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Economic Dimensions of Covid-19 in Indonesia: Responding to the Crisis 2019冠状病毒病在印度尼西亚的经济层面:应对危机
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.1992817
G. Schulze
It is the multiple dualities in Soeharto’s make-up that in fact make him such an intriguing subject for a biographer, and the subject of continuing fascination both in Indonesia and abroad. There were those extraordinary combinations of, on the one hand, far-sighted statesmanship and, on the other, what it is hard to describe other than as thuggery. Of bland, smiling modesty—and absolute ruthlessness. Of willingness to nurture, encourage and support real competence in his ministers— but also to tolerate and personally benefit from high levels of outright corruption. Of willingness and capacity to successfully advance the national interest, especially in economic development—while at the same time hindering the development of genuinely responsive national political institutions. It is hard to imagine, on the evidence of this first volume, that anyone could ever do a better job of capturing the complexity of the man and his times than David Jenkins. And in the physical quality of this 500-page publication, his Singapore publishers, ISEAS, have done both author and subject proud.
事实上,正是苏哈托性格中的多重二元性,使他成为传记作家的一个引人入胜的主题,并且在印度尼西亚和国外都是一个持续迷人的主题。这是一种非凡的结合,一方面是有远见的政治家才能,另一方面,除了用“谋财动命”来形容,很难用别的词来形容。温和、微笑、谦逊,以及绝对的无情。他愿意培养、鼓励和支持他的部长们的真正能力,但也愿意容忍并从严重的公然腐败中获益。成功推进国家利益的意愿和能力,特别是在经济发展方面,同时阻碍真正响应的国家政治机构的发展。从第一卷的证据来看,很难想象有人能比大卫·詹金斯(David Jenkins)更好地捕捉这个人和他所处时代的复杂性。在这本500页的出版物的实物质量上,他的新加坡出版商ISEAS让作者和主题都感到自豪。
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引用次数: 1
OECD Economic Surveys: Indonesia 2021 经合组织经济调查:2021年印度尼西亚
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1787/fd7e6249-en
Susan Olivia
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引用次数: 3
Young Soeharto: The Making of a Soldier, 1921–1945 Young Soeharto:《士兵的塑造》,1921–1945
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.1992818
G. Evans
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引用次数: 2
The Pandemic as Political Opportunity: Jokowi’s Indonesia in the Time of Covid-19 大流行病作为政治机遇:新冠肺炎时期佐科维的印度尼西亚
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.2004342
Charlotte Setijadi
In mid-2021, the Delta strain of the Covid-19 virus caused a second wave of transmissions and deaths in Indonesia at a scale much greater than what was seen in 2020. In this paper, I examine what the Indonesian government’s handling of the Covid crisis in 2021 reveals about the priorities of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi), as well as his political agenda and attitude towards the country’s democracy, as he strives to cement his legacy. I argue that, while devastating, the Covid-19 pandemic has given Jokowi the opportunity to push through long-planned economic and political reforms. Furthermore, I contend that, under the guise of promoting social and political stability in the time of Covid, Jokowi has also allowed for further democratic regression in Indonesia through laws that restrict freedom of speech and through the further empowerment of the military and intelligence agencies in civilian life. This paper ends with an examination of Jokowi’s persistently high popularity rating and the discourse surrounding the rumoured push for a constitutional reform that would allow for a third-term Jokowi presidency.
2021年年中,新冠肺炎德尔塔毒株在印度尼西亚引发了第二波传播和死亡,其规模远大于2020年。在这篇论文中,我研究了印度尼西亚政府对2021年新冠肺炎危机的处理,揭示了佐科·维多多总统(佐科维)的优先事项,以及他在努力巩固自己的遗产时对国家民主的政治议程和态度。我认为,尽管新冠肺炎疫情具有毁灭性,但它给了佐科维推动长期计划的经济和政治改革的机会。此外,我认为,在新冠肺炎疫情期间,佐科维打着促进社会和政治稳定的幌子,通过限制言论自由的法律以及进一步增强军事和情报机构在平民生活中的权力,也允许印度尼西亚的民主进一步倒退。本文最后考察了佐科维持续的高支持率,以及围绕传闻中的推动宪法改革的言论,该改革将允许佐科维连任第三届总统。
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引用次数: 16
Assessing the Effectiveness of Law Enforcement on Improving Tax Compliance in Indonesia: An Empirical Investigation 评估印尼提高税收合规的执法有效性:一项实证调查
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-08-19 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.1970110
Arifin Rosid, Romadhaniah Romadhaniah
There are various studies on the relationship between law enforcement and tax compliance; however, a study that empirically examines the relationship between law enforcement and tax compliance within an actual tax administration’s strategy map is lacking in the literature. We examine an identified knowledge gap about whether, and precisely how effectively, law enforcement may impact tax compliance in Indonesia. Investigating administrative data from all 352 tax offices across Indonesia, we reveal two principal findings. First, that law enforcement appears to have a discernible impact on tax compliance. Second, that while audit coverage ratio has played a vital role in improving tax compliance, criminal investigation appears to be an influential factor in determining the effectiveness of law enforcement. We conclude that law enforcement is an important aspect of tax administration, and that better law enforcement would help the Indonesian tax authority improve tax compliance and raise revenue.
关于执法与税收合规关系的研究多种多样;然而,在实际税务管理战略地图中,实证研究执法与税收合规之间的关系在文献中是缺乏的。我们研究了一个已知的知识差距,即执法是否以及究竟如何有效地影响印度尼西亚的税收合规。通过调查印尼所有352个税务局的行政数据,我们发现了两个主要发现。首先,执法似乎对税务合规产生了明显的影响。第二,虽然审计覆盖率在提高税收合规方面发挥了至关重要的作用,但刑事调查似乎是决定执法有效性的一个重要因素。我们的结论是,执法是税收管理的一个重要方面,更好的执法将有助于印尼税务机关提高税收合规和增加收入。
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引用次数: 0
A Dream of Offspring: Two Decades of Intergenerational Economic Mobility in Indonesia 后代之梦:印尼二十年代际经济流动
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-08-19 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.1970109
T. Dartanto, C. Can, F. Moeis, Jahen F. Rezki
Using the Indonesian Family Life Survey we measure intergenerational expenditure mobility by applying logistic and unconditional quintile regressions (UQR) to explore how intergenerational persistence (IGP) varies across the distribution of children’s expenditure. We find high absolute mobility and relative mobility among the bottom 40 percentiles, reflecting children’s success at climbing above their parents on the economic ladder. Around 9.29% of parents in the lowest quintile were able to have their children rise to the highest quintile, while only 35% of parents in the highest quintile were able to keep their children in this position. UQR estimations show a U-shaped relationship between parents’ and children’s expenditure ranks, with intergenerational expenditure elasticity ranging from 0.08 to 0.252. IGP is highest in the middle-class group. The strongest determinants of mobility are children’s years of schooling, children’s age, the gender of the household head and children’s asset ownership.
利用印度尼西亚家庭生活调查,我们通过应用逻辑和无条件五分位数回归(UQR)来衡量代际支出流动性,以探索代际持久性(IGP)在儿童支出分布中的变化。我们发现,在收入最低的40%人群中,绝对流动性和相对流动性都很高,这反映出孩子们在经济阶梯上比父母爬得更高。在收入最低的五分之一家庭中,约有9.29%的父母能够让他们的孩子升到收入最高的五分之一家庭,而收入最高的五分之一家庭中,只有35%的父母能够让他们的孩子保持在这个位置。UQR估计显示,父母与子女的支出等级呈u型关系,代际支出弹性在0.08 ~ 0.252之间。IGP在中产阶级群体中最高。流动性的最大决定因素是儿童的受教育年限、儿童的年龄、户主的性别和儿童的资产所有权。
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引用次数: 2
Ecosystem Guardians or Threats? Livelihood Security and Nature Conservation in Maluku, Indonesia 生态系统的守护者还是威胁?印度尼西亚马鲁古的生计安全和自然保护
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-05-27 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.1932744
Stein Kristiansen, Arief Budiman, S. Pudyatmoko
This article addresses the challenge of combining ecosystem protection with economic development. The setting is societies living near a national park in a poor and peripheral part of Indonesia. Data from our household survey are used to answer the following questions: Do local communities find secure and sustainable livelihoods in areas surrounding the park? To what extent do communities close to the park contribute to ecosystem protection? We use cluster analysis to group households based on a mapping of livelihood means and outcomes. In-depth interviews complement the statistical data. The study reveals prevailing and widespread poverty combined with non-sustainable livelihoods. It shows that people’s traditional lives may pose a risk, rather than the solution, to ecosystem protection, and that sustained biodiversity and pristine forests may not be consistent with maintaining an economic resource base for an increasing population. Further, that ecosystem degradation does not necessarily evoke traditional social mechanisms for nature protection.
本文论述了将生态系统保护与经济发展相结合的挑战。故事发生在印度尼西亚一个贫穷的边缘地区,一个国家公园附近的社会。我们的家庭调查数据用于回答以下问题:当地社区是否在公园周边地区找到安全和可持续的生计?靠近公园的社区在多大程度上有助于生态系统保护?我们根据生计手段和结果的映射,使用聚类分析对家庭进行分组。深度访谈补充了统计数据。该研究揭示了普遍和广泛的贫困与不可持续的生计相结合。它表明,人们的传统生活方式可能对生态系统保护构成威胁,而不是解决方案,而且持续的生物多样性和原始森林可能与为不断增长的人口维持经济资源基础不一致。此外,生态系统的退化并不一定会唤起传统的自然保护社会机制。
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引用次数: 1
R. M. Sundrum, 1924–2021 R.M.Sundrum,1924-2021
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.1956409
A. Booth
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引用次数: 0
Glossary 术语表
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.1956407
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引用次数: 0
Impact of the Covid-19 Shock on Banking and Corporate Sector Vulnerabilities in Indonesia 新冠肺炎冲击对印度尼西亚银行和企业部门脆弱性的影响
IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/00074918.2021.1956397
Reza Y. Siregar, A. Gunawan, Adhi N. Saputro
Indonesia’s economic contraction eased and its Covid-19 handling improved in the first quarter of 2021, with at least 13% of the targeted population receiving their first vaccination by the third week of June. The economic improvement was driven by external sectors, but the pace of the recovery differed considerably across sectors. This Survey looks at the balance sheets of corporations and the banking sector in the midst of the pandemic. We find that the worsening of corporate balance sheets may require government intervention to prevent liquidity problems from turning into solvency problems. While the banks’ capital position remains adequate, the deterioration of loan quality, reflecting real sector conditions, is worse than it appears. Recent stress testing of the banking sector confirms the potential vulnerabilities in the sector. We end the article by highlighting policies the government could consider to position Indonesia for a post-pandemic future, particularly over the next two years.
2021年第一季度,印度尼西亚的经济收缩有所缓解,其对新冠肺炎的处理有所改善,至少13%的目标人口在6月第三周前接种了第一针疫苗。经济改善是由外部部门推动的,但各部门的复苏速度差异很大。这项调查着眼于疫情期间企业和银行业的资产负债表。我们发现,企业资产负债表的恶化可能需要政府干预,以防止流动性问题转化为偿付能力问题。虽然银行的资本状况仍然充足,但反映实际行业状况的贷款质量恶化比表面上更糟。最近对银行业的压力测试证实了该行业的潜在脆弱性。我们在文章结尾强调了政府可以考虑的政策,以使印尼在疫情后的未来,特别是在未来两年。
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引用次数: 8
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Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies
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