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In the shadow of country risk: asset pricing model of emerging market corporate bonds 国家风险的阴影:新兴市场公司债券的资产定价模型
IF 2.5 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00370-3
Desislava Vladimirova

We examine the covariances of corporate bonds in emerging markets (EM) and present an asset pricing framework using instrumented principal component analysis (IPCA) that includes characteristics at the sovereign and bond levels. Our results indicate that EM bond returns are significantly influenced by country-specific risks. Incorporating these characteristics can improve both the total and cross-sectional model fit. We demonstrate that a factor framework tailored to the nuances of the EM universe generates a significant alpha of 2% per annum against the market and a higher information ratio than alternative asset pricing models, such as a conditional beta model designed for developed market (DM) bonds.

我们研究了新兴市场(EM)公司债券的协方差,并利用包含主权和债券层面特征的工具主成分分析法(IPCA)提出了一个资产定价框架。我们的研究结果表明,新兴市场债券收益受特定国家风险的影响很大。纳入这些特征可以提高模型的总体拟合度和横截面拟合度。我们证明,与其他资产定价模型(如为发达市场(DM)债券设计的条件贝塔模型)相比,针对新兴市场的细微差别而定制的因子框架能产生每年 2% 的显著阿尔法收益率和更高的信息比率。
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引用次数: 0
Applications of FX derivatives to portfolio management 外汇衍生品在投资组合管理中的应用
IF 2.5 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00368-x
Redouane Elkamhi, Frank J. Fabozzi, Jacky S. H. Lee, Marco Salerno, Kari Vatanen, Suprita Vohra

This article demonstrates the use of foreign-exchange (FX) derivatives in portfolio management, highlighting the strategic applications of FX forwards, futures, swaps, and options. It begins by detailing how these derivatives help institutional investors mitigate the adverse effects of currency fluctuations on internationally diversified portfolios. A significant focus is placed on currency hedging with derivatives overlays, which consolidate currency exposures across asset classes into a centralized management function, thereby enhancing overall risk management. The article also delves into the strategic uses of FX options, which offer flexible, tailored risk management strategies crucial for handling the complex dynamics of global financial markets. Through real-world examples and theoretical insights, the article illustrates the critical role of FX derivatives in stabilizing portfolio returns and managing exposure to currency risks.

本文展示了外汇衍生品在投资组合管理中的应用,重点介绍了外汇远期、期货、掉期和期权的战略应用。文章首先详细介绍了这些衍生工具如何帮助机构投资者减轻货币波动对国际多元化投资组合的不利影响。文章重点介绍了利用衍生品套期保值进行货币对冲的方法,这种方法将不同资产类别的货币风险整合到一个集中管理功能中,从而加强了整体风险管理。文章还深入探讨了外汇期权的战略用途,它提供了灵活、量身定制的风险管理策略,对于处理全球金融市场的复杂动态至关重要。文章通过实际案例和理论见解,说明了外汇衍生品在稳定投资组合回报和管理货币风险暴露方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Applications of stock index options for income enhancement 股指期权在增加收入方面的应用
IF 2.5 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00366-z
John Burrello, Frank J. Fabozzi, Han Liang, Anil Sood, Kari Vatanen

Three real-world applications of derivatives in managing equity portfolios focusing on enhancing income using stock index options are illustrated in this article. Where these strategies are applied, providing practical examples and detailed analyses of their outcomes, is explained. The common pitfalls of option income strategies, particularly the impact of market volatility on yields, and how adjusting strike prices systematically can help achieve more stable income are described. This strategic insight is crucial for portfolio managers looking to enhance their income while managing risk effectively in their equity portfolios.

本文阐述了衍生工具在股票投资组合管理中的三种实际应用,重点是利用股指期权提高收入。文章解释了这些策略的应用场合,提供了实际案例并对其结果进行了详细分析。文章介绍了期权收益策略的常见误区,尤其是市场波动对收益率的影响,以及系统地调整行权价如何有助于获得更稳定的收益。对于希望在股票投资组合中有效管理风险的同时提高收益的投资组合经理来说,这种战略洞察力至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Applications of equity derivatives to portfolio management 股票衍生工具在投资组合管理中的应用
IF 2.5 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00367-y
Eddie C. Cheng, Frank J. Fabozzi, Robert Harlow, Wai Lee, Shaojun Zhang

This article provides real-world applications of equity derivatives in portfolio management, providing a practical approach that transcends the theoretical focus often found in academic literature and derivatives textbooks. The three primary applications include using stock index futures for effective liquidity management, employing cash equitization strategies with futures to optimize cash holdings, and utilizing options to assess and manage event-driven market risks. Each application provides detailed real-world cases, demonstrating how these derivatives serve as essential tools for portfolio managers in enhancing performance and aligning with strategic investment goals.

本文介绍了股票衍生品在投资组合管理中的实际应用,提供了一种超越学术文献和衍生品教科书中常见的理论重点的实用方法。三个主要应用包括利用股指期货进行有效的流动性管理,利用期货的现金等价化策略优化现金持有量,以及利用期权评估和管理事件驱动的市场风险。每个应用都提供了详细的实际案例,展示了这些衍生工具如何成为投资组合经理提高业绩和实现战略投资目标的重要工具。
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引用次数: 0
Finance and climate change: assessing the impact of physical, transition, and regulation risks on asset pricing valuation 金融与气候变化:评估实际风险、过渡风险和监管风险对资产定价估值的影响
IF 2.5 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00362-3
Benjamin Cisagara

This study examines how exposure to climate risk, encompassing physical, transition, and regulation risks, affects stock returns. Our main contribution is the insight that stocks with positive temperature co-variation earn lower future returns, acting as a hedge during periods of heightened investor marginal utility. Additionally, a positive change in a firm’s environmental score is associated with higher stock returns, while a higher level of environmental score corresponds to lower stock returns. To evaluate the contribution of climate change factors in the asset pricing model, we construct climate change factor-mimicking portfolios. Empirical results demonstrate that the model, comprising the temperature anomaly factor, climate news factor, and corporate environment factor, consistently outperforms the Fama–French 5-factor and q-factor models in capturing cross-sectional variations in average stock returns. In addition, this model performs better than the model presented by Görgen et al. (2020) and Ume (2021), which incorporate only the carbon risk factor. This underscores the importance of considering multiple facets of climate change in assessing its impact on asset pricing. As a result of this, study, relying solely on one aspect of climate change, may lead to an understatement of its overall effect on financial markets. Implications of this study suggest that considering a multi-faceted approach to climate risk in asset pricing models can lead to more accurate valuation and risk management strategies in financial markets.

本研究探讨了气候风险(包括物理风险、过渡风险和监管风险)如何影响股票回报。我们的主要贡献在于洞察到温度共变性为正的股票未来收益较低,在投资者边际效用增加期间起到对冲作用。此外,公司环境得分的正向变化与较高的股票回报率相关,而较高的环境得分水平则对应较低的股票回报率。为了评估气候变化因素在资产定价模型中的贡献,我们构建了气候变化因素模拟投资组合。实证结果表明,由气温异常因子、气候新闻因子和企业环境因子组成的模型在捕捉平均股票回报率的横截面变化方面始终优于法玛-法式五因子模型和 q 因子模型。此外,该模型的表现优于 Görgen 等人(2020 年)和 Ume(2021 年)提出的模型,后者只包含碳风险因子。这突出表明,在评估气候变化对资产定价的影响时,必须考虑气候变化的多个方面。因此,仅从气候变化的一个方面进行研究,可能会低估气候变化对金融市场的整体影响。这项研究的启示是,在资产定价模型中考虑气候风险的多面性,可以为金融市场带来更准确的估值和风险管理策略。
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引用次数: 0
ESG index performance: European evidence ESG 指数表现:欧洲证据
IF 2.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00361-4
Hager Kossentini, Olfa Belhassine, Amel Zenaidi

ESG investing and its financial performance is nowadays a hot topic luring the attention of all economic agents. All developed financial markets offer sustainable indices to meet the ethical needs of investors. However, this is not the case for a large share of emerging financial markets. This study aims to analyze the financial performance of several MSCI European ESG indices and compare it to their respective conventional benchmarks. We investigate financial performance through time and also over different market conditions using both static and dynamic financial performance measures. The static analysis shows that the sustainable indices are as performant as the conventional index, in most cases. The Emerging Market (EM) Europe ESG Leaders index is less risky than the benchmark. However, the dynamic financial performance analysis reveals that CAPM alpha and beta are time-varying. The rolling window annual analysis shows that the EM Europe ESG Leaders index offers an interesting investment option since it beats the benchmark, less risky and offers the highest performance. Finally, the Markov-Switching analysis indicates that alphas and betas mainly depend on stock market conditions. Indeed, in high volatility market, risk-averse investors would be interested in investing in the ESG index since it reduces market risk. Moreover, when the market is more stable, the sustainable EM Europe ESG Leaders index offers better performance.

如今,环境、社会和治理投资及其财务业绩已成为一个热门话题,吸引着所有经济主体的关注。所有发达金融市场都提供可持续指数,以满足投资者的道德需求。然而,大部分新兴金融市场的情况并非如此。本研究旨在分析几个 MSCI 欧洲 ESG 指数的财务表现,并将其与各自的传统基准进行比较。我们采用静态和动态的财务绩效衡量方法,对不同时期和不同市场条件下的财务绩效进行了研究。静态分析表明,在大多数情况下,可持续指数的表现与传统指数不相上下。新兴市场(EM)欧洲环境、社会和治理领导者指数的风险低于基准指数。然而,动态财务绩效分析表明,CAPM alpha 和 beta 是随时间变化的。滚动窗口年度分析表明,欧洲新兴市场环境、社会和治理领导者指数是一种有趣的投资选择,因为它击败了基准指数,风险较低,业绩最高。最后,马尔科夫转换分析表明,阿尔法和贝塔主要取决于股票市场条件。事实上,在高波动性市场中,规避风险的投资者会对投资 ESG 指数感兴趣,因为它能降低市场风险。此外,当市场较为稳定时,可持续的欧洲新兴市场环境、社会和治理领导者指数会有更好的表现。
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引用次数: 0
Sharpe-optimal volatility futures carry 夏普最优波动率期货套利
IF 2.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00359-y
Björn Uhl

Holding volatility as part of an institutional portfolio is often found not to benefit the overall characteristics of the resulting portfolio. This applies to both simple buy and hold but also to short-selling VIX futures to harvest the volatility risk premium. We show that the latter generates positive returns but is unlikely to benefit an existing equity portfolio due to the high correlation with the returns of the S&P 500. Instead, we propose to harvest the volatility risk premium using the full term structure of the VIX in a robust Markowitz (J Financ 7(1):77–91, 1952. https://doi.org/10.2307/2975974)-framework based on Pedersen et al. (Financ Anal J 77(2):124–151, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1080/0015198X.2020.1854543). We show that VIX carry forecasts have predictive power for the futures returns and consequently use these as a market return expectations. In a number of out-of-sample tests, we find that such ex ante Sharpe-optimal portfolios not only yield statistically significant positive performances but also add significant Alpha over typical equity and fixed income factor returns. Several robustness tests confirm that these findings are insensitive to the specific parameter choices. Overall, we conclude that the volatility risk premium can be harvested profitably with a simple dynamic framework using the full term structure of VIX futures—both stand-alone and in the context of an existing institutional portfolio.

作为机构投资组合的一部分,持有波动率往往不会对投资组合的整体特征带来好处。这既适用于简单的买入并持有,也适用于卖空 VIX 期货以获取波动性风险溢价。我们的研究表明,后者能带来正收益,但由于与 S&P 500 指数的收益高度相关,不太可能使现有股票投资组合受益。相反,我们建议在基于 Pedersen 等人(Financ Anal J 77(2):124-151, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1080/0015198X.2020.1854543)的稳健马科维茨(J Financ 7(1):77-91,1952. https://doi.org/10.2307/2975974)框架下,利用 VIX 的完整期限结构来获取波动风险溢价。我们证明 VIX 利差预测对期货收益具有预测能力,因此将其用作市场收益预期。在一系列样本外测试中,我们发现这种事前夏普最优投资组合不仅在统计上产生了显著的正收益,而且在典型的股票和固定收益因子收益上增加了显著的 Alpha。几项稳健性测试证实,这些发现对具体的参数选择并不敏感。总之,我们得出结论,利用 VIX 期货的完整期限结构,在一个简单的动态框架下,波动性风险溢价是可以获利的--无论是单独获利还是在现有的机构投资组合中获利。
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引用次数: 0
ESG risk and returns implied by demand-based asset pricing models 基于需求的资产定价模型所隐含的环境、社会和治理风险与回报
IF 2.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00354-3
Chi Zhang, Xinyang Li, Andrea Tamoni, Misha van Beek, Andrew Ang

We investigate how changes in demand for Environment, Social and Governance (ESG) characteristics affect stock prices. We consider three scenarios: increased demand for ESG characteristics by investors, shifts in assets under management from institutions with low demand for ESG characteristics to those with high demand, and changes in the ESG characteristics of the stocks themselves. To compute the effects of the scenarios, we use a demand-based asset pricing model which is calibrated to individual stock-level holdings of institutional investors. We find that these scenarios lead to significantly different returns of stocks with different ESG characteristics.

我们研究了对环境、社会和治理(ESG)特征需求的变化如何影响股票价格。我们考虑了三种情况:投资者对环境、社会和治理特征的需求增加;管理的资产从对环境、社会和治理特征需求低的机构转移到需求高的机构;股票本身的环境、社会和治理特征发生变化。为了计算这些情景的影响,我们使用了一个基于需求的资产定价模型,并对机构投资者的个股持有量进行了校准。我们发现,这些情景会导致具有不同环境、社会和公司治理特征的股票收益率出现显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Cost mitigation of factor investing in emerging equity markets 降低新兴股票市场要素投资的成本
IF 2.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00353-4
Kay Stankov, Dirk Schiereck, Volker Flögel

At the beginning of factor investing research, the investment universe concentrated on developed markets and transaction costs were paid little attention. Expensive trading costs of factor investing in emerging equity markets influence optimal portfolio decisions. Based on a total costs estimate of factor-based portfolio tilts, a simple cost-mitigation approach increases net performance. Exploiting the structure of market impact, we indirectly control the costs by limiting order sizes relative to their underlying stocks’ short-term liquidity. This cost-efficient strategy yields better implementability and lower-priced turnover while a possible negative effect on gross performance is more than offset.

在要素投资研究的初期,投资领域主要集中在发达市场,交易成本很少受到重视。在新兴股票市场进行因子投资的高昂交易成本影响了最佳投资组合决策。基于因子投资组合倾斜的总成本估算,一种简单的成本缓解方法提高了净业绩。我们利用市场影响的结构,通过限制订单规模与相关股票的短期流动性来间接控制成本。这种具有成本效益的策略能带来更好的可实施性和更低的成交价格,同时对总业绩可能产生的负面影响也被抵消得差不多了。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal trend-following rules in two-state regime-switching models 双态制度转换模型中的最优趋势跟踪规则
IF 2.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.1057/s41260-024-00357-0
Valeriy Zakamulin, Javier Giner
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引用次数: 0
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