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Are companies managed by overconfident CEO financially constraint? Investment-cash flow sensitivity approach 过于自信的CEO管理公司是否存在财务约束?投资-现金流量敏感性法
IF 5.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2020.006
E. Bukalska
Research background: Overconfidence is one of the biases and fallacies that affect a cognitive process. Indeed, overconfidence has some serious consequences even in corporate finance. The literature is not consistent as for the impact of overconfidence on investment and financing decisions. Additionally, we include the issue of financial constraints to our analysis as investment-cash flow sensitivity (ICFS) is perceived as the measure of financial constraints. Purpose of the article: The aim of this paper is to test investment-cash flow sensitivity and financial constraints under managerial overconfidence. We think that companies managed by overconfident managers show a higher relation between cash flows and investment and demonstrate bigger financial constraints. Methods: In this paper, we test investment-cash flow sensitivity and financial constraints under CEO overconfidence among panel data of Polish private firms. We collect the unique sample of 145 non-listed companies by surveying the CEOs on their overconfidence. We collect the financial data of surveyed companies covering the 2010–2016 period. Total number of observations is 1015. Findings & Value added: First, we find a positive and higher relation between the investment-cash flow sensitivity for companies managed by overconfident managers which is in line with recent research. As for the financial constraints we find lower level of financial constraints among the companies managed by overconfident man-agers. This might be evidence that despite having lower financial constraints the companies managed by overconfident managers intentionally choose internal funds as the main source of financing and refrain from using external funds. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first empirical study for Polish companies on the relation between CEO overconfidence and financial decisions.
研究背景:过度自信是影响认知过程的偏见和谬误之一。事实上,过度自信甚至在企业融资领域也会产生一些严重后果。关于过度自信对投融资决策的影响,文献并不一致。此外,我们将财务约束问题纳入我们的分析,因为投资-现金流量敏感性(ICFS)被视为财务约束的度量。本文的目的是检验管理过度自信下的投资-现金流量敏感性和财务约束。我们认为,由过度自信的管理者管理的公司,其现金流与投资之间的关系更高,财务约束也更大。方法:利用波兰民营企业的面板数据,对CEO过度自信下的投资-现金流敏感性和财务约束进行检验。我们通过对145家非上市公司ceo过度自信程度的调查,收集了独特的样本。我们收集了被调查公司2010-2016年期间的财务数据。观测总数为1015。研究结果与附加值:首先,我们发现过度自信管理者管理的公司的投资-现金流敏感性之间存在较高的正相关关系,这与最近的研究结果一致。在财务约束方面,我们发现过度自信的管理者所管理的公司的财务约束水平较低。这可能证明,尽管财务约束较低,但过度自信的管理者管理的公司有意选择内部资金作为主要融资来源,而不使用外部资金。据我们所知,本文是第一个针对波兰公司CEO过度自信与财务决策关系的实证研究。
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引用次数: 12
Characteristics identifying the companies conducting different dividend policy: evidence from Poland 实施不同股利政策的公司的特征:来自波兰的证据
IF 5.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2020.004
Aleksandra Pieloch-Babiarz
Research background: Dividend policy has been a subject of many scientific studies. Although most of them focus on its determinants, there is still a research gap concerning the lack of comprehensive research on the differences between companies implementing different types of dividend policy. Furthermore, no at-tempt has been made to indicate which of them could be considered as more attractive for stock market investor that invests in dividend stocks. Purpose of the article: The aim of this paper is to carry out a comparative analysis of companies with different dividend policy from the point of view of their investment attractiveness. Methods: The empirical research is conducted among the regular dividend payers listed on the main market of the Warsaw Stock Exchange in years 2001–2017. The data for analysis is collected from Notoria Service and Stock Market Yearbooks. The main calculations are carried out using the technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS), descriptive statistics and one-way analysis of variance ANOVA with Fisher’s LSD test. Findings & Value added: The value added of this paper is a holistic approach to comparison of companies conducting different dividend policy. The most significant differences are observed in case of extreme and residual dividend policy. The first policy should be of particular interest to investors investing for dividends, while the second one should be attractive to investors that invest for capital growth. The research is valuable due to the lack of academic studies concerning different dividend policy in the context of attractiveness of investing in dividend shares.
研究背景:股利政策一直是许多科学研究的主题。尽管他们大多关注其决定因素,但仍存在研究空白,即缺乏对实施不同类型股息政策的公司之间差异的全面研究。此外,还没有人试图表明其中哪一种对投资股息股的股市投资者更具吸引力。本文的目的是从投资吸引力的角度对不同股利政策的公司进行比较分析。方法:对2001-2007年在华沙证券交易所主要市场上市的定期股息支付者进行实证研究。用于分析的数据收集自Notoria Service和Stock Market Yearbooks。主要计算采用理想解相似性排序技术(TOPSIS)、描述性统计和Fisher LSD检验的方差方差分析。研究结果与附加值:本文的附加值是一种比较不同股息政策公司的整体方法。在极端股息政策和剩余股息政策的情况下观察到最显著的差异。第一项政策应该对股息投资的投资者特别感兴趣,而第二项政策应该吸引资本增长投资的投资者。由于缺乏关于不同股息政策在股息股投资吸引力背景下的学术研究,本研究具有一定的价值。
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引用次数: 4
Idea management system application types in local and global context 思想管理系统在本地和全球环境中的应用类型
IF 5.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2020.008
Elīna Miķelsone, Aivars Spilbergs, T. Volkova, Elita Liela
Research background: Web-based idea management systems provide local and global idea management potential for many well-known and established companies, such as Boeing, Panasonic, Volkswagen, Volvo and PG (2) there is a lack of research on how frequent these systems are applied in the global context. Purpose of the article: The paper aims to clarify which of the web-based idea management system types produce significantly better results when applied in the local and in the global context. Methods: The following research attempts to close the existing research gap empirically by conducting a survey. In the research paper analysis of 447 responses was included — global companies that use idea management systems. The respondents were reached through idea management system providers. Findings & Value added: The research results suggest that there is a difference between the intensity of different web-based idea management system types (based on involved sources and process focus) of application if these systems are used for the global or local context. The study contributes theoretically and practically to the discussion about the potential idea management system application types in different contexts.
研究背景:基于网络的创意管理系统为许多知名和老牌公司提供了本地和全球的创意管理潜力,如波音、松下、大众、沃尔沃和PG(2)缺乏对这些系统在全球范围内应用频率的研究。文章的目的:本文旨在阐明哪种基于网络的思想管理系统类型在本地和全球范围内应用时会产生更好的效果。方法:以下研究试图通过问卷调查来填补现有研究空白。在这篇研究论文中,对447份回复进行了分析,这些回复都是使用创意管理系统的全球性公司。受访者是通过创意管理系统提供商联系到的。研究结果和附加值:研究结果表明,如果这些系统用于全球或本地环境,则不同的基于网络的想法管理系统类型(基于涉及的来源和流程重点)的应用强度存在差异。本研究有助于从理论和实践上探讨不同背景下潜在的思想管理系统应用类型。
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引用次数: 4
SoLoMo marketing as a global tool for enhancing awareness of eco-innovations in Slovak business environment SoLoMo营销是提高斯洛伐克商业环境中生态创新意识的全球工具
IF 5.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2020.007
A. Zaušková, Monika Reznickova
Research background: Thanks to globalization, a number of new possibilities and available technological solutions have emerged, thus modernizing marketing communication activities and bringing a broad spectrum of business opportunities to the single European market which enterprises may use to their benefits. Changes are much more frequent than ever before. Therefore, it is important to search for innovative solutions which contribute to more effective fulfillment of goals, generate positive changes or increase value for customers and as a matter of fact, enhance innovative performance and business competitiveness. Purpose of the article: The paper deals with the presentation of eco-innovations in the business environment using creative tools of online marketing communication. Eco-innovations are a phenomenon which is present across all business activities and processes including marketing communication. The authors study such marketing activities of businesses which are part of corporate social responsibility, generate business growth and finally help to improve the global environment. The authors also present the partial results of their own quantitative marketing research in order to describe the application of SoLoMo marketing tools in the presentation of eco-innovations in the Slovak business environment. Methods: The authors prepared a standardized questionnaire on a sample of 300 Slovak businesses. To test the dependence or independence of the variables, a Chi-squared test and Fisher´s exact test were used. Findings & Value added: Despite the generally growing trend of the use of mod-ern online marketing tools, the research showed that Slovak businesses do not inform sufficiently about their eco-innovation activities, do not address all prospective target groups and do not make enough effort to enhance environmental awareness of the wider public. The results of the research will serve as basic information for the following specific studies, the main aim of which is to spread awareness among consumers and to eventually provide them with practical recommendations. In addition, the given theoretical part of the paper represents a valuable summary of information about the modern SoLoMo marketing concept while providing a detailed overview of other relevant research studies in the given field. Therefore, the paper portrays an overview of opportunities for the implementation of digital tools of marketing communication in small, medium-sized and large enterprises.
研究背景:由于全球化,出现了许多新的可能性和可用的技术解决方案,从而使营销传播活动现代化,并为单一的欧洲市场带来了广泛的商业机会,企业可以利用这些机会为自己谋利。变化比以往任何时候都频繁得多。因此,重要的是要寻找有助于更有效地实现目标、产生积极变化或为客户增加价值的创新解决方案,事实上,还要提高创新绩效和业务竞争力。本文的目的:利用在线营销传播的创造性工具,介绍商业环境中的生态创新。生态创新是一种存在于包括营销传播在内的所有商业活动和流程中的现象。作者研究了企业的营销活动,这些活动是企业社会责任的一部分,促进了企业的发展,最终有助于改善全球环境。作者还介绍了他们自己的定量营销研究的部分结果,以描述SoLoMo营销工具在斯洛伐克商业环境中的生态创新展示中的应用。方法:作者以300家斯洛伐克企业为样本,编制了一份标准化问卷。为了检验变量的相关性或独立性,使用了卡方检验和Fisher精确检验。调查结果和附加值:尽管现代在线营销工具的使用普遍呈增长趋势,但研究表明,斯洛伐克企业没有充分了解其生态创新活动,没有针对所有潜在的目标群体,也没有做出足够的努力来提高广大公众的环境意识。研究结果将作为以下具体研究的基本信息,其主要目的是在消费者中传播意识,并最终为他们提供切实可行的建议。此外,本文的理论部分对现代SoLoMo营销概念的信息进行了有价值的总结,同时对该领域的其他相关研究进行了详细概述。因此,本文概述了在中小企业中实施营销传播数字工具的机会。
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引用次数: 22
The financial transaction tax: an ANOVA assessment of selected EU countries 金融交易税:对选定欧盟国家的方差分析评估
IF 5.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2020.002
Manuela Raisová, Martina Regaskova, K. Lazányi
Research background: There are various forms of fiscal taxation of the financial assets. In recent times, the discussion about financial transaction tax in the EU is associated with finding the solution to problems due to great financial crisis. The European Commission has made some efforts to strengthen capital regulation and it has adopted the Directive about implementing enhanced cooperation in the field of financial transaction tax, where it analyzed options and impacts of FTT according to those countries which have already implemented similar transaction taxes in their national legislatives. Purpose of the article: Our aim is to find out the economic relationship between FTT and economic growth and to analyze the effect of FTT within selected EU countries. Methods: In this paper, we will analyze the banking environment in the EU area, and we emphasize the correlation between tax policy and economic growth. We will test FTT through three-way mixed-effects ANOVA, and analyze three Member states, Belgium, Ireland and the United Kingdom, which have very active attitude to implementation of FTT within other EU countries. Findings & Value added: We are interested in: (1) testing the relationship between the financial transaction tax (FTT) and economic growth (GDP); and (2) to verify the hypothesis that FTT could improve GDP growth in a country. We assume that if a country has adopted FTT in its tax system, then it will lead to a significant GDP growth, and so it could lead to financial market improvement after the crisis. Our results have shown that an increase in FTT volume would lead only to a negligible increase in the economic growth.
研究背景:金融资产的财税形式多种多样。近年来,欧盟对金融交易税的讨论与寻找解决金融危机带来的问题有关。欧盟委员会为加强资本监管做出了一些努力,并通过了《关于在金融交易税领域加强合作的指令》,根据那些已经在国家立法中实施类似交易税的国家,分析了FTT的选择和影响。本文的目的:我们的目的是找出FTT与经济增长之间的经济关系,并分析FTT在选定的欧盟国家内的影响。方法:本文将分析欧盟地区的银行业环境,并强调税收政策与经济增长之间的相关性。我们将通过三元混合效应方差分析来测试FTT,并分析比利时、爱尔兰和英国三个成员国对其他欧盟国家实施FTT的态度非常积极。研究结果与增值:我们感兴趣的是:(1)测试金融交易税(FTT)与经济增长(GDP)之间的关系;以及(2)验证FTT可以提高一个国家GDP增长的假设。我们假设,如果一个国家在其税收制度中采用了自由贸易,那么它将导致GDP的显著增长,因此它可能导致危机后金融市场的改善。我们的研究结果表明,FTT数量的增加只会导致经济增长的微不足道的增长。
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引用次数: 10
The effect of changes in the economic structure on entrepreneurial activity in a transition economy: the case of Poland 转型经济中经济结构变化对创业活动的影响:以波兰为例
IF 5.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2020.003
J. Zygmunt
Research background: While entrepreneurship in transition economies is the subject of a growing body of literature, the debate on factors influencing entrepreneurial activity in such economies is still incomplete. This paper extends this de-bate by focusing on the effect of changes in the economy structure on entrepreneurship in Poland. The findings might be supportive for policymakers in pursuing policy aimed at boosting entrepreneurship in a transition economy. Purpose of the article: The aim of the paper is to investigate the extent to which changes in the economic structure impact entrepreneurial activity in Poland. The paper contributes to the literature by providing empirical support to the pending research efforts to recognize entrepreneurship dimensions in a transition economy. Methods: The hypothesis was tested with fixed effects panel regression with robust standard errors. Data were sourced from the Statistics Poland for all Polish NUTS-2 regions for the period 2003–2017. Panel data are balanced and include 3 600 observations. Findings & Value added: This paper extends previous research on factors affect-ing entrepreneurial activity in a transition economy by focusing on the importance of changes in the economy structure for new firm creation. The findings provide evidence of the significant value of the service sector in boosting entrepreneurial activity in Poland. The findings might attract attention of policymakers. Fostering structural change towards smart specialization in services should be regarded when constituting programmes supporting entrepreneurship.
研究背景:虽然转型经济体的创业是越来越多的文献的主题,但关于影响转型经济体创业活动的因素的辩论仍然不完整。本文通过关注波兰经济结构变化对创业的影响来扩展这一观点。这些发现可能有助于政策制定者在转型经济中推行旨在促进创业的政策。文章的目的:本文的目的是调查经济结构的变化对波兰创业活动的影响程度。该论文为即将进行的研究工作提供了实证支持,以认识转型经济中的创业维度,从而为文献做出了贡献。方法:采用具有稳健标准误差的固定效应面板回归对该假设进行检验。数据来源于波兰统计局2003-2017年期间所有波兰NUTS-2地区的数据。小组数据是平衡的,包括3600个观察结果。研究结果与附加值:本文通过关注经济结构变化对新企业创建的重要性,扩展了以往对转型经济中影响创业活动因素的研究。研究结果证明了服务业在促进波兰创业活动方面的巨大价值。这些发现可能会引起决策者的注意。在制定支持创业的方案时,应考虑促进结构变革,实现服务业的智能专业化。
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引用次数: 18
Debt as a financial risk factor in SMEs in the Czech Republic 债务作为捷克中小企业的金融风险因素
IF 5.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2020.005
J. Kramoliš, K. Dobeš
Research background: The approach is based on theoretical sources and completed studies on business debt, debt level and repayment awareness and how this issue relates to SMEs in the Czech Republic. Purpose of the article: The main purpose of this paper is to examine the attitude of SMEs towards the issue of company debt and its position within the economy. This attitude is an inherent part of the company´s risk management. Methods: Three researched issues (How strongly is company debt perceived as a financial risk factor; Does the company consider debt to be a serious matter in their business; What measures does the company take to reduce risk) supported by hypotheses, which verified the thesis, were statistically tested. Finding & Value added: Practical implications confirm the thesis that there is a belief that SMEs do not consider debt to be a critical factor of business risk and do not associate it directly with the major risk of business failure. SMEs do not view debt negatively and do not directly link debt to the risk of failure. Consequently, companies consider the risk of indebtedness as relatively insignificant. Their approach to indebtedness is therefore generally passive and they also believe that it will not jeopardize their business, and they will always somehow manage to solve it through insurance, risk avoidance and through creation of financial reserves.
研究背景:该方法基于理论来源和已完成的关于企业债务、债务水平和还款意识的研究,以及这个问题与捷克共和国中小企业的关系。文章的目的:本文的主要目的是研究中小企业对公司债务问题的态度及其在经济中的地位。这种态度是公司风险管理的固有组成部分。方法:研究三个问题(公司债务被视为财务风险因素的程度;公司是否认为债务是其业务中的一个严重问题?公司采取了哪些措施来降低风险)通过假设支持,验证了论文,并进行了统计检验。发现和增值:实际意义证实了这一论点,即有一种观点认为,中小企业不认为债务是企业风险的关键因素,也不直接将其与企业失败的主要风险联系起来。中小企业不会消极看待债务,也不会将债务与失败风险直接联系起来。因此,公司认为负债的风险相对不重要。因此,他们处理债务的方法通常是被动的,他们也相信这不会危及他们的业务,他们总能通过保险、风险规避和创造金融储备来设法解决这个问题。
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引用次数: 20
Real interest rate differentials between Central and Eastern European countries and the euro area 中欧和东欧国家与欧元区的实际利率差异
IF 5.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2019.031
J. Janus
Research background: The question of changes in real interest rates differentials between the Euro Area and the CEE countries in the last years is raised because of two main reasons. The first rationale is related to the growing importance of external financial factors for the CEE economies and their monetary autonomy. The second reason is associated with the unprecedented shift in monetary conditions in the EMU, brought about by negative interest rates policy and unconventional policies, and the way it impacts the real rates in the CEE economies. Purpose of the article: This paper aims at exploring the relationship between real interest rates in the Euro Area and ten countries: Albania, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, North Macedonia, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Turkey, and Ukraine. The analysis covers the years of 1999-2018, including periods before and after the financial and economic crisis. Methods: We employ Markov-switching regression to construct the ex-ante real interest rates series in each country, using monthly data on short-term interest rates and CPI inflation rates. A battery of unit root and stationarity test, both standard and panel ones, is applied to examine the real interest rate parity, also allowing for a structural break in the rate differentials. Findings & Value added: We provide detailed evidence on the real interest rates differentials for all of the CEE countries vis-a-vis the Euro Area. We find that, while panel stationarity tests point to the stability of real rate differentials, there are significant dissimilarities across the countries, and the results of the univariate tests are often mixed. At least half of the economies, however, reveal similar patterns of stationarity in real rates relationships. At the same time, we find differentials for the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland, countries highly integrated into the EMU economy, to be unstable over time.
研究背景:欧元区与中东欧国家的实际利率差异在过去几年中的变化问题之所以被提出,主要有两个原因。第一个理由与外部金融因素对中东欧经济体及其货币自主性日益重要有关。第二个原因与负利率政策和非常规政策带来的欧洲货币联盟货币状况的前所未有的转变,以及它对中东欧经济体实际利率的影响有关。文章目的:本文旨在探讨欧元区实际利率与10个国家之间的关系:阿尔巴尼亚、保加利亚、捷克共和国、匈牙利、北马其顿、摩尔多瓦、波兰、罗马尼亚、土耳其和乌克兰。该分析涵盖了1999-2018年,包括金融和经济危机前后的时期。方法:利用短期利率和CPI通胀率的月度数据,采用马尔可夫切换回归构建每个国家的事前实际利率序列。一组单位根和平稳性检验,包括标准检验和面板检验,用于检验实际利率平价,也允许利率差异的结构性突破。调查结果和增值:我们提供了关于所有中东欧国家相对于欧元区的实际利率差异的详细证据。我们发现,虽然面板平稳性检验表明了实际利率差异的稳定性,但各国之间存在显著差异,单变量检验的结果往往喜忧参半。然而,至少有一半的经济体在实际利率关系中显示出类似的平稳性模式。与此同时,我们发现捷克共和国、匈牙利和波兰这些高度融入欧洲经济联盟经济的国家的差异随着时间的推移而不稳定。
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引用次数: 5
Controlling as a tool for SME management with an emphasis on innovations in the context of Industry 4.0 控制作为中小企业管理的工具,强调工业4.0背景下的创新
IF 5.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2019.035
Přemysl Písař, D. Bílková
Research background: Small and medium-sized businesses are significant economic power and employer in the European Union. The modern globalized world, new technologies, and advanced connectivity bring SMEs a wide range of opportunities, but also threats. Increasing the stability and competitiveness of SMEs is one of the main goals of national governments and the EU. The research is based on personal research in SMEs, its experiences and backward testing of reached results. Purpose of the article: The aim of the paper is to analyze the possibilities the potential of using controlling as a managing tool of SMEs for increased competitiveness in the context of Industry 4.0 with an emphasis on innovations. Methods: The study is based on a detailed analysis of 341 SMEs from the Czech Republic obtained in the years 2017–2019. The data were analyzed using statistical methods such Pearson correlation, stepwise regression for the purpose of determining the relationship between the controlling management system of a company, its innovation potential, level of process maturity, number of employees, internal audit, financial stability and strategic plan. Statistical analysis confirmed the close relationship of the analyzed variables and backwards experimental testing of the statistical analysis conclusions defined critical factors in the area of people in an organization, usage of advanced information systems and Industry 4.0 technologies implementation. Findings & Value added: Those important areas were determined as essential for the successful development of SMEs, as well as the most significant threats in the Industry 4.0 environment. The information obtained is useful in practice and can be applied to a more in-depth analysis of the issues. The research findings are showing possible opportunities and treads for SMEs long term stability and development as well as ways to increase enterprise performance based on controlling management system.
研究背景:中小企业是欧盟重要的经济力量和雇主。现代全球化世界、新技术和先进互联互通给中小企业带来了广泛的机遇,但也带来了威胁。提高中小企业的稳定性和竞争力是各国政府和欧盟的主要目标之一。本研究是基于个人对中小企业的研究,其经验和已取得成果的反向检验。文章的目的:本文的目的是分析在工业4.0的背景下,利用控制作为中小企业的管理工具来提高竞争力的可能性,重点是创新。方法:本研究基于对2017-2019年捷克341家中小企业的详细分析。采用Pearson相关、逐步回归等统计方法对数据进行分析,确定公司控制管理制度与创新潜力、流程成熟度、员工数量、内部审计、财务稳定性和战略计划之间的关系。统计分析证实了所分析变量之间的密切关系,并对统计分析结论进行了反向实验测试,确定了组织人员、先进信息系统的使用和工业4.0技术实施等领域的关键因素。调查结果和附加值:这些重要领域被认为是中小企业成功发展的关键,也是工业4.0环境中最重大的威胁。所获得的信息在实践中是有用的,可以应用于对问题进行更深入的分析。研究结果为中小企业的长期稳定和发展提供了可能的机会和方向,以及基于控制管理制度提高企业绩效的途径。
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引用次数: 45
Measuring active ageing within the European Union: implications on economic development 衡量欧盟内部的积极老龄化:对经济发展的影响
IF 5.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.24136/eq.2019.028
E. Thalassinos, M. Cristea, G. Noja
Research background: The ageing phenomenon undermines the stability and equilibrium of the labour market and it affects the economic development of countries, as well as the welfare of older people aged over 65 years. Purpose of the article: Against this background, our research is conducted to assess the specific ways in which active ageing (measured through the active ageing index — AAI), correlated with other economic and labour market credentials, would impact the economic development of EU Member States. Methods: The research methodology consists of two econometric procedures, namely (i) cluster analysis performed on EU–28 countries to configure congruent groups according to similar features of the active ageing (measured through the Active Ageing Index — AAI) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) levels, respectively (ii) panel data analysis, applied distinctly on two panels, EU–15 (old) and EU–13 (new), relying on four macro-econometric models (robust regression, panel corrected standard errors, spatial lag and spatial error), in order to test the direct influences of AAI and other economic and social selected variables on economic development. The analysis is made for the 2010–2018 lapse of time, by capturing all the available data for the AAI as reported by the European Commission. Findings & Value added: The results highlight important dissimilarities between the EU countries that require a rethinking of policies for the active ageing population support. Thereby, constant policy rethinking, adequate strategies, measures and tools for the active ageing population support become outlier keystones that entail a successful integration of the older people within all life dimensions.
研究背景:老龄化现象破坏了劳动力市场的稳定和均衡,影响了各国的经济发展,也影响了65岁以上老年人的福利。文章目的:在此背景下,我们的研究旨在评估积极老龄化(通过积极老龄化指数- AAI衡量)与其他经济和劳动力市场证书相关的具体方式,将影响欧盟成员国的经济发展。方法:研究方法包括两个计量经济学程序,即(i)对欧盟28个国家进行聚类分析,根据积极老龄化的相似特征配置一致的群体(通过积极老龄化指数衡量)(ii)面板数据分析,分别应用于EU-15(旧)和EU-13(新)两个面板,依靠四种宏观计量模型(稳健回归、面板修正标准误差、空间滞后和空间误差),以检验AAI和其他经济和社会选定变量对经济发展的直接影响。该分析是通过获取欧盟委员会报告的AAI所有可用数据,对2010-2018年的时间间隔进行的。研究结果和附加价值:研究结果突出了欧盟国家之间的重要差异,这些差异需要重新思考积极老龄化人口的支持政策。因此,不断地重新思考政策、适当的战略、措施和工具,以积极支持老龄人口,成为使老年人成功地融入所有生活层面的关键因素。
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引用次数: 48
期刊
Equilibrium-Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
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