, Dordrecht, pp 1463–1555, 1999) framework. The overall premium remained stable until the 1890s and then declined for the joint effect of migrations (almost exclusively of unskilled workers) and the rise in literacy, which was not compensated by the modest increase in industrial employment.
{"title":"The race between the snail and the tortoise: skill premium and early industrialization in Italy (1861–1913)","authors":"Giovanni Federico, Alessandro Nuvolari, Leonardo Ridolfi, Michelangelo Vasta","doi":"10.1007/s11698-019-00200-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-019-00200-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this paper, we estimate series of the skill premium for Italy during the early stages of the industrialization with a refined version of the regression approach originally introduced by Clark (J Polit Econ 113(6):1307–1340, 2005). We compute series for the whole country as well as separate series for macro-regions and for construction and manufacturing, and, within manufacturing, we estimate high and low skill premia for blue collars. We interpret the results with an extended version of the classic Katz and Autor (in: Ashenfelter, Card (eds) Handbook of labor economics, Elsevier, Dordrecht, pp 1463–1555, 1999) framework. The overall premium remained stable until the 1890s and then declined for the joint effect of migrations (almost exclusively of unskilled workers) and the rise in literacy, which was not compensated by the modest increase in industrial employment.</p>","PeriodicalId":44951,"journal":{"name":"Cliometrica","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2019-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140888929","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2019-12-07DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00199-6
C. Diebolt, Charlotte Le Chapelain, Audrey-Rose Menard
{"title":"Neither the elite, nor the mass. The rise of intermediate human capital during the French industrialization process","authors":"C. Diebolt, Charlotte Le Chapelain, Audrey-Rose Menard","doi":"10.1007/s11698-019-00199-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-019-00199-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44951,"journal":{"name":"Cliometrica","volume":"15 1","pages":"167 - 202"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2019-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s11698-019-00199-6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"52564410","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2019-12-06DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00192-z
W. Keller, Carol H. Shiue, Xin Wang
{"title":"Capital markets and grain prices: assessing the storage cost approach","authors":"W. Keller, Carol H. Shiue, Xin Wang","doi":"10.1007/s11698-019-00192-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-019-00192-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44951,"journal":{"name":"Cliometrica","volume":"14 1","pages":"367 - 396"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2019-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s11698-019-00192-z","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45597439","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2019-11-15DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00196-9
Nicolas Devijlder, K. Schoors
{"title":"Land rights, local financial development and industrial activity: evidence from Flanders (nineteenth–early twentieth century)","authors":"Nicolas Devijlder, K. Schoors","doi":"10.1007/s11698-019-00196-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-019-00196-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44951,"journal":{"name":"Cliometrica","volume":"14 1","pages":"507 - 550"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2019-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s11698-019-00196-9","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45680755","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2019-11-07DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00193-y
D. Allen, B. Leonard
{"title":"How many rushed during the Oklahoma land openings?","authors":"D. Allen, B. Leonard","doi":"10.1007/s11698-019-00193-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-019-00193-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44951,"journal":{"name":"Cliometrica","volume":"14 1","pages":"397 - 416"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2019-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s11698-019-00193-y","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"52564274","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2019-10-22DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00194-x
F. González
{"title":"Immigration and human capital: consequences of a nineteenth century settlement policy","authors":"F. González","doi":"10.1007/s11698-019-00194-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-019-00194-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44951,"journal":{"name":"Cliometrica","volume":"14 1","pages":"443 - 477"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2019-10-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s11698-019-00194-x","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43582761","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2019-09-05DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00191-0
Adrien Montalbo
This article investigates the impact of industrial activities on primary instruction in early nineteenth-century France. To do so, I use a newly constituted database on the location and characteristics of primary schools at the level of municipalities. This database is extracted from the Guizot survey conducted in 1833, before the implementation of the first national law making the opening of a school mandatory in any municipality more than 500 inhabitants. By using mineral deposits as an instrument, I first show that the presence of industrial activities in a given municipality was positively influencing the presence of primary schools. An increase in the supply of schools by municipalities explains this association. Additional resources transferred to them by manufactures favoured this increase through an income effect. However, I find no significant link between industry and the accumulation of human capital. On the contrary, I provide indications that industrial activities were associated with lower enrolment rates. If they had a positive impact on the demand for schooling, it was only for a very restricted part of the population.
{"title":"Industrial activities and primary schooling in early nineteenth-century France","authors":"Adrien Montalbo","doi":"10.1007/s11698-019-00191-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-019-00191-0","url":null,"abstract":"This article investigates the impact of industrial activities on primary instruction in early nineteenth-century France. To do so, I use a newly constituted database on the location and characteristics of primary schools at the level of municipalities. This database is extracted from the Guizot survey conducted in 1833, before the implementation of the first national law making the opening of a school mandatory in any municipality more than 500 inhabitants. By using mineral deposits as an instrument, I first show that the presence of industrial activities in a given municipality was positively influencing the presence of primary schools. An increase in the supply of schools by municipalities explains this association. Additional resources transferred to them by manufactures favoured this increase through an income effect. However, I find no significant link between industry and the accumulation of human capital. On the contrary, I provide indications that industrial activities were associated with lower enrolment rates. If they had a positive impact on the demand for schooling, it was only for a very restricted part of the population.","PeriodicalId":44951,"journal":{"name":"Cliometrica","volume":"151 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2019-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140888927","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2019-08-02DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00190-1
Gabriel P. Mathy
The USA in the 1930s experienced unprecedented uncertainty. Uncertainty shocks buffeted the economy during recessionary periods, but these shocks receded during the recovery periods of the Great Depression. Using vector autoregressions on monthly data for 1919–1941, I show that a one standard deviation increase in uncertainty decreased investment, GDP, industrial output, employment, hours worked, wages, and the price level. I perform a historical decomposition simulation to see how much uncertainty shocks mattered for explaining movements in major variables during the Depression. Roughly 40–70% of the simulated decline in output can be explained by uncertainty shocks in the Great Depression.
{"title":"How much did uncertainty shocks matter in the Great Depression?","authors":"Gabriel P. Mathy","doi":"10.1007/s11698-019-00190-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-019-00190-1","url":null,"abstract":"The USA in the 1930s experienced unprecedented uncertainty. Uncertainty shocks buffeted the economy during recessionary periods, but these shocks receded during the recovery periods of the Great Depression. Using vector autoregressions on monthly data for 1919–1941, I show that a one standard deviation increase in uncertainty decreased investment, GDP, industrial output, employment, hours worked, wages, and the price level. I perform a historical decomposition simulation to see how much uncertainty shocks mattered for explaining movements in major variables during the Depression. Roughly 40–70% of the simulated decline in output can be explained by uncertainty shocks in the Great Depression.","PeriodicalId":44951,"journal":{"name":"Cliometrica","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2019-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140888931","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2019-07-16DOI: 10.1007/s11698-019-00189-8
Adomas Klimantas, Aras Zirgulis
{"title":"A new estimate of Lithuanian GDP for 1937: How does interwar Lithuania compare?","authors":"Adomas Klimantas, Aras Zirgulis","doi":"10.1007/s11698-019-00189-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-019-00189-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44951,"journal":{"name":"Cliometrica","volume":"14 1","pages":"227 - 281"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2019-07-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s11698-019-00189-8","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"52564159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}