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Do Remittances Matter for Economic Growth? 汇款对经济增长重要吗?
IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-10-16 DOI: 10.31577/ekoncas.2020.09.01
Daniel Dujava, Marek Kálovec
Remittances represent one of the most important money flows into the developing world comparable to, and often exceeding, earnings from exports of goods and services and foreign direct investments. Even though importance of remittances in poverty reduction has been documented, impact of remittances on economic growth remains under-investigated mainly due to a strong endogeneity of remittances with respect to both level and growth rates of GDP. We provide detailed look into this endogenous relationship and discuss possible instruments which can help to remedy this problem in IV-estimation. In order to establish a link between economic growth and remittances we use range of instrumental variables encompassing geographical, microeconomic-based and internal instruments. By interacting remittances with other determinants of economic growth we provide evidence that remittances are especially important source of growth in poor countries not because of low level of development per se, but because the effect of remittances on growth is stronger providing level of human capital and savings rate are low and financial markets are underdeveloped.
汇款是流入发展中世界的最重要的资金之一,可与商品和服务出口以及外国直接投资的收入相媲美,而且往往超过后者。尽管汇款在减贫方面的重要性已有文献记载,但汇款对经济增长的影响仍未得到充分调查,这主要是由于汇款在国内生产总值水平和增长率方面具有很强的内生性。我们提供了对这种内生性关系的详细研究,并讨论了可能的工具,可以帮助在iv估计中纠正这个问题。为了在经济增长和汇款之间建立联系,我们使用了一系列工具变量,包括地理、微观经济和内部工具。通过将汇款与经济增长的其他决定因素相互作用,我们提供了证据,证明汇款在贫穷国家是特别重要的增长来源,这不是因为发展水平本身较低,而是因为在人力资本水平和储蓄率较低以及金融市场不发达的情况下,汇款对增长的影响更强。
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引用次数: 1
The Efficiency of Public Higher Education Institutions: A Meta-Analysis 公立高等教育机构效率:一个元分析
IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-10-16 DOI: 10.31577/ekoncas.2020.09.05
Pavla Mikušová
Measuring the efficiency of public higher education institutions has become a subject of many studies. We analyse these studies using meta-analysis and identify the most commonly adopted inputs and outputs in the DEA and SFA models (e.g. the number of students, graduates, academic staff). Data obtained from these studies were used for meta-regression analysis. We analyse the effect of independent variables (sample size, the number of inputs and outputs, method used, model orientations, returns to scale and to the country) on the average technical efficiency of public higher education institutions. Finally, we use this model to predict the average technical efficiency of the Czech and Slovak public higher education institutions.
衡量公立高等教育机构的效率已成为许多研究的课题。我们使用荟萃分析对这些研究进行了分析,并确定了DEA和SFA模型中最常用的输入和输出(例如学生、毕业生、学术人员的数量)。从这些研究中获得的数据用于meta回归分析。我们分析了自变量(样本量、投入产出数量、使用的方法、模型取向、规模回报和国家回报)对公立高等教育机构平均技术效率的影响。最后,运用该模型对捷克和斯洛伐克公立高等教育机构的平均技术效率进行了预测。
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引用次数: 2
The Effects of Trade Policy on Trade among the EU and BRICS Countries 贸易政策对欧盟与金砖国家贸易的影响
IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-10-16 DOI: 10.31577/ekoncas.2020.09.03
Bohdan Vahalík, L. Fojtíková
The aim of this paper is to estimate whether the liberalization process benefited a mutual trade between the EU and BRICS Members over the last two decades, and whether protectionism, which is currently on the rise, still represents a significant toll to trade. Our results proved that the multilateral trade liberalization process, represented by the WTO, is no longer benefiting trade among observed economies. It clearly confirms the long-standing stalemate in the WTO. We have also found that the observed FTA between the EU and South Africa created trade strongly, but unevenly. Finally, we found that the level of tariffs no longer represents a significant barrier to trade among observed countries.
本文的目的是估计自由化进程是否在过去二十年中使欧盟和金砖国家成员之间的相互贸易受益,以及目前正在上升的保护主义是否仍然对贸易造成重大损失。我们的研究结果证明,以世贸组织为代表的多边贸易自由化进程不再有利于观察经济体之间的贸易。这显然证实了世贸组织长期以来的僵局。我们还发现,欧盟和南非之间的自由贸易协定创造了强劲的贸易,但并不均衡。最后,我们发现,关税水平不再是观察国家之间贸易的重大障碍。
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引用次数: 1
Transmission of Fiscal Spillovers on Interest Rates in EMU 欧洲货币联盟财政溢出效应对利率的传导
IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-10-16 DOI: 10.31577/ekoncas.2020.09.04
Lena Malešević Perović
In this paper we investigate the relationship between fiscal imbalances and long-term interest rates and assess various transmission channels of fiscal spillovers in EMU during 2002 – 2015. Our results support the importance of bilateral trade, informational and geographical channel of transmission, with spillovers accounting for more than 50 percent of the overall effect. Our findings suggest that if the share of public debt in GDP in all countries increases by 1 percentage point, the long-term interest rates of a given country will, on average, increase by 2.56 – 5.98 basis points, 1.9 – 3.61 basis points of which can be attributed to indirect effects.
本文研究了2002 - 2015年欧洲货币联盟财政失衡与长期利率之间的关系,并评估了财政溢出效应的各种传导渠道。我们的研究结果支持双边贸易、信息和地理传播渠道的重要性,溢出效应占总体效应的50%以上。我们的研究结果表明,如果所有国家的公共债务占GDP的比例增加1个百分点,一个特定国家的长期利率将平均增加2.56 - 5.98个基点,其中1.9 - 3.61个基点可归因于间接影响。
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引用次数: 0
Differences of Private Equity Determinants: Country-level Evidence from Europe 私募股权决定因素的差异:来自欧洲国家层面的证据
IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-09-02 DOI: 10.31577/ekoncas.2020.08.04
Tomáš Štofa, M. Šoltés
This paper deals with private equity determinants w i hin the European Union, based on data covering 11 years and 20 countries. W e investigate driving forces of private equity activity in terms of the level of country maturity. The cluster analysis using Ward’s method is performed suggestin g three different clusters of countries with similar properties, to provide be tter country assessment than geographical distribution. We use panel data techni ques to study 26 possible determinants of private equity activity. The study reveals the macroeconomic factors, labour market, and business environment ha ve a significant impact on investment activity in countries, but the expected positive effect of the stock market was not confirmed. Furthermore, the differences b tween private equity determinants in individual clusters have been observe d. While the positive impact of innovation prevails in the more developed countr ies, there is also a negative effect of the interest rate. The less developed cou ntries tend to be more endangered by the crowding-out effect of government expe nditures and strong property rights protection rather than socio-political stabi lity and tax burden.
本文基于涵盖11年和20个国家的数据,探讨了欧盟内部的私募股权决定因素。我们从国家成熟程度的角度来研究私募股权活动的驱动力。使用沃德的方法进行聚类分析,建议具有相似属性的三个不同的国家集群,以提供比地理分布更好的国家评估。我们使用面板数据技术来研究私募股权活动的26个可能的决定因素。研究表明,宏观经济因素、劳动力市场和商业环境对各国的投资活动有显著影响,但股票市场的预期积极影响尚未得到证实。此外,个别集群中私募股权决定因素之间的差异已经被观察到。虽然创新的积极影响在较发达的国家普遍存在,但利率也存在负面影响。相对于社会政治稳定和税收负担,欠发达国家更容易受到政府支出结构和强有力的产权保护的挤出效应的威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Behavioural Biases and Stock Market Reaction: Evidence from Six Post-communist Countries 行为偏见和股票市场反应:来自六个后共产主义国家的证据
IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-09-02 DOI: 10.31577/ekoncas.2020.08.03
Ruxandra Trifan
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引用次数: 6
Determinants of Individual Life-Related Insurance Consumption: The Case of the Slovak Republic 个人人寿相关保险消费的决定因素:斯洛伐克共和国的案例
IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-09-02 DOI: 10.31577/ekoncas.2020.08.05
Tomáš Ondruška, E. Pastoráková, Zuzana Brokesová
The premature death of a breadwinner, serious inju ries or an insufficient level of income during retirement can decrease the living standard of households substantially. Life insurance represents a tool for managing such kinds of uncertainties, however, individuals do not adequately co nsider this need for security. Papers focusing on factors determining life-related insurance consumption identified many variations in the effect of these facto rs. The reasons are not clear, but one of the explanations is the aggregated natur e of life insurance without focus on the type of covered risks. Based on survey data, we confirm the differences in the determinants of various risks covered by life insurance. In the general life insurance model, we confirmed the foll owing as significant determinants: gender, head of household status, combinat io of marital status and dependent children, saving behaviour and employment status. In the private pension insurance coverage, significant determinant s re age, education, saving behaviour and employment status. The willingness to buy accident cover with life insurance is determined by the saving behaviou r and employment status. Marginal effect has the status of head of household .
养家糊口的人过早死亡、严重受伤或退休时收入不足,都可能大大降低家庭的生活水平。人寿保险是管理这种不确定性的一种工具,然而,个人并没有充分考虑到这种安全需求。关注决定寿险消费因素的论文发现了这些事实影响的许多变化。其原因尚不清楚,但其中一个解释是人寿保险的汇总性质,而没有关注承保风险的类型。根据调查数据,我们确认了人寿保险承保的各种风险的决定因素的差异。在一般人寿保险模型中,我们确认了以下因素是重要的决定因素:性别、户主地位、婚姻状况和受抚养子女的组合、储蓄行为和就业状况。在私人养老保险覆盖面中,年龄、教育程度、储蓄行为和就业状况是重要的决定因素。购买人身险意外险的意愿是由储蓄行为和就业状况决定的。边际效应具有户主地位。
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引用次数: 0
ŠTĚDROŇ, B. – MATĚJKA, J. – NAVRÁTIL, J. – PROROK, V. a kol. (2020): Právo a umělá inteligence
IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-09-02 DOI: 10.31577/ekoncas.2020.08.06
Otto Dostál
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引用次数: 0
Is Inflation a Monetary Phenomenon in the East European Economies? – Multifrequency Bayesian Quantile Inference 通货膨胀是东欧经济体的一种货币现象吗?-多频贝叶斯分位数推理
IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-09-02 DOI: 10.31577/ekoncas.2020.08.02
D. Živkov, Jelena Kovacevic, S. Lončar
This paper tries to determine how growth of money supply affects inflation in different time-horizons and under different inflati on levels in the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary and Russia. The research is done by using two innovative methodologies – the wavelet approach and Bayesian q uantile regression. By observing these four countries, we can assess wheth er inflation targeting (IT) plays significant role in curbing inflation, becaus e three Visegrad group countries adopted IT almost two decades ago, while Russ ia tarted to conduct IT relatively recently. Estimated quantiles suggest th a money supply growth does not influence inflation in the Czech Republic and H ungary, whatsoever. We find that money growth impacts inflation in Poland, but very modestly. On the other hand, in the case of Russia, the transmission effec t rom money to inflation is much higher, and it goes around 40% in low infla tion conditions, when M1 aggregate is observed, and around 78% in low inflat ion conditions, when M3 aggregate is analysed. The overall results clearly indicate that the adoption of the IT framework as a disinflation strategy proved to be successful in the Visegrad group countries, since excessive money growth has little or no effect at all on inflation in these countries.
本文试图确定捷克共和国、波兰、匈牙利和俄罗斯在不同时间范围和不同通胀水平下货币供应量增长对通胀的影响。该研究采用了两种创新的方法-小波方法和贝叶斯q位数回归。通过观察这四个国家,我们可以评估它们的通货膨胀目标制(IT)是否在抑制通货膨胀方面发挥了重要作用,因为这三个维谢格拉德集团国家几乎在20年前就采用了IT,而俄罗斯则是在最近才开始实施IT。估计的分位数表明,无论如何,货币供应的增长不会影响捷克共和国和匈牙利的通胀。我们发现货币增长对波兰通货膨胀的影响非常小。另一方面,在俄罗斯的情况下,货币对通货膨胀的传导效应要高得多,当观察到M1总量时,它在低通胀条件下约为40%,当分析M3总量时,它在低通胀条件下约为78%。总体结果清楚地表明,采用IT框架作为反通货膨胀策略在维谢格拉德集团国家被证明是成功的,因为过度的货币增长对这些国家的通货膨胀几乎没有或根本没有影响。
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引用次数: 1
The Determinants of Consumption of 50+ Population in Croatia 克罗地亚50岁以上人口消费的决定因素
IF 0.4 4区 经济学 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-07-17 DOI: 10.31577/ekoncas.2020.07.05
Anita Čeh Časni Čeh Časni, Irena Palić, Petra Palić
The aim of this paper is to explore the basic featu res of consumption of 50+ population in Croatia by using the data from Survey of Health, Ageing, and Retirement in Europe – SHARE (SHARE, 2017). Thereby w e use an extended model of consumption that includes basic consumption dete rminants that are stipulated by the economic theory and empirical research, name ly income and wealth which are retrieved from SHARE database and augment it wi h other economic and socio-demographic features of „50+“ population that may exhibit an influence on consumption decisions. In order to model ho usehold consumption, we use ordinary least squares (OLS) method when estima ting the baseline regression equation. Additionally, control variables labo ur status, gender and marital status are used in order to explore whether the hou sehold consumption is more responsive to changes in household income and wealt h for specific groups of respondents. The results of the analysis indicate t hat retired individuals have higher marginal propensity to consume compared to t he employed individuals, which is in line with the life-cycle theory.
本文的目的是通过使用欧洲健康,老龄化和退休调查- SHARE (SHARE, 2017)的数据来探索克罗地亚50岁以上人口消费的基本特征。因此,我们使用了一个扩展的消费模型,其中包括经济理论和实证研究规定的基本消费决定因素,即从SHARE数据库检索的收入和财富,并将其与可能对消费决策产生影响的“50+”人口的其他经济和社会人口特征相结合。为了对家庭消费进行建模,我们在估计基线回归方程时使用了普通最小二乘(OLS)方法。此外,为了探讨家庭消费是否对特定群体的家庭收入和财富的变化更敏感,我们使用了控制变量劳动状况、性别和婚姻状况。分析结果表明,退休人员的边际消费倾向高于在职人员,这符合生命周期理论。
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引用次数: 0
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Ekonomicky Casopis
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