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Climate Change, Energy Transition and Global Temperature Stabilization 气候变化、能源转型与全球温度稳定
IF 2.3 4区 经济学 0 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-24 DOI: 10.1142/s2010007823500082
A. Bongers, M. Tamor
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引用次数: 0
Exploring consumer preferences for Net-Zero policies: Willingness to Pay of UK citizens for national greenhouse gas reduction targets under different future discounting assumptions 探索消费者对净零政策的偏好:在不同的未来贴现假设下,英国公民为国家温室气体减排目标的支付意愿
IF 2.3 4区 经济学 0 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-19 DOI: 10.1142/s2010007823500070
R. Lawton, D. Fujiwara
Following the UK's hosting of the United Nations Convention of the Parties Climate Summit in 2021, political targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions - "Net-Zero" - have gained momentum. We address the gap in how public preferences are accounted for in climate decision-making by applying Contingent-Valuation techniques which ask people to state their Willingness-to-Pay (WTP) for the UK's 2050 Net-Zero target. Mean WTP is 37.57 pound/household to support Net-Zero (median 11.25) pound, with a present-value of 2.3 pound billion across UK households. While younger people are more likely to experience the long-term impacts of climate change, older generations are willing to pay more to support it, suggesting that public support for Net-Zero is largely based on "nonuse" benefits, rather than direct "use" benefits to oneself. The COVID-19 epidemic affected WTP bids in a quarter of respondents. Finally, we explore how choice of positive or normative discount rate affects policy conclusions when monetizing consumer preferences.
继英国于2021年主办《联合国气候变化框架公约》气候峰会后,减少温室气体排放的政治目标“净零排放”势头强劲。我们通过应用条件评估技术来解决公众偏好如何在气候决策中被考虑的差距,该技术要求人们陈述他们对英国2050年净零目标的支付意愿(WTP)。平均WTP为37.57英镑/户,以支持净零(中位数11.25英镑)英镑,英国家庭的现值为23亿英镑。虽然年轻人更有可能体验到气候变化的长期影响,但老一辈人愿意付出更多的钱来支持它,这表明公众对净零的支持主要是基于“不使用”的好处,而不是直接的“使用”给自己带来的好处。在四分之一的受访者中,COVID-19疫情影响了WTP投标。最后,我们探讨了当消费者偏好货币化时,正贴现率或规范贴现率的选择如何影响政策结论。
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引用次数: 1
Achieving employment dividend in the post-COVID-19 era: An exploration from China's carbon market 实现后新冠肺炎时代的就业红利:基于中国碳市场的探索
IF 2.3 4区 经济学 0 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-17 DOI: 10.1142/s2010007823400018
Yishuang Liu, Jin-Long Huang, Hanmin Dong
Under the pressure of economic uncertainty and environmental protection in the post-COVID-19 era, achieving a new round of employment dividends has become one practical choice. Using the panel data of 30 Chinese provinces from 2007 to 2019, this study estimates the employment outcomes of carbon ETS pilots based on the difference-in-differences model. The findings of this study indicate the following: (1) Carbon ETS pilots can positively increase employment scales with an average effect of 7.12%. (2) This promoting effect will become more significant in provinces with high education levels, provinces with high average wages, and eastern region provinces. But there is no obvious difference between gender. (3) This positive effect can be transferred and enhanced by market competition and energy consumption. At the crossroads of green economic recovery, it will be greatly beneficial to formulate the national carbon market development roadmap under the carbon neutrality strategy.
在后新冠时代经济不确定性和环境保护压力下,实现新一轮就业红利已成为现实选择。本文利用2007 - 2019年中国30个省份的面板数据,基于差中差模型对碳排放交易体系试点的就业结果进行了估算。研究结果表明:(1)碳排放交易体系试点对就业规模有正向促进作用,平均效应为7.12%。(2)这种促进作用在受教育程度高的省份、平均工资高的省份和东部地区省份更为显著。但性别间无明显差异。(3)这种积极效应可以通过市场竞争和能源消耗来转移和增强。在绿色经济复苏的十字路口,制定碳中和战略下的国家碳市场发展路线图将大有裨益。
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引用次数: 1
An Examination of Market Reaction When Negative Emotions Run High Amidst a Tropical Cyclone 在热带气旋中负面情绪高涨时市场反应的检验
IF 2.3 4区 经济学 0 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-17 DOI: 10.1142/s2010007823500069
Chun I. Lee, Chueh-Yung Tsao
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引用次数: 0
Ambiguity Aversion and Individual Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from a Farmer Survey in Northeastern Thailand 歧义厌恶与个体对气候变化的适应:来自泰国东北部农民调查的证据
IF 2.3 4区 经济学 0 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-24 DOI: 10.1142/s2010007823500057
Nagisa Shiiba, Hide-Fumi Yokoo, Voravee Saengavut, Siraprapa Bumrungkit
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引用次数: 1
A POST-COVID-19 ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF THE CHILEAN NDC REVISION 2019冠状病毒病后对智利国家自主贡献修正的经济评估
IF 2.3 4区 经济学 0 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-15 DOI: 10.1142/s2010007823500021
FRÉDÉRIC BABONNEAU, MARC VIELLE
Last year, Chile updated its Nationally Determined Contributions, moving from intensity-based emissions reductions to an effective emissions target. This paper aims to assess the economic and environmental impacts of this change in the current context of high uncertainty Chile faces with social protests and the COVID-19 pandemic. Using the computable general equilibrium model GEMINI-E3, we performed a sensitivity analysis assuming different levels of economic growth through 2030. Though at first glance the revised commitments appear more ambitious, we found that they could lead to higher emissions in low-growth scenarios. The results show that intensity-based emissions targets indeed become less stringent when assuming high levels of economic growth and thus may result in highly uncertain effective emissions in 2030. On the other hand, given the uncertainty surrounding Chilean economic growth, the updated commitments would be politically more amenable as it would lead to lower welfare losses. In addition, we analyze different redistribution schemes of a CO2 tax and we show that a per capita redistribution rule makes the CO2 tax more progressive and thus fiscally more acceptable.
去年,智利更新了国家自主贡献,从以强度为基础的减排转变为有效的排放目标。本文旨在评估在智利面临社会抗议和COVID-19大流行的高度不确定性背景下,这一变化对经济和环境的影响。使用可计算的一般均衡模型GEMINI-E3,我们进行了一个敏感性分析,假设到2030年不同水平的经济增长。虽然乍一看,修订后的承诺似乎更加雄心勃勃,但我们发现,在低增长情景下,它们可能导致更高的排放量。结果表明,假设经济增长水平较高时,基于强度的排放目标确实变得不那么严格,因此可能导致2030年有效排放量的高度不确定性。另一方面,鉴于智利经济增长的不确定性,更新的承诺在政治上更容易接受,因为它将导致更低的福利损失。此外,我们分析了二氧化碳税的不同再分配方案,并表明人均再分配规则使二氧化碳税更加累进,从而在财政上更容易接受。
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引用次数: 0
The role of battery electric vehicles in deep decarbonization 电池电动汽车在深度脱碳中的作用
IF 2.3 4区 经济学 0 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-20 DOI: 10.1142/s2010007823500045
Son H Kim, Stephanie T. Waldhoff, J. Edmonds
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引用次数: 0
An Economy-wide Framework for Assessing the Stranded Assets of Energy Production Sector under Climate Policies 气候政策下评估能源生产部门搁浅资产的全经济框架
IF 2.3 4区 经济学 0 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-13 DOI: 10.1142/s2010007823500033
Y.-H. Henry Chen, Erik Landry, J. Reilly
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引用次数: 1
INTRODUCTION: WAYS TO ACHIEVE GREEN ECONOMIC RECOVERY AND MITIGATE GREENHOUSE GASES IN THE POST-COVID-19 ERA 引言:后covid -19时代实现绿色经济复苏和减少温室气体排放的途径
IF 2.3 4区 经济学 0 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-12 DOI: 10.1142/s2010007822030026
Farhad Taghizadeh‐Hesary, N. Yoshino, Muhammad Mohsin, Nawazish Mirza
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引用次数: 3
Changes in Global Land Use and CO2 Emissions from US Bioethanol Production: What Drives Differences in Estimates between Corn and Cellulosic Ethanol? 美国生物乙醇生产中全球土地利用和二氧化碳排放的变化:是什么导致玉米和纤维素乙醇估算的差异?
IF 2.3 4区 经济学 0 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-05 DOI: 10.1142/s2010007822500087
B. Mignone, Jonathan E Huster, S. Torkamani, Patrick O’Rourke, M. Wise
Land use change (LUC) CO2 emissions associated with bioenergy production depend on the amount of land required to produce bioenergy crops, the carbon stored in such crops (including in the leaves, stalk, roots and soil), and the carbon emitted when another land cover is directly or indirectly displaced as a result. In this study, we use a global integrated assessment model [the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM)] to explore the differences in estimates of LUC CO2 emissions for two crops (corn and switchgrass) used to produce ethanol in the United States under alternative assumptions about natural lands protection. Varying the latter assumptions for corn ethanol results in net LUC CO2 emissions between 7 and 41 gCO2 per MJ of ethanol, whereas varying the same assumptions for switchgrass ethanol results in net emissions between [Formula: see text]26 and 14 gCO2 per MJ of ethanol. The low-end estimate for each occurs when natural lands are assumed to be fully protected everywhere, which leads to significant cropland intensification. The high-end estimate for each occurs when natural lands are assumed to be unprotected everywhere, leading to greater cropland expansion and associated conversion of unmanaged forest and pasture. Results from this study could be used to inform scenarios of future energy system change or life cycle assessment of biofuels for which LUC emissions would be an input.
与生物能源生产相关的土地利用变化(LUC)二氧化碳排放取决于生产生物能源作物所需的土地数量、这些作物(包括叶片、茎、根和土壤)中储存的碳,以及当另一种土地覆盖被直接或间接取代时排放的碳。在这项研究中,我们使用一个全球综合评估模型[全球变化分析模型(GCAM)]来探索在美国用于生产乙醇的两种作物(玉米和柳枝稷)在不同的自然土地保护假设下的LUC CO2排放量估算差异。改变玉米乙醇的后一种假设会导致每兆焦耳乙醇的LUC CO2净排放量在7至41克之间,而改变柳枝稷乙醇的相同假设会导致每兆焦耳乙醇的净排放量在26至14克之间。在假设自然土地在各地得到充分保护的情况下,两者的低端估计值都出现了,这导致了显著的耕地集约化。在假设自然土地在各地都未受保护的情况下,每种估算的最高值都出现了,这导致了更大的耕地扩张和与之相关的未受管理的森林和牧场的转换。这项研究的结果可以用来为未来能源系统变化的情景提供信息,或者为生物燃料的生命周期评估提供信息,而生物燃料的土地利用碳排放将作为输入。
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引用次数: 2
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Climate Change Economics
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