首页 > 最新文献

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis最新文献

英文 中文
How is the U.S. Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon? 美国是如何为碳定价的?我们如何为碳定价?
IF 3.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2022.19
Joseph E. Aldy, D. Burtraw, C. Fischer, M. Fowlie, Roberton C. Williams, M. Cropper
Abstract Economists have for decades recommended that carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases be taxed – or otherwise priced – to provide incentives for their reduction. The USA does not have a federal carbon tax; however, many state and federal programs to reduce carbon emissions effectively price carbon – for example, through cap-and-trade systems or regulations. There are also programs that subsidize reductions in carbon emissions. At the 2022 meetings of the American Economic Association, the Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis brought together five well-known economists – Joe Aldy, Dallas Burtraw, Carolyn Fischer, Meredith Fowlie, and Rob Williams – to discuss how the USA does, in fact, price carbon and how it could price carbon. Maureen Cropper chaired the panel. This paper summarizes their remarks.
几十年来,经济学家一直建议对二氧化碳和其他温室气体征税——或者以其他方式定价——以激励减排。美国没有联邦碳税;然而,许多减少碳排放的州和联邦计划有效地为碳定价——例如,通过限额与交易系统或法规。还有一些项目为减少碳排放提供补贴。在美国经济协会2022年的会议上,效益成本分析协会召集了五位知名经济学家——乔·阿尔迪、达拉斯·伯特劳、卡罗琳·菲舍尔、梅雷迪思·福利和罗布·威廉姆斯——讨论美国实际上是如何为碳定价的,以及如何为碳定价。莫林·克罗珀主持了该小组。本文对他们的评论进行了总结。
{"title":"How is the U.S. Pricing Carbon? How Could We Price Carbon?","authors":"Joseph E. Aldy, D. Burtraw, C. Fischer, M. Fowlie, Roberton C. Williams, M. Cropper","doi":"10.1017/bca.2022.19","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2022.19","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Economists have for decades recommended that carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases be taxed – or otherwise priced – to provide incentives for their reduction. The USA does not have a federal carbon tax; however, many state and federal programs to reduce carbon emissions effectively price carbon – for example, through cap-and-trade systems or regulations. There are also programs that subsidize reductions in carbon emissions. At the 2022 meetings of the American Economic Association, the Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis brought together five well-known economists – Joe Aldy, Dallas Burtraw, Carolyn Fischer, Meredith Fowlie, and Rob Williams – to discuss how the USA does, in fact, price carbon and how it could price carbon. Maureen Cropper chaired the panel. This paper summarizes their remarks.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"28 1","pages":"310 - 334"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84544471","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The Benefits and Costs of a Child Allowance 子女津贴的好处和费用
IF 3.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-23 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2022.15
I. Garfinkel, Laurel Sariscsany, Elizabeth Ananat, Sophie Collyer, R. Hartley, Buyi Wang, Christopher Wimer
Abstract This article conducts a benefit-cost analysis of a child allowance. Through a systematic literature review of the highest quality evidence on the causal effects of cash and near-cash transfers, this article produces core estimates on the benefits and costs per child and per adult of increasing household income by $1000, which can be used for any cash or near-cash program that increases household income. We then apply these estimates to three child allowance proposals, with the main proposal converting the $2000 Child Tax Credit in the federal income tax code into a fully refundable and more generous child allowance of $3600 per child ages 0–5 and $3000 per child ages 6–17, as enacted for 1 year in the American Rescue Plan. Aggregate costs and benefits are estimated via micro-simulation. Our estimates indicate that making the $2000 Child Tax Credit fully refundable and increasing benefits to $3000/$3600 would cost $97 billion per year and generate social benefits of $929 billion per year. Sensitivity analyses indicate that the results are robust to alternative assumptions and that each of the three child allowance proposals produces a very strong to an extraordinarily strong return for the U.S. population.
摘要本文对儿童津贴进行了收益-成本分析。通过对有关现金和近现金转移的因果效应的最高质量证据的系统文献综述,本文对每个儿童和每个成年人增加1000美元家庭收入的收益和成本进行了核心估计,这可以用于任何增加家庭收入的现金或近现金计划。然后,我们将这些估计应用于三项儿童津贴提案,其中主要提案将联邦所得税法中的2000美元儿童税收抵免转换为完全可退还且更慷慨的儿童津贴,即每个0-5岁儿童3600美元和每个6-17岁儿童3000美元,这是美国救援计划中颁布的为期一年的儿童津贴。通过微观模拟估算了总成本和收益。我们的估计表明,使2000美元的儿童税收抵免完全退还,并将福利增加到3000美元/ 3600美元,每年将花费970亿美元,每年产生9290亿美元的社会福利。敏感性分析表明,结果对其他假设是稳健的,并且三种儿童津贴建议中的每一种都为美国人口带来了非常强大到非常强大的回报。
{"title":"The Benefits and Costs of a Child Allowance","authors":"I. Garfinkel, Laurel Sariscsany, Elizabeth Ananat, Sophie Collyer, R. Hartley, Buyi Wang, Christopher Wimer","doi":"10.1017/bca.2022.15","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2022.15","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This article conducts a benefit-cost analysis of a child allowance. Through a systematic literature review of the highest quality evidence on the causal effects of cash and near-cash transfers, this article produces core estimates on the benefits and costs per child and per adult of increasing household income by $1000, which can be used for any cash or near-cash program that increases household income. We then apply these estimates to three child allowance proposals, with the main proposal converting the $2000 Child Tax Credit in the federal income tax code into a fully refundable and more generous child allowance of $3600 per child ages 0–5 and $3000 per child ages 6–17, as enacted for 1 year in the American Rescue Plan. Aggregate costs and benefits are estimated via micro-simulation. Our estimates indicate that making the $2000 Child Tax Credit fully refundable and increasing benefits to $3000/$3600 would cost $97 billion per year and generate social benefits of $929 billion per year. Sensitivity analyses indicate that the results are robust to alternative assumptions and that each of the three child allowance proposals produces a very strong to an extraordinarily strong return for the U.S. population.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"41 1","pages":"335 - 362"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85486817","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
A Benefit-Cost Analysis of Tulsa Pre-K, Based on Effects on High School Graduation and College Attendance 基于高中毕业率和大学出勤率影响的塔尔萨学前教育收益-成本分析
IF 3.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-20 DOI: 10.17848/pol2022-029
T. Bartik, W. Gormley, S. Amadon, Douglas Hummel-Price, J. Fuller
This paper presents new benefit–cost estimates for the Tulsa universal pre-K program. These calculations are based on estimated effects, from two recent papers, of Tulsa pre-K on high-school graduation rates and college attendance rates of students who were in kindergarten in the fall of 2006. In the current paper, educational effects from these prior papers are used to infer lifetime earnings effects. Our conservative estimates suggest that per pre-K participant, the present value of earnings effects in 2021 dollars is $25,533, compared with program costs of $9,628, for a benefit–cost ratio of 2.65. Compared to prior benefit–cost studies of Tulsa pre-K, this benefit–cost ratio is below what was predicted from Tulsa pre-K’s effects on kindergarten test scores, but above what was predicted from Tulsa pre-K’s effects on grade retention by ninth grade. This fading and recovery of predicted pre-K effects as children go through K-12 and then enter adulthood is consistent with prior research. It suggests that pre-K may have important effects on “soft skills,” such as persisting in school, and reminds us that short-term studies of pre-K provide useful information for public policy.
本文提出了新的效益-成本估计为塔尔萨普遍学前教育计划。这些计算是基于最近两篇论文对塔尔萨学前教育对2006年秋季幼儿园学生高中毕业率和大学出勤率的影响的估计。在这篇论文中,教育效应被用来推断终生收入效应。我们的保守估计表明,每个学前教育参与者,2021年美元的收益效应现值为25,533美元,而项目成本为9,628美元,收益成本比为2.65。与之前对塔尔萨学前班的效益成本研究相比,这一效益成本比低于塔尔萨学前班对幼儿园考试成绩影响的预测,但高于塔尔萨学前班对九年级年级保留的影响的预测。随着孩子们从K-12到成年,预估的学前教育影响逐渐消退和恢复,这与之前的研究一致。研究表明,学前教育可能对“软技能”有重要影响,比如坚持上学,并提醒我们,学前教育的短期研究为公共政策提供了有用的信息。
{"title":"A Benefit-Cost Analysis of Tulsa Pre-K, Based on Effects on High School Graduation and College Attendance","authors":"T. Bartik, W. Gormley, S. Amadon, Douglas Hummel-Price, J. Fuller","doi":"10.17848/pol2022-029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17848/pol2022-029","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This paper presents new benefit–cost estimates for the Tulsa universal pre-K program. These calculations are based on estimated effects, from two recent papers, of Tulsa pre-K on high-school graduation rates and college attendance rates of students who were in kindergarten in the fall of 2006. In the current paper, educational effects from these prior papers are used to infer lifetime earnings effects. Our conservative estimates suggest that per pre-K participant, the present value of earnings effects in 2021 dollars is $25,533, compared with program costs of $9,628, for a benefit–cost ratio of 2.65. Compared to prior benefit–cost studies of Tulsa pre-K, this benefit–cost ratio is below what was predicted from Tulsa pre-K’s effects on kindergarten test scores, but above what was predicted from Tulsa pre-K’s effects on grade retention by ninth grade. This fading and recovery of predicted pre-K effects as children go through K-12 and then enter adulthood is consistent with prior research. It suggests that pre-K may have important effects on “soft skills,” such as persisting in school, and reminds us that short-term studies of pre-K provide useful information for public policy.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90378009","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Three Criteria for Evaluating Social Programs 评估社会项目的三个标准
IF 3.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2022.18
J. García, J. Heckman
Abstract This article examines the economic foundations of three criteria used for evaluating the costs and benefits of social programs. Some criteria do not consider the scale of programs or address the costs associated with programs that expand or contract the total government budget. A recent addition to the list of evaluation criteria – the marginal value of public funds – does not adopt a social optimality perspective. It evaluates the optimality of expenditures assuming a predetermined aggregate budget without considering the social costs of raising that budget.
本文考察了用于评估社会项目成本和收益的三个标准的经济基础。一些标准没有考虑项目的规模,也没有考虑与扩大或缩小政府总预算的项目相关的成本。最近增加的评价标准清单- -公共资金的边际价值- -并没有采用社会最优的观点。它在不考虑提高预算的社会成本的情况下,以预先确定的总预算来评价支出的最优性。
{"title":"Three Criteria for Evaluating Social Programs","authors":"J. García, J. Heckman","doi":"10.1017/bca.2022.18","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2022.18","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This article examines the economic foundations of three criteria used for evaluating the costs and benefits of social programs. Some criteria do not consider the scale of programs or address the costs associated with programs that expand or contract the total government budget. A recent addition to the list of evaluation criteria – the marginal value of public funds – does not adopt a social optimality perspective. It evaluates the optimality of expenditures assuming a predetermined aggregate budget without considering the social costs of raising that budget.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"97 1","pages":"281 - 286"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88969109","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Weak Spot of Infrastructure BCA: Cost Overruns in Seven Road and Railway Construction Projects 基础设施BCA的薄弱环节:七个公路铁路建设项目的成本超支
IF 3.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2022.10
J. Nilsson
This article describes the process from first proposals in the early 1990s to project completion many years later for seven large Swedish road and railway projects. The purpose is to find reasons for the massive cost overruns as well as explanations for why projects are brought to completion despite much higher costs than when the decision to build was made. Cost overruns are set in an institutional context to highlight the interplay among national, regional, and local policymakers. National investment programs are seen as promises by other parts of society, irrespective of whether project costs increase during the process toward procurement and implementation. Another aspect is that the infrastructure manager’s administrative framework currently makes it impossible to compare costs in contracts with final cost, meaning that there is no institutionalized learning process in place. Design preparations and the estimation of costs for new projects must therefore be done without an understanding of what has been working well in the implementation of previous projects. While Benefit-Cost Analysis (BCA) played no role in the planning of the seven projects, the article sends a stark warning that early cost estimates provide poor input for assessing project rate of return.
本文描述了瑞典七个大型公路和铁路项目从20世纪90年代初的首次提案到多年后的项目完成过程。其目的是寻找大规模成本超支的原因,并解释为什么项目在成本比决定建造时高得多的情况下完成。成本超支是在制度背景下设定的,以突出国家、地区和地方决策者之间的相互作用。国家投资计划被社会其他部分视为承诺,而不管项目成本在采购和实施过程中是否会增加。另一个方面是,基础设施管理人员的管理框架目前使得不可能将合同中的成本与最终成本进行比较,这意味着没有适当的制度化学习过程。因此,在进行新项目的设计准备和成本估算时,必须不了解以前项目的实施情况。虽然效益成本分析(BCA)在这七个项目的规划中没有发挥作用,但文章发出了一个严厉的警告,即早期的成本估算为评估项目回报率提供了糟糕的投入。
{"title":"The Weak Spot of Infrastructure BCA: Cost Overruns in Seven Road and Railway Construction Projects","authors":"J. Nilsson","doi":"10.1017/bca.2022.10","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2022.10","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This article describes the process from first proposals in the early 1990s to project completion many years later for seven large Swedish road and railway projects. The purpose is to find reasons for the massive cost overruns as well as explanations for why projects are brought to completion despite much higher costs than when the decision to build was made. Cost overruns are set in an institutional context to highlight the interplay among national, regional, and local policymakers. National investment programs are seen as promises by other parts of society, irrespective of whether project costs increase during the process toward procurement and implementation. Another aspect is that the infrastructure manager’s administrative framework currently makes it impossible to compare costs in contracts with final cost, meaning that there is no institutionalized learning process in place. Design preparations and the estimation of costs for new projects must therefore be done without an understanding of what has been working well in the implementation of previous projects. While Benefit-Cost Analysis (BCA) played no role in the planning of the seven projects, the article sends a stark warning that early cost estimates provide poor input for assessing project rate of return.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79672074","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Dynamic Versus Static Modeling of Mortality-Related Benefits of PM2.5 Reductions in the USA and Chile: 1990 to 2050 1990年至2050年美国和智利PM2.5减少对死亡率相关益处的动态与静态建模
IF 3.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-10 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2022.5
H. Roman, J. Neumann, Stefani Penn, A. White, N. Fann
Economic and health benefits assessments of air quality changes often quantify and report changes in deaths at a given point in time. The typical approach uses a method that attributes air pollution-related health impacts to a single year air quality change (or “pulse”). The perspective on benefits from these static pulse analyses can be enhanced by conducting a dynamic population assessment using life tables. Such analyses can provide a richer characterization of health risks across a population over a multiyear time horizon. In this article, we use the life table approach to quantify cumulative counts of reductions in PM-attributable deaths and life-years gained due to overlapping impacts of PM2.5 changes over a multiyear period, using case studies of air quality improvements in the USA and Chile. Our comparison of health risk and economic valuation for the two approaches shows life table analysis can be a valuable adjunct analysis to the pulse approach though both come with their own set of uncertainties and limitations. If applied jointly, they provide a broader characterization of how air quality actions can change populations in terms of life-years lost, life expectancy, and age structure. The value of these metrics is illustrated using case studies with dramatically different air quality reduction trajectories.
对空气质量变化的经济和健康效益评估往往量化并报告某一特定时间点的死亡人数变化。典型的方法是将空气污染对健康的影响归结为一年的空气质量变化(或“脉冲”)。通过使用生命表进行动态人口评估,可以增强对这些静态脉冲分析的益处的看法。这类分析可以对多年时间范围内人群的健康风险提供更丰富的特征。在这篇文章中,我们使用生命表方法,通过对美国和智利空气质量改善的案例研究,量化了多年来由于PM2.5变化的重叠影响而导致的pm导致的死亡和寿命年减少的累积计数。我们对这两种方法的健康风险和经济评估的比较表明,生命表分析可以作为脉搏法的一种有价值的辅助分析,尽管这两种方法都有自己的一套不确定性和局限性。如果联合应用,它们可以更广泛地描述空气质量行动如何在寿命损失、预期寿命和年龄结构方面改变人口。这些指标的价值是用案例研究与显著不同的空气质量减少轨迹说明。
{"title":"Dynamic Versus Static Modeling of Mortality-Related Benefits of PM2.5 Reductions in the USA and Chile: 1990 to 2050","authors":"H. Roman, J. Neumann, Stefani Penn, A. White, N. Fann","doi":"10.1017/bca.2022.5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2022.5","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Economic and health benefits assessments of air quality changes often quantify and report changes in deaths at a given point in time. The typical approach uses a method that attributes air pollution-related health impacts to a single year air quality change (or “pulse”). The perspective on benefits from these static pulse analyses can be enhanced by conducting a dynamic population assessment using life tables. Such analyses can provide a richer characterization of health risks across a population over a multiyear time horizon. In this article, we use the life table approach to quantify cumulative counts of reductions in PM-attributable deaths and life-years gained due to overlapping impacts of PM2.5 changes over a multiyear period, using case studies of air quality improvements in the USA and Chile. Our comparison of health risk and economic valuation for the two approaches shows life table analysis can be a valuable adjunct analysis to the pulse approach though both come with their own set of uncertainties and limitations. If applied jointly, they provide a broader characterization of how air quality actions can change populations in terms of life-years lost, life expectancy, and age structure. The value of these metrics is illustrated using case studies with dramatically different air quality reduction trajectories.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79354644","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The Broad Impacts of Disposable Lighter Safety Regulations 一次性打火机安全法规的广泛影响
IF 3.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-02 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2022.6
W. Viscusi, R. Dalafave
The Consumer Product Safety Commission’s regulation of disposable lighters was targeted at preventing injuries due to use of lighters by children not over 4 years of age. Based on a difference-in-differences analysis of national data for 1990–2019, this article estimates that the regulation reduced all injuries to the target population by 71%, burn injuries by 74%, and injuries severe enough to warrant admission to the hospital by 85% overall and by 84% for burn injuries. Unlike the counterproductive performance of safety cap regulations, this safety device enhanced safety levels in the target population group. The safety improvements from lighter safety devices outweigh any lulling effect of viewing products as being “childproof.” The regulation had a broader safety impact beyond the target population group, as it also reduced all types of injuries by at least 50% for children in the 5–17 age groups. Total annual risk reduction benefits were $940–$1465 million. A benefit-cost analysis based on a retrospective assessment of the regulation finds a more favorable impact than was anticipated.
消费者产品安全委员会对一次性打火机的规定旨在防止4岁以下儿童因使用打火机而受伤。基于对1990-2019年国家数据的差异中差异分析,本文估计,该法规将目标人群的所有伤害减少了71%,烧伤减少了74%,严重到需要住院的伤害减少了85%,烧伤减少了84%。与安全帽规定的适得其反的表现不同,这种安全装置提高了目标人群的安全水平。更轻的安全装置带来的安全改进超过了将产品视为“儿童安全”的任何催眠效果。这项规定对安全的影响超出了目标人群,因为它还将5-17岁年龄组的儿童的所有类型的伤害减少了至少50%。每年减少风险的总收益为9.4亿至1.465亿美元。基于对该法规的回顾性评估的收益-成本分析发现,其影响比预期的更为有利。
{"title":"The Broad Impacts of Disposable Lighter Safety Regulations","authors":"W. Viscusi, R. Dalafave","doi":"10.1017/bca.2022.6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2022.6","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The Consumer Product Safety Commission’s regulation of disposable lighters was targeted at preventing injuries due to use of lighters by children not over 4 years of age. Based on a difference-in-differences analysis of national data for 1990–2019, this article estimates that the regulation reduced all injuries to the target population by 71%, burn injuries by 74%, and injuries severe enough to warrant admission to the hospital by 85% overall and by 84% for burn injuries. Unlike the counterproductive performance of safety cap regulations, this safety device enhanced safety levels in the target population group. The safety improvements from lighter safety devices outweigh any lulling effect of viewing products as being “childproof.” The regulation had a broader safety impact beyond the target population group, as it also reduced all types of injuries by at least 50% for children in the 5–17 age groups. Total annual risk reduction benefits were $940–$1465 million. A benefit-cost analysis based on a retrospective assessment of the regulation finds a more favorable impact than was anticipated.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"47 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83755814","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Time Savings vs. Access-Based Benefit Assessment of New York’s Second Avenue Subway 纽约第二大道地铁的时间节约与交通效益评估
IF 3.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-08 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2022.3
Yadi Wang, D. Levinson
Abstract Under the current practice of benefit-cost analysis, the direct economic benefits produced by a newly built transit facility are assessed based on how it affects travel time and various costs that are associated with transport needs and travel behavior. However, the time-saving-based benefit calculation approach has been questioned and criticized. Given the strong correlation between accessibility and land value, we propose the access-based land value benefit assessment as an alternative, and apply this assessment method to analyzing the Second Avenue Subway project in Manhattan, New York. The primary principle of the access-based method is that the economic value of a transport project’s intangible gains is largely capitalized by nearby properties’ value appreciation, which is directly caused by improved transport accessibility. We find that: (i) the actual travel time saving is lower than originally forecast; (ii) a strong positive correlation between residential property value and job accessibility by transit is observed; (iii) the appreciation in sold property value and rented property value both far exceed total project cost; and (iv) such results support the decision to approve and construct the Second Avenue Subway.
摘要在当前效益成本分析的实践中,新建交通设施产生的直接经济效益是根据其对出行时间以及与交通需求和出行行为相关的各种成本的影响来评估的。然而,基于节省时间的效益计算方法受到了质疑和批评。鉴于可达性与土地价值之间存在较强的相关性,本文提出了基于可达性的土地价值效益评估方法,并将该评估方法应用于纽约曼哈顿地铁第二大道项目分析。基于可达性的方法的主要原则是,交通项目的无形收益的经济价值在很大程度上是由附近物业的价值增值资本化的,而这是由交通可达性的改善直接引起的。我们发现:(1)实际节省的出行时间低于最初的预测;(ii)观察到住宅物业价值与工作交通便利性之间存在很强的正相关关系;(三)物业出售及租赁增值均远超工程总成本;(iv)该等结果支持批准和建设第二大道地铁的决定。
{"title":"Time Savings vs. Access-Based Benefit Assessment of New York’s Second Avenue Subway","authors":"Yadi Wang, D. Levinson","doi":"10.1017/bca.2022.3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2022.3","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Under the current practice of benefit-cost analysis, the direct economic benefits produced by a newly built transit facility are assessed based on how it affects travel time and various costs that are associated with transport needs and travel behavior. However, the time-saving-based benefit calculation approach has been questioned and criticized. Given the strong correlation between accessibility and land value, we propose the access-based land value benefit assessment as an alternative, and apply this assessment method to analyzing the Second Avenue Subway project in Manhattan, New York. The primary principle of the access-based method is that the economic value of a transport project’s intangible gains is largely capitalized by nearby properties’ value appreciation, which is directly caused by improved transport accessibility. We find that: (i) the actual travel time saving is lower than originally forecast; (ii) a strong positive correlation between residential property value and job accessibility by transit is observed; (iii) the appreciation in sold property value and rented property value both far exceed total project cost; and (iv) such results support the decision to approve and construct the Second Avenue Subway.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"39 1","pages":"120 - 147"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90710726","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Prospective Evaluation of Health Communication Effects on Market Outcomes 健康传播对市场结果影响的前瞻性评估
IF 3.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-08 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2022.1
Rosemarie L. Summers, D. Wood, Nellie Lew, S. Karns, M. Muth, C. Nardinelli, Janet G. Peckham, C. Wolff
Abstract Partial equilibrium models have been used extensively by policy makers to prospectively determine the consequences of government programs that affect consumer incomes or the prices consumers pay. However, these models have not previously been used to analyze government programs that inform consumers. In this paper, we develop a model that policy makers can use to quantitatively predict how consumers will respond to risk communications that contain new health information. The model combines Bayesian learning with the utility-maximization of consumer choice. We discuss how this model can be used to evaluate information policies; we then test the model by simulating the impacts of the North Dakota Folic Acid Educational Campaign as a validation exercise.
部分均衡模型被决策者广泛用于预测政府计划对消费者收入或消费者支付价格的影响。然而,这些模型以前并没有被用来分析向消费者提供信息的政府项目。在本文中,我们开发了一个模型,政策制定者可以用它来定量预测消费者对包含新健康信息的风险沟通的反应。该模型将贝叶斯学习与消费者选择的效用最大化相结合。我们讨论了如何使用该模型来评估信息策略;然后,我们通过模拟北达科他州叶酸教育运动的影响作为验证练习来测试模型。
{"title":"Prospective Evaluation of Health Communication Effects on Market Outcomes","authors":"Rosemarie L. Summers, D. Wood, Nellie Lew, S. Karns, M. Muth, C. Nardinelli, Janet G. Peckham, C. Wolff","doi":"10.1017/bca.2022.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2022.1","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Partial equilibrium models have been used extensively by policy makers to prospectively determine the consequences of government programs that affect consumer incomes or the prices consumers pay. However, these models have not previously been used to analyze government programs that inform consumers. In this paper, we develop a model that policy makers can use to quantitatively predict how consumers will respond to risk communications that contain new health information. The model combines Bayesian learning with the utility-maximization of consumer choice. We discuss how this model can be used to evaluate information policies; we then test the model by simulating the impacts of the North Dakota Folic Acid Educational Campaign as a validation exercise.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"15 1","pages":"34 - 56"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91001329","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Categorizing and Ranking Graphs in Economics Research: The American Economic Review over the Last Century 经济学研究中的分类和排序图:上个世纪的美国经济评论
IF 3.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-03-14 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2021.17
Jonathan A. Schwabish
Abstract How do economists use graphs, and do they use them well? Using Amazon’s Mechanical Turk, I provide evidence to these questions by exploring more than 2600 graphs published in the first issue of the American Economic Review from 1911 to 2017. I find that economists use a lot of line charts – more than 80% of the total sample are line charts. I also find that the share of graphs that use data (as opposed to diagrams) fell over the first half of the century and then increased from about the early 1980s to today, correlated with perceived graph quality.
经济学家是如何使用图表的,他们使用得好吗?我使用亚马逊的土耳其机器人,通过探索1911年至2017年第一期《美国经济评论》(American Economic Review)上发表的2600多张图表,为这些问题提供了证据。我发现经济学家使用了很多折线图——超过80%的样本是折线图。我还发现,使用数据(而不是图表)的图表的份额在本世纪上半叶下降,然后从20世纪80年代早期到今天有所增加,这与感知到的图表质量相关。
{"title":"Categorizing and Ranking Graphs in Economics Research: The American Economic Review over the Last Century","authors":"Jonathan A. Schwabish","doi":"10.1017/bca.2021.17","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2021.17","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract How do economists use graphs, and do they use them well? Using Amazon’s Mechanical Turk, I provide evidence to these questions by exploring more than 2600 graphs published in the first issue of the American Economic Review from 1911 to 2017. I find that economists use a lot of line charts – more than 80% of the total sample are line charts. I also find that the share of graphs that use data (as opposed to diagrams) fell over the first half of the century and then increased from about the early 1980s to today, correlated with perceived graph quality.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"14 1","pages":"20 - 33"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2022-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77004049","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1