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Government-wide Financial Statements and Credit Risk 政府财务报表和信用风险
IF 0.7 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2012-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5850.2011.01003.X
CRAIG L. Johnson, Sharon N. Kioko, W. Hildreth
Now that state governments issue comprehensive annual financial reports in accordance with Statement No. 34 of the Governmental Accounting Standards Board, it is possible to generate a consistent and comprehensive set of government-wide financial information. We use the information to develop financial ratios to benchmark government financial performance from information beyond the traditional general fund, and test the hypothesis that such information is incorporated into the assessment of credit risk. We provide an empirical analysis of the incorporation of government-wide financial information into state government credit ratings, which provides a positive empirical test of the theory of certification and demonstrates how information from the government-wide financial statements is infused into financial markets.
既然州政府根据政府会计准则委员会第34号声明发布全面的年度财务报告,就有可能产生一套一致和全面的政府范围内的财务信息。我们利用这些信息从传统普通基金以外的信息中制定财务比率,以基准政府财务绩效,并检验将这些信息纳入信用风险评估的假设。本文对政府财务信息纳入州政府信用评级的实证分析,为认证理论提供了实证检验,并展示了政府财务报表信息如何注入金融市场。
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引用次数: 69
The Balancing Act: Using Private Money for Public Projects 平衡法案:将私人资金用于公共项目
IF 0.7 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2012-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5850.2011.01002.X
C. Ebdon, Paul Landow
As public resources become scarcer, private donations for capital projects and public services may become increasingly important. Modern donors, using the new philanthropy philosophy common now in the nonprofit sector, may desire more control over the use of their funding than in the past. This research examines the effects of private donations on capital decision making, and explores the balancing act required by public officials between best practices and private norms in this process. The study uses the city of Omaha, Nebraska case, where corporate and individual donors have made significant financial contributions for the construction of a convention center/arena and a baseball stadium. Findings include both costs and benefits of this approach, and may be beneficial for theory-building related to this relatively unexplored topic, as well as for practitioners faced with similar needs and demands.
随着公共资源越来越稀缺,私人对资本项目和公共服务的捐赠可能变得越来越重要。现代捐赠人采用了非营利部门普遍采用的新的慈善理念,他们可能希望比过去对资金的使用有更多的控制权。本研究考察了私人捐赠对资本决策的影响,并探讨了在这一过程中,政府官员在最佳实践和私人规范之间所需要的平衡行为。该研究以内布拉斯加州的奥马哈市为例,在奥马哈市,企业和个人捐赠者为建设一个会议中心/竞技场和一个棒球场提供了大量的财政捐助。研究结果包括这种方法的成本和收益,并且可能有利于与这个相对未探索的主题相关的理论建设,以及面临类似需求和要求的从业者。
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引用次数: 9
Preserving the Public Interest in Highway Public–Private Partnerships: A Case Study of the State of Texas 维护高速公路公私合作中的公共利益:以德克萨斯州为例
IF 0.7 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2012-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5850.2011.01001.X
Beverly S. Bunch
Faced with existing revenues sources that are insufficient to finance highway maintenance and construction needs, some state and local governments are using or considering highway public–private partnerships. These partnerships may be attractive as a way for a government to obtain upfront revenues from the long-term lease of a road and to shift some of the construction and operations risks to a private firm. However, with these benefits, comes the need to preserve the public interest. This paper discusses issues related to preserving the public interest in highway public–private partnerships and presents a case study of the State of Texas. The case study focuses on an analysis of the strengths and limitations of Texas’ policies and procedures to protect the public interest in the use of long-term leases for the financing, construction, and operation of new toll roads. The case study also discusses what other governments may be able to learn from Texas’ experiences.
面对现有的收入来源不足以满足公路维护和建设需求,一些州和地方政府正在使用或考虑公路公私合作伙伴关系。对于政府来说,这种合作关系可能很有吸引力,因为它可以从长期租赁道路中获得前期收入,并将一些建设和运营风险转移给私营公司。然而,有了这些好处,就需要维护公共利益。本文讨论了在高速公路公私伙伴关系中维护公共利益的相关问题,并提出了德克萨斯州的一个案例研究。本案例研究的重点是分析德克萨斯州在利用长期租赁融资、建设和运营新收费公路方面保护公众利益的政策和程序的优势和局限性。案例研究还讨论了其他政府可以从德克萨斯州的经验中学到什么。
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引用次数: 6
Municipal Bond Insurance Premium, Credit Rating, and Underlying Credit Risk 市政债券保险保费、信用评级和潜在信用风险
IF 0.7 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2012-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5850.2011.01005.X
Gao Liu
This article explores the question of whether bond insurers are able to sufficiently evaluate the credit risk of insured bonds, the answer to which would determine the future of municipal bond insurance. A sample of insured municipal bonds is investigated to determine whether bond insurance premia can predict the future credit rating transition, the proxy for bond credit risk. The results show that municipal bond insurance premia, conditional on bond credit ratings and other explanatory variables, have explanatory power over credit rating downgrades but not over upgrades. As such, bond insurance premia convey extra information about the underlying credit risk of a bond issue than the original credit rating reveals. This research also provides evidence that the rating agencies might not be doing as a good job as they could potentially do.
本文探讨了债券保险公司是否能够充分评估被保险债券的信用风险,这个问题的答案将决定市政债券保险的未来。本文以参保的市政债券为样本进行研究,以确定债券保费是否可以预测未来信用评级的转变,这是债券信用风险的代理。结果表明,以债券信用等级等解释变量为条件的市政债券保费对信用等级下调有解释力,但对信用等级上调没有解释力。因此,债券保险费传达了债券发行潜在信用风险的额外信息,而不是原始信用评级所揭示的信息。这项研究还提供了证据,表明评级机构可能没有做得像他们可能做的那样好。
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引用次数: 13
Cross‐Border Shopping and State Use Tax Liabilities: Evidence from eBay Transactions 跨境购物和国家使用税责任:来自eBay交易的证据
IF 0.7 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2012-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5850.2011.00999.X
J. Alm, M. Melnik
Online commerce presents consumers with a convenient way of shopping outside of their local jurisdiction, and this online purchase decision is capable of affecting in significant ways the sales and use tax collections of state governments. However, the actual revenue impact has proven difficult to estimate. There is considerable work that examines the revenue impact of seller compliance with sales taxes. However, there is little work on buyer compliance with use taxes. In this paper we investigate the potential impact of cross-border shopping on state use tax liabilities of buyers, using data from the largest online consumer-to-consumer and business-to-consumer marketplace, eBay.com. We collect our own data on actual cross-border shopping transactions from eBay, focusing upon a "representative" commodity classification and a "typical" day; these data consist of nearly twenty-one thousand eBay listings generated by roughly seven thousand individual sellers with over nine thousand buyers. These data allow us to examine the extent of actual, not estimated, cross-border shopping by buyers, and the subsequent potential impact of this cross-border shopping on state use tax liabilities. Our results indicate that cross-border shopping is highly prevalent on eBay, with out-of-state purchases accounting for on average 94 percent of the volume of a state's purchase transactions. Even so, given the limited volume of eBay-based transactions relative to total sales transactions, the likely impact of cross-border transactions on state use tax revenue streams is quite low, at least at present, typically less than one percent of actual state sales tax revenues.
在线商务为消费者提供了一种方便的购物方式,使他们可以在当地管辖范围之外购物,这种在线购买决策能够在很大程度上影响州政府的销售和使用税征收。然而,实际的收入影响已被证明难以估计。有相当多的工作研究了卖方遵守销售税对收入的影响。然而,关于买方遵守使用税的工作却很少。在本文中,我们研究了跨境购物对买家的国家使用税负债的潜在影响,使用了最大的在线消费者对消费者和企业对消费者市场eBay.com的数据。我们从eBay上收集实际跨境购物交易的数据,重点关注“代表性”的商品分类和“典型”的一天;这些数据包括近21000个eBay清单,这些清单由大约7000个个人卖家和9000多个买家产生。这些数据使我们能够检查购买者实际(而非估计)跨境购物的程度,以及这种跨境购物对国家使用税负债的后续潜在影响。我们的研究结果表明,跨境购物在eBay上非常普遍,州外购买平均占一个州购买交易量的94%。即便如此,考虑到基于ebay的交易相对于总销售交易的数量有限,跨境交易对国家使用税收入流的可能影响相当低,至少在目前,通常不到实际国家销售税收入的1%。
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引用次数: 11
The Effect of Tax and Expenditure Limitations on Revenue Volatility: Evidence from Colorado 税收和支出限制对收入波动的影响:来自科罗拉多州的证据
IF 0.7 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5850.2012.01016.x
Travis St. Clair
Much of the research on tax and expenditure limitations (TELs) focuses on the impact that limits have on the size of the public sector or the distribution of expenditures at the state and local levels. While these results shed light on the extent to which TELs succeed in reducing government spending, they do not have much to say about the impact of TELs on government budgeting or financial planning, despite the fact that voters support TELs in the hope of reducing government inefficiency (Courant, Gramlich, and Rubinfeld 1980; Ladd and Wilson 1982). This paper examines the effect of TELs on the stability of government revenues; sound tax policy entails controlling the volatility of revenues in order to plan more effectively for the future. Using panel data from Colorado's Division of Local Government as well as the Census Bureau's Annual Survey of State and Local Government Finances, this paper examines the impact of Colorado's 1992 Taxpayer's Bill of Rights (TABOR) on local government finances. Results from difference‐in‐difference estimation suggest that TELs increase revenue and expenditure volatility.
关于税收和支出限制的许多研究集中于这些限制对公共部门规模或州和地方各级支出分配的影响。虽然这些结果揭示了电信公司在减少政府支出方面的成功程度,但它们并没有太多地说明电信公司对政府预算或财务规划的影响,尽管选民支持电信公司是希望减少政府效率低下(Courant, Gramlich, and Rubinfeld 1980;Ladd and Wilson 1982)。本文考察了移动电话对政府收入稳定性的影响;健全的税收政策需要控制收入的波动,以便更有效地规划未来。使用来自科罗拉多州地方政府部门的面板数据以及人口普查局的州和地方政府财政年度调查,本文研究了科罗拉多州1992年纳税人权利法案(TABOR)对地方政府财政的影响。差中差估计的结果表明,移动电话增加了收入和支出的波动性。
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引用次数: 11
Does Institutional Structure Effect Public Health Expenditures 制度结构是否影响公共卫生支出
IF 0.7 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2011-12-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5850.2011.00996.X
R. Eger, C. K. Fortner, V. A. Hepburn, Catherine P. Slade
This paper explores supply-side costs and institutional structure in a shared authority state public health system. It is found that in a shared governance public health system, intermediary district structure influences the movement of limited resources to serve populations and persons most in need. This early empirical test suggests that policy making and public administration concerning public health expenditures in a shared governance system are in a practical sense local, but decisions made at the intermediary level by regional district administration are an important influence on local public health expenditures.
本文探讨了共享权力国家公共卫生系统的供给侧成本和制度结构。研究发现,在共享治理的公共卫生系统中,中间区域结构会影响有限资源向最需要服务的人群和人群的流动。这一早期实证检验表明,在共享治理体系中,公共卫生支出的政策制定和公共管理在实践意义上是地方性的,但区域行政部门在中介层面的决策对地方公共卫生支出有重要影响。
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引用次数: 1
The Impact of Tax Revenue from Capital Gains Realizations on State Income Tax Revenue and Budget Conditions 资本利得税实现对国家所得税收入和预算条件的影响
IF 0.7 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2011-12-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5850.2011.00991.X
D. Sjoquist, Andrew V. Stephenson, S. Wallace
We explore the effect of the rapid increase in capital gains realizations on state income tax revenue during the 1990s and 2000s, and the effect that this had on state fiscal decisions regarding the use of these revenue. We find wide variation in the growth of capital gains realizations across states and that the growth in capital gains had a significant effect on state income tax revenue for many states. We find that states used a sizable portion of the additional revenue from capital gains to fund reserves in the year the revenue was generated, and that capital gains revenue lead to some reductions in taxes but not to increases in expenditures. The evidence suggests that states were conservative in their use of capital gains related revenues.
我们探讨了在20世纪90年代和21世纪初,资本利得实现的快速增长对州所得税收入的影响,以及这对使用这些收入的州财政决策的影响。我们发现各州资本收益实现的增长存在很大差异,并且资本收益的增长对许多州的州所得税收入产生了重大影响。我们发现,在收入产生的当年,各州将相当大一部分来自资本利得的额外收入用于基金储备,资本利得收入导致了税收的减少,但没有增加支出。有证据表明,各州在使用与资本利得相关的收入方面较为保守。
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引用次数: 4
Reforms for Improved Efficiency in Public Budgeting and Finance: Improvements, Disappointments, and Work-in-Progress 提高公共预算和财政效率的改革:改进、失望和进展
IF 0.7 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2011-12-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5850.2011.00998.X
J. Mikesell, Daniel R. Mullins
The past half-century has brought heightened expectations for what systems of budgeting and finance may be expected to deliver for the public. From systems to provide a first defense against theft and gross misappropriation, they have become systems to help lawmakers direct public resources where they can give the best public return, to help managers efficiently utilize resources under their control, and to communicate plans and results to the public. Government fiscal systems have developed more useful expenditure classification, established new measures for identifying public performance, brought nontraditional spending into control systems, and made finances considerably more transparent. Systems should, in combination with robust democratic institutions, make the public sector perform in the best interests of the citizenry. But in the face of great fiscal system improvements, governments struggle with staying fiscally sustainable, with meeting financial obligations to vulnerable populations, and even with avoiding default, receivership, or bankruptcy. Even as systems improve, government finances decline amid considerable private sector prosperity. Research over the past decade has done little to aid or explain the sweeping expectation and limited success of budget systems to transform essential elements of governance. It is the purpose of this paper to review progress in the development of robust fiscal systems, identify the major obstacles and failures, and link this evidence to the record of recent governmental financial distress, paying particular attention to the struggles of American governments. The broader questions needing to be addressed are the same questions at the forefront of public sector finance 100 years ago; however, the present focus has not been on these broader implications.
在过去的半个世纪里,人们对预算和财政系统能为公众提供什么抱有更高的期望。从防范盗窃和严重挪用的第一个防御系统,它们已经成为帮助立法者指导公共资源的系统,可以给公众带来最大的回报,帮助管理者有效地利用他们控制的资源,并向公众传达计划和结果。政府财政制度建立了更加实用的支出分类,建立了新的公共绩效考核标准,将非传统支出纳入控制体系,财政透明度大大提高。制度应与健全的民主机构相结合,使公共部门的表现符合公民的最大利益。但面对财政体系的巨大改善,各国政府仍在努力保持财政可持续性,履行对弱势群体的金融义务,甚至避免违约、破产或破产。尽管制度有所改善,但在私营部门相当繁荣的情况下,政府财政却在下降。过去十年的研究几乎没有帮助或解释预算系统在改变治理基本要素方面的广泛预期和有限成功。本文的目的是回顾健全财政体系发展的进展,确定主要障碍和失败,并将这些证据与近期政府财政困境的记录联系起来,特别关注美国政府的挣扎。需要解决的更广泛的问题,与100年前公共部门财政面临的问题相同;但是,目前的重点尚未放在这些更广泛的影响上。
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引用次数: 20
The Unruly World of Public Budgeting 难以驾驭的公共预算世界
IF 0.7 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2011-12-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5850.2011.00997.X
N. Caiden
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Public Budgeting and Finance
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