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Attaining environmental sustainability amidst the interacting forces of natural resource rent and foreign direct investment: Is Norway any different? 在自然资源租金和外国直接投资的相互作用下实现环境可持续性:挪威有什么不同吗?
IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12292
E. Udemba, Vishal Dagar, Xuhui Peng, Leila Dagher
This is a study of Norway's sustainable environment development amidst the interactions of natural resources, external investment (FDI) and economic development. Much has been done with respect to the study of Norway's economic performance in relation to the link between the natural resources and FDI with little emphasis on the environmental performance of the resource‐based economy. Also, Norway is classified as among the top countries in Europe with a greater percentage of adopting renewable energy, and no study has done a critical review of the impact of natural resources and FDI which are part of drivers of carbon emission that can counter the positive impact of renewable energy towards the Norway's sustainable environment. On this basis, this study adopts a time series data of Norway, 1970 to 2018 to study its environmental performance. Approaches such as structural break analysis, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)‐bound testing and Granger causality estimations are utilised in this study for in‐depth analysis of the subject. Findings from ARDL confirmed a positive association between fuels and carbon emission, other indicators (economic growth and natural resources) are improving the quality of the country's environment. FDI even though shows positive sign remains insignificant in impacting the environmental performance in the short run reverted to a significant negative relationship with carbon emissions. This confirms the pollution halo hypothesis and rejects the pollution haven hypothesis (PHH) for Norway, and this trend can be sustained with the constant implementation of environmental rules in the country. Granger test confirms, a one‐way transition from fossil fuels to carbon emission, from carbon emission to growth, and from economic growth to fossil fuels. Also, a two‐way transmission is found between fossil fuels and FDI. These findings from Granger causality are consistent with the findings from ARDL, hence, two ways interactions between FDI and fossil fuel energy source consumption from Granger causality and the two variables (fossil fuels and FDI) are seen impacting on Norway's environmental performance. Findings from the estimates suggest that natural resources and FDI are mitigating pollution, hence, Norway's policy is expected to be resources and FDI driven in sustainable environment development.
这是一项关于挪威在自然资源、外国投资和经济发展相互作用下的可持续环境发展的研究。在研究挪威与自然资源和外国直接投资之间联系的经济表现方面,已经做了很多工作,很少强调资源型经济的环境表现。此外,挪威被列为采用可再生能源比例较高的欧洲顶级国家之一,没有任何研究对自然资源和外国直接投资的影响进行批判性审查,因为自然资源和直接投资是碳排放的驱动因素之一,可以抵消可再生能源对挪威可持续环境的积极影响。在此基础上,本研究采用挪威1970年至2018年的时间序列数据来研究其环境绩效。本研究采用结构断裂分析、自回归分布滞后(ARDL)界检验和格兰杰因果关系估计等方法对受试者进行深入分析。ARDL的研究结果证实了燃料与碳排放之间的正相关,其他指标(经济增长和自然资源)正在改善该国的环境质量。外国直接投资尽管显示出积极的迹象,但在短期内对环境绩效的影响仍然微不足道,与碳排放量呈显著的负相关。这证实了污染晕假说,并否定了挪威的污染天堂假说(PHH),随着该国环境规则的不断实施,这一趋势可以持续下去。格兰杰检验证实,从化石燃料到碳排放,从碳排放到增长,从经济增长到化石燃料的单向过渡。此外,化石燃料和外国直接投资之间存在双向传递。格兰杰因果关系的这些发现与ARDL的发现一致,因此,格兰杰因果和两个变量(化石燃料和外国直接投资)的外国直接投资和化石燃料能源消耗之间的双向相互作用影响了挪威的环境绩效。估算结果表明,自然资源和外国直接投资正在减轻污染,因此,挪威的政策预计将由资源和外国投资推动可持续环境发展。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of remittance outflows: The case of Saudi Arabia 汇款外流的决定因素:以沙特阿拉伯为例
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12291
Muhammad Javid, Fakhri J. Hasanov
Abstract The Saudi Arabian economy heavily uses foreign labour and hence, ranks among the top countries not only in the Gulf Cooperation Council region, but also globally in terms of remittance outflows. This study develops a theoretical model to investigate the determinants of remittance outflows from Saudi Arabia. The cointegration and equilibrium correction methods, and adjustments for small sample bias, are applied to the data for 1970‐2021 using the theoretical model developed. In the long run, keeping other factors unchanged, Saudi Arabia's gross domestic and non‐Saudi employment have positive and statistically significant impacts on the remittance outflows, while the impacts of the price level and expatriate levy are negative and statically significant. This study's findings may be useful for macroeconomic policymaking, as the remittance outflows have numerous implications for the development of the Saudi economy. Particularly, remittances are a primary channel for leaking money from Saudi Arabia, reducing the economic growth effects of fiscal spending multipliers.
沙特阿拉伯经济大量使用外国劳动力,因此,在汇款流出方面,不仅在海湾合作委员会地区,而且在全球范围内都名列前茅。本研究建立了一个理论模型来研究沙特阿拉伯汇款外流的决定因素。使用开发的理论模型,将协整和平衡校正方法以及小样本偏差调整应用于1970 - 2021年的数据。从长远来看,在保持其他因素不变的情况下,沙特阿拉伯的国内总就业和非沙特就业对汇款流出有积极的、统计学上显著的影响,而物价水平和外籍人士征税的影响是消极的、统计学上显著的。这项研究的发现可能对宏观经济政策制定有用,因为汇款外流对沙特经济的发展有许多影响。特别是,汇款是沙特阿拉伯流出资金的主要渠道,降低了财政支出乘数对经济增长的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Testing the effects of banking development, economic growth and foreign direct investment on renewable energy in South Africa 测试南非银行业发展、经济增长和外国直接投资对可再生能源的影响
IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-26 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12289
A. Samour, Hariem Abdullah, D. Moyo, Mumtaz Ali, Turgut Tursoy
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引用次数: 0
Do oil prices have an asymmetric impact on economic output in India? Empirical evidence using asymmetric cointegration approach 油价对印度经济产出的影响是否不对称?使用非对称协整方法的经验证据
IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12290
Vishal Sharma, Masudul Hasan Adil, Sana Fatima
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引用次数: 0
Predicting Indian electricity exchange‐traded market prices: SARIMA and MLP approach 预测印度电力交易所交易市场价格:SARIMA和MLP方法
IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-10 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12287
Sonal Gupta, Deepankar Chakrabarty, Rupesh Kumar
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引用次数: 1
Hydrocarbon price spillover to banking performance in Eurozone 碳氢化合物价格对欧元区银行业绩的溢出效应
IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-07 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12286
Nahla Samargandi
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引用次数: 0
The effect of oil price shocks on stock market performance in selected African countries 石油价格冲击对某些非洲国家股票市场表现的影响
IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12288
Chukwuemelie C. Okpezune, Mehdi Seraj, Huseyin Ozdeser
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引用次数: 0
The impact of oil price shocks on the agricultural commodity prices 石油价格冲击对农产品价格的影响
IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12281
Ozge Kandemir Kocaaslan
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引用次数: 0
How economic growth, sustainable energy and carbon emission impact each other? New insights from India using ARDL approach 经济增长、可持续能源和碳排放如何相互影响?印度ARDL方法的新见解
IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-03 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12280
Jasvinder Kaur, Kamaljit Singh, R. Chaudhary, S. Vashishtha
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引用次数: 1
Simulating policy responses to multiple economic shocks: An experiment with combined impacts of COVID‐19 and oil price crash on Kuwait 模拟应对多重经济冲击的政策:2019冠状病毒病和油价暴跌对科威特综合影响的实验
IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-12 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12279
A. Gelan, S. Al-qudsi, Ahmad Alawadhi
Researchers and policy‐makers are used to measuring impacts of an economic shock. However, multiple economic shocks generate disruption that are challenging, not just analytically but also in the interpretations of results (Pagan & Robinson, European Economic Review, 145, 2022, 104120). The disruptions come through multiple channels whose impacts were trickier to measure than emanating from those of a single shock. This study develops and applies a framework to conduct simulation experiments with multiple economic shocks. Kuwaiti data were used to simulate multiple economic shocks to the economy originating from the Corona Pandemic and the collapse of oil price, which simultaneously happened during the first quarter of 2020. As an oil exporting country, Kuwait is used to dealing with recurrent changes in oil prices in the world market as a single shock. However, unlike the oil shock, COVID‐19 has many demand and supply shocks, each with separate transmission channels. The objective here is to quantify relative contributions to overall adverse effects on GDP, and then identify policy instruments required to implement a successful recovery. A recursive dynamic economy‐wide model was formulated and calibrated. The results indicate that the GDP effects range from 35% to 11% declines from the baseline scenario depending on effectiveness of policy responses. [ FROM AUTHOR] Copyright of OPEC Energy Review is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full . (Copyright applies to all s.)
研究人员和政策制定者习惯于衡量经济冲击的影响。然而,多重经济冲击产生的破坏不仅在分析上具有挑战性,而且在对结果的解释上也具有挑战性(Pagan&Robinson,《欧洲经济评论》,1452022,104120)。破坏来自多个渠道,其影响比单一冲击的影响更难衡量。本研究开发并应用了一个框架来进行多重经济冲击的模拟实验。科威特的数据被用来模拟2020年第一季度同时发生的冠状病毒大流行和油价暴跌对经济的多重经济冲击。作为一个石油出口国,科威特习惯于将世界市场油价的反复变化视为一个单一的冲击。然而,与石油冲击不同,2019冠状病毒病有许多需求和供应冲击,每个冲击都有不同的传播渠道。这里的目标是量化对GDP总体不利影响的相对贡献,然后确定成功复苏所需的政策工具。建立并校准了一个递归动态经济模型。结果表明,GDP效应比基线情景下降35%至11%,具体取决于政策应对的有效性。[发件人]《欧佩克能源评论》的版权归Wiley Blackwell所有,未经版权持有人明确书面许可,不得将其内容复制或通过电子邮件发送到多个网站或发布到listserv。但是,用户可以打印、下载或通过电子邮件发送文章供个人使用。这可能会被删节。对复印件的准确性不作任何保证。用户应参考材料的原始发布版本以获取完整信息。(版权适用于所有人。)
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引用次数: 0
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