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Historical Methods最新文献

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Training and retraining in quantitative methods of social research 社会研究定量方法的培训和再培训
IF 1.4 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 1984-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1984.10594139
Jerome M. Clubb, M. Vinovskis
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引用次数: 1
Discrete multivariate analysis: an example from the 1871 Canadian census 离散多元分析:以1871年加拿大人口普查为例
IF 1.4 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 1983-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1983.10594104
M. Ornstein
An example of the application of modern statistical methods to the analysis of multivariate contingency tables of historical data is presented. The example involves a four-way cross-tabulation of urbanization by province by occupation of head of household by household type using data from individual records from the 1871 census of Canada. An overview of discrete multivariate analysis is first presented before it is applied to the example selected. (ANNOTATION)
本文给出了一个应用现代统计方法分析历史数据多变量列联表的实例。这个例子涉及按省份、户主职业和家庭类型分列的城市化的四方交叉表,使用的数据来自加拿大1871年人口普查的个人记录。在将离散多变量分析应用于所选示例之前,首先介绍离散多变量分析的概述。(注释)
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引用次数: 1
Estimating mortality from annuities, insurance, and other life contingent contracts. 估计因年金、保险和其他终身或有合同而导致的死亡率。
IF 1.4 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 1983-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1983.10594099
G. Alter
The author addresses "three problems in converting data from life contingent contracts into mortality estimates. First [he discusses] how age period and cohort effects can be identified and the construction of age specific mortality rates for periods and cohorts. Second an indirect standardization procedure for estimating the overall level of mortality from a partial life table [is] proposed. Third bias due to the selection of healthy nominees in annuities and insurance [is] discussed and shown to be a period effect of short duration." "The methods presented here were developed for use with the records of a life annuity sold in Amsterdam between 1586 and 1590 which are used for illustration." (EXCERPT)
作者提出了“将生命或有合同数据转换为死亡率估计的三个问题”。首先,[他讨论]如何确定年龄阶段和群体效应,以及如何构建特定年龄阶段和群体的死亡率。其次,提出了一种间接标准化程序,用于从部分生命表估计死亡率的总体水平。第三种偏见是由于在年金和保险中选择健康的候选人而引起的,这是一种短期持续时间的时期效应。”“这里提出的方法是为了使用1586年至1590年间在阿姆斯特丹出售的终身年金记录而开发的,这些记录用于说明。”(摘录)
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引用次数: 4
Methodological issues in the use of population registers for fertility analysis. 使用人口登记册进行生育率分析的方法问题。
IF 1.4 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 1983-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1983.10594105
S. Watkins, M. Gutmann
Some problems encountered in using population registers to study the process of fertility decline are described using the example of La Hulpe Belgium during the nineteenth century. Particular attention is paid to potential biases introduced into both traditional and nontraditional demographic measures by the characteristics of the population register. Consideration is given to when the exposure to risk of pregnancy begins and ends to problems of time and space and to how the data available can be used to measure the process of fertility decline. (ANNOTATION)
本文以19世纪比利时的拉胡尔佩为例,描述了利用人口登记研究生育率下降过程中遇到的一些问题。特别注意到由于人口登记的特点而给传统和非传统人口计量带来的潜在偏差。考虑到怀孕风险何时开始和结束、时间和空间问题以及如何利用现有数据来衡量生育率下降的过程。(注释)
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引用次数: 10
Own-child estimates of U. S. white fertility, 1886-1899. 对1886-1899年美国白人生育率的独生子女估计。
IF 1.4 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 1982-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1982.10594087
S. Tolnay, S. Graham, A. Guest
Uses data from a 1/750 household sample of the 1900 census manuscripts to make own-child estimates of fertility behavior among American white women in the years between 1886 and 1899. Fertility behavior is estimated by linking children's records with those of their mothers. New estimates of American total fertility rates for each year are provided separately for native and foreign-born whites. The degree of conscious control of fertility at this important period in American demographic history is estimated on the basis of age-specific patterns of reproduction. Variations in fertility patterns within major regional and urban-rural residence categories are analyzed, especially for the last 5 years of the century. Data on trends in fertility in the last 14 years of the century suggest the close correspondence between the fertility decline and the development of a mass educational system, particularly for native whites. Patterns for the foreign born during this time period are less easily interpretable within a modernization framework. Evidence on patterns of family limitation indicates the degree to which this period represented a transition from the minimal degree of conscious control over fertility at earlier points in the 19th century to the extremely rationalized system of reproduction which developed after 1940. The significant amount of fertility control at this time is not surprising, given other related studies, particularly since highly effective methods of birth control were probably not generally practiced. Abortion, however, may have been a very important means of family limitation. Patterns of reproduction in the late 1880s were highly varied within the United States. Native white women in the urban North Atlantic region had essentially achieved modern patterns of fertility limitation by the turn of the century, while Southern farm women were only a few steps removed from natural fertility. Important questions are raised concerning how populations with relatively similar cultural and ethnic heritages could achieve such different reproduction patterns. Charts and graphs illustrating birth rates, fertility rates and patterns are given.
使用1900年人口普查手稿中1/750个家庭样本的数据,对1886年至1899年间美国白人妇女的生育行为进行了自己的孩子估计。生育行为是通过将孩子的记录与其母亲的记录联系起来来估计的。美国每年的总生育率的新估计分别为本土和外国出生的白人提供。在美国人口历史上的这一重要时期,有意识控制生育的程度是根据特定年龄的生育模式来估计的。分析了主要区域和城乡居住类别内生育率形态的变化,特别是本世纪最后5年的变化。关于本世纪最后14年生育率趋势的数据表明,生育率下降与大众教育制度的发展,特别是对土著白人的教育制度之间有着密切的对应关系。在现代化的框架下,在这段时期出生的外国人的模式不太容易解释。关于家庭限制模式的证据表明,这一时期代表了从19世纪早期对生育的最低程度的有意识控制到1940年以后发展的极其合理化的生殖系统的过渡程度。考虑到其他相关研究,尤其是在高度有效的节育方法可能没有普遍实施的情况下,此时大量的生育控制并不令人惊讶。然而,堕胎可能是限制家庭的一种非常重要的手段。19世纪80年代末,美国的生殖模式变化很大。到本世纪初,北大西洋城市地区的土著白人妇女基本上已经达到了限制生育的现代模式,而南方的农场妇女离自然生育只有几步之遥。人们提出了一些重要的问题,即具有相对相似的文化和种族遗产的人口如何能够实现如此不同的繁殖模式。提供了说明出生率、生育率和模式的图表。
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引用次数: 42
Rethinking household structure: A new system of classification 重新思考家庭结构:一种新的分类体系
IF 1.4 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 1982-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1982.10594074
B. Laslett
This paper will discuss one central methodological issue in the historical study of changes in the American family--the coding and classification of household structure from information available on the individual federal census schedules. The historical case that will illustrate the procedures employed is Los Angeles California between 1850 and 1900. The factors involved in the choice of coding techniques used to create a machine-readable data file are examined. (EXCERPT)
本文将讨论美国家庭变化历史研究中的一个中心方法问题——根据联邦人口普查时间表上提供的信息对家庭结构进行编码和分类。1850年至1900年间的加州洛杉矶是一个历史案例,它将说明所采用的程序。研究了用于创建机器可读数据文件的编码技术的选择所涉及的因素。(摘录)
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引用次数: 2
Local and regional studies in historical demography. 历史人口学的地方和区域研究。
IF 1.4 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 1982-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1982.10594077
K. Lynch
A general review of recent trends in historical demographic research is presented. While noting a continuing concentration on local-level analysis based on the techniques of family reconstitution developed by Louis Henry the author also finds a trend toward an increasingly interdisciplinary approach to historical demographic problems. Specific trends identified include the integration of demographic analysis with issues of broader historical interest innovations in the use of under-exploited sources of data and a growing effort to disentangle relationships among demographic socioeconomic political and biological-epidemiological conditions of past populations.
概述了历史人口研究的最新趋势。在注意到以路易斯·亨利(Louis Henry)开发的家庭重建技术为基础的地方一级分析的同时,作者还发现了一种越来越多的跨学科方法来研究历史人口问题的趋势。确定的具体趋势包括将人口分析与更广泛的历史利益问题结合起来,在使用未充分开发的数据来源方面进行创新,以及越来越多地努力理清过去人口的人口、社会经济、政治和生物流行病学状况之间的关系。
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引用次数: 3
Psychohistory: Clio on the couch - or off? 心理历史:克里奥躺在沙发上,还是离开?
IF 1.4 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 1982-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1982.10594083
D. Dietrich
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引用次数: 2
Alternatives to record-linkage in the study of urban migration: the uses of naturalization records 城市移徙研究中记录联系的替代办法:入籍记录的使用
IF 1.4 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 1981-02-17 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1981.10594065
Gary P. Kocolowski
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引用次数: 2
Linkage of the 1880-81 Philadelphia death register to the 1880 manuscript census: a comparison of hand and machine-record linkage techniques. 1880-81年费城死亡登记与1880年人口普查手稿的联系:手工和机器记录联系技术的比较。
IF 1.4 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 1981-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.1981.10594059
G. Condran, J. Seaman
The authors describe the results of efforts to link information on black decedents from the 1880-1881 death register of Philadelphia to the 1880 U.S. census using a hand-linkage procedures with regard to the numbers of links and the biases of the linked files produced by each (ANNOTATION)
作者描述了将1880-1881年费城死亡登记簿上的黑人死者信息与1880年美国人口普查联系起来的努力结果,使用手动链接程序,考虑到链接的数量和每个链接文件的偏差(注释)。
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引用次数: 8
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Historical Methods
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