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A Portfolio Model of Quantitative Easing 量化宽松的投资组合模型
IF 0.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-09-02 DOI: 10.1142/s2010139222500112
Jens H. E. Christensen, Signe Krogstrup

This paper presents a portfolio model of asset price effects arising from central bank large-scale asset purchases, or quantitative easing (QE). Two financial frictions — segmentation of the market for central bank reserves and imperfect asset substitutability — give rise to two distinct portfolio effects. One is well known and derives from the reduced supply of the purchased assets. The other is new, runs through banks’ portfolio responses to reserves expansions, and is independent of the types of assets purchased. The results imply that central bank reserve expansions can affect long-term bond prices even in the absence of long-term bond purchases.

本文提出了中央银行大规模资产购买或量化宽松(QE)所产生的资产价格效应的投资组合模型。两种金融摩擦——央行储备市场的分割和资产的不完全可替代性——产生了两种截然不同的投资组合效应。一种是众所周知的,源于购买资产的供给减少。另一种是新的,贯穿于银行对储备扩张的投资组合反应,与购买的资产类型无关。结果表明,即使在没有长期债券购买的情况下,央行储备扩张也会影响长期债券价格。
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引用次数: 0
Stock Liquidity and Issuing Activity 股票流动性和发行活动
IF 0.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-08-12 DOI: 10.1142/s2010139222500100
Alexander Barinov

Issuing activity does not result in superior post-issue liquidity. New issues are just as liquid as their peer non-issuers. Even the kinds of new issues that are supposed to be more liquid than others (initial public offerings (IPOs) backed by venture capital, new issues with high-prestige underwriters, severely underpriced IPOs) have the same liquidity as other similar issuers. The paper thus refutes the existing liquidity-based explanations of the new issues puzzle. The paper also shows that the low-minus-high turnover factor seems to explain the new issues puzzle and related anomalies only because it picks up volatility risk.

发行活动不会导致发行后流动性的提高。新股发行的流动性与同类非发行者一样。即使是那些被认为比其他新股更具流动性的新股(由风险资本支持的首次公开发行(ipo)、有高声望承销商的新股、价格严重低估的ipo),其流动性也与其他类似发行人相同。因此,本文驳斥了现有的基于流动性的新问题解释。本文还表明,低-高周转率因子似乎只能解释新发行之谜和相关异常,因为它会增加波动风险。
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引用次数: 0
Public and Private Information: Firm Disclosure, SEC Letters, and the JOBS Act 公共和私人信息:公司披露、SEC信函和JOBS法案
IF 0.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.1142/s2010139222500069
Sumit Agarwal, Sudip Gupta, Ryan Israelsen

This paper examines the impact of the recently passed Jumpstart Our Business Startups (JOBS) Act on the behavior of market participants. Using the JOBS Act — which relaxed mandatory information disclosure requirements — as a natural experiment on firms’ choices of the mix of hard, accounting information and textual disclosures, we find that relative to a peer group of firms, initial public offering (IPO) firms reduce accounting disclosures and change textual disclosures. Because it allows a partial revelation of IPO quality, only textual disclosures affect underpricing. We also find that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) changes its behavior post-JOBS Act in responding to draft registration statements. Specifically, the SEC’s comment letters to firms are more negative in tone, and more forceful in their recommendations, focusing on quantitative information. Finally, under the JOBS Act, investors place more emphasis on the information produced by the SEC when pricing the stock. Returns following public release of the letters vary by about 4% based on letter tone.

本文考察了最近通过的《启动创业公司法案》对市场参与者行为的影响。利用放宽强制性信息披露要求的JOBS法案,作为企业选择硬信息、会计信息和文本披露组合的自然实验,我们发现相对于同行公司,首次公开发行(IPO)公司减少了会计披露,改变了文本披露。因为它允许部分披露IPO的质量,只有文字披露才会影响低估。我们还发现,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)在回应注册声明草案时改变了其在jobs法案后的行为。具体来说,SEC给公司的意见信语气更为负面,建议也更加有力,重点放在量化信息上。最后,根据《就业法案》,投资者在为股票定价时更加重视SEC提供的信息。根据信件的语气,公开发布信件后的回报会有4%左右的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Can Investors Benefit from Hedge Fund Strategies? Utility-Based, Out-of-Sample Evidence 投资者能从对冲基金策略中获益吗?基于效用的样本外证据
IF 0.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI: 10.1142/s2010139222500070
Massimo Guidolin, Alexei G. Orlov

We report systematic, out-of-sample evidence on the benefits to an already well-diversified investor that may derive from further diversification into various hedge fund strategies. We investigate dynamic strategic asset allocation decisions that take into account investors’ preferences, realistic transaction costs, return predictability, and the parameter uncertainty that such predictability implies. Our results suggest that not all hedge fund strategies benefit a long-term investor who is already well-diversified across stocks, government and corporate bonds, and REITs. However, when parameter uncertainty is accounted for, the best performing models offer net positive economic gains to investors with low and moderate risk aversion. Most of the realized economic value fails to result from mean-variance-type enhancements in realized performance but comes instead from an improvement in realized higher-moment properties of optimal portfolios.

我们报告了系统的、样本外的证据,证明已经充分分散的投资者可能从进一步分散到各种对冲基金策略中获得好处。我们研究了考虑投资者偏好、实际交易成本、回报可预测性以及这种可预测性所隐含的参数不确定性的动态战略资产配置决策。我们的研究结果表明,并不是所有的对冲基金策略都有利于已经在股票、政府和公司债券以及房地产投资信托基金中进行了良好分散的长期投资者。然而,当考虑到参数的不确定性时,表现最好的模型为低和中等风险厌恶的投资者提供净正经济收益。大多数已实现的经济价值不是来自已实现业绩的均值方差型增强,而是来自已实现的最优投资组合高矩特性的改进。
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引用次数: 0
Index Design: Hedging and Manipulation 指数设计:对冲和操纵
IF 0.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-05-27 DOI: 10.1142/s2010139222500057
Robert Jarrow, Siguang Li

This paper studies optimal index design to facilitate both hedging and alleviate illegal manipulation in a competitive equilibrium paradigm, modified to deal with manipulation. Specifically, a large trader is trading both derivatives and assets that effectively hides her trades behind the competitive market clearing mechanism. Unlike the strategic game paradigm, a volume-weighted average pricing (VWAP) index introduces basis risk and encourages manipulation because of the additional randomness in volume weight and the greater price impact enjoyed by the large trader. In contrast, an equal-weighted average pricing (EWAP) index preserves market completeness and discourages manipulation.

本文研究了在竞争均衡范式下的最优指数设计,以促进对冲和减轻非法操纵,并对其进行了修改以应对操纵。具体来说,大型交易商同时交易衍生品和资产,从而有效地将其交易隐藏在竞争激烈的市场清算机制之后。与策略博弈模式不同,交易量加权平均定价(VWAP)指数引入了基差风险,并鼓励操纵,因为交易量权重的额外随机性和大型交易者享有的更大价格影响。相比之下,等加权平均定价(EWAP)指数保持了市场的完整性,并阻止了操纵。
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引用次数: 0
Do Stable Institutional Investors Influence Employee Safety? 稳定的机构投资者是否影响员工安全?
IF 0.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-05-18 DOI: 10.1142/s2010139222500045
Md Ruhul Amin, Hamid Sakaki

Using establishment-level data compiling incidents of work-related injuries from the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA), we find that workplace injury and illness rates decrease with institutional ownership stability. Our further analyses show that firms with more stable institutional ownership are likely to initiate socially responsible investing proposals and have lower employee workloads/pressure. These results suggest two potential mechanisms through which stable institutional investors influence workplace safety. Overall, stable institutional investors seem to benefit from improvements in employee safety, as work-related injuries have a negative impact on firm value.

利用职业安全与健康管理局(OSHA)编制的工伤事故数据,我们发现工伤和疾病率随着机构所有权的稳定而下降。我们的进一步分析表明,机构所有权更稳定的公司更有可能发起社会责任投资提案,员工工作量/压力也更低。这些结果表明了稳定的机构投资者影响工作场所安全的两种潜在机制。总体而言,稳定的机构投资者似乎受益于员工安全的改善,因为工伤对公司价值有负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Informed Trading in Dark Pools: Fair-Access Dark Venue vs. Restricted-Access Dark Venues 暗池中的知情交易:公平进入暗池vs.限制进入暗池
IF 0.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-04-18 DOI: 10.1142/s2010139222500033
Nguyet Nguyen

Prior empirical studies find that dark pools are, on average, associated with uninformed order flow. The “exemption from fair-access requirement” has been conjectured as a necessary condition for dark venues to segment uninformed order flow. This study presents direct evidence contrasting a dark venue that offers equal access to all market participants to other dark pools which have the ability to subjectively exclude order flow. Using the period leading up to surprise corporate earnings news, I document robust evidence of informed trading taking place in the fair access dark venue. I do not find such evidence in other dark venues.

先前的实证研究发现,平均而言,暗池与不知情的订单流有关。有人推测,“公平准入豁免”是暗场分割不知情订单流的必要条件。本研究提供了直接证据,对比了一个为所有市场参与者提供平等准入的暗池和其他有能力主观上排除订单流的暗池。利用出人意料的企业盈利消息发布前的这段时间,我找到了有力的证据,证明知情交易发生在公平交易的黑暗场所。我在其他黑暗的地方找不到这样的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Does Momentum Trading Generate Extra Downside Risk? 动量交易是否会产生额外的下行风险?
IF 0.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1142/s201013922250001x
Victoria Dobrynskaya

Momentum strategies tend to provide low returns during market crashes, and they crash themselves when the market rebounds after significant crashes. This is reflected by positive downside market betas and negative upside market betas of zero-cost momentum portfolios. Such asymmetry in upside and downside risks is unfavorable for investors and requires a risk premium. It arises mechanically because of momentum portfolio rebalancing based on trailing asset performance. The asymmetry in upside and downside risks is a robust unifying feature of momentum portfolios in various geographical and asset markets. The momentum premium can be rationalized within a standard asset-pricing framework, where upside and downside risks are priced differently.

动量策略往往在市场崩溃期间提供低回报,当市场在大幅崩溃后反弹时,它们也会崩溃。这反映在零成本动量投资组合的正下行市场贝塔和负上行市场贝塔上。这种上行和下行风险的不对称对投资者不利,需要风险溢价。它是机械地产生的,因为基于过去资产表现的动量投资组合再平衡。上行和下行风险的不对称是不同地域和资产市场动量投资组合的一个强大的统一特征。动能溢价可以在标准资产定价框架内得到合理解释,即上行风险和下行风险的定价不同。
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引用次数: 0
Bank Liquidity Hoarding and the Financial Crisis: An Empirical Evaluation 银行流动性囤积与金融危机:一个实证评价
IF 0.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-10-24 DOI: 10.1142/s2010139221500208
Jose M. Berrospide
I test and find supporting evidence for the precautionary motive hypothesis of liquidity hoarding for U.S. commercial banks during the global financial crisis. I find that banks held more liquid assets in anticipation of future losses from securities write-downs. Exposure to securities losses in their investment portfolios and expected loan losses (measured by loan loss reserves) represent key measures of banks’ on-balance sheet risks, in addition to off-balance sheet liquidity risk stemming from unused loan commitments. Furthermore, unrealized securities losses and loan loss reserves seem to better capture the risks stemming from banks’ asset management and provide supporting evidence for the precautionary nature of liquidity hoarding. Moreover, I find that more than one-fourth of the reduction in bank lending during the crisis is due to the precautionary motive.
本文对全球金融危机期间美国商业银行流动性囤积的预防性动机假说进行了检验,并找到了支持该假说的证据。我发现,银行持有更多的流动资产,因为它们预计未来会因证券减记而蒙受损失。投资组合中的证券损失敞口和预期贷款损失(以贷款损失准备金衡量)是衡量银行资产负债表内风险的关键指标,此外还包括未使用贷款承诺所产生的资产负债表外流动性风险。此外,未实现证券损失和贷款损失准备金似乎更好地反映了银行资产管理带来的风险,并为流动性囤积的预防性提供了支持性证据。此外,我发现,危机期间银行贷款减少的四分之一以上是出于预防动机。
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引用次数: 0
Anomalies in Commodity Futures Markets 商品期货市场的异常现象
IF 0.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-10-07 DOI: 10.1142/s2010139221500178
Fabian Hollstein, Marcel Prokopczuk, Björn Tharann
In recent years, commodity markets have become increasingly popular among financial investors. While previous studies document a factor structure, not much is known about how prominent anomalies are priced in commodity futures markets. We examine a large set of such anomaly variables. We identify sizable premia for jump risk, momentum, skewness, and volatility-of-volatility. Other prominent variables, such as downside beta, idiosyncratic volatility, and MAX, are not priced in commodity futures markets. Commodity investors should rebalance their portfolios regularly. Returns for annual holding periods are substantially weaker than for monthly rebalancing.
近年来,大宗商品市场越来越受到金融投资者的欢迎。虽然以前的研究记录了一个因素结构,但对于大宗商品期货市场中突出的异常是如何定价的,我们知之甚少。我们研究了大量这样的异常变量。我们认为跳跃风险、动量、偏度和波动性的波动性具有相当大的溢价。其他重要的变量,如下行贝塔、特殊波动率和MAX,都没有在商品期货市场定价。大宗商品投资者应定期调整其投资组合。年度持有期的回报率远低于月度再平衡。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Quarterly Journal of Finance
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