ATLANTIC ECONOMIC JOURNAL最新文献

The distributional outcomes of monetary policy have garnered increasing attention in recent years. While there has been significant progress on both the theoretical and methodological design of studies on advanced economies, research on China has been limited, partly because of its opaque and unique monetary policy framework. This paper investigates the distributional effects of monetary policy shocks in China from 2003 to 2021, as the central bank converges towards a standard interest-rate based regime. A novel policy shock series for China is constructed using the high-frequency external instrument identification method that addresses endogeneity concerns between macroeconomic factors and policy decisions. A structural vector autoregression system identified by short-run restrictions is then used to analyze the impulse responses of income measures and asset market returns to these shocks. Findings suggest that contractionary monetary policy shocks have a negative impact on inequality in China, by increasing the relative share of income at the top and decreasing the share at the bottom of the distribution. Adverse effects are stronger for lower income groups who derive most of their income from labor and business, and experience large and persistent negative effects from an unanticipated rate hike. Meanwhile, the impacts on top earners are neutral or modestly positive, since their income portfolios are diversified by property holdings. As such, this analysis supports the income composition channel theory in explaining the heterogeneity in household responses to monetary policy shocks.

The Doing Business indicators published by the World Bank serve as a proxy for assessing the quality of institutions and the business environment. In recent years, Doing Business scores or rankings have been used to evaluate choices affecting foreign direct investment decisions. The study purpose is to examine the extent to which the quality of institutions and the business environment, as reflected in the Doing Business indicators, is associated with higher foreign direct investment inflows in European Union countries. The paper uses data on member country performance based on selected indicators, the Corruption Perception Index, and data on work stoppages and strikes. The latter is used to capture the importance of the labour market environment and political stability. Panel data cover the period 2005–2020 for most European Union member countries. The results suggest that the quality of business and institutional environments is an important factor in attracting foreign direct investment inflows. These results vary considerably depending on the countries chosen and have important policy implications. Specifically, governments should put emphasis not only on the general functioning of the economy, but also on the improvement of institutional quality to attract foreign direct investment.

The current economy is subject to great uncertainty. Smooth labor reallocations are important. This calls for labor market policies that increase flexibility. Conventional wisdom suggests that such policies will increase general skills and reduce firm-specific skills. This study demonstrates that this conjecture is not a theoretical necessity. Indeed, increased labor market flexibility can depress both general and firm-specific skills. If flexibility increases in the experienced worker market, general and firm-specific skills increase or decrease simultaneously. The reason for this surprising outcome emerges from the model.

The resilience of supply chains is analyzed in a model of strategic technology investments in markets with essential resources. With a monopoly supplier, dual sourcing is a strategy to reduce switching costs in the long-run. It serves as an insurance mechanism against future opportunism by providing access to competitive global markets. Investments in dual sourcing are required to limit abuse of market power by the active source provider, even though the option of dual sourcing may not be exercised in equilibrium. The analysis has implications for the European natural gas market. Liquefied natural gas terminals may serve a strategic purpose of limiting ex-post opportunism even when delivering gas by pipeline is more efficient.