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Crooked thinking or straight talk? Modernizing Epicurean scientific philosophy 歪门邪道还是直言不讳?使伊壁鸠鲁科学哲学现代化
IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.1080/1350178x.2022.2129540
F. Guala
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引用次数: 2
A defense of reasonable pluralism in economics 为经济学中合理的多元主义辩护
IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-16 DOI: 10.1080/1350178X.2022.2112266
L. Larue
ABSTRACT This article aims to defend a novel account of pluralism in economics. First, it argues that what justifies pluralism is its epistemological benefits. Second, it acknowledges that pluralism has limits, and defends reasonable pluralism, or the view that we should only accept those theories and methods that can be justified by their communities with reasons that other communities can accept. Clearly, reasonable pluralism is an ideal, which requires economists of different persuasions to respect certain norms of communication while evaluating each other’s theories. The article ends with a discussion of the conditions under which reasonable communication becomes possible.
本文旨在为经济学中多元主义的一种新解释辩护。首先,它认为证明多元主义的是其认识论上的好处。其次,它承认多元主义有其局限性,并捍卫合理的多元主义,即我们应该只接受那些能够被其社区以其他社区可以接受的理由证明其合理性的理论和方法。显然,合理的多元主义是一种理想,它要求不同信仰的经济学家在评价彼此的理论时尊重一定的交流规范。文章最后讨论了合理通信成为可能的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Markets, market algorithms, and algorithmic bias 市场、市场算法和算法偏差
IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1080/1350178x.2022.2100919
Philippe van Basshuysen
Where economists previously viewed the market as arising from a ‘ spontaneous order ’ , antithetical to design, they now design markets to achieve speci fi c purposes. This paper reconstructs how this change in what markets are and can do came about and considers some consequences. Two decisive developments in economic theory are identi fi ed: fi rst, Hurwicz ’ s view of institutions as mechanisms, which should be designed to align incentives with social goals; and second, the notion of market places – consisting of infrastructure and algorithms – which should be designed to exhibit stable properties. These developments have empowered economists to create marketplaces for speci fi c purposes, by designing appropriate algorithms. I argue that this power to create marketplaces requires a shift in ethical reasoning, from whether markets should reach into certain spheres of life, to how market algorithms should be designed. I exemplify this shift, focusing on bias, and arguing that transparency should become a goal of market design.
经济学家以前认为市场产生于“自发秩序”,与设计相对立,现在他们设计市场是为了达到特定的目的。本文重构了市场是什么以及市场能做什么这种变化是如何产生的,并考虑了一些后果。本书确定了经济理论的两个决定性发展:首先,赫维奇将制度视为一种机制,其设计应使激励与社会目标保持一致;其次,市场的概念——由基础设施和算法组成——应该被设计成具有稳定的特性。这些发展使经济学家能够通过设计适当的算法,为特定目的创建市场。我认为,这种创造市场的力量需要伦理推理的转变,从市场是否应该触及生活的某些领域,到市场算法应该如何设计。我举例说明了这种转变,关注偏见,并认为透明度应该成为市场设计的目标。
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引用次数: 2
Pearl before economists: the book of why and empirical economics 经济学家之前的珍珠:《为什么与实证经济学》一书
IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-14 DOI: 10.1080/1350178X.2022.2088085
Nick Huntington-Klein
ABSTRACT Structural Causal Modeling (SCM) is an approach to causal inference closely associated with Judea Pearl and given an accessible instroduction in [Pearl, J., & Mackenzie, D. (2018). The book of why: The new science of cause and effect. Basic Books]. It is highly popular outside of economics, but has seen relatively little application within it. This paper briefly introduces the main concepts of SCM through the lens of whether applied economists are likely to find marginal benefit in these methods beyond standard economic approaches to causal inference. The most promising areas are those where SCM's causal diagrams alone offer significant value: covariate selection, the development of placebo tests, causal discovery, and identification in complex models.
结构因果模型(SCM)是一种与Judea Pearl密切相关的因果推理方法,并在[Pearl, J., & Mackenzie, D.](2018)中进行了介绍。为什么之书:因果的新科学。基本的书)。它在经济学之外非常受欢迎,但在经济学内部的应用相对较少。本文简要介绍了供应链管理的主要概念,通过应用经济学家是否有可能在这些方法中找到超出标准经济学方法的边际效益来进行因果推理。最有希望的领域是SCM的因果图单独提供重要价值的领域:协变量选择、安慰剂测试的发展、因果发现和复杂模型中的识别。
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引用次数: 2
Can commitments cause counterpreferential choices? 承诺会导致反优惠选择吗?
IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI: 10.1080/1350178X.2022.2077407
Michael Messerli, K. Reuter
ABSTRACT Commitments are crucial for our lives but there is no consensus on how commitments and preferences relate to each other. In this paper, we present three empirical studies that provide evidence that people sometimes choose a less preferred option when they have made a commitment.
承诺对我们的生活至关重要,但对于承诺和偏好之间的关系,人们并没有达成共识。在本文中,我们提出了三个实证研究,提供了证据,证明人们有时会选择一个不太喜欢的选项,当他们做出了承诺。
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引用次数: 1
Rationality: What it is, why it seems scarce, why it matters 理性:它是什么,为什么稀缺,为什么重要
IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-13 DOI: 10.1080/1350178X.2022.2075139
Enrico Petracca
Periodically, by a rough estimate twice per decade, a new popular book aspires to shake our common understanding of rationality. Since this concept is not only the backbone of normative analysis in the behavioral sciences but also of the way people more generally understand normativity, the stakes are particularly high. Among past successful attempts to rethink rationality are, so to refresh the memory, books of the caliber of Gigerenzer (2007), Kahneman (2011), and more recently Mercier and Sperber (2017). Because of its straightforward title, Rationality, and one enticing part of its subtitle, the promise to tell us What it is, Steven Pinker’s latest work aspires to be one of those ground-breaking books. There are two reasons, however, why readers might resist the temptation to consider Pinker’s book a foundational one. One reason is that in most of its parts it reads like a pamphlet, in which a world-renowned public intellectual attempts to shake the conscience of a world too dramatically lacking in reason and rationality (Pinker dispenses evidence of this masterfully). The public intellectual posture was to be expected, since Pinker has recently been in the vortex of inflamed debates over sensitive societal topics, and this book is in many regards a learned continuation of those debates. Pinker presents himself as a staunch advocate of freedom of speech and critical thinking, seen as requirements for democratic societies whose degree of rationality he deems to depend on a society’s capacity to deal with its ‘taboos’. Because of this posture, the book may risk being underestimated by those looking for a pristine foundational discussion. But another reason not to regard this book as foundational is the fact that Pinker does not present in it a novel idea of rationality. The readership of economists is certainly the most well equipped to understand that. The book’s central part, seven-elevenths of the total, is a superbly accessible guide to the edifice of rationality from the ground floor of logic (chapter 3) up to probability (chapter 4), Bayesian reasoning (chapter 5), rational choice theory (chapter 6), statistical decision theory (chapter 7), game theory (chapter 8), and the distinction between correlation and causation (chapter 9). The other four-elevenths are a demonstration that humans do not master these subjects – let alone apply them correctly to life – and a plea for why we should. This shows that Pinker does not really venture into a quest for the essence of rationality; what rationality is seems uncontroversial from the start: ‘My own position on rationality’, he says more as an adept than as a pioneer, ‘is “I’m for it”’ (p. 36). His true goal is to convince people to embrace rationality, challenge their belief that it is something ‘uncool’ and ‘cerebral’ that would turn one into a ‘nerd’, a ‘wonk’, a ‘geek’, or a ‘brainiac’ (p. 35, italics in original), not to challenge the classical idea of rationality. But even if one might thin
定期地,粗略估计每十年两次,一本新的流行书籍渴望动摇我们对理性的共同理解。由于这一概念不仅是行为科学规范分析的支柱,也是人们更普遍地理解规范性的方式,因此风险特别高。为了刷新记忆,在过去成功的重新思考理性的尝试中,有吉igerenzer (2007), Kahneman(2011)以及最近的Mercier和Sperber(2017)的书。因为书名直白,《理性》(Rationality),以及副标题中诱人的部分——承诺告诉我们理性是什么,史蒂文·平克(Steven Pinker)的最新作品有望成为那些开创性的书之一。然而,有两个原因可以解释为什么读者可能会抵制将平克的书视为一本基础著作的诱惑。其中一个原因是,这本书的大部分内容读起来就像一本小册子,一位世界知名的公共知识分子试图动摇一个极度缺乏理性和理性的世界的良知(平克巧妙地提供了这方面的证据)。公众知识分子的姿态是意料之中的,因为平克最近一直处于关于敏感社会话题的激烈辩论的漩涡中,这本书在很多方面都是这些辩论的博学的延续。平克自称是言论自由和批判性思维的坚定倡导者,他认为这是民主社会的必要条件,他认为民主社会的理性程度取决于社会处理“禁忌”的能力。由于这种姿态,这本书可能会被那些寻找原始基础讨论的人低估。但不把这本书视为基础的另一个原因是,平克并没有在书中提出一种新的理性观念。经济学家的读者当然是最能理解这一点的。本书的中心部分,占全书的十一分之七,是一本非常容易理解的理性大厦指南,从逻辑(第3章)到概率论(第4章),贝叶斯推理(第5章),理性选择理论(第6章),统计决策理论(第7章),博弈论(第8章),以及相关性和因果关系之间的区别(第9章)。另外的11分之4则证明了人类并没有掌握这些学科——更不用说把它们正确地应用到生活中了——并恳求我们为什么应该掌握这些学科。这表明,平克并没有真正冒险探索理性的本质;理性是什么似乎从一开始就没有争议:“我自己对理性的立场”,他更像是一个行家而不是一个先驱者,“是‘我支持它’”(第36页)。他的真正目标是说服人们接受理性,挑战他们的信念,即“不酷”和“理智”的东西会把一个人变成“书呆子”、“工作人员”、“极客”或“聪明人”(第35页,原文斜体),而不是挑战理性的经典观念。但是,即使有人可能会认为,辩论家的语气和对古典理性思想的支持会阻碍这本书成为划时代的作品,但如果不找出其中真正的基本意图,那将是一个真正的错误。揭示和评估这样的意图是本文的剩余部分。理解Pinker意图的新颖性的出发点是承认他是一个认知心理学家:一个接受逻辑、概率和理性选择理论作为规范基准的理性工具箱的认知心理学家。这可能会立即让经济学家想起另外两位认知心理学家丹尼尔·卡尼曼(Daniel Kahneman)和阿莫斯·特沃斯基(Amos Tversky),他们认为人类应该用平克毫不畏惧地称之为“上帝般的理性”来衡量自己的理性(第320页)。但与卡尼曼和特沃斯基不同,平克在描述方面要乐观得多。他所做的
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引用次数: 24
Nash meets Samuelson: the comparative-statics interpretation of Nash equilibrium 纳什与萨缪尔森相遇:纳什均衡的比较静力学解释
IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-15 DOI: 10.1080/1350178X.2022.2063925
Marek Hudík
ABSTRACT This paper suggests that Nash equilibrium can be interpreted as a conceptual tool for addressing comparative-statics issues on an aggregate level. Together with additional assumptions, Nash equilibrium helps generate testable predictions about changes or differences of behavior induced by changes or differences of exogenous variables. However, Nash-equilibrium behavior, as such, is not subject to empirical testing. Instead, widespread and persistent behavior is modeled as a Nash equilibrium by assumption. The paper argues that this interpretation is in line with the traditional use of an equilibrium concept in price theory. The suggested interpretation is illustrated with the model of public-goods provision. The paper compares this interpretation of Nash equilibrium with other interpretations and discusses its limits.
摘要:本文认为纳什均衡可以被解释为在总体水平上解决比较静态问题的概念工具。与其他假设一起,纳什均衡有助于对由外生变量的变化或差异引起的行为变化或差异产生可检验的预测。然而,纳什均衡行为,就其本身而言,是不受经验检验的。相反,广泛和持久的行为被假设为纳什均衡。本文认为,这种解释符合价格理论中均衡概念的传统用法。建议的解释用公共产品提供模型来说明。本文将这种纳什均衡解释与其他解释进行了比较,并讨论了其局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to the INEM 2019 special issue INEM 2019特刊简介
IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/1350178x.2022.2070237
Luis Mireles-Flores, M. Małecka, Caterina Marchionni
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引用次数: 0
What preferences for behavioral welfare economics? 行为福利经济学的偏好是什么?
IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/1350178X.2022.2061721
Till Grüne-Yanoff
ABSTRACT Behavioral welfare economics (BWE) assigns different roles to preferences than either non-behavioral forms of welfare economics or theories outside of the domain of welfare economics. In particular, BWE differs from other forms of welfare economics in its attempt to distinguish welfare-relevant from welfare-irrelevant subjective attitudes based on some notion of deliberation error. Based on recent arguments for the purpose-dependence of the interpretation of preferences, I argue that a functionalist-dispositional understanding of preference is not sufficient for BWE. Instead, I distinguish two levels of functional analysis – algebraic and algorithmic – and argued that it is the algorithmic level, capturing the relevant mental processes and representations producing the observed behavior, that is required for BWE.
与非行为形式的福利经济学或福利经济学领域之外的理论相比,行为福利经济学(BWE)赋予偏好不同的角色。特别是,BWE与其他形式的福利经济学的不同之处在于,它试图区分与福利相关和与福利无关的主观态度,这种主观态度是基于一些审议错误的概念。基于最近关于偏好解释的目的依赖性的争论,我认为对偏好的功能主义倾向理解对于BWE来说是不够的。相反,我区分了两个层次的功能分析——代数的和算法的——并认为是算法的层次,捕捉相关的心理过程和表征产生观察到的行为,这是BWE所需要的。
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引用次数: 2
Unifying Theories of institutions: a critique of Pettit’s Virtual Control Theory 制度的统一理论:对佩蒂特虚拟控制论的批判
IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-03-14 DOI: 10.1080/1350178X.2022.2049853
F. Hindriks
ABSTRACT To unify rival theories is to combine their key insights into a single coherent framework. It is often achieved by integrating the theories and forging new connections between their explanatory factors, which leads to an increase in explanatory power. Philip Pettit has proposed an alternative method that serves to establish that their key insights can be coherently combined. Instead of integrating them, he reconciles them by adjusting their domains of application so as to avoid overlap. As a result, the theories no longer compete. I argue that integration is often to be preferred to reconciliation. First, reconciliation retains the original insights, but only for part of the domain. In contrast, integration preserves and enriches the original insights across the board. Second, integration leads to a substantial increase in explanatory power, whereas reconciliation might even decrease it. I substantiate these claims by comparing Pettit’s Virtual Control Theory to the Rules-and-Equilibrium Theory.
统一对立的理论就是将它们的主要见解整合到一个连贯的框架中。这通常是通过整合理论和在它们的解释因素之间建立新的联系来实现的,这导致解释能力的增加。菲利普·佩蒂特提出了另一种方法,用于确定他们的关键见解可以连贯地结合在一起。他没有将它们整合起来,而是通过调整它们的应用领域来协调它们,以避免重叠。结果,这些理论不再相互竞争。我认为,融合往往比和解更可取。首先,和解保留了原始的见解,但仅适用于部分领域。相比之下,整合保留并丰富了原始的见解。其次,整合导致解释力大幅增加,而和解甚至可能降低解释力。我通过比较Pettit的虚拟控制理论和规则与均衡理论来证实这些说法。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Journal of Economic Methodology
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